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The Lineup Show - Ranking The Top-50 Fantasy Football Players In Under 30 Minutes

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.

33 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Aug 21, 2026
Published
Fri, August 21, 2026
40
Player insights
39
Players mentioned
Topics
Brock BowersA.J. BrownAmon-Ra St. BrownBijan RobinsonBreece HallCarnell TateChris OlaveChristian McCaffreyColston LovelandDavid MontgomeryDe'Von AchaneDerrick HenryDeVonta SmithDrake London
Player analysis

Player insights

40

A.J. Brown

PositiveValue8:43

AJ Brown is viewed as a value at rank 15, as the market is overthinking negative vibes from Philadelphia. Now in New England, his skill set fits the offense perfectly, and he is expected to be the alpha receiver for Drake Maye, who is described as one of the NFL's most efficient deep-ball passers.

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Amon-Ra St. Brown

PositiveProjection3:59

Amon-Ra St. Brown is considered one of the safest picks in fantasy, having finished as the WR3 for three consecutive years. He remains the primary receiver in a high-scoring Lions offense that is expected to continue running through him in the passing game.

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Bijan Robinson

PositiveProjection2:09

Justin Mello ranks Bijan Robinson at 1.02, noting that his situation mirrors Gibbs' with the removal of Tyler Allgeier from the backfield. Mello highlights that Robinson was already the highest-rostered player on championship teams last year.

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Breece Hall

NegativeProjection42:25

Breece Hall's talent is unquestioned, but his fantasy success depends on the Jets' overall offensive effectiveness and his ability to improve touchdown upside.

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Brock Bowers

PositiveRole8:04

Brock Bowers is considered the consensus TE1 and is expected to be 'unleashed' by Clint Kubiak. Despite an injury-riddled 2025, he maintained TE4 points-per-game production when healthy, and his rookie year was record-breaking.

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PositiveBreakout8:15

Brock Bowers is considered an absolute smash pick, with a ranking of 14 potentially being too low. Clint Kubiak describes him as a 'football robot,' and despite an injury-riddled rookie season, he was the TE4 in points per game when healthy.

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Carnell Tate

PositiveValue47:22

Carnell Tate is a value at his current ADP given his top-four draft capital and expected role as the number one receiver in an offense that will likely throw often.

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Chris Olave

NegativeProjection37:05

Chris Olave is ranked too low following the Jordan Tyson injury, but concerns remain regarding his health and his high dependency on volume from last season.

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Christian McCaffrey

NegativeBust3:19

Christian McCaffrey is the biggest gamble in the first round; he offers a floor as the overall RB2 but carries significant injury risk that could result in him not playing at all. He is a high-upside swing for risk-tolerant drafters, but is hedged at number six due to health concerns.

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Colston Loveland

PositiveBreakout38:51

Colston Loveland is a high-upside tight end who could smash ADP if the Lions become the highest-scoring offense as Ben Johnson intends.

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David Montgomery

PositiveRole45:23

David Montgomery is the lead back on a Texans team with a good defense and improved offensive line, giving him RB1 potential similar to Joe Mixon's past performance.

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De'Von Achane

NegativeUsage9:58

Devon Achane is a polarizing prospect; there is concern regarding the quarterback situation with Tua Tagovailoa absent, but coach Jeff Hadley has stated Achane will be the centerpiece of the offense. His elite explosiveness makes him a potential steal if he maintains his high-caliber usage.

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Derrick Henry

PositiveProjection9:22

Derrick Henry is a lineup favorite who remains highly efficient, ranking third in the NFL with 5.7 yards per carry last season. With a healthy Lamar Jackson and new offensive coordinator Declan Doyle, Henry is projected to have a better season than last year.

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DeVonta Smith

PositiveUsage30:15

DeVonta Smith is expected to be the alpha receiver in an improved offense, especially with a full season anticipated without AJ Brown.

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Drake London

NegativeProjection10:38

Drake London is ranked 18th due to uncertainty surrounding the quarterback situation. While he is undeniably talented and tearing up camp, his fantasy outlook depends on whether Tua Tagovailoa or Michael Penix starts, with stats suggesting he performs better with Penix.

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Emeka Egbuka

PositiveBreakout33:43

If healthy, Emeka Egbuka is poised for a full-season breakout as the clear number one receiver in Tampa Bay following Mike Evans' departure.

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Garrett Wilson

NegativeUsage40:59

Garrett Wilson's status as an undisputed alpha is less certain due to the Jets' heavy investment in other pass catchers and his historical lack of quality quarterback play.

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Ja'Marr Chase

PositiveProjection2:27

Justin Mello ranks Ja'Marr Chase at 1.03, arguing that his floor is a top-five receiver even in bad years, while his ceiling remains historic. Mello points to the Bengals' high-powered offense and poor defense as factors that will keep Chase highly targeted.

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Jahmyr Gibbs

PositiveProjection1:45

Justin Mello identifies Jahmyr Gibbs as the preferred 1.01 pick, citing his standalone backfield role following David Montgomery's departure, the Lions' league-high implied point total, and his status as the running back with the highest touchdown projection in the NFL.

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James Cook

PositiveUsage5:50

James Cook is a safe, high-floor pick who led the NFL in rushing yards last year and rushing touchdowns in 2024. Potential for increased receiving work could elevate him into a top-three or top-four fantasy running back.

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Javonte Williams

PositiveRole35:49

Javonte Williams is a safe RB2/low-end RB1 candidate in Dallas, expected to serve as a workhorse three-down back in an explosive offense.

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Jaylen Waddle

PositiveBreakout46:52

Jalen Waddle is a certified monster in per-route metrics and is a perfect match for Bo Nix in an offense that ranked fourth in passing rate last year.

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Jeremiyah Love

NegativeInjury30:51

A high ankle sprain significantly hurts Jeremiah Love's draft prospects, as the injury tends to linger and he already faced situational competition with Tyler Allgeier.

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Jonathan Taylor

NegativeValue6:56

The analysts are lower on Jonathan Taylor than consensus due to concerns regarding his workload and the team's offensive outlook with Daniel Jones returning from an Achilles injury. They draw parallels to his 2021 performance, suggesting potential for a flop.

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Josh Jacobs

NegativeValue49:13

Josh Jacobs is a difficult rank due to health and suspension risks, but he remains an incredible value if he plays a full season on a run-heavy team.

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Justin Jefferson

PositiveProjection4:30

Justin Jefferson is a bounce-back candidate at number eight. While he proved not to be quarterback-proof last year, the arrival of Kyler Murray in Minnesota provides a significant upgrade; historical data shows Murray peppers his WR1s with targets, similar to his 2020 season with DeAndre Hopkins.

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Kenneth Walker III

PositiveProjection11:08

Kenneth Walker is ranked high despite never finishing higher than RB18 in his rookie season, because the situation around him has completely changed.

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Kyren Williams

PositiveRole32:00

Kyren Williams remains a reliable lead back in a top-tier Rams offense; despite Blake Corum's presence, Williams is trusted in passing downs and at the goal line.

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Ladd McConkey

PositiveBreakout29:45

Despite Keenan Allen's arrival cannibalizing targets, the Chargers' improved offensive line and Justin Herbert's readiness make Ladd McConkey a smash pick.

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Lamar Jackson

PositiveProjection44:07

Lamar Jackson is in a weapons-heavy situation with Zay Flowers, Jacoby Lane, and Elijah Surratt, giving him a high floor and QB2 potential when healthy.

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Luther Burden

PositiveBreakout48:41

Luther Burden has significant upside in the Lions' high-scoring offense, though he remains difficult to rank due to his rookie-year explosion and competition for targets.

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Mike Evans

PositiveRole43:40

Mike Evans is a strong fantasy option if he stays healthy; he is expected to be used heavily at the goal line in the Kyle Shanahan offense.

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Puka Nacua

PositiveProjection3:43

Justin Mello ranks Puka Nacua at 1.04, noting that despite off-field concerns, his on-field situation remains unchanged from his WR1 overall finish last season. Mello expects him to repeat as a top-tier receiver provided he stays healthy.

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Quinshon Judkins

PositiveValue51:42

Despite being on a struggling Browns team and limited passing-down usage, Quinshon Judkins is a high-upside downhill runner worth taking shots on late in drafts.

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Saquon Barkley

PositiveProjection7:26

Saquon Barkley is projected to be significantly better in 2026 than in 2025. He benefits from a full offseason of rest, a healthy offensive line, and a new play caller, moving away from the high-touch, poor-offense environment of the previous year.

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Tee Higgins

NegativeValue40:18

Tee Higgins is a boring but efficient pick in the Bengals' explosive offense; he lacks the ceiling of others in his range but is a strong best-ball pairing with Joe Burrow.

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Terry McLaurin

PositiveValue50:24

Terry McLaurin is an obvious bounce-back candidate in Washington; despite Diggs' arrival, McLaurin is being drafted too late and complements the offense well.

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Tetairoa McMillan

PositiveBreakout32:29

Tetairoa McMillan is expected to continue ascending as a top NFL receiver talent-wise, though his fantasy ceiling is capped by the Bryce Young situation.

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Travis Etienne

NegativeUsage52:21

Travis Etienne Jr. could see increased opportunity with Alvin Kamara banged up, though expectations remain tempered compared to consensus.

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Zay Flowers

NegativeValue35:05

Zay Flowers is properly ranked at 34; while he is a lock to outperform ADP, he lacks a true ceiling due to limited touchdown production and increased competition for targets.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

447
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0:47Let's go. Welcome into the line of fantasy football show.
0:49I'm Mitch Anderson. I'm Justin Mello. And Mello, let's break down and give our analysis on our top 50 players, including some
0:55of our favorite league winners in under 30 minutes for everybody who has their fantasy drafts coming up.
1:00We're not wasting any time. So Mello, you kick it off with our preferred first overall pick.
1:051.1. No surprises here. I think most people are in on Jameer Gibbs, as are we here.
1:09You look at how phenomenal he's been while sharing a backfield with David Montgomery.
1:13Now he gets this whole backfield to himself. The Lions have the highest implied point total on the entire season.
1:18Jameer Gibbs has the highest touchdown line of any running back in the NFL.
1:22You look at everything coming together. All the stars are aligned for this young elite running back.
1:27It's really hard to pass up on him at 1.1.
1:29And if he goes at 1.1, our 1.2 is so obvious.
1:32It's Bijan Robinson. The situations kind of mirror themselves.
1:35You look at Gibbs, no more David Montgomery in the backfield.
1:37You look at Bijan, no more Tyler Algier in the background.
1:40We already saw Bijan as the highest percentage player on championship teams last year.
1:44You absolutely cannot go wrong with him at number two.
1:47If you do miss out, though, you can still get the best receiver on the board here at number three, where we would take Jamar Chase.
1:54We saw Jamar Chase's floor last season when he was the wide receiver four, and it seemed like nothing was going right
2:00with Joe Burrow's health and the team as a whole.
2:02We saw the ceiling two years ago, though, which is one of the greatest seasons of all time.
2:07I think we see something closer to that here in 2026.
2:10When you look at how elite of a player Jamar is, how elite of a quarterback he has, this whole situation, the
2:16Bengals' great offense, bad defense, everything is there, everything you could want out of Jamar Chase.
2:20He's always open, the most targeted player in the NFL last year.
2:23But this next guy was the overall wide receiver one in all of fantasy football.
2:27At number four is Puka Nakua. This one's obvious.
2:30You look at the situation and not much has changed.
2:33Obviously, we have all the off-the-field stuff with Puka Nakua, but on the field, there's no reason to believe that he can't
2:38repeat as the wide receiver one overall, or at the very least, give you a very safe floor in the top three
2:44to four receivers as long as he's healthy. Very similar to this next guy, honestly.
2:48Very similar to the guy who was a wide receiver two last year.
2:52That's Jackson Smith and Jigbo we have here at five.
2:54He did lose Clint Kubiak, but besides that, we're going into basically the same exact situation here in 2026.
3:00He's still with Darnold, who he has a great rapport with.
3:02He had not only the highest target share in the NFL last year, but one of the highest target shares really of all time.
3:09There's no reason to believe it's going to come down significantly, even if it does come down somewhat.
3:14He is such a safe bet here in the top five.
3:17All right, let's get a little bit interesting here.
3:19Let's talk about this next guy, Christian McCaffrey. We just talked about him with Austin Eckler last week.
3:24I think that he is basically the biggest gamble you can take here in the first round, because you're either drafting a
3:30guy that almost has a floor as the RB2 overall, but also has a floor as the RB200 if he just doesn't play at all.
3:36And so basically, you've got to test yourself on how you feel about the philosophy of playing fantasy football.
3:41If you're a guy who just swings for the fences and is okay striking out, Christian McCaffrey is your guy and should debatably be going higher than this.
3:49But this is kind of a hedge your bets spot, putting him at the number six, just because of the health risks.
3:55And if you are concerned and if you are risk averse, you might prefer number seven here, Amon Ross St.
4:00Brown, who's actually one of the safest picks you can make.
4:03He's been the wide receiver three years in a row.
4:06So from that lens, it seems like maybe we should even have him a spot or two higher here.
4:11He is just such a safe bet in this Lions offense.
4:14We talked about earlier how good they are, how trustworthy they are.
4:17Highest point total on the season. He's still the number one receiver.
4:20The offense is going to run through him, at least in the passing game.
4:24So there's no reason to believe Amon Ross is going to see a dip after three straight years as the wide receiver three.
4:30Yeah. And then at number eight, we've got a guy that going into last year, we thought was entirely quarterback proof that
4:36proved not to be true with Justin Jefferson. And of course, our good friend nine, JJ McCarthy.
4:40But we're seeing a big shakeup here in Minnesota this year.
4:43We have Kyler Murray coming in. And so far, reports seem good about the rapport between the two.
4:48We've seen Kyler Murray pepper his wide receiver ones in the past.
4:51Just look back to that 2020 season with DeAndre Hopkins.
4:54So Justin Jefferson is a lot safer, I think, than people want to believe here at the number eight spot.
4:59If you know me, you know I believe in a Justin Jefferson bounce back.
5:03And I also believe in the Ashton Gentry breakout.
5:06We have Ashton Gentry coming in at ninth overall.
5:08Yes, last year was a disaster for the Raiders, but everything seems to be trending in the right direction now.
5:13We saw the talent of Gentry in college. We even saw it in his rookie year, despite him being met in the backfield way too often.
5:20They've paid big money to fix this offensive line.
5:23New coaching staff. The Raiders players will be the first ones to tell you that the offensive line coaching was horrible last year.
5:29And most importantly, Clint Kubiak is there now, who is going to fix this offense schematically.
5:33Now all of a sudden, we're in a situation where Gentry's talent is going to shine through.
5:38That's perfectly put. The talent was always there. The situation was an issue last year, and we've seen so many improvements.
5:43So I absolutely love him there at nine. At number 10, we've got a guy who back in 2024 led the NFL in rushing touchdowns.
5:50Just last year, led the NFL in rushing yards.
5:52And that's James Cook, who is still a part of this explosive Buffalo Bills offense.
5:56We also have a lot of rumors going around right now that he might get a little bit more receiving work, which
6:02we've talked about this on our show, would completely unlock James Cook as a potential top three to four running back in fantasy football.
6:09But even if he doesn't get it, hear what I just said.
6:12He was the leader in rushing touchdowns two years ago.
6:14The leader in rushing yards last year. Still attached to Josh Allen, the Bills.
6:18James Cook is a slam dunk safe running back pick.
6:21Switching gears to a receiver here at 11, we have C.D.
6:24Lamb, who was the wide receiver one overall just a few years ago.
6:27Obviously, if you drafted him last year, you were disappointed.
6:30A lot of that had to do with George Pickens, who in his own right is an absolutely phenomenal player.
6:35But make no mistake, if C.D. Lamb is healthy, he should continue to be the wide receiver one.
6:40And this explosive offense with a great pocket passer quarterback.
6:43We call the Cowboys the Bengals light for a reason.
6:45And it is such a great fantasy friendly environment.
6:48So we think C.D. Lamb is going to bounce back and be just fine here.
6:52Next up, we've got at number 12, Jonathan Taylor, who were a little bit lower on than consensus.
6:57We're a bit worried about the workload we saw last year.
7:00We're a little bit worried about how this offense is going to look with Daniel Jones coming pretty immediately off of the Achilles tear.
7:06Mel, you had a great stat about back in 2021 when we saw Jonathan Taylor get so much work finished as the RB1.
7:12A lot of people drafting him as the running back one overall.
7:15And then it completely flopped. And I think we have a lot of the same concerns here with Taylor, which is why
7:21we've still got him in the first round, just a little bit lower than a lot of people do.
7:26And that's the perfect transition to Saquon Barkley, who we have here next.
7:30He kind of was the Jonathan Taylor of last year, at least what we project Jonathan Taylor to be in 2026, because
7:36Saquon was coming off this season with so many carries and the offense wasn't very good.
7:40The offensive line was hurt. Jalen Hurts wasn't playing well.
7:43The play calling was horrible. But now all of a sudden he gets a full offseason arrest, not coming off a season
7:49where he led the NFL in touches. The offensive line should be healthy.
7:52There's a new play caller in town. Everything is trending towards Saquon being much better here in 2026 than he was in 2025.
7:58And if you think Clint Kubiak is going to help Ashton Gentry, you should be so unbelievably fired up for who we have at number 14.
8:05Brock Bowers, who to me is in a league of his own at tight end.
8:09I think we differ a little bit on that, but we both agree he is the tight end one this year.
8:15Brock Bowers should be unleashed by Clint Kubiak, who described him as a football robot sent from heaven.
8:20We already saw the talent as rookie year. It was absolutely record breaking.
8:23Throw away the tape from last year. It was injury riddled.
8:26And when he was healthy, he was the tight end four in points per game.
8:30I think Brock Bowers is an absolute smash. And part of me feels like 14 is even too low for what he could do this year.
8:37It is certainly possible. And now a guy I love, Mitch, cut me off if I'm dragging on here because I could
8:43yap all day about AJ Brown, who we have coming in here at 15.
8:46I'm a biased Patriots fan, but bias aside, I don't think that matters because I truly think AJ Brown is a value.
8:52He is being overthought because of some of the negative vibes coming out of Philly.
8:56But when you look at it, he still was very effective last year.
9:00He still was a worthwhile pick in fantasy, even though it didn't really feel like it.
9:04Now all of a sudden he goes to New England.
9:07Drake May, one of the best deep ball throwers, one of the most efficient passers in the NFL.
9:12AJ Brown, his skill set fits this offense so well.
9:14He's going to be the alpha. He's going to be spammed in the passing game and it's going to work.
9:20Here at number 16, we've got a lineup favorite.
9:22In fact, one of Mello's my guys. We're talking about Derek Henry, who I think a lot of people, because of the
9:28stink around the Ravens season last year, don't realize how good he was.
9:31Derek Henry was third in the entire NFL in yards per carry among qualified running backs, 5.7 a carry.
9:36We have not seen this efficiency cliff that a lot of people were expecting at his age.
9:41Now you bring back a healthy Lamar Jackson. You bring in Declan Doyle from the Ben Johnson coaching tree as the offensive coordinator.
9:47I think it absolutely wheels up for Henry, who to me is in line to have a better season than last year.
9:53Completely agreed. And going from a running back, we're higher on than consensus to one we're lower on.
9:58We have Devon Achan coming in here next. We do have cold feet a little bit just because of Tua not being there.
10:04He used to check the ball down so much.
10:06And also Mike McDaniel, who loved using Devon Achan so much in the passing game.
10:10Now all of a sudden it's Malik Willis. Now all of a sudden it's Jeff Hadley.
10:15That is reason for concern. But the flip side of the coin is Hadley has been very vocal that Achan is going
10:21to be the centerpiece of this offense. And the talent has never been in question.
10:25He is so explosive, so electric. As long as he's getting the usage and the Dolphins are staying on the field long
10:30enough for that usage to be in the elite caliber it has been, he could end up being a steal in drafts.
10:36At number 18, we have another guy where the talent is not in question.
10:40It's all the situation. We've got Drake London, who has been tearing up camp and Tua Tungaveloa, who's dancing on the sideline for some reason.
10:47And it really feels like the perfect dichotomy there.
10:49We know Drake London's unbelievably talented. Our question mark is, how is this going to look at whether it's Tua at quarterback, whether it's Michael Penix at quarterback?
10:57Melo's shared a bunch of really, really good stats about how much better Drake London is with Michael Penix.
11:02So we'll continue to watch this quarterback battle, but it's seeming to lean Tua Tungaveloa, which is why we have him here at 18.
11:08At 19, we have Kenneth Walker, who I'll address the elephant in the room.
11:12It's a little weird that we're ranking a guy this high whose highest career fantasy finish was running back 18 way back in his rookie year.
11:19But with that said, everything has changed around him.
11:21And that is why he is now in this Kansas City offense.
11:24Just a couple of years ago, we would give an arm and a leg for the starting running back here in Kansas City.
11:30Now, all of a sudden, it's a guy who's talented enough to win Super Bowl MVP.
11:35He's going to likely be the three down back.
11:37He is going to be a huge part of this offense.
11:40As long as he can stay healthy, it seems like a lock that he will have his best career finish here in fantasy.
11:46And now on to number 20, who is a guy who seems to have risen from the dead this offseason and I
11:52have had fly up my own rankings. That's Malik Neighbors.
11:55I mean, we saw it back in 2024. He had an absolutely ridiculous rookie season, the wide receiver six overall.
12:00Last year before the injury, he was the wide receiver two.
12:03I think we all remember that game against Dallas has a 39 point explosion.
12:07It ends up being the sixth highest scoring performance of any wide receiver in fantasy last year in just two real games played.
12:13And so if Malik Neighbors is on the field paired this time with Jackson Dart, rather than a combination of Daniel Jones,
12:19Russell Wilson, and Tommy DeVito from the two years before, he's an absolute smash pick here at 20.
12:24At 21, we have our second tight end, Trey McBride.
12:26Last year, the Cardinals threw the ball more than anyone in the NFL.
12:30Trey McBride's target share was astronomical. He went from not scoring any touchdowns basically in 2024 to a very high touchdown rate in 2025.
12:36He is due for regression, but it doesn't really matter.
12:39He can take some regression. He can take a cut on his stats and still be an elite fantasy tight end.
12:44That's how elite he was last year. Tight end three of all time last season.
12:48He's still going to be the number one tight end in this offense.
12:52He's still worth a premium pick. Here at number 22, we've got a guy that I think to both of us doesn't
12:58quite have the ceiling of some of the guys before him, but he does have a sensational floor and that's Nico Collins.
13:04At the time of recording this, we just got the news that Jaden Higgins just tore his ACL, which we may have to move Nico around these rankings.
13:11But to me, that probably affects Dalton Schultz more than it would Nico.
13:15This is a guy that I think while he's out there, he is going to be a very safe wide receiver.
13:20One, I just think because of the passing volume in Houston, he doesn't have the same upside as some of the guys going before him.
13:27And that brings us to 23. One of the most polarizing running backs there is Chase Brown.
13:32I will be the first to say, I think he is by far the least talented running back of any guy we
13:37have talked about to this point, but you can also make the argument.
13:41He is in the single best situation of any running back.
13:44We've talked about to this point. He is on the Cincinnati Bengals offense, which lends itself so well to scoring fantasy points, scoring real life points.
13:51And he supposedly has this backfield to himself, which I think is why a lot of people are interested in drafting Chase Brown.
13:57We have him a little bit lower than consensus just because we like to bet on talent, which we don't necessarily believe in with Chase Brown.
14:04But when you look at how good he's been in fantasy when Joe Burrow is on the field, he is a guy
14:10who is an elite fantasy football running back. So he's not a bad guy to grab in the first couple rounds.
14:15And then here at 24, we have got a guy who is just a phenomenal pick every single year.
14:20The past six years, he has been the QB one four times and the QB two twice.
14:25That's Josh Allen. He hasn't missed a game in those six years.
14:28There's not a ton to say about Josh Allen.
14:31This is just the time in the draft that we think you should attack quarterback is right at the end of your second round.
14:37And he obviously should be the first quarterback off the board.
14:40Something not so obvious is Rasheed Rice here at 25.
14:43This is our biggest discrepancy in our rankings. I have him at 18, Mitch at 31.
14:47So we split the difference here at 25. So let me be the pro Rasheed Rice guy here.
14:52He is absolutely a target hog when he is on the field with Patrick Mahomes, obviously between suspensions and injuries.
14:57We haven't really seen it season long, but on a per game basis, he has been an elite fantasy receiver.
15:02We are getting Cyrus Allen hype, which is well warranted, but for the time being, Rasheed Rice is still the number one
15:08receiver and a Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid offense.
15:11And in my mind, that is worth a whole lot.
15:13Shaquille O'Neal timeout meme. If you're still sticking with us, make sure to hit that subscribe button so that you can get
15:19fantasy advice all offseason long, all the way through the season.
15:22We'll be doing this show three times a week, but let's time back in and let's jump to number 26 and talk
15:28about Amari and Hampton, who we are way lower on than consensus.
15:31You're probably sitting there wondering when we were going to talk about him.
15:35We just have a lot of concerns about what we saw last year with Amari and Hampton, the efficiency.
15:40And yes, I know he was hurt, but we also didn't see any sample size of him being efficient when he was healthy.
15:46We have other concerns about the playing time and how many snaps he's going to get when you're also working in a
15:52guy like Keaton Mitchell, which I know it seems like you shouldn't be threatened by Keaton Mitchell.
15:56But Mike McDaniel is hanging up wanted posters in the locker room asking for this guy.
16:01We saw Keaton Mitchell be incredibly efficient last year.
16:03And so maybe this is a bit of a thunder and lightning thing.
16:06I just think maybe the lightning might dig into the thunder more than people think.
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16:53Selection barriers by location. I'm glad you could be the anti-Hampton guy on this episode because it's been me on most of our shows.
17:00Every time. But I'll move on to number 27, George Pickens.
17:03We talked about CeeDee Lamb earlier. George Pickens, the other elite receiver in this offense.
17:07One of the other very obvious regression candidates when you look at just how pass happy the Cowboys were and CeeDee Lamb wasn't active the whole season.
17:14When he was active, he wasn't at full health.
17:16So that's why we have George Pickens a good bit lower than what his finish last year would suggest.
17:21But the good news is he's still on a pass happy offense and he still has Dak at quarterback.
17:27And even if he's playing second fiddle to CeeDee Lamb, the pie should be big enough where he can get a nice big slice of it.
17:34So he's still worth a relatively high pick. All right.
17:36Now we've got a daily double here. We've got two of our favorite wide receivers in all of fancy football this year.
17:42At number 28, let's first off talk about Lad McConkie.
17:45I could talk about this guy all day. We saw the situation last year be the real issue.
17:50They brought in Keenan Allen. He gets 122 targets, completely cannibalizing Lad's production.
17:53The issue being you drafted the guy basically at the end of the first round, early second round, because he was the wide receiver 12 his rookie year.
18:00And so we see a situation now where you bring in Mike McDaniel, Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater are back healthy.
18:06Obviously, the offensive line is having other issues. But Justin Herbert is, as Jim Harbaugh said, locked, cocked and ready to rock.
18:12I, Lab McConkie is a smash pick here. I absolutely love Lad McConkie.
18:15And we also love Devontae Smith here on this show.
18:18We have coming in at 29. Devontae Smith has been very, very good with AJ Brown, and he has been absolutely elite
18:24without AJ Brown in a limited sample. He now gets a full season without AJ Brown.
18:28Devontae Smith is going to be the alpha of this offense, an offense we expect to take a step forward compared to
18:34last year, as we referred to earlier when we were talking about Saquon Barkley.
18:38Some people think Mikei Lemon's going to cut into that workload.
18:41He is a rookie, and the early reports have been he may not even be a week one starter.
18:46We still like a guy like Lemon long term, but here in 2026, Devontae Smith is going to absolutely eat.
18:51And then at number 30, Melo Pourwin out. This is a guy we've been so excited about all offseason.
18:56Jeremiah Love. And obviously, the high ankle sprain injury came in the other day.
19:00That is just such a hit. We just do not like messing with injuries, especially for a guy who had enough situational
19:06issues going on being in Arizona, sharing time with Tyler Algier.
19:09And so 30, I think, is around the spot where I feel comfortable taking Jeremiah Love.
19:13I just I have so many concerns now with the injury that a high ankle tends to linger.
19:18Yeah, the injury really hurt Jeremiah Love's draft prospects.
19:20But someone who's always healthy is Kyron Williams here at 31.
19:23He does not miss time. And he's so reliable in this Rams offense.
19:27Obviously, Blake Corham is a part of this offense, too, which scares some people away from Kyron, but it really shouldn't because Kyron is just that good.
19:34He's still going to be the lead back and one of the best, if not the best offense in the NFL.
19:40He's trusted in passing downs. He's trusted by the goal line.
19:43Sean McVay can never say enough good things about Kyron Williams.
19:45So neither can we. And that's why we want him in fantasy.
19:49Melo, we got another daily double right here. We've got two second year receivers that we're both excited about.
19:54The first one being T-Mac, Ted Arroa McMillan. I think we just are both expecting that a guy who outperformed his ADP last year looked the part.
20:01Now this offense is looking to take another step.
20:03I think he's going to continue ascending, and I think he's going to be one of the top wide receivers in the
20:09NFL, at least from a talent perspective. The reason we have him this low is because he's got a Bryce Young problem,
20:15and I feel like we can just leave it at that.
20:18That is the issue. I still think he'll be a really great receiver long term, though, and here in 2026.
20:23Same as Emeka Abuka, the other second year receiver that we have here.
20:27Obviously, the health concerns are starting to creep up a little bit, and that's pushing him down our rankings a little bit.
20:33That'll be something to monitor deeper into August. But if he's healthy and he's on the field, he is going to have
20:39the full season breakout like we thought he would have last year based on the first month of the half of the season.
20:45But then when you look at what happened, he got hurt.
20:48Baker Mayfield got hurt. The Buccaneers imploded. You get everyone back healthy.
20:51You get Mike Evans out of town. All this in Emeka Abuka is the clear number one receiver.
20:56And this Tampa Bay offense that people were dying for pieces of last year and the year before, as long as they
21:02can stay healthy, this is going to be a beautiful fantasy situation.
21:05Oh, shoot. One sec. Okay. Yeah. Zay Flowers just got paid another $15 million, by the way.
21:09And we've got him here at number 34. Look, Zay Flowers last year, I think a lot of people underestimate the fact
21:15that he was the wide receiver seven. I mean, a large portion of that came from the fact that availability is the best ability.
21:22And I don't think he's going to repeat that good of a season.
21:25But in so many ways, it feels disrespectful to put him here at 34.
21:29Just because of the fact that, and you've said this before, he almost feels like a lock to outperform his ADP.
21:34He just lacks a very true ceiling unless we can start seeing him get in the end zone, his career high being five touchdowns.
21:41Now you've got more mouths to feed here with Elijah Surratt and with Jacoby Lane and all these guys we're excited about.
21:47So I think he's properly put here at number 34.
21:49I think you've just made me realize that the Zay Flowers of running backs is Javante Williams, who we have here at 35.
21:56Very safe floor. Maybe won't give you a top five finish, but he's going to be a great RB2, maybe even a
22:01low end RB1 because of the environment that he is in in Dallas.
22:05I already talked about with CD and George Pickens, how I want pieces of this Cowboys offense, this explosive offense.
22:10And Javante Williams is going to be the workhorse just like he was last year.
22:14He's probably going to be a three down back as long as he can stay healthy.
22:19And similar to what I said about Chase Brown too, how can you not want the clear number one running back on a good offense?
22:25Next up, we've got the guy that I think might be one of the hardest players to rank on this entire list.
22:31And that's Chris Alave. I would almost argue after the Jordan Tyson injury, which is probably going to keep him out about
22:37eight weeks, that we probably have Alave a little bit too low here.
22:40I just have so many fears, one around Alave's health and two around the fact that he was so, so volume dependent last year.
22:47And granted, he had an unbelievable finish. I had him on my team and I was so happy to have him.
22:52But at the same time, like I kind of knew that what was going on wasn't sustainable in a year over year basis.
22:59What's going on guys? We are officially partnered with Underdog here in August for fantasy football draft season.
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23:31But guys, let's get back to the video. Speaking of sustainability questions, let's talk about Colston Loveland here at 37.
23:36One of the riskiest and friskiest picks on the board here.
23:39But we did see after a good two or three months of nothing out of Colston Loveland, the type of upside he
23:45had in December and then in the playoffs in January where he was a target machine.
23:49To me, he is the only tight end that gives you tight end one overall upside aside from Brock Bowers and Trey McBride.
23:55And he is cheaper. Obviously, he's cheaper because of the risk.
23:58We haven't seen it on a season-long basis before.
24:01But I'm really starting to buy in myself. You hear Ben Johnson talking about how he wants to be the highest scoring
24:07offense of all time, not just a winning team.
24:09Colston Loveland probably is going to be the number one receiver on this team.
24:13So if they're putting up historic numbers, Colston Loveland's going to smash ADP.
24:16My favorite phrase is, is it Luther Burden or is it Roma Dunze?
24:20The answer is it's Colston Loveland. Definitely. But here at number 38, we're talking Tee Higgins, which I can't believe we've gotten
24:26this point that Tee Higgins is kind of a boring pick because he's part of such an explosive, exciting Bengals offense.
24:31But to me, the issue is that when you're playing with Jamar Chase, who I mentioned had the most targets in the
24:37NFL last year, you've got to be incredibly efficient on the targets you do get.
24:41And so for me, if you're betting on Tee Higgins here, you're betting on the entire Bengals offense having an explosive season,
24:47in which case I've been finding myself specifically in best ball, pairing him with Joe Burrow as often as possible.
24:52But he lacks the ceiling that I think a lot of these guys in this range have.
24:57And so that's why we have him at 38.
24:59And at 39, another receiver, Garrett Wilson. If I didn't like the sound of my voice so much, I'd say moment of
25:05silence for Garrett Wilson, who still doesn't have a quarterback and has never had a good quarterback his whole career.
25:11The other downside of Garrett Wilson is that he's relied on heavy, heavy target shares.
25:15And all of a sudden, the Jets go out.
25:17They invest two first round picks on pass catchers.
25:19The deadline last year, they traded for A.D. Mitchell.
25:22So it's fair to wonder if he's going to get that same type of target share here in 2026, which is why
25:28I think we have a little bit lower than consensus.
25:30The good news is Kenyon Sadiq cannot stay healthy.
25:33The early Omar Cooper Jr. reports had not been favorable.
25:35So this might be the last year we actually do see Garrett Wilson still just be a clear, undisputed alpha in the offense.
25:42It's just a little bit less certain than it was in previous years.
25:45Let's get our Jets out of the way here and let's talk about Brees Hall, who you've mentioned so many times, a
25:51guy who was a former RB2 overall. We're closer in our ranking now after the injury than we were before.
25:56And so that's obviously something you have to monitor heading into the season.
26:00But I mean, I don't think the question for Brees Hall is how talented he is.
26:04I just think it's a question of like, how effective can this team be?
26:08How many points can this team score? Because we've seen Brees Hall not have the touchdown upside and that's really what's limited in years past.
26:14And so if you think the Jets have a stronger season overall offensively, I think Brees Hall is a great pick.
26:20I just don't personally see it. Well, another guy with injury concerns here in camp, we have Mike Evans at 41, who's
26:26a guy we like a lot as long as that substation stays the hell away from him.
26:30And Kyle Shanahan offense, he likely will be used a ton by the goal line, similarly to how the Rams used Devontae Adams last year.
26:37Look at the tape when he actually was on the field and healthy last year.
26:41He still has gas left in the tank. And as long as he can stay healthy, he's in a phenomenal situation.
26:47On number 42, Humelo, we actually have him ranked in the exact same spot.
26:50Lamar Jackson, quarterback of the Baltimore Ravens. I just talked about this the other day, but he was the literal quarterback one
26:56in the history of fantasy football just two years ago.
26:59Obviously had the injuries last year, but then they go out, they pay Zay Flowers to secure his wide receiver one.
27:05They go out and draft Jacoby Lane and Elijah Surratt, who have been tearing up training camp right now.
27:10I think Lamar Jackson's in a real weapons, weapons everywhere situation.
27:13And he's a guy that we've seen have the incredibly high passing touchdown upside.
27:16And if he can repeat that this year, there's no question in my mind that like his floor went healthy as the QB two.
27:23100% agreed. And another guy we like at 43, David Montgomery.
27:26Love him. I'm mad you have him higher than me because I want to be the David Montgomery guy.
27:31Austin Eckler, also a David Montgomery guy. He's one of his, my guys when we had him on the show.
27:36Look, we talk about how excited we are about Jameer Gibbs having a backfield to himself.
27:40And I know David Montgomery isn't as good as Jameer Gibbs.
27:43And I know his situation isn't as good as Jameer Gibbs, but he also has a backfield to himself.
27:48Now, Woody Marks is not a real threat. All of a sudden, he's the lead back on this Texans team with a good defense.
27:55They're probably going to run the ball a lot.
27:57We could see the offense as a whole bounce back after some disappointments last year.
28:01They've invested a little bit in the offensive line.
28:04Look at Joe Nixon just a couple of years ago when he went to Houston.
28:08He was a RB one in points per game.
28:10David Montgomery could absolutely do the same thing here.
28:12At 44, we've got Jalen Waddle, a favorite of our good friend, Derek Brown from Fantasy Pros.
28:17He continues to bring up the stat. But the issue with Jalen Waddle simply has not been his talent.
28:22It has been the quarterback situation, which is exactly why we're worried about Drake London.
28:26But last year, in so many per-route metrics, he was top 12 in yards per-route run, targets per-route run, first downs per-route run.
28:32This guy is a certified monster. And now you put him in the offense that was fourth in passing rate last year.
28:38I think this is a match made in heaven between Jalen Waddle and Bo Nix.
28:42And another receiver we love here, Carnell Tate at 45.
28:45It's astounding to me how late his ADP has given.
28:47He has top four draft capital. We've really, in recent history, never seen a receiver taken this high go this late in fantasy drafts.
28:54So from that lens, it really looks like he is a value.
28:57He's going to be the number one receiver on this team.
29:00That's probably going to have to throw the ball quite a bit given their bad defense and their hard schedule.
29:05And you look at the fact that you have Cam Ward, who I know wasn't the best of quarterbacks or success stories
29:11last year, but he is a first overall pick quarterback.
29:14You can bet on the bounce back for him, for this offense as a whole.
29:18And Carnell Tate is going to be the biggest beneficiary.
29:21Here at 46, he probably heard his name earlier, Luther Burden of the Bears.
29:24One of the hardest players for us to rank.
29:27Just because going into the offseason, we saw him as a little bit of an overrated player, but we saw such an
29:33explosion last season in his rookie year. We now see Roma Doonesa is dealing with this foot injury that he's describing as his new normal.
29:39And so you mentioned it. Ben Johnson wants to see this be the highest scoring offense in NFL history.
29:44If that's the case, you want to get a good piece of it.
29:48We're a little bit lower on Luther Burden than consensus, but we can absolutely see the upside in this guy.
29:53Next is Josh Jacobs at 47. One of the murkiest and muddiest situations there is one just for his health concerns.
29:59We're not sure how healthy he is right now.
30:01And to the legal issues. We're not sure he could get suspended.
30:04That makes him really difficult to rank. That's why I'm personally fading him in most drafts I'm doing.
30:09But I will say this. If he ends up playing a full season, if he's healthy and not suspended, he's an incredible
30:15value because he's a good running back and he's on one of the most run heavy teams in the league.
30:20He's been a consistent high end RB2 for years on years now.
30:24He could end up being a steal. Thank God we have this next guy in tier six and not in the fifth
30:29tier because it's Jaden Daniels number one wide receiver, Terry McLaurin.
30:32I just look at this situation in Washington as one of the most obvious bounce backs.
30:37I think a lot of people are concerned about Terry McLaurin because of digs arrival here in Washington.
30:42To me, I just think he compliments that offense so well.
30:44I don't think that they're going to cannibalize a bunch of targets from each other.
30:48And so maybe if you want to knock Terry down a little bit because of the dig signing.
30:53But to me, it just improves this offense that I want a piece of.
30:57And Terry McLaurin feels like he's going way too late.
31:00And we probably have him a little too late too.
31:02An offense I don't want to tell it pieces of is the Browns, but we do have Quinshaw Judkins here at 49.
31:08The two negatives are what I just mentioned. He's on the Browns who are not a good team.
31:13And also he doesn't catch a ton of passes.
31:15They're probably going to use Dylan Sampson on third down quite a bit.
31:19But aside from those negatives, it's pretty much exclusively positives because he's one of the best downhill runners in the league.
31:25He's going to get heavy usage on early downs on what should probably be a run heavy team with a good defense,
31:30sneaky, good offensive line, or at least decent offensive line.
31:33So there's a lot of downside, but also this late in drafts where running back starts drying up.
31:38He's a guy I'm more than willing to take some shots on.
31:41And since we're running out of time, let's go quickly here on number 50.
31:45We've got Travis Etienne Jr., the newest running back of the New Orleans Saints.
31:49Actually, some news coming out that Alvin Kamara is a little bit banged up, which should create some more opportunity for Etienne.
31:54We are not as high on him as consensus, but we still see the path to him having a very good season if he gets enough volume.
32:02I'm also going to throw Parker Washington here at 51 just to be safe.
32:05Those were our top 50 players for the fantasy football season.
32:08Mello, before we let everyone get out of here, did we miss anything?
32:12Think we got it all. All right, make sure to hit that subscribe button for fantasy football advice three days a week,
32:18and we'll catch you guys next time. I'm not giving up.
32:21I am selling the building. The final season of FX is the Bear.
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32:28No, stop. Or not. We are outgunned and we are outmanned.
32:31We have each other. FX is the Bear. The final season.
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