0:00We've got you covered! Yes, it's the first edition of Week 1 Wide Receiver Rankings 1 through 48.
0:05And Hayden's got some onion hangers for you, including Matthew Golden.
0:08I don't want to spoil this for you, but yeah, the preseason fantasy draft season love extends over into Week 1.
0:14Matthew Golden is a Top 36 wide receiver in these rankings.
0:17Also, are you debating these Bears wide receivers or what you should do with Rashi Rice, Malik Nabors, coming off of injury.
0:23We cover every single one of these topics, including all, and I mean all of the new play callers and offensive coordinators
0:30and how they impact these pass catchers. That's coming up next here on Yahoo Fantasy Football with Josh and Hayden.
0:35It's Week 1 Wide Receivers time. We're going to go at least 48 deep here.
0:39I mean, Hayden, we've talked about these players for months.
0:42One last moment, one last look at the depth charts, the injury reports, who's practicing, who's not.
0:47Obviously, we're recording this a couple of days earlier than we were expecting, but it's the first rankings episodes of the season.
0:53Yeah, super excited. I will have Rashid Shaheed, Romeo Dobbs, those guys written up if you guys want to go read.
0:59Some of you guys still read Yahoo Sports will have all my written work this year as it'd be a version of the same blueprint.
1:06And then we'll be hitting these wide receiver rankings typically on Friday, but too many games.
1:11Nothing else to do right now. You know, Wednesdays and Thursdays, just throwing wrenches into our plans.
1:16We're going to talk about those Wednesday and Thursday wide receivers too in this episode.
1:20So if you're watching on Friday or Saturday, just ignore them.
1:23Just fast forward. And yes, Hayden's going to be updating these all the way up until Sunday.
1:28And by the way, Sunday we are starting earlier than ever before, 1030 a.m.
1:32Eastern here on the channel up until kickoff. So basically two shows back to back on Sunday morning.
1:37So lock in and be right here at that moment.
1:40Here we go. Puka Nakua is your wide receiver one this week.
1:43This is against the San Francisco 49ers. Hayden, I think my question for the Rams and Puka in general is what changes this year?
1:50Because every year there is a change for Sean McVay.
1:53Is it even more 13 personnel? Are they going to live out of 12 personnel and use Terrence Ferguson as their wide receiver three?
1:59And maybe specifically for Puka, do we see more red zone targets for him immediately after he proved it that he can
2:06do it once Devante Adams went down last year?
2:08Rams always fascinating. I think they're going to double down on the 13 personnel stuff and they got a lot out of it.
2:15And I think that it does give defenses like a lot of things to consider.
2:19And I think that their skill talent at wide receiver and tight end indicates that would be the case.
2:24That's good news for Puka Nakua. He's just going to dominate targets.
2:28And I hope that the red zone stuff gets a little bit closer together because Devante Adams league high 0.76 touchdowns per game in the red zone.
2:35Who can a coup was at 0.32? So pretty much doubled them up in the red area.
2:40And even without those red zone touchdowns, he easily finished as the wide receiver one.
2:44He scored almost three more fantasy points per game than JSN.
2:47So I was looking at the 49ers splits because obviously these teams have played each other plenty of times.
2:53Who can a coup has two games where he left halfway through those, those games.
2:57So you kind of have to kind of discount those games.
3:00And even then 85 yards against the 49ers on average.
3:03Jamar chase is your wide receiver too. It's against the Tampa Buccaneers.
3:06I think Joe Burrow has always been a bit of a slow starter sometime.
3:10That's because, you know, he misses portions of training camp.
3:13But even last year when he was healthy in that first game, it wasn't a great performance.
3:18The other part of this is the Bengals have told us that they're going to change like the under center play action stuff.
3:24Hayden, is that going to be consistently good? And how much of it are we going to see here in week one?
3:30Yeah, I think they're trying to get more explosives on the ground.
3:34That's the primary primary focus for that. But I also think they're going to try to do some of the play action deep stuff.
3:41A lot of the Bengals offense the last couple years since the defenses have kind of changed how they defend them has been more dink and dunk.
3:48That's still made Jamar chase an awesome talent. What's interesting about this matchup is just the pass funnel nature of the Bucs defense.
3:55Vita Veya is back. They just gave him a big deal.
3:58Fairly unproven starters at cornerback to and in the slots of Jamar chasing is a good matchup for him teams historically just
4:04passed the ball against the Bucs six and passing yards allowed last year versus 27th and rush yards.
4:09That's largely a Vita Veya stat. Yep. The third highest projected team total.
4:13These Cincinnati Bengals have here at 27. It's notable because you know they're bringing back all five offensive line starters, but the
4:19Bucs hope is a much improved pass rush with you know, yeah, yeah.
4:23I'd be healthy and Reuben Bain brought in and some other pieces to on top of it.
4:27So that's the matchup I'll be watching for this one.
4:30I'm on Ross. St. Brown is your wide receiver three.
4:33This is against the Northern Saints. He was my wide receiver three in dress heading into this year and I can't wait
4:39to see what he does with drew petzing and that office.
4:42There's a totally great matchup here. And I think just beyond the matchup by the way, the Saints number one in neutral
4:49pace, the lions play with a lot of pace.
4:51So this could just be able to have the most plays and most points of the entire week.
4:56The lines are predicted for the second most points.
4:59Like this is just a great matchup from on Ross St.
5:02Brown. And then the other big thing is without David Montgomery has been a 10 game sample where David Montgomery either missed
5:08or finished with five or fewer carries. You'd like an injury or something like that.
5:12A Monro's average 20.9 PPR points, 22 expected PPR points.
5:15It was like wide receiver one overall. That's 8.4 receptions, 103 receiving yards per game in those 10 games.
5:20So I think that he's a total, total monster.
5:23Uh, and we could see without David Montgomery this season, that someone like a Monro St.
5:28Brown gets even a little bit better this season.
5:30So I think he likes firmly in the elite wider super one category.
5:34Your first change compared to consensus rankings, which by the way, I compare Hayden stuff to consensus out there, 70 plus experts.
5:40And we get to see like the real differences, the real stands that Hayden makes every single week is Justin Jefferson as
5:46your wide receiver for, um, I mean, he's wide receiver.
5:49Six for them. This is against the Green Bay Packers again, changes, not in play caller, but in the quarterback.
5:55And as we have seen, whether it be Kirk cousins to really Carson wins to Nick Mullins, to Sam Darnold, to whoever
6:01else, uh, Justin Jefferson is a productive wide receiver.
6:03So I'm really hoping that JJ McCarthy and Max Brosmer do not handle the football in this game.
6:08I will say even in week 18 with JJ McCarthy and Max Brosmer, Justin Jefferson did have 101 yards against these green Bay Packers.
6:15I've been listening to a lot of green Bay Packers podcasts, uh, because it's been one of the fascinating teams for, for fantasy purposes.
6:22And whenever they talk about the defense, they are very concerned about their cornerbacks.
6:26And then they're going to use a little bit more man coverage, a little bit more off coverage this year with a new scheme over there.
6:33And I think that plays right into someone like Justin Jefferson, who's like the best route runner against off man coverage in the NFL.
6:40So I think this is a fantastic individual matchup for Justin Jefferson.
6:43The Packers beat is very, very concerned about their defense right now without Micah Parsons.
6:48Uh, and then like you said, he averaged a hundred receiving yards from 2022 to 2024.
6:52If you remove the games with Josh jobs and Jaron Hall are kind of like scramble quarterbacks that's with, you know, Kirk
6:58cousins, Sam Darnold, Nick Mullins, you name it. I think that Kyler Murray is absolutely going to be in that tier.
7:04I think that Kevin O'Connell can win coach of the year.
7:07Kyler Murray can win comeback player of the year.
7:10And this is a fantastic, uh, week for Justin Jefferson to get going.
7:14Yeah. I always love to try to predict the week one reactions because again, it's an entire off season of trying to guess what's going to be correct.
7:21And you know, the Vikings projected here for 24 points.
7:24Uh, and if they have an excellent showing, uh, despite what being at home in this one, um, I could see some
7:30major reactions to what Kyler Murray looks like in Kevin O'Connell's offense.
7:34And what he doesn't. The reason I have had Justin Jefferson as a round one fancy pick all summer long is because his role really didn't change.
7:42It's a huge target share, huge number of air yards, and it was just the people throwing them the football.
7:47And while I'm not the highest on Kyler Murray out there compared to the world, uh, I think he is good enough
7:53to like clear the bar of what you have to be in terms of being good enough in KLC's offense.
7:59Yep. I'm very excited to watch Kyler. By the way, real quick, we don't have quarterback rankings, tight end rankings as videos this year.
8:06We're doing too much other things. I have them, uh, over on Yahoo.
8:09Kyler Murray is going to be my quarterback. So if you're looking for rankings, go read.
8:14There will be over on Yahoo. That'll be in the description down below too.
8:18So you can always check out quarterbacks and tight ends in the description of these YouTube videos.
8:23Chris Olave is your wide receiver five. This is at the Detroit lions.
8:26A couple of spots ahead of consensus here. Who has them as wide receiver seven.
8:31Yeah. Just another fantastic matchup here. They're a seven point dogs, uh, in Detroit.
8:35Ben Solak had a great, uh, stat about the, the lion secondary, the oldest of any team in the last 15 years.
8:41I should do not think they have the speed to match up with Chris Olave.
8:45The saints are still projected for over 21 points here.
8:48Uh, he was already the wide receiver seven per game last year, wide receiver six per game usage under Kellen Moore, number one in pace.
8:55Uh, he got better when Tyler Shuck was involved.
8:57He got better after Rashid Shaheed left. He averaged 9.9 targets per game after week 10, 86 yards.
9:02Those are clear wide receiver one numbers without Jordan Tyson.
9:05Nothing really has changed. Looking at the betting markets.
9:08Only Puka Nakua has more projected targets, 10 and a half for Chris Olave.
9:12Jawan Johnson probably ranks quite highly in your tight end rankings on top of it too.
9:16I think like five or six. Ooh, I didn't expect it to be that high.
9:21Sorry. I didn't check out every single one of your, that's awesome.
9:24All right. Next is JSN as your wide receiver six.
9:27As we know, this is tonight's game against the New England Patriots.
9:30I mean, last year, JSN accounted for 37% of the team's receptions.
9:33According to Reeves, that is only behind Brandon Marshall and Steve Smith since at least the 2005 season.
9:39Um, now we get a play caller change as we always talk about.
9:42Things happen when we get new play callers, new quarterbacks, all that type of stuff.
9:46So I also think it's reasonable to say, Hayden, that Rashid Shaheed outproduces what Cooper Cub did last year.
9:52So I'm really intrigued to see how JSN, who was a top three ranked wide receiver almost on a weekly basis in
9:58your rankings this year, opens as wide receiver six.
10:01You got him a couple spots lower than I typically do because of the matchup.
10:05Christian Gonzalez is obviously awesome. I rewatched the Super Bowl, the JSN versus Christian Gonzalez in prep for this.
10:10And, uh, JSN had nine targets, only 27 yards.
10:13Uh, Christian Gonzalez wasn't shadowing him the entire game, but typically Christian Gonzalez would follow him to the right.
10:18So the, whatever side JSN was on. And then there was some man coverage reps where even if JSN went into the
10:24slot, Christian Gonzalez was, was in there. So it's very rare to see like a true shadow in the NFL.
10:30I would say this was like shadow adjacent. And if you go back and I re, uh, read my Super Bowl notes,
10:36Christian Gonzalez was like shadowing like Cortland Sutton in the previous game.
10:40So I think it's gonna be Christian Gonzalez versus JSN.
10:42This will be the best matchup of week one.
10:45I can't wait to watch it. But Christian Gonzalez is one of the few cats that you have to, uh, realistically lower the wide receivers he's, he's facing.
10:53Yeah. And Sam John missed JSN on a few big plays in that game too.
10:57So we could be in for a big one.
11:00So don't just look at obviously the box score from the Super Bowl.
11:03Next is teammates. CD lamb, wide receiver seven, George Pickens, wide receiver eight.
11:07All I heard from Cowboys fans during draft season was, Hey man, George Pickens looks like our wide receiver one.
11:13And here they are in the true fancy football rankers debate, uh, back to back for you.
11:17Yeah. I mean, it's a fantastic matchup for, for both of them.
11:21The giants were pathetic against the run. I can see hard by like over correcting, bringing more guys into the box and
11:27then leaving their corners on islands and their corners are not good.
11:30Deontay banks, like they have been trying to replace him.
11:33Guess what? He's listed as a starter. Greg Newsom is also a very volatile player.
11:37Drew Phillips had some like competitive moments early on, but it's kind of fallen off recently as well.
11:42It is not a good secondary right now. So I can just see hard by bringing that safety into the box.
11:48Another linebacker and leaving these poor guys on islands, fifth highest projected point total, despite being on the road.
11:54The Cowboys are going to be projected for like second, third, fourth, fifth, sixth, uh, most points pretty much every single week.
12:00So there's a chance that both these guys get home, uh, and CD lamb splits.
12:04He was still like basically the same guy. He just didn't score as many touchdowns last year with George picks.
12:10That's typically kind of evens out. And then even with, uh, CD lamb, George pickings average 77 yards per game, wider receiver 10 and wider super 13 usage.
12:18And the big thing for pickings last year was he wasn't just a sideline downfield ball winner.
12:22They gave him more and more gimmies. His eight out was lower.
12:26Where he caught more passes over the middle of the field and all that type of stuff.
12:31So his game changed, uh, when, you know, switching spots.
12:33I do think that George pickings could pass CD lamb.
12:36Do you think it's like, I think that's like firmly on the table.
12:40Yeah. Yeah. A hundred percent contract a year and all of it, you know, he's fired up.
12:45Nico Collins is your wide receiver nine against the Buffalo bills corners.
12:48I mean, Buffalo went through some changes defensively, as we know, changes offensively, uh, new head coach in charge.
12:53And meanwhile, Nico Collins. I mean, if you talk about gaps of top pass catcher to secondary pass catcher, he is up
13:00there among the top five or six across the league right now.
13:03My first line is Collins. The most likely wide receiver to have to have a JSN type of breakout season.
13:09It's just, it's this exact same situation, elite defense.
13:11There's no wider super two certified baller on tape.
13:14He's been good, uh, for stretches. I think everything's kind of coming together for him.
13:18He's been a more up and down wide receiver one.
13:21Like last year, he was the wider receiver 11, a wider receiver 11 usage.
13:25This is a difficult matchup. Christian Benford's a really good top corner.
13:28Uh, I do think that, uh, K Sean's going to do all the vertical stuff and I'm hoping that Nico Collins gets
13:34back into like the screen game, more crossing routes.
13:37Cause he can do literally anything that he wants out there.
13:40And I'm hoping that they just doubled down, uh, Nick Kaylee learns.
13:43Like we have to steam up Nico Collins a little bit more this year than he had, uh, last season.
13:49Yeah. 21 and a half. Isn't a horrible team total, but you know, 21 and a half is less projected points.
13:55Then like the Panthers and the Raiders and the Steelers and the Giants and a whole bunch of other offenses that you don't expect.
14:02So just something to keep in mind here with the Texans and yeah, I'm, I'm excited to come to a season long
14:08conclusion on what K Sean booty's role is going to be after just one game here with the Titans or the Texans.
14:14Yep. Okay. AJ Brown is next again, new place changing environment.
14:17I'm wondering Hayden, how this is going to rejuvenate AJ Brown.
14:20Um, obviously when his quarterback has been under center on 420 routes, uh, this is from Reeves.
14:25He has averaged 4.35 yards per route run last year.
14:28Drink may right 10th and snaps under center last year on drop backs.
14:32Uh, and now we get like the tight window throws, but again, he could see a whole bunch of Devin Witherspoon inside and outside in this one.
14:39Yeah. This is probably the best time to catch the Seahawks though.
14:43Devin Witherspoon is definitely going to be a problem.
14:45Those two are going to match up plenty, but, uh, Nicky man war is questionable after ankle surgery.
14:50Tyo Kuda is ruled out. They obviously don't have reek wall in and Kobe Bryant, uh, uh, after the off season as well.
14:57Um, now it's still the Seattle Seahawks in Seattle on ring night.
15:00So it's going to be, it's going to be a terror to play in there.
15:04Uh, but I just think that there's going to be a chance that Josh McDaniels features AJ Brown to such a degree
15:11that even in bad matchups, it doesn't really matter.
15:13Just wanted to, uh, reiterate Devante Adams had 180 and 175 targets with Josh McDaniels a couple of seasons ago.
15:19Uh, and that was like, I think around like the age 30 season that AJ Brown has right here.
15:24And I will also say weird off season. And then in training camp, like it was just a normal training camp for AJ Brown seems healthy and stuff.
15:32So I think that he's going to hit the ground running, you know, comfort, happiness, impact players a lot.
15:37And AJ Brown seems to be in a good place with all that stuff.
15:41So maybe that's a section of the field. We don't talk about section of the game.
15:46We don't talk about enough. Devante Smith speaking of is next as wide receiver 11.
15:50Uh, look, this is a totally new passing game with Sean Mannion.
15:53We have no idea really what it's going to look like, uh, with backups during the preseason, the offense really sputtered at sections.
16:00But Hayden, if you draw it up against a retold reworked Washington commanders defense really might be the most important debut and
16:06great opponent for this passing game to hit its stride in week one.
16:10The commander secondary still looks bad to me. It's Russell Douglas, Mike Sanders, still a Meek Robertson.
16:15Like those guys have had like moments, but like those are not consistent corners.
16:19I think it's going to be a pretty bad.
16:21Yeah. It's, I think this is still just an awesome matchup for him.
16:25The Eagles are seventh in projected points. Uh, we had like really awesome notes in our running back rankings episode for, for Saquon Barkley.
16:32Um, and the splits without AJ Brown for Devante Smith were unreal.
16:35Wide receiver 10 in targets in the games. It's only five games without AJ Brown.
16:39That's nine targets. Like he typically has not gotten nine targets.
16:42That would be awesome. Really just want to see the splits on Sean, uh, uh, the Sean, uh, Mannion offense, how balanced they are more motion.
16:50Are they going three wide? Are they doing Devante Smith in the slot?
16:53There's like so many unanswered questions here. I think ultimately it will just be a positive, uh, versus last year.
16:59And I want to be ranking Devante Smith aggressively.
17:01Just overall, the game total in this game has dropped from 47 and a half down to 44 and a half.
17:07That's the biggest line movement of the weekend. Three points.
17:10Uh, that's probably because they think that Saquon Barkley and the Eagles running game is just going to burn the clock here.
17:16You know, smart. I like it. T Higgins is your wide receiver 12.
17:20We already talked about the under center stuff with Joe Burrow and what his office is going to do.
17:25I will say that again, the last time that T Higgins played 17 games with Joe Burrow in that stretch, if you
17:32package it all together, I believe he was the wide receiver four.
17:35And points per game. Uh, that doesn't always mean it's the most consistent because you know, he's right on this fringe of
17:41wide receiver two territory and even wide receiver twos are roller coasters on a weekly basis.
17:46Yeah. Expanding the sample back to 2022, 39 games with Joe Burrow.
17:49He's the wider super 13 or wider super 14 usage.
17:52That's where I'm going to kind of like stick the landing with him.
17:56Uh, the past funnel bucket here, same notes as Jamar Chase applied to T Higgins a little bit more volatile than other
18:02guys in this range, but he can have two touchdowns and run away with it.
18:06All right. Before we go any further, just want to say to you people, thanks for making our draft season, our August, early September.
18:13So fantastic. If you're new around here, hit that subscribe button.
18:16Again, our show schedule leaves a throat on the screen right now.
18:19We've got you covered both before games on Sunday and then after games on Sunday night football.
18:24Mondays, we get the waiver show as soon as Monday night football ends here with Joel Smith on Tuesday.
18:29It's stats versus film, which is live this year with me and Hayden and Matt Harmon.
18:34Uh, and then Wednesdays, as you know, just listen to that episode.
18:37It's Justin Boone with running back rankings. And we're back here on Fridays with wide receiver rankings on top of it.
18:43Plus Hayden's appearing on shows in the Yahoo fantasy forecast.
18:46So am I, I'm doing that on Thursdays on top of it.
18:49So we've got you covered. On every single channel and every single angle.
18:53If you leave, you know, 2000 likes, that's the goal for this video on top of it.
18:58Drake London is your wide receiver 13 talking point at the Pittsburgh Seeders.
19:02Hayden, how is Kevin Stefanski going to balance Drake London and Kyle Pitts with Tua Tungvalu at quarterback?
19:07Um, I'm not sure if I have a good answer with that.
19:10And I think on top of that, uh, Joey Porter is a really good top corner.
19:15Um, and I'm just concerned about the split because Zach Robinson would get Drake London on the inside.
19:20Looking at the rest of the depth depth chart, they have a bunch of other slot guys.
19:24So like, are they going to like make that a priority still?
19:28Obviously Kyle Pitts plays in the slot too. So yeah, this is one where there's definitely more questions than answered at the same time.
19:35The Falcons offense has not been all that clean.
19:37Um, and since 2024, Drake London is the wider receiver five on wider receiver five usage from 2024, all the way to week 11.
19:44When he had that PCL injury, only Jamar Chase and Justin Jefferson have a higher target share over that span.
19:50So you can only move them down as low as this.
19:53And I felt like Dilti even keeping outside the top 12.
19:56Yeah. I guess my concern is, you know, we're talking about the Pittsburgh Seeders here.
20:00It's not like one of the top teams in the league and the Falcons are still only projected for 19 points.
20:06Maybe that'll change when Penix takes over. Cause if you look at Drake London attached to Michael Penix, Kirk Cousins, Desmond Ritter,
20:12Marcus Mariota, like obviously the London stuff is at the best at the highest rate and kind of goes down from there a little bit.
20:19Um, and the other point is Joey Porter, didn't he miss most or all of the preseason holding out like that, that
20:25impacts as we have seen players early in the season.
20:28So I do wonder get a great second half of last year, if he's going to be able to immediately hit that stride against someone like Drake London.
20:36Yeah. The, the Steelers did, they have just so many defensive linemen and you saw like Jalen Ramsey out there.
20:42So it's like not even just Joey Porter, like this will be a top 10 defense for sure.
20:47Garrett Wilson is your wide receiver 14. My hot take this week is the jets are undervalued.
20:52Okay. 18 and a half projected total. The third lowest.
20:54This is against the Tennessee Titans. They are obviously underdogs to the Titans here on the road, but man, the Titans allowed
21:01a league high 18 PPR points to opposing wide receiver one targets last year.
21:05I understand that they bring in Robert Sala and yes, they bring in Alante Taylor in free agency, but Alante Taylor was
21:11at his best in new Orleans as a slot corner.
21:14So if they move them outside to me, that's a projection and not just a projection.
21:18That's what you should take advantage of. If you're Garrett Wilson, not a night match.
21:22Yeah. Taylor's like a really aggressive corner. And you say that as a compliment, also derogatory at the same time, Cordell fly
21:29kind of up and down as well. So, uh, and there's still don't have like a third quality corner, um, in Tennessee.
21:35So I think it's a good matchup. I agree with you.
21:38I would not rank the jets as the 31st offense this week.
21:41I think that's way too low. Um, Mike Leone had a great tweet about, uh, Garrett Wilson as well.
21:47Just that if you just like, look at the amount of dropbacks that actually turn into past attempts.
21:52And then what happens on past attempts between Gino Smith and Justin Fields, it's like a 40% increase in fantasy point production for, uh, the wider receiver group.
22:00So, and I think that the rest of the skill group getting better is going to help them stay on the field more.
22:06But those guys aren't so good that Garrett Wilson's target share is going to come down to like 23%.
22:11It's kind of like that goldy lock zone here where I think, uh, Garrett Wilson's going to be a great pick.
22:17If you got him like somewhere in the fourth round.
22:20I mean, just incredible analysis right there. Just incredible analysis.
22:23Like this is goldy locks down. That's your stuff.
22:26This is the, the area and the year. I think that Garrett Wilson, who we've been out on correctly in previous seasons,
22:32I'm in on Garrett Wilson this season. And, uh, hopefully it turns out right.
22:36Hopefully we time it correctly. Zay flowers is the widest here at 15.
22:39Speaking of overreaction Satan five in zone targets for Zay flowers last year.
22:43This is in a dome. They are favorites. I will go nuts if we get what two in zone targets or even two red zone targets.
22:50I'll take that Declan Doyle. Uh, show me something here.
22:53Yeah, that would be awesome. He's the wide receiver 13 in yards, wide receiver 47 in touchdowns per game or the past
22:59two, uh, past two seasons with Lamar Jackson. So just closing that gap, uh, there are six and projected points.
23:05Indianapolis Colts defense, I think is one that's going to be very boom bust sauce Gardner.
23:10He's returning from a torn Achilles. Justin Whaley, who I loved as a prospect, he busted his ACL going into his rookie season.
23:16He's gonna be making his debut. He's a slot defender.
23:19Obviously Zay flowers going to play some slot here.
23:21So two guys coming back from injury, that's going to be who's, uh, defending Zay flowers.
23:26I like his chances. I know like Matt Harmon, I think in, in our bold predictions, uh, or season, uh, predictions, he
23:32said that Zay flowers could lead the league in receiving, uh, I had Niko Collins clearing 1500 yards.
23:37I forget what you had, uh, for your bold predictions.
23:40Sean scribbling to finish as the rookie wide receiver one.
23:43I mean, is it that bold? Cut his mic.
23:45You can only take so many notes in the off season.
23:49Hey, and when I can just reuse that stuff for these columns, I will reuse it over and over and over.
23:54I think four or five of those group pieces.
23:57I just wrote about Deshaun's replay. Very predictable. Stealing my bit.
24:00Speaking of, I mean, half the league is changing offensive coordinators and play callers for the play caller standpoint.
24:05That is Ted Erwin-Millen here with the Carolina Panthers.
24:08Uh, the reason I bring that up, I mean, we know he was second in the league in terms of 43% of the air yards.
24:15As a rookie for the Panthers. Um, but what needs to change here is getting the football to him on early downs.
24:21He was third highest in target share on third downs last year, but 22nd on early downs.
24:26So this is what Brad Edzik needs to do.
24:29You know, get the ball on first and second down to team Mac.
24:32And there's so much talk about he and Jalen Coker playing in the slot.
24:36It was about 40% of the snaps in the preseason for both.
24:40That's the easy way to do it here, especially against the bears who are going to be without Kyler Gordon.
24:45Yeah. Stealing all my notes there. It's just, it's an easy problem to solve here.
24:49Like he's one of the easiest guys to throw the ball to.
24:53He was already the wide receiver 24 as a rookie.
24:56And typically in your second season, you get better.
24:58So I think that this is an appropriate ranking.
25:01Uh, it really just comes down to the bears defense.
25:04Is Jalen Johnson good or bad? He's had good seasons.
25:06He's had bad seasons. And I don't know what's going to happen this year.
25:10It seems like he's a little bit more motivated.
25:13Uh, they have a first round safety, Dylan, the end of men, who was awesome.
25:17He's going to be making his debut. But at the same time, Kobe Bryant, Kyler Gordon are like the, the veteran, like more stable pieces.
25:24And both of those guys are out. So I would be surprised if the Chicago bears are once again, second worst against fantasy wide receivers.
25:31Still, I would think that they're one that we should be targeting.
25:35The Panthers are expected to lose by just three points against the bears.
25:38But if they bears go absolutely crazy here, I think that Ted Arone and McMillan could have like eight, nine, 10, uh, 10 targets here.
25:45Panthers new tackles and Rashid Walker and Monroe feeling if they hold up well and the pass protection is good, then, um, that would be a fantastic day.
25:53I think for, for team act potential. I agree.
25:56I agree. Lad McConkie Hayden, I've been fantasizing for five months now of Lad McConkie being with Mike McDaniel and Justin Herbert
26:02and that trio and what they can create here.
26:04So I'm really dreading looking back on this game and Lad McConkie is like a 63% snap player.
26:10Uh, I need to be a 93% snap player.
26:12Yeah. I can't say I've been fantasizing, but I've been, I've been intrigued by what's going to happen here.
26:17This, uh, Chargers offense is going to be using two wide receiver sets.
26:21What does that mean for Trey Harris? What does that mean for the tight ends?
26:25Keaton Mitchell seems like he's going to be back.
26:28What does that mean for the running back group?
26:30Very exciting offense to get right because the Chargers are first in team total 28 and a half points.
26:36They're expected to beat the Cardinals by 10 here at home.
26:39Lad McConkie has been a wide receiver one for stretches.
26:42He fell off a cliff last year with Keenan Allen, totally different offense.
26:45I think that this one's great for Lad McConkie.
26:48He's reminds me of Jalen Waddle. Who's been in this mix.
26:51And then obviously to a, like basically he couldn't win the starting job.
26:55And now you have Justin Herbert for Mike McDaniel.
26:57So very intrigued to see this one. The snap count is something I am paying attention to for Lad.
27:03Okay. Let's go Jalen Waddle next. He's your wide receiver 18.
27:06Another player that we've talked at length about the summer.
27:09This is at the Kansas City Chiefs. I mean, this Broncos team not projected for that many points.
27:14However, they have seen a spike in it over the last couple of days.
27:18I think it's been an increase in two and a half team total points for them up from 28 and a half to 23 and a quarter.
27:25So maybe I was brainwashed early in the week.
27:28But for Monday Night Football, Hayden, let's say the line is moving in the direction here.
27:32The Broncos to put up more points than expected.
27:35Yeah, the Chiefs defense, obviously a ton of changes here.
27:38If Mansoor Delaney, their first round corner lives up to his potential.
27:41And he was like a can't miss prospect to me.
27:44Then I think this is going to be a pretty tough matchup.
27:47They have more depth on the defensive line this year than they ever had before.
27:51So I think the Chiefs defense still squarely in like the top 10 mix this year.
27:56Playing in Arrowhead with Mahomes coming off an ACL.
27:58It's going to be rocking on Monday Night Football.
28:01I hope this is the lowest at ranked Jalen Wall for the rest of the season.
28:05This is, I think, a very difficult matchup. But the Chiefs always play wide receivers very well.
28:10Even though they're undergoing changes in the secondary, you just always know Spag is going to end up figuring this out.
28:16So this is, I think, going to be one of the most difficult matchups for Waddle the entire season.
28:22And still, I have positive notes for him. Okay, Malik Nabors.
28:25Wide receiver 19. I don't know if you saw this, but I got tagged in a big post by Stefania Bell appearing on Matthew Barry's show.
28:32She said she can't remember, and she's been doing this for a very long time, when a wide receiver was coming off ACL plus LCL surgery.
28:39I mean, we hear about these ligament combos all the time.
28:42And I was certain that this wasn't as rare, but apparently it's incredibly rare.
28:46But Hayden, she said not necessarily it's about his rehab with the knee being okay.
28:51It's about the confidence in it. It's about being out there and going up for a catch and not being afraid to
28:57get hit and all that type of stuff. And while she might be more in on 2027 versus 2026.
29:02But then, me, I don't have a lab coat.
29:05I don't have a degree in this. But I just look at this depth chart, and if the Giants cut Darius Slayton,
29:11and the depth chart at wide receiver is what it is, wouldn't you just simply expect Malik Nabors to be full go 100% despite maybe comments suggesting otherwise?
29:19That's what I had in my notes too. They have four guys at wide receiver right now.
29:24I think they'll bring up like Braxton Berrios or something like that.
29:27But right on the active roster, it's four wide receivers.
29:30Now, this is a team that's going to be in two wide receiver sets and one wide receiver sets a lot this year.
29:36But I think those end up being positive notes for Malik Nabors.
29:40So this is like the bottom of that huge tier of wide receivers that we loved in round three and round four.
29:46I'm starting Malik Nabors at the bottom and then hopefully every single week that goes up and up and up.
29:52But because there's no other wide receivers, I feel pretty confident he's going to be out there for a lot of snaps.
29:58I think he's not going to be fully himself early on.
30:01But man, 80% of Malik Nabors is still a great football player.
30:04All right. One of your big moves is coming up after this one.
30:08Next, you have Jamison Williams. Wide receiver 23 to consensus.
30:11Wide receiver 20 here for you. Again, high projected team total.
30:14Second highest of the weekend. Only behind the LA Chargers.
30:17And we also have talked about Laporta in a Petsing offense.
30:20Jameer Gibbs in a Petsing offense. I'm on Ross St.
30:23Brown in a Petsing offense. And, you know, Jamison Williams is like, Hey, what about me?
30:27Well, here you go. Your top 20 wide receiver in week one.
30:30Yeah, this one's like going to be very difficult to get right.
30:34Because when Sam Laporta historically has been on the field with Jamison Williams, his ADOT goes up by like three or four yards.
30:40There's a lot fewer crossing routes, more of like big post routes and go routes.
30:45Now, I think Jamo has been improving every single year where I think that you just he's been too effective at the
30:51crossing routes and stuff that I would keep doing that even if you have Sam Laporta.
30:55So I think that there are on off splits with Sam Laporta and like those do exist.
31:00I don't think they're going to be quite as drastic moving forward.
31:03On top of that, the Lions defense at points was very good.
31:07And now I think they're going to be pretty suspect through the air, plus the Saints run a fast paced offense.
31:13So it's going to be way more volatile than all the 19 guys we talked about ahead of him.
31:18But Jamison Williams is going to have some weeks where it's like two touchdowns, 118 yards.
31:23If you start ranking that guy's wide receiver 30, you're in trouble.
31:26We always love the pure downfield vertical ability of Jamison Williams.
31:29But the value really is I'm crossing routes against the grain and then getting the football in his hands and letting him boogie after that.
31:36OK, your first onion hanger of the season at wide receiver is Parker Washington consensus wide receiver 27 for you wide receiver 21.
31:43This is against the Cleveland Browns defense. I mean, once fantasy rankings, the dust settled there, the ADP was Parker Washington, then BTJ, then Jacoby Myers.
31:50Hayden, are you a little bit surprised that Parker Washington and the Jags didn't get a deal done before the start of the season?
31:57Or is it P-Wash just believing in his ability and being like, hey, you're not offering me enough here?
32:02Still a couple of days until the season. So let's see if he actually gets one.
32:07But if I was Parker Washington, I would certainly consider, hey, what if I hang a thousand yards this season?
32:12As the number one. And I'm going to get even more money the following offseason.
32:17Week seven was his kind of like debut as a full time player last year.
32:21From that point on, he was PPR as wide receiver 18, wide receiver 15 usage, 21% target share, which is about the wide receiver 21 as well.
32:28He was a full tier above Brian Thomas and Jacoby Myers.
32:32Sounds like Travis Hunter is going to start the season at corner.
32:35So I think that this is a great spot for Parker Washington.
32:38Looking at the depth chart for the Browns as well.
32:41Obviously, Denzel Ward's their top corner. He's going to be on Brian Thomas.
32:45And I think that it's going to be Tyson Campbell and Miles Harden, their slot corner.
32:49That's who Parker Washington is going to be going against.
32:52I just think in general, it's a good spot for him.
32:55Yeah. For those that have questions of this wide receiver trio, and if they were drafted correctly, again, once we got to
33:01week 11 and beyond last year, Parker Washington was viewed and produced as the wide receiver one.
33:06Also, look for who was running the 15-yard routes over the middle of the field.
33:10That matters so much here for Liam Cohen. And on top of it, when all three of these wide receivers are on
33:17the field, Parker Washington moves in the slot like 63% of the time.
33:20So, yep. He's wound up on like a ton of my teams.
33:24I'm excited. Very, very excited to see what happens here.
33:27Emekek Buka is your wide receiver 22. We talked about this Bengals offense.
33:30What about the reworked Bengals defense against a wide receiver here and near two coming off of turf toe or dealing with that?
33:37And maybe facing DJ Turner, one of the more underrated defensive players in the league.
33:41If you guys remember last year, the Bengals were one of the worst defenses, but they were actually second best against fantasy
33:47wide receivers because DJ Turner was like a wide receiver one eraser.
33:50And then their linebackers and safeties were so miserable that the tight ends and the running backs would just go absolutely crazy.
33:57I don't think that the split between wide receivers and the rest of those positions is going to be quite as drastic this season.
34:03Emekek Buka sounds like he's going to be playing.
34:06We'll get the final practice reports. If we get a full practice in by the end of the week, I might rank
34:12him up a couple spots from here. But turf toe, you know, coming back from turf toes is no joke.
34:18There is a drop off from DJ Turner to down to Dax Hill and Jalen Davis.
34:22And I'm curious to see exactly where Emekek Buka is going to line up.
34:26Chris Godwin is probably going to be playing in the slot.
34:29But I'm hoping that Emekek is going to be playing more of the flanker spot than the X receiver spot that he was playing.
34:36And if that is the case, I think that Emekek is not going to be up against DJ Turner every single snap.
34:42So kind of like threading a needle here. Yeah, you get to motion amended stacks and free releases and all that type
34:49of stuff when Nick Buka is the Z. Okay, let's talk Rashi Rice.
34:52Wide receiver 23. Hayden, when he's been on the field previously, he's scored what 15 plus fancy points per game went on the field.
34:59Like that is in regular season. That is in the postseason.
35:02And guess what? He is going to be on the field here against the Denver Broncos.
35:07And if he's not going to be the focal point, the passing game, who is in 2026?
35:11I think he will be the focal point. It might not be as drastic as of a split as it was previously.
35:18And I think they're going to pass the ball less.
35:20I think the problem with Rashi Rice right now is one, is he the same level player cleanup procedure?
35:26Then he went to jail. I haven't loved what I've seen from the training camp practices.
35:30So I would love to see some full practices going into this.
35:34And then all of us just watch the game and see how he looks.
35:38On top of that, the Broncos played man coverage more than anybody in the league last year.
35:42They have this guy named Patrick Sertan. And the rest of their secondary is awesome as well, including their nickel corner.
35:48And Rashi Rice has been terrible against man coverage.
35:51So it's just like not a good matchup. You look at the career games against the Broncos, 38 scoreless, 56 yards scoreless,
35:5772 yards scoreless, four, four, and six reception. So like compared to like every other team, the Broncos have played Rashi Rice as good as anybody.
36:04Chiefs also only projected for 23 points, middle of the pack right here.
36:08All right. Christian Watson is your wide receiver 24 to close out the wide receiver two category.
36:13His game evolved last year. Can't wait to see what it does this year.
36:17There's not going to be, we hope, I mean, we truly hope a wide receiver rotation.
36:21These three guys are going to be glued on the field.
36:25And even in two wide receiver sets, Christian Watson is going to be glued on the field.
36:29This is the Minnesota Vikings defense. They, you know, mug the gaps up front and then play zone in the back.
36:35So that can be difficult. So I do think in the step that Watson took in terms of out routes and lower
36:41a dot and attacking more blades of grass could really benefit here in week one.
36:46There's not going to be a rotation. Even their wider receiver four, Savion Williams, he's on injured reserve.
36:51So it's like, it's sky more, who's a kick returner and other guys.
36:54You can't even pronounce their last names. Like those are the backups for, for all three of these guys.
37:00So this is the best chance that Jaden Reed, golden and Watson can get home.
37:04The Vikings secondary is looking pretty rough. Byron Murphy, Isaiah Rogers, Jay Ward are their starting corners.
37:09And I was listening to those Packers reporters and they think they can just throw the ball all over Minnesota and that
37:15they don't have a good pass rush right now, which I think is true.
37:19Like Dallas Turner is not taking the step. They have some interesting defensive tackles, but they can just like drop back and
37:25throw the ball over the top against the Minnesota Vikings because their secondary is not good.
37:30And Christian Watson was fantastic. This team's going to play with more pace than ever passed the ball, more than ever.
37:36And I think they're going to use a running back by committee and they don't trust those guys.
37:41They trust Jordan love, Christian Watson, Matthew golden, these guys.
37:43So I have a pretty aggressive rankings. All of them.
37:46Yeah. Vikings just brought back Harrison Smith, you know, got to take a slumber, a CS to all training camp and then
37:53pay him over like $10 million here. That's nice.
37:55Nice money. If you can get it. Okay. Devante Adams is your wide receiver 25, even though he missed the final three
38:01weeks of last season, Devante Adams still led the NFL in touch.
38:05He had 28 in zone targets, which according to rich rebar in the worksheet, that was the most recorded since that data started being tracked.
38:12And the next closest player had 18. So he had 10 more than anyone else.
38:16Devante Adams is one of those players that, you know, we could look back on during fancy draft season of, Oh, he's old.
38:22Oh, he got banged up as the season went along, all that type of stuff.
38:27And then, Oh yeah, he's on the Rams and he's their go-to player inside the 10 yard line.
38:32We probably should have just been drafting that a bit more often.
38:35Yeah. I'm just does it again. I can totally see that.
38:38I'm a little bit nervous with this ranking. I might have to reconsider this one.
38:42He was the wide receiver nine, a wide receiver five usage last year.
38:46And what happened is the red zone role was, was legit.
38:49And then between the twenties, his eight odd was like 16 yards down the field.
38:53I think only a couple of wide receivers in the NFL had a higher a dot outside of the red zone, the Devante Adams.
39:00So he's an extremely boom bust wide receiver and that he has to score the touchdowns or has to score or come
39:06down with some of his, his deep passes. So we'll see what his role looks like.
39:11Didn't love that. They were considering trading him last year or this off season, but I will be moving him up.
39:17This is, this is too well. Next. You have both bears, wide receivers and your name is Hayden Wink.
39:22So that means you have room with Dunze ranked ahead of Luther burden, even with maybe some, negative buzz about Roma doing
39:28say like we still, we're recording this early so we can get it out for the Wednesday and Thursday games.
39:34I wish we had more, you know, practice designations for what Roma doens day is going to be like over these next few days.
39:41Ben Johnson was asked what injury it is. He said it is not about the foot fracture, stress fracture that Roma doens they played with last year.
39:48And in fact, I think the bears beat writers have mentioned it's to the opposite knee, but again, it's been like walkthroughs
39:55and jogging to the side and, and limited participant and all that type of stuff.
39:59So where are you at with a dunze and burn here against the Carolina Panthers?
40:03I don't stress about injuries until I see their practice report.
40:06So if he's, if he's not going to play, I will take him out for my rankings.
40:11I'm assuming he's, he's playing for, for now. Um, and Roma dunze was the wide receiver 20 in usage of his last
40:17four games of the season before he got injured last year.
40:20He was actually, uh, performing extremely well. Uh, he was the wide receiver 18 and usage wide receiver 22 in targets per game.
40:27Uh, now you don't have DJ more. I think that Roma doing there's a very good player.
40:32And, um, I think the matchup is, uh, is, is not the best.
40:35The Panthers have two really awesome corners. And I think that their defenses in general looks a little bit better.
40:41So I have Roma dunze and Luther burden ranked a little bit lower than I otherwise, uh, would, but obviously it just comes down to the report.
40:49I'll have all this finalized later. Speaking of injury report, Mike Evans is your wide receiver 28.
40:53This is the Thursday game against the LA Rams in Australia.
40:56Mike Evans recently said that all of his injuries were minor, that this was all basically part of the plan that they had.
41:03Hey, and I didn't know like croins and quads and maybe future hamstrings were part of the plan, but I guess they were.
41:09Um, and then he's going to be managed every week, which does make sense.
41:13Um, I will add that this Rams defense goes from one of the worst cornerback rooms in the NFL last year to
41:20adding both of the chief starters in the same off season.
41:23Yeah. So we'll see what happens here with, with Mike Evans and his passing game and company.
41:27Uh, I'm in enticed by, you know, a 27 year old Mike Evans on this offense, but we get a 33 year old version instead.
41:35I kind of believe that they were just like, you know, it was maintenance, the entire training camp.
41:40Like you miss like, you know, three or four practices in a row and stuff.
41:44Like what does he have to do in training camp to, to prove himself?
41:48So I kind of believe that, uh, obviously you can get injured later on, but I think that for this, this game,
41:54he's going to be a full participant. Um, the matchup is definitely very difficult.
41:58Trent McDuffie and Jalen Watson. Watson was on the injury report though.
42:01So we'll finalize that. Um, but it'll be most likely Trent McDuffie on, uh, Mike Evans here.
42:06The team totals only had 22 and a half points.
42:09It's 18th for the 49ers. It's not a whole lot.
42:12That's what's going to happen against the, the Rams defense.
42:15No, Aaron Donald, uh, helps on the margins here, but miles Garrett versus, uh, Trent Williams is going to be going to be a treat for us.
42:22Uh, I think Mike Evans was like pretty solid last year.
42:25Um, so I think that whenever he's out there, we want to like rank him as a starter for sure.
42:31DK Metcalf is wide receiver. 29. Hayden, do you believe in Antarctica or is that just where another civilization lives inside of the earth?
42:38Well, DK Metcalf smart because you know, this is, this is complete red meat for Aaron Rogers and he wants the rock.
42:44So this is the perfect time. 150 targets in the direction of DK Metcalf is, is what I took from, from that piece.
42:50Yes. Yes. He's a smart guy. He knows what he's doing here.
42:54Last year, uh, Metcalf was a wide receiver 28 and a wide receiver 34 usage.
42:58Um, and obviously Michael Pittman's in the rotation. Now you, uh, draft journey Bernard, it's going to be a totally different offense.
43:04So I don't want to like look into last year's stats too much in general.
43:08I think the Steelers are going to pass the ball more.
43:12And it's just like something that McCarthy does versus the, uh, the last coordinator for the Steelers.
43:16Uh, DK Metcalf was not throwing the ball down the field at all last year.
43:21Um, and then when he was splitting time with other wide receivers, his target share, like really fell off a cliff.
43:27So I can see this one end up going either way.
43:30Uh, AJ Terrell for the Falcons is, is not the easiest matchup one-on-one, but the Falcons pass rush is pathetic.
43:35And I think that if Aaron Rogers is not actually threatened by a pass rush and he can just dice, uh, uh,
43:41the defense up with his mind, it's a pretty good spot.
43:45So I think DK Metcalf is absolutely a start.
43:47Average 55 or fewer yards in 11 of his 15 games last year.
43:51Um, but man, every single show that Aaron Rogers appears on right now, he's talking to DK Metcalf.
43:56Like if Mike McCarthy can give Rogers that self-belief that he used to have to read it out with this improved offensive
44:02line, then yet DK is an interesting player. He'll probably be used differently than he was last year on top of it.
44:08You have Marvin Harrison jr. As your widers here at 30, this is at the LA chargers.
44:13How many times did you have Marv this summer?
44:16Uh, not many. This was officially like that dead zone.
44:18If you guys were watching the Yahoo expert league for like three rounds in a row, nobody liked their picks.
44:24And like that kind of started with like Marvin Harrison.
44:27Uh, they're expected to lose by 10 points. Game script is definitely on Marvin Harrison's side here at the same time.
44:33It's pretty clear that Michael Wilson's going to be very involved in the offense.
44:37You have training bride. So there's only so many touchdowns to go around when you're projected for 19 points here.
44:42Chargers defense is one that I think has a chance to go from like top five down to closer to middle of the pack.
44:49That's how good of a coordinator. Jesse Minter is they, they have like some stars on the defense, but it's not like littered with stars everywhere.
44:57So I think in general, it's a fine matchup for him.
45:00I'm very curious to see if LaFleur is going to be like pot committed to running the ball or if they're going
45:06to do the PPR scam stuff that we saw in second halves last year.
45:10Um, yeah, I don't know. I know a lot of people with the Cardinals this year are just baking in like, Oh,
45:16we're going to get the same garbage time stuff that we got last year.
45:20As you know, Hayden, I think that that is such a tight needle to throw out, like a tight rope to walk
45:26in that you have to be bad for three quarters almost, and then just be able to turn it on in the fourth quarter.
45:33Like I would just kind of bet against that repeating itself over and over and over again, even with Jacoby at quarterback.
45:39So you're hoping this team is more competitive in the opening three quarters than they were previously.
45:44Uh, and maybe they came with LaFleur at the same time, the markets don't believe so when you're, you know, underdogs by 10 points in the season opener.
45:52Terry McLaurin is your wide receiver 31. You are well behind consensus here.
45:55Uh, they have him as wide receiver 26. So what gives you concerns here against the Philadelphia Eagles on the road?
46:01Oh, Quinnian Mitchell is being an all pro corner and that's who's going to be up against.
46:06And if it's not him, it's reek wall in who's a total, total upgrade for their cornerback to spot.
46:12And then you have Cooper Dejean, who's not going to see Terry cause it's in the slot, but like, man, this defense,
46:18this is going to be a total problem, like a total problem.
46:21I think people are kind of discounting what the Eagles could do this year.
46:25Like if Sean Mannion goes, is like a real coordinator, this team like absolutely is like a contending team.
46:30Uh, it's players like Queen Mitchell to answer your question for, for, um, for Terry McLaurin.
46:35And that's all, it's also the pass rush. Like if they're having center problems, like this is not a team you want
46:41to have center problems with Jordan Davis and Jalen Carter, and you're having center problems and guard problems.
46:46Like no, and a blitzing Zach bond to, you know, you got to pick it up and all that type of stuff.
46:52It's, it's tough. Yeah. I mean, remember go back 365 days when people were freaking out about us suggesting George Pickens because
46:59he was an outside downfield wide receiver when they faced off against the Philadelphia Eagles.
47:03Uh, and guess what? Terry McLaurin has to do that here.
47:06Shut out. And, and week one, I did notice Hayden, um, every single one of my Yahoo coworkers, including you pick the
47:12Dallas Cowboys to win the NFC East. And I picked the Philadelphia Eagles.
47:16So do you want to rework that right now?
47:18That was a great call. I'm going to scan through all of those.
47:22I was like that, that was, you know, you want to be contrarian every once in a while.
47:27I think the Broncos to go to the Superbowl.
47:30That was my contrarian take the Eagles winning this division is, is a, is a great one.
47:34Yeah. I mean, aren't they the favorites? I haven't looked at it, but I would assume they're the favorites, but based on,
47:41you know, this graphic with literally eight other people on it, picking the Cowboys and picking the Eagles.
47:46Hey, I get in the good graces of Philly.
47:48That works out for me, which is good. That's always a good thing.
47:5250, 50 chance. It's not going to be the commanders of the giants.
47:56So like if, you know, 90% of us pick the Cowboys, you know, you're on the good side here.
48:01There it is. Okay. DJ more slots in as wide receiver 32.
48:04This is at the Houston Texans. I'm assuming DJ more be ranked higher than this in future weeks.
48:09Again, this is the Texas defense that has awesome corners, awesome linebackers.
48:13Again, incredible pass rushers up front. Uh, at the same time, we still get to see and figure out what DJ more
48:19looks like in his second iteration of a Joe Brady offense.
48:22Yeah, I think I might slide him ahead of, of Marv.
48:25You can just like drop Marv down a couple of spots here.
48:29Um, now it's, I do that every episode, uh, second guess myself with Marv.
48:33Um, with DJ more, there's going to be, I think some manufactured stuff, maybe not as much as, as he has in previous seasons.
48:39He has to win over the top. It's a very difficult defense to win over the top.
48:44I will say the bills returned for their offense alignment and they usually keep that thing, uh, protected pretty well.
48:50So, um, I think they'll be able to hang with the Texans defense, but as a top five, uh, defense against fantasy
48:56wide receivers last year, obviously Derek Stingley is going to see a lot of DJ more.
49:01Hey, we go from now Marv is wide receiver 32, or excuse me, 32 to Quentin Johnston as wide receiver 33.
49:06I'll repeat what I said with Lad McConkie that, uh, it'll be interesting to see what QJ looks like here, who certainly
49:13has had his moments in recent season and stretches of the season.
49:16Uh, can Mike McDaniel, who was very good at accentuating strengths and maybe hiding some weaknesses, get that right with QJ.
49:22And is he going to be a 75 plus percent snap player on the seat?
49:26I think it'll clear 75% snaps, uh, because I think if they do go to two wide receiver sets and they're trying
49:32to run the ball, I think you'd want QJ out there to block more than Lad McConkie.
49:37Um, so I, I think that his kind of snap rate is going to be nice and secure in the 80s, maybe hopefully 90%.
49:44Um, and then it's, are they going to hit the deep ball with them?
49:48I think that that's going to be the role in this offense.
49:51You've heard about the drive phase, uh, from that viral, uh, camp moment.
49:55Uh, Cardinals are pretty much like running back the same defense that they had last year.
49:59Like not a whole lot of changes to that unit.
50:02There's like hoping that there's like a little bit more continuity and that kind of pays off here.
50:07They were pretty rough to watch on defense last year as well.
50:11So, um, who's more likely to score a 50 yard touchdown Marv or Quinn Johnson this week?
50:16It's probably QJ. Let's flip it again. All right.
50:18Well, Brian Thomas Jr. Is next. And you could probably say the same thing about BTJ and you know, the downfield routes.
50:24Uh, he is going to face Denzel Ward quite a bit though on the outside.
50:29Yeah. He's, he draws the most difficult matchup of everyone in Jacksonville.
50:32We're going to say that a lot. Joel Smith had agreed tweets looking at all the cornerback ones.
50:37BTJ is going to go up against, uh, uh, early in the season.
50:41I will say with Brian Thomas, like he could just be so good again that it doesn't even like really matter that
50:47he's just going to get home against some of the top corners.
50:50Like he is so electric with the ball. It's going to be way too volatile to get right every single week.
50:56Denzel Ward is definitely one of the more difficult matchups, especially if the Browns offense is cannot move the ball against Jacksonville's defense.
51:03There's only gonna be so many dropbacks. And I think that's what scares me even more than Denzel Ward is the Browns
51:09are not going to move the ball in Jacksonville.
51:11Jacksonville's defense looks really good to me. Uh, so I think there's only gonna be so many past attempts to go around here.
51:18All right. Here's your biggest difference compared to the public, compare the market.
51:22Do you want to guess where your wide receiver 35 Matthew Golden ranks out there?
51:26Uh, 48. Yes, exactly. He's wide receiver 48 in consensus rankings.
51:29Why are you 13 spots ahead? Uh, I'm going to draft the area.
51:33I did draft a whole lot of the first rounder on the Packers.
51:36Who's not going to come off the field. And it's a team that's going to pass the ball more and they're incentivized
51:42to pass the ball more against the Vikings right now.
51:45Um, because they don't, they're not going to trust their running backs against them.
51:49And I don't think that the Vikings have good corners right now.
51:53And you know, by the way, Harrison Smith, you're on the couch for, for multiple months, you come back, you're what?
51:5935 or 36. And your first matchup, you're going to have to be playing deep downfield.
52:03And here comes Matthew golden, who runs four, two, and the Christian Watson runs four, three.
52:08Like you're going to pull your hamstring trying to cover those guys down the field.
52:12So I think it's a really good spot. If you listen to the Packers reporters who they have an awesome staff, like
52:18they are really talking about Matthew golden. Uh, and I think for right reasons, Jordan Addison is close in terms of you being higher than the market.
52:26He's your wide receiver 36. He's ranked as wide receiver 43 in consensus rankings.
52:30Look, Justin Jefferson on a weekly basis in a good Vikings offense is extremely consistent.
52:34But if we believe that Justin Jefferson is going to have a good year, then Hayden, I don't think enough people are
52:40then assuming that Jordan Addison is also going to have a good season.
52:44I'll be at a bit more Rocky because he's going to be in that wide receiver two, three, three and a half
52:50territory as a rookie wide receiver 22 per game.
52:52The next season wide receiver 23 per game last year, obviously complete disaster because the quarterback play, but if we think that
52:59Kyler Murray can do, you know, get back to Kirk cousins, Sam Donald level quarterback play, why can't he be a wider receiver three this year?
53:06Now he does it in a different way. There's no consistency.
53:09Uh, betting markets have him at five and a half targets, totally understandable, but he, he is one of the guys that
53:15can have 80 yards and a touchdown because he catches a deep post.
53:19All right. We've talked about Michael Wilson and the Marvin Harrison Jr.
53:22Conversation. Uh, there are some suggesting that he could be like the Cooper cup role in this Michael for offense.
53:28I think we're going to have a bunch of takeaways from who's going to be put in motion.
53:33Who's going to get the free releases, all that type of stuff.
53:36The easy access throws. Yeah. If that's Michael Wilson, that's a good thing.
53:40I do want to ask you about, uh, Alec Pierce, who is next for you as wide receiver 38, because you listen
53:46to Shane Sykin, all systems go here for Alec Pierce.
53:49And he is an important piece of this offense as really the only field stretcher on the roster.
53:54Yeah. Hoping to get some full practices here, but the fact that he returned to practice is the last, uh, week or
54:00so is probably pretty promising for him. He was so good last year.
54:04Uh, and there's like, I guess less target competition with Michael Pittman out of there.
54:08He was the wide receiver 26 and full PPR.
54:11He was even better than that. And half PPR.
54:13I'm not expecting him to repeat that, but I see him like ranked as like wider super 50 or so.
54:19Like that is just so far off where he finished last year.
54:22And if he is a truly good full participant, let's say he's 90% of himself.
54:27They were at one point saying that he's going to be in a little bit of a different role.
54:32I think that we might've overstated that. Uh, but last year his breakout season was because he was all of a sudden
54:38very good, like on the dig routes and a couple of curl routes and whatnot.
54:42And he did not show that previously. That's how you can be a wider receiver three.
54:47And fantasy, the matchup is not a good one.
54:49The Ravens defense can be awesome. Jesse Minner is gonna be one of the best defensive coordinators.
54:54Um, and the Ravens are just going to be a really good team this year.
54:58Uh, so I don't feel great about the matchup, but I think we should get real with what Alec Pierce did last year.
55:05If he is truly fully healthy. Okay. Juan Dale's wide receiver 39.
55:08Um, I get this Hayden, even if it kind of hurts you to put him, uh, among some of these names, because
55:15this jets team, as Reeves noted, allowed a league high 76.5% catch rate and nine yards per target to slot wide receivers.
55:21After trading away sauce Gardner last year, I have questions about their outside corners, the jets, and that extends to the inside and the interior as well.
55:28Um, so yeah, the PPR scale might start here in week one for the favored Tennessee Titans.
55:33I think the jets defense still looks pathetic. I mean, especially the, the, the linebackers and the, the defensive backs they have is not looking too pretty.
55:41So I think it's a good spot for, for Wandale.
55:44I hate to admit it, but Wandale Robinson last year was the wide receiver 17, a wide receiver 13 usage in full PPR.
55:50So, uh, you know, and he's obviously worse than half PPR.
55:53He, there's more target competition this year than he had last year without Malik neighbors.
55:57But let's just be honest. Wandale is going to lead this team in targets.
56:01We saw it in the preseason. Like every fricking play was like a RPO bubble screen to Wanda Robinson.
56:07Does it work? It doesn't, but, um, it seems like they're pretty pot committed to it.
56:11Okay. Moving on. Chris Godwin is your wide receiver 40.
56:14Talk to me. Chris Godwin is wide receiver 31 in consensus rankings this week.
56:18So this is one of the spots that you are.
56:21Way lower than the market on a player. Yeah.
56:23This is assuming a Mecca is cleared and gets like in full, full practices.
56:27I thought Chris Godwin took a huge step back.
56:30Matt Harmon on reception perception had him like, and by the way, Matt absolutely loves Chris Godwin.
56:35But even last year, like bottom six percentile in like the zone stuff, bottom 16th percentile against man coverage.
56:40So it was just like a complete fall off.
56:43We'll see if he bounces back with a full off season.
56:46In theory, he's best, uh, early in the season.
56:48The Bengals defense is way worse than the nickel with their linebackers and safeties than it is with DJ Turner.
56:54So you can squint and see how this like a good spot for Chris Godwin.
56:58They're, uh, expected to lose by three and a half points, potential shootout.
57:02So, uh, maybe I'll move them up a little bit, but I do think that a Mecca is just so much better than Chris Godwin.
57:09At this point, I want my rankings to reflect that.
57:12All right. I'm going to throw 41 plus up there on the board.
57:15That includes Cortland Sutton, Jaden Reed, Josh Downs, Carnell Tate, you know, just the number four overall pick as a wide receiver 44 in his debut.
57:23Jalen Coker, uh, Trey Tucker. I believe this is Romeo Dobbs.
57:26And we'll close things out with Michael Pittman Jr.
57:28Talk about one name on that final row. Um, let's go with, man, how about, how about Jalen Coker?
57:34Uh, I do think Jalen Coker is somebody that, um, was maybe a little bit discounted.
57:38He was the wide receiver 34, uh, last year after he got into the starting lineup, uh, he had like a busted
57:44coverage, long touchdown stuff and kind of inflated some of his numbers.
57:48But at the same time, he's, he's a reliable player to me inside, outside versus little heat.
57:53Like you said, he also moved into the slot.
57:55This is a good matchup for him. Uh, if Jalen Johnson is back up, uh, as a legit cornerback one, the rest
58:01of their corners, I think are very gettable. And I think that would help out Jalen Coker here.
58:06I guess the other one would be Trey Tucker.
58:09He is the Raiders. Number one wide receiver. Most likely is the Miami dolphins defense, who I think you and I can
58:15go out there in a tryout and compete to start at corner.
58:18Uh, so I think he'd be kind of a dart throw.
58:22Uh, at the same time, I think in general, people overrates this level of wide receiver tier and starting lineups.
58:27The crap running back that you have projects better than these wide receivers.
58:31Like, I think we're far away from wide receiver threes.
58:34Once we get to this point, and if you're trying to get these guys into your flex over Chris Rodriguez, something like
58:40that, I think you're out of your mind. Like this is where like, to me, the running backs are so much better.
58:46The projections, uh, back that up. So I think these guys are like bench stashes.
58:50Cause I really hope you don't have to start Trey Tucker and your wider receiver three spot.
58:55I don't know what you were doing, uh, in draft weekend.
58:58I'll throw out Josh Downs as well. I mean, every single fantasy show next Monday, Tuesday, Sunday night is going to react
59:04to Josh Downs usage in this game. I mean, spoke all summer about two wide receiver sets, a role increase, everything of
59:11the sort, uh, through three NFL seasons, he's run only 33 routes and one in two wide receiver sets.
59:16I guess my question is, can he win as a stationary, very wide receiver?
59:20Like even his one and two wide receiver set suffers outside stuff.
59:23Last year, he was kind of motioned into stacks and given free releases.
59:27And so if he is constantly again on the move here to me, Shane's second is kind of telling, you know, he
59:33doesn't believe he can, but we'll see. Um, Josh Downs is the favorite of every single fancy football show out there.
59:39And, uh, hopefully he can be better than the wire super 42 in the opener.
59:43Yeah. We'll see the, the Raven is not a good spot for him.
59:47Like Kyle Hamilton is going to be, playing nickel and whatnot.
59:50Like if, if that's the case, it's, it's going to be tough.
59:54Uh, Nate Wiggins, a good corner, uh, number one.
59:56And then Marlon Humphrey, I think he's getting to the point where he's pretty gettable.
60:00Uh, so I think there could be some Josh Downs versus Marlon Humphrey, but if it's Kyle Hamilton versus Josh Downs, he's
60:07just going to like completely swallowed up. And that's the fear.
60:10Uh, okay. That does it. Thanks for tuning in for wide receiver one through wide receiver 48.
60:14Again, you can check on Hayden's updated rankings all weekend long.
60:18They're in the description down below. They're also on Yahoo, all that type of stuff.
60:22And then we'll be back here Sunday morning, starting at 10 30 AM Eastern with face football live.
60:27And then we'll switch over to an hour plus of the start, sit show where we answer all your questions.
60:32So lock in and we'll see you then up the villa.
60:36Talk to you guys soon.