0:00Week four fantasy wide receiver rankings on a Friday. Don't panic everyone. Josh will be back. He had a little Wi-Fi issue. I'm wondering if it was the Bank
0:08Examiner about his Saquon Barkley takes.
0:11I'm sure the Wi-Fi will come back. Today we're going to do a little solo stream.
0:15We'll probably get to like the top 40ish or so wide receivers. Te him up. And of course, that leads us to wide receiver
0:21one, Jackson Smith in Jigba. He scored over 22 PPR points in his last four healthy games. The betting markets have him at 11 and a half targets. That's the
0:31first time a wide receiver has been above 10 and a half targets this season.
0:36So, I think we can keep this one moving.
0:38We're going to start Jackson Smith and Jigba. Aman Ross St. Brown is up next.
0:42Wide receiver two on wide receiver 2 expected points this season. I went back because I remember writing about David Montgomery's onoff splits with Aman Ross
0:50St. Brown. He's had nine games without David Montgomery since 2023. He's averaging 88 yards per game, 31% targets, 17.4 half PPR points. And then
1:00you get to the matchup. The matchup against the Panthers one, the Panthers offense been pretty pretty strong. We'll get to T-Mac in a second. But the
1:08Panthers are also down their top two corners. Uh they both just went to injured reserve. So the Lions once again projected for 27 points, fourth best on
1:16the week uh road game here, but really strong environment for Aman Raw St.
1:21Brown. Number three is Jamar Chase.
1:25Really weird week one, but since then he's been the wide receiver five in back-to-back weeks. Uh this is going to be the highest game total of the week as
1:33well with Jacksonville. Uh I just think it's a great matchup for him individually. He hung 165 yards with a score uh in week two last year, 31 to 27
1:44victory. That's kind of like the range of scoring that I'm expecting in this one. Jacksonville also just allowed 138 yards to Jaylen Wadd. Denzel Boston who
1:52had another great game last night. Uh he was the wide receiver 19 a couple weeks ago. Bengals projected for 27 points. We
1:59are starting Jamar Chase. Last one for the S tier is going to be Chris Olive.
2:05Went back to the Tyler Shuck uh splits with him. He's been the wide receiver four on wide receiver five usage with
2:11Tyler Shuck dating back to 2025. He's a wide receiver one overall, 132 air yards, uh wide receiver three in yards per game at 88. Uh and if you just watch
2:22Tyler Shuck, he just wants to throw the ball over the middle. He wants to throw the ball down the field. They don't have
2:28uh freaking Travis Aan. He's going to be on injured reserve here. Uh and then just this year on this small little
2:33sample here, wide receiver five on wide receiver three usage. He has a sixgame streak with over 14.2 expected points.
2:41Sixgame streak with over 14.2 two actual half PPPR points. And then you get to the matchup. The Falcons, they just got
2:48shredded by both Christian Watson and Matthew Golden. AJ Terrell, their top corner. He's on injured reserve. Their top two edge rushers. Those guys aren't
2:55on the football field. So, pretty bad defense for the Falcons. Their offense looks a lot better with Michael Penn.
3:01So, I think this is going to be like a little sneaky shootout. And Chris Olive rounds out the S tier. On to A tier.
3:09Drake London back in our lives. He's played 13 games with Michael Penn. In those, he had the 35% target share. He's
3:17the wide receiver two overall in usage, wide receiver one overall in usage. If you're looking at that sample since 2024, of course, he goes for 194 yards
3:26in Michael Pennock's debut last week. He had 10 targets in that. And then I wouldn't because I was just very curious
3:32like what is this offense going to look like? In the first two weeks with Cooper Rush, they were really, really low in
3:37neutral pass rate. Last week in week three against the Packers, their neutral pass rate went up to about the league average there. So, that's promising
3:43stuff for Drake London. He's going to be pushed down the football field a whole lot more than Cooper Rush was a was uh
3:49ever able to do. And then the Saints defense, I would call this like more like kind of a standard environment for
3:56him. Brock Bowers absolutely lit up that secondary like in a way that Drake London can like on the perimeter in the
4:03slot. Uh just using his size. Remember Rashad Baitman? He was the wide receiver 10 against the Saints a couple weeks back. And then Drake London himself was
4:12the wide receiver eight on wide receiver 12 usage uh in week 18 against them not too long ago as well. So feel very
4:22comfortable Drake London. Thank you Michael Pennix for returning. Garrett Wilson, this is another awesome performance from him last week against the Lions there. He was he had those
4:31Lions uh DBs absolutely dancing, spinning in circles, making plays at the catch point on top of that. Uh I think last week was the highest I had ranked
4:39him like ever since uh doing the show with Josh. And then I'm taking that to the next level. He's now my wide
4:45receiver six here. Um so I think he's awesome. Uh wide receiver three on wide receiver nine usage. Uh last week that
4:52was a 38% target share. I'm expecting Mason Taylor, Adnai Mitchell, Omar Cooper to miss like they did last week and now we don't have Bree Hall as well.
5:02Uh so like we're really kind of just like taking away all the target competition. I think Gino Smith has played well. You get the Bears back in
5:10week one. Jaylen Coker was the wide receiver one overall against them and then they had a rain game. They played the Eagles. Uh I think Jaylen Johnson's
5:18playing decent ball but he's not a total shutdown corner at this point. And then Tyreek Stevenson, that's barbecue chicken. Double moves is how Jaylen
5:27Coker got Tyreek Stevenson back in week one. Garrett Wilson does that at an elite level. So feel very strong about him. That brings me to the stand your
5:34grounds picks presented by DraftKings Sports. Every game day means more with DraftKings Sports. The crown is yours.
5:41And I'm about to crown Nico Collins as a A tier play. My wide receiver seven.
5:47He's played 41 games with CJ Stout. In those games, he's the wide receiver six on wide receiver 11 usage. He's averaging 96 air yards per game. In week
5:56one, uh it was the same old story there.
5:58He had 10 targets. He was the wide receiver nine, a wide receiver five usage. The hamstrings always make us nervous, but without Jaden Higgins, I
6:06nobody else can get open. This is the team with like the by far the worst separation score in the NFL, the most
6:12contested targets. Like they really only have one choice. They can't run the ball. It's to throw the ball up to Nico
6:18Collins. And then that brings us to the matchup against the Cowboys. Uh they just traded for Joey Porter Jr. I would
6:24not expect him to play that much if he can as at all. Their quarterback too, Kobe Durant, he's got a hamstring
6:30injury. He hasn't been practicing.
6:32Siobhan Rebell, he's got a knee injury.
6:33He hasn't been practicing. So this is a really bad quarterback spot. Duran Deron Bland does not make me nervous whatsoever. Texans projected for the
6:41eighth most points on the week at 26. Uh nearly we had Zay Flowers had 104 yards against them on like a couple dozen
6:50routes. He was a part-time player coming off injury. Steph Diggs was a wide receiver eight. Yeah, wide receiver eight uh back in week two on top of
6:58that. So just an excellent spot for Nico Collins to bounce back. Uh I would trust him as a start right away. Obviously CD
7:04Lamb's been balling just to go back to last year. 16 games with Nico Collins from last year to this year. He's got a
7:1025% target share in those. He's the wide receiver seven on wide receiver eight usage. Kind of parking him right here.
7:17Uh only Puka Nakua and Jackson Smith and Jigba have more than 88 yards per game since 2025 when he's been with George
7:24Pickkins there. So uh he's been running hot uh against some uh pretty decent defenses uh with the Ravens last week.
7:32This is going to be another difficult opponent against the Houston Texans. I still think they're a top three defense.
7:37They have not felt it that way. uh their linebackers are in are injured right now and that's been a kind of a soft spot
7:42most recently for them. Obviously CD Lamb can work over the middle there. Uh but then their outside corners just been getting dunked on a little bit. I
7:49remember DJ Moore going up, Dalton Concade going up on them as well. Um so I I think that this is a getable team.
7:56Uh even if they are one of the best defenses, that's just how much faith I have in the Cowboys offense. They're
8:02only projected for 23 points. So that's why I have CD Lamb ranked a little bit lower than usual. Up next, Parker
8:08Washington. This might be a little bit of a surprise here. Just kind of pushing this one as high as I can possibly put
8:13him. Since week 16 of last year, including the playoff games. Uh he's a wide receiver seven on wide receiver five usage. Wide receiver seven on wide
8:22receiver five usage. Uh this year he's been the wide receiver 12 in points. I think he's looked excellent on tape.
8:28It's very obvious to me that he's going to be the focal point. He's averaging a 31% target share, 122 airards since that
8:34week 16 game as well. So, it's like targets and downfield targets. Seven straight games uh with at least 11 and a
8:42half half DPR points. So, really exciting game environment here against the Bengals. They have an awesome number one corner in DJ Turner. I think DJ
8:51Turner is going to do the Brian Thomas thing. There probably be some uh routes against Parker Washington here, but there's a pretty big drop off from DJ
8:58Turner to the rest of the secondary. And I think that the linebackers and safeties have been very getable on tape as well. So, I think this is a great
9:06match up for Liam Cohen. He moves Parker Washington all across the formation.
9:10This is the perfect game environment for the real breakout to hit. Like, I'm talking like 25 points in this one. Um,
9:19Jacksonville's projected for 24 and a half points as a team total. So, I'm treating Parker Washington not as a fantasy wide receiver 2, but as a
9:26fantasy wide receiver one this week.
9:29Puka Nakua, like I don't know what to do exactly with this one. Obviously, when he's fully healthy, he's a top three guy
9:35for me every single week. He does face the Philadelphia Eagles. That means he's going to see some Cooper Dehene. That means he's going to see some Quinan
9:41Mitchell. Don't love the matchup even though the spine of the Eagles defense has been uh getable with Andrew Makuba at safety. Linebackers haven't been
9:49playing nearly as well. So, like in hindsight, this one could be like way way too low if Pukakua is back to form.
9:55Uh he's still dealing with this hip, groin, hernia. Who knows exactly what it is. Um, so I would love to see a full
10:02practice today on Friday before I move him up a couple spots. Uh, really tough player, but if he's not running as fast,
10:09maybe a little dock is okay. Zay Flowers, this is another one where like I want to rank him higher than the wide
10:15receiver 11. He's definitely an A tier player for me. He's ran 29 routes this year. He's turning them into 234 yards.
10:22That's 8.1 yards per out. Like last year JSN was like in the 4.0 0 range, which is like beyond incredible. Uh, and I
10:31think that there's a chance that Zay Flowers is going to do that. Declin Doyle's been doing a lot more under center offense for the Ravens here and
10:37then more play action like true under center play action, not like little like RPO play action attempts and Z Flowers just going to completely cook on them,
10:46assuming he's healthy. The only reason why I have him ranked down a little bit, it's not the team total. They're projected for 27 points. Uh, you do have
10:53the Derrick Henry revenge game factor against the Tennessee Titans. And I just don't know if the Titans offense is gonna make this game environment shoot
11:02out. So like if Z Flowers doesn't get his touchdowns early, like you could run into a situation where they don't have
11:07to throw the ball very much. So I'm expecting very runheavy game plan. Z Flower is good enough to get home there,
11:13but that's like kind of splitting hairs.
11:15He's going to be an awesome pick this season. Tedrell McMillan is my wide receiver 12. This is like loosely assuming Jaylen Coker is out with the
11:24quad injury. He's been DNP limited so far. Uh it sounds like he has a chance to play. I just don't know. Uh
11:30regardless, they're facing the Lions. The Lions have been absolutely gashed by everybody.
11:35Fourth most fantasy points allowed to wide receivers this season. Garrett Wilson just hit him up for almost 22 points. Chris Olive did the same back in
11:44week one. I've just not been impressed with them. They're still down. all of their starting safeties, their backup safeties on top of that. Uh they leave
11:52their corners on island and I think Tedro McMillan could beat average to bad corners pretty repeatedly. So that's what I'm expecting here. The Panthers
12:00are projected for 23 and a half points.
12:02So like somebody scoring a lot in fantasy. It's not going to be the Xavier Legettes who's hurt. Uh it's not going
12:08to be uh too much of the other wide receivers. I do have an aggressive ranking on Darren Waller, by the way, if
12:13you guys want to go uh read words. Uh use your brain. and keep that brain on, not scroll Tik Tok in uh stories uh all
12:22day long like you have to actually read on on occasion. And when you do read, you're going to read that Darren Waller
12:28projects very well. Link in the description down below. All my writing, all that stuff gets updated all the way to Sunday. Uh so make sure to go read
12:36some words. Let's see. Do I want Christian Watson in the A tier or the B tier? Um let's drop down a tier for
12:43Christian Watson. We'll go to the B tier. He's been an excellent player.
12:46Wide receiver four on wide receiver five usage. Careerhigh in volume as well. 9.3 targets per game. What's happened with the Packers is they can't run the ball
12:55because the offensive line stinks. The running backs also stink. Uh they're playing faster. They're throwing the ball more in neutral situations.
13:01Christian Watson is not just a downfield threat. They're doing like little quickouts, uh occasional screen to him, some slant routes that provides a higher
13:08floor than we've ever seen with Christian Watson. And aside from like a couple like 50-50 drop balls, Christian Watson to me looks like one of the best
13:15wide receivers in the game. So I want to keep continue to rank him very aggressively. Uh you also get the Tampa
13:21Bay Buccaneers. That's Vea and their defensive tackles. I would not even try to run the ball against them. Uh most teams don't. Uh so I'm expecting a lot
13:29more pass attempts here. Tampa Bay second fewest rushing yards per game this season. Only thing in the back of my mind is like what if the Tampa Bay
13:37Buccaneers offense like literally just can't move the football with an undrafted free agent quarterback. That said, Jordan Addison top 10 Denzel
13:46Boston wide receiver 11 against Tampa Bay recently. Uh so it's a good spot.
13:50I've actually changed my mind. Weaves Mosha, you can move him up. He's he's also an A tier wide receiver. Sorry about that. T Higgins. Yeah, this
13:57Tiggins is the perfect Btier player. I think this is a awesome spot for him.
14:02game environment, like I said, against Jacksonville is ripe for a bunch of points here. The Cincinnati Bengals have the highest neutral pass rate in the NFL
14:11at 65%.
14:13There's definitely enough room for both these guys to get home. He's the wide receiver, 18 on wide receiver, 25 usage.
14:19So far, there's going to be some massive games coming down eventually. Uh Jacksonville, they've allowed the 11th most passing yards per game. Uh they
14:28faced the Patriots without AJ Brown, the Broncos, and the Browns. Um, so I do think it's a it's a beatable defense.
14:34Teams typically also don't try to run the ball on Jacksonville because they have awesome edge rushers and defensive tackles are like physical edge rushers
14:41at that. Uh, and then I just trust Amarius Mims at right tackle as well. So not surprised Bengals project for 27
14:48points typically when the Bengals score 27 or more points. T Higgins is awesome.
14:53Same exact situation for George Pickins.
14:55The the difference is the Cowboys are projected for 23 points. the matchup is like actually difficult against the Texans. Uh, and just want to rewind back
15:04to 2025, including the 2026 data with CD Lamb. Uh, George Pickkins is the wide receiver 16 on wide receiver 11 usage in
15:13those 16 games. So, wide receiver 16 on wide receiver 11 usage in those 16 games. This year, he's the wide receiver
15:2040 on wide receiver 12 usage. So, the usage is the exact same from last year to this year. He just hasn't been quite
15:28as good. I think all that stuff's going to even out. It's pretty much the exact same target share. He's still getting
15:33utilized down the field. He's still going to get utilized in the red zone.
15:36Eventually, that stuff will translate here. I'm not for sure that this is going to be the week where it all comes
15:41together because you are talking about the Texans. By the way, teams facing the Texans have the lowest neutral pass rate in the NFL. So, we'll see if uh it's
15:50like more of a Javvante Williams game.
15:51All that said, George Pickkins way too good. Dak Prescott way too good. Uh, I still view him as a boom bust wide
15:57receiver too, even in difficult matchups. Devonte Adams down at wide receiver 16, like you know, awesome football player. This is assuming Puknua
16:06is out there. He just absolutely roasted Pat Sertan. I still cannot believe uh how well he did against press man coverage, offman coverage, zone
16:14coverage, double moves, you name it. He was excellent at the catch point. He was even running by players. I think he hit
16:20like 20 miles per hour on that little choice route where he split the safety and went up field uh towards the the
16:25sideline there. Uh I'm expecting Terren Ferguson to be out. I don't think that Colobby Parkinson's going to be out. So uh I think they're going to get Tyler
16:32Higgby in like the Terren Ferguson role.
16:34Uh all that stuff just kind of gets minimized when you have Puka Nakua back out there. So uh we'll see. This could
16:41be way too low. Um I think that he's going to have to go up against Quinan Mitchell who's, you know, just as good
16:46as Pat Certan is uh right now. So, I think he's going to be an excellent pick for where you got him, for as long as
16:50he's as he's healthy. And right now, he's healthy. Jaylen Wadd um this one's getting difficult to talk about because I can tell the Broncos are
17:02like their scheme is saying get the ball to Jaylen Waddle and then Bo Nicks is kind of like turning down some
17:07opportunities. Matt Harmon's talked about this with Nate Ty and he's just getting the ball out to the checkown like way too quick like right before
17:14Jaylen Waddle is open on some of these downfield routes. Uh, and then the the yards per target is just way down at
17:207.5. His career is at 9.3. So, I think he's firmly a positive regression candidate. He's also faced the Chiefs, Jacksonville, and the Rams so far. So,
17:31like a pretty brutal opening schedule this week. You get the 49ers offense.
17:37They haven't allowed a sack on offense.
17:39Like, that team's just been putting up points on everybody. Um, so I think there's going to be like a little bit of
17:44like catch-up mode potential here for Jaylen Wadd. 49ers don't have Nick Bosa right now. Michael Wilson went absolutely nuts against the 49ers. We
17:53talked about that on stats versus film.
17:56Uh, but it was a lot of the ways that you can use Jaylen Waddle. Some screens, some out routes, some balls to the
18:02sideline on occasion, some in cuts over the middle. Like I would just try to copy paste the exact stuff that Michael
18:08Wilson was doing uh with Jaylen Wadd here. Um, Denver is only projected for 22 uh and a quarter points here. So,
18:16boom, bust, wide receiver, too. I think better days are coming for Jaylen Waddle. But, um, I've been a little bit disappointed so far. Let's keep Jordan
18:23Addison in this tier as well. Uh, my wide receiver 18. This obviously assume Justin Jefferson is out. He hasn't practiced quite yet. Last week was a
18:33season high 10.9 expected half PPR points without Justin Jefferson. Uh he had multiple big plays down the field, eight targets, wide receiver 10 finish
18:42out there. Just wanted to rewind, he had multiple top 25 fantasy uh wide receiver seasons as a rookie and then as a
18:50sophomore. And that was with Justin Jefferson. Like I think that the Jordan Addison uh upside is still a little bit discounted. And when you get the
18:58Dolphins um on the schedule and it might be the worst secondary uh that I could remember. Um, and they got some young
19:06players out there as well. Uh, new scheme. So, there's gonna be coverage bust all the time. Jordan Addison's like the perfect player, uh, to kind of take
19:14advantage of that. So, I want a really aggressive ranking for Jordan Addison. I think I'm like, you know, 12 spots ahead
19:21of everybody on Jordan Addison. So, like, you know, my upgraded this is a Trey Tucker week take is probably Jordan Addison. He needs to come through for me
19:28because he was one of my highest drafted players this off seasonason. Football gives you plenty to debate before kickoff and even more to follow once the
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20:12football season all year long. The crown is yours. Speaking of Matthew Golden, I know he's on all of our fantasy teams
20:19because Josh and I would not shut up about him the entire off seasonason. Uh the breakout season is like to me so
20:25real. He's the wide receiver 14 on wide receiver six usage, wide receiver five targets per game, wide receiver 15 target share as well. ESPN just dropped
20:35their tracking data which they have this this stat called open score and they have like how good is your yard for the
20:42catch abilities? How good are you at the catch point? They put a score together and Matthew Golden's a wide receiver for
20:48five in that score through three weeks.
20:50He's right next to Devonte Smith, Garrett Wilson, Drake London, Christian Watson. He's making some incredible plays on the football. There's some like
20:57a little bit of like miscommunication issues. Uh he's still a very young player at 23 years old, but it's like really coming together for him right
21:04now. Like I said with uh Christian Watson uh pass first defense against Tampa Bay with Va there. And then the Packers just have one way to move the
21:15football right now and that's throwing the ball down the field. And by the way, Matthew Golden is not a downfield threat. He's in like the Romeo Dobs plus
21:22role. Like there's going to be some downfield attempts, but there's a lot of slants, quick outs, occasional screen.
21:28Like there's a floor kind of built in with Matthew Bold at this point. So going to be one of the best picks
21:33available this season. Michael Wilson up to wide receiver 20 here. I'm not even sure if we're going to talk about Marvin
21:39Harrison in this episode. We'll see how long I make it before tapping out.
21:44I'm have to redo this hairball. He went absolutely nuts. I think he's still underrated as just a talent. There's like downfield ability.
21:52He's great at the catch point. They threw him three screens last week. He had a fourth and one slant. Uh they're
21:57using him as a isolated receiver in 13 personnel. They had a little play action route for him where he was a first read
22:03target uh at the goal line that went for a touchdown. There was diving plays for first downs. There's like uh toetapping
22:10plays for Michael Wilson. Like really, he's he's just one of the better wide receivers in the NFL. And last week he
22:17had 28.7 expected half PPR points. That was a seventh most by a wide receiver this season. So like that was kind of
22:24like the reminder game of what the upside is for Michael Wilson. He had a dud against the Seahawks uh in week two.
22:31And I think maybe that game is kind of like, you know, threw us off the scent of what Michael Wilson's ceiling is. So
22:36uh since week 14 last year, he's had one bad game. The rest of that time, he has a 28% target share. In his last eight
22:45games with Marvin Harrison, he has a 22% target share. He's the wide receiver 24 on wide receiver 18 usage. If I'm not
22:52including some of the Marvin Harrison uh games as well where he missed, he is way higher than that. So like I'm beginning
22:59to wonder if like even this ranking is way too low for him. Uh he's the wide receiver seven in expected points this
23:06season and a good football player.
23:07Matchup is great against the Giant. They got corners on injured reserve. Brian Burns is now out for the season as well.
23:14like rookie uh linebackers, like definitely a defense to attack. Uh and I just wonder if Michael Wilson's like just still ranked too low by the
23:23community. Josh DS continues on with this tier. Uh last two weeks without Alec Pierce, he's the wide receiver 15 on wide receiver 11 expected half PPR
23:33points. Uh he's got this like very fun role where they're kind of sacrificing Keenan Allen to the perimeter and then Josh Downs is in uh the slot a whole lot
23:42more. Keenan Allen is too slow. Laquan Treadwell, they're just too slow. And that's who he's competing with for targets there. So like all like the fun
23:51stuff in the offense is going to Josh DS. And then that brings us to the matchup where the Commanders just been
23:58getting absolutely shredded. The most fantasy points allowed to uh wide receivers, the second most passing yards, almost 300 passing yards allowed
24:07so far uh this season. C Lamb was the wide receiver three a couple weeks ago.
24:11JSN was the wide receiver one overall last week. Dante Dantavian Wixs was a wide receiver 15 back in week one. Just
24:19their their quarterback play has not been good enough. Uh and then they have some injuries at linebacker that I'm monitoring. So the Colts are projected
24:27for 26 points, the fourth best of the week. That's makes us feel really good about Jonathan Taylor. That makes me feel much better about Tyler Warren. But
24:35I would not sleep on Josh DS as a real fantasy wide receiver too at the moment.
24:39Debo Samuel belongs in this tier. I'm assuming Mike Evans is out with that rib injury. We'll see if he uh plays, but
24:45Debo Samuel is going to be in inside. Uh he's going to be mostly avoiding uh Pat Certan here. Maybe in theory they would
24:54shadow Debo with Pat Certan, but he's just like moving around the formation too much where I don't think that's going to be as big of a deal. Uh without
25:01Mike Evans on the field last week, George KD 17 of 19 routes, Debo Samuel 15 of 19 routes, and then like Cadrell
25:08Hodgej already cut. uh Jacob Cowing, you know, Jordan Watkins, like these are the other wide receivers like Brandon Cooks, like literally off the street is going
25:16to be involved here. So, uh we've just trimmed down a lot of the players that they have to get the ball to. And um I
25:23think like this 15% target share is like his absolute floor in a game like this.
25:29You're getting hook and ladder touchdowns. You're going to get some choice routes out of the back field. Uh there's a lot of ways to kind of utilize
25:35Debo Samuel against these struggling linebackers in Denver. So, um, I wouldn't hold the passer tan stuff against DVO Samuel too much here. I
25:43think he's in in line for a pretty nice start. Let's continue with Rashi Rice.
25:48Um, really weird game against the Broncos back in week one. Kind of an okay game against the Colts. Got some cheat production. Last week against the
25:56Dolphins, it felt more like Rashi Rice was going to be involved in the game plan. He had eight targets, 12.1 expected, half PPR points. watching that
26:06game back like a couple designed looks, a couple like easy completions over the middle against, you know, Miami there. I don't think that he looks fully back,
26:14but he's like healthy enough to score some fantasy points. I don't think the offense is going to run through him, but
26:19this offense is projected for about 26 points against the Raiders. Um, so I don't think we're going to get wide receiver one stuff from Rashi Rice. I
26:27think Kenneth Walker is like too involved. Travis Kelce is holding the line. Uh, they're still doing some screen stuff to to Xavier Worthy. Um,
26:35but I think that Rashi Rice is gonna like be just fine in fantasy. Like not round three fine, but I think he's gonna
26:41be okay. Uh, especially if they get him more involved like they did this past week. Let's drop down a tier uh for
26:48Luther Burden here. Um, awesome awesome touchdown that he had in the red air design play for him. We got to keep
26:54those uh involved in the offense. Still don't know who's going to be the starting quarterback uh this week. I'm not sure if it largely matters. Like
27:02that's how good Ben Johnson is. Uh obviously we can trust Case Keenum after last week. Uh and then they they think
27:07that Tyson Bean like they were like crying at one point about Tyson Beant like that they might have to trade him.
27:12Uh which is like I still can't believe those stories from a year or two ago. Um but I have faith in the quarterback
27:20offensive line play caller and then Luther Burton's pretty easy to get some touches to. So uh he had 20.4 expected half PPR points last week. That was a
27:28careerhigh. his previous uh career high in expected points was at uh was that like at 12. Um so he almost doubled his
27:37previous career high in usage. 26% target share is a season high or is a team high as well. So I kind of believe
27:45that he's going to be a fantasy wide receiver, too. The Jets don't scare me whatsoever on defense. Uh this is an
27:52eruption spot if you're looking at the uh passing EPA uh chart as well. Um, so let's let's ride this high. I hope that
28:01he kind of evens things out because it was a pretty brutal stretch over like the last five games before last week for
28:06Luther Burden. Um, but hopefully that touchdown kind of earned some more trust there. DJ Moore, this is just a tough matchup assuming Christian Gonzalez is
28:15going to play. He's got a new injury.
28:17We'll see if he's going to play through that or not. Assuming that he's out there, I I docked him a couple spots in
28:22my rankings. I think the role is going to be excellent for DJ Moore. uh 11.3 expected half PPR points in each of his
28:30two healthy games back in week one against the Texans last week against the Chargers. Uh and then he got hurt literally in the end zone. So there's
28:39going to be plenty of opportunities for DJ Moore. The Patriots have done a good job um against these kind of like
28:44boundary ex-wide receiver types. Um and you know it's been like Jeremy Bernard, Jacobe Meyers, like those type of players kind of lead the team in
28:53targets. Um, so it could be more like a little bit more Daltton Concaid if Christian Gonzalez is on DJ Moore. Not
28:59enough to bench, uh, just enough to kind of move him down in my rankings. Steph Diggs like just continues to make a lot
29:07of plays on tape. Uh, he's the wide receiver 16 on wide receiver 24 usage.
29:12Still has like these like awesome moments like after the catch where he's got enough juice at like the first level and he's still like just so smart. He
29:22drew a defensive pass interference on a comeback play last week. I think that David Blau is doing a lot of fun things
29:28uh for Steph digs in particular in the back field. Fake screens, a bunch of nonsense going on out there in addition
29:35just like letting him cook in isolated matchups like little choice routes underneath. The Colts have not been able to stop anybody. Uh third most pass
29:43yards allowed per game. Uh and you know like Xavier Worthy was a top 24 wide receiver against them. Z Flowers had
29:51that crazy game in a half against uh the Colts. I think you know you can do some level of Z Flower stuff with Stephic. So
29:58just trust the game environment. Trust Marcus Mariota. Um and he's looked good on tape. Malik Neighbors hasn't looked good on tape if I'm keeping it a buck.
30:07Um kind of slipping and sliding. We don't see like the crazy yards after the catch moments. He had like one uh like
30:13kind of burst moment where he caught the ball cleanly. Uh but I'm not seeing like quite as much explosiveness. I'm not
30:20seeing quite as much uh pizzazz at the catch point and a lot of his routes are kind of like just underneath like kind
30:26of going nowhere type of routes. Have not loved his involvement. Uh last week the Giants had the lowest neutral pass rate at 29%. Uh Malik Neighbors average
30:37depth of target was one yards down the field. I think that Jameus Winston's arm is like borderline completely cooked.
30:43Uh, I'm hoping that was just the rain, but if that wasn't the rain and that's just his arm, like it's just not going
30:50to matter here. So, I like the match up against the the Cardinals. Don't like the team environment and Malik Neighbors is not Malik Neighbors on tape right
31:01now. So, I think startable because he's Malik Neighbors, but don't think that he's going to be the best pick in fantasy. Dantavian Wix, my son's
31:09namesake over there. Dantavian. Uh I think showing out for the Winkx family.
31:14Um if I'm keeping it honest here, this is assuming Dvonte Smith is going to miss Bo Wolf. Uh one of the Eagles
31:22reporters, really hilarious dude on top of that. Go check out his stuff. Uh he believes that Dvont Dvonte Smith might uh miss multiple weeks here. So like Mai
31:30Lemon's available, go pick him up. And then I think Dantavian Wixs is going to be startable. No, Dallas Goddard still as well. And Zach is not going to be
31:37earning a bunch of targets here. So they have no choice. They're going to have to throw the ball to Dantavian Wixs as the
31:42number one wide receiver. Dvonte Smith's been the wide receiver 23 in usage as the wide receiver two. Devont Dontavian Wixs been the wide receiver 47 in usage.
31:51I think that that number is going to come up. Uh you get the Rams defense, a very good one, a very well coached one.
31:58Makes me nervous. Uh they still have Trent McDuffy. I can see McDuffy and Wix going at it for a large part of this
32:03game. And I think that McDuffy is just a caliber player above Dant. So don't love the matchup.
32:10That said, the Rams are not going to have Jaylen Watson, their number two corner. No Miles Garrett. Aaron Donald hasn't practiced that much. He hasn't
32:17been the same level player as well. I think the Eagles are going to try to run the ball like right at the Rams who play
32:22kind of light uh in the shorts a little bit. Um but the reality is Dantavian Wix has been more or less an intermediate
32:28and downfield threat and the Eagles have a 20point team total. When they get in the red zone, they don't throw the ball
32:34down there. So, uh, I liked Octavian Wixs as like a wide receiver three start. I don't want to get too carried
32:41away. Um, because, uh, there's a lot of negatives still in the profile. That brings us to old Jameson Williams here.
32:48So, I wanted to spend some time on this one. Um, on my little website that I that I've built to help out for my my
32:55research um, in the show, uh, I have like their last 10 games. And I think this is like kind of a good way to kind
33:00of look at this. This is just the reality of the situation. It's going to be dud dud dud dud dud. And then he's
33:06going to finish as a top 10 wide receiver um multiple times in a row. You can't get too high on him. You can't get
33:13too low on him. The one big change is the Sam Leaport of stuff. So, I looked this thing up. Since 2025, when Sam
33:20Leaport has been on the football field, Jameson Williams target share drops to 16%. Without him on the football field, that's 21%. And then where his targets
33:30come, it's 11 yards uh down the field with uh Sam Laaporta. It's 14 and a half yards without Sam Laaporta. So it's
33:38fewer targets and the targets are more downfield. I'm okay with downfield targets. It just makes makes your weekly floor a whole lot uh harder to hit
33:47because the ball is harder to catch. Um in the games with Sam Laaporta, he's been the wide receiver 55. Uh and then
33:56uh with Sam Laaporta or without Sam Laaporta, it's expected half PBR points at wide receiver 16. So very clear splits with Jame Williams. I still think
34:06that he's going to be a low-end wide receiver three. It's just going to be very up and down. That brings us to the
34:12matchup. The Panthers just placed both their top two corners on injured reserve. I think the rest of their defense has been pretty beatable this
34:20season as well. They're projected for the 27th most points. I could see a, you know, downfield touchdown in this one.
34:26And then I talked about ESPN's uh analytics for their like the the little uh metrics in the shoulder pads. Jameson Williams is wide receiver two in open
34:35score. Wide receiver two overall. So like I've noticed him on tape running the same type of routes, winning those routes. The ball just not got to him.
34:43He's dropped a couple passes, but I do think big days are coming. I really don't think that much has changed here
34:48except that he's just going to have to operate a little bit more down the field. So, you know, that's just what
34:54the situation is with Jameson Williams.
34:56It sounds exactly like the rest of his career. Terry McLuren continues on here.
35:01Uh, awesome game from him in isolation.
35:03Uh, just winning over the top against Josh. He's a great fit with Marcus Marietta. By the way, Marcus Marietta has the highest average depth of target
35:11over the last couple years. He's a backup quarterback that just wants to push the ball down the field. He knows the system obviously if you watch that
35:19game against Seattle. Uh, so I think that Terry McLuren is going to be a totally fine player even with a backup
35:25quarterback. Uh, the Colts corners have not been so great. Sauce Gardner versus Terry McLuren will be like a pretty even matchup, I'll say. And uh, I I just
35:36think that the wide receiver 20 usage, wide receiver, 18 targets per game so far, uh, is enough to have some faith
35:42for Terry McLaren even without Jaden Daniels. He's also like a positive progression candidate just in general.
35:47like even after last week like he's still not scoring as many fantasy points uh as he should and I think that Terry
35:54McLuren looks the same on tape. So boom bust wide receiver three. That brings us to Devon Bailey and I actually want to
36:00keep him in this tier as well. Look, the Saints just want to pass the ball like crazy and they want to push the ball
36:09down the field. They are still number one in neutral pace. Devon Bailey has been the wide receiver 22 in expected points. He's been the wide receiver 25
36:17in actual points. Uh you can see three games in a row here where it's almost the exact same usage across the board,
36:24startable usage that is. And then I was looking at the hashtag data here. And the Falcons defense has allowed the highest neutral pass rate allowed. Their
36:35depth pieces at edge rusher are more physical types and they got decent linebacker play. without AJ Terrell, their weakness is actually in the
36:45secondary and like pass rushing in general. So teams have been passing the ball at over a 65% rate in neutral situations against the Atlanta Falcons.
36:55That's even like more reasons to believe in Devon Ble as not like this like interesting storyline, but like someone we can actually trust as a wide receiver
37:03three. So he's kind of like an underrated player. one of my sneaky starts of the week and then I hate to do
37:09it to you but Keenan Allen I think is kind of just going to be an annoying play. Um so this week like I said the
37:17Commanders they have absolutely stunk on defense. Uh the Colts projected for 26 points now uh in London. He had 58 yards
37:26against Washington last year for what it's worth. But really, just to me, this offense is like just like too good uh to
37:34be like, you know, stagnant. And all of their passes are going to be underneath without Alec Pierce, which means I think there's going to be more
37:43drop backs because when Alec Pierce's roll in, those are like 40 yard chunk plays when they work. Uh or they just
37:50punt the ball. this styled offense and I I remember watching with the Texans game last week, it just get the ball out
37:56really quick and that just means there's going to be more pass attempts involved in the offense. So last week he was the
38:01wide receiver 18 but on wide receiver 13 usage he was he had nine targets in them. He's scored a touchdown, a little
38:09shallow cross against those vulnerable Texans linebackers right now. Um so obviously he's competing for targets against Josh, Tyler War. Those guys are
38:17way better than he is. But I I think there's gonna be enough volume here for Keenan Allen to kind of be like an
38:23annoying wide receiver three for like you know if your team's injured or there's by weeks. Um so um he should be
38:30rostered. I think that brings us to Lad Mani. I I'll drop down a tier. I don't know if he's going to play. Um new
38:37injury was a foot injury. He was a limited participant on Wednesday and then did not practice on Thursday. So I don't know how to calibrate this one. uh
38:46except that the the dang Chargers are projected for 17 and three/4ers points against the Seahawks. Um like there's just not there's nothing optimistic I
38:57could say about anybody on the Chargers this week. Jacobe Meyers, this is just the game environment that you want pieces of. Absolutely. Uh highest game
39:05total of the week. Uh Brian Thomas is just not earning targets. He's not even earning playing time at this point.
39:10Jacobe Meyers, I don't think that he's like that good, but all these little crossing routes over the middle, Trevor Lawrence been just throwing him up and
39:19he's been scoring some touchdowns here.
39:21Um, I think he's going to see some DJ Turner, but man, he already has finished as the wide receiver 25 and wide
39:27receiver 16. Uh, and last week his usage was at a wide receiver 20 level. So, uh, game environment is too good for for
39:34Jacobe Myers to not be in the flexible wide receiver three range. Amecha Ibuka.
39:40Um, look, I get us being more optimistic on Jaylen uh Jaylen Daniels uh than other undrafted free agents. Like there's like actually some starting
39:52experience here uh at Kansas. He's got a live arm from what I've watched. Uh and they just rave about how smart he is.
39:59And at the same time, it is an undrafted free agent rookie starting uh in week four. Uh Greg Rosenthal pointed this
40:06out. This is the earliest in the season in NFL history that an undrafted player has started at quarterback. So, you know, just there's no floor with Amecha
40:15Ibuka. Um, I still think he's the focal point of the offense. Like, when I go back and look at the play designs from
40:20Tampa Bay, they're still doing some fun stuff with him. Uh, he's had 8.8, 8.8, and 8.7 fantasy points. So, he's kind of
40:27like held this like wide receiver three line, and that was when Baker was playing like total ass. So, you know, I
40:34think more of the same for achuka. Uh they're projected for 18 points this week. Um Packers defense I think is a
40:43little bit feisty as well. Ganon does some interesting things. So I think another reason to feel a little bit skeptical of the Tampa Bay this week. Um
40:50so Amecha is like definitely not a mustart at this point. That brings us to Mai Lemon. Um they just have not used him correctly in
41:01my opinion. Like all of the screens have not gone anywhere. They just don't have any tight ends or wide receivers that
41:06can block for him. And then I think Mai Lemon's best on like out routes. I think he's best on seam routes. He's got more
41:13contested catchability than most slot wide receivers. He's got a little bit more physicality than most slot wide receivers. I think we're going to have
41:20to get into that uh this week without Devonte Smith, without Dallas. This is a pure projection as well. Uh he's going
41:29to face against a really good uh Rams defense as well. He's going to see some Trent McDuffy. I really don't like his
41:35odds against him. Uh he's not a super explosive player, so I don't think we're going to see like 50 yard plays from him
41:42necessarily. Uh but if the Eagles are trailing to the Rams here, I can see Mai Lemon sneaking up getting seven, eight
41:49targets in this one. So desperation play. He at least has to be picked up. I I know he's available in a lot of
41:55leagues. Um because the Devonte Smith hamstring injury, uh Bo Wolf is already projecting him to miss a couple games here and he's been on the ham on the
42:05injury report with a hamstring for many weeks in a row now. So, um Mai Lemon a must uh add player if he's available.
42:12Malik Washington was somebody that we were talking about as a must add on the uh stats versus film when we were
42:17talking about waiverss. He's been crossraining at running back and wide receiver. They only needed two active running backs last week because Blake
42:28Washington could be a backup. He looks like Devon Aan um stylistically. So, I think that he's going to get very involved in the offense. He's a wide
42:37receiver 21 in expected points already.
42:39Wide receiver 16 targets per game, wide receiver at 19 in air yards per game, wide receiver nine in target share. I
42:46watched him stack uh first round corner man sort of lane on tape on a vertical route. Malik W Malik Willis uh missed
42:53him of course, but uh there's something here with Malik Washington. Um the Vikings against uh the Dolphins like that's that's going to be a complete
43:02blood bath most likely. But um sometimes the Vikings are like okay with like little quick outs and then rallying to tackle. That's kind of what Malik
43:12Washington does. So like if anyone's going to get home, it'll be in a PPR scam. And I do think that Malik
43:17Washington by far is my highest rated Dolphin. Uh and then for the backfield, real quick update. Jaylen Wright's going to play. He was number one listed on the
43:26depth chart. If you're starting Jaylen Wright or Aldi Gordon this week in fantasy, like just log off, take a walk.
43:32Don't turn the TV on on Sunday. Go hit the gym. Go do something productive.
43:36Like you have no chance against the Vikings defense. Khif Raymond. Uh and we're probably just like throwing names up at this point. Josh does a good job
43:43of this. Uh Khif Raymond. Uh, then I have Courtland Sutton, Roma Dunay, Trey Tucker, um, you know, Romeo Dobs type.
43:53So, let's just hit the Bears wide receivers real quick. Khalif Raymond is been playing good football uh, the last two weeks and that's I'm using that
44:03sample as like the real sample because Roma Dunce is like playing full-time snaps at that point. He's been the wide receiver 53 and the wide receiver 38 in
44:11expected points. So that's enough to have some like wide receiver for faith and then he's just been very good. Um he
44:19knows what he's doing out there. Ben Johnson obviously trust him. He plays in half of the 12 personnel sets. Uh he
44:26plays in the slot when they're in three wide receiver sets. He can sit in zone coverage. Uh so you know there's a
44:33little bit of a PPR thing going on with him. He's a wide receiver 19 and a half PPR scoring so far. Bears projected for
44:4023 and a half points. Um, look, I I think you can do worse than that. And then for Roma Dunay, we got to catch the
44:48football. Like, I I don't know what else to say here. Um, he's had 10 uh most recent games. He's gone under his
44:55expected half PPR points in eight of them. Like, he's just not living up to how involved he is in the offense. Like,
45:03it's as simple as that. So, he's got to catch the ball more. I still think he looks fluid on tape. I can't explain how
45:10bad he is at catching the football. Um 87% route rate last week. You know, the Bears are still an awesome offense. He's
45:16still way too talented to be this big of a bust. Uh but, you know, at some point we got to prove it. This has been, you
45:24know, eight weeks in a row where he's finished with like around five half PPR points. So, really unfortunate there. Uh Courtland Sutton, Trey Tucker, I think
45:32we know what we're signing up for. Deep uh plays down the field. And then Patriots, my top wide receiver is Romeo
45:38Dobs, but like you know, Matt Collins has been outpacing him, so we can't talk about these guys. Uh, and then Marvin
45:44Harrison. Jesus. Let's end it there. All right. Um, that'll do it. This was an outlier week. Josh will be back. You
45:52know, the rankings episodes will be Josh and Hayden, assuming our Wi-Fi gets fixed here. So, with that, we'll see you guys on Sunday morning. Go read some
46:01words over on Yahoo. I'm updating my rankings all the way through Sunday morning there. Uh, and good luck this week.
