0:00Hockey on ESPN is blowing up. Hockey is back.
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0:26A solid wide receiver, too. I was predicting a JSN-like year three breakout and womp womp on me, womp womp on the entire Chargers organization.
0:34Hey, I'm Liz Loza. This is Facts vs. Feelings.
0:37And today's fact is that while misery does love company, company often eases misery.
0:42Hey, Daniel Dopp. I love to see your face, but I'm so bummed that we're not in the same room right now.
0:49Yeah, me too. I love seeing your face as well, Liz Loza.
0:53But soon, I will see you. You'll be back here.
0:56We'll be doing more shows together, so I'm not worried about that.
1:00Yes, very soon. But I miss you right now.
1:03I miss you right now, too. But also, right now, I'm in the business of misery, so let's take it from the top, Liz Loza.
1:12Trevor Lawrence did me dirty this last week. As a fantasy manager who rosters him and started him, there was one specific
1:19play that really sticks in my craw right now, if you know what I'm saying.
1:24Yeah, that kneel down at the one yard line with eight minutes left in the game.
1:29By the way, I don't know if this will make you feel any better, but had he actually plunged over the goal
1:37line and scored that touchdown, then his fantasy points per game average would be 19.3, which is very close to the career-high
1:4419.9 fantasy points per game that he managed in 2025.
1:47Did that work? Was that a balm for your soul at all?
1:51Uh, no. What could have and should have been did not make me feel better, Liz.
1:56No. But what about here in Week 4? I mean, are we thinking that something could have or should have been better here in Week 4 for him?
2:06Well, you know, we have to find silver linings, right?
2:09And obviously, the quarterback position has been decimated. Trevor Lawrence, while not necessarily the prince that was promised, can be a solid
2:16stream in Week 4, facing a vulnerable Bengals defense.
2:19He has averaged over 17 fantasy points per game.
2:22He's thrown seven touchdowns in three games. He's managing a career-high completion percentage of 67%.
2:27And I like this part even more, a career-low off-target rate of just 9%.
2:32Mentioned the Bengals defense. Yeah, they've gotten a little bit better, but they are also averaging 287 passing yards per game gifted to opposing quarterbacks.
2:40I have Lawrence ranked inside my top 10 fantasy players in the position for Week 4.
2:46I am with you on that this week and hoping that things continue in that direction with these pass catchers.
2:52A pass catcher I'm not really excited about the direction they're going, Ladd McConkie.
2:57Pretty sure that's his middle name. My buddy Mike calls him Bad McDonkey.
3:01He's not been good so far to start the season.
3:05The entire Chargers offense hasn't been good. But he was one of the guys that we were definitely counting on to be
3:12a steady wide receiver too, at least, in our offense as a fantasy manager.
3:16Now, who draws the Seattle Seahawks this week, Liz?
3:19What are we doing here? I mean, a solid wide receiver too.
3:23I was predicting a JSN-like year three breakout and womp-womp on me.
3:27Womp-womp on the entire Chargers organization. Ladd-freaking-McConkie, to quote you, has a total of 15 targets this season.
3:33And he's the wide receiver 45 in looks drawn.
3:36Now, I know there was a rib injury in there as well.
3:40But the fact of the matter is, like, what makes him so frustrating is that when you look at the strong-armed Justin
3:48Herbert and the sure-handed Ladd-McConkie and the opportunities in which they've been able to connect, there has been flashes of what could be, right?
3:56Like, right now, Ladd-McConkie is managing an ADOT of 13 and a catch rate of 80%.
4:01Those two things in tandem, however, are not sustainable because over the past 10 seasons, no wide receiver with a catch rate
4:08of 75% or more has managed an ADOT of 13.6 or more.
4:12So until this offense settles into Mike McDaniel's scheme or until Mike McDaniel better schemes Ladd for these intermediate routes and grabs
4:20for which he has been known for, that he's so good at until the intermediate passing game starts to click.
4:26And we see McConkie being used, honestly, more regularly or, like, as more of a floor play instead of this constant YOLO s**t.
4:34Then, excuse me. Then I think we can, like, have some consistency.
4:38But I don't know when that's going to happen.
4:41I don't think you can drop him, though, because the talent is there.
4:45The potential is there. And that's evident. I do think, however, and given this matchup at Seattle, it's easy to bench him.
4:52I have him ranked as my wide receiver 30.
4:55So I'm not even really that interested in flexing him unless I have to.
5:00I am with you. And I don't mind if I have to flex him because I drafted him to be that wide receiver.
5:08If I don't have someone on my bench, he's probably going to be the best or most skilled guy that could deliver me fantasy points.
5:16However, like you just said, if I've got someone that's gone off, then I do not mind benching him and throwing someone else in there.
5:24You said he's got 15 targets so far this season.
5:28Is that what you said, Liz? Yeah. Mm-hmm. Yeah.
5:31Over three games. Let's talk about Michael Wilson, who I believe had 17 targets last week alone, Liz Loza.
5:37Like, this is the kind of guy that I would be benching Ladd McConkie for.
5:42Yeah. You know, the Maserati morphed into a minivan and Michael Wilson moved into the driver's seat.
5:47The volume has been insane. Targets last week were three more than any player has had in a single game this season.
5:55Also, maybe we should have been less stubborn about this actually happening because Wilson has averaged 10.8 targets per game and over
6:0219 fantasy points as a result per game since week 11.
6:06Over that span of time, though, Marvin Harrison Jr.
6:09has managed just 20 targets. Just 20. So the promotion is real.
6:13I don't need to see anything more. Wilson, to me, is a top 25 play, particularly against a banged-up Giants secondary.
6:20Yeah, I am with you 100% on that. They paid this guy a bunch of money for a reason.
6:26And now it feels like he is going to be the wide receiver one as they have moved on essentially from Marvin Harrison Jr.
6:34But hey, before you guys move on, please do us a favor.
6:38Don't forget to like and subscribe to this video.
6:41It helps us a ton. It helps other people be able to find it.
6:46It means a lot to us. And make sure that you call us and leave us a voicemail.
6:51The voicemail line is open. 323-391-4855. Leave us your Instagram handle when you do so we can give you a shout out
6:59to let you know you made the show. What?
7:02Bro, what are you talking about, man? Liz Loza, nobody is more perennially confused at this network than I am.
7:08So we decided to lean into it. And we made a segment called Make It Make Sense.
7:14Because we're three weeks into the football season. And this last week in week three, Case Keenum was a top five fantasy quarterback.
7:22I don't understand what's happening in this game that we play, Liz.
7:26I got a bunch of things that I got questions about.
7:29I'm hoping you brought a bunch of things to the table.
7:33Maybe we can just do a little therapy session back and forth with each other.
7:38How does that sound? Well, I love the way you position this because sometimes surprises are happy.
7:44And I do think Jared Goff has been one of those.
7:47I did not anticipate over the summer where we were talking on and on about how deep the quarterback position was.
7:54Though we did often suggest people draft too. That Jared Goff would be the QB7 in fantasy points per game, averaging nearly 22.
8:02And now Jared Goff, given the injuries to the position and the fact that Drake May and Justin Herbert have both flat
8:09out stunk, is in a streaming position. You should like this as a Lions fan because Jared Goff is the only quarterback
8:16over the past three seasons to open the year with three straight games of 25 completions and two or more passing touchdowns.
8:24He also has more touchdowns, seven, than in completions, five, in the red zone this season.
8:29And he has a plum matchup against the Panthers who gave up two touchdowns to Deshaun Watson.
8:35Make that make sense. So I think that you can consider Jared Goff a low-end QB1 for fantasy purposes this week in the QB10 to QB12 range.
8:44I am with you on that, Liz. The only quarterback over the last three seasons to have at least 4,500 passing yards
8:51and 30 passing touchdowns in each of those three seasons.
8:54Liz, I did think that there was going to be a little bit of regression, and I think you did too, around
9:02Jalen Hurts this year with the rushing specifically. And that regression was going to impact us in fantasy.
9:08He wasn't a high-end, a top-tier QB1. He was the very end of that Tier 1 quarterback conversation.
9:14I'm not even sure he belongs in the Tier 1 conversation anymore because even though his rushing has regressed, I kind of
9:21thought it was going to go to Saquon Barkley.
9:24And then it didn't really. It hasn't gone to Saquon the way that I thought it was.
9:29It really hasn't gone anywhere. He has not topped nine fantasy points in either of his healthy games so far this year.
9:37He did leave game two with the Stinger, right?
9:40So he has only played two full games. But he has not topped 15 carries in either of those two games.
9:47And he has only had one catch in both of those two healthy games as well.
9:52That is the surprising part. Wow. And with A.J.
9:55Brown off the squad, you would think that Barkley's dual threat skill set would be more utilized.
10:01But also the Eagles are not closing games, right?
10:04They lost in week three against the Bears. It was tight against the Titans.
10:08It was tight against the Commanders. This is not a team that is definitive.
10:13And I think, therefore, game script, how are we saying this?
10:17Game script is not going Saquon Barkley's way. You would think a player with the sort of receiving ability that he has would not be game script dependent.
10:26But he is because right now, I mean, I think you're saying he's touchdown dependent, which makes him not too different, frankly, than David Montgomery.
10:34No, I mean, that's basically what he has become.
10:37He has zero touchdowns this year and he has three catches.
10:41That is very David Montgomery-esque. The problem is this week, Liz, they play the Rams.
10:46You want to know how many touchdowns the Rams have allowed to running back so far this year?
10:52I know the answer and it's zero. Zero. It's zero.
10:55And so if we need touchdowns from Saquon, it feels like maybe this isn't the week to get it.
11:01I don't know how you bench him, but he's at best like a mid to low end RB2.
11:07He's not the guy that we thought he was.
11:10No, I totally agree. That is disappointing. Where do you have him ranked?
11:15I've got him, I believe, as running back 16 this week.
11:18And that's probably generous because he's Saquon Barkley, right?
11:21It's because his name is Saquon Barkley. If he wasn't Saquon Barkley and I looked at the box scores, there's no way he would be in that conversation.
11:31Agreed. Agreed. Yeah. What about you? What's the next one you got for me?
11:35Well, you know, I like to do a little whispering to the tight ends.
11:40And though I promised myself on Sunday night that I was not going to do this when I dug into Darren Waller's
11:47numbers, I have to put him on the streaming radar.
11:50I can't believe like what alternate universe am I in?
11:54I didn't even think Stranger Things was still a show.
11:57It's so tilting that Daniel Dopp has just left the premises.
12:01But I will continue on. Darren Waller, his eight targets last week led the team.
12:06Now, obviously, Jalen Coker wasn't available, but Coker's still dealing with a quad issue.
12:10So there's no reason to think that Waller won't see volume again in week four.
12:15Also, his snap share has increased every single week.
12:1834 percent, 43 percent, 49 percent. He already has multiple end zone targets this season.
12:23In fact, the only tight ends with more are Jawan Johnson, Trey McBride and Sam Laporta.
12:29He faces the Lions this week. Daniel definitely doesn't want to come back to hear this part.
12:34Detroit's defense has allowed five different tight ends to hit 13 fantasy points or more.
12:39They've also given up a touchdown to six different tight ends.
12:43So Darren Waller is firmly and so shockingly on the streaming radar.
12:47Thank you for that, Liz. Because next time, if you would give me a trigger warning, I would really appreciate it.
12:54I didn't need to be here for this. I just let you do it.
12:59And I got to just walk away and it would have been fine.
13:03I think that this year's Detroit Lions are the 2025 Cincinnati Bengals.
13:07The way that they were a tight end funnel last season, it kind of feels like through the first three games, at least.
13:14That is what it has looked like for the Detroit Lions with neither of their safeties back.
13:20Brian Branch and Kirby Joseph being bad. Like it's I'm not sure it gets better anytime soon, Liz.
13:26So until things change, I'm starting every tight end against the Lions, which means Darren Waller is one of them.
13:33Oh, I'm so mad about it. Can I ask you about another tight end, though?
13:38Because I feel like I am a little bit.
13:41I think I might have gotten Isaiah Likely again.
13:44And I told myself I wasn't going to get Isaiah Likely again.
13:48And then I did it. I let myself buy into the hype that was Isaiah Likely.
13:53John Harbaugh bringing him over from the Ravens. I loved that.
13:57Going to be a real option for Jackson Dart.
14:00I loved that. Didn't have to hide behind Mark Andrews anymore.
14:03I loved that. And then he has week one.
14:0626 some fantasy points. All the things that we love.
14:10Oh, it's like we did this. We called this, obviously.
14:13And then week two. 8.3 fantasy points. And then week three.
14:173.3 fantasy points. And I'm like, I've read this story before.
14:20Yeah, Liz, here's the thing. The points are going the wrong direction, but the snap share is going the right direction.
14:27Only 49% of the snaps in week one. 69% of the snaps in week two.
14:32That's nice. 84% of the snaps in week three.
14:35Is this just his quarterbacks are bad right now?
14:38Or is this more about Isaiah Likely? Isaiah Likely-ing us again for like the third straight year in fantasy?
14:44No, I think this is an offense with a coordinator that is not good outside of less predictable situations.
14:51Matt Nagy. Okay. You know, when he's in Kansas City with Andy Reid, he does quite well.
14:56Take him out of that situation. Chicago. And he flails.
15:00And now the Giants have been faced with a definitely unforeseen challenge.
15:04The offense has to completely change. The tricky thing and the most frustrating thing, I think, is that you would imagine the
15:11tight end position would kind of be the least affected because we know they frequently work as what?
15:17But a safety valve over the middle. But that's not been the case.
15:21I don't think that you can drop Likely. I still have him ranked inside my top 10 this week versus Arizona.
15:28I like him more, for instance, than like Hunter Henry or something.
15:32So I think you have to just plan for the floor, which is going to be about eight points.
15:38And then if you get lucky and things start to change, congratulations.
15:42Yeah, I feel like I'm wish casting Isaiah likely to be a tight end one because there's so much scar tissue from
15:50previous seasons where I've seen the same narrative work out.
15:53They're like, okay, I'm going to start him as a tight end one for one more week.
15:59But I reserve the right to change my mind next week if things don't look better for me, Liz Loza.
16:05Well, that is why this game is a compilation of facts and feelings, both equally important.
16:11This is a safe place. It's a place where we can feel free sharing our feelings.
16:16Well, Daniel, if we are looking at the heavens and screaming, make it make sense.
16:21We have to feel as though other people are doing the same.
16:25So let's get straight into fantasy therapy. What are the submissions so far this week?
16:30Yeah, we're going to dive into your DMs. First one is at Allah Sin.
16:35Can I stream Kirk Cousins against the Chiefs at quarterback this week?
16:39I also roster Justin Herbert list. That's where we have gotten.
16:42We're in week four. Would you play Cousins? So I understand that Cousins has been uncharacteristically good.
16:48Just scoring touchdown after touchdown week after week. But I don't like this matchup against Kansas City.
16:53The Chiefs defense has allowed just two passing scores so far this season.
16:58They've also allowed the third fewest passing yards. What is up must eventually come down.
17:03And I do think that will be Cousins this week.
17:06I understand wanting to sit Herbert. We've talked about quarterback throughout this show, especially at Seattle.
17:11If you could stream, I would recommend Kyler Murray.
17:14He is rostered in about 60% of leagues. If you need someone who's more available, might I recommend Marcus Mariota?
17:21He is available in, I believe, 80% of leagues currently.
17:24Yeah, I am with you on that one, Liz.
17:27I would rather play Mariota than either Kirk Cousins or Justin Herbert this week if they were on the roster.
17:34Excuse me, on the waiver wire. All right, our buddy J-Man from the Rolling Hills trying to get his team out of the gutter here with a voicemail.
17:43Hey, this is Jason. I'm calling from the beautiful Black Hills of South Dakota.
17:48I'm calling more for a pep talk than anything.
17:51I'm in a super flex league. Among my team members are Justin Herbert, Drake May, Drake London, and Colston Loveland, and Quinshon Judkins.
17:59Needless to say, I am getting absolutely destroyed. So I just need you to tell me that everything's going to be okay
18:06and that these guys who are all supposed to be pretty good are going to pick it up.
18:12Thanks. Appreciate it. And I do not have an Instagram handle.
18:15That's probably for the best. Um, I, I think Jason, what I would do first is probably walk outside, take in the
18:23view of those gorgeous Black Hills, maybe put on a little bit of Marley.
18:27Every little thing, man, is going to be okay because even though you're in a super flex league and probably need both
18:35of those quarterbacks who are absolutely tanking, there are streamable options available.
18:39We talked about them throughout the show. I think you got to dig in and do a little bit of work there
18:46and also find some silver linings, right? Like Drake London had a quarterback change and bounced back a little bit.
18:53Quinn Sean Judkins, we knew was a volume play.
18:56He's currently the RB 17 in rush attempts. Colston Loveland, I get the frustration.
19:00I get the frustration. And also Ben Johnson clearly making a concerted effort to get him the ball.
19:06He ranks second on the team in routes run.
19:09He has the most end zone targets on the squad.
19:13So it will happen. This is an offense in flux, but that was able to stand up to the challenge and appear
19:20not just, you know, stable, but victorious, just like your squad, man.
19:24I want you to think of yourselves as the week three Chicago Bears on primetime using a dusty quarterback that you didn't
19:31even think was going to be in the rotation and bounce back.
19:35How about that for a pep talk? That's really good, Liz.
19:39I really appreciate your positivity. Um, Jason, it's probably not going to be all right.
19:44Your team's probably sunk. Oh, Jesus. But I love what Liz just brought to the table.
19:49Let's just be real. I mean, come on. Don't give up on fantasy football though, bro.
19:54You keep, you keep grinding while you can. We got another question.
19:58Collins J 1967. Okay. I've got Khalil Shakir and Romeo Dobbs at the flex.
20:03Would you start either of those or Brenton Strange and Kyle Menungai?
20:07Either one of those as well. Oh, so you're going to get like eight fantasy points here, right?
20:13Like if you start Shakir or Dobbs, I would have to start Shakir because I want the option that is attached to
20:20the better quarterback and the healthier offense. But I also wouldn't do it if I didn't have to, because while Strange has
20:28theoretically a good matchup against the Bengals, Kaya Menungai has a better one and more upside against the Jets.
20:34Now I know his efficiency has waned over the past three weeks.
20:38We don't love that. But Menungai could get you eight fantasy points like these other guys, or he could get you 18 particularly.
20:45And again, in a matchup against the Jets that have allowed four touchdowns to the running back position, two on the ground and two through the air.
20:54That would be the upside play and the one I would take among these four.
20:59Yeah. Jameer just got in the end zone three times against that Jets defense.
21:04So I'm with you on that list. Have you ever been to South by Southwest?
21:09Oh, no, but I would love to go. I went to Austin for the Grand Prix almost a year ago now in October of 2025.
21:17And I had the time of my life. I fell in love with Austin.
21:22It was my first time there. Why is this caller from Austin?
21:26This caller is from Austin, Texas. That's why. Oh, let's hear from him.
21:30Okay. First and foremost, I love you guys. Oh.
21:33You guys, I listen to you probably more than daily.
21:37I'm probably on repeat twice. Wow. Let's just be honest.
21:40My name is Joey. I'm from Austin, Texas. Love this guy.
21:44My IG handle is underscore Joe underscore high underscore roller underscore.
21:47Four underscores. Four underscores. Jody High Roller. Okay. Riff Raff, if anyone gets that reference.
21:52Anyway, to the football. How am I feeling about Zay Flowers?
21:56Zay Flowers. I feel good about him. Is. Oh my God.
21:59Like we saw what he did in week one, right?
22:03Yeah. We saw what he did. Yeah. Do I sell high on Zay Flowers?
22:07Am I losing my mind? Is he going to get hurt again?
22:11That's a different question, Liz. I can't answer that.
22:14But should you sell high on Zay Flowers? I mean, for what are you going to sell high?
22:20He's already a wide receiver one for fantasy purposes.
22:23He managed five catches and cleared 80 receiving yards on weird turf conditions and on a limited snap count in week three.
22:31And now Jesse Minter has said he's going to be a full go in week four.
22:36He is the team's undisputed number one. He's been electric.
22:39Like I don't, I want the best players on my team.
22:43And he hasn't mentioned a different position of need that he would want to upgrade with a potential trade.
22:49So I think as much as I adore you, Joey, and as much as I would love to see Austin through your
22:57eyes, I would sit in a little space of gratitude here.
23:00Yeah. I also love you too, Joey, baby. But listen, if I've got Zay Flowers on my squad, I'm just going to be in on it.
23:09All right. That is a very condensed fantasy offense.
23:12You're talking about Zay Flowers and Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson.
23:15It's not like there's a lot of other pass catchers there actually like that.
23:20If I have a wide receiver, that is the majority of the, going to be the guy majority of the time I want that dude.
23:28So I'm in on keeping Zay Flowers like Liz, but I do want to make a field trip out to Austin someday.
23:36Liz, maybe we can go make that happen. Oh, that'd be fun.
23:40Yeah. All right. I got one last question here.
23:43This one last one comes from our producer, Ryan.
23:46Oh, that's right. Our producer, Ryan lost to me this week in fantasy football because the Denver Broncos had a pick six at the end of the game.
23:55Do you remember that pick six that meant basically nothing, but it meant something to me and it definitely meant something to Ryan.
24:03Unfortunately, Liz. Yeah. The best part about this is that Ryan very intelligently played the Minnesota Vikings defense.
24:09And I think this is the only matchup that Brian Flores lost.
24:13Yeah. Yeah. He was really good this week, except for in Ryan's lineup.
24:17Sorry about that big guy. Better days ahead. Hey, who says defenses don't win fantasy games?
24:22Yes. Well, in case you guys missed it, we had a pretty exciting, unique segment last week.
24:28So, Luke, this is Jess. Jess, this is Luke.
24:31It's nice to meet you. It's nice to meet you, Jess.
24:34I don't think either one of you should leave.
24:37In fact, I think you should both meet up with your mutual friend groups this coming Sunday at that Silver Lake bar
24:45that is a Lions bar that I will not drop the name of for your own, you know, private reasons.
24:51Mm-hmm. What do you guys think? Yeah. I'm down.
24:54Yeah. Yeah! So, Jess and Luke did meet up.
24:57I actually went to the Lions bar to be with them.
25:01And we had a great time. We watched your Lions win.
25:05We watched Jameer Gibbs absolutely crushed. And everybody, you know what was one of the coolest parts?
25:10Everybody had their phones out checking their fantasy scores.
25:13So, there was definite second screen experience happening. A lot of people stopped me and wanted lineup advice.
25:19A lot of people upset about Justin Herbert and Quinchon Judkins.
25:23I got numerous questions, but the bar was very inviting.
25:26They sat next to each other in a booth.
25:29Oh, that's cute. And the conversation was sparkling. They asked about you.
25:33Luke was very complimentary of you. You are beloved amongst a Lions fan.
25:37So, you were there with me in spirit for sure.
25:41I love that. I wish I could have been there.
25:44I got to ask you, how much Lions knowledge did Luke have?
25:48Because he came across like a fan that actually knew quite a bit about football.
25:53I mean, what was interesting was he did tell my friend, who's a professional hairdresser in Los Angeles, a city that does
26:00hair regularly, that he got a new haircut but didn't want to not wear his lucky Lions hat, so purposely covered it.
26:08What I appreciated most was that these were two, before this moment, strangers who were open to possibility, who, you know, were
26:15just like stunned at what the universe presented them and went for it.
26:19And like, maybe this is a rom-com in the making or maybe this is nothing more than an awesome story.
26:26But kudos to people, like staying open and just, you know, not just being factual all the time, but giving some of those feelings some real credence.
26:35Goal! Lost! Cool! Today we learned that while Trevor Lawrence may not be the prince that was promised, at least Justin Herbert
26:42investors can find refuge in the pleasant surprise that is Jared Goff.
26:46And that often commiseration can provide catharsis. Be sure to check out my Week 4 edition of Facts vs.
26:52Feelings, The Column, which is currently live on the .com.
26:56And leave us a voicemail. We want all of your cash outs, crash outs, and Week 4 lineup questions.
27:02The number to call is 323-391-4855. Until next time, may your facts be solid, your feelings be right, and your busts be someone else's problem.
27:10Daniel Dopp, I'm in LA, you're in Bristol, and I miss you!
27:14I miss you too, Liz, but listen. Hmm. Just moved over that real quick.
27:19I miss you too, but anyway.