Thinking About NFL DFS (Week 4)

Aaron Jones is considered the worst DFS play among similarly priced running backs like Chase Brown and Jeremiah Love due to high projected ownership and age concerns.

Drake May's expresses skepticism regarding Blake Corum's fantasy value, noting that his standalone role is not meaningfully better than other backups and he is only a 'smash' play if Kyren Williams is injured.

With Breece Hall out, Braylon Allen is expected to start and is considered a very good DFS play at $5,200. He benefits from a favorable matchup against a Bears defense playing a backup quarterback.

Bucky Irving was limited in practice on Wednesday, but the expectation is that he will play in the upcoming game.

Bucky Irving is a potential play, though the Buccaneers' offense is generally considered an avoid. He was limited in practice, but expected to play.

CeeDee Lamb remains a fine play despite a difficult matchup, with expectations that the defense will use safety help to contain him.

Chase Brown is viewed as a worse play than Jeremiah Love, despite his lower $6,100 price tag. He faces the league's best run defense, and his receiving role has been inconsistent, making him a fade candidate compared to other options.

Christian McCaffrey remains a high-owned, elite-priced running back, but Drake May's suggests he is not as strong a play as Kenneth Walker given the matchup and current workload.

Colby Parkinson is viewed primarily as a blocking tight end, functioning more like a sixth offensive lineman than a pass-catching threat in the Rams' offense.

DJ Moore returned to the lineup with a 33% target share, which Drake May's views as a potential 'make-a-wish' effort by the organization to justify their investment in him, potentially impacting Dalton Kincaid's role.

Despite a slow week and DJ Moore's return, Dalton Kincaid remains a central part of the Bills' offense. He has shown high productivity when playing alongside Moore, and Drake May's maintains a high rest-of-season outlook for him.

Dalton Schultz is off the table for DFS because his price is inflated from the weeks he played without Nico Collins, making him a poor value play.

Davante Adams is an interesting DFS play at low projected ownership (around 5%) with Puka Nacua returning, though his target volume is expected to decrease.

Deebo Samuel is an interesting DFS play because he is expected to have lower ownership compared to other 49ers stars, especially if Mike Evans is sidelined.

Drake Maye's shoulder is fine according to the team, and he was not added to the practice report with an injury; the concern is dismissed as unfounded.

Geno Smith's improved play for the Jets makes Garrett Wilson a strong DFS option, with Drake May's feeling great about his outlook.

George Kittle is expected to see high ownership in DFS this week due to a lack of obvious cheap tight end alternatives on the slate.

George Pickens is a fine play, likely to be shadowed by Derek Stingley Jr. due to his static alignment on the field.

George Pickens is a strong DFS target at $6,300 with projected ownership around 8-10%. He is expected to have an 'explosion game' soon, and the Texans' secondary has shown vulnerability to big plays.

J.K. Dobbins is currently serving in the primary role for the Chargers, but Drake May's compares his situation to being on a bad team, noting he is essentially playing the role that was expected of others.

Jacob Cowling is a potential deep-league or DFS punt option if the 49ers are forced to play him due to injuries, though he is physically undersized.

Jadarian Price is no longer a recommended DFS play as his usage has failed to materialize and he has committed costly errors.

Jalen Daniels is expected to struggle with turnovers and interceptions, which could negatively impact his fantasy performance despite his fun playstyle.

Jalen Daniels is a $4,400 DFS option for his first start. While he was a fun college player, Drake May's does not expect him to lead a highly efficient NFL offense as a UDFA rookie.

James Cook is a strong DFS play in the Bills' high-powered offense. While he lacks 'bunnies' (one-yard touchdowns) due to Josh Allen's goal-line usage, he is a top-tier runner who provides value through yardage and long-run potential.

Jalen Wright is not considered DFS viable due to an expected backfield split with Ollie Gordon and a lack of price adjustment by DFS sites.

Jeremiah Love is considered the best running back play on the slate and a potential lock button play if ownership remains under 25%. He has seen a significant role increase, including 28 touches last week, and his previous limited usage was due to recovering from a high ankle sprain.

Jeremiah Love is preferred over Aaron Jones for DFS lineups due to better value and lower expected ownership.

Jordan Addison is a potential chalk play if Justin Jefferson misses time, but Drake May's is generally wary of playing chalky mid-tier wide receivers in DFS.

Khalif Raymond is objectively a great DFS play, projecting as the best points-per-dollar wide receiver on the slate, despite personal distaste for the player.

Keaton Mitchell is currently in the RJ Harvey role within the Chargers backfield, making him only a borderline DFS play in specific favorable matchups.

Kenny Gainwell is a fade candidate at his $4,700 price point, especially with Jalen Daniels at quarterback, due to concerns over low play volume and uncertainty regarding his role increase versus Sean Tucker's involvement.

Drake May's advises fading Kenny Gainwell if he becomes highly owned, citing concerns over low play volume and uncertainty regarding his role split with Sean Tucker.

Kenneth Walker is considered one of the top two or three players in fantasy football and is a high-priority target for DFS lineups this week due to his elite volume and role.

Kenyon Sadiq is a recommended DFS play following a 55% route rate last week. He is expected to see a 65-70% route share this week and is considered a viable stack option with Geno Smith.

Kyren Williams is a strong DFS play at $5,900. He maintains a superior role to Blake Corum, handling pass-down work and two-minute drills, and remains the clear starter for managed leagues.

Ladd McConkey is considered the clear wide receiver one for the Chargers, but he is only borderline DFS playable due to the team's overall offensive struggles.

Luther Burden is considered an objectively great DFS play, having recorded 11 targets last week. He remains a preferred target regardless of whether Tyson Bagent or Case Keenum starts at quarterback.

Nico Collins is expected to play this week, which should improve the Houston Texans' offense in a good matchup against the Dallas Cowboys.

Nico Collins is considered a clear-cut top-10 wide receiver and the best player on the Texans offense. The team's offensive performance significantly declines without him, and he is the only Houston player recommended for DFS lineups this week.

Ollie Gordon is not considered DFS viable due to an expected backfield split with Jalen Wright and a lack of price adjustment by DFS sites.

Patrick Mahomes is a strong DFS play at $6,500, though his ceiling may be capped by the Chiefs' tendency to play conservatively in the second half of games.

Puka Nacua is expected to play, but his history of leaving games for the locker room creates volatility. He is priced at $7,500, and there is uncertainty regarding his role in 13 personnel packages if he is load-managed.

Rashee Rice's fantasy value is negatively impacted by the Chiefs' elimination of RPO plays, which were previously a major source of his production.

Rhamondre Stevenson is considered unplayable for DFS this week due to the expectation that the Patriots will be blown out by the Buffalo Bills.

Tyler Higbee is an interesting large-field MME play at $3,100. While his role is unclear due to the Rams' tight end rotation, he has shown 11-target upside in the past.

Xavier Worthy is struggling to find a consistent role, as the Chiefs have shifted short-area screen work to Rashee Rice, leaving Worthy without a clear path to high-volume production.

Zay Flowers is a strong play at $6,900 with a smash matchup, and he can be played alongside Derek Henry in lineups.