0:00We Have One Heck Of An Episode For You Today.
0:03Why? Because It's All About Me. Yeah, the 14 Players I Am Betting My Entire Fantasy Football Season On, Rounds 1-14, One Name In Each Group.
0:10Can't Wait. Hopefully Surprise You With Some Of These Names, but You've Heard A Lot About Them As Well.
0:16But Man, I really laid it on the line here.
0:18I'm on the hot seat. And I know, I know that your draft is going to look exactly like the one that I dish out to you here.
0:26Stick around for this episode. of Yahoo Fantasy Football with Josh & Hayden.
0:30All right, I'm on the hot seat. The 14 Players I Am Betting My Entire Fantasy Football Season On, basically my favorite pick in every single round.
0:38Hayden, your version of this is already up on the channel.
0:41We have a couple of overlapping ones, but I hope I'm surprising with a few names here because you have no idea
0:47what I'm about to throw at you. Yeah, I asked to not know.
0:51I want to be fully surprised here. But it's not just this season.
0:54It's your entire reputation for years and years to come.
0:57My Yahoo contract actually ends on Friday, August 21st, depending on if this list goes well or not.
1:02Yep. Yep. Do you want the bonus or not, Josh?
1:05Feed your family. Okay, well, since I am the meat of this show in terms of giving you all the information, how about you host?
1:12Like, take me round by round here. How about that?
1:15All right, let's get it over with. Round one, who's your number one target?
1:19I'm going to go with Amon Ross State Brown.
1:21We're going to use Yahoo's half point ADP for this.
1:24He's the eighth pick of the first round right now.
1:27This one is extremely simple. I mean, we're talking about the wide receiver four in points per game last season when they
1:33fire their play caller halfway through the year. 100 plus catches in each of the last four years.
1:38You know, he has 66 red zone targets over the last two seasons.
1:42The vast majority of touchdowns and especially passing touchdowns happen inside of the red zone.
1:46Uh, and he led the NFL in that same exact area last year with 34 red zone targets.
1:51Uh, plus Hayden, you know, the environment is sensational with this offensive line that has been reworked and, um, just the consistency
1:58of how many points they put up plus 12 of their 16 games in the fancy football season will be played in indoors.
2:04So I feel fantastic about Amon Ross St. Brown.
2:07I still have him ranked ahead of Jackson Smith and Jake.
2:10Yeah, this is the division that will have the most fantasy points and Amon Ross St.
2:14Brown. It's three straight seasons with double digit touchdowns and 115, uh, plus receptions.
2:18That's, that's pretty good. Uh, we had some news, uh, today, Sam Laporte dealing with some type of hip injury that could linger into the season.
2:26Like these are the type of ways that Amon Ross goes from like steady Eddie, you know, the wide receiver five in
2:32a season to like where he actually has a chance to go compete and be a league winning pick.
2:37So did you have any reaction to either like JMO, his injury, uh, Sam Laporte is a little bit banged up.
2:43How about we talk about Laporte more on Monday when we react to preseason week two, um, because I've been so pro Laporte.
2:50He's not on this list, but pro Laporte this draft season, uh, cause the connection with drew pets and tight ends and all that type of stuff.
2:57And Stefanski and North Turner before that, uh, immediately the fancy football physios were in my mentioned saying, Hey, hold up.
3:03Don't move them in rankings because this is probably more of a contusion than it is a pull or anything else.
3:09So, uh, it sounds like a contusion and maybe we're back next week here with Sam.
3:14Okay. I would say this is probably the most important question you're going to have to answer this year.
3:19Who should you take in the second round? Cause it is loaded and there's a million running backs in the front, a million wide receivers in the back.
3:27They're all good at football, but one of these guys will actually be a league winner.
3:32By the way, apparently I'm very good at my job because you know, once we started at Yahoo, uh, Saquon Barkley was going in the second round.
3:39No longer, sir. No longer. He's going 11th overall now over on Yahoo.
3:43So I did my job with that one and I'm about to cry wolf once again, because here comes Ken Walker, the
3:49third as my favorite pick in round two. I was hoping he's going with the fourth pick of the second round.
3:55I mean, Hey, it's nuts. If you look at consensus rankings out there, he's 21st overall in consensus rankings.
4:00I mean, 13th overall for me, I know you have him even higher than that.
4:0521st makes zero sense to me. And maybe it's people who were snake bitten last year, not wanting him to, you know, move up in rankings this year.
4:13But when do you think about it? Okay. This is the one move that the Kansas city chiefs made a Kansas city
4:19chiefs offense that has been highly efficient and successful in terms of success rate on the ground.
4:24Yet they struggled to create explosives. I mean, they were 32nd basically in the league last year and 10 plus yard runs from the running back position.
4:31Here's a great stat from Ted Smith. Okay. Only three rushes of 15 plus yards on early downs by running backs on the chiefs last year.
4:39That was last in the league. And they're also fourth worst in avoided tackle rate by running backs on early downs can
4:45walk to the third rank sixth in both of those numbers.
4:48So he's going to play a lot of football.
4:51He's going to be on the field all the time.
4:53And that was the only thing holding him back from a monster season last year with Seattle, as we saw in the playoffs in the Super Bowl.
5:01When I was listening to the TV booth and preseason real sicko stuff, they kept talking about how important the screen game is in this training camp.
5:09It's always important with the Andy Reid offense. Like he's been one of the best screen callers in NFL history is not been that potent recently.
5:16But at one point there was guys like the shady McCoy, Jamal Charles, Brian Westbrook, absolutely destroying in the screen game.
5:22Why can't Kenneth Walker be awesome as an underneath pass?
5:25Cause he doesn't have to be a Mr. Route runner, but just get these big athletic linemen in front of them and his razzle dazzle.
5:32Like there's a reason why we both have them as our favorite pick in round two.
5:36I think we both rank them as like a legit top 12 option.
5:40The good news is you'd never actually have to draft him in the first round.
5:44Yeah. Again, those numbers I just cited that was Ken Walker only playing about 60% of the snaps and one regular season game last year.
5:51If you want to incorporate that number in 60%, Ken Walker has averaged 17 and a half points in the 26 games.
5:58He has reached the 60% snap mark. Hayden, I would be shocked if he doesn't hit 60% snaps in every single game this season.
6:04He's never played with Patrick Mahomes. He's never played with an offensive line as good as this one.
6:09So I'm feeling pretty optimistic. All right. Round three.
6:12I think this is where we get a little bit more boom bust.
6:16There's some really fun names here. I'm very curious who you have in round three.
6:20Just because he goes so late on Yahoo and still in this round and a lot of other places.
6:25I'm going to take Malik neighbors, the 10th pick of the third round.
6:29He has beaten the timeline from this injury that I had in mind.
6:33But just to put the injury aside to maybe a later conversation here.
6:36One thing I haven't brought up enough and we have done it with other wide receivers is actually the heavier personnel looks
6:43that the Giants are going to put out there.
6:45Is going to help Malik neighbors even more. Right?
6:48So Greg Roman and the chargers and with Baltimore, they use a ton of these fullbacks and tight ends.
6:53Matt Nagy with the chiefs was one of the biggest heavier personnel sets in the league last year.
6:58Here with the Giants. We know you have Theo Johnson, Isaiah likely Chris man hurts Patrick or card when two or three
7:04of those guys are on the field. Guess what?
7:07That means the ball in passing situations is funneled to the best pass catcher on the field.
7:12And just point blank Malik neighbors is head and shoulders away from everyone else.
7:16So that's exactly what happened with us. You know, with Jackson Smith and Jigba last year.
7:20I mean, 38% of his routes that had heavier personnel looks.
7:23That's where he got 51% of his production, according to Ryan Heath.
7:27And so this offense is one of those across the league that could, you know, filter that same exact pathway from Malik
7:33neighbors to have a monster year on top of even when they're in three wide receiver looks.
7:38Hey, he's pretty damn good. Yeah, the ball is going to be completely funneled.
7:42I looked back July 3rd, 2021. I wrote a column card called yards per route runs major bias and was talking about
7:48two versus three wide receiver sets in that I'm looking at it now.
7:52Two wide receivers, the average yards per route run 2.3 with three wide receivers on the field.
7:56The average yards per route is at 1.6. Like the ball just gets funneled to these guys, especially when it's like Patrick
8:03or cards, never going to be out in the route.
8:05Chris Manners, never going to actually be out in the route.
8:09He's just going to get funneled the rock the whole time.
8:12He made another improvement in camp where he's actually out in real drills.
8:15So he's on pace to be a major part of the offense in week one.
8:20And I think that his tape will start to feel really good as we get to Thanksgiving towards the fantasy playoffs.
8:26And I'd be pretty surprised if he's not like around one, two turn value once we get to the very end of the season.
8:32Yeah, I have him 22nd overall. So in the heart of round two, he's 28th overall in consensus rings out there.
8:38I'm glad you just mentioned the injury update because right before the show, I finished up with Greg Rosenthal over on NFL Daily.
8:45And he's been listening to these Giants beat writers.
8:47And while I was optimistic about the injury, Greg was a little bit pessimistic and said like in these drills, he has not had contact.
8:54And that just started this week. Yes. And so while he has technically been at practice, it hasn't really been game like situations.
9:01But it sounds like they're just slowly ramping him up in order to do that.
9:05Yes. I've been listening to a lot of Giants reporters too, just because you've got the Najee Harris camp schedule stuff.
9:11And they've mentioned the same thing. It's not full contact yet.
9:14But the fact that every single week they're introducing a new type of drill to him makes them still believe that he
9:20would be on pace for week one. And guess what?
9:23Even if he wasn't out there for week one, you could still pay off around three ADP.
9:28All right. You copied my picks in rounds two and round three.
9:31Let's see if you're going to make it round four as well.
9:35I don't think so. I should have gone back and looked at yours.
9:39But I don't think I'm doing it here. Did you pick Jalen Waddle as well in round four?
9:44I did not. But I would love him. Yeah, this is the fourth pick of round four.
9:48There's literally an endless list that makes Jalen Waddle a smash selection in round four here.
9:53I mean, over four yards per rat run on play action last season and the Dolphins were not good last season.
9:59And the Broncos, you know, had the third most passes off of play action in the league.
10:04And if you just, again, look at the Dolphins not being good, Jalen Waddle was still the wide receiver 18 in points
10:10per game from weeks one through 16 on offense.
10:12That was 31st in place per game. Now he goes to an offense that is fifth in place per game.
10:18And that offense that is fifth in place per game gave Courtland Sutton 220 more routes than Jalen Waddle.
10:24Wow. Last year, 220 more routes. So, yes, maybe we should speak more, Hayden, about how he gets banged up and ends
10:30up in the blue tent a bit more often.
10:32That's fine. I'm hoping that it doesn't happen because if it doesn't happen and we get 17 games out of Jalen Waddle,
10:39he's one of these players who is, you know, drafted as wide receiver 17.
10:42That when we talk about league winning upside, jumping from wide receiver 17 up to like the wide receiver seven in scoring,
10:49albeit that would be like a home run swing.
10:51But that is what league winners are made. It's not these small wins.
10:55It's big wins. And Jalen Waddle has big win potential this year.
10:58Yeah, I got him in round three. I love drafting him in the fourth round.
11:03It really just depends on who my top three picks were.
11:06If I need a wide receiver, he's been my favorite.
11:08Click him and Ted Rowe McMillan would be my favorites.
11:11I have the same note. It's just the routes are going to go up.
11:15This is like pretty similar to George Pickens where like we know he's good at football, but what if he's like actually
11:22the focal point of a good play caller with a better quarterback and just better infrastructure?
11:26And on top of that, there's just more routes.
11:29Like that's how you can really dream up a huge season from Jalen Waddle.
11:33He was back at practice. He just burnt Pat Sertan for a 60 yard touchdown.
11:37I love Sertan's response. He's like, it was a good play.
11:40Like these guys are, they're so stubborn. They're so full of themselves that they can't even acknowledge how good Jalen Waddle is.
11:46But if you're beating Patrick Sertan in practice, I think that you're going to play in week one.
11:51Yeah. And one of our favorite underlying metrics to protect league winning seasons, Brian Heath had the great column a couple of
11:57years ago talking about first downs per route run.
12:00And that is sticky from, you know, the season before to a league winning season.
12:04Jalen Waddle was eighth in first downs per route run last year.
12:08Now, I will say some of our colleagues and maybe even you, I think are getting extremely aggressive on Jalen Waddle's ranking.
12:14And it might not be necessary. Harmon has him 26th overall.
12:17Boone has him 29th overall. I have him 36th overall.
12:20And I'm still able to get him on every single platform.
12:23Yeah. We just want to be extra right when he pays off as a top 12 guy.
12:28Speaking of being extra right, by the way, this whole list is going to be correct.
12:32So hit subscribe. Leave a thumbs up. We are on the pathway at some point to 200,000 subscribers.
12:37But our whole goal this year is to help you win your fantasy league.
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13:01All right. Let's go on to round five. Who do you got?
13:05So this is actually a six round pick because I might cheat a little bit later on.
13:10So I'm making good early. Okay. And this is probably the name that's going to shock you the most viewers and probably you Hayden as well.
13:17I'm going to pick Jadarian Price here. Okay. He's going at the third pick of the sixth round.
13:22It feels like there's really little hype around rookies this year just overall.
13:26And that can be because of the injuries we've had to, you know, Jordan Tyson and Makai Lemon and now Jeremiah Love.
13:32But the longer this process goes on during this August window, the more and more vocal I have been about Jadarian Price.
13:38And sure, I told you to draft the Seahawks backfield last year.
13:42But I think a lot of the focus on what the Seahawks backfield has been so far this offseason is, okay, how
13:48is Jadarian Price and George Holani going to split this thing up?
13:51It's not going to be the same split as what K9 and Charbonnet was last year where Ken Walker continuously got them
13:57inside the 10-yard line, inside the 20-yard line. And then Zach Charbonnet came in and literally stole 65% of the team's carries
14:04inside the 10-yard line and scored 10 times off of it.
14:07I think Jadarian Price, for as long as Zach Charbonnet is sidelined, has a chance to have massive games, huge games.
14:13And despite there being amazing optimism for when Zach Charbonnet is going to return and what his recovery is, some say week one, week two, week three.
14:20Hey, and I've got to be honest, I will bet against him being the same player that he was last year coming off this massive injury.
14:28So Jadarian Price, 32nd pick in the NFL draft.
14:30What we have seen from Hard Knocks is his past game usage that we can get to here in a minute, despite
14:36him barely showing that at Notre Dame. I just wonder if we are getting to a point where this is the rookie
14:43that has like real upside that is not getting enough attention right now.
14:46Yeah, first rounder that goes to the Super Bowl winning team.
14:49It doesn't make that much sense that there's not more buzz about him.
14:53I think it takes a lot of, you know, projection to get there because he was like in a very obvious like weird role as a prospect.
15:01You have to tell a story with Jadarian Price in order for him to have like a huge season here.
15:06Part of that story is just being realistic about the Zach Charbonnet stuff.
15:10I mean, he got injured really, really late into the season, into the playoffs.
15:14He didn't have his surgery until like actually this calendar year.
15:17So he would be a pretty aggressive timeline. And then the training camp reports and people that watch Hard Knocks, they're in
15:23favor of what he's been able to do. I saw Hawk blogger.
15:27He said that the receiving game has really stood out in training camp.
15:30Maybe not the pass protection, but like the receiving game.
15:33And that's something that the new offensive coordinator, he's been stressing after learning from the Christian McCaffrey offense.
15:38Five guys out in the route where last year would be two guys out in the route.
15:43So like these little details about the exact offense, you might get some more running back receptions this year versus in previous
15:49seasons, especially if, you know, the defense regresses a little bit.
15:53The offense isn't, you know, scoring 60 yard touchdowns every drive.
15:56There might be a couple more receptions than I initially thought with Jadarian Price.
16:00Yeah, I have him 50th overall, which is again, very aggressive.
16:03He's going 63rd. He's 65th in consensus rankings right now.
16:06Yeah, I mean, he just had 15 catches at Notre Dame because, you know, he played alongside a guy named Jeremiah Love.
16:12But again, we've seen it on Hard Knocks. And Robert Mays talked to the coaching staff was at training camp practices, along
16:18with all the beat writers that you're speaking about and says that Brian Flory wants to get, you know, more pass catchers out there in the field.
16:26And Jadarian Price is just lighting it up with that stuff.
16:29Like, Hayden, if you zoom out, is it really that much of a different story you have to tell versus Trivion Henderson, who's going ahead of him?
16:36Bachel Tootin, that's going ahead of him. Bucky Irving, that's going ahead of him.
16:40And like those guys had real moments already in the league.
16:43But again, Jadarian Price is on the Super Bowl winning team with an offensive line that is fully returning here.
16:49And one that, again, I highly doubt the backfield is going to be as rigid as it was last year with Ken
16:55Walker and Zach Charbonnet as it is with Jadarian Price and whoever else.
16:59Yep, Charbonnet. February 20th is when his surgery happened.
17:02So, I mean, I don't want to be mean and rude and negative here, but I just highly doubt he's the same player that he was last year.
17:09Just quickly, by the way. Yeah. Luther Burton is the fifth round pick, and I'm predicting he's going to stay as a
17:16fifth round pick because of this injury. I still love Luther Burton in round five.
17:20And I actually don't get why it's kind of being termed that he's being drafted at his ceiling.
17:25Like, that's not the case at all. You know, like Luther Burton.
17:28I'm not saying you're saying this. Other people are.
17:31That, yeah. Of course, I did just show Davis Maddox.
17:34We were predicting first round for 2027. You guys know Davis.
17:37Davis went full blown. He said Luther Burton 12th overall or something like that.
17:41So, yeah. I'm going to be on my last round.
17:44Right. Literally, you took the words right from his mouth.
17:47The upside is it's obvious. It's just like the odds of him paying off.
17:51I think where the bears are right now, you know, if all these guys are fourth, fifth, sixth round picks, that offense
17:57can be potent enough where all those guys do get home.
18:00Like, we're not talking about first and second rounders.
18:02I really like Roma Dunze. Others like Luther Burton.
18:05I'm a fan of taking darts on any of these guys, including DeAndre Swift, who I don't think gets mentioned enough.
18:11But that's not the point of today's show. So you have another six rounder.
18:15Then you have Jadarian Price cheating, getting into the fifth round.
18:18Who's your sixth round? That's not cheating. That's not cheating.
18:21That is... Saving up for cheating in the future.
18:23I know what you're doing here. Exactly. Okay. My real six rounder is Christian Watson.
18:28This is one of my favorite picks on the board this year.
18:31I mean, over 13 career games where he plays at least 75% of the route share on the field.
18:36Christian Watson averages 17 and a half fantasy points per game.
18:39That's good for wide receiver six in that time span.
18:42Okay. Romeo Dobbs is the only Packers wide receiver to run a route on 50% of dropbacks last year.
18:48He gone. He's no longer on this team. And they only have three wide receivers worth a damn now.
18:53And we also know that Christian Watson is locked into two wide receiver sets.
18:57So again, I understand that there's always, always this injury sound in the back of your head when you see Christian Watson's name on the draft board.
19:05I will say we are trying to win our leagues.
19:07And if Christian Watson stays healthy, this is the type that you're selecting him at wide receiver 28 that can easily finish
19:14as the wide receiver 18 or maybe even higher.
19:16Like again, the jumps. We don't care about drafting the wide receiver 35 that finishes the wide receiver 30.
19:22That doesn't do anything for you really. We want the massive leaps.
19:25The one that overperformed greatly where you selected them.
19:28And based on what we saw with Christian Watson last year and how even more condensed this wide receiver room is this
19:34year, he has a fantastic chance of doing it.
19:36Yeah, I love all the Green Bay Packers in fantasy.
19:39That includes love. Matthew Golden's been on my list.
19:42I think that something that you've hit on is just consolidation of the routes really matters because he's never been in this exact role that he has.
19:49He played on eight out of the nine snaps in preseason week one.
19:53As an example, Savion Williams is not a real wide receiver.
19:56Like this is a manufactured touch player. That's their wide receiver for it.
20:00They don't actually have a wide receiver for on the team.
20:03And then something I noticed in the preseason matches up what they've been talking about in offseason reports up tempo.
20:09It's not necessarily going to be no huddle offense, but get out of the snap or out of the huddle.
20:14Get to the line of scrimmage, snap the ball quickly and go.
20:18I think that they're worried about the interior of their offensive line.
20:21Their left guard spot has apparently been a complete train wreck in practice.
20:25And Aaron Banks is injured and whatnot. I think they're going to pass the ball.
20:29I think they're going to play with more pace.
20:31And I think they're going to easily outpace what they did last year, which was 27th and pass attempts.
20:37I can see them being closer to about league average.
20:40That's the type of difference of how you can reach a tier that people can't really comprehend.
20:44So I would say take a dart on a Packers player and take a dart on a Bears player and just see what happens.
20:51Well, and we can just stack up all the potential small wins there are for the Packers and what changes they're going to have this year.
20:59And that just naturally is going to raise up someone like Christian Watson or Matthew Golden in that, like you said, more just routes and drop backs.
21:06There's also going to be more snaps because of, you know, we are so used to this wide receiver rotation that is
21:12gone that Christian Watson is one of these guys that even if he's not as high variance as he has been in
21:19the past in terms of, hey, hitting on all these deep shots.
21:22We know last year when you watch the tape, his game evolved like third and six.
21:27He was a go to player for them. His out routes at least doubled, tripled, quadrupled last year in terms of percent
21:33of his routes that he, you know, hit on the outside breakers.
21:36And he's the Z spot, you know, he's not locked in online as pretty much at X.
21:41We're going to move around these stacks and get free releases and all that stuff.
21:45So, yeah, Christian Watson is one of my favorite picks on the board in any round this year.
21:50Yep. All the last year stats, he had his ACL surgery in that calendar year.
21:55It's like the fact that he was able to do that just like shows how much of a freakazoid he is.
22:01They paid him almost $100 million. So lots of incentives for Christian Watson.
22:04What I should have done, Hayden, is say that he's my fifth round pick because I actually have him 46th overall and he's being selected 58th overall.
22:12And then maybe by the end of the season, it looks more palatable when I say Jadarian Price in round six versus round five.
22:19Yeah. Who does? Yeah, I hear. I hear what you're saying.
22:22I think I got Christian Watson in inside my top 50 as well.
22:25So I think we see it similarly. All right.
22:28Round seven hit me. Yep. We're playing the hits.
22:31Parker Washington. He's the sixth. Yes. Of the seventh round right now.
22:34Still going back to back with Brian Thomas Jr.
22:37On Yahoo at the minute. I mean, his rise in the fancy landscape has been incredible.
22:41I mean, back in mid July when we started here on Yahoo and we did Harmon show.
22:46I think he was going 91st overall at that point.
22:49I had him 69th overall then. Now he's going 78th overall and I am 55th in my rankings.
22:54And it's pretty easy. Why? I mean, when Parker Washington, Jacoby Myers and Brian Thomas Jr.
22:58were all in the field together last year, Parker Washington was the wide receiver one.
23:03He had a team high 31% target chair and 3.17 yards per outrun.
23:06And he's out there in two wide receiver sets.
23:09And then three wide receiver sets. He plays about 63% of his snaps from the slot, which is exactly what we want.
23:15That's a good thing. He attacks the area of the field over the middle and the intermediate portion that Liam Cohen just dials up relentlessly.
23:22So Parker Washington is such a big winner of like week 11 and beyond last year.
23:27And I have such high expectations for him this year.
23:29Yeah, I hate to mog you, but I got him 47th overall in my rankings.
23:34I'm a huge fan of Parker Washington from week seven on.
23:37So like not even all the way into deep in the season, just week seven when he became a near full time player.
23:4321% target chair, wide receiver 15 usage. He was the wide receiver 18 in full PPR.
23:48You know, everything from training camp, especially you take another look at those cows, man.
23:52I've not seen somebody built that thick. What is hilarious to me?
23:55In the mean below. You and I record five hours of shows, six hours of shows every single week.
24:01Yeah. Back when we joined Yahoo, it wasn't me talking about Parker Washington that like changed your mind about him.
24:06It was literally his caps. No. I mean, have you seen them?
24:10Like there's no way those things are going to let you down.
24:13It's a totally different ball game. It's like it's insane.
24:16I hear you. By the way, Hayden keeps mentioning his rankings.
24:19If you want both of our rankings, they're in the description down below.
24:23Both half PPR and full PPR. I know I updated mine right before we recorded this episode.
24:28If you want even more information beyond Yahoo Plus, there's the ultra playbook.
24:31I mean, there's 150 page basically notebook that you get.
24:34And it's not just NFL fantasy football. It is all these different sports.
24:38It has, you know, tier rankings. It has our favorite targets and fades.
24:42I know Hayden's written a bunch of whole bunch of other things in there that I don't even know because I don't write that much.
24:49So, yeah, you can go and find out more on ultra playbook on Yahoo.
24:53Yeah. Matt Harmon, Scott, Joel. There's so much in there.
24:55It's insane stuff. All right. On to rounds. Number eight.
24:58You got a lot of quarterbacks and some injured players here looking at it.
25:02In round eight. In round nine. I'm stealing a couple picks that I earned with the Jaren Price one.
25:08Okay. So, commenters don't get mad at me. I'll read your comments.
25:11Don't get mad at me. It'll make me think about it all night.
25:15All right. This one is George Kittle and he's going at that seven, eight turn at the 12th pick of the seventh round.
25:21Right. This might confuse people. Let me tell you why.
25:24When George Kittle and Brock Purdy have played together just overall.
25:27Okay. For their entire careers. Kittle has received a team high 33% of a team's end zone targets.
25:32We know that last year his 2.18 yards per route run, which was third best among tight ends.
25:37He was third in face. He points per route run last year.
25:41I think you can argue that there's still some questions about the supporting cast.
25:45I'll be it's better than the one he played with last year.
25:48But what I love about George Kittle is I actually have him as tight in seven.
25:53He's being selected as tight in nine. I have him at same group.
25:56At the end of this tier with Sam Laporta and Tucker craft.
26:00But if you draft cover for him. To me, this is a great round for him on a platform like Yahoo where
26:06the tight ends are going quite early. That I'll pair him with a tight end later on.
26:11That is like this perfect one to punch for early and then later in the season.
26:15Yeah, this feels like where the wide receivers kind of took a hit, especially when we lost like, you know, Jordan Tyson, Alex.
26:22Some of these guys like in this range, we just kind of straight up lost them.
26:26Cardinal to put into that, I just feel a little bit less comfortable.
26:30So George Kittle looks better because of that. And then also we've gotten, I would say, Jawan Johnson is one of those guys that you're talking about.
26:38That can be your tight end one for a little bit.
26:41It's not named names. Dalton Schultz. Dalton Schultz is another one.
26:44All of a sudden, like the tight end two list.
26:47I can see for a couple weeks going with those guys.
26:50And then, yeah, you never know. I think there's a possibility that Kittle plays in week one.
26:55Like maybe he's on a snap count. Maybe we get more Jake Tonjes.
26:58But I'm not saying I'm starting George Kittle in week one.
27:01But I think it's a quicker timeline than other people believe that he'll be out there in a full snap share.
27:07And last time I checked, you don't win your fantasy league based off of your round seven pick in week one.
27:13So I think like we could, especially with you, this is your round eight pick hypothetically.
27:18To your point, like I like some of the tight ends that are selected, obviously ahead of him in Sam Maporta, in
27:24Brock Bowers, in Trey McBride, in Tyler Warren, all that group.
27:27But the wide receivers and running backs, I want to load up in that area, at least on Yahoo.
27:32And then, like you said, this eighth round range, the wide receivers, it's DK Metcalf, Alec Pierce, Jordan Tyson, Chris Godwin, Cortland Sutton.
27:39Like we don't want to talk about these guys on that show, you know?
27:43Nope. So this is where I'm going to start to take my onesies here.
27:47Yeah, that makes total sense. I'd say the quarterback's in the same spot.
27:51The more drafts I do, if you're in a crazy league where like Jalen Hurts has fallen to the sixth, seventh round stuff, totally get that.
27:58But a lot of the times you want your first six picks just being, you know, the flex eligible positions right now.
28:04All right, let's go to round nine. To me, this is where I take the falling quarterback.
28:09Yeah, that's his name. Just the falling quarterback. I like it.
28:12I mean, because I really feel like one of these players from round eight, one of these passers from Brock Purdy, Patrick
28:18Mahomes or Bo Nix is going to be available in round nine in your home leagues.
28:23My favorite one of those picks is Brock Purdy.
28:25I mean, I'll stack him here with George Kittle and maybe stack him with a player we're going to name a bit later on too.
28:32I understand that the 49ers had the easiest schedule in the NFL last year, but it's not like Brock Purdy had it
28:39easy, you know, beat up offensive line, beat up skill room.
28:42He was beat up himself. He played what eight or nine games.
28:45He still finished as the quarterback five in points per game after that.
28:49This offense, because of Kyle Shanahan is always going to have a high success rate.
28:53They're always going to have big points per drive and Purdy throws the ball down the field.
28:58Like, I hope everyone understands this, right? He completed a league high 61% of his throws 10 or more yards down the field.
29:04And that is not the first time he's led the NFL in that stat or been three times now.
29:10So far, he's been top two in that mark.
29:12So I understand that Brock Purdy is never going to be selected higher than the quarterback 12, basically, because you have phenoms
29:19and gazelles and prototypes that you can draft much, much higher than that.
29:22But in this system and attached to Kyle Shanahan, like we just saw when Brock Purdy is on the field, he can
29:28finish as a top five or six quarterback for you in fantasy.
29:32Yeah, I think it's a great range for quarterbacks in general.
29:35I would lean towards tiebreakers of who's fallen the farthest.
29:38And then have you drafted a tight end or a receiver that's a teammate of his?
29:42And then if not, then you can break ties.
29:45I think Bo Nix looks really good. I think Purdy is a great call out.
29:49And it's like even guys after like Matthew Stafford, you know, just won the MVP.
29:53He goes after this tier. And then after that, it's, you know, Jared Goff, who's been second in passing yards for three straight seasons.
30:00Jordan Love, we just talked highly about. Malik Willis is interesting.
30:03So like it is such a deep position this year.
30:06It feels like even deeper this year than it has previously because we've had some good quarterback classes in the last handful of years.
30:13So it's great range for quarterbacks in general. Yeah, it's why every single expert mock draft that you see or watch here
30:19on YouTube, quarterbacks go so freaking light. It's annoying.
30:22It's annoying. I mean, it's so different in your home leagues.
30:25Like, again, if we just look at Yahoo's ADP, like Josh Allen is a second round pick.
30:30But what at best in expert drafts, he's going to go to the sixth round.
30:34You know, I was in the Roto World mock draft and I love those guys.
30:38Joe Burrow went around 10. I'm like, OK, it's not in real life.
30:42We're on another planet. We're on another planet here.
30:44I mean, like it's supposed to be a mock draft.
30:47Not like I know better than you, you stupid idiots.
30:50Like, what is this? So dumb. Yeah. Hayden, whenever you can take, you know, Isaiah Likely ahead of Joe Burrow, you've got to do it.
30:57No, literally, it's like I would rather have Travis Hunter than Joe Burrow.
31:01It's like, OK, like, let's let's let's get back to reality here.
31:04Anyways. Anyways. All right. Are we round nine or round 10?
31:07I forget. We're round 10 now. My 10th round pick.
31:10Again, betting my fantasy season on this guy per the title.
31:13Bill Krosky-Meritt. But we're doing it all over again.
31:16OK. I mean, zooming out, led the backfield and touches last year.
31:19Yards from scrimmage with 873 touchdowns as well. That was as a seventh round rookie.
31:23You would like to think that, you know, a second year seventh round rookie has more cachet in the building, has more
31:30experience, especially after missing his entire final season of college football because he was deemed ineligible.
31:34But, you know, there's underlying metrics for every single player that we can point out that make us infatuated with them.
31:40But this one for Bill is one of my favorites this entire draft cycle.
31:44Yep. Josh Connerly, their second year tackle, said that they were very good in the outside zone last year and that they
31:50plan to do it much more often with David Blau calling place.
31:54Per fantasy points data, the commanders were best in the NFL last year in outside zone at 6.1 yards per carry.
31:59And Bill led the NFL in yards per carry on outside zone at 7.6.
32:03Now, there might be a somewhat small sample, but at the same time, right now Rashad White is out of practice with
32:10a groin strain or a hamstring strain. May or may not have been caused by an ALS ice bucket challenge.
32:15And Bill, I'm not saying he's Rashad White in the passing game, but Ben Standick and all these other beat writers are commenting J.P.
32:22Finley that he is improving in the passing game.
32:25So he just has to be like a net negative there.
32:28Just be fine in that category. And I think he's already the best rusher on this team.
32:33So this is like a post-hype sleeper, I think Bill Crossley Merritt is in 2026.
32:37He should be going earlier this year than he did last year.
32:40Like, like, I don't think that's even up for debate.
32:43Yeah, he's not. Yeah, it's going later. I see it the same way.
32:47I was, I was Rashad White curious initially. And then the more that they talked about Ja'Cory Crossley Merritt catching passes on
32:53early downs, which he's not going to be asked to pass for a decade.
32:57Like, they're just trying to get him. Could he catch 30 passes on first and second down?
33:02Like, could we do that? And it does seem like, like they feel a little bit more confident that that's possible.
33:08It's a, it's an explosive offense. He's an explosive player.
33:11He averaged 4.6 yards per carry last year. Like, I can totally see him.
33:14Like, him, Blake Corum, Kyle Menunga. If those guys don't get the starting role, like Ja'Cory Crossley Merritt could average like three,
33:21four more fantasy points per game over those guys.
33:23And he gets drafted later. So I think it's a great call.
33:27Yeah. And look, I waited. If we're looking at this as a actual roster that I'm building, and it's not an awful one, right?
33:33I think it's a pretty good one. Then the Jadarian Price-Bill Crossley Merritt combo, I think is a really cool one in the top, top two rounds.
33:41So that's one actually I've done frequently here. Okay.
33:44On to round 11. Round 11. I mean, we got to talk about rookies.
33:48And still in the strip club by myself, man.
33:50I'm 82nd overall with Deshaun Scribling. He's going in the 12th round, the third pick of the 12th round.
33:55I'm taking him here in the 11th round. But Hayden, based on my ranking, I take him in the ninth or 10th
34:02round if you need to in your leagues. And when would you draft him?
34:06Because I think this is like a fake ADP almost.
34:08I think people are going to show up to the party this weekend.
34:12It's like, when would you actually draft him? Again, I have him 82nd overall.
34:16And the 82nd overall pick, I mean, you don't have to take him here, but that's in the seventh round, okay?
34:22I think you can take him in the ninth round every single time, the 10th round, and you would get him in every single draft at this moment.
34:30It's going to trend in that direction once we get towards the end of August and early September.
34:35If he stays healthy and continues on this path, I mean, literally every single day, he's getting rave reviews and he's not
34:41coming off the field and he's getting the football.
34:44Again, there's just this anchoring that we have going on in the fantasy community right now.
34:48They don't want to fall in love with this guy because of their pre-draft opinions.
34:53Yeah. When, if you just looked at it, the 33rd overall pick competing with Mike Evans and Debo Samuel on an offense
34:59that we just talked about that is scoring points no matter what, we should fall in love with Deshaun Stripling.
35:05I have. I fell in love in the club and too many people have not yet.
35:09So catch up, get on board because I think Deshaun Stripling is going to have a really, really great season and we
35:15can still get him at a tremendous value here.
35:18Yeah. I think like the rule is that you see Quentin Johnson go off the board.
35:22It's time to add Deshaun Stripling into the queue.
35:25You know, like it's that, that type of tier, Michael Wilson, like those names start coming off the board.
35:30It's, it's time to draft them. I think he's going to be like the sleeper.
35:34We know it's the sleeper, but I'm believing in it.
35:37The offense is too good. He'll make anybody go at wide receiver.
35:41Like, you know, do you think Juwan Jennings is really that good at football?
35:45He had moments, you know, Demarcus Robinson comes in there.
35:48He has moments like you just cook when you're attached to Kyle Shanahan.
35:51And we've already seen it all with him, right?
35:54We, we seen him line up outside and catch ball down the field.
35:57We saw a manufactured touch for him. We've seen him in the slot on crossing routes as well.
36:03So this is already a player that they're calling extremely intelligent and is being able to absorb like every single alignment here.
36:09And I think Kyle's going to have a lot of fun utilizing him this season.
36:13One last thing on round 11 before we move on.
36:16Also love Matthew Golden this round. Also love Malik Willis in this round.
36:19Go and watch the NFL daily episode. I just did with Greg Rosenthal.
36:23Hayden, he said he would draft Matthew Golden straight up ahead of Christian Watson.
36:27I have them almost in the same tier. I pretty much nobody's higher on Matthew Golden than I am, except for apparently a triple G over there.
36:35But I mean, the training camp reports on Matthew Golden are, I've been really, really strong and he's a full-time player.
36:41I remember I was like, oh, he was a, he was a good athlete in the combine.
36:46I went back and looked at it for two, nine athlete.
36:49I mean, like we're talking incredible speed. So yeah, I love that call.
36:52All right. Round 12. Round 12. I'm going to take someone from round 13 and put them into round 12.
36:58This is, this is Keaton Mitchell. Eighth pick of the 13th round.
37:01I think he was on your list as well.
37:04I'll go quickly here. There's going to be a package of plays for Keaton Mitchell in every single game, right?
37:10Five to eight touches per contest. You think that's fair?
37:12Does that sound about right? And more, maybe it blossoms into more.
37:16Again, this is an offense with Mike McDaniel that supported the running back three and four in points per game just a
37:22couple of years ago, where one guy was the touchdown score inside the 20 yard line, Raheem Mostert.
37:27And then the other guy was the explosive big play merchant and Devon Achan and also touchdowns from distance and receiver.
37:33And maybe that can be Keaton Mitchell here. And we're seeing some like downfield routes from him in camp.
37:38I mean, it's, it's fun stuff. So look, I am not one of these people that is of the opinion that outright
37:45Keaton Mitchell is just going to snipe and take away this job from Amari and Hampton.
37:49But I just love the upside swing this late on.
37:52And he is not like a handcuff type for me.
37:55He has like standalone individual value in an offense that I really want pieces of.
37:59I'm not saying Keaton Mitchell is anything close to Devon Achan, but in that season that you talked about, he averaged 11 touches per game.
38:06I think that would be like the upside for Keaton Mitchell.
38:09But would I be surprised if it's eight touches per game?
38:12And if he's, there's no reason to not think that he's not going to have what one of the highest efficiency numbers
38:19like this is what he's done for years and years here.
38:22So I think that, you know, if he had eight touches, multiply that by six, seven yards of carry, like there's a
38:28chance in during bi-weeks, you can throw them into your flex.
38:31And there's a chance if Amari and Hampton gets injured, that he would be like a very, very big part of the
38:37fantasy discussion some way in the middle of the season.
38:40Yeah. And I don't think the Chargers intended to set this up, but they are kind of set up well to fill
38:46in for Tyler Biotish by taking Jake Slaughter in round two.
38:49Again, I believe they selected him for him to hopefully win that left guard job.
38:54He did not win that left guard job. And so now he just becomes our starting center.
38:58And the center spot is so important here for Mike McTain and we know his run concepts.
39:03So hopefully he can fill in. I know it's a rookie, but maybe he overperforms even his draft slot for him.
39:09Yeah. The interior of the offensive line is making me nervous.
39:12Well, the guards were even that at Miami last year too.
39:15Yes. But at a certain point, it's like guys I've never even pronounced their name before in front of a camera starting.
39:22And then, you know, rookie centers. But the good news is Keaton Mitchell, you run to the outside.
39:27As long as Trey Harris can hit the block.
39:29Run away from that. And you got Charlie Kohler.
39:32It doesn't fucking matter. So that's where we're at with the Chargers.
39:35Okay. We got two more here. Let's go round 13.
39:38You mentioned him earlier. I'll bring it home. That's Jawan Johnson.
39:41He's the 10th pick of the 13th round. I mean, 900 yards last year.
39:45And basically now the second best pass catcher on the Saints with Jordan Tyson's tie line.
39:50And you and I think towards the end of October, if not through October.
39:54So, you know, back on what? July 21st. Nick Underhill told you that all of Yahoo's ADP was well, well underrating Jawan Johnson.
40:00And he's going to be on the field all the time.
40:03And it's competing with Devon Valle and Bryce Lance now for targets.
40:07And they're going to run some heavier personnel stuff too with the Titans that they brought in.
40:11Plus, you know, drafting our guy and Oscar Delp out of Georgia.
40:15And that's going to help Chris Alave. And that's really going to help Jawan Johnson here too.
40:20Converted wide receiver. I'll throw in a little hashtag shower narrative for Jawan Johnson and Tyler Shuck at Oregon in about like 2018.
40:26Like, I don't think I'm exaggerating. I think like that might have actually like been the year.
40:31Um, but without Rashid Shahid last year from like week 10 on, he's a tight in five in yards per game, tight in eight in receptions per game.
40:39I mean, he's really good. Like he's a converted wide receiver.
40:42Like he's, you know, the Chigs, Isaiah Likely, like he is like the proven commodity of that tier in the fastest paced offense dome environment, easy schedule.
40:50Love it. Just to bring that point home on Yahoo and other platforms.
40:53Isaiah Likely is being selected as the tight in 13 in the ninth round.
40:57Chigokwankwo, who at some point was my highest drafted player.
41:00And I don't think I've touched him after that is tight in 16 in the 11th round.
41:05And Jawan here goes at the end of round 13 as the tight in 20.
41:09Um, I straight up have Jawan Johnson as the tight in 12 this year.
41:13I like it. Yep. I'm riding that range. I'd have rather have him than Ferguson, Mark Andrews, those guys, you know, I
41:19think I'd rather have Likely because he's probably gonna do it the entire season, but Jawan Johnson, the first month or two
41:26of the season, I'm going to be flirting with him.
41:28I'm going to steal someone from round 15 here.
41:31He's probably going to climb up to around 14, if not higher.
41:34Uh, I'll finish with Jonah Coleman, uh, from the Denver Broncos, the rookie running back Davis Webb spoke glowingly about him just
41:41two days ago after the preseason first game said, quote, I think after that one run, we all sat on the headset.
41:47Yeah, we're good. Um, and in fact, I think if you like read between the lines kind of surmise that the Broncos
41:53could potentially believe that Jonah Coleman is a running back of the future.
41:57So this is not a week one play for Jonah Coleman.
42:00It might not even be a week five play.
42:02But after that, at some point this year, I think Jonah Coleman is going to get big work in this backfield by injury or not.
42:09And he also has like usefulness in the passing game, which J.K.
42:13Dobbins does not have. Uh, Jonah Coleman is very calm and assured in that area too, that he showed in Washington.
42:19Yeah. Calm's a really great word for him. Just really trusted.
42:22Not a surprise that he's just like checking the boxes and training camp in the preseason, those two cutback runs, a little spin move on top of it.
42:30So yeah, just, he's not a great athlete. If he was, he would have been drafted in the first or second round.
42:36So that was like the discount. Uh, Sean Payton likes these guys in defined roles.
42:40He's capable of that. My question to you, and I've thought about this a lot.
42:45J.K. Dobbins, you know, it's week six pulls up lame.
42:47He's out for the year. Like truthfully truth serum.
42:50Take Josh. Is it Jonah Coleman or RG Harvey?
42:52I know it's going to be a committee, but like we draft RG Harvey in the ninth round and Jonah Coleman's going to be on waiver wires.
43:00I'm trying to like really think about that, uh, contingent value because I do think that I got the goal line and whatnot.
43:07I feel like it would be Jonah Coleman. Yeah, it will be Jonah Coleman.
43:11Um, and we're going to learn that I think more and more and more as we go through the final weeks of the preseason and training camp.
43:18I was just looking up during this episode, pulled up my prospect rankings at the running back spot.
43:23I had Jonah Coleman fourth running back four in this class.
43:26So was a huge fan. I called him this year's common guy.
43:30Guess what? I'm like this very show. I think we talked about Calvin on guy last year is one of our favorite
43:36picks and my favorite picks and in a given round.
43:39And, uh, I think Jonah Coleman has a fantastic chance of doing that.
43:43So, uh, we'll see five, eight, two 20, man.
43:45He's a fire hydrant. He's a submarine out there.
43:48He, he, he really is. I think he's going to be one of these guys after like week one, week two, he's
43:54going to be like the first guy you cut.
43:56And then I think on all the waiver wire shows, the last thing we'll say is just pick up Coleman now, just
44:03right now, just get it over with. Um, I was surprised you didn't say Mike Washington.
44:07I was waiting for the Mike Washington because I think you're talking about your pre-draft rankings.
44:12Yeah. Mike Washington might've, he might've been RB two for a certain somebody plays tonight.
44:16I'm very excited to watch him play. Mike Washington was RB two, uh, that run that he had in the preseason certainly
44:22won't dissuade me from thinking he might be running back to in this class.
44:26Uh, I'll leave people that are what, uh, I don't know, 45 minutes into this episode with a bit of a prediction.
44:32I think Mike Washington jr steals more away from Ashton Gentry than is being accredited to him right now.
44:38Agree. I don't see why not. Now, you know, that was only what?
44:41Like 14% of running back touches went to non Ashton Gentry players last year.
44:45Triple it. Triple it. That's a lot. That's a lot.
44:48I, I think it will be like 70, 30.
44:51I think it'll be 70, 30. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
44:53I think that's about right. Okay. But that's a huge difference than, you know, having a back that gets 86% of the carries that are in touches.
45:01That is, you know, the 12th, 13th pick in drafts right now for Ashton Gentry.
45:05So I like a dangerous truth serum, 45 minutes buried in there.
45:09No timestamps needed. Just clip it when it's right.
45:11I love it. Yes. Uh, yeah. The truth serum is, Hey, guess what?
45:15Mike Washington is going to get 30% of the workload.
45:18That's a huge, huge leap. Hey, tell that to the people drafting Gentry at 10th overall.
45:22Those are fighting words around here. Um, final thing on the NFL daily episode.
45:26Greg said he would draft Saquon Barkley third overall and was totally with me that he should be drafted.
45:31Well, well, well ahead of Ashton should be. This was a great episode.
45:35I didn't have to do anything. He set it up that like the four big things that fancy football has wrong this year.
45:42And, uh, half of them, half of them were, uh, right in line with how I think versus the consensus.
45:47I consume so many football shows. That's obviously one of them.
45:50I can always tell Greg, and I like this about him.
45:53He's like above fantasy football, but he's still fantasy football curious.
45:57He wants to give like a take here and there.
45:59Like he wants to be like 10% of a fantasy football analyst.
46:03Uh, so he has to get his little predictions in there left and right.
46:07I love it. One final thing. And again, maybe we should save this for Monday.
46:11Um, but we have a couple of extra minutes here.
46:14Jeremiah Love is like tanked in rankings since his high ankle sprain.
46:17Hey, do you want to take a guess where he's at in consensus rankings right now?
46:22Um, it's nuts. I've been drafting him in the fourth rounds, uh, in some drafts.
46:26I think that's ridiculous. I wouldn't be surprised. Is it consensus 36 or something like that?
46:3140th overall in consensus rankings right now. I said it last month, Malik neighbors, the most mispriced player in fantasy cross off.
46:37We fixed that problem. Jeremiah Love my goal from this point forward draft Jeremiah Love every single time in round three, see what happens.
46:44I see a superstar out there and this team's going to give him the rock.
46:48He might miss the first game. Like who cares?
46:50Like this is a, there's, we never see somebody as talented.
46:53He, as he is available this late. Um, I think he's like an auto click round four.
46:58Jeremiah Love. You should like literally host a pizza party as you make the selection.
47:03Yeah. 40th overall would be the fourth pick of the fourth round.
47:06That's where Jalen Waddle's going on Yahoo right now.
47:08Now, again, Jeremiah Love is still the second pick of the third round, but I'm just saying with these consensus ranks, 40th overall.
47:15Um, yeah. I mean, I'll gladly take him 35th overall every single time.
47:19Well, you know what? Like it happens in the home leagues.
47:22Like you're going to see the Q, the O tag, like his name's in bright red.
47:26You know, there's fantasy doctors on the apps telling you to not draft this guy.
47:31And then all of a sudden like, you're like, Oh man, I really drafted Ladd McConkie instead of the third overall pick in the draft.
47:38That's going to do it. We're going to be back on Monday to probably repeat some of the stuff we just said about Jeremiah Love.
47:45But most importantly, most importantly to recap everything that happened in preseason week two, we're going to combine the running back wide
47:51receivers, most likely rankings changes into just one massive episode, uh, on Monday.
47:55We'll watch every single preseason game. So you don't have to.
47:58And that means all you have to do is hit subscribe, leave a thumbs up, even leave a comment down below.
48:04Uh, and yeah, we'll see you then big month up the Villa.
48:07Talk to you guys soon. See ya.