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0:20Hello everybody. Welcome into the tailgate. I'm Ryan Warmly joined on this Monday morning by Andrew Erickson and by Derek Brown.
0:27We are reacting to everything we saw in week five.
0:30A very fun week of football. A very long day of football.
0:33Starting off with the London game and a very exciting finish there.
0:37Finishing off with a very exciting finish in the Sunday night football game.
0:41Overtime for the third time in five weeks, I believe they were saying on the broadcast and remembering correctly, it's been a
0:47lot of primetime overtimes so far this season. So a very long day of football.
0:52Very exciting day of football. You know, D-Bro, there was a lot of big touchdowns early on in the early window slate.
0:59Just like a lot of action. There were injuries as there always were, but not as many as we've had the last couple of weeks.
1:06Not these huge big name injuries at the same level as the last couple of weeks.
1:11So just overall like a pretty positive fun day of football, I think.
1:15Pretty positive fun day of football. Unless you happen to be a Washington Commanders fan.
1:20I'd say you were, you were having a good Sunday outside of the Washington Commanders.
1:24Can we quickly talk about that boys? What the heck?
1:27Well, we are going to get to it later in the show.
1:31We can quickly say WTF and you know what is going on here.
1:35It was remarkable. We will, we'll dive into it in a little more detail later in the show.
1:40But yeah, I mean, I think we're off the bat.
1:43That was like the biggest thing that people were talking about.
1:46I mean, it was blowing my mind D-Bro, how often red zone kept cutting back to that game after it was over and replaying that highlight.
1:54I was like, you're just like twisting the knife for Commanders fans.
1:58Well, I mean, deservedly so. I mean, honestly, just twisting the knife on Dan Quinn.
2:02But we'll, we'll get to it later. We'll get to it later.
2:06Yeah. Very hilarious finish there. Erickson, how are you feeling after week five?
2:10Feeling good. Feeling more rested than I was. Very busy weekend for me.
2:14A lot of driving, weddings all over the place.
2:17But it was nice to come home on Sunday, sit on the couch and just watch football.
2:22And really, that's, that's really the only thing I wanted to be doing.
2:26So I had a lot of fun watching the games.
2:29My Patriots coming out, laying the hammer on the Las Vegas Raiders.
2:32Another five touchdowns for Drake May, who's now been QB one and back to back weeks after being nowhere near that to
2:39start the first three weeks of the season. So maybe Drake May is not all the way back, but when he plays
2:46bad defenses or less than defenses, he plays pretty well.
2:49Yeah. Yeah. Um, I always forget Erickson at the top of the show in our news and notes sections to pitch it
2:55to you for our, uh, update on the tailgate fantasy league we have.
2:59So I'm going to do that now before I forget.
3:02Cause I always forget. Uh, how are we looking here in week five in the tailgate league?
3:08In week five, we made some mistakes. Uh, me made some mistakes.
3:11We, we, yeah. In terms of setting our lineup on time.
3:14Who is this? I forgot to submit Dallas Goddard in for Jake Ferguson.
3:18So we lost some points there. I also forgot to take Patrick Mahomes out of the starting QB one slot.
3:24Who's on a bye week, but I at least had the forward thinking to quickly pivot, pick up Tyler Huntley, end up
3:31having a pretty solid fantasy out and he got that rushing touchdown at the end, which really kind of saved his bacon.
3:38So we're actually up by four points heading into Monday Night Football.
3:41Our opponent has DJ Moore and Devonta Adams, but we got Puka Nakua.
3:45So there's a chance. So we'll see if we're just trying to avoid that punishment that we still haven't agreed to exactly
3:52what it will be, but we will do something.
3:55The three of us, if we, uh, if we fail to make the playoffs in this league against our beloved listeners, uh,
4:01let's get into the actual news and notes here.
4:04We normally really just treat this as an injury roundup.
4:07We are going to do that. But first I, we need to talk about the trade that went down this weekend.
4:13First of all, just ridiculous reporting on Sunday. Come on.
4:16Excuse me. Saturday morning. Max milking of headlines and clicks and everything.
4:20Just we're not going to tell anybody where he's going, but he's going to be a trade.
4:25It could possibly happen. All you know is it could be to one of 31 NFL teams.
4:30I was live on our Saturday morning YouTube stream with Tom Strachan previewing the week and answering start sick questions.
4:36Like four minutes into that stream is when this trade broke.
4:40You know, the news broke. Cause I put in air quotes cause it kind of hard.
4:45It wasn't news. Really? Um, yeah. And so we spent the entire stream being like, are there updates?
4:50What's going on? And we kept getting people who would join the stream late and be like, why aren't you guys talking about Marvin Harrison jr?
4:58And it's like, A, we already did B. What are we supposed to talk about?
5:02We don't know where he's going yet. And then of course it started coming out like, well, the Texans are really strong contender wink, wink.
5:10Okay. So he's like going to the Texans. It's fine.
5:13At any rate, what we have here now is that Marvin Harrison Jr has been traded to the Texans.
5:19The main part of the compensation is for a 2027 second round pick.
5:23There's other smaller picks in there, but that's the main part.
5:26I couldn't believe he got that much. I've said on other shows on the dynasty show Fitz was like, well, Hey, do
5:33you really, if you really believe in Marvin Harrison Jr that much, would you want the Ravens to trade from him?
5:39And I go, yeah, like a fourth round pick.
5:42I would, I would take that swing a second.
5:44No way. Did I want my team to make that trade?
5:48I was shocked that I'm not surprised that they were holding out to try and get it.
5:53I'm shocked that they actually got that. Um, the Texans are one in four, obviously coming off of a win.
5:59They certainly need the help at pass catcher with, you know, Higgins is injury and just, you know, the injury risk with
6:06Nico Collins, but I don't know how much help they're getting from a guy that has really underperformed relative to his draft capital.
6:13And how you just give up a sack or a pick in a stacked draft and you don't have a very good record right now.
6:20So D bro, I was really shocked by the compensation here.
6:23I was shocked by the compensation too. There's so much that we could chew on with this trade.
6:29Uh, one, I, I called it after the, I mean, dude, for that type of insider reporting, I could be an NFL insider.
6:36This guy is getting traded and he's going to go to one of 31 other teams.
6:41Stay tuned for details. Like it's so stupid, but outside of that, I, I kind of call this whenever I was like,
6:47okay, so he's going to go to Houston. And then they were like dragging their feed.
6:52And I was like, so Houston's basically saying if we win this week and there's some mathematical possibility of making the playoffs,
6:59we could talk ourselves into, then we'll make the trade.
7:02If we're Owen five and we lose to the freaking Titans, then no, we're not giving up a future second.
7:08So that's the way that I like, I contextualize all of it.
7:12But as far as the second, that's absolute and total insanity.
7:15Like I, and, and I think that Marvin Harrison Jr is not nearly as bad as anything that he has put on film this year.
7:22I think everything he has put on film this year has been, he is not part of the offense.
7:28He has never been part of the offense. He's not a first second or even a third read.
7:34He has been the lone ISO guy or the guy in the concept of every passing play that they have of drawing defense deep, taking away coverage.
7:42And he's never the first or second or third read.
7:45So basically Marvin Harrison jr has been given a route tree by the Arizona Cardinals for this season of you ain't got to run it all the way.
7:53You don't have to get open because we're not throwing you the ball anyway.
7:58So I don't all of that. And people got their clips and takes and all that kind of stuff that that's all BS.
8:04As far as the talent of Marvin Harrison jr.
8:07I think he has been absolutely miscast misused and just thrown into whether it's injuries or just a horrible role because we
8:14talked about this for multiple seasons into being a player that he is not.
8:18He deserves and he needs the Drake London diet.
8:21He should be playing 50 50 or 60 40 perimeter and slot.
8:24You should be using them on a ton of end breakers.
8:28He should be your chain moving guy. Now to say all of that with this trade, do I have any possible possible
8:34faith that Nick Caley will deploy Marvin Harrison jr.
8:37And the way that he should be deployed. Hell no.
8:40Hell no. No way. No shape, form or fashion.
8:43But do I have hope for the 2027 version of Marvin Harrison jr.
8:47That where maybe Nick Caley gets fired and good Lord CJ Stroud will have Jaden Higgins, Marvin Harrison jr.
8:53And Nico Collins to throw to. Okay. I'm a little bit excited.
8:56Well, you mentioned Stroud there at the end. D bro, obviously getting paired up with his college receiver.
9:02Now, you know, Marvin Harrison jr. And shout out overlapped at Ohio state.
9:06Uh, where Marvin Harrison jr. Was played the best football of his life, you know, in terms of his production and looked
9:12like this elite, you know, maybe not generational, but an elite level wide receiver prospect coming out of the draft when he went fourth overall.
9:20So Erickson, do you have any interest in Harrison in fantasy leagues?
9:23Just given the connection with CJ Stroud. I mean, we often see in season receiver trades often don't pan out all that well.
9:30You think about like the Amari Coopers of the world.
9:33Like, even if you say, Oh, talent seems like a fit schematically.
9:37It's just hard to do that in season, but they do have the added bonus of this history together as a QB and wide receiver pairing.
9:45Yeah. And I think that's really the one way to spin this.
9:49The most positive way for Marvin Harrison jr. Is now he has a quarterback that I think has the most buy-in with
9:55him because from day one, it was never there with Kyler Murray.
9:59Kyler Murray at the first game with Marvin Harrison, you said, it's not my job to get him the ball.
10:05That's the first thing. And then Jacoby Brissett obviously had a much better built in rapport with training pride and Michael Wilson, whereas Marvin Harrison Jr.
10:13has not had that at the NFL level. He has not had the complete buying and trust from his quarterback until now with CJ Stroud.
10:20And I'm assuming that CJ Stroud co-signed on this type of deal where we got to get more weapons.
10:26The defense is going to be fine. We don't need more draft compensation for weapon for defensive guys.
10:31We need offensive pieces here because they traded for Kayshawn Booty.
10:35He's been underwhelming in the Texans offense. Is that because of him or because of the offensive Nick Caley remains to be seen.
10:42I know what D Rose answer is. One thing I will point out though, is I don't understand why this team just doesn't use Jalen.
10:49No more. Dude, they had another game. They had another monster game.
10:53And I'm like, dude, like I could totally see him having like a Parker Washington type of career arc where it's like, it's just so underrated.
11:01And he's so talented and they just don't ever use him as much as they should.
11:06And now them adding another piece just said just to me.
11:09Yeah, this means if this means less routes for Jalen Noel, then it's bad in my opinion.
11:14So, well, I want to, I wish he was traded to the Arizona Cardinals.
11:18I almost threw that out there. And I was like, dude, I wish he was traded to Arizona because Houston doesn't deserve him.
11:25They don't. They don't. I want to loop in, get us going on the injury roundup section because one of the injuries was David Montgomery.
11:33So do you guys think with this trick? Because now, I mean, still no Jaden Higgins obviously this year, but now it's
11:40Nico Collins, Jalen Noel and Marvin Harrison Jr. And the running game takes a hit like what he marks.
11:45Okay, but he wasn't that good last year. So do you think that this is just going to become a very pass heavy offense, D bro?
11:53I mean, it has been a pass heavy offense.
11:56But even more so without David Montgomery and then adding Harris.
11:59I mean, sure, because they can't run the ball.
12:02Like people don't like people like lay this at the field.
12:05They're going to be defeated David Montgomery. Dude, this is their offensive line.
12:09Their offensive line cannot open up holes. And don't show me Woody Marks getting 60 rushing yards as hope.
12:15Like, come on, dude. Like it's against the Titans, first of all.
12:19And second of all, both of these running backs have had no room to run.
12:23And again, going back to the Nick Caley of it all.
12:26You put David Montgomery, you trade for David Montgomery.
12:29And you categorically don't understand the type of runner that you have.
12:33You put him in a committee situation for a volume back.
12:36They get in the game flow and you, you nerve him into being a committee back.
12:41Woody Marks, because that's going to solve anything. It doesn't.
12:44And yes, could they lean even more pass heavy?
12:47Yeah, but sure. They absolutely could work because they can't run the ball.
12:51Is this good news for CJ Stroud Erickson in terms of, I mean, I think Stroud's looked pretty good this season.
12:57And like, he's looked good enough that if you told me he looked to this good, just went with no other information before the year.
13:04I would have assumed the Texans were like five and no, because I would have thought the defense was going to be
13:11so good that if he was this good, that they'd be a juggernaut.
13:15But is this good news for him? Like in terms of fantasy managers, right?
13:19Like just going to pass so much and have more of these weapons.
13:23Is this good news for the offense in general to say like, hey, David Montgomery, which by the way, groin injury said he might miss some time.
13:31We'll still kind of see what the actual timeline looks like later today, where it sort of forces their hands to not run the ball so much.
13:40Is this better for the Texans just in terms of as an NFL team?
13:44I think so. I don't think you get worse by acquiring Marvin Harrison Jr.
13:48The less routes that Xavier Hutchinson runs on your offense, the better.
13:52So as long as Marvin Harrison Jr. is replacing him and his role in this offense, they keep Noel on the field.
13:58They have a healthy Nico Collins who can create yards after the catch.
14:02And to Debrow's point, right, just put Harrison Jr.
14:05In a position to move the chains and let Nico be the number one guy that can create yards after the catch.
14:12Obviously, also a big threat in the red zone.
14:14Both these guys can deliver in the red zone.
14:17Even Marvin Harrison Jr. Was underwhelming his first two years in Arizona.
14:21That was one big thing that he did a lot was win downfield with air yards and also see a lot of red zone opportunities.
14:28So I think this is good for CJ Stroud and his touchdown opportunity.
14:32And you're going to see a lot of passing in this next game against the Jags.
14:37We know the Jags are a pass funnel defense.
14:40You don't run on them. The Texans can't run the football.
14:43They just got a new wide receiver. So, yeah, you're going to see them throwing the ball a lot in London.
14:49And we're going to get to see Marvin Harrison Jr., I think, in action pretty quickly.
14:54I can't wait to see Jared Wayne and Xavier Hutchinson run more routes to Marvin Harrison Jr.
14:59after giving up a second for him over the next few weeks.
15:03I just can't wait to see it. I can't wait to see it because, you know, Nick Caley and wide receiver groupings, as it were.
15:11Other injuries this week, Debo Samuel, hamstring, Casey Concepcion obviously took that really bad hit.
15:15Just throwing it out there. That was really tough to watch.
15:18He had the concussion. Obviously, he was ruled out pretty quickly.
15:22Travion Henderson had an ankle injury that they're still looking at.
15:25Will Campbell also for the Patriots knee sprain that Brable this morning was saying, you know, they're getting more information on.
15:31Obviously, that would be a really big hit to a Patriots offense that was looking like it was bouncing back.
15:38TJ Hawkinson left his game with a concussion. Will Shipley has a torn plantar fascia muscle in his foot.
15:43He's going to miss some time. So another running back down for the Eagles.
15:48Kenyon Sadiq had a concussion. Aaron Glenn was saying that he wasn't really that concerned about that one.
15:53And then Michael Penix on Sunday Night Football left the game obviously late with the rib injury.
15:58They're still gathering information on that. The only quarterback on this list, so probably the most impactful, especially given just the difference in production.
16:05For that offense before, you know, compared when he was on the field and not.
16:10Couldn't be more night and day. But yeah, where do you want to go with this injury roundup, Debro?
16:16Is anybody that you want to particularly highlight? I think you're spot on with the Michael Penix call here.
16:21Can he play? Will he play with the ribs?
16:24We have to be seen. I mean, it's going to be a pain tolerance and mobility type of thing.
16:30Like, I don't think that it was, it's his effective side.
16:33I just watched the game last night. And again, I didn't stay at a Holiday Inn Express.
16:38But like, I don't think it's his throwing arm side.
16:41It looks like it was the right side of his ribs.
16:45Like where he kept motioning towards on the sideline when they panned to him.
16:49Michael Penix coming back to earth in a competitive game too was very stark to see for all the Penix believers.
16:55But dude, if this is too under center for the next few weeks, good luck Falcons.
17:00That's all I can say. But like, the only other thing I'll throw out here too is Debo Samuel, hamstring injury.
17:06I mean, the 49ers are down to Mike Evans who is a total freaking warrior.
17:11We talked about this on the key questions episode.
17:14I said he was the X factor going against the Seattle Seahawks.
17:17And he absolutely was total baller. We still do not appreciate Mike Evans nearly enough.
17:22But the 49ers, I mean, do losing Debo outside of Mike Evans and George Kittle and CMC like not a whole lot of healthy bodies in that offense.
17:30So they got to, you know, wrap those guys in bubble wrap.
17:34Erickson, what do you want to highlight from the injury roundup?
17:37Just two things here. So we'll ship me with the foot injury adding to the CBS list of injuries that the Eagles are dealing with now.
17:45Do they make a trade for Tony Pollard? Should be like, hey, like the Titans are all in five.
17:51He's going to be a free agent and we just need a running back that is serviceable.
17:56Like I could see that potentially. I know Pollard's been floated out.
18:00He was one of the guys that Schefter rumored about last week, along with Marvin Harrison Jr.
18:05Harrison Jr. just got traded. I don't think it's long until we have to see Tony Pollard get moved.
18:11I wonder if it's more. I don't think it's the fact that the division is so gettable makes it like the Eagles shouldn't just sell off.
18:18But I wonder if we're more likely to see them trade away players as opposed to trade.
18:24Yeah, that's where I'm at point this season. I don't know.
18:27Well, I just wanted to mention that as maybe an option that they do again, just dealing with so many running back injuries.
18:34And then TJ Hawkinson getting the concussion being knocked out early in that game.
18:38And the fact that the Vikings didn't really change up their game plan because they were featuring the Bartholomew guy, the other tight end on their team.
18:46And he was just like absolutely peppered with targets.
18:49I think it's so funny when teams do that.
18:52They're like, right, we built the whole game plan around Hawkinson.
18:55He goes out. Who's the next tight end? And we're just going to use that guy in the exact same role again.
19:02I had no idea who this guy was. I'm like, who's making all these plays?
19:06Then Kyler Murray actually missed him. Like he was open deep and they would have had a monster chunk gain against New
19:13Orleans Saints defense that apparently cannot stop tight ends.
19:16Another one of these tight end funnel defenses. That was something that I just brought to my mind as he comes up on the injury list here.
19:24Obviously, it sucks, too, because with Kyler. Have we seen him play with Jefferson, Aston and Hawkinson at the same time at all this year?
19:31I feel like someone's always been out or missing time.
19:34So that's for credit. Again, we'll talk about the Vikings.
19:37But I mean, the fact that they are undefeated and they actually have not actually had their staple of offensive players at
19:44any point in any game is is just a credit to like the defense is so good with Florida.
19:50Oh, my God. I mean, Chuck Chuck had no shot in that game.
19:54Yeah, like it's tough. No shot. All right. Before we get to some more reactions, if you want a chance to win
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20:43All right, guys, we're streamlining the show a bit this week.
20:46Rather than try to go in a bunch of different categories, we are just each coming to the show with three talking
20:53points that we want to discuss with each other.
20:55These can be questions we want to ask. These can be odds you want to examine.
21:00These can be just headlines, reactions from the week, whatever we want to do.
21:04We each have three talking point discussions. That will be the show this week.
21:09Erickson, kick us off with your first reaction. So the Bears defense, eh?
21:13It's not an elite unit by any way, shape or form.
21:16They were the scheduled merchants over the last couple of weeks after looking like they regained form after giving up a ton of points to the Panthers.
21:24They had a lot of easy matchups. The weather worked in their favor.
21:28So I was like, okay, like maybe this Bears defense isn't so bad.
21:32I know, Worm, I think you brought it up last week, but it was not one of these like defiant statements.
21:38I brought it up as a question. You brought it up as a question.
21:43So the Bears defense maybe sort of could be decent.
21:46And then we got the answer. The answer's no.
21:48They're not good. I pushed back very lightly last week whenever we had this conversation.
21:53I was like, no, no, no, no. Yeah, no, they are.
21:56They are not good, especially when you give up basically a career day for Jordan Love.
22:01137.5 pass rating was the highest ever in a game that Jordan Love started.
22:050.43 EPR per drop back set a new season high.
22:08Clock 10 is one of his 10 best single game marks in Jordan Love's Green Bay Packers career.
22:14So the Bears, despite being on the road as favorites in this matchup, get absolutely destroyed and boat raced.
22:19Jordan Love could do basically anything downfield. Matthew Golden and Christian Watson were just having absolute field days against this Bears defense that also lost three more guys.
22:28They are a Dingball went down. Tyrick Stevenson went down.
22:31TJ Edwards went down three starters across every level of the defense all got hurt for the Green Bay Packer for the Chicago Bears.
22:38Green Bay outgains Chicago 428 to 246 7.3 yards per play compared to 3.6.
22:42They won 31 to 7 without a single turnover.
22:45And then Chicago, we know, turned the ball over five times, including two Taysen Bajin interceptions.
22:50Case Keenum picked. A Dunze fumble and Keenum had a strip sack fumble.
22:54So yeah, the Bears defense is still one that is not good.
22:58And I don't think they're going to improve. It wasn't just that Love had a great day.
23:03It was how he did it. Most completed air yards he's ever had in a game in his career.
23:08252 completed area. Christian Watson good. Who knew? Hucking that thing down the field.
23:13Yeah. Christian Watson is amazing. Love was very good in this game, too.
23:17And yeah, the Packers just like never let up.
23:19They kept throwing deep and it kept. Floor was like, why?
23:23Yeah. Yeah. But can I give you some numbers to contextualize how bad the Bears defense is?
23:28Second highest rushing success rate. Fifth highest pass explosive pass rate allowed.
23:31And they are also 14th in explosive run rate allowed.
23:34They are bad, bad, bad with a capital B.
23:37So in fantasy, do you guys see this as a defense to aggressively target the way we expected at the beginning of the season?
23:44Or do you see it more as just like they're bad, but in the way that a lot of teams are bad
23:51and not like outlier bad where holy cow start everybody.
23:54Oh, no, we are starting with, you know, whatever running backs.
23:57You got a mid running back that we're like, oh, do I flex you if you get a touchdown?
24:03Oh, no, you're you're gracing the line up this week, baby.
24:07If they're facing an offense that is just anywhere competent, then yes, it's like fire up everybody.
24:12The only time you're like pressing pause. Oh, speaking of competence next week.
24:16How much faith do you have in Tua versus the Chicago Bears?
24:19That would be where you're like, I mean, as long as he gets 15 targets, Drake London might be screwed, though.
24:26Yeah, no, but seriously, you guys this. If we don't end up believing in the Vikings to win this division right now,
24:32they're five and oh every other team in this division is three and two.
24:36If we rule out the Vikings because you say, OK, I don't believe the offense, whatever, which I'm not saying you guys
24:43feel but I'm just saying for the sake of argument.
24:46Who wins this division if not Minnesota because these teams are all three and two, but with all pretty big flaws.
24:52Lions got reenforcement defense is worse than others. They're getting guys back.
24:56They have a legendary offense. They can make it.
24:59No, the Lions are winning this division. No, no, I don't know that.
25:03I agree that division or to me, that defense has been so horrific that like I just even when guys come back,
25:09I don't I don't think we should just automatically assume that they're going to be good.
25:14This has been also they played the Packers without an offensive line.
25:18They played the Bears, which Caleb Williams got hurt.
25:21They played the Buccaneers and Baker sucking. They played Malik Wilson.
25:24They played Tyler Shuck. Like who have they played to look like this legendary level defense?
25:29Well, but I'm saying like they've they've looked legendarily bad.
25:32Are you talking about the Vikings? So the yeah, no, I'm talking about the Vikings defense.
25:37Oh, no, no, no, no, no, no. I don't agree with you on the Vikings.
25:41Like I if we're going to like this is to me is like who are you going to take as far as
25:48like the best best strengths of the teams have the Vikings defense or the the Rams offense?
25:53I'm taking the Lions offense. I think that's fair.
25:56I don't disagree with that. I just think in terms of the entire division as a whole, like I still think I
26:02would prefer to bet on the Bears or maybe even the Pack Pack Pack.
26:07Probably not the Packers, but I think I prefer to bet on the Bears with Caleb coming back over the Lions to
26:13win this division because I the lines defense is so it has made every player that's played at this season look amazing.
26:20But we just tore down the Bears defense. You're willing to back the Bears offense and what that looks like with a
26:27bad defense behind it over backing a legendary Lions offense with a bad defense.
26:31I mean the Bears offense started start off looking like it might have a legendary season and they've done what if he comes.
26:38What could they haven't had Caleb? They've been on the backup quarterbacks.
26:41I think what I was a savior. He was amazing.
26:44I wasn't saying that I think we can't hear and say we can't sit here and say that.
26:50Oh, the Lions defense can be OK because they have guys coming back, but then not give that same credit to the
26:56Bears offense when Kate with Caleb come back when they we have actually seen the Bears offense look incredible this season with Caleb on the field.
27:04We haven't seen that with the line. I'm not saying that what I'm saying is if you give me both of these
27:11offenses when they're humming at their best, I'm taking the Lions over the Bears.
27:15I think it's close though all four of these are humming at their best.
27:19Yes, all four of these teams are going to get better because the lines are going to defensive guys back.
27:25The Bears are going to get Caleb back. The Vikings are going to eventually have Addison and Hawkinson and Jefferson on the
27:32field at the same time, and then the Packers are going to get Mike Parsons back.
27:37So there are arguments to be made that none of these teams have even hit their final form and just a matter
27:44of OK, well, what's your record at that point?
27:46Like is it a little is it too little too late?
27:50Essentially, at least with the Vikings perspective, they have built that margin of error because they have won all their games versus
27:56some of these other teams where if you keep losing games, it doesn't matter when these guys come back because it's too little too late.
28:04Yeah, fair. I will say I think Green Bay is ultimately going to be the worst team in this division, even though I don't think they're terrible.
28:12I just think like it's a strong division. They're plus 800 Bears and this is consensus odds at bettingpros.com Bears plus 355
28:19Lions are plus 260 and the Vikings are plus 107.
28:22The gap with the Packers being as far away as they are makes them an intriguing bet in my opinion, even though
28:28I don't think they're going to win the division.
28:31But I think that gap in odds is actually too big because I agree.
28:35They are going to get Mike Parsons back eventually.
28:38Like I think Derek's point every team in this division will get better throughout the course of the year.
28:44Oh, a fun like heated start to the show.
28:47This is this is great boys. I'm loving it.
28:49Debra, let's go to your first reaction here. Where does Parker Washington's contract extension come in at because after the game that
28:56he just had and the numbers and I'm going to give some context before we kind of get into diving through numbers here.
29:03Parker Washington after week five among 66 qualifying wide receivers for everybody out in the comments when I said, OK, this is
29:10what I think he's probably going to get in terms of AAV amongst wide receivers.
29:14I said there's no way in hell. He doesn't deserve that.
29:17OK, fine. Among 66 qualifying wide receivers right now.
29:20Parker Washington 11th and target share. He is the elite alpha for Jacksonville fifth in yards per route run behind CD lamb 12th in EPA per target.
29:28So whatever you look at, he is an alpha level wide receiver in the NFL and just for some context before we
29:35start kind of getting into numbers here. The 15th ranked wide receiver right now in AAV is Alec Pierce at twenty eight point five million to me.
29:43That's the starting point. I think considering all of this.
29:46I'll go ahead and leave this. I think Parker Washington is going to get in the neighborhood of twenty nine to thirty million per year.
29:54Now, everybody said that's asinine and insane. Guys, is that so insane right now?
29:58So that's interesting. I while you were talking, I pulled up the list of, you know, wide receiver contract rankings in terms
30:05of average annual value like you were referencing here.
30:07And I was actually going to aim a little higher when I said I get higher or lower than this.
30:13So I maybe I am just as bullish as you are, D.
30:17Roe, but I was thinking the number would start with a three, not a two.
30:22I agree with you. I think it's 30 million.
30:24Probably. I think you're looking at he's not not only has he been awesome.
30:28It's like he's old, right? Yeah. Twenty four years.
30:31Like like he will you would think would be good for a long time is clearly a great fit with Trevor Lawrence
30:38is clearly just a really good player who's ascending.
30:41And like like I wasn't going to you know, when I was looking here, I was OK, like he's not going to
30:47get as much as a flowers did. Like surprise you, thirty five million dollar your contract.
30:52I don't think he's getting to that. No, but then you start to you start to get lower than that.
30:58And it's like, man, like why shouldn't he be getting a bigger contract than some of these other guys?
31:04Like I think in that 30 to 32 million is where I would be.
31:08I'll put it like this. That's at least where I'd be comfortable paying if I was Jackson.
31:13AJ Brown, 32 million. Terry McLaurin, 32 million per year.
31:16D.K. Metcalf, 33 million dollars per year. I mean, like superstar receivers just get paid.
31:21And a guy like Zay has looked like made that worth it, even though we all thought it was an overpay in the offseason.
31:28I didn't think it was an overpay. A lot of people did.
31:32A lot of people did. It was a big talking point.
31:35And if Parker Washington gets 32, I bet you hear similar talking points and I bet he makes them look just as foolish.
31:42So to me, like Alec Pierce, that's aiming too low.
31:45I think Parker Washington is getting 30 million a year.
31:48Erickson, what do you think? I agree. I think that he's worth it.
31:52And I think that Jaguars will get a little bit of a quote unquote discount compared to those other numbers you just
31:59mentioned, just because Parker Washington wasn't like a first round pick, because for some reason, some players can't knock the draft capital
32:05and the fact that he was a day three pick.
32:08That's always going to be held against him in some way, shape or form.
32:13But it's still going to be you've got to pay your best receivers, especially when it's so obvious how well he fits with their quarterback and Trevor Lawrence.
32:21Right. If their quarterback long term is Trevor Lawrence, then you've got to lock up his number one guy who is Parker Washington.
32:28They're clearly not going to extend Brian Thomas Jr.
32:31to anything. They already paid Jacoby Myers, but he's more of that veteran type of presence guy, more of a depth get
32:37number two, number three receiver that can kind of play all over the formation.
32:42Whereas Washington, he's your game breaker. He's your stud.
32:44You saw it against the Eagles. And when he did that one handed catch, my wife was watching that game or the highlight.
32:51And she's like, that looks like the Odell Beckham Jr.
32:54catch. Like, yeah, because this guy's that good. Well, yes or no.
32:58Will it be a top 10 wide receiver contract in average annual annual value when it is signed?
33:03Yes. That means it has to be over 32 million.
33:06And I think it should be because not only do you take what he's done on the field, like you again, you
33:13add the age component, you add also you're you're adding the final.
33:17This is like the final infinity stone to the gauntlet for Jacksonville.
33:20Like they've already extent they have Jacoby Myers locked up.
33:23They extended Brenton strange. So Parker Washington, you lock him up.
33:27He's your wide receiver one. You trade Brian Thomas Jr.
33:30You go find somebody else that fits whatever you want out of that role to take the top off of a defense
33:36in the NFL draft or what have you. And you just roll on as an offense.
33:41And they still have Basial Tootin on a rookie contract like they're they're they're set, man.
33:46So go pay the guy. If anything, James Gladstone, bro, you should have gotten this done before week one.
33:52You knew what was about to happen. Parker Washington better himself.
33:55Now cha-ching. Pay that man. It's it really is the reverse.
33:58It's not to just keep referencing the Raven, but it's the reverse of the Zay Flowers where they did pay early and
34:05we're like, hey, let's get this done because we know what he can be in this offense and are expecting a breakout.
34:12And now I'm not saying it looks like a steal, but it looks like a totally worthwhile contract in the eyes of everybody.
34:19And and you miss that opportunity with Parker Washington.
34:21If you're if you're Gladstone, you could have done the same thing here.
34:25Yeah, this this is good one to you, bro.
34:28My first reaction here. NFC least, which is not an original joke.
34:32Look, this might be the worst week ever for a single division, excluding weeks where a bunch of guys got hurt, like taking a setting aside injury.
34:40This is one of the worst performing weeks for an entire division I can ever remember.
34:45Two teams played each other in this division, and yet the division went winless in this week.
34:50Obviously, the tie in Commanders Giants was hilarious and a complete botched job by both sides.
34:55Just an absolute mismanagement of the clock and everything.
34:57We can talk about that in a little bit more detail here in a second.
35:02But also the Cowboys lost as the biggest favorites of the week at home in prime time to a rookie free agent quarterback backup play for the Bucs.
35:10And also the Eagles somehow lost a game in which they took the lead with eight seconds left.
35:16They lost in regulation. They did the anti-Cowboys in Rio against the Ravens where they kicked the touchback and gave the Ravens time.
35:23No time off the clock. They did the reverse where they kicked it and said, oh, we'll make you return it.
35:29And then they gave up a big return and lost the gate to the Jags.
35:34I mean, this was just a remarkable comedy of errors for the entire division this week.
35:38And I'm not even sure. I mean, the place to probably start Erickson is that Commanders Giants game.
35:44But I think you could easily start with the Eagles performance too and how they finished that game as one of the most laughable performances this week.
35:52Just an all-time bad week for a single division.
35:55I mean, and it was in the primetime slots, it seemed like.
35:58Because it was Thursday night that we saw the Cowboys just lay a turd against the Buccaneers.
36:04And then in the London game, everybody's watching early in the morning.
36:07Oh, it looks like the Eagles are going to get a win.
36:11Nope. Just kidding. And then as we're transitioning from the early slate to the late slate, there's one game on still.
36:17Oh, Commanders Giants in overtime. Like, what's happening here?
36:20As the other games are kind of getting kicked off and started.
36:24And the reason I didn't get to watch the beginning of the Seahawks in 49ers is because I had to watch a tie.
36:30That's why I didn't get to watch the beginning of that game.
36:34Because I was watching a tie. Because I let these two teams just fumble over each other.
36:39Again, the Giants should have won because Cam Scadaboo.
36:42But he fumbles the ball. The Commanders get the ball back.
36:45And then they're driving. And they're going to win.
36:48They're going to kick the field goal. And then they just botched the timing of it.
36:53What? Rashad White gets down like 50 seconds left.
36:56Something like absolutely ridiculous of how much time they had to actually use.
37:00For bad teams. And this is what the result is.
37:03I mean, you just lost a division game. Or didn't win a division game because of just poor mishandling of the clock.
37:09And, I mean, it's always so weird watching coaches and players like shake hands and do the press conference after a tie.
37:16Because everyone's just like, I don't know how I'm supposed to feel.
37:19Like, I mean. Nobody's happy. I think they just treat it more like we just both lost.
37:25Like, because we're pissed. Because we didn't win. So, yeah.
37:28I could not agree more. Definitely the worst week.
37:30It feels closer to a loss than to a win.
37:33You're not happy. And now it comes with the silver lining where I think Cam Scadaboo on the sideline was like, we'll take the tie.
37:41Right? Because he obviously put the ball on the ground.
37:44So he was like, we're going to lose because of me.
37:47Well, we only tied because of me. Because the Commanders were dumb and didn't figure out their own stuff.
37:53So, yeah. This is a really good pull by you, Warren.
37:56I mean, not only like just the bad play call.
37:59Like, why even run a play? Why not just spike it or throw it out of bounds or whatever?
38:05But like, even after the tackle on that last play, D-Bro, J Daniels is just laying there for a few seconds.
38:11There's zero urgency by anybody on the team. I'm like, did they think they had a timeout?
38:17Did they think they needed to burn clock so they wouldn't give the ball back to the other team?
38:22Like, did they not know the overtime rules? It is astonishing.
38:26And like, Dan Quinn, this is his job. He's like supposed to be the culture guy who can do the game management stuff.
38:33And it's like, holy cow. CEO head coach, right?
38:35Like the CEO head coaches are not doing well.
38:38I know his background is on defense, but he's a CEO head coach.
38:42So John Harbaugh has always been a CEO head coach.
38:45Jim Harbaugh, CEO head coach, not doing great. John's doing okay.
38:48It wasn't his fault. It's got to move, but it on the turf.
38:52Okay. John's doing a pretty good job so far.
38:55But to all of this, Dan Quinn and Nick Sirianni should be fired this week.
39:00Unequivocally should not have a job. They call it what it is.
39:03The Eagles vibes, the locker room, everything like that.
39:06Don't care. Bye-bye Dan Quinn. Bye-bye. The Washington stuff.
39:09You want to know why people like you want to talk about scenarios where people say the NFL is rigged.
39:15There's a script and also the kind of crap look point to the commander's game.
39:19Like nothing makes any sense of any semblance of what the heck were you thinking?
39:24None of it. Because everybody theorizing, oh, well, they thought they still had a timeout.
39:28Okay, fine. Let's play that out. This team thought they had another timeout because in regulation, you got three versus overtime, even
39:35though at overtime at the beginning of it, the referee clearly explains all the rules.
39:39And second of all, the reason that I can throw the most cold water is this team did not think they had
39:46a timeout because simply put, when Jane Daniels got up off the turf, did you see Jane Daniels or Dan Quinn doing this?
39:53No. So they didn't think they had a timeout.
39:56There's no way possible that they had a timeout because nobody is motioning like they thought they had that timeout.
40:02So I don't understand what the hell they were doing because they're literally taking all the time.
40:07You could have just rolled the field goal unit out there for the final play, let the clock go all the way
40:14down to freaking zero, or Jane Daniels throws the ball out of bounds and stops the clock.
40:19Any way, shape, form, or fashion of any of those things happening.
40:22And yet none of that happens. And we're left with the ending of a game that nobody can properly describe as to what happened.
40:30What were you thinking? What was your thought process?
40:32And how did this come to be? Like nothing makes sense, guys.
40:36Nothing. And yet at least those two teams got a tie.
40:39The Cowboys lost as the biggest favorites of the week, and the Eagles lost the game.
40:44They led with eight seconds left, and they lost in regulation.
40:48So like that was – it was hilarious and bad, but at least those teams didn't lose.
40:53Do you guys agree with me that Dan Quinn – Giants covered.
40:56Do you guys agree with me that Dan Quinn and Nick Sirianni should be fired or not?
41:01Like thoughts on that because I am very firm that both of them should be gone.
41:06Easy yes on Quinn. Harder yes on Sirianni. But I – like Sirianni to me feels like somebody you fire in the offseason.
41:13Why? But he always does this. This is nothing new.
41:16Two weeks. Like I feel like they always are in situations where they string together a couple really bad losses and they're
41:23like firing Nick Sirianni, and then they always kind of pull themselves out of it.
41:27Because guys, I mean one of these teams is going to win the division.
41:32Somebody has to mathematically. Yeah. And like if you think that the Giants fall off with the backup quarterback eventually, then it's
41:38going to be one of the Eagles, Cowboys, or commanders.
41:41And so like two of those teams that you're talking about firing their coaches might be division winners this year.
41:47I think the Cowboys win the division for simply put.
41:50The same reasons what we just talked about the entire NFC North.
41:54The Cowboys offense is still a really good unit.
41:57And to all of the problems with the Dallas defense, we still haven't seen JPJ on the field.
42:02So like his impact on that trade still has been yet to be felt.
42:06So how can he transform that defense? I'm with you on the Cowboys as the team I want to be betting on in this division right now.
42:15Well, the Anders are a total crap show. So are the Eagles.
42:18Yeah. They're at plus 165. Eagles are plus 177 as consensus odds.
42:22So like I would take the Cowboys or I'll take the Giants.
42:26I don't think the Eagles or commanders are going to be division guys.
42:29No. Giants are plus 327 consensus odds. I'll take that bet.
42:33Commanders plus 774 on bettingpros.com. So yeah, terrible week for the NFC East.
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43:16Erickson, what's your next discussion point here? Can the 49ers keep this up?
43:20That is my one concern about this team that has obviously looked like a juggernaut.
43:24You know, one of the best teams, if not the best team in the NFL through five weeks.
43:30Going up to Seattle in a back and forth contest.
43:33Again, a lot of turnovers were in this game.
43:3549ers had more giveaways in week five and takeaways than they had in their first four games of 2026 combined.
43:41Brock Purdy definitely faced the toughest defense of the year.
43:44I know you mentioned this last week, Worm, where he had not been sacked through the first four games of the season.
43:51It was actually a mind-blowing stat. Now that was not obviously the case here in Seattle.
43:56Purdy was pressured on 17 of his 34 dropbacks, right around 50%.
44:00Third highest pressure rate he had faced in a game of his career.
44:04But still, this team did not waver. He made plays off script, which is why Brock Purdy is such the perfect quarterback in this Kyle Shannon offense.
44:12Because when the scripted plays aren't there, he can still create on his own.
44:16Which is what I think separates him from all the past Kyle Shanahan merchants, right, at quarterback.
44:21Whether it was Garoppolo or Nick Mullins or any of these guys who put up gaudy numbers.
44:26But ultimately always fell short of really reaching that peak.
44:29And Brock Purdy, I think, has shown that, no, like, I can reach that peak in this offense.
44:35And the fact that he's doing it with just this potential hodgepodge of receivers.
44:39Besides Mike Evans and George Kittle, right? Mike Evans in that one drive.
44:43I don't remember. I think it was in the second half.
44:46Masterclass. Between Brock Purdy and Mike Evans. Just, Mike Evans is not necessarily creating a ton of separation.
44:52But he's finding ways to get open. He's winning his contested catches.
44:55So, Mike Evans in this game. Led the team with 10 targets.
44:597 catches. 113 yards. That's the most against anyone that has faced Seattle this season, according to NextGenStats.
45:04Caught a touchdown. Contested catch. Machine. 31% catch rate.
45:07Overexpected. The highest from a receiver with at least 10 targets in a game this season.
45:125 catches in tight windows. Tied for third most by any player this year.
45:16He looked like he was a 27-year-old Mike Evans.
45:19I was blown away by how great he looked.
45:22And then you add the contact that this guy's playing with like broken ribs.
45:26Like, you're just like, oh my god, dude. But that brings up the question of, is this sustainable?
45:31Right? Like, constantly, they're going to the sideline. Chris McCaffrey is getting worked on.
45:35Mike Evans is being on with broken ribs. Debo Samuel is already hurt again.
45:40Right? Like, is it actually... Can you rely on players like a Brandon Cooks?
45:44Like, is he going to have to play a role in this offense long term for them to have sustained success?
45:50That's my big question for the 49ers. Because right now, they're at the...
45:54You know, I'd like to say they're at the healthiest that they are.
45:58Because it's the start of the season. Or we're five weeks in.
46:02But I don't know. We talked about the NFC North.
46:05And how they're going to get guys back. And I know the 49ers are missing Nick Bosa.
46:10So he's someone they're going to get back. But what about the 49ers?
46:14Like, is this a chance where it's like, you should sell high on the 49ers?
46:18Like, they're not going to be able to keep this up?
46:22Or is this just, hey, their injury luck maybe is working a little bit more in their favor compared to last season where it was like, absolutely terrible?
46:30That's kind of what I was thinking. Because right now, this team on paper looks really, really great.
46:36And obviously, they're undefeated. But what happens as the season progresses?
46:39I would say that as long as Brock Purdy and Fred Warner are healthy, then yes.
46:44Like, they can keep – Fred Warner is awesome.
46:47We know how he changes his defense. And Brock Purdy is no longer playing really good quarterback with people around him.
46:53He is playing really good quarterback despite the people around him and elevating the people around him.
46:58Like, he has been good in the past, D-Bro.
47:01Not a sister quarterback. But this is the first time where it's just really like, oh, he is elevating the offense.
47:07And obviously, it's already a very strong offense given the pieces and who are healthy and the Kyle Shanahan of it all.
47:14So, like, I think absolutely – they're minus money to win the division, which is kind of insane considering that it's a
47:20division with the Rams and the Seahawks. And I think it's deserved.
47:24But, like, right now, they're minus money, consensusoddsofbettingpros.com. They are not the Super Bowl favorites.
47:29That is still the Rams, consensusoddsofbettingpros.com. Obviously, we'll see how that game plays out tonight.
47:33Rams versus Bills is a really interesting one. But they are favorites to win their division at 5-0.
47:39And I think it's really deserved. And I, like, yeah, to me, the simple answer to this question, Erickson, is yes.
47:45Wait, so they're not favorites to win their division, but they – No, so they are consensusodds to win the division on bettingpros.com.
47:52But their Super Bowl odds are worse than the Rams?
47:55Correct. It's minus 176 to win the division. It's a better Super Bowl.
47:59It's all I heard. The Rams are plus 6-12 consensus to win the Super Bowl.
48:03Niners are tied with three other teams at plus 800.
48:06So it's close on both. Let me check the Rams division odds.
48:10I'll go back to that page here. Rams in the division.
48:13Because, I mean, it is – it's like a – they're three wins behind, right?
48:18Like, there is – yes, Rams are plus 275 to win the division.
48:22Yeah. So there is a sizable gap there in the division odds.
48:25But Super Bowl still getting preference to the Rams.
48:28I think the 49ers keep this up. And it's the Kyle Shanahan of it all because, again, dude, what did we see last year?
48:35Mack Jones, parts of pieces, Kendrick Bourne Weeks, all these other guys.
48:39Like, Jake Tongass coming out of the woodwork. Like, scheme and coaching freaking matters.
48:43And Brock Purdy playing in an MVP level. Christian McCaffrey's still healthy.
48:47George Kittle's still healthy. Could they make a trade for anybody?
48:50Hello, Brian Thomas Jr. Not saying that that happens, but could they make a trade for anybody to reinforce this?
48:56And also, then you look at their schedule. Okay, let's walk the schedule, boys.
49:00They got five wins. Commanders, okay. That's a sixth win.
49:04Falcons, I think that's a seventh win. The Raiders, that's an eighth win.
49:07Cowboys, probably a ninth win. Then they get the Viking Seahawks.
49:11Fine, let's get those as toss-ups. Giants, tenth win.
49:13Rams, okay, toss-up. Chargers, 11th win. Chiefs, okay, fine.
49:16We'll just give them an L. Eagles, Cardinals to finish the season?
49:20Yeah, the 49ers are for real. Yeah. I think the point that you made worm about if Fred Warner and Brock Purdy are healthy, that's all that matters.
49:28I think that is the biggest point. Yep. Yeah, and it used to be that you would say, oh, if Christian McCaffrey's healthy, that's all that matters.
49:36But now it is Brock Purdy on the offense.
49:39He's just looking awesome. Not a system. And I have this guy you'll pull up, too, Debra.
49:44I was going to say, like, yeah, like, even if you give them, say, like, oh, they lose one of Dallas, Minnesota,
49:51they're probably going to split with Seattle, so give them another loss there.
49:55And then, like, let's say they lose the second Rams game, like, and the Chiefs.
49:59That's, like, four losses at the most. Now, things could happen, right?
50:03You could trip up somewhere else that's unexpected. Like, right, maybe Penix is back for the Falcons game, and Bijan just goes off, right?
50:10Like, stuff can happen. Brock Purdy, even if he gets hurt or something like that again, we got Mac Jones, so we're good.
50:17We already see what it looks like. Yeah, no, I think this is a really great team to be thinking of as
50:24the one seed of the NFC this year. Like, regardless of what, if we're everything, they actually win the Super Bowl.
50:30I think the one seed of the NFC is, like, a really smart thing to be looking at for them.
50:36Debro, speaking of legitimate contenders, you want to talk about the Vikings here.
50:40Let's have the conversation, boys. Are the Vikings a legitimate Super Bowl contender?
50:44No, next question. I don't think they are. No, I don't think they are either, but I think people are going to look at the 5-0 record.
50:52They're going to look at how good the defense has played.
50:56They're going to say, to your point, we have not seen Kyler Murray with Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and TJ Hawkinson on the field altogether.
51:03They've withstood offensive line injuries, OKOC, and all the other things in between.
51:07I don't think they're a Super Bowl contender. I think the defense is really, really talented, but also, again, walking the schedule.
51:14They played the Packers. They played the Bears. They played the Buccaneers, the Dolphins, and the Saints.
51:19And yes, they get Daniel Jones, who cannot move, and the Colts next.
51:23I think the real litmus test is going to be they get the Lions and the Bills after them, and people are
51:30going to cool their jets on the Vikings a lot after those two games.
51:34I don't look at them as a Super Bowl contender.
51:37I still do not believe in Kyler Murray as a fit for this offense and for this team.
51:42So, no. It's more than just those two games.
51:45From Week 8 and through Week 15, they played the Lions, Bills, Packers, Niners, Falcons, Panthers, Patriots, Lions.
51:50Yep. Like, even the worst teams in that group, if the Penix is healthy, the Falcons offense has looked like a wagon.
51:57Panthers offense has looked so improved this year. Patriots offense seems like it's recovered.
52:01Green Bay, like if Jordan Love is hitting those deep shots to Kristen Watson, that is eight straight weeks of potentially very high-level offenses.
52:09Now, this is a very high-level defense. I do believe it is totally a Super Bowl-caliber defense.
52:14I do believe that. But I don't think it is such a good defense that it can overcome.
52:19Like, I can't sit here and say Kyler Murray is the quarterback of a true Super Bowl contender.
52:25I just, I haven't seen it. The other thing with this defense, and we haven't seen it to this point, but it's
52:31going to happen at some point, and I think it's either it happens against the Lions or the Bills, the high-variance world
52:38that Brian Flores lives in with these blitz rates in the 70s and 90s percent, you are hedging that your pass rush
52:45and your blitz destroys the opposing offense. When you are wrong, and that does not get home, this is also a defense
52:51that historically has given up high explosive play rates.
52:54So when, if there's any kind of small hole in the dam that where a team is good enough to withstand this,
53:01the quarterback play or the running back or all those parts and pieces in between, this defense can also hemorrhage explosive plays.
53:07We haven't seen that to this point. I think that Moore is in line with the teams they have played to this
53:14point, but does that happen after they play the Lions and the Bills and some of these other teams because then they
53:21get the Packers and the 49ers right after that, can say, oh, okay.
53:25See how that worked. Let's try that. I, they're obviously like, they're very strong favorites to make the playoffs.
53:30When you get, when you start at five and O, you just have the mathematical advantage Erickson, but as a legitimate Super Bowl contender, I don't agree.
53:38I'm pretty sure we talked about in the off season how there was a reminder about the Vikings and that when you
53:45looked at their opening schedule, you looked at Kyler Murray's track record of a guy that's been a hot starter, right?
53:51He has traditionally played a lot better in September and October.
53:55I know that there's a lot of jokes that get thrown out about some certain video game being released around the end
54:01of October and then he starts to play really bad, but that's just because defense is figure out what he's doing.
54:08So I agree. He would, this team would be a sell for me where we talked about the 49ers as a, like a buy.
54:15Again, it's not surprising looking at the Vikings and who they've played and why they're five and O.
54:20Now I know that you wouldn't really expect it to be this way where we would expect Kyler Murray to play better
54:27in a five and O start for the Minnesota Vikings.
54:30Now it's not all on him because he did get hurt in the first game of the season.
54:36He's missing playmakers. I felt that he has looked a little bit better just from week to week, but it's still a
54:42really hard to be super defiant about it just because he's not playing with his full allotment of weapons.
54:48And when it looks like he finally developed something with TJ Hawkinson, oh, well, he immediately gets knocked out of the game,
54:55but he's still missing throws, which you're an NFL quarterback.
54:58There are throws that you have to make, especially in this offense.
55:01And when you're playing better offenses on the other side and you can't rely on Brian Flores to bail you out, I
55:08just don't see a scenario where, oh, Kyler Murray, Vikings are down.
55:12He gets the ball in the fourth quarter and he's going to drive 80 yards to get them to win.
55:18I would bet against that happening against some of these tougher matchups.
55:21So I would agree that probably a team, yeah, maybe they make the wild card, but would not be surprising if they just get immediately bounced.
55:29Also, can we quickly talk about the fact that if Aaron Jones continues to sustain 25 touches a week, he will not
55:36hold up for the rest of the season. He just, he won't.
55:39He can't. They have a bye week this week, so they should get Mason back in week seven.
55:45Minnesota's Super Bowl odds right now, plus 2,200 teams with shorter odds include the Broncos, and this is consensus odds on bettingpros.com.
55:51The Broncos, the Bears, the Bengals, the Patriots are tied.
55:55The Jags, obviously Seahawks, Ravens, Bills, Chiefs, Niners, Rams, all have shorter odds than the Vikings.
55:59And I think those are all correct for the most part.
56:03Maybe the Broncos, you could argue not, but like the others, I think, yeah.
56:07I'll go quickly on my second reaction because we kind of talked a lot about the Texans during the Marvin Harrison Jr.
56:14trade update there. But my question was really just, did the Texans right the ship or did they just happen to face the Titans this week?
56:21So I think we keep this one quick because we talked a lot about Houston already, but Erickson, I'll start with you.
56:28Just what do you think about the answer to this question?
56:31I think it was just the Texans kind of just like checking off the box, right?
56:36We got to get a win. Let's just take the layup here.
56:40Watching this Titans every offense, every single week, what is this offense trying to be?
56:44Like what in the ideal world is this offense?
56:47It just seems so out of sync and they have no identity.
56:51Do they want to run the football? Do they want to be a spread offense?
56:55Like, like what's the point? I don't know. I don't know what they're doing.
57:00And it's not helping Cam Ward because it's really hard to get justification of like, okay, he can be our franchise quarterback
57:06because nothing I've seen from him through five weeks is, oh yeah, like this is the direction that they should be going in.
57:13It just seems like an offense that's totally lost.
57:16That doesn't have an identity. So the Texans obviously took advantage of a really bad opponent like they should.
57:22And I think next week is going to be more about the litmus test for the Texans against the Jaguars who are
57:28obviously a actual competitive team in the AFC South.
57:31Debra? I, yeah, I think this is more them facing the Titans.
57:35I think now to the point of this, their schedule is about to do them a few different favors.
57:40The Jacksonville Jaguars, I think are going to thump them this coming week.
57:44But after that, they get the Giants and Chargers.
57:47So then they could, you know, be rolling into, after that with like three wins, I think they can beat the Giants and beat the Chargers.
57:55So people still have hope and stuff. But nah, I don't think this is the Texans figuring it out.
58:01I think they just beat up on a bad team in the Titans.
58:05All right, let's get to our final reactions. Each of us, Erickson, what was your number three?
58:10Drake May. Drake May. Five touchdowns for Drake May, who is officially back, at least back against the bad defenses that he faced.
58:17But going into this matchup, the Raiders were looked at as, okay, like this is a legitimate defense.
58:22They had one of the better pressure rates entering the game.
58:25But in this particular matchup, I don't know, Josh McDaniels was kind of in his bag with the pass protection.
58:31Drake May had plenty of time to throw and he was just absolute masterclass with the deep ball.
58:37Two weeks in a row, the Raiders have been getting cooked by explosive plays and Drake May on throws of 10 plus air yards.
58:44Eight of 11 for 206 yards and three touchdowns.
58:47Third time in his career, he completed over 70% of his downfield pass attempts according to NextGenStats.
58:52He just had a field day going downfield. It was one of those two where he's dropping back to throw and just
58:59kind of like lofting it up there. And just these guys are wide open making big plays.
59:04Basically everyone except Romeo Dobbs was catching all their downfield passes because that's the Romeo Dobbs experiment.
59:09But Kyle Williams was getting involved. Demario Douglas was like wide open.
59:13Chisholm is his. He continues to make plays. So practice squad player I've heard only Erickson.
59:17Practice squad player per CJ Gardner Johnson. Can't believe in his.
59:21Dude, like, come on, dude. Do you guys know where Drake May is ranked for fantasy points scoring on the season?
59:27Number one the last two weeks. Yeah. Do you know where he is on the season after his unbelievable start?
59:33After week three, they're like, oh, he's like QB 34 in points total.
59:37Do you know where he is so far this season?
59:40QB 10 because the last two weeks have just been nuts.
59:43That's higher. I'm getting a six. He is QB 7.
59:46Yeah. And 40 points against the Raiders. Allen is already ahead.
59:50So unless Stafford drops 30 fantasy points tonight, he will stay at seven after Monday Night Football.
59:55That's remarkable. He almost hit 40 fantasy points against the Raiders.
59:5839.46. He's had two wild games, dude. Career high against the Las Vegas Raiders.
60:02And again, the context behind no A.J. Brown last two weeks.
60:06A.J. Brown's coming back at some point. And then you get to see, again, going back to teams that are getting guys back.
60:13The Patriots are one of those teams. They invested so much in A.J.
60:17Brown. We haven't even seen that yet for a full game between Drake May and A.J.
60:22Brown. If Drake May can keep up this, I think that A.J.
60:25Brown can at least help when they do face cover defenses.
60:29And losing Travion is not that big of a loss.
60:32He's the backup running back. I hope you traded for him in fantasy.
60:35His next five weeks, Jets, Bears, Dolphins, Packers, Lions are the next five games he has before the bye.
60:41So this might continue to be on a real upswing trajectory for his production.
60:45Debro, for you, is Drake May, you know, again, back is sort of like a tough word sometimes and is almost used as like a meme.
60:53But like, is this schedule related? Is this him getting back too close to what he was last year?
60:59Where do you come down on Drake May right now in terms of how you project him?
61:04Not even to think fantasy production because obviously those are some easy matchups coming up, but just like where you would rank
61:11him amongst NFL quarterbacks just for the rest of the season.
61:14Where do you come down on him? I mean, I think, you know, with the first few games of the season, the
61:21overreaction when people also, you know, putting together his playoff run was a bit overblown.
61:25I think that, you know, I'm backing on Drake in the sense of like, also like Josh McDaniels is doing smarter things to help his young quarterback.
61:34He's not focusing on one player. He's spreading the ball around.
61:37He's giving what the, what the defense is taking because the biggest thing when I dove through his film was he's just
61:44forcing plays and doing things that are stupid. If he plays his game and makes better decisions, he's going to play better
61:50while also use utilizing his legs more like, yeah, like I think Drake may, you know, we can roll through like a top five, top 10 list.
61:58I think he's somewhere comfortably in there. Now, where we want to put him in the top, say seven quarterbacks in the
62:05NFL, I think is very debatable considering where everybody's played and how all that, you know, especially with a sample size is only five weeks.
62:13He, you know, obviously the turnovers was a big issue early on and could be going forward.
62:18Like weeks two and three, even when he wasn't producing fantasy numbers, he was still throwing for nine and a half or eight yards per attempt.
62:26Like those are still good numbers. Like I tend to think that it, it was an overreaction to early season.
62:32Just like I said, a lot of turnovers that will smooth out throughout the season.
62:36I'm not going to say they're going to go away entirely, but I think they will continue to smooth out as they
62:43have the last two weeks and he's going to be just fine.
62:46So yeah, just, just the Will Campbell thing though is, is one like, sure.
62:51Is a legitimate concern losing when you're starting tackles is never, I mean, just ask the chargers, right?
62:56Like it's not, it's not ideal for even to given the opponents again, like David Bailey in the New York jets, like
63:03David Bailey's coming off a monster, monster game. So he's going to be pinning his ears, rushing the passer next week when
63:09the jets take on the pads to all the main thing, bro, what's your, to the McDaniel stuff real fast over the
63:16last two weeks, the Patriots are 12th in motion and 11th in play action rate, which they were bottom five in the
63:23first few weeks in both of those metrics. So McDaniels or yeah, Josh McDaniels like screwing his head back on straight has been a big thing too.
63:31What's your next reaction, D bro? I'm going to ask the question and I did not tweet these stats out because I
63:38didn't want anybody to see this, but I'm going to ask the question, boys, is Jalen Warren the most underrated running back in the entire NFL?
63:45So first of all, amongst all running backs in AAV, he is 27th in average annual value of contract right now.
63:52Let me just read off a few names in the same area code as old Jalen Warren.
63:57Alvin Kamara, Aaron Jones, Jordan Mason, Chris Rodriguez, Rico Dowdle.
64:00Jalen Warren since 2022 amongst 76 qualifying running backs.
64:03Jalen Warren is 15th in explosive run rate ahead of Kenneth Walker.
64:06He's 11th in yards after contact per attempt right ahead of Derek Henry and Bajon Robinson.
64:11Jalen Warren is also 6th in missed tackles force per attempt ahead of Nick Chubb.
64:16Oh, and let's look at his receiving stats, shall we?
64:1978 qualifying running backs as wide as receiving options.
64:21Jalen Warren, 8th in yards per route run ahead of Gibbs, Austin Eckler, Alvin Kamara, and 5th in first downs per route run ahead of Devon A.
64:30Chan. Is Jalen Warren the most underrated running back in the NFL?
64:33I think emphatically. So, what do y'all guys think?
64:36I think this is a great call and a correct one because when you asked the question, I started trying to think
64:43who else I would want to make the case for.
64:46I'm like, okay, well, it's a great case. Let me think about where else I would go.
64:51And I'm like looking through the names just in case I forget.
64:54I don't think anybody really stands out to me as somebody that I would usurp Jalen Warren in this conversation.
65:00These are the running backs that are underrated but I think not to the degree that Jalen Warren is.
65:06Erickson, what do you think? Couldn't agree more because I think that Jalen Warren has been pigeonholed into, oh yeah, he's like
65:13this scat back guy that was Najee Harris' backup and that was another guy's backup with the Pittsburgh Steelers and now the
65:19Steelers have had their hand forced at least the last couple weeks having to play him in a full-time role and what do you know?
65:27It's awesome because Jalen Warren is freaking awesome and I think going back to his profile, I think people will be shocked when you look at Jalen Warren.
65:35He's 5'8", 204 pounds because I think people think Jalen Warren is like 185 pound running back which is why he's always
65:42been put into this committee role when no, this guy can carry a full workload and does exceptional with it as both a rusher and receiver.
65:50I mean, the guy is ripping off 50-yard touchdowns as a rusher and receiver week in and week out and we always knew that he was super efficient.
65:58It was always a matter of okay, well the Steelers are never going to let him run away with the job and
66:05even that was the talks entering the season where it's going to be a split between Rico Dowdle and Jalen Warren but
66:12I know that Rico Dowdle has a chance to come back.
66:15Rico Dowdle knows how this rolls, right? He was with Carolina when he was balling out he got the rock when he
66:22was not and missed time and Chuba Hubbard took over like he's not coming back to his starting role or a big
66:28role at all in my opinion so I think that the Steelers realize are now being in a position where dude like
66:35yes let's continue to feature Jalen Warren because he is so exceptional he makes our offense go so much more efficiently than
66:42with Rico especially as a receiver with Aaron Rodgers Rodgers loves to check the ball down to a receiver out of the
66:48backfield so yeah this is a great pull dude and the big thing that I want to I want to tie a
66:55bow on this because everybody has discounted Jalen Warren's talent every single year because of his size the role that Pittsburgh has
67:02played him in and said that he is this is small sample variance just for everybody at home just understand that this
67:08this sample size that I pulled from 2022 all the way to this season up including last week is a sample size
67:15of 627 rushing attempts so almost like two full seasons of a full time elite bell cow workload and also 892 routes
67:22and 215 targets this is not a small sample he is that freaking good the only name I'm like looking through that
67:28I could even try to make a case for is like maybe Chase Brown just because like the draft capital I think
67:35is still held against him but I definitely think Jalen Warren is more underrated than Chase Brown who do you think is
67:42better Jalen Warren Chase Brown straight up Jalen Warren not close I think as like an actual running back on the field
67:48that I watched him play I think Jalen Warren is better Chase Brown has a better role he has had a better
67:55role that I agree with but I'd rather have Chase Brown in fantasy but I think Jalen Warren is the better Chase
68:02Brown can't even touch anything close to what Jalen Warren has done as a receiver in the NFL at all nothing I
68:08mean Chase Brown can be a good receiver yeah but on a he had 11 catches last week no but on an
68:15efficiency standpoint he's not even in the same I know but the way you said that it sounded like Chase Brown is
68:21bad at that Chase Brown is a good pass catcher Jalen Warren is better I'm not saying he's bad but Jalen Warren
68:28is elite in every metric I've every no no I think Jalen Warren is the better NFL running back I overrated than
68:35underrated yeah I'm like could you make the case that Bijan is actually a little underrated because the offense does him no
68:41favors and he's even better but everybody knows he's amazing there aren't that many options out there I think it's a great
68:48shot and I haven't really thought about Jalen Warren in that context before so I think it's a really good thing to
68:55bring up my final reaction here is and I know they were on by this week but I think the Chiefs at
69:01only the fifth best Super Bowl odds right now is an absolute gift we are talking about the best quarterback ever outside
69:08of Tom Brady for in some people's opinion my opinion included and a guy who has been the best quarterback certainly of
69:15his generation in terms of playoff performances and winning Super Bowls and making Super Bowls a head coach that a lot of
69:21people think is one of the best ever an offense that finally has an explosive running back who has been just a
69:28hand in glove fit in this offense and has completely changed the way defenses have to defend this team a defense that
69:35is led by an excellent excellent even in the especially in the playoffs defensive coordinator that has a lot of young guys
69:41that are going to get better throughout the course of the season and already is pretty talented right now and this team's
69:48already undefeated to start the season so far they're 4-0 they've just had their buy it's an early buy which can hurt
69:55later in the season but man I'm just looking at this team part of this too is you look at the other
70:01teams in the NFL we really like the Niners but yes maybe it is a bit the Rams are 2-2 right now
70:08you can poke holes in the other teams that are real contenders here and the Chiefs not only do they look really
70:15good this season they also have the pedigree of these guys have been there before they've done it before you look at
70:21the other teams that are at the top of the NFL standings right now they haven't done it once and again they
70:28have two losses already Niners have been there they haven't won one recently Jags haven't been there Vikings haven't been there this
70:35Ravens iteration hasn't been there so I mean again to give me the fifth best odds for the Chiefs as opposed to
70:41first or second where I think they should be I feel like we're going to look back on that in December and
70:48say what a gift so I assume that we're going to see him look better and better as the season progresses I
70:55think the main question mark is just the receiver room right now and how it's set up we an elite running game
71:01with Kenneth Walker I think they're going to use more of Emma Johnson especially to make sure Walker stays healthy throughout the
71:08entire season and hasn't their starting left tackle not even played the season Josh Simmons has he just missed the entire start
71:14of the year I decision moves when it comes to personnel when something doesn't work they don't try to stick it out
71:21they make the move they cut bait and they move on so trusting in Patrick Mahomes seems like investing in your 401k
71:28just seems like a screwed with anything else stated here my biggest question mark is the same thing that Erickson has is
71:34what do we do with this wide receiver room like where she rice is is hurt who is he in this offense
71:41how effective is he we know Xavier worthy is a nothing burger like he's just whatever role you play him in he's
71:48just non existent so he's a non factor so you're talking about a passing attack which Mahomes is but dude I forget
71:54was week two week three one of those weeks where Mahomes that was the best passing performance I've legit best football I've
72:01seen Mahomes play in the last three to four seasons but with this wide receiver room do we see that moving forward
72:08like I mean asking people like asking Jalen Royals and Cyrus Allen to step up and be those difference making guys is
72:14a lot could they trade for somebody like this is like the commanders just say okay we're tossing it all in for
72:21this season could they trade Stefan Diggs definitely need wide receiver help from somebody because I don't think that again talking about
72:28a team's final form and being a Super Bowl contender I absolutely can see it but I think they need to get
72:34to that final form they need another wide receiver here it's partly that I think this seems really good and partly that
72:41I don't think there's an obvious juggernaut that like maybe the Niners is the best case you can make but they have
72:48injury concerns as well every team has flaws dude every single team has flaws 100% so I'm like yeah if there's no
72:54perfect team out there why shouldn't we the Jaguars want help the Chiefs either Jags I think that would make a lot
73:01of sense if the Jags were in the NFC and we're not helping you to that point what wide receiver should have
73:08been the target for them which it sounded like they weren't in on that so what wide receiver is but maybe Stefan
73:14Diggs but outside of him I'm like it's probably somebody on the margin it's like it's probably like Jalen McMillan from Tampa
73:21or somebody like that where it's like it's like a team that's not very to get a gauge on this Titans passing
73:28attack on the broadcast they were talking about yeah we really want to get Calvin really going and he caught a pass
73:34on the first drive and then I don't think I don't think I don't think Philly really does end up selling off
73:41like Dontavian Wicks maybe oh I thought you were going to go like full ham mode like Devonta Smith or no I
73:48don't think I don't think but but yeah like Wicks or somebody you know somebody like that maybe kind of comes to
73:54mind because that's that's the head scratcher part for me it's like they need wide receiver help but obviously has connection with
74:01the commanders obviously he wasn't there with Diggs but Diggs I think was rumored to be in the market for the Kansas
74:07City when he was still a free agent obviously he ended up going with Washington but he doesn't want to be I
74:14mean Diggs won the Super Bowl last year he wants to be contender it's NFC AFC if they clean house Dan Quinn
74:21is fired if I'm Adam Peters I'm like I can get draft picks for a veteran wide receiver that's probably not going
74:27try like there's yeah I don't know Tyreek can be ready to like I mean whatever form he's in until November right
74:34but who cares I mean stretching like he's got a package of plays type of role that's all you're asking out of
74:41him and then Stefan digs and Rashid Rice are ahead and I see you again next time this is an iHeart podcast
74:47guaranteed human