Davis Mattek - Grinding the Variance: Man Drafts his 1,250th Fantasy Football Team of the Year
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.
1 hr 1 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jul 23, 2026
Published
Thu, July 23, 2026
59
Player insights
40
Players mentioned
Topics
Jaylen WaddleKyler MurrayTyreek HillAlec PierceDavid MontgomeryGeorge KittleJ.J. McCarthyJordan JamesJustin JeffersonMarvin Harrison Jr.Michael WilsonTravis HunterTravis KelceAaron Rodgers
Player analysis
Player insights
Aaron Rodgers
PositiveValue54:55
Rodgers is described as 'crazy, crazy underpriced' on DraftKings; the source notes Rodgers went 10 picks ahead of Tua, indicating significant ADP undervaluation relative to his talent and draft capital.
Insight pageAlec Pierce
NegativeValue54:25
Alec Pierce was mentioned as part of a clear tier below Jaylen Lemon at pick 81, suggesting Pierce was viewed as less valuable than Lemon at their respective draft positions.
Insight pageNegativeDepth Chart54:28
Pierce is mentioned as part of a tier of receivers below the source's preferred selections, suggesting he was available later in the draft.
Insight pageBrashard Smith
NegativeRole59:08
The source does not expect Brashard Smith to have fantasy value as the Chiefs running back; if Smith makes the team, it would be as a kick returner, which the source views as doubtful.
Insight pageBreece Hall
NegativeRole15:15
Hall is noted as cheap in DraftKings contests; the source expresses skepticism about Hall's receiving role, noting he was not much of a receiver during the season with only 11.4 receiving yards per game, suggesting limited pass-catching upside.
Insight pageBucky Irving
PositiveValue13:15
Irving is positioned as an accessible running back option in the value tier; the source notes he would be happy to acquire Irving at his current price point, indicating strong value relative to ADP.
Insight pageCalvin Ridley
Christian Watson
PositiveRole38:25
Christian Watson returned from an ACL tear as a permanently injury-prone player and came back playing very well at a greater snap rate and route rate than he had ever had before; the source found this return remarkable and faster than Adrian Peterson's comeback, describing it as one of the most bewildering things in NFL history.
Insight pageDavid Montgomery
NegativeRole36:37
Jane Slater reported on David Montgomery and Woody Marks, with the source indicating there is no chance Woody Marks will earn a timeshare in the backfield, implying Montgomery retains lead-back role.
Insight pageNegativeInjury55:35
Montgomery's injury in 2025 diminished his role and created legendary upside for Jameer Gibbs, illustrating the importance of contingent value in fantasy football.
Insight pageDJ Giddens
PositiveRole60:12
The source believes DJ Giddens was dismissed too early; with Jonathan Taylor at 70% of Colts rushing attempts and Giddens at 7%, the source sees opportunity in Giddens' rushing projection as the backup in a limited backfield.
Insight pageEli Stowers
PositiveValue51:23
Eli Stowers appears in 16% of lineups across 1,269 DK Millionaire drafts, part of the source's top page of exposures.
Insight pageGeorge Kittle
NegativeValue54:32
Kittle was available as a tight end option at pick 129 but was passed over; the source notes he could have taken Kittle or Kelsey at that spot, indicating both jumped ADP.
Insight pageNegativeValue55:00
Kittle was available and could have been taken as the source's first tight end, but the source passed on him in favor of other selections.
Insight pageJ.J. McCarthy
NegativeProjection25:38
The source is highly critical of JJ McCarthy's performance, describing him as 'one of the worst quarterbacks we have ever seen last season' and noting that 'McCarthy in the last 15 years is outside the top 100 quarterbacks worse than Josh Dobbs, worse than Jared Stidham, worse than Cooper Rush, Desmond Ritter, duck Hodges, Colt McCoy, AJ McCarron.' The source uses McCarthy's poor performance as evidence that Kyler Murray is a lock to remain the Vikings starter, with the Vikings dropping from 25 points per game with Darnold to 2 points per game with McCarthy.
Insight pageNegativeRole29:59
A report indicated JJ McCarthy would go to the right to start the season; the source characterizes this as a coaching strategy by Kevin O'Connell to keep McCarthy motivated and locked in, suggesting uncertainty around his role and playing time at the start of the season.
Insight pageJadarian Price
NegativeValue54:08
Price was taken when the source believes Marvin Harrison Jr. would have been the better selection at that draft position.
Insight pageJames Cook
NegativeValue0:24
The source notes that James Cook's relative value decreases in PPR formats compared to half-PPR, as pass-catching backs gain advantage in full PPR scoring.
Insight pageJavonte Williams
NegativeValue53:56
Javante Williams was considered as an alternative to Lad in the early rounds, indicating he was in the same draft tier consideration but was passed over in favor of Lad.
Insight pageJayden Reed
PositiveValue51:23
Jaden Reed appears in 16% of lineups across 1,269 DK Millionaire drafts, part of the source's top page of exposures.
Insight pageJaylen Waddle
NegativeValue9:14
Considered as a draft option in best ball team construction; the source questioned whether to take Waddle before pivoting to a hero running back team strategy.
Insight pagePositiveValue11:51
Waddle is highlighted as part of a strong early-round receiver tier alongside Jefferson Walker and Ladd; the source notes the ability to stack multiple elite receivers early in DraftKings contests, suggesting Waddle is accessible at a favorable ADP.
Insight pagePositiveValue53:59
Jaylen Waddle was selected as an easy, straightforward pick at his draft position, indicating strong consensus value and minimal debate about the selection.
Insight pagePositiveValue54:08
Waddle was an easy take at his draft position; the source viewed him as a clear value with only one direction the pick could go.
Insight pageJeremiyah Love
NegativeRole0:36
The source expresses uncertainty about Jeremiah Love's offensive role with the Cardinals, noting that 'it's the kind of thing that bad teams like to do' and suggesting the Cardinals may spell Love on third down, which would limit his PPR value in full-point-per-reception formats.
Insight pageJoe Mixon
NegativeInjury60:54
The source reports that Joe Mixon has indicated his career is over, citing reports that Mixon told former Bengals teammates his playing career has ended.
Insight pageJonathan Taylor
NegativeValue0:16
The source notes that while Jonathan Taylor would be a reasonable pick at 1.9, he prefers the Jefferson-Walker start in full PPR formats; Taylor's relative value increases in half-PPR scoring compared to PPR, where pass-catching backs like Jefferson gain advantage.
Insight pageJordan James
NegativeRole52:18
Jordan James is two and a half years younger than Kalen Ballage, a prospect age differential that may affect their respective developmental timelines and role competition.
Insight pageNegativeValue56:53
The source predicts that in about 10 days, either Caelan Black or Jordan James will be heavily clicked in drafts; the source's guess is that Jordan James will be the one getting the volume of clicks.
Insight pageJosh Jacobs
NegativeValue53:56
Josh Jacobs was considered as an alternative to Lad in the early rounds, indicating he was in the same draft tier consideration but was passed over in favor of Lad.
Insight pageJustin Jefferson
PositiveValue0:02
The source selects Justin Jefferson at pick 1.9 in a full PPR DraftKings Best Ball format, describing the Jefferson-Walker start as 'the ultimate, ultimate start,' indicating strong conviction in Jefferson's value at that position in PPR scoring.
Insight pagePositiveValue53:50
Justin Jefferson was selected as the opening pick in a 1,250-team draft sample, indicating strong consensus value and draft preference at the top of the draft.
Insight pageKalen Ballage
NegativeProjection52:27
Kalen Ballage received a draft capital grade of D and a relatively decent RASP score, but when filtered by receiving yards per team pass attempt, his receiving production metrics are notably weak, suggesting limited pass-game involvement relative to team passing volume.
Insight pageKeaton Mitchell
PositiveValue51:08
Keaton Mitchell appears in 27% of streamed DK Millionaire lineups (29% T Ferg, 27% Keaton Mitchell across 250 drafts), showing strong draft appeal and exposure in tournament formats.
Insight pageKenneth Walker III
PositiveValue53:50
Kenneth Walker was selected early alongside Justin Jefferson as a strong opening-round pick in a high-volume draft sample, reflecting solid consensus value.
Insight pageKyler Murray
PositiveValue14:33
Murray is noted as accessible on DraftKings; the source indicates he can certainly get Murray at his current ADP, suggesting strong value at that price point.
Insight pagePositiveProjection25:14
The source is extremely confident in Kyler Murray's value, stating there is 'no report that could come out from the Vikings that would make me feel differently' and calling it 'a legitimate impossibility that JJ McCarthy plays well enough in training camp and in the preseason to unseat Kyler Murray.' The source backs this conviction with EPA per play data showing Kyler has outperformed CJ Stroud, Trevor Lawrence, Cam Newton, Jake Browning, Geno Smith, Caleb Williams, Tyler Shuck, Mac Jones, Daniel Jones, and Sam Darnold over the last 10 years, positioning him as a clear starter with no legitimate competition threat.
Insight pageNegativeRole29:59
A report two days prior stated Kyler and JJ McCarthy would go to the right to start the season; the source dismisses this as 'lying' and frames it as Kevin O'Connell's coaching strategy to keep both quarterbacks motivated and locked in, suggesting job security concerns may affect Kyler's role and performance.
Insight pageNegativeValue54:47
Drafted at pick 153 in the mock draft; context suggests he was taken as a backup quarterback option.
Insight pageLamar Jackson
PositiveValue11:51
Jackson is noted as accessible at a favorable price on DraftKings; the source indicates he could add Jackson to his roster if desired, suggesting strong value relative to ADP.
Insight pageMarvin Harrison Jr.
PositiveValue54:06
Marvin Harrison Jr. was identified as a player who should have been selected over Judkins at pick 57, indicating the source views Harrison Jr. as having better value at that draft position.
Insight pageNegativeValue54:08
The source suggests Marvin Harrison Jr. should have been taken over Jadarian Price at the same draft position, indicating a missed value opportunity.
Insight pageMichael Wilson
NegativeValue54:25
Michael Wilson was mentioned as part of a clear tier below Jaylen Lemon at pick 81, suggesting Wilson was viewed as less valuable than Lemon at their respective draft positions.
Insight pageNegativeDepth Chart54:28
Wilson is mentioned as part of a tier of receivers below the source's preferred selections, suggesting he was available later in the draft.
Insight pageRhamondre Stevenson
NegativeDepth Chart55:35
The source acknowledges Stevenson is 'probably the one aim' (likely 'one and only' or lead back) currently, but emphasizes that contingent value is what matters most in fantasy football, using Jameer Gibbs as an example of how injury to a starter (David Montgomery) created legendary upside.
Insight pageSaquon Barkley
NegativeValue0:24
The source indicates that Saquon Barkley's relative value decreases in PPR formats compared to half-PPR, as pass-catching backs gain advantage in full PPR scoring.
Insight pageStefon Diggs
PositiveValue51:23
Stefan Diggs appears in 16% of lineups across 1,269 DK Millionaire drafts, part of the source's top page of exposures.
Insight pageTravis Hunter
PositiveProjection37:04
The source's quantitative model projects Travis Hunter for 11% of the team's targets with some rushing volume; at his ADP, he is draftable because he can easily score a couple of touchdowns for that price.
Insight pagePositiveProjection37:04
The source's quantitative projections show Travis Hunter receiving 11% of his team's targets; he is draftable at his ADP because he can easily score a couple of touchdowns at that price point.
Insight pageTravis Kelce
NegativeValue54:32
Kelce was available as a tight end option at pick 129 but was passed over; the source notes both Kittle and Kelsey jumped ADP at that point in the draft.
Insight pageNegativeValue55:00
Kelce was available and could have been taken as the source's first tight end, but the source passed on him in favor of other selections.
Insight pageTreVeyon Henderson
PositiveBreakout55:35
The source calls Henderson 'one of the single most interesting guys in fantasy football this year' because he demonstrated elite efficiency in year one, scoring 'way over expectation' when he started. The source expects him to contribute more in the passing game in 2026 and believes Ramond Ray is not best suited for the role, suggesting Henderson has contingent value if Stevenson gets injured. On DraftKings, Henderson can be acquired around pick 6, making him a value play with significant upside.
Insight pageTua Tagovailoa
NegativeValue54:55
Tagovailoa went 10 picks after Aaron Rodgers on DraftKings, suggesting he is overpriced relative to Rodgers despite similar quarterback tier positioning.
Insight pageTyreek Hill
NegativeInjury0:25
The source expresses strong skepticism about Tyreek Hill's 2024 season prospects, citing Hill's own statement that he has 'no power in the left leg' from a Week 4 injury against the New York Jets last season; the source notes he recently drafted Hill in the 20th round but is 'probably going to be done on this one' and states 'I'm just really not certain things are going to go Tyreek Hill's direction this season,' despite Hill's visible recovery work (balance drills, Bosu ball, slant board).
Insight pageNegativeProjection3:00
The source expresses significant concern about Tyreek Hill's 2024 season outlook, noting that Hill—a player who historically relied on elite speed—has lost power in his leg and questioning whether things will go his direction this season. The source is 'really not certain' about Hill's prospects despite recent training regimen improvements.
Insight pageNegativeInjury34:00
Tyreek Hill made public comments about struggling to get back from injuries, which surprised the source who expected such admissions would come only after the season; the source notes Hill was moving well in video context but projects he'll likely play by week eight.
Insight pageNegativeProjection36:06
The source expresses curiosity about how Tyreek Hill as a round 20 pick would project quantitatively, noting he's taken absolute 'dust balls' in round 20 in other drafts, suggesting uncertainty about Hill's value at that ADP.
Insight pageWill Levis
PositiveValue54:25
Will Levis was selected to return around pick 88, indicating the source viewed him as good value at that draft position.
Insight pageWoody Marks
NegativeRole36:37
Per Jane Slater reporting, Woody Marks will not earn a timeshare in the backfield, limiting his fantasy upside in a committee situation.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
0:00Drafting a little bit more here on DraftKings for DraftKings Best Ball Week.
0:05Shout out to our friends at DraftKings for sponsoring us July, what was that like, July 15th or July 26th.
0:12We are here in the DraftKings Millie Maker, the big championship.
0:16One, two, three million dollars. Three million dollars in first place.
0:20We are drafting out of the 1.9. Man, I don't know if we can top the team that we drafted on stream last night.
0:29If you guys missed that one, you should maybe go back and catch it on a rewatch.
0:35Because my goodness, was it an absolute jammer last night.
0:39Drafting with MTL, Big Jossie, KSorge, King in the North, Comsteel, D-Drive, Billy Bob, FeelsLike98, That's an Error, King Zoolander, and Gavin Schmidt.
0:47Let's have ourselves a nice little drafterino, boys and girls.
0:51I've really been enjoying drafting here on DraftKings. Honestly, it's just nice.
0:56You get a different texture of the board, different combinations.
0:59Quite nice to be able to do. You get a different texture of the board, different combinations.
1:05I'm going to be able to attack all of those.
1:09And I also, in full PPR formats this year, I like drafting from the backside of the board.
1:16Half PPR, maybe I would feel a little bit differently because I do think the value, obviously, of Jonathan Taylor goes up.
1:24Probably the relative value of Barkley, Hampton, and not even probably.
1:28I know this. The relative value of Barkley, Hampton, James Cook.
1:32Some of these guys goes down in PPR. Honestly, Ken Walker, probably.
1:36Henry, for sure. Jeremiah Love, I guess that one will be a little bit unclear, the type of role that they're going to use Jeremiah Love in.
1:46I mean, not going to be particularly surprising to me if, because the Cardinals are stupid, they end up like spelling Jeremiah Love on third down.
1:56So it's the kind of thing that bad teams like to do.
2:00But we're drafting at the 1.9. I mean, honestly, like I would take Jonathan Taylor here, but I love the, uh, I
2:08mean, can you beat the Jefferson Walker start? To me, that feels like the ultimate, ultimate start.
2:15Uh, and that's what we're going to do. We are going to select Justin Jefferson at the 1.9.
2:21Uh, GM. Help everyone is doing great today. What's it take?
2:25You don't actually believe in, but could be a real play.
2:29Mine is Tyreek back to Atlanta with Tua. I mean, definitely don't believe in that one at all.
2:36In fact, there was a pretty bearish quote today on, on Tyreek.
2:40And the quote came from Mr. Tyreek Hill himself.
2:44The quote from Tyreek was, I have no power in my left leg.
2:48So if you like me watch the Tyreek Hill video on his YouTube channel and we're like, Hey man, Tyreek, you know, looking good, coming back, surgically repaired.
2:59It's like, Oh, I actually don't know about that.
3:02All right. There we go. I spoke it into existence.
3:06Justin Jefferson and Ken Walker at pick nine and at pick 16 GM.
3:11Yes. Famously the Jarek McKinnon dead leg syndrome has impacted one Mr.
3:15Tyreek Hill. Let me see if I can pull this exact quote up from him because it doesn't feel.
3:22It was as someone who just recently drafted Tyreek Hill in the 20th round.
3:27I'm probably, I'm probably done doing that. Probably probably going to be done on this one.
3:33Free agent wide receiver Tyreek Hill said he still has quote no power in the left leg.
3:39He injured in week four last season against the New York Jets.
3:44So just in general, not loving that, not loving that.
3:47If you'd been drafting Tyreek Hill. Yes. The, the balance drills, the, the, what would we, the Bosu ball, the slant board, all those things.
3:57Those did, they look pretty cool, but I'm not certain.
4:00I'm just really not certain things are going to go Tyreek Hill's direction this season.
4:06Yeah. A guy, a guy who lived on his speed, having no power in his leg.
4:12What could go wrong? Really, really sad stuff. Yes.
4:15The Estava jersey that I'm wearing on the thumbnail is a, is a 10 of 10.
4:21It's right over there. I meant to throw on one of my soccer jerseys before I got in the stream today.
4:29And I was so short on time prepping and getting ready to get through the stream that I did not change into one of my soccer jerseys.
4:38So I'm gonna have to change in that when I hop on with my, uh, my guy, Ian Hart.
4:45It's later over on the Roto wire channel. My guy Bass head with the 10 gems.
4:51Someone's going to have to explain the 10 gems to me.
4:55Someone is going to have to explain gems. Cause I, I don't understand.
5:00I think it's like Twitch. It's like bits. Not, not quite, not quite understanding there.
5:06Uh, yeah. Chivas famously do not need strong legs.
5:09I will not be ordering an Aston Villa Alejandro Garnacho Jersey.
5:13That will not be happening. In fact, the only, the only Aston Villa Jersey I have, Michael, I learned my lesson because
5:21the only Aston Villa Jersey that I have is a Philippe Coutinho, where after I got it, he relatively quickly transferred to a Qatari star.
5:30He, he transferred from Aston Villa to Al Duhail who play in the Qatari stars league.
5:36So probably learned my lesson on that one. Uh, GM.
5:40Yes. If so, if you guys don't know, if you're not signed up for draft Kings right now, last week was like the draft Kings best ball week.
5:50However, if you draft 15 of your teams and you can do these as slows by the way, so you can start it as a slow.
6:00You don't have to complete them. If you draft there's, there's financial reward for drafting three teams, 10 teams and 15 teams.
6:08And the financial reward for doing 15 teams is $75 in DK promotional credits back GM GM.
6:14Yes, I am an unk. Someone is going to have to explain the gems thing to me.
6:20So whenever, whenever anyone decides to figure that out, please let me know.
6:25Amari and Hampton is scoring 20 touchdowns. Thanks for coming to my Ted talk.
6:30You know, I don't think so. I don't think so.
6:34However, actually I've got a, let me see if I can actually pull this up because I'm working on a little bit.
6:42I'm working on a project for those of you who are subscribers over at flock fantasy.com.
6:48Actually, this is a nice little, this is a nice thing.
6:52We're going to play a little commercial right here.
6:55I would love to send you $100,000. Anyone who signs up for flock fantasy using code Davis until week 17 in December
7:03gets a chance to win 5% of my winnings in fantasy football in this upcoming season.
7:09Any best ball contest, any big high stakes fantasy football contest where I take down a six figure prize.
7:16There will be one entrant randomly selected in December after week 17 who gets a chance to win a chunk of my
7:24portfolios to sign up on flock fantasy using code Davis to enter into the drawing.
7:30So a reminder on that one, any of you guys who sign up for flock fantasy using code Davis, you will, you
7:38will have the ability to enter into winning 5% of whatever I win.
7:43Uh, again, no one is going to have more best ball teams than me this upcoming year.
7:49I mean, I guess, I guess sack and shady.
7:52Well, no, the, the, the, uh, payout will be in, in real us dollars.
7:57I will send it to you and I'm going to select Vlad McConkie actually here.
8:03We're going to take Vlad McConkie there. Uh, you do not owe me money if I lose.
8:09No last year I paid out. I, I wish I remember the guy's name.
8:14I want to say, I want to say it was Bailey McAuliffe who I sent 500 bucks to last year, but you
8:22know, I mean, I hope it is, hope it is a lot more, hope it's a lot more money this year.
8:30I mean, I hope how sick would that be if I sent one of you guys like $75,000 would be pretty, pretty cool.
8:39Yes. Need to, uh, I need to add some moderators over on Twitch so that we can get new emotes.
8:46I just opened up the, um, Oh, what is it that I did?
8:51I, I opened up the chat over on Twitch.
8:54So everyone, everyone can chat over on Twitch. Uh, the thing that I was going to show you guys was this, this
9:02is going to be available pretty soon. If you are a flock fantasy subscriber, but I have a customizable cheat sheet for
9:10generating projections that, uh, anyone will be able to use.
9:14Do I want to take Waddle here? Yeah. You know what?
9:18Let's just get back to our roots. Let's do a little bit of a hero running back team.
9:25Yeah. But, uh, but if any of you guys want your ability to generate your own customizable projections, I will have, I
9:33mean, I'm going to do this on my own, but I've done a lot of work setting up this sheet so that
9:41you can generate your own projections, which is I think pretty cool and pretty useful.
9:46Is there any exposure tool I can use for mobile drafting?
9:50No, no. The way that the Apple app store and the Android app store work means that it's not going to happen.
9:58You are, aren't I would be surprised if there is ever a tool that allows you to generate the overlay on your phone.
10:07I mean, never say never. Maybe something would change with the app store.
10:12Maybe something would change with the way the app works itself.
10:16But I would be very, very surprised if any of those things ever end up happening.
10:22I know that the flock devs tried to get it to work and, uh, basically impossible now it's actually.
10:29So if you wanted to draft best ball teams on your phone inside of the Safari browser, I believe, uh, my guy,
10:37Joe, who is one of the devs over at flock fantasy.com.
10:41I believe he actually got the tool to work inside the browser on your phone, which is sort of interesting.
10:48Uh, am I in the best bowl mania streets?
10:51I am not, but I'm thinking that I should probably start.
10:55I am getting excited for the return of fantasy football as in college fantasy football, zero running back field so bad last year.
11:04I think it's a smash this year. The entire first four rounds of running back did not get hurt last year and half of them are old.
11:14Uh, Tom, you basically could not be more correct.
11:17I mean, basically every day, I become more convinced that that is true.
11:22I, I just, it just feels so, so likely to me that that is the direction that we are heading, right?
11:30Is, is the dominant strategy going to be hero running back two years in a row?
11:36I mean, I can't even really remember years of the dominant strategy, like back to back years.
11:42So for it to be three years in a row of, of football playing out the same way seems, seems so preposterous to me.
11:51I, I, I mean, look, never say never. It could always happen, but the fact that the entire market is now treating
11:59it like it is just absolutely going to happen.
12:02I mean, it seems, it seems insane. It really, it really does actually.
12:07All right. So we have got Jefferson Walker, lad and Jalen Waddle and look, I mean, drafting on draft Kings.
12:14It is, it is playing, it is playing on, on easy mode a little bit because look, I'm going to be able to get Lamar.
12:23If I want, I could add in Judkins here.
12:27I can even add in, I could add in another wide receiver.
12:31I could take Jamison Williams here and then take Bucky Irving.
12:35I mean, it's, it's insane. I actually completely agree with this.
12:39The Trevion Judkins, Swift, Tootin tier of running backs.
12:43That is going to be the determiner. If one of those guys is a smash, two of those guys is a smash.
12:51None of those guys is a smash, but that is what you were going to have to determine this year.
12:58Um, I'm going to take Judkins here because I don't really care which one of Tate, BTJ or P wash that I
13:06get at this upcoming turn, lock in a little bit of production at the running back two slot.
13:13Look at the third round running backs. It's the number three overall pick.
13:17And then two guys who aren't any good. I know it is, it is funny.
13:23It really, it really is. DK is actually hard mode.
13:27Cause if you make the finals, yes. I mean, yeah, yeah.
13:31The, the teams you are going to see in the finals on draft Kings are going to be absurd.
13:38Yeah. They're, they're going to be, that is, that is kind of what I've realized over time is that you are up
13:46against a bunch of guys who have seemingly, well, really, I mean, just the audience on draft Kings comparatively is going to be more casual.
13:55Um, and draft Kings does a lot of giveaways.
13:58They entice you with the tickets and things like that, but man, when you get there, Oh, all right.
14:05Well, good. I guess good on me for taking Judkins.
14:09Cause I was not going to get one Mr.
14:12Marquis, Bucky Irving there. I would actually be happy taking price here.
14:17Be happy taking Marv as well. What do I want to do?
14:21We'll do price or Marv or Jordan Tyson. Let's do price because I, I mean, I went running back in the first
14:29round and now I got a nice little three, three little balance build there.
14:34Yes. I mean, uh, stop me if you've heard this one before, but the hack is just to make sure you've drafted an absurdly good fantasy football team.
14:45So Jefferson Walker lad, Watto Judkins price. I've got Knicks live potentially can get Herbert at 81 can certainly get Kyler on this one.
14:53Will I be doing any of the side contests?
14:57Uh, yes. Yeah. I will be probably drafting all the side contests.
15:01I would imagine. Let's go see. What do we, what do we have in the lobby?
15:07What else is there? So we've got, uh, the five, five, five, the $3, which I think I have already maxed.
15:15Uh, yes. So I've already maxed this one. The $59 that I have not maxed, uh, this $10, which I believe.
15:23Yeah. Okay. So this $10 I have maxed, I will max this one as well.
15:28Yeah, I will. I will probably just draft all of these.
15:32Why wouldn't I? Why wouldn't you? Judkins is just cheap.
15:36Brees hall. I believe he'll catch balls like he did at the end of the season.
15:42I'm a little bit less skeptical about that, uh, or a little bit more skeptical about that.
15:48So if we look at Judkins, by the way, this is one of my favorite additions they've made to the flocks, the
15:56flock tool, which is the ability to look at the player cards without having to leave, you know, he was not much of a receiver at all.
16:06Uh, 11.4 receiving yards per game. That's 10th percentile really high RAS the game logs in 2025.
16:12Like I will admit, I did not remember the four for 33.
16:17I did not remember, you know, the five for 29 week 16 against Buffalo.
16:22I did not remember, uh, those games at all, but sometimes that happens, uh, stop messing around and draft a five, five, five.
16:30We might that that will probably be a little bit closer to the beginning of the upcoming season.
16:37I would imagine when, when we would be doing that probably going to draft some big dogs.
16:43I've started into negotiations as it were for drafting high stakes stuff.
16:47So drafting on the NFC, the FFPC, things like that, but there's going to be a change to the channel this year,
16:56which is that all of those drafts. So like the high stakes stuff with Leone and the Gilcast drafts and things like that.
17:04None of those are going to be on this channel.
17:08They are all going to be on the Matic fantasy football channel.
17:12So if you want to watch me draft with the Gilcast guys, you want to watch me draft with Leone, uh, our,
17:20our high stakes draft, the Evan Silva, JJ, Zachary, Pat Thorman, rich rebar draft.
17:25That one is going to also be on the Matic fantasy football channel.
17:30So if you are, if you are looking to get into, if you're looking to check out the high stakes stuff, I
17:38would encourage you to go check that out. Ollie, Ollie DeRoche, 7289.
17:43I missed you too, brother. Uh, vacation was awesome.
17:46I mean, I was, I was missing, I was missing the warm glow of my laptop.
17:52I was missing fast drafting. I did very little fast drafting on vacation.
17:57It was mostly slow draft picks, but it was, it was nice and, uh, invigorating.
18:02And I really, really enjoyed it. It was, it was nice to, to get away from the rat race a little bit.
18:10Although, you know, I did, I did have to do a little bit of work while I was gone because that is the way of the world.
18:20All right. So I just, here's the deal, man.
18:23I quite literally cannot justify drafting Justin Herber over Jalen Hurts.
18:28So what I'm going to do here is I'm going to take Makai Lemon and if both the quarterbacks go, both the
18:36quarterbacks go, but this now sets me up to take Hertz at 88, which is insane or Herbert at 88.
18:43The, um, the Makai Lemon stuff. I mean, I am just very, very in him.
18:49In fact, I can actually probably just pull this up in my sheet.
18:53This is the first time I've done this. So we are, are pulling this up right now, the Philadelphia Eagles, and I
19:01can actually pull up this sheet, which again is going to be there on flock fantasy here before too long.
19:09So the base target share for Makai Lemon at 18%.
19:12I mean, I'm sorry, bro. I'm going higher than that.
19:16I I'm not giving, I'm not giving Hollywood Brown 7% and Marquise and Makai Lemon, you know, uh, 18%.
19:23I think we're going to get him. Wow. All right.
19:27So fading one pick here to get my guy, Jay Herbie, who would have thought that I, you know, all right, there we go.
19:36Mahomes goes. Wow. All right. So now we have got our quarterback, Justin Herbert, Kenneth Walker, Quinshawn Judkins, Justin Jefferson, Ladd McConkie,
19:44Jalen Watto, Jadarian Price, and one Mr. Makai Lemon.
19:47Nothing like setting up an entire draft to get the Charlie Kolar stack, brother.
19:52But that is how it's going. If it ain't broke, don't fix it.
19:57That sounds right until you actually do the math.
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20:57Feels pretty good there. But yeah, I mean, Lemon to me, like if I'm sitting here looking at this, I would probably,
21:05honestly, I would take a shade away from Barkley.
21:08I would probably go, I'd probably go 9.5 on Barkley.
21:129.5, which is okay. So I have to go, I have to go back to my own read me to figure this
21:20out because this is the first time I've started editing it.
21:24But that is, that is going to be coming very, very soon.
21:28Did I max the slow and fast puppy already?
21:31Yes, I did. Yes, I did. Rulakoya. And here, let me even, I can even, I'll even run my updated exposures while
21:40we are on this because I'm just kind of curious after I drafted these yesterday.
21:45I'm curious as to how many total teams that I have drafted and completed at this point.
21:51Do I think I'm going to get to 3000?
21:55I hope so. I hope so. It's going to get, it's going to get close.
22:00I'm negotiating right now with a couple other places that run best ball drafts.
22:05So maybe there'll be some new, some new drafts, some new features coming to the channel relatively soon, but we're, we're, we're going to get there.
22:15Ended up in a fast puppy with Liam while he was off stream yesterday.
22:20He sniped me so bad with him at the four and the five.
22:25Well, I can't speak for Liam. I can only speak for myself, but if you were with me in a fast puppy
22:33last night or, or any fast draft last night, I was auto drafting.
22:38I, I auto drafted all, I, I, I auto drafted all, but 35 teams in the fast puppy.
22:44I auto drafted some of the earlier contests on draft Kings.
22:48I think there was a pre-draft contest. That was a $1.
22:52I, uh, I auto drafted that one. I'm, I'm, I, I basically any contest that's $1.
22:58I probably auto drafted. So, you know, that's, uh, that's kind of, that's kind of the way she goes.
23:05Are we sleeping on Adam Randall with a 32 year old Henry and justice Hill coming off a neck injury?
23:13So we are sleeping on Adam Randall in the sense that there's clearly a role for him.
23:19The issue is, is that I liked Adam Randall as a prospect, but a lot of other, uh, smart people, not that big on Adam Randall.
23:28I love, I love a guy who is a positional convert, something you got to know about me.
23:35Big, big fan of guys who are positional converts.
23:38I also love any running back that weighs 235 pounds.
23:42I mean, to me, Adam Randall looks like kind of like a perfect fit for that Ravens backfield because he can play
23:50the passing downs and he can play the, uh, he should be able to be like a goal line runner and stuff as well.
23:59All right. Coming back up here could do Fannin could do, um, man, do I want to do Knicks with Waddle or
24:07do I want to do Kyler with, do I want to do Kyler with Jefferson?
24:13You know what? I actually think I want Knicks.
24:16I keep drafting a ton of Knicks, even though I don't like really, really believe in him.
24:22Well, I'm going to do the same thing I did the last turn, which is that I'm going to leave it to
24:30the fates because I'm going to select Ricky Pierce.
24:34All I'm going to give a, I'm going to give myself another high-end wide receiver and whichever quarterback I get is whatever quarterback I get.
24:43My algorithm is pushing me the pro Davis Matic agenda.
24:46Hey, give that algo a salute. Then your algo knows what's up.
24:51I did. I did see this, the report that neighbors is expected to avoid the season starting on the physically unable to perform less.
25:00I loved, I love that. It's going to, going to work out well for me.
25:05Wow. Look at this boys. Today is one year since I quit smoking.
25:10Thanks for the nicotine gum recommendation. It helped me a lot.
25:14Hey, that's what I'm talking about, bro. I bet you feel, I bet you feel great, dude.
25:20I bet you, I bet you honestly feel awesome.
25:24Every day you wake up and you're like, wow, man, my lungs are 10 out of 10 sleeping, breathing good, eating wetter, but you're feeling great.
25:33Does the report from KOC make you a little bit hesitant to click Kyler?
25:38I don't even know what report you're talking about.
25:42And you know what? I'll just show you how non-hesitant I am.
25:46Cause I'm going to take Kyler Murray right here.
25:49There really is no report that could come out from the Vikings that would make me feel differently there to me.
25:57It feels like a legitimate impossibility that JJ McCarthy plays well enough in training camp and in the preseason to unseat Kyler Murray.
26:05You bring Kyler Murray in for a very specific reason, which is that, you know, that JJ McCarthy is cheeks, you know,
26:14no, no disrespect to, to nine himself, but JJ McCarthy was one of the worst quarterbacks we have ever seen last season.
26:22Kyler, Kyler at his worst. I mean, let's just go back.
26:26How far back does this go? All right, let's go back to 20, let's go back to 2015, a regular season.
26:33And we'll do a minimum of 320 plays that I I'm assuming that he got to 320 plays to JJ McCarthy get to 320.
26:42He did not. All right. So let's go to 200.
26:46Uh, we have McCarthy. There we go. So McCarthy in the last 15 years is outside the top 100 quarterbacks worse than
26:54Josh Dobbs, worse than Jared Stidham, worse than Cooper Rush, Desmond Ritter, uh, duck Hodges, Colt McCoy, uh, AJ McCarron, you know,
27:02uh, uh, and see, this is, this is how, you know, someone does not know ball basically no quicker way to show
27:10that you do not know ball than to say Kyler Murray is not good at football.
27:16Kyler Murray in the last 10 years, better EPA per play than CJ Stroud, Trevor Lawrence, uh, Cam Newton, Jake Browning, Geno
27:24Smith, Caleb Williams, Tyler Shuck, Mac Jones, Daniel Jones, Sam Darnold.
27:28I mean, just, just an absolute license to say, Hey man, I don't know football, but that's okay, man.
27:35We appreciate you. We appreciate you anyway. Best ball boy takes all types around here.
27:41Yeah. The Vikings went from 25 points per game with Darnold to two.
27:46Absolutely insane. Uh, JJ was legit the worst quarterback in the league.
27:50Yeah. It, it, it's, it's the easiest, it's the easiest decision of all time.
27:55You, we know exactly what the team is going to do and we know exactly how good they're going to be.
28:03I mean, do we take Goddard here? A little bit of a dipper Reno or do I need to take Keaton?
28:11Yeah, I'm just actually going to take Keaton. I know that was ahead of ADP, but I don't want to get sniped.
28:19Correct title. Man has a problem. Well, you know what is funny, Mason?
28:23I literally just clicked the sync button on the best ball tab over on flock fantasy.com.
28:29And we're about to see, we're about to see if I'm actually lying about how many teams are, are done.
28:37Cause I, it might actually, it might actually be, it could actually be more.
28:42Uh, no, the overlay is not throwing that as my profile picture.
28:46I changed my profile picture. My profile picture for a long time was a very cute picture of my little dog as a puppy.
28:55And I said, you know what? It's time to change.
28:59It's time to, it's time to change the, uh, the puppy.
29:03All right, let's, well, all right. Goddard went so we could do Chig here.
29:08We could do Sheeat. Let's do, let's do Chigakonkwo.
29:11Chigakonkwo as our first tight end. This is maybe even going to end up being a four tight end team.
29:19Uh, and, and you know what? I actually have so many teams.
29:23This is what happens to me on the flock page.
29:27I have so many teams. I mean, I'm assuming no one else who has an account on the flock site has over a thousand teams.
29:36I have so many teams that I freeze up our, our profile page.
29:41It takes, it takes like 45 seconds for my portfolio page to load because I have so many teams in our, our backend.
29:49I have a bunch of Kyler too, but the report two days ago said Kyle and JJ will go to the right to the start of the season.
29:59That's a, that's called lying. Okay. And, and that's honestly, that's honestly Kevin O'Connell being a good, that's honestly him being a
30:08good coach because how are you going to keep JJ McCarthy motivated and locked in?
30:13And frankly, it's probably good coaching for Kyler too.
30:16Kyler, Kyler should not believe that the, uh, that the, that his job is safe.
30:22Do you like knowing what we know about Kyler Murray with the, the independent study clause and all of that, do you
30:30guys, do you guys think that, uh, you want Kyler Murray just like doing whatever he wants?
30:36I don't think so. I think you, I think you want to, uh, I don't, I think you want to, uh, to
30:44keep him locked in my stance on the Fermi paradox is that, uh, it's, it's one of those things that I think is mathematically hard to prove, right?
30:55Cause the Drake equation plays in. However, I would say, I mean, in terms of, can you believe in a paradox?
31:02Like a paradox is just pointing out something like two existential truths that are incompatible, but I, I of course believe in extraterrestrial life.
31:11Mr. Uh, Mr. Bukowski. Of course I do. I think it would be very, very hard to say that we are the
31:19only sentient species in the entirety of the universe.
31:23Did you see the Liam Cohen quote about tootin where he said he's going to score 19 half point PPR points per game.
31:31I did catch that. I did indeed catch that.
31:34And I firmly agree with him. I think that, I think that Liam Cohen, I think that Liam Cohen knows ball.
31:42Oh, all right. I mean, let's, let's let, uh, let's let a real mathematician weigh in on the Fermi paradox and or
31:50the Drake equation, because I would have no way to speak to the mathematical truth.
31:56I am only equipped with the linguistic philosophical tools to answer a paradox, which I'm sure Mr.
32:02shady advice would say is the far inferior way to answer, uh, a philosophical question.
32:07How many drafts did you have last year? And what did you win?
32:12I had a shit ton of drafts and I didn't win anything.
32:17I got like, uh, what did I finish in the, what did I finish in the big board?
32:23I finished like, I finished like 113th out of 300,000 people in the big board.
32:29All right. A two, four, five, one. I am not taking Gadsden.
32:33I'm done. I have honestly, the, the deal is, is just that I have enough Gadsden and I'm not looking to pack that bag any further.
32:43All right. Let's ship. I took Kyler, right? Yeah.
32:46Let's take Jennings. There's been, there's been some pretty good scuttlebutt on Juwan Jennings, actually maybe forcing Addison into more of a, a deep threat role.
32:56Uh, just told the devs the problem. Hopefully they get it fixed soon for you.
33:01Look at that customer service, employee service, Mason. I just want you to know, I cleared my schedule to watch you with Liam later today.
33:10I mean, that is going to be peak, peak content.
33:14Mason, Mason and Liam is going to be a 10 out of 10 experience.
33:19I guess the solution to the Fermi paradox is that any species that becomes dominant enough to control its entire planet will
33:27destroy itself before it can spread from said planet.
33:31Yes, that is indeed what the, that, that is the conventional like science fiction answer to the Fermi paradox and, or the
33:39Drake equation, wherein basically you say that due to the vast distances that exists in space, that any attempt of communication would
33:47decay by the time it got to us. And so even if we did know there was another species out there, they
33:55would be dead by the time we found them, man, this is a huge fall on Gadsden.
34:01Do I just, do I just take Gadsden? I mean, this is massive, massive.
34:06Yeah. All right. I'm, I am just going to take Gadsden here.
34:11This, this is the Gadsden over Tajay Spears, that 15th round.
34:15My take is it's not much of a paradox.
34:18And you remember the most intelligent species get to a point where they are just drafting 3000 best ball teams and not venturing outside of their system.
34:28That is indeed correct. That isn't. I mean, imagine of all the lives I could have lived.
34:34This is the life I'm living drafting a Rondé Gadsden, 13 spots after average draft position.
34:40I made the right call in the last bit passing Tyree Kale right before the news.
34:46He only had one leg. Yeah, that was honestly, I was, uh, uh, I was in that, that came as a bit of a surprise to me.
34:56Actually, I was, I was legitimately surprised. I did not think Tyreek would say anything like that in public.
35:03I assumed that even if Tyreek was struggling, that he would not say that on a podcast or whatever.
35:10I assumed any mention of Tyreek struggling to get back from his injuries, uh, would be later.
35:16Like I, he would say after the season, he'd be like, you know, I w I was really struggling, but you know,
35:24I knew I wanted to play for X team.
35:28You know, I, I really wanted to play for the Colts.
35:32I really wanted to play, uh, for the Falcons.
35:35I really wanted to play for the chiefs. So like, I did my best to get back.
35:41Uh, I believe the Liam and flock stream is at 4 PM Eastern 3 PM central, uh, as to what they are drafting.
35:50I don't know the context of the video is very important.
35:54They made it seem so negative. He was moving good in the video.
35:58He'll probably play by week eight. You know, I gotta say, I'm assuming that the shady math will disagree with this.
36:06Although I would be, I would be curious to, uh, discuss the inputs with my friends, but I, I would be, uh,
36:14I would be very, very curious to know how Tyreek Hill as a round 20 pick would generally project.
36:21Cause I mean, you look at some of the guys, I mean, I've taken some absolute, uh, dust balls in round 20.
36:29You know what I'm saying? Did I see the David Montgomery and Woody Marks discord because of the Jane Slater report?
36:37I did. And, uh, you know, big, big fan of, uh, of Ms.
36:42Slater. I think she does good work. Think she's funny on X the everything out, but, uh, man, is that, is that,
36:50uh, going to be bad that there no, no chance is Woody Marks going to quote, earn a timeshare there.
36:57If your quant's projections for Travis Hunter turn out to be accurate, is he draftable at ADP?
37:04Well, let's go find what does my quantitative have for Travis Hunter, Travis Hunter for 11% of the team's targets.
37:11Is he getting any rushes and a little bit of rushes?
37:15Yeah. I mean, he's draftable just because he can easily score a couple of tuds for that price.
37:22GM GM to my guy, Frankie. Hope you're having a great day, brother.
37:26Oh, by the way, I did, it did get pulled up here.
37:31All right. So I actually lied. It's more than that.
37:341,269 teams, 9,354 site credits invested. Obviously I'm in a ton of slow drafts right now.
37:40So this is not even everything we are going to, we are going to breeze past 2000 teams.
37:47Uh, Davis, I want to get some jerseys. Do you have a preferred shop on DH gate?
37:53No, I do not. Cole. I, I you're, you're taking your life into your own hands with DH gate.
38:00You know what? Mason actually ordered a bunch of NFL jerseys off DH gate.
38:05So maybe, maybe ask Mason. He might legitimately know, uh, pick one 77.
38:10I'm going to do Rogers as my third quarterback and set ourselves up to do a Friar Muth or Darnell Washington team.
38:18Man, the, the Christian Watson thing really did throw me, it really did throw me for a loop.
38:25Honestly. Um, I, I was so out on the concept of a guy like Christian Watson coming back and impacting the NFL this season.
38:34It was so unbelievable to me, um, that he came back, you know what I mean?
38:40They did the, they did the study for his hamstrings.
38:43Like I, one of the most bewildering things I can honestly ever remember in NFL history is Christian Watson coming back from
38:51an ACL tear as a guy who has been permanently injury prone, coming back, playing very, very well at a greater snap
38:59rate and route rate than he had ever had before.
39:03It, it, it kind of, it kind of honestly kind of shook me, kind of shook me to my, to my core.
39:11Like just a, a very, very, a reminder that it's a strange game that we play, you know, just a, a very, very interesting.
39:20We, we think we, we think we know all these things and then it turns out that we actually don't know much of anything at all.
39:30Honestly, like he, I think he returned even faster than Adrian Peterson, right?
39:34Didn't he? I want to say, I want to say he returned even faster than Adrian Peterson did.
39:41All right. We are back up here and I need one more running back.
39:46And who do I see staring me in the face, but one Mr.
39:51Jaden blue. So we have a three, five, six, two might even, this is, this might be a four tight end team.
39:59By the way, I, I just wanted to, I just wanted to look, cause I ran this last night.
40:06So I auto drafted these in the fast puppy.
40:09I want to see any really good teams. All right.
40:13So I sorted by advancement score on the flock website, Jordan love Daniel Jones, Jacoby Brissett love breeze, Henderson, Ramondre and Brooks,
40:21Puka burden, Marv worthy Hunter, Trey Harris, Adnan Mitchell, Kelsey T Ferg and Friar.
40:26Do I have any stacks there? No, no stacks.
40:30What about ADP score? All right. Daniels, Caleb and Tua B John, Jeremiah love JCM Keaton missile, Jaden blue, Drake, London, Luther
40:38burden Adams, worthy golden, Antonio Williams, Jerry, Judy, LaPorta chick.
40:41Well, Hey, we'll we'll see. Maybe, maybe it'll work maybe it won't.
40:46Is it bad that my highest drafted running back and highest drafted wide receiver are both Broncos?
40:52I mean, I don't think it's, I don't think it's bad, but you're definitely setting yourself up to be uniquely let down
41:00because it could be a situation where your draft picks were fine in and of themselves, but there could be a quarterback injury.
41:09It could be like, I don't know, maybe there's really bad weather in Denver in the back half of the season.
41:16I mean, it is a, uh, it is a super El Nino year, but I, I tend to agree with Harbs that
41:24I think the Broncos are a smash. They play very fast.
41:28They led the entire NFL and past attempts last year.
41:32Now they kind of fake led the entire NFL in past attempts last year, because a ton of that is like screens
41:40and things like that, but they're probably going to play faster this year.
41:45You know, they've got the, uh, they've got the Joker, Justin Jolly, you know, all that stuff.
41:51But, uh, I actually, yeah, I think, I think you're fine.
41:55I think you're fine there. I mean, assuming it's Harvey and Waddle, I agree with you.
42:01Now, if your most drafted guys are Cortland Sutton and JK Dobbins, I have a, I have a harder time with that.
42:09I don't know. Yeah. I don't know about that, but I think it's fine to correlate your bets like that.
42:17You just have to understand that it is a little bit of a higher variance strategy.
42:22Like, I mean, Hey, go look, go look at my results in 2024 brother.
42:28And you will find, uh, some big, some big issues with correlating your team bets like that, where you're, you're going to,
42:36you're going to be in a little bit of, uh, of trouble.
42:40And I actually have to go pee so bad.
42:43That's how, that's how, uh, that's how a professional does it.
42:47I knew that I was going to get back by my pick.
42:52All right. We got to take a tight end here.
42:56I'm going to take Mr. Friermuth, set myself up with the stacks with three, five, six, three GM GM honored to be part of your 5,000th draft stream.
43:06Hey, you never, you never know. Could we get to 5,000?
43:10There would have to be a lot of, uh, there would have to be a lot more contests open for us to get to a, to 5,000.
43:20Come on, bro. You know, you know, I'm never autoing, you know, that's never, ever happening.
43:26Never once in my life. I'm just as in on the Broncos passing game.
43:31Sutton is the wide receiver too. I just, the deal is, is that Sutton has made a lot of hay is basically
43:39the only good pass catcher on the team. And so I have a hard time going like all in on Corlin Sutton.
43:47I mean, I assume Sutton is one of my least drafted guys, uh, relative to what the, the market consensus is like
43:55in terms of guys who are 100% draft actually, man, I love this tool.
44:00Let's, uh, I'm going to, well, I'm going to refresh the tool and we're going to, we're going to figure that one out.
44:09Broncos are high upside, but Sean Payton loves to use random guys on offense.
44:14Yes, he does. It's basically his raise on Detra that that is true.
44:19All right. We need another wide receiver. Let's do, well, let's really just take Ridley.
44:24I mean, why, like, why is Calvin Ridley in the freaking 18th round on DraftKings?
44:30Why is Calvin Ridley not a mega smash, just giga mega smash is Taequann Thornton better than Jalen Royals?
44:37I mean, I don't know if I would say better Joe, but they fulfill a very, very different role on the team.
44:45Taequann Thornton can be out there and play the same time as Rashi Rice, Xavier Worthy, not step on their toes, clear
44:53the rest of the field for them, you know, whereas Jalen Royals, I think ultimately is probably, uh, a better player.
45:01Like Jalen Royals can run a greater amount of routes, probably a stronger hands, probably is going to be better in yak,
45:09but it's sort of like, I don't know. What is it?
45:13What is a really good, uh, what is a really good example of this?
45:18I'm trying to think of like a historical example for this.
45:22I mean, well, how about, okay. How about this?
45:25How about, uh, for the Los Angeles Rams in the years past, there's been a very specific role that Tutu Atwell played very well for them.
45:35And like, sure, maybe Kanata Mumfeld is like a better receiver, can play more positions or whatever, but Taequann is just kind
45:43of locked in to what he is. I mean, yeah, nothing is wrong with autoing drafts if you plan for it, but
45:51I'm not going to, I'm not going to auto a pick on stream per se.
45:57I feel like Sutton's productivity can be the same as it has been with fewer targets with Waddle drawing attention.
46:04I mean, that's, that stuff just kind of ends up being a myth in the end.
46:10And the reason why it ends up being a myth is there's only one ball, man.
46:16There's only one ball and Jalen Waddle is going to be better at earning targets than Corlin Sutton.
46:22In my opinion, I could be wrong, been wrong about these things many, many time in the past.
46:29Uh, do I take any Colby Parkinson? I've been in on T-Ferg since March, but I do take a little smidgen of Colby Parkinson.
46:38And it's basically just so that if Colby Parkinson scores eight touchdowns again this year, that I don't end up just being
46:46like the most miserable person in fantasy football. I also, I also wish Marvin Mims had a bigger role.
46:53Sutton's line is six and a half touchdowns. Am I taking the under?
46:58Uh, I don't know. Let's go look at the underlying mathematics here.
47:02So Cortland Sutton, uh, 19.7% target share. What do we have for his final receiving touchdowns?
47:08Uh, 6.7. Yeah. I don't, I don't think I would go, I don't think I would go one way or the other.
47:16I think 6.5 is probably quite a good line for him.
47:20I've probably done, I've probably done a little bit of that.
47:24I would guess I have taken Colby Parkinson and Terrence Ferguson, um, together before.
47:29All right. What are we going to do for our final two picks here?
47:34We have a three, five, seven, three. Our tight ends are Chigakonkwo, Oronde Gadsden, and Pat Friermuth.
47:41My running backs feel very good. A little bit more, uh, pub coming out about Jordan James, by the way.
47:48Seems, seems that Jordan James is pretty locked in.
47:51Let's do another wide receiver here. I mean, definitely at least one more.
47:56Um, Chris Brazel feels all right. You know what?
47:59We're going to do a, we're going to do a, uh, Brennan Thompson.
48:04Brennan Thompson makes the team, you know, he's just, he's just Tyquan Thornton, but on the, on the chargers, what's the thesis on DeMond Claiborne?
48:13Jordan Mason is not very good. Aaron Jones is very old and has wonky hamstrings and DeMond Claiborne is fast.
48:21He was one of, he was the best kick returner in college football last season and kick return has a kick returns,
48:29have a positive correlation to future NFL production, at least in the work that I have done.
48:35And so because those things are true, it seems to me that DeMond Claiborne can come over cover over some of the
48:43holes in his prospect profile where he was not a particularly good pass catcher.
48:48Although we played for a very strange offense at Wake Forest and he's very fast, very, very, I mean, frankly, you really
48:56want the truth for me that DeMond Claiborne thesis is the dude is, is blazing fast.
49:02And we need another, you know what? 20th round Nick Singleton.
49:06I mean, I've got a lot of him, but let's do, you know what?
49:11Let's do Kalen Black. Let's do Kalen Black. Oh, what I was saying about Jordan James was there was a another, you
49:20know, we're, we're starting to get these reports from training camp and there was a report today from, I want to say it was the athletic.
49:29It might have been, uh, Matt McCoscio, McCoscio. Um, but basically like Jordan James is clearly the running back to right now,
49:37though, if Kalen Black plays very well in the preseason really impresses the coaches, there's a chance that he could end up
49:45becoming the running back to the teams did have the, I mean, reported at this point that the 49ers and several other teams, according to these reportings.
49:55Now we'll see how true this is did have Kalen Black as the running back or running back to ahead of Jadarian price.
50:04I mean, I, I don't, I think that is, is complete cap.
50:08Uh, thesis on DeMond Claiborne is that he had the highest speed in NCAA 26.
50:14Allegedly. Yes. All right, let's look this up. NCAA 26 CFB ratings.
50:18Uh, all right, here we go. Sort by speed.
50:21Oh, these are like, these are from the, uh, these are, is this from like the ultimate team or whatever?
50:29Can I, can I sort by position? Where's Claiborne?
50:32Claiborne had 96 speed. There you go. Claiborne had 96 speed.
50:36He was an East West playmaker. So he's on the first page of speed.
50:41I don't know. Does that do anything for you guys?
50:45It's like roughly he's like, he's like almost, I mean, it's pretty fast, but I think that's, I think that's from the,
50:53the old, the ultimate team rankings, not even the, uh, the real ones.
50:58How many DK Millie drafts have I done? I gotta, I'd have to check on my phone.
51:04Cause it's not that easy. It's not that easy to count.
51:08I think, I think I've done, should have done about 80 by now.
51:13Yeah. I think, I think I've got about 80 or 81 done.
51:17So what I do for the DK Millie is I enter one slow every single day.
51:23And then whenever, whenever I'm streaming here, uh, which I think this is like my 10th or 11th streamed DK Millie is
51:3129% T Ferg and 27% Keaton Mitchell crazy with 250 drafts.
51:35No, no, I don't. I don't actually don't think it's that crazy.
51:40I've got 30% T for 24% worthy, 22% burden, 20% KW three, 20% gunner, 19% to 18% Willis, 16% Jaden Reed, Zachary
51:48branch, Stefan digs, Eli Stowers and Keaton missile. That's my, that's my top page of exposures via, what did that say?
51:561269 drafts. I mean, that is a, that is a lot of drafts.
52:00Uh, I'm not going to do another one. Cause I don't quite have enough time Tyler, because I am going to go
52:08very shortly, go record the Roto wire fantasy football show with my guy Ian Hart.
52:14It's over there on Roto wire. So that will be coming out.
52:18Uh, I assume probably tomorrow or whatever. And then I'm going to go after that, I'm going to go record a new
52:26video for the Matic fantasy football channel, but I'm, I'm happy to hang out for a little bit while longer can answer some questions.
52:35We can go over exposures, do whatever, uh, do whatever we'd like.
52:40I didn't realize Jordan James is two and a half years younger than Kalen black learn something new every day.
52:47Yeah. The, uh, the Kalen black prospect profile. Let me tell you, Kalen black got the draft capital grade D relatively decent
52:55RASP, but man, let me filter by, uh, receiving yards per team pass attempt.
53:00Cause let me tell you, dude, it is, it is not great when you filter by receiving yards per team pass attempt.
53:08Well, I glitched it out. T Ferg is on fancy zero watch.
53:13I mean, that is, that is definitely true. I'm not gonna, I'm not gonna lie to you guys.
53:19Oh yeah. By the way, I've not done a great job advertising this, but if any of you guys are just looking
53:28to get the flock stuff for your home league, the season pass is only 34 bucks.
53:33You get all the redraft tools. You get, uh, some start sick questions and a trade question.
53:40You get the draft assistant and the guide, and then obviously weekly and rest of season rankings.
53:46Let's go over, let's go over this team real quick.
53:50All right. So we started out doing, I mean, a great star, Justin Jefferson and Kenneth Walker.
53:56I took lad instead of Javante Brees or Jacobs.
53:59And then, I mean, I think it was pretty easy to take waddle there only one way that is going Judkins at 57.
54:08Definitely an argument. I should have taken Marvin Harrison jr over Jadarian price there lemon at 81 worked out very well.
54:15Cause I have like a clear tier ahead of Alec Pierce and Michael Wilson got Herbert to come back around at 88 peers all at one Oh five.
54:26I guess what would have even the, I guess I could have taken my first tight end there.
54:32I could have taken Kittle or could have taken Kelsey did, did go, did jump ADP.
54:38I took Keith Mitchell at one 29 passed on Goddard.
54:42That was probably a mistake. I probably should have just taken Goddard there.
54:47Yeah. Probably should have just taken Goddard there that, that, um, that would not be SIM approved Jennings with Kyler at one 53 slurp.
54:55The Dipperino on Gadsden did Rogers as my third quarterback Rogers did Rogers and Gino on draft Kings are so underpriced, man.
55:04Crazy, crazy underpriced for how the quarterback go. Aaron Rogers went, you know, 10 picks ahead of Tua.
55:10Uh, unbelievable. Uh, Jaden blue at one 84, Pat Friar with the two Oh one Calvin Ridley, two Oh eight Brennan Thompson.
55:18I mean, that's, that's a fancy zero. And then Kaylin black at two 32.
55:23I'm making a guide for every EPL team almost done.
55:27Uh, yes, Chris, I would love for you to send that to me.
55:32Uh, where would Trevion Henderson's ADB have to be?
55:35Where would Trevion Henderson's ADP have to be for you to be excited about drafting him?
55:41I'm not taking him a ton, but feels like he could burn me.
55:46I think that Trevion Henderson is one of the single most interesting guys in fantasy football this year, because he clearly showed
55:54in year one that he has the second gear needed.
55:58The most important thing for running backs in fantasy football is to score fantasy points over expectation.
56:04Henderson, when he started scored way over expectation, I expect him to contribute more in the passing game in 2026.
56:11I don't think that Ramond Ray is best suited for that role using Ramond Ray like he's Samaj P Ryan.
56:19I don't even think is the best use of Ramond Ray skillset.
56:23And I know that a lot of the fantasy football intelligentsia is like, Hey man, Ramond Ray is the starting running back.
56:31Trevion Henderson's the backup. I don't think it's that clear.
56:35I would agree that right now Stevenson is probably the one aim, but there's also this thing that we forget.
56:42We get kind of week one brain where we forget that contingent value is kind of the only thing that matters.
56:50Like the main reason why Jameer Gibbs took a step last year in terms of like getting to a legendary upside is not because he got any better.
57:00It's because David Montgomery got injured in his role diminished.
57:04So I don't really think it's that insane to be excited about Henderson around five and on draft Kings, you can get Henderson around six.
57:13Sometimes it really, it really is insane. This time in about 10 days, we will be clicking a ton of either Caelan black or James.
57:22Yes, I agree. My guess would be that it would be Jordan James, Mr.
57:27Mr. Nova dynasty advice shooting for a title this year.
57:31Keep Adams Higgins or Pearsall. I mean, it's easily Adams.
57:35If you're trying to win this year, 1250, August will be a busy month for you.
57:41If we're still hitting 3000. Well, keep in mind, I'm in about 400 slow drafts right now, but we, we might just be on the outside.
57:50Curious if you're asking it for slows or straight flocking it, buddy.
57:55I'm just straight flocking it, straight flocking it. I'm taking my advance rate into my own hands this year goods.
58:02And I, I, the overlay works for me. It's, you know, it's kind of exactly what I wanted out of an overlay has all the relevant information.
58:12I can knock out a bunch of picks very quickly.
58:16And if I, I guess if I, if I have, uh, if I have an 11% advance rate this year, that's just, uh, that's just how she goes.
58:26Is the bears wide receiver three going to have any value?
58:30Yeah. Yeah. I think so. I, and I think it's going to be Xavier on Thomas.
58:36That is, that is my guess. And, and it's a very, it's, it's a secret.
58:41No one you're, you're not getting this on any other fantasy football channel.
58:46You know, when you're, when you're, when you're looking at, when you're watching these other fantasy football channels, no, no disrespect to
58:54the other fantasy football channels, uh, out there, but no one's touching me on Xavier and Thomas.
59:00Uh, are we keeping a light on for Brashard Smith as the chiefs running back to no, no, we're not.
59:08Uh, if, if Smith makes the team, he's going to make the team as a kick returner.
59:14And even that feels a little doubtful to me.
59:17Uh, so it's not underdog only it's, it's a little bit of draft Kings, but I just don't, I just don't have all of them imported.
59:27So it's just a, it's a limitation. Really what it is, is it's that the, the flock tool really it's, it's a con it's a computational thing.
59:37That's really, that's really all it is, is that the amount of server space that my teams would require because the way
59:45the flock tool works is it doesn't just import your teams.
59:49It imports the entire draft board. Um, and so my teams just take up a lot of space in the backend is,
59:57is really all it is reports on Ted Hearst looking good and running with the ones.
60:03Yeah, it's going to hit like, it's going to hit so good.
60:07It's going to hit so, so good. How do I feel about DJ Giddens?
60:12You know what? DJ Giddens is going to be one of those guys where I feel like we probably, I feel like
60:21we probably turned the light off on DJ Giddens too soon.
60:25I mean, look at the, look at the rushing projections.
60:28All right. Rushing projections for the Indianapolis Colts. So we have, uh, where, where, where's my, uh, rush attempt.
60:35So we've got 14% of the rush attempts for Daniel Jones, 70% for Jonathan Taylor, 7% for Giddens, then McGowan.
60:43That's it. That's all they, that's all they got brother.
60:46Najee Harris not walking through that door. I don't think, you know, Joe Mixon, Joe Mixon, uh, today his career's over.
60:54He said it. He apparently it's good. The reports going around that he, um, that he told his former Bengals teammates that, uh, that it's over for him.
61:04But, uh, all right, boys, I'm going to go ahead and get out of here.
61:10Make sure that you like the video, make sure you check out my stuff over on flock fantasy.com.
61:16I'll be back for a longer DraftKings stream tomorrow.
61:20Uh, thanks to our friends over at DraftKings and I will be back with all of you guys very soon.
61:27Bye. Bye. Bye. Thank you.
