Risers & Fallers - Exploiting ESPN's Insane RB/WR ADPs
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.
49 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jul 15, 2026
Published
Wed, July 15, 2026
40
Player insights
38
Players mentioned
Topics
Carnell TateRJ HarveyA.J. BrownAaron JonesBlake CorumBrian Thomas Jr.Bucky IrvingChris RodriguezChristian WatsonCourtland SuttonD.J. MooreDe'Von AchaneDerrick HenryDeVonta Smith
Player analysis
Player insights
A.J. Brown
PositiveValue0:46
ESPN ranks him 26th overall while ECR has him at 14th—he's in the third round on ESPN but could legitimately be a top-3 to top-5 wide receiver this year with knee concerns pushed to 2027-2028, representing exceptional value.
Insight pageAaron Jones
NegativeValue0:15
ESPN ADP of 86 vs. ECR of 109 shows a 23-spot premium. While he's a veteran pass-catcher and red zone threat, Jordan Mason is a much better runner and has earned more of the workload, making Jones overvalued at this ADP.
Insight pageBlake Corum
PositiveValue0:21
Blake Corum was number one in EPA per rush last year among all qualified running backs and is going at ESPN ADP of 120 behind players like Matthew Golden and Travis Hunter, representing incredible value on a top rushing offense.
Insight pageBrian Thomas Jr.
PositiveValue0:47
ECR ranks him 83rd but ESPN has him at 91st (8 spots later)—mentioned as a guy you can build draft strategy around as a highly quality additive player.
Insight pageBucky Irving
PositiveValue0:12
ESPN rank of 47 vs. ECR of 58 shows he's going 11 spots ahead of consensus. Talented rusher who can make guys miss; with improved offensive line health and new offensive coordinator, a big bounce back is possible. Strong return on investment at this ADP.
Insight pageCarnell Tate
PositiveValue0:30
Carnell Tate is going at ESPN ADP of 55 versus expert consensus of 63 (8-point differential), with Player Profiler ranking him 19th overall at wide receiver, representing solid value despite concerns about Brian Dayball's offense.
Insight pageNegativeValue0:43
Going ahead of Jalen Waddle in ESPN rankings despite Waddle being the superior value and having better upside as a versatile Sean Payton-style receiver.
Insight pageChris Rodriguez
PositiveValue0:23
Chris Rodriguez is going at 173rd overall on ESPN versus 141st on expert consensus ranking (32-point differential), making him essentially free and a potential smash pick as a between-the-tackles and goal-line back in a Liam Cohen offense.
Insight pageChristian Watson
PositiveValue0:35
Christian Watson is going at ESPN ADP of 84 versus ECR of 56 (28-point differential), but the analyst views this as a massive smash pick given his advanced metrics dominance, WR14 finish over final eight games, and clear path to targets after Green Bay traded away Dobbs and Wicks.
Insight pageCourtland Sutton
PositiveRole0:44
Has a very defined role with some transition going on in play-calling and offensive coordinator changes, with Bo Nix coming back from injury—presenting some concerns compared to Jalen Waddle's versatility.
Insight pageD.J. Moore
PositiveValue0:40
Going 66th overall on ESPN despite being a versatile player who isn't just a slot player and will play cross from Roma Doonesa, with great ball-in-hand skills and Ben Johnson's support—a significant discount compared to where he's being reached in other leagues.
Insight pageDe'Von Achane
PositiveValue0:01
ESPN ADP of 10 vs. ECR rank of 17 shows he's going 7 spots ahead of consensus. While he's a superstar complete player with Chris Johnson-like upside, he's being drafted at his ceiling rather than offering value.
Insight pageDerrick Henry
NegativeValue0:05
ESPN ADP of 16 vs. ECR of 38 shows a 22-spot premium. While he can single-handedly win weeks, his metrics are slipping—career-low missed tackles per carry, age, long speed decrease, and hamstring risk create uncertainty about whether he still has it.
Insight pageDeVonta Smith
PositiveValue0:47
ECR ranks him 24th but ESPN has him at 32nd (8 spots later)—mentioned as a guy you can build draft strategy around as a highly quality additive player.
Insight pageGeorge Kittle
NegativeInjury0:42
Coming back from an Achilles injury, which is cited as a reason he's being ranked lower than Mike Evans on ESPN despite being a tight end in a league where tight ends are generally overvalued.
Insight pageGeorge Pickens
PositiveValue0:45
ECR ranks him 16th but ESPN has him at 27th (11 spots later)—you can get him at basically the end of the fourth round in ESPN drafts compared to mid-second to early-third on other platforms.
Insight pageJavonte Williams
PositiveValue0:08
ESPN ADP of 35 vs. ECR of 48 shows he's going 13 spots ahead of consensus. He's the clear guy in Jacksonville with great pass-catching ability and goal-line work; if you nail your first two picks, taking him at the end of round 3 feels good.
Insight pageJaylen Waddle
PositiveValue0:43
ESPN ADP of 56 versus ECR of 39 (17-point differential) makes him an unbelievable value—he's the perfect Sean Payton wide receiver with ideal age and athletic profile, can do it all, and there's not enough downside to justify the risk at this ADP.
Insight pageJaylen Warren
PositiveValue0:17
ESPN ADP of 83 vs. ECR of 68 shows he's going 15 spots behind consensus—a discount. Incredible pass-catching back and great pass blocker; more talented than Rico Dowdle and likely to see more opportunity with the Steelers.
Insight pageJeremiyah Love
NegativeValue0:04
ESPN ADP of 15 vs. ECR of 35 represents a 20-spot difference. Great receiving prospect but concerns include bad defense, passing volume limitations, and Cardinals being a bad team with lower touchdown opportunity.
Insight pageJordan Addison
PositiveValue0:38
Jordan Addison is going at ESPN ADP of 126 versus ECR of 106 (20-point differential), but the analyst sees strong value given Kyler Murray's upgrade, Minnesota's passing infrastructure, and Addison's proven ability to produce top-24 seasons.
Insight pageJosh Downs
PositiveValue0:33
Josh Downs is going 30 spots behind expert consensus rankings at ESPN ADP of 127 versus ECR of 97, representing one of the best values on the board as a top-100 player with a clear path to full-time work after Pittman's departure.
Insight pageJosh Jacobs
NegativeValue0:06
ESPN rank of 25 vs. ECR of 45 shows a 20-point difference. While legal situation is resolved and he remains a focal point, he's older than elite peers like Chase Brown and Kenneth Walker, and he's not a big play guy—relying on grinding and red zone work.
Insight pageLadd McConkey
NegativeValue0:43
Going ahead of Jalen Waddle in ESPN rankings despite Waddle being the superior value and having better upside as a versatile Sean Payton-style receiver.
Insight pageLuther Burden
PositiveValue0:39
Luther Burden is going at ESPN ADP of 66 overall, going behind Kyle Pitts and Jackson Dart, but the analyst views him as a breakout candidate with elite athleticism, full-field usage beyond the slot, and Ben Johnson's support.
Insight pageMarvin Harrison Jr.
NegativeValue0:42
The analyst expresses concern about drafting him this year, calling him 'too jacked' for his taste, suggesting he's overvalued relative to other options like Mike Evans.
Insight pageMatthew Golden
NegativeValue0:28
Matthew Golden is going at ESPN ADP of 112 versus expert consensus of 137 (25-point differential), but the analyst questions the value given his competition in Green Bay and limited opportunity, calling it 'bottle service prices' rather than a value.
Insight pageMike Evans
PositiveValue0:41
ESPN ranks him 70th overall while ECR has him at 52nd—a 20-spot differential—and he has legitimately top-five wide receiver potential this year in Kyle Shanahan's floor-raising offense, making him an unbelievable bargain despite age and hamstring concerns.
Insight pageQuentin Johnston
PositiveValue0:36
Quentin Johnston is going at ESPN ADP of 132 versus ECR of 108 (25-point differential), going behind the Eagles DST and other low-value players, but the analyst sees him as a high-upside pick with Mike McDaniel's usage and Justin Herbert's improved supporting cast.
Insight pageQuinshon Judkins
PositiveValue0:14
ESPN ADP of 50 vs. ECR of 60 shows a 10-spot difference. He's a bright spot on a terrible team with 20 touch-per-game potential, but the worst projected offensive line in football and a bad quarterback create concerns despite Todd Monken's desire to use him heavily.
Insight pageRhamondre Stevenson
PositiveValue0:18
ESPN ADP of 102 vs. ECR of 82 shows a 20-point discount. While Trevion Henderson is talented, Stevenson is likely to be the one-yard goal-line back with an improved offensive line; he's not getting the respect he deserves.
Insight pageRicky Pearsall
PositiveValue0:46
ECR ranks him 102nd but ESPN has him at 114th—a full round later—and he's mentioned as a guy you can build draft strategy around as a highly quality additive player.
Insight pageRJ Harvey
PositiveValue0:20
ESPN ADP of 108 vs. ECR of 90 shows an 18-spot discount. He's the Sean Payton pass-catching back with explosive potential; while not a bell cow and facing competition from J.K. Dobbins and Jonah Coleman, he's the guy to target in this offense.
Insight pagePositiveRole0:20
Harvey is the Sean Payton pass-catching back who can be used in the red zone for both rushing and passing plays, making him valuable in the right role despite not being a bell cow.
Insight pageSam LaPorta
NegativeInjury0:42
Coming back from a back injury, which is cited as a reason he's being ranked lower than Mike Evans on ESPN despite being a tight end in a league where tight ends are generally overvalued.
Insight pageSaquon Barkley
NegativeValue0:03
ESPN ADP of 14 vs. ECR of 26 shows a 12-spot premium. Concerns about age, mileage, and offense persist; yards before contact fell significantly in 2024, creating uncertainty about whether he returns to form.
Insight pageTee Higgins
PositiveValue0:43
ECR ranks him 32nd but ESPN has him at 44th (12-point differential)—he has legitimately top-12 upside with Jamar Chase and top-5 upside without him, making him one of the safest picks on the board at this discount despite health concerns.
Insight pageTreVeyon Henderson
NegativeValue0:43
Going ahead of Jalen Waddle in ESPN rankings despite Waddle being the superior value and having better upside as a versatile Sean Payton-style receiver.
Insight pageTreylon Burks
PositiveValue0:47
ECR ranks him 28th but ESPN has him at 37th (9 spots later)—mentioned as a guy you can build draft strategy around as a highly quality additive player.
Insight pageTyrone Tracy
PositiveValue0:24
Tyrone Tracy has a 62-spot differential between ESPN ADP (190) and ECR (128), going four to five rounds later on ESPN, and could be a strong backup option if Cam Saquon is limited by injury.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
0:00This episode is brought to you by Google Chrome.
0:03You think you know a browser, but Gemini and Chrome?
0:06That's new. It can help you with practically anything on the web, like restoring a vintage motorcycle from a 50-page restoration block,
0:12or finally break down that long article you've had open for weeks.
0:16Gemini and Chrome is here for it. Ready to make anything online make sense?
0:20There's no place like Chrome. Check responses set up required, compatibility and availability varies 18+.
0:25Are all batteries the same? That's like asking if all soccer players are the same.
0:29Take Messi, the most decorated player ever. Is there any other player who has achieved that?
0:34No, just him. Now take Duracell. Is there any other battery with power boost ingredients inside?
0:39No, just Duracell. Remember, goats only trust goats because they're built different and Messi only trusts Duracell.
0:44Coming up on Risers and Fallers, ESPN has some of the worst ADPs I've ever seen in my young hot life.
0:51Today, we're going to be going over the discounts and the death traps right here on PlayerProfiler.
0:56All right, let's see how that's going. Nope, that's terrible.
0:59Welcome to Risers and Fallers, ladies and gentlemen. I am Chuck Bass.
1:03Today, we're going to be going over some ESPN ADPs that are absolutely insane.
1:07I would love to say that they surprise me, but they don't by any stretch of the imagination.
1:12But it's July. We're rounding into redraft season is finally here.
1:16We can just body bag the dynasty takes. Best balls falling off the grid.
1:20We're going to be getting into some redraft business and we're doing it here today.
1:24So let's just get right into it. Let's get a little number one here.
1:29We're going to be doing ESPN ADPs to be aware of.
1:32And let's start with the early big dogs. We're going to do running backs first.
1:37How about Boom? A little, where is he? Where is he?
1:40Devon Achan. Devon Achan, a man I love, a man I have got just tremendous respect for, incredible running back.
1:46I would say almost on the same tier as Bijon and Gibbs, but his ADP, it's pretty out of whack this year.
1:53His ESPN ADP is 10, the ECR rank. So we're going to be doing expert consensus rankings today, just because a lot
1:59of the ADPs for redrafts are not really indicative of what we're going to be looking at.
2:05Come real draft season, August, early September. And I wanted to incorporate the fantasy football landscape into this, right?
2:10So we've got player profiler guys in here. We've got Matt's rankings.
2:14We've got fantasy pros. We've got underdog Yahoo. Everybody's mixed into the ECR.
2:18He's going seven spots ahead of consensus rankings. He's going ahead of Jefferson, Gentie and cooks.
2:23And I'm not necessarily ready to give you guys the pros and cons today.
2:27I do want to shout out Chris Johnson as best comparable, which does say, you know, Achan does always have a Chris Johnson season in him.
2:35So superstar back, complete player, pass catcher, everything. Obviously there's concerns about the offense.
2:39Don't get me wrong. I still love him as a top 15 pick, maybe even top 12.
2:44If I've had a few beers and I've always had a few beers, but you're not really getting much of a value here.
2:51I think you're probably drafting him at his ceiling.
2:54So that one makes it pretty tough. And let's move on to another one here.
2:59Let's move on to another guy. That's the, the ECR rankings pretty wild on this one.
3:03And that's going to be Saquon Barkley. Saquon, his ESPN ADP is 14.
3:07His consensus ranking is 26. So consensus doesn't even have him as a second round pick, which is funny.
3:13I would love to see those ranks adjust. Maybe it's an age thing.
3:17Maybe it's a mileage thing. Maybe they don't believe in this offense overall.
3:21I get all those concerns. But I mean, you are paying big premium prices for Saquon, whether you're drafting on ESPN, whether
3:28you're drafting on sleeper, a lot of these are going to have him as just a name brand value pick for all the obvious reasons.
3:35So it's still going to be a focal point of the offense.
3:39Eagles offensive line is going to be better, but he does need them to be better or else you're going to be getting the Saquon from last year.
3:48Yards before contact fell off pretty sizably. And there's just, there's a weird middle ground between who he was in 2024 and who he was last year.
3:56And whether or not he gets to that place is going to be pretty much the, uh, how we remember this late, late run for him.
4:04Let's get to our next guy here. It's going to be Jeremiah Retzlaff.
4:08This is a huge one here. ESPN ADP of 15.
4:11So they almost have him going at the turn.
4:13The ECR ranking is 35. So you've got a 20 spot difference from where the big brains have Jeremiah love going and
4:20where we think that, uh, and where ESPN. And I don't know who does the ranking for ESPN.
4:25If it's Monica McNutt, um, or if it's a Dan or Vlosky, whoever it is, I'm not 100% positive on, but I
4:32do know that this is going to be the biggest difference in, uh, in ADPs other than the next guy, actually, which I'm looking at now.
4:40Which is pretty funny. And, you know, the pros great receiving prospect drafted third, overall bad defense, passing volume, obviously the concerns for anybody drafting him at 15.
4:49Cardinals are going to be bad, mate. There's no getting around it.
4:52Uh, the touchdown opportunity is probably going to lag other teams and Tyler Algier is good enough to be frustrating at times, probably not season long.
5:00Uh, but yeah, that's good. That's going to be a funky one.
5:04And one that I think managers are probably going to be, you know, your, your, your Charlie casual is not going to
5:10have a problem with that pick at 15th overall.
5:13And I don't even know how much I do just because I want everybody to be wrong, but man, that's a, uh, that's a toughie.
5:21Let's get to our next one here. Cause we're just going to be a power hour show guys.
5:26We're just ripping through these pretty, uh, pretty sizably.
5:29And that's going to be old King Henry King Henry's ESPN ADP is 16th.
5:33His ECR rank is 38th. It's a difference of 22 spots.
5:37He's going ahead of Drake, London, Omari and Hampton, Trey McBride, which I don't really have a problem with a couple of those Hampton.
5:44I love London. I love, but McBride, that's going to be a, uh, a roster building thing.
5:49Obviously his touchdown projections are going to be up there.
5:52Um, he's still going to be a big yards per carry yards after contact yards per rush attempt kind of, or yards over expected guy.
6:00And there's just not a lot of guys that can single-handedly win you a week.
6:04Like he can week to week. They improve the offensive line, but if you're picking Henry at 16, what are you concerned about?
6:11Uh, his metrics are starting to slip a little bit from an advanced perspective, right?
6:16His career, career low in missed tackles per carry, his age, his long speed decrease, uh, hamstring risk, things like that.
6:22There's just, it's going to be a funky year, you know, does he still got it or does he not?
6:28And if he does, this is probably a great pick, even a good one, maybe.
6:33And if he doesn't, then, um, you're going to be pounding sand.
6:36And I don't really love for my guys to pound sand around here.
6:40You're, you're my boys out there. And in some cases you're my gals.
6:44So let's get to our next one here. And then we can get to some, uh, some, some early young bucks.
6:51This is going to be our last big dog.
6:53And that's going to be Josh Jacobs and ECR of 45 and ESPN rank of 25.
6:58So man, they are split big time on this one.
7:0120 point difference, pretty much going ahead of AJ Brown, going ahead of pickings, going ahead of Kenneth Walker.
7:07And I mean, I made this argument on the show last week.
7:11There's not a lot of changes for him. You know, the legal situation is not going to be anything this year.
7:17Uh, he's still a focal point of the offense.
7:20He's not that old. Uh, and he's tough to bring down.
7:23Um, but if you're looking at him at the two, three turn, he's a little older than these elite guys that are going around there.
7:31You know, your chase Browns, your Kenneth Walker's, and even some of these young receivers, not a big play guy.
7:37So it really is going to have to be grinding it out and get into the red zone.
7:42And then, um, you know, there is a little bit of buzz.
7:46I'm not worried about Jacobs this year. This is a little high for me, but, um, man, the difference in what the
7:53pros are thinking and what's actually going on here is it's stark and it does make you wonder a little bit.
7:59And we all have to be a little humble from time to time.
8:03And there's nothing wrong with that. It's what keeps us grounded.
8:06It's what keeps us in relationships. I hope. All right, let's get to our next one here.
8:11And that's going to be Javante Williams. Now we're getting out of the, we're getting away from the big dogs and we're getting to the shelter boys.
8:20So an ESPN ADP of 48, uh, 35, sorry.
8:22An ECR of 48. That's a difference of 13.
8:25So those differences are starting to squeeze down a little bit as we get down the board.
8:30He's going ahead of Garrett Wilson, Tetora McMillan, and Travis A.
8:34Shan nailed it. First time on the pod, getting it without hesitation.
8:37I've been building towards that one. I put a little shock collar on my foot so that if I said, um, ETN,
8:44I get a little going and, uh, you know, that combined with a little caffeine, maybe a little blow, always get your, get your morning starting off.
8:52Right. So, you know, there's not a really whole lot to argue here.
8:56You know, he's a clear, it's really just about Kenny replicate last year.
9:00And is there a ceiling for him to grow?
9:03He's the clear guy there. Um, catches a lot of passes, goal line back.
9:07He can be a big playback. Problem is that, you know, some of the guys going around here, they're just sexy.
9:13And the ceiling does depend on the offense continuing to stay elite, which I don't have any issues with, but you know,
9:20if you're picking him on ESPN, that's at the end of the third round, you're probably feeling pretty good, especially if you nail your first two picks.
9:28So I don't have much of a problem with, with this one.
9:32It is interesting to see the ECR rank is 48 on him because that's probably one of the biggest ones along with
9:39Saquon about the differential between platform ADPs and where he's going in big money leagues.
9:43So there's not a whole lot of, um, you know, people just want to be aroused.
9:48And I guess he's not the most arousing pick in the world.
9:52So I'm tough to get arousal out of, and he, he, he does it for me a little bit.
9:57So, uh, let's move on to just a fan favorite anywhere you go.
10:01Cam Scadaboo, Scadabooting around here. He's got an ESPN rank of 38 and ECR rank of 55, you know, ESPN, New York media.
10:08He's on WWE events. He's, uh, doing backflips at Savannah bananas game.
10:12This is just a guy with a lot of buzz, a lot of name value, and he's an awesome player.
10:18And I love him. Now his rank is a differential of 17 points from ESPN to consensus.
10:23He's going ahead of Colston Loveland, Zay flowers, Devante Adams.
10:26I'm mixed on those guys. I love Loveland this year.
10:29I love land. Uh, do you really love the land?
10:32Or are you just saying it because you love it?
10:35I love land. I love land. Uh, Zay flowers, I think is in for another continual breakout and Adams is obviously steady Betty here.
10:43So, I mean, what are the concerns? You're taking him at the beginning of the fourth, which I don't think is too
10:49early, especially, especially if it's a go get your guy situation, uh, dislocated his ankle.
10:54That's pretty bad. Um, Tyrone Tracy, I think is in a, one of the more impressive and effective backups.
11:00I know that's a sentiment that Matt echoes consistently.
11:02Uh, and we could see a slower start for him, much like guys that have had this injury before do get when they come back.
11:10Yeah. I mean, this is a tricky one. I don't have problem.
11:14I think Katta Scadaboo is going to be in for a good year.
11:18I think he's one of the true workhorses in the league.
11:21And I don't think he feels pain. And if he does, that's what the painkillers are going to be for that.
11:27He'll be playing on a throwback to the eighties and nineties guys.
11:31So that's okay with me. Just be aware. If you want some cam Scadaboo, you're going to have to pay top dollar market price.
11:38Get business done with the new American express graphite business cash, unlimited card with unlimited 2% cash back on all eligible purchases,
11:45unlimited 5% cash back on flights and prepaid hotels booked through American express travel online and a flexible spending capacity that can grow with your business.
11:53You'll have the confidence to keep building apply today and earn a welcome offer of $1,500 cash back.
11:58After you spend $50,000 in qualifying purchases on your new card within the first six months of card membership terms apply.
12:05Learn more at go.amex slash graphite. Hey, it's Bill from the Bill Simmons podcast, FIFA World Cup 26 fans.
12:10Listen up. Is the official beer sponsor of the FIFA World Cup 26?
12:14Michelob Ultra is giving away $1 million worth of FIFA World Cup 26 tickets and prizes.
12:19Enter now at Michelob Ultra.com slash superior access slash FIFA World Cup 26.
12:23Michelob Ultra FIFA World Cup 26 superior access. No purchase necessary.
12:27Open U.S. Residence 21 plus begins on December 1st, 2025 ends on July 31st, 2026.
12:31Multiple entry periods. Visit www.miclobal Ultra.com slash superior access slash FIFA World Cup 26 for free entry, entry deadlines, prizes and details.
12:38In these ESPN leagues, just like this next guy here, which I think is very, very interesting to see him so high.
12:45Bucky Irving, who I personally love and would send money out of my wallet to.
12:49He's got an ESPN rank of 47, an ECR rank of 58.
12:53This is just one of the more maligned players across fantasy in the offseason.
12:57You might find an analyst or two here that still thinks he can bounce back and recover and return to that 2024 form.
13:04I think that's within the realm of possibility. I think he's a talented rusher.
13:08I think he can make guys miss like some of the best in the league.
13:13He's obviously just not very big, but what the fuck?
13:16You guys have no problem with Jameer Gibbs going first overall.
13:19They're roughly in the same size range. Kyron Williams.
13:22Buck's offensive line was trash last year from injuries only.
13:25Injuries only. Baker Mayfield another year healthier. Got a great offensive coordinator coming in.
13:29I think there's a big bounce back from Bucky coming.
13:32The problem is that he's going ahead of Terry McLaurin, Quinshawn Judkins, Jaden Daniels.
13:36Guys who I think can also be great anchors of your roster.
13:40And obviously there's pros and cons for all of them, but I like Bucky falling because I think the return on investment is strong.
13:47I don't like him at 47th overall. ESPN, they're getting my goat with this one.
13:52I mean, they're not scared of Sean Tucker. They're not scared of Kenny G.
13:56They're not scared of Baker Mayfield ninth straight year with a new play caller.
14:00They're not scared. And you know what? ESPN's not scared.
14:03They're scared of everything. So if that's the case, then maybe we need to keep an eye on it.
14:09All right. Speaking of Quinshawn Judkins, that's going to be our next guy here.
14:14Where are you, Quinshawn? He's got an ESPN ADP of 50 and an expert consensus ranking of 60.
14:19So we got a 10 point difference there. Not too big, but he's going ahead.
14:24And this is what puts it in perspective, right?
14:26The going ahead is important here because it's going to give you the full board.
14:31Lad McConkie, Trevion Henderson, and Carnell Tate. And I know that Quinshawn is a bright spot on a terrible team.
14:37Todd Munkin is going to want to use him heavily.
14:40He has 20 touch per game potential. This is widely projected to be the worst offensive line in football.
14:46They lost all of their starters from last year.
14:48And I know that means that there's opportunity there, but so many moving parts.
14:53The quarterback stinks. Dylan Samson is a really nice pass catcher.
14:56I just think he's going to be a grinder and he's a really good player.
15:01I got no problem with that. But going ahead of some guys that I think could be lightning rods on your team
15:07is going to end up being an issue. And I don't like issues.
15:11I like happy tissues. I like big, fat, happy tissues here.
15:15All right, let's get to one. We got one more in this negative section, and then we're going to get some values.
15:21Values, values, values. Let's get to our boy Aaron Jones here, who's got an ESPN ADP of 86 and an ECR of 109.
15:28One of the biggest stark differences in ranking in ADP.
15:31He's going ahead of Rico Dowdle, Brian Thomas Jr., Caleb Williams.
15:35And when I say go ahead, these are the guys going just about directly in front of him.
15:40And I added this one on here just because the Vikings backfield is really interesting for me.
15:45I think there's a lot of opportunity there. I just don't know where it's going to go.
15:50I really like him in other drafts where he's a late ADP pass catching flyer.
15:55He's always been a shark at the goal line or in the red zone.
15:59And he's a veteran that they can trust. The problem here is that Jordan Mason, he's just a much better runner.
16:06He's not going to get you anything in the passing game.
16:09But I know I say on almost every show that I can that I think Jordan Mason last year auditioned to be
16:16the running back for this team for this year and next year.
16:19And I think he's earned that. And I think this is the year that he gets a little bit more of the keys.
16:26I don't know if it's a 1A, 1B situation or if it's a 60% snap share thing.
16:31I'm not sure. But I just wanted to highlight Jones here because anyone who's thinking that this could be a nice, you
16:38know, your RB4, I think that you're going to be surprised how much earlier he's going.
16:43And he's a brand name on the board that people are going to say, you know, your casual guys, they're not going to remember who Jordan Mason is.
16:51They're going to think that the Vikings are going to be better this year.
16:56And then they smash that click button on Aaron Jones.
16:59And you're going to be stuck with some bullshit kicker with your next pick.
17:03And we don't want that. Now, let's get to what I'm calling the Costco hot dog section, which is just premium values,
17:10values that are delicious, values that we can take advantage of, values that make you go.
17:15I wish I drafted on ESPN more because these rankings and these ADPs, well, they're mentally departed.
17:20They're gone. They have left the building. And our first one here is a fan favorite of the Bass household.
17:26Let's get, come on, get your butt in here.
17:29Where's the loading? Let's get Mr. J. Lynn Warren on the screen here.
17:32He's got an ESPN ADP of 83, but the experts have him at 68.
17:37So you're looking at a 15 spot differential. He's going behind Jordan Tyson, Travis Kelsey.
17:41And I love this one. First mentioned on the pod Broncos DST.
17:45And then the pros and cons it's, you know, with these guys are obvious.
17:49You're watching a redraft player profiler show in July.
17:52You know the pros with him. He's an incredible pass catching back, great pass blocker.
17:56Steelers offensive line is far, at least from a pass blocking and run blocking perspective.
18:01It's split because of how Aaron Rodgers plays. We don't really know how good they actually are, but we know they played well as a unit last year.
18:10The metrics back that up. And the concerns here are that Rico Dowdle will get touches in early down work.
18:16So I don't know. Can Rico Dowdle go to his third team in three years and put up a thousand yards with his old coach, Mike McCarthy?
18:24Maybe. But with an ESPN ADP of 83, I think I just Warren's this more talented back.
18:29And I think they're going to be a little bit better this year.
18:33Give me Warren and give me him pretty handily.
18:36That's one of those guys who, like, if you're looking for what Aaron Jones can be for you, I think that Jalen
18:42Warren can be that plus a whole lot more.
18:45So let's get to our next guy. And that's going to be Ramondre freaking Stevenson.
18:50Ramondre has got an ESPN ADP of 102 and an expert consensus ranking of 82.
18:54So you're looking at a 20-point differential between what ESPN wants and what you are going to do.
19:00ESPN's probably just looking at, what, second-year Trevion Henderson.
19:02I don't know if Diana Rossini reported this or not, but he could be more explosive this year.
19:08I don't know about all that. It's Josh McDaniels, backfield.
19:11They're always going to split. He's probably going to be the one-yard goal lineback.
19:15Huge discount versus how he ended the year last year.
19:18He's just not getting the respect. Improved offensive line for the Patriots.
19:22And look, I know that Trevion Henderson is supremely talented.
19:25I know that he's probably going to take a step forward this year.
19:29But until I see it with my own eyes, I know how this team operates.
19:33And they would be dramatic for them to go against type if that were to be the case.
19:39So, yeah, let's get you some – you're noticing with these guys, like, you're going to be able to just hammer all-star
19:46players early and maybe even quarterback and tight end early if you want in these leagues because you've just got guys that
19:52I think are going to be contributors for your roster, going to be going anywhere between 80 and 120 on a lot of these teams.
20:00And I think this next guy who's another – like Bucky Irving, he's another one of the more maligned players of the offseason.
20:07That's going to be RJ Harvey. He's got an ESPN ADP of 108, an expert consensus ranking of 90.
20:13So, he's going 18 spots behind where the experts got him.
20:16He's going behind Wondell Robinson, Jake Ferguson, and Cameron Dicker.
20:19So, we've got kickers going ahead of RJ Harvey.
20:22And what are the cons for him, right? He's not a bell cow in a Sean Payton offense.
20:27J.K. Dobbins looked good last year. Jonah Coleman gets added.
20:30And he's not really the best between-the-tackles runner. Obviously, his rushing metrics were nothing to write home about last year.
20:36But what is he? He's the Sean Payton pass-catching back.
20:39And he's an explosive runner if he can find the right lane or bounce outside in the right appropriate way.
20:45That's the guy I want. I don't want the plotter in this offense.
20:49I don't want 15 for 58 and then maybe a touchdown every other game.
20:54I want the guy who's going to be catching passes, who can still run the ball if the play is right, and
21:00is going to be used in the red zone, whether it's rushing or passing.
21:04He showed that last year. So, look, this is not a guy I want to rely on heavily.
21:10I never want to do that with Sean Payton guys not named Alvin Kamara.
21:14But we can't look for the Alvin Kamara role, and then when somebody's finally in it, say, I want between-the-tackles 4.5 yards per carry guy.
21:22No. Suck me. Suck me on that one. It pisses me off.
21:25It annoys me. And I'm looking forward to everybody being wrong about that one.
21:30Now, this is another fun one here. We're really getting into, like, the make-or-break roster molds.
21:35And our next guy is going to be Blake Corum, backup running back to the stars literally in Los Angeles.
21:41He's got an ESPN ADP of 120 and expert consensus ranking of 110.
21:45So, you're starting to see these differentials shrink a little bit, just 10 spots there.
21:49Who's he going behind, are you asking? This is the best one so far.
21:53He's going behind Matthew Golden and Travis Hunter. And that is not guys I would select ahead of Blake Corum.
21:59And this one's open and shut case, right? He was number one in EPA per rush last year amongst all qualified running backs.
22:06Number one. So, he's going to get you what you need.
22:10He's on probably the best offense in the league, probably the best rushing attack in the league overall.
22:15Clear wide running back two. So, alternating snaps could be a low-end wide receiver one if Kyron misses time and you're getting him around 120.
22:23I think that's incredible. Obviously, there's a little bit more contingency with this pick than some of the other ones.
22:29But trust the offense. Trust the player. Trust the structure.
22:32I just think guys like this usually, they just don't go that late.
22:36Like, you know, Alexander Madison in his prime was going seventh round.
22:40That's fucking crazy. So, why do we have a guy that's a much better player on a much better offense with much
22:46better opportunity who's already seeing the field regularly? Same scheme.
22:49Or at least same coaching tree. Going much later.
22:52I don't know. It's confusing. But it is funny.
22:55This next one's funny as well because now we're getting into linchpin season.
22:59You know, this is going to be where your big brain picks.
23:02No one's going to celebrate this pick when you make it.
23:06But you are. And that's going to be Chris Rodriguez.
23:09Chris Rodriguez is going at 173rd overall on ESPN.
23:11141st expert consensus ranking. That's a 32-point differential. So, Chris Rodriguez is free basically compared to where he's going to be going in most other platforms.
23:19Going behind Omar Cooper Jr., Jalen McMillan, and Jordan Love, just to give you some perspective there.
23:24What are the pros? The pros are he could be between the tackles and goal line back for a Liam Cohen offense.
23:31Very valuable stuff. Got that nice contract. He's played with Liam Cohen before.
23:35He's very good after contact. Just things that are going to need to be defined in this Jaguars offense because we don't
23:42really know for sure if Tootin's that guy, although I do like Tootin.
23:46The problem here is that he might just be a Jag in more ways than one.
23:51He's literally a Jaguar, and he might be just a guy.
23:54I don't know if reuniting with Cohen is what we painted out to be.
23:58But at 173rd overall, you bet your ass this is going to be a guy that I'm smashing the hell out of.
24:05Imagine if you could get prime Jeff Wilson on an offense like the 49ers.
24:09That might be what you're getting with Chris Rodriguez here.
24:12You guys hopefully show up here for the Jeff Wilson mentions.
24:16Those are big for me, and they're big for the platform.
24:19I love a big throwback mention here. All right, let's talk about one of player profilers' more intriguing opportunities this year.
24:25We mentioned Cam Scadaboo. We got to mention Tyrone Tracy, who has got an ESPN ADP of 190, an ECR of 128, a 62-spot differential.
24:33You're talking basically four or five rounds between where he's going in ESPN rankings and where he's going in ECR.
24:39He's going behind Tanks Bigsby, Denzel Boston, and CJ Stroud.
24:42And it's as simple as this, guys. If Cam Scadaboo is either not the player that he was last year because of
24:49injury or the staff wants to just make it a little bit more of a rotation because of said injury or just,
24:55I don't know, maybe the concussions early on set CTE.
24:58I don't know what's going on. I'm still drafting Scadaboo, don't get me wrong, but this is a really good backup and
25:05a guy who could still see the field as is.
25:08We've got Rashad White as his best comparable player, and I think that's exactly what he could be.
25:14You know, how Rashad White was used in Tampa was, you know, a couple, it was sporadic at times, but he still
25:20had a defined role, and I think you could still get that from him.
25:24And at 190, goodness gracious, great balls fire. I love that.
25:28I think it's hot. I think he's a handsome man, stays out of trouble, thick thighs, just the kind of stuff we're looking for.
25:35So let us take a quick ad here, and when we come back, it's time for some catchy boys.
25:41You know, the original player profile was just my podcasting tool that I made available to the public so that you could
25:48follow along and look up the stats while I'm looking them up and talking about them on the show.
25:53Then you're asking, well, I want to dominate my drafts.
25:56I want to know what you know about Josh Downs and Trey Harris and Jalen Coker.
26:01So that's why we have the world-famous draft kit.
26:04The key team insights, the player breakdowns, and the key stats that you need to know, like vacated targets, vacated touches, all
26:11there available to you with cheat sheets for every format and interactive drafting.
26:15As you draft, the players fly off the board.
26:17And this year, for the first time, I am publishing my personal draft cheat sheet during draft season as well as Bradley's.
26:24And when you sign up for the all-in package, you get $25 off with Code Podfather.
26:29Code Podfather, $25 off. The world-famous draft kit is now live.
26:32It is ready. It is complete. So go grab it and dominate your drafts.
26:36Right now, get up to 15% off Select Storage Solutions.
26:39Put heavy-duty HDX totes to good use, protecting what's important to you.
26:43The solid, impact-resistant design prevents cracking. And the clear base and sides make items easy to find even when the totes are stacked.
26:50Find Select Shelving and Tote Storage up to 15% off at the Home Depot to organize every room in your home, from your garage to your attic.
26:58Visit HomeDepot.com. How doers get more done. This episode is brought to you by Google Health.
27:03Stop chasing someone else's definition of health. What matters is what's healthy for you.
27:07Google Health offers a new kind of coach, built with Gemini for effortless tracking, sleep insights, and holistic coaching tailored to you.
27:14Visit GoogleStore.com to learn more and start a new relationship with your health.
27:18Requires Google account, Google Health app, internet, and Google Health premium subscription.
27:22Features subject to change. Availability and results vary. Not intended for medical purposes.
27:26Works independently of Gemini apps. Check responses for accuracy.
27:28DraftCat doing absolute numbers. Make sure you guys are taking full agenda of that.
27:33The Player Profiler team put so much great work into that from player breakdowns to team analysis.
27:38Rankings are incredible. You're seeing them very, very, the expert consensus rankings.
27:41You can tell they've got the DraftKit because they're not too far off from the work that we're putting in here.
27:48And honestly, can you blame them? I mean, it's just, we're talking about some of the brightest and smartest minds that the
27:55fantasy football space has to offer here, which is not going to be what you think when you see who our first
28:01wide receiver is going to end up being here.
28:04We're talking wide receiver values on ESPN. And that is going to be, let's start off with a banger.
28:10Matthew Golden. Matthew Golden has an ESPN ADP of 112.
28:13Experts have him at 137. That's a 25 point differential, two rounds for Sant.
28:17Would you rather have Matthew Golden tomorrow or Santana Moss at his ripe old age?
28:22You tell me. That's his best comparable player right there.
28:25Will they use him like Santana Moss? Who's to say?
28:28But here's what the kicker. He's going ahead of Ricky Pearsall, Jordan Addison, and Casey Concepcion.
28:32Now, if you think Matthew Golden is going to break out, oh, shit, this is a good pick going outside the top 110.
28:39Green Bay thinning out the wide receiver rooms. Got a much better chance than Jordan Reed to play in two wide receiver sets.
28:46And the film was better than the box score last year.
28:50I mean, this is a player who Jordan Love costs him about 30 points.
28:54Now, does that make us feel any better about it?
28:57Is what his rookie season? Probably not. So, you know, you're just, you're banking on a pretty decent pick for a guy
29:04to maybe not even necessarily be a breakout, but to take a big step forward.
29:08And when you've got Christian Watson, who's already out of the box, Jaden Reed, who I think is a great player, Tucker
29:15Craft, who I think is, when he's healthy, a tier one tight end.
29:19And then, of course, the offense still rolls around Josh Jacobs in that run game.
29:24I just don't know if I'm interested in 112th overall, 137 when I'm starting to get into like, okay, who's got good
29:30ROI potential and not going to cost me anything.
29:33Then I'm feeling a little bit spicier about it.
29:36But that's just, that's bottle service prices for me.
29:38And I've never been a bottle service guy. I've always preferred to either get blackout drunk at the pregame, bring a flask
29:45in, or just polish off some empties that I see around the bar.
29:49And that's really never done me wrong here. Let's get to our next guy.
29:53And this one's going to be maybe a little bit surprising to you all out there, to my Tennessee Titans fans.
30:00Carnell Tate, ESPN ADP of 55, 63rd overall. You're looking at an eight point differential, not bad.
30:05And you're going to notice with these wide receivers, there's actually not a lot of guys going higher, not a lot of
30:12wide receivers going much higher on ESPN than expert consensus rankings.
30:15There's a shitload of them going way later, which is interesting.
30:18And some really good ones too. But Carnell Tate here, he's going ahead of Jalen Waddle.
30:23He's going ahead of Luther Burden. He's going ahead of Basil Tootin just to round out those positional groups.
30:29I really love him. We're really high on him at player profiler.
30:32We've got him at 19th overall. So you're talking about a top 20 wide receiver going ESPN ADP of 55.
30:39It's not bad. Just an interesting stark differential. You know, who are you taking him ahead of is what it comes down
30:45to really, not necessarily where you're taking him. Rookie ceiling might, his rookie ceiling might not be that high if Brian Dayball
30:52ends up being, you know, this fat chode that he's been these last couple years.
30:56Offensive line could be an issue. Cam Ward, can you take a step forward?
31:01I believe all those things are possible. I'm not worried about any of the competition here.
31:06Waddle is really just, he is what he is, nothing more.
31:09Calvin Ridley, dust in a bag, all that stuff.
31:12So I like Carnell Tate. It's just interesting to see him going much further ahead of ADP compared to some of the other platforms.
31:19This next guy also up there. So where do you got, you had the young calf.
31:24Wait, you had the young calf in Carnell Tate.
31:27How about we have the old bull? How about we grab it by the wiener here?
31:31As you guys know, we're fond of. Devontae Adams going ESPN ADP of 42, expert consensus rankings of 49.
31:37So only seven spots ahead. But, you know, if you're thinking you're going to get a linchpin value here on Devontae Adams,
31:44which a lot of drafters are, I've seen him go with the four or five turn in a lot of other platforms.
31:51You're not going to get that opportunity on ESPN.
31:53He looked pretty damn good last year. Separation is still incredible.
31:57Best offense in the league, high double-digit touchdown potential, all those things.
32:00He's going ahead of T. Higgins. He's going ahead of Emeka Ibuka.
32:04And he's going ahead of Terry McLaurin. I don't have a problem with Terry McLaurin.
32:08I think that's a toss-up. I don't even have much of a problem with Ibuka if you think that that's going to
32:15be more of what we saw at the end of last year than beginning.
32:19Going ahead of T. Higgins is like psycho ex-girlfriend crazy.
32:22He's getting older, boys. He's getting older. He slowed down later in the end of the season last year.
32:28And McVay always likes to do things a little bit different.
32:32If you're not Puka, if you're not Todd Gurley, if you're not Prime Cooper Cup, he's going to be in his bag for the next season.
32:39So I also want to keep an eye on Matthew Stafford.
32:43See if he's, is he able to have two consecutive great seasons in a row?
32:47I hope so. He's talented enough to. But this is a guy who was the wide receiver 22 over the final eight games of the season.
32:55Hamstring, age, whatever have you. You're just not getting a value like I think you are in some other leagues.
33:01Okay. That's actually it for guys that are going ahead of ECR.
33:05How about some guys that are going behind? And let's start off with a guy that pisses me off.
33:11Um, I think that's fun. I think that's good for the juices flowing and it doesn't piss me off as a player
33:17wise, because I think he's a terrific player. And I don't think he's gotten the opportunity that he deserves here.
33:23That's going to be Josh Downs, Josh Downs. And this is our Costco hot dog section.
33:28We're talking about great values. It's probably the best one in this list.
33:32And this will be a power hour because there's a boatload of wide receivers that are going way later in ESPN than they're in the ECR ranks.
33:40Uh, as you can see here, he's ADP on ESPN of 127 and expert consensus ranking of 97.
33:46So he made the top 100 shout out top 100 list, maximum top 100.
33:50You know, I maybe used to go in the bathroom with that back in the day and lock the door.
33:56Uh, not so much these days with the invention of the smartphone.
34:00He's going 30 spots behind expert consensus rankings. He's going in the one twenties.
34:04He's going behind Travis Hunter, who we mentioned earlier.
34:07He's going behind several kickers and Xavier worthy, uh, who I will refrain from making any jokes on this segment as to avoid any more potential lawsuits.
34:15And the pros for him are great, right? He's an excellent short to intermediate receiver.
34:20He's even got some really nice down the field skills.
34:23Uh, he could be a full-time player this year with Pittman gone and the competition is, uh, Westbrook Akina.
34:28So the path is there. The concern is that he's not very big.
34:32He's not doing a lot of air yard work and Alec Pierce just got the bag.
34:37And Tyler Warren is one of the best tight ends in the league.
34:41So is there, what, what if Alec Pierce is that guy?
34:45We know Tyler Warren's that guy and Josh Downs just isn't that guy, pal.
34:49And he's third banana on this team. Now at ADP shit, he can be third banana and this is still a great pick.
34:56I just wonder about the ROI. Um, but man, I just think that is to go 30 spots and be a top
35:02hundred player is, uh, it's, it's pretty wild to me.
35:06We've got his best comparable as Emmanuel Sanders. If Daniel Jones can get his head out of his ass, um, for two
35:12consecutive seasons, I think we're looking at a really, really nice pick here.
35:16Uh, and that's going to be the theme with a lot of these because this next one is, uh, is, is another cuckoo chew crazy.
35:24Uh, I'm never going to say that again. That's the lamest shit I've ever said in my life.
35:29Christian Watson, ESPN ADP of 84. He's going at 56 overall in the expert consensus rankings, 28 points behind differential.
35:35He's going behind Michael Pittman, Cortland Sutton, DK Metcalf.
35:38Oh man, what are we doing? That that's just what, what is going on?
35:42Does he, this is where I question who is doing the juice over at ESPN.
35:47Cause this juice, there's so much juice to squeeze out of this one that they would have to literally throw a Brazzers logo up on there.
35:55I mean, we, you guys don't even need the stats.
35:58He's an advanced metrics. Darling. He was wide receiver 14 over his final eight games, 16.1, a dot wide receiver, 19 and
36:04points per game coming back from ACL. They shipped off these trash wide receivers like Dobbs and Wicks that were getting targets for no good reason.
36:12Um, all the other players on the offense have question marks, Tucker craft coming back from injury, Jaden Reed.
36:18Can he play full time? Uh, Matthew golden. Is he even good?
36:22So this is a hyper smash pick. And this is going to be a guy that when I'm going in ESPN drafts,
36:28I'm building teams around like there's no doubt about it.
36:31If I can get him in at 84th overall, I'm just crushing running back tight end early.
36:37Even even some big dog wide receivers. I think there's going to be a lot of, uh, a lot of fun to be ahead there.
36:44Now we can get to another guy here who is the talk of the town.
36:49He's the bell of the ball. Um, and he's really just, he's going to be a lightning rod for this season because
36:55I think he's going to either make or break fantasy this year.
36:59And that's going to be Quentin Johnston. And some people are calling him the wide receiver one in LA for the chargers.
37:06Um, those people need to be lobotomized a little bit, but a lot of bottomies aren't always bad.
37:11We also shut around ESPN ADP of one 32 and ECR of one Oh eight.
37:16It's a 25 point differential for Quentin Johnston. And he's going behind, this is what's so funny.
37:21He's going behind the Eagles DST. He's going behind Khalil Shakir.
37:24Who's a nothing burger in fantasy. And he's going behind Xavier worthy, who is, um, sorry, like I said, I won't say anything negative.
37:32I've already hit the quote on that one. Mike McDaniel is going to use the day.
37:36He's going to use the piss out of this guy.
37:40Uh, like imagine if Sammy Watkins could put together a full season.
37:43That's what I'm getting out of this guy. Uh, vertical crusher maximizes yak, Justin Herbert doing things.
37:48And he had a good year last year. He was 22 and points per game in a year that we all thought
37:55was a down year for the chargers in this passing offense.
37:58The tackles are coming back. The center has been upgraded.
38:01How good is lad McConkie? Really? That's going to be a big question.
38:05Um, so I think, you know, this is another guy you can really, if you can count on him outside of 132
38:12overall ADP on ESPN, you're just going to be going, you're going to be collecting these high upside wide receivers like, like
38:19Danos, man, this is, this is going to rock.
38:21And the same thing with this next guy, who is a guy that I'm surprised is going as late as he is everywhere.
38:28Jordan Addison and ESPN ADP of one 26 in expert consensus ranking of one Oh six.
38:33You're looking at another 20 point differential. So almost the full two rounds, he's going behind Patriots DST and Bo Nix.
38:40He's also going behind Xavier worthy, but it's obvious when I did these notes and I was a little drunk when I
38:46did them that I was just not in a good mood with the, uh, second year or third year wide receiver out of Texas.
38:54And there's just too many pros for me to be could not be confused about this ADP.
38:59I mean, Kyler Murray, major upgrade. He's shown he can support multiple pass catchers, Minnesota, incredible passing infrastructure.
39:04Starting role is secure. He's a big touchdown earner, uh, and he's young and he's put up top 24 seasons with much
39:11worse quarterbacks than what we have right now. Uh, I mean, Sam Darnold, I guess is pretty good.
39:16It was good in this offense, so I won't malign Sam Darnold, but this is certainly the best consistent passer.
39:22I think we will have seen in this offense since prime Kirk cousins, obviously he's a little, he's always been boom busty
39:29Jefferson caps his upside, but we're talking about 126 overall.
39:32So you're getting round 10 round 11, uh, for a guy that I think could probably offer some pretty decent flex value,
39:39depending on what you do at your other positions.
39:42Uh, now let's get to a guy who is going to literally the suicide hotline is going to be hopefully not as
39:48busy this year because the guy who's stepping up to the plate, Luther burden, Luther burden is going to be called the
39:55amount of prescriptions that people are going to write or not right for Luther burden is going to be, uh, potentially record-breaking
40:02or potentially, uh, the lowest dip we've had since.
40:04I want to say the 2012, uh, year, you know, Obama music festivals.
40:08Uh, yeah, it's just, there was a lot going on back then.
40:12Uh, he's going behind Roma Doonesa, which is the only platform that he will be going behind Roma Doonesa on.
40:18He's going behind Kyle Pitts. It was a big no, no for me.
40:22And he's going behind Jackson dart, which is crazy, right?
40:25You think he's going 66 overall. He's going behind Kyle Pitts and Jackson dart, um, athleticism, unbelievable.
40:30DJ Morgan. He's not just a slot player. He's going to play cross from Roma Doonesa, which is, I think very good for him.
40:38He's great with the ball in his hands and Ben Johnson loves him.
40:41I mean, 66 overall. I mean, you're talking about going in the sixth round in some of these leagues.
40:47That's for a guy that people are reaching on in the third round because they think a breakout is so eminent.
40:54Um, this is another one where these round six, round seven, round eight, round nine players are so shockingly different from other
41:00platforms that you're going to be able to do whatever you want, regardless of how the board falls, uh, in those first three to four rounds.
41:08And I think that gives you a lot of flexibility more.
41:12So I know that these, these rankings are trash every year on ESPN, but this year in particular, they have as little
41:18of a hold on what they're doing as I've ever seen.
41:22Um, and I don't know whose fault that is, you know, who is, is, uh, is it Mina Kimes?
41:27Is it, uh, Dan Orvlosky? Is it, uh, Greenberg trying to think of who still works at ESPN is Steven egg getting involved.
41:34Um, I don't know. You guys tell me what's going on over there.
41:38I like some of those characters that I just named, but, uh, their influence on the fantasy football rankings is, uh, it's not great, Bob.
41:46All right. Who do we got next here? Um, got another old head, another old head.
41:51Who's being disrespected. Mike fricking Evans. Uh, first ballot hall of famer.
41:54One of the greatest wide receivers of all time.
41:57He's got an ESPN rank of 70 and ECR rank of 52.
42:01You're looking at almost 20 points on 20 spots differential.
42:04He's going behind Marvin Harrison jr. Who is too jacked for me to draft this year.
42:09Sam Laporta coming back from that back injury and George Kittle going back.
42:13Coming back from the Achilles. You're what you guys are going to notice.
42:17And there's going to be a second part to the show is that they juice the tight ends in this, uh, in
42:23on ESPN all like the top 10 tight ends are going significantly higher on ESPN compared to any other platform.
42:29Uh, so they're trying to lean into the meta, whatever these guys, they think these guys are going to be on the
42:36field running around some more when Kyle Shanahan brings in or when he tabs or wide receiver, whether it's in the draft
42:43or in a trade or in a free agency, they always pop Debo.
42:47Um, Iuke Evans, Ricky Pearsall, who I think is a very good player.
42:51Pierre Garcon. Um, the only miss is pretty much Dante Pettis.
42:54I mean, the, he has a very good track record with guys that he knows can ball turns them into ballers.
43:00I think Mike Evans has legitimately top five wide receiver potential this year.
43:04Obviously hamstrings are an issue age cliff, all that things, but this is like the floor raising offense and you're getting him at 70th overall unbelievable bargain.
43:12I mean, who are you not going to pick?
43:15You know, you're gonna have to make some tough decisions in these drafts because there's unbelievable players going much later than they should be like our next guy.
43:24I mean, it's a murderous row of guys that I can't believe are going this late.
43:29Jalen fricking Waddle ESPN ADP of 56 expert consensus ranking of 39.
43:32So they have him going very early in the fourth round 17 point differential.
43:36He's going behind, like I mentioned earlier, Carnell Tate.
43:39He's going behind Trevion Henderson and he's going behind the lad McConkey.
43:43Um, we'll get to lad in a minute. Cause he's another one on here, but I mean, Waddle is just like the
43:49perfect Sean Payton, wide receiver, perfect age, uh, perfect athletic profile to not be pigeonholed into one single role.
43:55He can truly do it all. They invested heavily in him.
43:59I think he's very good for Bo Nix. This is just an unbelievable pairing and you're getting him at 56.
44:05And I just don't think there's enough downside for there to be any risk with this pick.
44:10I mean, Cortland Sutton is obviously still there, but he has a very defined role.
44:14There is some transition going on there with some of the, uh, the play calling and the offensive coordinator, Bo Nix come back from an injury.
44:22I guess there's a few things you could, you could, you know, squint and find some issues with, but man, that's just,
44:29uh, that's too good of an ADP for me to pass up on, but shit, man, it's not as good as this
44:36next one because I had to scroll way up to find this big dog.
44:40Um, and I don't even know. Is he even on here?
44:43T Higgins, T Higgins has an expert consensus ranking of 32nd and he's going 44th on ESPN ADP.
44:49Now that's only a 12 point differential, but this is a guy that is legitimately top 12 upside with Jamar chase top five upside without him.
44:57One of the safest picks on the board always has been when he plays, obviously health is a concern, but man, you
45:03can get a player of this quality on. I think you're getting George Pickens who is going extremely high in all drafts.
45:10George Pickens is going anywhere from mid second to early third.
45:13You can get George Pickens at basically the, um, end of the fourth round in ESPN drafts.
45:18That's how I feel about this. And I'm not going to get into the weeds.
45:23Metrically wise stats wise. We all know what T Higgins is.
45:26We've got a long track record with him. And the fact that you can get him at this discount on ESPN is,
45:33uh, it literally makes me think we're living in a simulation.
45:36Um, and if it's a simulation run by Mickey mouse and these Disney Fs, I don't feel great about that, but man,
45:43that is just that that's pretty, that makes me want to move my leagues to ESPN, which is not something I ever thought that I would say.
45:51All right, we're going to get to our last one here and we're going to rip off some rest and we're going to get on our merry way.
46:00And that's going to be a guy who is another talk of the town guy here.
46:05Um, that's going to be AJ Brown, AJ Brown.
46:07He's got an expert consensus ranking of 14, but ESPN has him at 26.
46:12So they have him in the third round. And that's live ADP.
46:15This isn't pre Philadelphia rankings here. Patriots. They gave him the keys.
46:19They said, you're our guy. He's happy to be there.
46:22Uh, the knee concerns are going to be for 2027 and 2028 this year.
46:26I think he could legitimately be a top three, top five wide receiver, and you can get him in the third round.
46:33You're not going to find much better values than that.
46:36All right, let's get out of here with our power hour.
46:39And I'm not going to have, uh, I can have any, anything on the screen here for you guys.
46:45You're just going to get my big, beautiful face.
46:48Ricky Pearsall expert consensus ranking of 102 ESPN has him at 114.
46:51So you get him a full round later. George Pickens expert consensus ranking of 16 ESPN has him at 27.
46:57So you can get him 11 spots later. Tetra McMillan expert consensus ranking of 28 ESPN ADP of 37.
47:03You can get him nine spots later. Devonta Smith, ECR of 24 ESPN ADP of 32.
47:08You can get him eight spots later. And lastly, Brian Thomas, Jr.
47:12ECR of 83 ESPN ADP of 91. You can get him eight spots later.
47:16And I, I mentioned all four of those guys because I think they're guys you can build your draft strategy around because
47:23I think they're going to be highly quality additive players.
47:26And I think it allows you to maybe add another risky piece before or after you draft them on this platform.
47:32So that'll do it for today, folks. We'll be back with a part two quarterbacks and, uh, tight ends.
47:38Those are going to be insane. I assure you appreciate your support as always.
47:42Cheers. When the going gets tough, get after it with NOS Energy.
47:46Keep your foot flat to the floor and never let off.
47:49Thunder from top gear to no fear. Never back down.
47:52Never slow down. Your body is machined with 800 horses coursing through its veins.
47:56So go hard, go fast, go on, grab a can of NOS Energy and get after it.
48:02Hey, it's Ryan Reynolds here from Mint Mobile. Now I was looking for fun ways to tell you that Mint's offer of
48:08unlimited premium wireless for $15 a month is back.
48:11So I thought it would be fun if we made $15 bills, but it turns out that's very illegal.
48:17Uh, so there goes my big idea for the commercial.
48:20Give it a try at mintmobile.com slash switch. Upfront payment of $45 for three months, $90 for six months, or $180 for 12 month plan required.
48:28$15 per month equivalent. Taxes and fees extra. Initial plan term only.
48:31Greater than 50 gigabytes may slow when network is busy.
48:34See terms.
