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0:54What's up friends? Welcome to Fantasy Focus Football alongside Field Yates and Mike Clay.
0:57My name is Daniel Dopp back here for a Wednesday show.
1:01Mike, this is your third show. We're very excited that you're here.
1:04How are you feeling? Well rested? Not great. Oh, okay.
1:07I think I'm just going to not talk today.
1:09I think I'm just going to hang out and listen to you guys.
1:13It's so weird. You went on vacation for five days.
1:16You came back for two days and then today you're like, I'm feeling a little under the weather, guys.
1:21I am a little bit. It's catching up to me, I think.
1:24What's catching up to you? The vacation that you took?
1:27A little sore throat probably from so many hot takes over the last two days.
1:31Oh, that's what it is. A little bit. Some very well-received perfect takes based on social media reactions to those takes.
1:37Sure, sure. So I think everyone agrees. You know, I had a well thought out reason.
1:42I'm a little concerned about Luther Burden's ADP. I saw that.
1:45Bears fans were just like agreed all around. Everyone, yes.
1:48They were just fully on board. No, they weren't.
1:50That was not it. The exact opposite of that.
1:53They were like, why? It wasn't great. Why is this guy back on the podcast?
1:57Couldn't we have stuck with the other person? Yeah.
1:59Well, the person that was here last week is actually a Bears fan.
2:03Liz actually. She would never say anything like that.
2:06So certainly I'm not in favor with the Bears crowd, which by the way, hurts me because one of my favorite players
2:12of all time, one of my favorite sleepers of all time and hits was Jordan Howard.
2:16That was my guy. I loved Jordan Howard. Fifth round pick back in the day.
2:20Yeah. That was my guy. I apologize for being on my phone at the beginning of the show.
2:25I was trying to not listen to Mike. That's fair.
2:28But also I was trying to get the link up.
2:31The link out. I assumed. I assumed. It just deletes the draft that you've been working on.
2:36Anyways, I digress. We are moving on. Yes, we are.
2:39We got a big show today. We're talking about the 10 players who will define the upcoming fantasy season.
2:44A lot of names we are bringing to the table.
2:47Going to dive into a bunch of conversation with that.
2:50But quickly, a few logistics first. Live show. August 20th in New York City.
2:53Head to FantasyFocusLive.com to grab your tickets. The entire crew is going to be there.
2:58It will be a blast. That is FantasyFocusLive.com. August 20th in New York City.
3:02Our buddy Eric Moody is in chat. Make sure you go hang out with him.
3:06We love Eric Moody. Follow him on social media at Eric and Moody.
3:09He does an unbelievable job hanging out with the crew and everybody for the entirety of the show.
3:14So jump in there and hang out with him.
3:17And by the way, we're going to be asking for a few things from chat over the next couple of weeks as
3:23we finish kind of rounding out what I would call our punishment wheel from last year.
3:28In case you didn't know what the punishment wheel was, here's a quick clip in case you weren't here for last season.
3:34I set my lineup. Stacked team ready to destroy.
3:36Lost again. I do wonder though, what do you guys think Mike Clay likes watching more?
3:41Is it actually the football game or is it just waiting until the game is over to update cell K38 with his wide receiver cornerback matchups?
3:48You know what I mean? Yeah. Like, ha ha, I got this one right.
3:52Awesome. That's, no, that's great. That was disgusting. That was good.
3:55They're disgusting. I start to the league, Gar. Yeah, I love this field.
3:59Number one Lamar Jackson. It's so sour. It's when you get the liquid.
4:02Yeah. How sour is that field? Very nasty. You want to go spit it out in the cup over there?
4:08Yeah, that's probably not a bad idea. Michael Pittman Jr.
4:11We got there. The Zachary. Yeah. I spit some out.
4:14It's okay. Don't worry. Nice pick on Zachary. I would like at the quarterback position, I would love some Jordan Love this week.
4:20Okay? I would love Jordan Love, who we talked about earlier in the program, gentlemen.
4:24Keep going. At the tight end, I will go with Travis Kelsey because his quarterback has a 6-7 completion percentage this season.
4:30Jordan Addison. What on earth is that? That's a good matchup.
4:33Oh, sorry. It's a frog. I know, but what is the practical use of it?
4:38Yes, why do you have that? To make noises?
4:40No. Only practical stuff. Oh, man. Starts of the week was a lot of fun last year.
4:45We had a lot of fun with those punishments, and we got a wheel.
4:49It's actually behind Mike. It doesn't work right now.
4:51We broke it during the off-season, unfortunately. We were messing around with it here in the studio doing...
4:56There's a fit of rage from Mike. That's exactly what happened.
5:00But we're going to fill those out every Friday.
5:02We're going to have a bunch of polls in the chat here in our YouTube chat as well.
5:07If you have some suggestions, just send them to us, either in the chat or at Fantasy Focus on Twitter or any
5:13of our personal handles, at MikeClayNFL, at FieldJates, at DanielDopp.
5:16We would love to have some punishments to fill out the wheel for this season.
5:20Yeah, two rules. I can't ever do accents again.
5:23Yes, that was bad. And the other rule is no more like shoving food in our mouth and talking.
5:28That's the worst. I didn't even have to do that.
5:31You guys did, but no one wants to watch that.
5:34All right. Let's talk about some football. We got a big show on tap.
5:38But first, we're going to give a little bit of love to our buddy Adam Schefter.
5:42This is from Schefter's podcast yesterday. We think this has some really good info that we'll dive off of after you watch this.
5:49The cases that I believe are now being reviewed include that of the Rams wide receiver, Puka Nakua, who could potentially face
5:55discipline for some of the offseason headlines that accompanied him and some of those incidents last year with another woman.
6:00What did and didn't occur. We'll leave that to the NFL to figure out what did and didn't happen.
6:06But it's possible that when the Niners and Rams play in Australia, it's within the realm of options that Puka doesn't play in that game.
6:13It's also possible your team, the Green Bay Packers, are going to lose Josh Jacobs.
6:17That also still is under review. Yeah, I was just guys.
6:20Yeah. All right. So I want to say this.
6:22I feel like I speak and understand Schefter language pretty well.
6:26I don't believe that Schefter would have floated the possibility of either or both of these players being suspended if he didn't
6:32believe there was a chance of these guys being suspended.
6:35Agreed. This is not. I think this ends up with these guys missing some level of time.
6:39How much time? We don't know. But I'll state this here right now.
6:43If for some reason you're doing a draft and you're debating between Puka Nakua and Jamar Chase and JSN at the very
6:49top amongst your wide receiver rankings, I believe the debate is over.
6:52I believe it needs to be Jamar Chase over Puka Nakua.
6:56I agree with that. I think it's still close.
6:58And if you look at our projections, Nakua is projected for 21 more points than the number two wide receiver.
7:04So I feel like Nakua is very clearly the top week-to-week option.
7:07Kind of like we talked about with Christian McCaffrey, where he just has that ceiling and floor and that volume that just
7:13gives him an edge over everyone else on an each-week basis.
7:16So I think it's a very close call. I have no issue with what you're saying, but I'm not going to move
7:22him much further than a spot or two. I still think he's...
7:26My expectation is if he is suspended, it's going to be short-term.
7:29And I can accept that with a player of that.
7:32Yeah, we don't know that, though. We don't know that.
7:35If it was two games based off your projections, then he would drop not just below Jamar Chase, but like a decent chunk below Jamar Chase.
7:4220 points over the course of the season. So what if it's four games?
7:46What if it's six games, right? I mean, we don't know the answer on the length right now.
7:51And I said this when you were talking about the tier one, when we were going through the wide receivers, if something
7:57else happens during the season after Puka's already faced discipline, he's just at a much greater risk of missing even more time.
8:03I don't feel that way about Jamar Chase or JSN.
8:06There's just a safety net that's involved with those two guys now rather than Puka.
8:10So for now, and we really would... I think we're going to get information one way or the other before the start
8:17of the regular season and before the start of like that peak draft week, which is usually call it seven to 10
8:23days prior to the start of the regular season.
8:25For now, Puka will drop below Jamar Chase and I'll drop him below Jackson Smith and Jigba as well in my personal rankings.
8:32He'll move down to the sixth overall player on my board.
8:35But we're going to continue to monitor this news very closely.
8:38And I do think that when Shefty speaks, I think it gives us some indication or inclination that maybe a decision is coming somewhat sooner than later.
8:45I would agree. I hope so. So it would be good for everybody involved to have some clarity.
8:50As for Josh Jacobs, like same deal here, right?
8:53You got to move him down a little bit.
8:55We've been talking about... Yeah. But different because you're getting him where?
8:59At the end of the second, beginning of the third round?
9:02You're not paying top of the first round price.
9:04It's a little less clear how much you can move Josh Jacobs down.
9:08Correct. Because it's not... We already know Puka is going usually at lowest sixth overall in drafts.
9:13And that seems like the floor for him at this moment was Josh Jacobs.
9:17We talked about this tier, this group of running backs, all kind of clusters together.
9:21Mike categorized it, I believe, as James Cook being the first.
9:24Six through 15 was the range that Mike had.
9:27Six through 15, yeah. I had it seven through 14 yesterday.
9:30If you feel comfortable or if you feel uncomfortable with Josh Jacobs at this moment, to me, no problem moving him down
9:36to the bottom of that tier, which would be behind the likes of Ashton Genthy and Amarian Hampton and Saquon Barkley and Jeremiah Love.
9:43And across the industry, that's where he's going. He's going at the end of that tier.
9:47And that's where I have him. I'm at 15.
9:50And that puts him just ahead of Javante Williams, Kyron Williams.
9:53I'm still going to give him a slight edge over those guys.
9:56But it's close. I mean, last night I was in a draft, this Apex League.
10:00I've been in a long time with a lot of people from the industry.
10:04And I was at the end of round one, but then coming around the next one.
10:09So the 3-4 turn. And I had a chance at Tedderall McMillan, who's my wide receiver, 15.
10:13Or Jacobs. Either one. It would have been McMillan, my wide receiver, three.
10:17Jacobs, my RB, two. I decided to play it safe and go McMillan.
10:21Okay. A receiver and just not. I think I'm going to have a decent option that's not much worse than Jacobs coming around.
10:27Next time we'll see. But I decided, you know, because also very injury plagued late last season as well.
10:32He's 28 years old. There's a lot of reasons.
10:35As well as he played when he was healthy last year.
10:38There's enough reason for pause when you add the suspension on that.
10:41I'd rather just not mess with it right now.
10:44He has as much. He has less tread on his tires than the standard 28-year-old running back with how much he was
10:50run to the ground in Las Vegas, Oakland, beforehand.
10:53Yeah. Less tread on your tires. I was trying to think of the way, yes.
10:57You worded that correctly, but it almost sounds like you're saying that he has less wear on him.
11:02No, less wear. But he has less tread on his tires because he has been a huge workload running back for the entirety of his career.
11:09Right now, coming off the board, it's running back 14, 28.5.
11:12So the end of the third round. Do you think that's going to change a whole lot?
11:17Like you mentioned the names. Right now, right after him, it's Brees Hall, Javante Williams, Kyron, Cam Scadaboo.
11:22That's right in the conversation that you guys were talking about.
11:25Yeah, I mean, again, I think it depends on how long we are talking for these potential punishments.
11:30To find out, too. I don't know. I just don't think these are going to be one gamers if they do happen.
11:36That's just my inclination, sort of studying what these guys have been accused of and also what players accused of something somewhat
11:42similar have faced punishment-wise in the past. So we will see here, but I think it's incredibly important to address it.
11:48If you're early drafting right now, I have accounted for Puka Nakua by moving him down to number six.
11:54And for Josh Jacobs, we talked about moving him down.
11:56Also, know the name Marshawn Lloyd. You probably already have by now.
12:00He's been more in the news for not being on the field because he's hurt all the time.
12:05Yeah. But this Packers backfield is not exactly loaded with depth beyond Josh Jacobs.
12:09The biggest investment by far in that backfield beyond Josh Jacobs was Marshawn Lloyd.
12:13Yeah. I'm curious to see if that's a landing spot perhaps for like a James Conner.
12:17Ooh. So keep an eye on it. I didn't even think about that.
12:21By the way, one quick thing too. Rams, same thing.
12:24If Nakua is out, they don't really have a wide receiver three we're excited about.
12:28So someone like Terrence Ferguson would get a short-term boost.
12:31And also, I'd be keeping an eye on it.
12:33Considering that they are widely regarded as the best team in the NFL and the heavy Super Bowl favorite, would not surprise
12:39me if they went out and looked for a veteran receiver.
12:42Maybe took a little bit of a discount. Maybe a Keenan Allen type, something like that.
12:47Sure. I'd just keep an eye on them to be in the business of finding more wide receiver.
12:52Matthew Stafford, Devontae Adams, and Keenan Allen. All 40 plus.
12:55I mean, I'm not reporting anything. I'm just saying.
12:57That would be so fun though. Especially if Nakua is suspended multiple games.
13:01I mean, you're going to go out there with Devontae Adams, who's 33, and Canna Mumfield or something like that.
13:07Three tight end sets. Every single play. They might.
13:09Yeah. They have five tight ends on their roster right now that are like decent, right?
13:14Make sure that you stay locked in both to Adam Schefter with all of this news.
13:18As soon as we find out more information, we will keep you up to date here.
13:23But also, if you have any more draft questions, Mike Clay's Playbook Part 2 came out today.
13:27Head on over to the .com and you can check it out.
13:31Mike, is this Part 2 of the two-part playbook or is there another one?
13:35Part 2 of three parts. Three parts. Two of three.
13:37The first one was kind of like the State of the Union and fantasy football for this year.
13:42That's up there. Part 2 is like all the different league formats you could possibly play in.
13:47Everything. Six touchdowns. Six passing touchdowns. Our new format.
13:50Our knockout format this year. Whatever. It goes on and on.
13:53I mean, it's every format. Best ball. You name it.
13:56IDP. They're all laid out. And then the third part closer to the season will be in season management.
14:01Waivers, trades, all that kind of stuff. Love that.
14:03Go check out the Mike Clay Playbook, which is available right now on ESPN.com.
14:07Now it's time for the 10 players who will define the fantasy season.
14:11Field. Define feels like it could have a wide meaning in this conversation.
14:15You could define in several different ways here, Dan.
14:17Yeah. Bear with me. I'm going to go 10 to 1.
14:20All right. The names at the top will be pretty obvious as to why they will define the upcoming fantasy season.
14:26But in the interest of creating some drama and building some suspense, we're going to start at number 10.
14:31A little bit off the beaten path here. Love it.
14:34My number 10 player who will define the 2026 fantasy football season is Saints quarterback, Tyler Shuck.
14:39Second year player out of Louisville. Played seven seasons in college, so he's more experienced than your typical.
14:44He's older, I should say, than your typical second year player.
14:47And he played really well to finish last season.
14:50So there are a couple of different ways in which I think Tyler Shuck could define the upcoming year.
14:55One, there's often several quarterbacks that make that leap, whether it's the year one to year two leap or just like the
15:01leap from being a fantasy backup to a fantasy starter.
15:04Tyler Shuck showed during the last five games of last season.
15:07He has starting level upside if he plays like he did down the stretch.
15:11He had 30 rushing yards or 300 passing yards in five straight games to end 2025.
15:15He was really good. He was started in fantasy playoff matchups in leagues that I was in last year.
15:21More pertinently, though, or more importantly, is I think he defines what could happen with this suddenly kind of intriguing group of pass catchers in New Orleans.
15:28This is a fun trivia. What percentage of wide receiver targets do you think Chris Olave saw amongst passes thrown by Tyler Shuck last year?
15:35When Shuck was the quarterback, what was his target share?
15:38Not his target share, but the percentage of wide receiver targets.
15:41So that does not include, obviously, running backs and tight ends.
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17:0265%. Yeah, that's a huge number. Yeah, 52. 41% of all wide receiver targets from Tyler Shuck went to Chris Olavi.
17:08Olavi absolutely mashed last year. He was great. He kind of established himself as like a top 10-ish fantasy football wide receiver.
17:14If what we saw at the end of last season was real from Tyler Shuck, giddy up, even with the addition of Jordan Tyson.
17:20If what we saw from Tyler Shuck late last year was taking advantage of an average schedule and kind of, you know,
17:27hanging tight when teams had counted them out, then it could mean Chris Olavi kind of regressing back into that wide receiver 20 range.
17:33Yeah, no doubt. There's two layers to this. One is, can Shuck be a QB1 in fantasy, which is a possibility.
17:39Jared Point delivered as a rusher and a passer last year, but his, as consistent as he was, he had 17 plus
17:45fantasy points at seven of his nine full games.
17:48He never cleared 22. He never got that high ceiling, but his supporting cast was not very good.
17:53It's much better now. So maybe he does make that big leap forward.
17:57And the other part, of course, is what you just said.
18:00Chris Olavi, Jordan Tyson, the other, even Travis Etienne in the backfield, maybe Alvin Kamara.
18:04If he's involved in the pass, this will affect all.
18:07Yeah. Come on, Mike. I did it. Oh man.
18:09Do I have to leave? Yes. I think for the rest of the season.
18:13Travis Etienne. Travis Etienne, Alvin Etienne, all the Etchans.
18:16They, yeah, look, him being really poor or really good could affect those, or will affect those guys drastically.
18:21So no doubt. Good call on Tyler Schoen. I've got him as quarterback 13.
18:25I'm higher than everybody else here. I love what you mentioned, what he did at the end of this season from week 13 on.
18:32He did not have a single game under 17 fantasy points.
18:35We saw a little bit of his legs. He's not like a huge runner, but I don't know why if we don't
18:41see a little bit of match out of him.
18:43He couldn't be like a Bonix light, which to me is like a low end QB one.
18:48I think that's what, and if he's a low end QB one, by the way, if he's a top 10 quarterback, he's
18:54doing that by feeding Chris Olave and very likely Jordan Tyson is getting some love there too.
18:59So big, big guy for this fantasy season. I think the best argument against guys like Tyler Schoen or Daniel Jones or
19:05other quarterbacks that are intriguing, but don't crack our top 10 or 12 rankings is that there are so many quarterbacks.
19:11So many of them, right? Yeah. When you said you have Schoen at, what'd you say?
19:1613. I'm like, man, who do you have him ahead of?
19:19Like Stafford, Purdy, Caleb, Justin Herbert, Mahomes, Kyler Murray, all those guys.
19:22You've, you have him ahead of several of those guys, maybe Bo Nix.
19:26Like, yeah. You got to see it with your chest, Mike.
19:29That's why. It is crowded. It is very crowded.
19:31All right. Let's move on to player number nine.
19:34My number nine player that will define the 2026 fantasy football season is Seahawks running back Jadarium Price.
19:39The 32nd overall selection in the NFL draft this past year goes to Seattle, which on paper is a pretty darn good landing spot.
19:46How many teams you think had more carries from the running backs last year than the Seahawks?
19:50Good question. We will say, I'm going to go with zero.
19:53Two. The answer is zero. Nice job by you, Mike.
19:56The Falcons and the Seahawks had 439 running back carries last year.
20:00That was tied for the most in the NFL.
20:02On top of that, 85 of those 439 running back carries last year came in the red zone.
20:07So when they get down close to the goal line, they're not messing around.
20:11They're handing the football off to the running backs.
20:14That was the most in the league. It's a good spot.
20:17The thing that I think makes Jadarian Price such a swing player is it's not the rhetoric from Mike McDonald.
20:22They're going to play all three guys. I think they'll play a little bit of some of the other players that are currently healthy.
20:29Emmanuel Wilson might have a little bit of a role.
20:32We'll see. I'm not totally buying that, but maybe he will.
20:35And Zach Charbonnet could come back at some point during the middle or later portion of the season.
20:40It's that Jadarian Price last year, and I've used this stat before, and I'll use it again, had six catches.
20:46Now, he played alongside Jeremiah Love. He played alongside Eli Raritan, Malachi Fields, guys who both went in the third round.
20:51Love went third overall. They have a player, Jordan Faison, who's going to go, I think, as high as the first round this upcoming year.
20:58A lot of Mal's defeated that Notre Dame offense, so it's kind of a chicken versus egg argument.
21:03Is Jadarian Price not a great pass catcher, or is he a guy that didn't catch that many passes just because other people ate first?
21:10So, to me, he's a big swing player. He's ranked in most ESPN rankers top 25 for running backs.
21:16Way too low. Way too low. You're at 19, right?
21:19Yeah, I got him at 19. Yeah, I'm not that optimistic, obviously.
21:22I think in that tier of running backs, you have more guys who have a solidified role for the season.
21:28I would say based on... What does that mean?
21:30When you say that, what does that mean? Like, guys that are lead backs right now.
21:35Like, Jadarian Price very well could be to open the season, but all reports are positive on Zach Charbonnet.
21:40I would expect him to play this season, and I would expect him to not just be a backup.
21:45I don't think he's going to be chilling out.
21:48I think he's going to be a 10-15 touch guy at the minimum.
21:51And maybe, at some point, he's the lead back there.
21:54We don't know for sure if Jadarian Price is the real deal.
21:58He was the 32nd pick in the draft. It does fill a need for them.
22:02But to Field's point, as efficient as he was in a small sample behind Love, it was a small sample.
22:07And he was not involved in the passing game.
22:10So I definitely have some reservations there. I'm willing to take a shot at the right point, but I haven't found myself drafting him much.
22:17I only disagree because of the thought process that even when Zach Charbonnet comes back, I'm not buying into the idea that
22:23he's the Zach Charbonnet that he was last season.
22:26I still feel like there's going to take some time to be able to get there.
22:30So let's say he comes back, and I'm just throwing it out there.
22:34Six or eight games through the season. Okay, well, now it's going to take another three to four games for him to get back in plain shape.
22:41We're talking about week nine to week 14. Like, you're talking, I'm thinking almost the entirety of the regular season, Jadarian Price
22:47has been able to solidify himself in an offense that runs the ball like it's nobody's business.
22:52And if Zach Charbonnet comes back and isn't the guy that he was last season, do you really want to take the
22:58keys away from the kid you just spent a first-round pick on, or you just want to keep letting him cook?
23:04I think the good way. So that's where I'm just optimistic.
23:07I'm looking at it from an optimistic point of view.
23:10I'll say that. That's the question, Mark, is has the train left the station by the time that Zach Charbonnet is back?
23:16Right. Jadarian Price is busting 10-plus yard runs three times a game, and he's six in the NFL in rushing yards.
23:22Then his workload will decrease a little bit when Zach Charbonnet is back, but probably not a ton.
23:27But if he's playing solid ball, then Zach Charbonnet is going to have a role because we saw this with Kenneth Walker III.
23:34Clearly the more talented Seahawks running back, but there's something about Zach Charbonnet's skill set that the coaching staff in Seattle really, really...
23:40Yeah, exactly. If, and this is a hypothetical if, if you knew that Zach Charbonnet was going to miss the rest of
23:46the season, where would you have Jadarian Price with these other two running backs in this backfield?
23:51So no Charbonnet at all? No Charbonnet at all for the whole season.
23:55I would say borderline 20th amongst running backs. Yeah, that's right what I was going to say.
23:59I have a tier of Kyron Williams, Travis HN.
24:02Yeah, I like that. Right in that range. Spadaboo, Judkins.
24:05I think he would be right in that range.
24:07That's like the 15, 16 to 22 range is the way when you mention those guys is kind of where I think about it.
24:14So rather than being running back 25, you're talking about a mid-tier RB2.
24:18That's a guy I think that could define the fantasy season because if you get him as RB25 in your draft, you've
24:24got a really good value based on the unknown within that Seattle offense.
24:27All right. That's enough from Emo. My number eight player that will define the 2026 fantasy football season.
24:32Love this. Bears quarterback Caleb Williams. Massive way. This one's probably self-explanatory, but can we all agree that the best version of
24:39Caleb Williams is dynamic, game-changing, does some of the most unique things for any quarterback in the NFL?
24:44Yep. We can also agree that when you're 32nd in completion percentage last year, that means there was a lot of meat
24:50left on the bone for your pass catcher specifically.
24:52Yeah. If Caleb makes the leap, and by the way, you could argue he made the leap down the stretch last year.
24:59Weeks one through eight, he was quarterback 14. Weeks nine through 18, he was quarterback five.
25:03He was a better player in the second half of last season, even if he had some eggs laid in the middle there.
25:09The good version of Caleb Williams opens up the potential for a top 10 fantasy quarterback, and I believe multiple pass catchers that are weekly standouts.
25:17I said pass catchers, not wide receivers, because it might mean Colston Loveland and Roma Dundense, or Colston Loveland and Mike Sky Luther Byrd in the third.
25:24I don't know exactly which two of those three, but if Caleb plays great, I don't think that we're going to dismiss
25:30the possibility of two of those three guys being real fantasy difference makers.
25:34Just need to see it more consistently from Caleb.
25:37Can't believe you guys are sleeping on Xavier and Thomas like this.
25:40He's a good player, too. I thought you knew ball.
25:43I do know ball. Yeah. I don't. Based on Ben Johnson's track record, I don't know about a third receiver having much fantasy relevance.
25:50That's fair. And they treated their roster that way, right?
25:52Because their number three right now is Xavier and Thomas or Kalief Raymond, who he brought over from Detroit Lions.
25:58So, yeah, no doubt about it. When Caleb Williams, we could be starting for five bears, including Caleb throughout most of this season.
26:04It's just a matter of where kind of they fit in our rankings.
26:08Of course, Caleb Swift, the two receivers and Colson Loveland.
26:11So we'll be keeping an eye on that. I think actually based on and again, I mentioned him at the top of the show.
26:18I mentioned him earlier in the week, but I would add Luther Burden as one of those guys that are going to define this season.
26:25I would just pick up where you left off there because his the investment in him is rich.
26:30I mean, if you are investing in Luther Burden in, say, the fourth round of 12 team leagues this year, you need
26:36him to pay off at that at that price.
26:38So that's that's huge. And look, I've again, I've talked about this.
26:42He's a tricky one. He was a second round pick last year.
26:45Obviously, Keenan Allen's gone. He has an opportunity for a bigger role this season.
26:49His efficiency on a smallish sample last year was outstanding.
26:52But there are some red flags here. The guy is two career top 20 fantasy outings.
26:56In fact, he has four games with 10 plus fantasy points.
26:59Three of those were with Roma Dunze out last season.
27:02He disappeared in the playoffs when he played an expanded role.
27:05He had three catches for 42 yards and three for 24.
27:08And the thing I've seen a lot, a lot of the pushback is this guy is that Amon Ross St.
27:14Brown in this offense. That's what Ben Johnson's making Amon Ross St.
27:17Brown. So he's definitely going to pay off. Well, Amon Ross is a rookie, had 90 catches for 912 yards and five touchdowns.
27:24Burden 53 catches, 718 yards and two touchdowns. So I'm not going to crown him as Amon Ross St.
27:29Brown just yet. I don't I'm not going to be so bold as to say he's Amon Ross just yet.
27:35And I think that when you're drafting him in the fourth round, that's kind of what you're doing.
27:40You're kind of crowning him. This guy is a superstar already.
27:43I'm not saying I don't like him. I have him at 27 in my ranking.
27:47So I still think he's going to be a startable commodity.
27:50I just think the price you're paying right now is too rich for me.
27:54It's just not worth going that far. And that's why I made the Anthony Richardson comp where we are essentially crowning him
28:00as like equal to Lamar Jackson and drafting him as such that year.
28:04That's how I kind of feel with Burden. I'm not saying he's going to be as much of a bust.
28:09I just think the cost is too much. That's why he's the ultimate fade for me this year.
28:14By the way, do you guys know how many targets Colston Loveland had in the last four games of last season?
28:20Yeah, he said the playoffs. He said it was a record, I think, for...
28:24I don't know. He had like, what? 48 targets.
28:2748? Over the Bears' final four games. 10, 13, 10, and 15 targets during the Bears' final four games.
28:32And you guys may recall, the Bears played week 17 and 18 full throttle.
28:36Oh, yeah. They did, and people, it was, are we doing this again like Dan Campbell did a couple years prior when
28:42they were playing games that didn't mean anything full throttle?
28:45So Colston Loveland, again, just to buoy the idea that this guy could be one of the game-changing talents that we see in the NFL.
28:52Can I give you a quick nugget before you go here?
28:55Yeah. There have only been 12 instances of a tight end seeing at least 10 targets in four consecutive regular season games
29:01in NFL history, and only one of them was a rookie.
29:04And by the way, I don't have the list right in front of me, but the list of players is all superstars.
29:10I mean, it's a good omen for this guy.
29:13He screams superstar talent. Distribution's going to be what defines whether he gets to superstar in fantasy.
29:18I'm optimistic, obviously, but Caleb Williams will play a big part in this.
29:21He will. That's number eight. My number seven player that will define the 2026 fantasy football season is reigning NFL MVP, Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford.
29:29All right, so look at the rankings right now.
29:3116, 14, 14. 12. What was he last year?
29:34Quarterback two. Higher than that. He's quarterback two. Yeah.
29:36Yeah. So, I mean, he was unbelievably awesome. He was the best player in the world last year.
29:42NFL MVP. First team All-Pro. He had nine weeks.
29:44QB1 finish. He had 46 passing touchdowns. Led the NFL.
29:47Led the NFL in passing yards as well. It's a fantasy-friendly scheme.
29:50The Puka Nakua question does linger. But if Puka either isn't suspended or it's a short suspension, it's basically the same offense that he had last year.
29:58It almost feels like quarterback 14, 12, and 16 where we have him ranked is like the median outcome for Matthew Stafford.
30:04Right? It's like he either has another ballistic year in his quarterback 2 to 5, or he just really levels off and he's like quarterback 19.
30:11Yes. You know what I mean? I do know what you mean.
30:15And I, for me, being quarterback 16, I'm lower because I would rather have, I have a Tyler Shuck, more upside.
30:20I just want to have that upside, more rushing ability.
30:23There we'll get to a point, and you talked about this field, and we talked about it again during the wide receiver tiers.
30:30Like, Puka makes me a little bit more nervous, and Matthew Stafford without Puka Nakua, especially because you mentioned the wide receiving core behind Devontae Adams.
30:37It's a bunch of tight ends and running backs he's throwing the football to.
30:41So, a little bit of trepidation there. It's just the idea that I don't like, I don't want to say what's the
30:47difference, but like what's the difference between him and Jared Goff?
30:50Oh, I mean, there's a dramatic difference between him and Jared Goff.
30:54So, for me, it doesn't seem like it because he had one rushing yard last year.
30:58Sure. I want more rushing upside. You're saying play style.
31:01Correct, play style. Play style-wise, yeah. I'm saying production-wise.
31:03It's very different. Yes, understood. Yeah. I don't want to target that play style in a fantasy quarterback.
31:08I get that he has a path to get to QB2, but it also means he has to do everything with his arm.
31:15All his wide receivers need to stay healthy. He's got to be able to stay healthy himself.
31:20He's not doing any of it himself. He's relying on everybody else.
31:23That's different between Matthew and a lot of the other quarterbacks that we have hired.
31:27So, a couple things here. He did mash last year, even without Puka for a stretch, right?
31:32Puka was banged up briefly last year. The second thing is that Matthew Stafford doing this, like he's been with the Rams since 2021.
31:39So, that's five seasons. And two of those five seasons, he's thrown 40 or more passing touchdowns, right?
31:44So, 40% of the time he's reached that number.
31:46That's a decent enough rate. I think the thing about his ranking that is just so jarring is the other players that
31:52are ranked around him are guys where it's like, yeah, they could get there.
31:56Caleb Williams could get there. What does get there mean?
31:59Get there for Caleb Williams. To me, a successful season would be like quarterback seven.
32:03And we're talking about a guy who was quarterback two last year.
32:07He's just not sexy to fantasy managers. He might be too.
32:10It's just one of them things. He's not fun.
32:12He's got four kids, so he's sexy to his life.
32:15He's sexy to somebody, but he's not like when you think about fantasy quarterbacks, no one is like, Matthew Stafford is my dude.
32:22I cannot wait to have that guy. He's not fun to draft.
32:25The production is totally there. I'm just saying I think that's why, in part, he's also down there.
32:30The name value doesn't scream top 10 name value anymore.
32:33Yeah, look, he can light it up through the air again and have another terrific season.
32:37But the thing is, and I made this case a lot last year for kind of staying away from Joe Burrow, and
32:43especially Baker Mayfield, who, remember, was he top five years ago?
32:46And then he plummeted last year. When you don't add a lot of value with your legs, and again, Stafford adds arguably negative.
32:53How many yards did he have last year? What, did he have negative one or something?
32:57He had one rushing. He ended up positive. Hey!
33:00He's projected for 39 this year. Monster number. Wow.
33:02Oh, 39, yeah. But you have to put up elite passing numbers to offset that if you offer nothing with your legs.
33:09The reason I'm even keeping Stafford close to that QB1 conversation is because how many quarterbacks have had a path to enormous passing numbers like he does?
33:16I mean, in this offense with the supporting cast, I mean, he is set up for it.
33:21So I've been 35 passing touchdowns. That's a high projection for me.
33:24I think there's just enough to keep him in the QB1 conversation, but nothing can go wrong.
33:29He has to keep delivering through the air, whereas other quarterbacks in this tier, to your point, they can slip a little
33:35through the air and just keep running, and they're fine.
33:38We've actually seen that with Patrick Mahomes. What was that?
33:41Early last season that was, where the passing wasn't there necessarily, but he was running so much, he was able to carry his fantasy value.
33:48All right. So, again, these are why these players will define the season, because I think we're acknowledging with almost every one
33:54of them so far that, like, this could go one of two ways.
33:58And the good way could really impact not just the person who drafts that player, but all the players who play with that player.
34:04Yep. My number seven, six player that will define the 2026 fantasy football season is Commander's quarterback, Jaden Daniels.
34:10He's on my list, too. The delta between Jaden Daniels and Matthew Stafford is so huge from a play style.
34:15So, here's what we know about Jaden Daniels. He's awesome, right?
34:18Yes. He's an amazing player when he is available and healthy.
34:21Of course, missed 10 games last season. When you talk about quarterbacks that have pathways to fantasy success, right, you're looking for
34:28guys with legitimate rushing upside and legitimate passing upside.
34:30Yep. All right. Since he entered the NFL, he has six games with 225 or more passing yards.
34:35Not an unbelievable number, but definitely a solid number.
34:38And 10 or more rushes in those same games, right?
34:41So, the commanders have made it clear that they're going to tap into the skill set of Jaden Daniels in both phases, right?
34:47And two years ago, when he had this miraculous season, perhaps the greatest rookie season for a quarterback ever, the skill group
34:53was about where it is right now. It wasn't like it was a whole lot better.
34:58So, I think there are three quarterbacks in the NFL that have the upside, the realistic upside, year in and year out
35:04right now, to throw for 30 touchdowns and run for 10 touchdowns in the same season.
35:08Josh Allen, obviously. Yes. Lamar Jackson. Yep. And Jaden Daniels.
35:11Agreed. If you want to make the case for Jalen Hurts, I hear you.
35:15He's never had more than 26. And I don't think Drake May would get the rushing touchdowns, even though he could get the passing.
35:22Well, actually, Lamar won't get the rushing touchdowns. It's not where he delivers, but he'll get the yardage for sure.
35:27Yeah, that's fair. That's the offset. So, you could change 10 rushing touchdowns to 1,000 rushing yards, and I think that are maybe 850 rushing yards.
35:35So, yeah, the good version of Jaden Daniels is good enough to be my quarterback three.
35:39The good version of Jaden Daniels is the best quarterback in the NFL, in fantasy.
35:43For fantasy, yeah. I mean, right there. Josh Allen's such a high bar, but the questions now, and people now have questions
35:49about, is Jaden Daniels perhaps a health risk? He came into the NFL.
35:53I remember prior to the draft having someone tell me that LSU described Jaden Daniels like Gumby.
35:58He's this super slender guy, but he has this sort of elastic build-in that he can really withstand more contact than a guy who's like 206 pounds.
36:05And it caught up to him, though, last year.
36:08So, there's going to be, can he stay healthy for a full 17-game season?
36:12His number one offensive lineman by far, Larry Tunsell, is going to miss much, if not all, of the upcoming year.
36:18He's not a great group of skilled players. I think if Jaden Daniels stays healthy, though, the floor is probably still like quarterback eight.
36:24It's not quarterback 15. So, he's got to stay healthy.
36:27He's got a chance to be a game-changing QB.
36:30Yeah, I think this is a good one from Daniels' perspective.
36:33And I'll give you the other end of the battery, Terry McLaurin, because he obviously dropped off from two years ago to last year.
36:40But what's interesting about this is we're not really drafting a lot of other commanders, at least heavy draft investment, right?
36:45Like JCM and Rashad White are picked later. They're kind of dead zone running backs.
36:50And Stephon Diggs' ADP obviously is going to go up.
36:52But what's best-case scenario for him now? Maybe wide receiver three flex?
36:56I feel like he was sort of at a ceiling last year.
36:59He just got so much target volume at his age in the short range in New England.
37:04So, he's probably at a ceiling in Chigo Conquo.
37:07He's going in the 12th, 13th round. I mean, we're not super in.
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38:10All season long. We're not super invested in this offense.
38:13So if Daniels doesn't pan out this year, it's not really going to burn a lot, I guess.
38:18A lot of our fantasy investment. McLaren would be the big one.
38:21Yeah, I think the case here for Daniels is that a lot of people that are going to spend on Jaden Daniels
38:27are going to spend top three quarterback. Correct. And while I understand that where Jaden ranks in my overall top 160 is
38:34lower than where he's going to go on average because A, people just draft quarterbacks sooner than I do.
38:39And B, a lot of times the quarterback run is a chain reaction.
38:43Josh Allen goes off the board and people are like, okay, Lamar Jackson and Jaden Daniels coming next up.
38:48But, you know, if you take Jaden Daniels, you could get Jalen Hurts two rounds later or Joe Burrow two and a half, three rounds later.
38:55There are just a lot of other quarterbacks that I think have comparable value to Jaden Daniels, just not as much upside
39:01that are going a little bit later than him.
39:04Big one here as we enter the top five.
39:06My number five player that will define the 2026 fantasy football season, and I'll tell you this, you can make the cage
39:13for this guy as high as number one, is Vikings wide receiver.
39:16Mm-hmm. Justin Jefferson. Wow. You know, we do this in fantasy, and it's hard to avoid.
39:20There's a human nature to ranking. Yeah. But if you told me that Justin Jefferson deserved to be the first wide receiver
39:27off the board this year, it's not the craziest thing that you've ever said.
39:31It's not even close to crazy. And yet there's no person that I've seen that is making that case, and I'm not making that case either.
39:38But Justin Jefferson finishing his wide receiver one overall, not a wide receiver one.
39:42Wide receiver one overall is within the realm of possibilities, and he's going to go back into the first, some point in the second round.
39:49It's never Justin Jefferson's fault, right? I mean, this guy is clearly a top three wide receiver in talent.
39:54Yep. It's just how much faith do you place into Kyler Murray?
39:57Who, by the way, shout out to Kevin O'Connell for being a loyal viewer.
40:01That's right. Or listener, a fantasy focus. That's right.
40:04Because we're moments after we went off the air yesterday when Daniel was asking for them to just name a starting quarterback.
40:10Yes. Adam Schefter breaks the news that Kyler Murray is the starting quarterback for the Minnesota Vikings.
40:15The ears were burning in Minnesota as Daniel was saying what he said.
40:18We had a spirited debate here. You guys were shocked, excuse me, not shocked that they hadn't named the quarterback.
40:24I'm assuming now you are shocked that Kevin O'Connell has named the quarterback.
40:28Because you can't go from unshocked to unshocked within one day.
40:31Well, what I would say is... You can just say you're shocked.
40:34Sure, I'm shocked. Yeah, I mean... All right, thank you.
40:37Yeah, I'm shocked. I'm not shocked. No, you can't say you're not shocked.
40:41No, my case was he needed... You weren't shocked yesterday.
40:43No, I think he just needed to wait a few more hours.
40:47Stop it. You're the worst. Then he hit that point where it was time.
40:51You know, my argument was as of the pod yesterday, he didn't need to decide yet.
40:55But as of an hour later, he needed to decide.
40:58I appreciate so many of our viewers reaching out to me on Twitter just to be able to say, you were on it, Daniel.
41:05You were on it. You were on it. I will say that this is a crazy stat.
41:09Shout out to our guy Kyle Soppy for this one.
41:12Love Kyle. If you remove the games that J.J.
41:15McCarthy started last year, and you go through the six seasons that Justin Jefferson has played in the NFL...
41:20What a sick exercise, Kyle, would obviously do. Maybe it's five games or five seasons without J.J.
41:25Anyway, Justin Jefferson has more games scoring at least 25 fantasy points than under 10 fantasy points in a game.
41:30That's unbelievable. The upside for Justin Jefferson is magnificent.
41:33I don't know. I'm probably butchering the pronunciation, but we have this book we read to our kids often.
41:38It's Fancy Nancy, and they have a lot. It's très magnifique.
41:41Apparently it means... Very magnificent. Probably. Yeah. Yeah. So Justin Jefferson is très magnifique.
41:45He is. Yeah, he is, and I will say this.
41:48If you went from, let's just say, after fantasy draft season, before week one you took a nap last year, and then
41:54you woke up after the season, and this is all I told you was he had a career-high 30% target share this
42:00past season and finished top six at receiver in targets and end zone targets.
42:04You're like, wow, McCarthy must have broken out. They had a heck of a year.
42:09Good job. I'm drafting Jefferson even earlier, but obviously the efficiency was just a killer for him.
42:13The only pause I will give you here is that I don't think this is Kirk Cousins in his prime.
42:19I don't think this is Sam Darnold necessarily, because Kyler Murray is going to run the ball more often.
42:24It's going to be less pass volume, so I don't know if he has the ceiling of some of these other guys
42:30with Kyler Murray, and to that point, if you look at Kyler Murray's full seasons in Arizona, there's only one instance of
42:37a wide receiver finishing top 25 in fantasy points.
42:39His whole run, that was DeAndre Hopkins that year, he was top five.
42:43So I think he can get Jefferson there into that vicinity and pay off where we have him ranked.
42:48I just don't know if he's going to get him to that top of the board.
42:53Some context around that season. If you remember, DeAndre Hopkins missed the beginning of that season, and it was Hollywood Brown that started out.
42:59He was actually wide receiver one after the first eight weeks of the season.
43:03I remember it well. Hollywood Brown. Kyler Murray had him as wide receiver one in fantasy football, and then it transitioned, obviously,
43:09as it should have, to DeAndre Hopkins. You put both of those guys together and just look at it as one season
43:16of Kyler's wide receiver one, that's what I'm expecting they're going to do here with Justin Jefferson because he has one piece of homework.
43:22Yeah. It is just throw the ball to Justin Jefferson.
43:25That's all Kyler has to do. But even if we give you Hollywood and just assume that was the full season, even
43:31though it wasn't, that's still, it's still a load.
43:34Okay. Like, it just doesn't happen very often. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
43:37Everything kind of has to come together for this to pay off for Jefferson.
43:41These running quarterbacks. When I look at this, last thing, if I just showed you blind resume, first five seasons of Justin
43:47Jefferson where he finished as wide receiver, like nine, wide receiver five, wide receiver one, every single season he was a top 10 wide receiver.
43:54And then you see last year he was wide receiver 30, and I tell you, oh, they have a different quarterback this year than last year.
44:01You'd be like, yeah, clearly it was the quarterback's fault.
44:04Yeah, no doubt. Because this guy is unbelievable. Yeah.
44:07So wide receiver seven, I think, is where he's coming off the board, hard to avoid drafting Justin Jefferson.
44:12I think my point is just he'll be a wide receiver one, I think.
44:16I don't think he's going to be the wide receiver one overall.
44:19I don't think he's getting to that level with Kyler Murray, but he will be better, way better than this last year.
44:25Last, last thing I'll say is drafting Justin Jefferson.
44:28I get it. Like, it could hurt. Like, there's a chance that it's like last year, and we're sitting here sick to
44:34our stomachs throughout the course of the fantasy football season.
44:37But getting Justin Jefferson, let's call it anywhere from wide receiver five to wide receiver seven, to me is like, what do
44:43we tell you about fantasy all the time? Like, there's no prize for finishing fifth in your league.
44:48Right? And like, Justin Jefferson is a league winner.
44:51I firmly believe that, because he could prove to be several spots ahead in terms of where, compared to where he is being drafted right now.
44:58Make sure, if you draft him, you better root for the Vikings every week, because the last thing you want is them
45:04to be eliminated come fantasy playoff time, and you're like, let's take a look at JJ for the final month of the season.
45:10Well, dang it. I don't want to root for the Vikings every single week, Mike.
45:15Come on, man. You're going to have to now.
45:17If you take him, if you draft him, you're going to have to.
45:21All right, field on your list. We are moving on to player number four.
45:25Number four. The number four player that will define the 2026 fantasy football season is Cardinals rookie running back Jeremiah Love.
45:31All right. Non-quarterback taken with a top three pick immediately should be put in this conversation, right?
45:35Because you're not taking a wide receiver or a running back.
45:38Nope. Or I guess a tight end, although I'm not sure a tight end has ever been taken as high as number
45:45three overall and not planning to utilize that player a ton.
45:48I don't think Winslow is that high. Jeremiah Love is a, I think people need, like this is a B.
45:53John Robinson caliber prospect coming out of college. He's got to get there to actually be B.
45:58John Robinson. But I think the grade for Jeremiah Love should be considered like the grade for B.
46:03John Robinson. The best pass catching running back by a mile in college football last year.
46:08That gives him crazy upside in fantasy football. Beyond that, they have, he's just an unbelievably efficient runner and dancer.
46:13He's making miss. Like there's all this talent here.
46:16It just comes down to whether or not this offense can block for him whatsoever.
46:20He is a better receiver than Ashton Gentry. He's more devastating in the open field than Ashton Gentry.
46:25Not as powerful or going to run through contact like Ashton Gentry will.
46:29Better quarterback than Ashton Gentry had last season? Sure.
46:31But I'm just like, there are ways in which he's better than Ashton Gentry.
46:35There are ways in which Ashton Gentry has a little bit of a leg up on Jeremiah Love.
46:40But as we saw last year with Ashton Gentry, no matter how talented you are, if you're getting hit behind the line
46:46of scrimmage, left, right, and center, that's a problem for your fantasy upside.
46:50Yeah. I hear you, but are we really concerned about the O-line?
46:53I think it's fine. I don't think it's great.
46:56I think it's fine too. But that's, I talked about this the other day.
47:00Like unless it's atrocious, I'm not super worried about it.
47:03In fact, I have them ranked in the middle of the pack in the NFL.
47:07I mean, I think it's so too high. Michael.
47:09No, I'm not. Yes. Let's talk about this. Let's talk about it.
47:13We'll talk about it every day. We'll talk about it tomorrow.
47:16We will. The Jeremiah Love is going to be a big conversation.
47:19Running back seven. And my thing is, I think that this offense, with how bad the Cardinals are going to be, their
47:25win total is three and a half, I think, this year.
47:28It's really bad. It's really low. As low as it is.
47:31I think it is going to be so much closer to what you saw with Ashton Gentry.
47:36The teams are just going to stack the box and stop the running back.
47:40I understand that they're better. I don't think so.
47:43Brissette can get the ball to Harrison and McBride and Wilson.
47:46We saw a high-volume passing attack last year. Okay.
47:48So you think better than Ashton Gentry last year?
47:51Because I see right now with year one, I think all of what Field laid out, it's not him.
47:56It's not his talent. It's not how good he is.
47:59The offense, I think, is just going to be atrocious.
48:02And when you looked at what Ashton Gentry was last year, was he a disappointment?
48:06Not necessarily. But he was closer to RB12, which is where Field and I have love, than he was RB7, which is where you have him.
48:13Yeah. And as I pointed out, guys that are drafted this high pay off.
48:17I mean, they do. I mean, the last nine running backs drafted in the top 12 were top 12 scorers as rookies.
48:23Not eight out of nine. That's all of them.
48:26Yes. Top 12, which is where I have him.
48:28But you're just saying he's not going to be top 12.
48:31You're saying he's going to be top seven. Well, I mean, Ashton Gentry last year was the worst of that group.
48:37He's the reason it's not the top 10. Like, he finished 12th.
48:41He actually ruined the stat. That was worst case scenario.
48:43He can pass block. He can be involved in the passing game.
48:47He can run the ball, which is, by the way, something Gentry didn't do the first month of the last season.
48:53So I'm buying into the talent. And also, we've seen, and I made this point yesterday, John Robinson, the last couple of
48:59years, had massive fantasy seasons with Tyler Algier doing a lot of damage.
49:02Algier had over 600 yards and eight touchdowns last year.
49:05I am not worried about Algier having a role.
49:08A lot of guys have, a lot of teams use multiple backs.
49:11All right. So I think you guys are setting yourselves up for a board bet, by the way.
49:16Yeah, I smell one. Please. That Bijan has been amazing over the past two seasons with Tyler Algier.
49:21But we all remember what it looked like for Bijan as a rookie, even if the end of season numbers were fine.
49:27And by the way, you've reminded us time and again about these high level draft prospects and how they've been relatively safe for fantasy upside.
49:34There's no two ways about it. Bijan was a disappointment as a rookie.
49:38Still finished top 10. He was a disappointment as a rookie.
49:41Based on where he was. Where were we drafting him, though?
49:44You got to put him into your brain of where you were drafting him.
49:48And Jeremiah Love's going to go in the first round in a lot of drafts right now.
49:53So I. Jeremiah Love's not going in the first round.
49:56He's going to go in the first round in a lot of drafts this year.
50:00It's just happening. He's going at the 2-3 turn.
50:02Shiny object syndrome. I disagree. I don't think he's going that early.
50:06He's going at the 2-3 turn right now. And I think there's been enough hype for Algier and what Daniel was saying about the offense.
50:13That's going to keep him down there. Maybe he'll get some of the back around too.
50:17I don't think he goes further than that. And I think that is why I'm so high on him.
50:23Like, I just. It's so easy to pick him at the 2-3 turn.
50:26We're very aware. I would like to say. And you don't have to do this if you don't want to.
50:32But I say that Jeremiah Love. This is for you guys.
50:35Will. You have him at 7. I'm at 12.
50:37Top 9. Top 10. What do you want to do?
50:40Sure. I mean, I'll take. If he's top 10.
50:43If it's top 10, field wins. If he's 9 or anything else, you win.
50:47If he's outside the top 10. I say Jeremiah Love finishes outside the top 10 as a rookie in fantasy football.
50:53I say Jeremiah Love finishes inside the top 10 running backs and fantasy points as a rookie.
50:57Put it on the board. I think it's going to be interesting.
51:01You can look at this a number of different ways.
51:03It certainly isn't about this kid or his skill set.
51:06Is this points per game? Is this like. Well, we talk about that.
51:10We did this with CMC versus Omar and Hampton.
51:12We said as long as they play within two games of each other.
51:16All right. Totally fair. You know, like if. Thoughts were used in common sense.
51:20Yeah. Okay. All right. Common sense will apply there.
51:23We got three more. Let's get to them. My number three player that will define the 2026 fantasy football season is Giants wide receiver Malik neighbors.
51:30We're talking about him a lot recently. And this is.
51:33There's a lot of what we talked about with Justin Jefferson that applies here with just even a more dramatic discount.
51:39Right. What is the upside for Malik neighbors wide receiver one over one, right?
51:42Wide receiver one overall. Just a reminder that in his first 18 games played, he got hurt in game 19 Malik neighbors
51:49second most receiving receptions and top six and receiving yards for any player ever.
51:53You know what his target share was in those games?
51:55Got to be close to 30, 35%. That is 35% over 11 per game.
51:59Yep. So there are just a lot of reasons to believe in the talent of Malik neighbors.
52:04It all comes down to this. Will he be available in week one, which it certainly seems like he's going to be available in week one.
52:11And if he is available in week one, presuming he is available in week one is what kind of plan do the Giants have for him?
52:19Is this going to be one where keep in mind, and this is not the same age, not nearly the same tier
52:25of player, but just a reminder that we do have examples of, for example, like Stefan Diggs last year came back fast from that ACL tear.
52:32He was onto the PUP list for the Patriots.
52:35He played every game last season. He played 55% of the snaps.
52:38And he was an older, he was not like a 23 year old with like he, they managed him all year.
52:44So Malik neighbors might have to be managed all year.
52:47And if that management results in him playing 80 or 75% of the snaps, as opposed to 95% of the snaps, then
52:53yeah, the upside is going to be tapped a little bit, but he is the clear cut wide receiver one.
52:58There's no competition in New York. Yep. So I believe in Jackson Diggs as a passer.
53:03There are a lot of good things that Malik neighbors brings to the table.
53:07I think that guy, I mean, Jackson Dart, this entire Giants offense, I think is going to define fantasy football, to be honest.
53:13Yes. Cause you and I sent a few names in as well to kind of supplement fields lists.
53:18And so we're going to kind of group them together.
53:21We did with Luther Burden earlier. We both have one for the Giants.
53:25Agreed. The only instance where this came up. So we were talking about Dart.
53:29So I'll start with him. Certainly Jackson Dart is going to have a major influence on how the season goes.
53:34First of all, he's being drafted as a mid to late round QB one by a lot of people.
53:40He is obvious, obviously has massive upside. Last year, he played the bulk of the snaps in only 12 games and was
53:46still fifth among quarterbacks with eight top 10 fantasy weeks, eight out of 12.
53:50And again, some of them were partial games. So the guy was outstanding as a rusher and obviously delivered the goods as a passer just well enough.
53:57The question mark here is how did things change with a new coaching staff?
54:01John Harbaugh's head coach, which I think should be an upgrade.
54:04Matt Nagy's calling the plays. The supporting cast should be better.
54:07Remember, we mentioned this yesterday. He's only thrown three passes in a regular season game to Malik Nabors.
54:12He'll have him hopefully at least a partial go in week one.
54:16Isaiah Likely's there now. Darnell Mooney's supporting cast is a lot better field.
54:19We saw him in person against the Eagles and they, I mean, it looked like a changing of the guard that night.
54:26I mean, they crushed the Eagles in that game and things changed after that.
54:29But we saw darts upside for sure. So I'm very positive.
54:33He's one of my favorite targets in drafts this year.
54:35He will be my QB one in many fantasy leagues.
54:38He was a QB one last year with three passes thrown to Malik Nabors and his legs and Wandel Robinson led him
54:44to be in a QB one across the board.
54:47He just has a better offense to be able to deal with.
54:50One of those things I'm hoping that he's going to have is Cam Scadaboo because he's a guy also that I think
54:56right now with where you're getting him, there is a lot more upside based on his game versus where he's being drafted at right now.
55:03Coming off the board is running back 19 right now in ESPN ADP.
55:07When you look at what he did last year as a rookie in his second game, this is his six games that he was that he played.
55:15He was healthy. Only had six healthy games. 13.9, 24.1, 13, 14.4, 31.0 and 18.4.
55:19So lowest game in that entire stretch was 13 fantasy points as a rookie in this.
55:23What was not a great Giants offense. That's actually really promising to me.
55:27Now, if he can just stay out there on the field coming off the board as a low end RB too, he could absolutely.
55:34If this offense takes the next step with both Jackson Dart and Malik Nabors, he could push for a lot more touchdowns,
55:40way more touchdown equity and upside because of that.
55:42I think he could outperform his current ADP. I dig it.
55:45Let's get to my final two. The number two player that will define the 2026 fantasy football season is Dolphins running back Devon ETN.
55:52Thank you for laughing, Daniel. Stop it. You're going to confuse my brain.
55:56I was going to say, I'm going to get it wrong now because of you.
56:00Devon HN. I know, exactly. That's why I'm mad about him.
56:03This is a polarizing guy. He sure is. Yeah.
56:06I think all of us have him as RB.
56:08I'm sorry. Mike and I have him as RB5.
56:11Daniel is RB7. The downside case is the offense is going to stink.
56:14They're not going to be able to block for him.
56:17And the efficiency that we've seen in prior years is going down the tubes.
56:21That's it. That's the downside. That's all the whole offense and the efficiency is bad.
56:25Yeah. Okay. I think the upside is that like, we're not talking about like a pretty efficient player.
56:30We are talking about as efficient as you will find at the running back spot.
56:34Over the past three seasons, there are 38 running backs that have at least 350 carries.
56:39No running back has averaged more PPR points per touch in that stretch amongst those 38 running backs than Devon HN.
56:45He's tied with Jameer Gibbs. That's incredible. He's a big play waiting to happen.
56:49He's incredibly explosive. He's dynamic. Jeff Halfley has been talking about how the offense will run through him.
56:54I get the reservations. I also just think that because of the passing game upside, he's going to have a higher floor than I think people realize.
57:01Let's talk about that passing game upside with a Russian quarterback in Malik Willis.
57:05That's fair. Yeah. It's a fair point. I think his target share probably drops a little bit, but I would feel, I
57:11would be more concerned about it if this was a normal offense that had like standout wide receivers.
57:16Right. They have no standout receivers right now. They have guys, a lot of guys that have a lot to prove.
57:22You know, to Caleb Douglas and at some point Chris Bell, both third round rookies.
57:27That was their biggest offseason investment. I think I bought a car from those guys this summer.
57:31Yeah. I think so. I mean, they might be running, they might lead that team in routes run at some point this season.
57:38Again, Bell coming off DECL. So we'll see when he gets out there.
57:41He's the guy with the highest ceiling, but otherwise it's Malik Washington and Tutu Atwell.
57:46I mean, those kinds of guys are going to be doing a lot of the damn Jalen Tolbert comes over from Dallas.
57:52All these guys should be depth guys. So I think that it makes perfect sense for the game plan to say, okay,
57:58we're actually designing the past place to Devon. Devon.
58:00See, you're thinking about it. You're thinking about it.
58:03You made me think about it. A chain. Remember when he was a chain?
58:07I do remember that. Now he's ETN. Yeah. It's going to be a design, not just dump offs when Willis would scramble instead of dumping it off.
58:14It's not that kind of thing. It's design play.
58:17So as you can see the projection on the screen, over 250 carries.
58:21He really picked up his game in the rushing category last year.
58:24Volume wise, he was top five in rushing yards.
58:26And of course, still 65 projected catches. I think he will be just fine.
58:30Again, even if the efficiency drops, the volume will be there.
58:33I think they hear you. I think he's, I want more than just fine out of the running back.
58:39I'm drafting as RB five. And I realized I only moved him down to RB seven, but I'm trying to have more,
58:45like I'm trying to put my chest into my rankings more this year.
58:49If I feel a thing about a guy, like I just, I'm nervous.
58:52It feels like peak Alvin Kamara. It's just going to keep, it's going to keep chugging out numbers.
58:57The volume is going to be there. I hope so.
59:00It's dipped at times because of the, they often struggled and he just kept delivering top running back seasons because of how he's utilized.
59:07The hardest part about this is the narrative is just so easy to him being bad.
59:11Right. Where it's just like, it's an, it's a layup of a narrative to talk about why you're out.
59:17If you can be in on Devaney Chan when everyone else is pivoting because they think the narrative is going to happen.
59:23It could absolutely define your fantasy season field. And I think the player that above all else will define the 2026 fantasy
59:29football season is 49ers running back, Christian McCaffrey. We're not talking about a good player.
59:33We're not talking about a player that was a little bit better than Jameer Gibbs and B.
59:38John Robinson, who are both going one and two and basically every draft.
59:42We're talking about a player who was 50 points better than them last year.
59:4550, five, zero, three points per game, basically better than Jameer Gibbs and B.
59:49John Robinson. And yet now there are people that are afraid of him in the first round entirely.
59:54Yes. There's somebody who wouldn't even take him in the first nine running backs.
59:58That being Daniel Dopp. Accurate. I don't know, man.
60:01I think we're looking at, sometimes we tend to not appreciate greatness while we're in the moment.
60:06I just think we're, we are talking about the single, I've said this several times.
60:10Greatest receiving running back the league has ever seen.
60:12And for our purposes, that's the ultimate cheat code.
60:15I'm going to let Mike go first. Yeah. I can't say much more than he did yesterday.
60:20I mean, the guy is just, he's a unicorn.
60:22The reason why I disagree is because you guys weren't saying he's a unicorn last year.
60:27So like the idea that you think he's a unicorn this year, you weren't.
60:31We just weren't. We reduced him from where he was the prior year in the rankings a little bit.
60:36And we're doing that here too. It's just not as much.
60:39Because he's RB3. But we have new information. So I think for me, the difference is this year is not last year.
60:45I was in on him last year. All in.
60:48I hear what you're saying. I feel like I've switched brains with Mike Clay.
60:52I know. It's weird. I am trusting the process.
60:54When you talk about historical context and data, running backs don't repeat like this, including Christian McCaffrey more often than not when
61:00he has had, by the way, three seasons over 400 touches, four seasons over 370 touches.
61:05Yeah. He has never, never been in a situation where I feel like because of an age 30 season and the most
61:11touches of his career, coming off of all of this, that is so many red flags for me.
61:16I was all in on last year. I love Christian McCaffrey.
61:19And I don't disagree with you. He is a unicorn.
61:22The difference is I feel like you guys are saying this because he is the player that he is.
61:27I totally understand it. I'm saying it because I said it last year on Saquon Barkley and it was right.
61:33And if I don't do the same thing this year, then why am I not?
61:37Well, like, why did I trust the process last year and not trust the process this year?
61:42We saw the fundamental difference between Saquon and CMC in that what Saquon needed to get to that elite status was less repeatable.
61:48McCaffrey is coming off piss poor rushing efficiency. Yes.
61:51And just Christian McCaffrey receiving volume. And that's how we got to running back one again.
61:55And also to your point, he was so far ahead of everyone else.
61:59I actually have him projected for over a hundred fewer fantasy points this year.
62:03And that still puts him right in the vicinity of these top running backs.
62:07So, I mean, if he stays healthy, he's going to beat my projection.
62:10He will. Like if he just holds up and I have his target share down a little bit this year, carries down a little bit.
62:17So I am reducing him a little bit. And he still files right in with Robinson and Gibbs.
62:22So near Taylor and all these guys. The reason why this year is different for you, and maybe it's not because you're
62:29not, I don't want to say that's different for you, but like Mike, in the past, I've heard you make arguments.
62:34If you take away the name Christian McCaffrey and you look at the numbers, you would be like, nope, I'm out on
62:41that guy this year based on everything that has told me.
62:44The only reason why you're... I don't think so.
62:46You don't think so? Not because of the volume.
62:49Everything. It's, yes, the yards per carry was problematic and he still overcame that.
62:53In theory, that could be better this year. Okay.
62:55I'm not sure I've heard you talk about a running back that had 450 touches and you still expect them to do
63:01the same thing following year at age 30. I'm projecting him much lower, but again, players don't have this skill set or utilization.
63:08His involvement in the passing game is not the same as other running backs who, and again, these guys have been involved
63:14in the passing game at times, but not like McCaffrey, Cook, Aaron Jones, Mixon, all these guys have names.
63:19They drop off. Once they lose the rushing efficiency and the volume goes down and they're missing games, that's what crushes them
63:25because they can't make up for it with seven catches in it.
63:29I thought he was a unicorn last year when he was coming back from injury and you guys did not because I was in on him coming back.
63:37So the idea that it's a unicorn this year is just part of what makes my brain feel like maybe I'm confused about the situation.
63:44Also, I'm just definitely going to be, I'm not going to have any CMC shares this season.
63:48I will take them away from you then. Yes.
63:51You guys had names you wanted to submit. It's just a bonus name.
63:55Daniel, yours is one player. Mike, you did a conglomerate.
63:57I can be quick on mine. Mine are all the Jags.
64:00I mean, I just think. Every Jag. I mean, I'll keep this tight because we're going to talk about them a lot,
64:07but two and then the receivers, which receivers going to merge Brian Thomas.
64:10I didn't even list Jacoby Myers, but obviously he'll be involved.
64:13But what's Travis Hunter's role? And of course, Parker Washington.
64:16So that group and how volume is distributed is going to be huge this season.
64:20I love AJ Brown this year, and I think he's a wide receiver that could finish as wide receiver one in fantasy.
64:27Never had more than 1,500 receiving yards. Has never topped 11 receiving touchdowns.
64:30And the skill set between Drake May's deep ball and everything that he brings.
64:34Also, he is pumped to be in New England.
64:37He is so excited. He has not been this excited to play football, it feels like, in years because we have talked about sideline AJ Brown looking different.
64:44Last year, my bold prediction was over 1,700 receiving yards.
64:47Unfortunately, on a new team, Mike, I think with Drake May and that deep ball skill set, there's a chance that he's
64:53looking like Jamar Chase did a couple years ago.
64:561,700 yards and 15 touchdowns. We could do a CMC AJ Brown board.
65:00We absolutely could. Yeah, another day. We absolutely could.
65:02He called my home state. He said something to the effect of, like, it may not be heaven, but it's the closest
65:08thing to it, talking about Gillette Stadium. Hey. As a Massachusetts guy, I appreciate it.
65:12Love that. All right. We got a couple of questions here that we're going to take from our chat before we get on out.
65:19This one comes from Matthew. I'm just going to say Matthew.
65:22From Matthew. Lerseth. Thank you. Thoughts on drafting McBride and Bowers at the 1-2 turn, 12 and 13.
65:27Drafting both of them. Interesting. Oh, it's both? Or one of the two?
65:31Yeah, one of the two all day, every day.
65:34It says 12-13. I'm thinking for both. So, like, do you take both top 10 tight ends and try to monopolize the market?
65:40No. I haven't. Tight end premium league, would you consider it?
65:43I mean, for sure. Okay. Yes, I haven't. But I'm totally great with either of them going in the first round.
65:49Yeah, it's tricky, too, because especially if you have one flex, you just locked in who your flex is every week.
65:55It kind of can limit your roster organization each week.
65:58So, no, I think you're going to get more points out of non-tight ends generally at that spot.
66:03So, one of them, sure, I'd consider, but not both.
66:05Not both. Which one would you consider? Which one do you have?
66:09I'd McBride hire. Honestly, I don't want to take them at that turn, though.
66:13I'd rather a hair later. I have Bowers, but it's splitting hairs.
66:16Yeah. Yep. All right. Next question we have from our chat.
66:19Oh, this is from Mama Dopp. ESPN. Having a leg waxed recorded.
66:23That's a punishment, huh, guys? Oh, God. Not a bad punishment suggestion from Mama Dopp.
66:27That's devious. Well done by Mama Dopp. You guys are a little hairier than I am.
66:31I mean, I have been... Yeah, I was going to say.
66:34...this is a weird thing to say. Yeah, I was going to say.
66:38You sure about that? Yeah. Oh, man. Fun show, guys.
66:41Fun show, yeah. Ten players that could define the fantasy season.
66:44We're going to have a lot more on all of these guys as we continue to move through it.
66:49Do it again tomorrow. We're going to come back tomorrow.
66:52That's right. Yeah. At least we will. Mike, you going to show up?
66:56I don't know. We'll see. We'll see if I can talk.
66:59We're doing headlines from the future. Yeah. Got some lozenges here.
67:02I'm going to keep at it. And we'll see if we're ready to go tomorrow.
67:06You got to be ready, you know? Got to be ready.
67:09I'm probable, I'd say. That's okay. I like that.
67:12I like that. Mike's probable. The rest of us, we are going to be good to go.
67:16Thank you so much for hanging out with us, guys.
67:19I dropped it. For Mike and Field, don't forget to love each other and be kind to yourself.
67:24You deserve it. We love you. We'll see you tomorrow.
67:27Yeah. Have I just fumbled that? I do believe it.
67:30You got bad hands. Try again. And I see you in the 0601.
67:33Oh, God.