The 3 Worst Offenses in Fantasy
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.
47 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jul 10, 2026
Published
Fri, July 10, 2026
22
Player insights
11
Players mentioned
Topics
Gunnar HelmDe'Von AchaneChris BellGreg DulcichJeremiyah LoveMalik WashingtonMalik WillisJacoby BrissettMarvin Harrison Jr.Michael WilsonTrey McBride
Player analysis
Player insights
Chris Bell
PositiveRole0:13
Bell has a 17% red zone target share and is expected to be used in the red zone if healthy, giving him theoretical ceiling upside in managed leagues with IR spots.
Insight pagePositiveProjection0:13
Bell is projected at 7 fantasy points per game, reflecting the split nature of the Dolphins' passing game across multiple receivers.
Insight pageDe'Von Achane
PositiveValue0:02
Achane is cheaper than in past years, sitting in the second round of drafts and sometimes falling deep into the second round, making him an attractive value bet on his elite talent despite the Dolphins' offensive struggles.
Insight pagePositiveRole0:02
Achane is likely to lead the Dolphins in targets due to the team's lack of other passing-catching talent, which could be his primary path to production despite the poor offense.
Insight pagePositiveProjection0:06
Achane is projected at 86.2 targets for the season, reflecting expectations that he will be the primary receiving option despite the Dolphins' poor passing game.
Insight pageGreg Dulcich
PositiveValue0:10
Dulcich is extremely cheap late in drafts and could be valuable if he becomes one of the leading pass catchers with even a 15% target share, given the scarcity of other pass-catching options.
Insight pagePositiveProjection0:11
Dulcich is projected at 80 targets and 3 touchdowns with a 20% red zone target share, though injury concerns from his Denver days remain a risk factor.
Insight pageGunnar Helm
PositiveValue0:44
Gunnar Helm has a really cheap price and fills a nice role in best ball three tight end builds where you're trying to build in potential and floor as the Titans' starting receiving tight end.
Insight pagePositiveRole0:44
Gunnar Helm will be the Titans' starting tight end and main pass catching tight end in the offense.
Insight pageNegativeRole0:44
As the third option on a bad offense, Gunnar Helm does not sound that great for managed leagues, where there's almost no reason to draft him.
Insight pageNegativeProjection0:45
Gunnar Helm is projected for 60 targets, 48 catches, 394 yards, and 3 touchdowns, which puts him at approximately 6 points per game—not consistent enough for tight end consideration.
Insight pageNegativeProjection0:45
In an offense not expected to have many passing touchdowns, Gunnar Helm is not somebody to feel super good about given the lack of touchdown upside.
Insight pageJacoby Brissett
PositiveDepth Chart0:17
Brissett is expected to be the Cardinals' starter, though there is still some uncertainty around his status due to an ongoing dispute, with recent photos showing him training with the team.
Insight pageJeremiyah Love
NegativeValue0:20
Love is going at 25.8 ADP on the 2-3 turn and likely to rise into the late second round as hype builds, but his price is too high given concerns about a potential backfield split with James Conner and the Cardinals' poor offensive outlook.
Insight pageNegativeRole0:21
Love is likely to see a backfield split with James Conner and will be vultured in the red zone, limiting his ceiling despite solid talent and potential garbage-time receiving volume.
Insight pageMalik Washington
PositiveValue0:10
Washington is extremely cheap, going around pick 183 on Underdog, making him a last-pick redraft type player with potential upside if he secures a role in the offense.
Insight pagePositiveRole0:12
In best ball formats without waiver wire access, Washington is more interesting because he's expected to have a consistent role in the game plan throughout the season.
Insight pageMalik Willis
NegativeProjection0:04
Willis's ceiling is limited to top-12 at best, not top-5, because rushing alone is a floor for QBs, not a ceiling—he would need either a historic rushing season or developed passing game to reach elite fantasy status.
Insight pagePositiveProjection0:07
Willis is projected at 16.3 fantasy points per game in four-point passing touchdown leagues, accounting for spike weeks in the low 20s from rushing upside but also stinker games where the offense struggles.
Insight pageMarvin Harrison Jr.
NegativeBust0:18
Harrison Jr. has disappointed compared to expectations despite being a good wide receiver, and his production is at risk due to potential quarterback changes and the Cardinals' poor offensive outlook.
Insight pageMichael Wilson
PositiveRole0:18
Wilson has shown he is a good wide receiver in the NFL after demonstrating his abilities last season, representing a solid weapon in the Cardinals' offense.
Insight pageTrey McBride
PositiveRole0:18
McBride is described as one of if not the best tight end in football, representing one of the Cardinals' most talented weapons despite the offense's overall struggles.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
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0:52It is First Class Fantasy. I'm your host, Pete Nova, joined by Wyatt Bertalone.
0:57And today, we are going to talk about the three worst offenses in fantasy football for 2026.
1:03Thank you folks for joining us today here on Player Profiler.
1:06We are on the main channel. That is right.
1:09Me and Wyatt have done a lot of Dynasty content this offseason.
1:13Now we are shifting our focus a little bit here to the redraft side of things to project the NFL season for
1:20this year for the now, not rookie picks next year.
1:24Nothing like that. We are talking this season, 2026, ahead of camp.
1:28We are talking about three offenses, Wyatt, that we think are probably going to be the worst offenses for fantasy football.
1:35I am going to tell the viewers which offenses we are going to talk about today.
1:40Yeah, so on the docket, we have got the Titans, the Dolphins, and the Cardinals.
1:45And these are three teams that, you know, low projected win totals.
1:49Teams we are really worried about. There could be a lot of problems here.
1:53That does not necessarily mean that there is no hope for all the players on some of these offenses.
2:00But I am sure we will get into that.
2:03Yeah, and which offense do you want to start with first?
2:06I want to start with the Dolphins because I actually think this is the team that has two of the better assets possibly for fantasy football.
2:15I mean, one is really obvious in that Devon Chan.
2:18I mean, he is fantastic. He has been fantastic.
2:21We know that. The concern now is just this team could be absolutely dreadful.
2:26And he now is a quarterback who probably is not going to pass to him as much as his previous quarterback did.
2:33The hope for a Chan is that he's just so darn good that he can rip off big plays despite the offense, despite the team.
2:41And or still catch enough passes because this team is kind of devoid of passing catching talent.
2:47Like, would it surprise anybody if Devon Chan leads this team in targets?
2:51I don't think it would be surprising at all.
2:54That's his path, basically. And, you know, he's cheaper than he has been in the past because of this.
3:00You know, he's in the second round of drafts right now.
3:04Sometimes you can see him fall deep into the second round.
3:08I don't know about you, Pete. It's hard for me to avoid Chan once he starts falling deep into the second round
3:15because of who he is as a player. Yeah.
3:18It's just, you know, at a certain point, you just bet on the talent.
3:23And then there's Malik Willis, who is going to be a really good Russian QB.
3:27We know that about him. About him. We have very small samples of him in recent years.
3:33He's been very good in those small samples. But he's going to a way different situation.
3:38You know, playing on the Packers before, he's playing in a great offense, great weapons, great coaching.
3:44We don't know he has any of that with Miami.
3:47So it's really hard to move those small sample sizes over to Miami.
3:52But he may run enough that it doesn't matter.
3:55You know, we know this about Russian QBs. He could be a bad passer and get there for fantasy just because he runs enough.
4:02But I will say something that people get confused about Russian QBs is they think that that is what determines their ceiling.
4:10And what really rushing for a QB is the floor for a QB.
4:14It's the QBs who have the passing and the rushing built together that are the high-end fantasy QBs.
4:20When a QB really only has rushing, they either have to have a historic rushing season to actually give you top five
4:27potential, or they have to develop their passing game so they can keep the offense on the field consistently to help them score fantasy points.
4:35We only really have, like, Justin Fields giving us a really high-end fantasy QB season where he had a historic rushing season.
4:43He ran 1,200 yards. You know, unless you think Malik Willis is doing that, you have to understand that his ceiling, he
4:50could be top 12, but he's not going to be top five.
4:54Yeah, and let's just take a step back and just talk about the offense here really quick.
5:00You know, it's Bobby Slowick who comes over. You know, he was actually on this team last year, but he was not the offensive coordinator, right?
5:08And then prior to that, he was with the Houston Texans, right, for two years.
5:13Bobby Slowick is interesting because he kind of gets that, like, Shanahan bump because he came from the 49ers, but he never called plays for the 49ers.
5:22Then he obviously went over to the Houston Texans.
5:25And, you know, they saw success his first year, and then obviously in the next year it was not so successful, right?
5:32And so Slowick is interesting because when you just look at, you know, what he's done, he honestly has had more of a receiver-centric offense.
5:40And that's where this really gets tough because when you just look at the target share, you know, his target shares for
5:48the skilled players typically sit somewhere around, like, I think around 60.
5:52I think I have it here. He had a 59% pass rate during his time with the Texans, and he's sitting at,
5:59like, somewhere around, like, a 65-ish, 66-ish, I think, with target share to wide receivers.
6:04And it's tough because when we look at these wide receivers, it's like, does Bobby Slowick change things up a little bit
6:11because he doesn't really have the guys to kind of have that offense where they're throwing 59% of the time wide?
6:18I mean, I don't know. When I looked at the offense and I projected it, I brought it down to 57% pass
6:25rate because we expect them to be playing from behind.
6:29And so that means a 43% rush rate. But I had this offense scoring 32 touchdowns this year.
6:35So it is – it's brutal. I mean, maybe there's some hope.
6:39Maybe Stephon Diggs becomes his free agent signing. Maybe Debo Samuel, one of these guys, comes in and maybe gives us a little bit of a facelift.
6:47But you talked about Stephon H.A., right? And we talked about him, you know, possibly leading the team in targets, and that's exactly what I have.
6:56I have him at 86.2 targets, and I know people bring up Malik Willis doesn't check the ball down as much.
7:03That's what he seems historically. But something's got to give here, Wyatt.
7:07I mean, wide receivers are terrible. I mean, he's throwing to Malik Washington, Jalen Tolbert, Chris Bell, Chuchu Atwell, Caleb Douglas, Kevin Coleman Jr.
7:15I mean, that's it. That is the group here.
7:18And that's not that crazy. I mean, he had a 19% target share last year.
7:23I don't think he's going to have – I didn't think he was going to have the same target share that he
7:30had last year because I think it was going to be a slight downtick because of just – because of Malik Willis' style.
7:38But at the same time, Wyatt, like, it's hard to not assume he's going to catch passes in this offense just because
7:45of the scarcity between the rest of the still position players on the team.
7:49So I'm kind of with you with A-Chain. He sits at a 15.8 ADP.
7:54We talk about Malik Willis, Wyatt. I have him projected at 16.3 fantasy points per game.
7:59I think that's pretty fair. I think that accounts for he'll have some spike weeks probably in the 20s, low 20s, because of maybe the rushing upside.
8:08And then he's probably going to have some stinkers where this offense is just going to suck.
8:14I mean, you can't – with the way this offense is set up, Wyatt, it's just – there's no way you can
8:21run hot with your legs and make all these plays if you're Malik Willis with zero help around him.
8:27So I think 16.5 is fair because I think we expect there will be some games where he probably doesn't have a single touchdown.
8:35And then what is the output? It will be interesting to see what Bobby Sloak does with this offense.
8:42He talked about what he did with Houston. And a lot of what he did in Houston was built around play action
8:49and extra protection to rip deep shots and these deep in-cuts with Nico Collins and Tank Dell.
8:54I think that actually does make a good amount of sense for Malik Willis because a lot of play action has the
9:02quarterback on the move a little bit, and that's great for Malik Willis.
9:06We know he's good on the move, and he can always just tuck the ball and run with it when he's in those scenarios.
9:14And he also has a beautiful deep ball. He has a fantastic arm.
9:18Like, coming out of college, it was accuracy-wise was pretty rough, but you can tell he's really worked on that during his
9:25time in the NFL, and you can really hit some of those shots down the field.
9:31So in theory, it makes some sense. But as you brought up with, like, the pass catchers, and I kind of brought
9:38up before, like, yeah, but who's he doing it with?
9:41You know, like, and it's tough to imagine this team.
9:45And it's like their best wide receiver currently is probably Malik Washington, and he is a very close-to-the-line scrimmage player, which doesn't
9:52fit with what Bobby Slovic did in Houston. So it'll be interesting to see how he works in.
9:58You know, I think, you know, all these pass catchers are pretty terrible.
10:02And when that's the case, and you could think, like, well, it wouldn't surprise me if any of them ascend amongst the
10:09others or if it's kind of just spread out.
10:12And if that's the case, it does make me interested in Greg Dulcich a little bit because they're all extremely cheap.
10:19All the pass catchers are extremely cheap. Like, if you're looking at, like, underdog right now, I think Malik Washington is the
10:26first one drafted, and I believe he goes in the 170s, 180, right around there.
10:31183 for Malik Washington. There you go. So, I mean, these are last pick of your redraft team type players, very late in basketball type players.
10:40If you can find a reasonable tight end out of Greg Dulcich that late in the draft, which is possible just because
10:47he could be one of the leading pass catchers, even if that's a 15% target share, like, when it's that late in the draft, that can be valuable.
10:56Yeah, and then Dulcich is an interesting case. I have him at a 20% red zone target share, so I have him projected somewhere on, like, three touchdowns.
11:06I have him projected at 80 targets, which doesn't feel right because I don't project injuries, but Dulcich has had issues staying healthy too.
11:14That was his bugaboo in Denver. I mean, he couldn't stay healthy.
11:18And then there's just the inconsistency with his hands.
11:21Malik Willis, do you have a points per game projection for him just yet, or are you still working your numbers on him?
11:28Like I said, I have him at 16.8. Yeah, I got you.
11:32Yeah, in four-point passing touchdown leagues, I have him at 16.3.
11:36So we are very close on that. But I think we're both showing, you know, that, yeah, he's going to run, but
11:43this offense is terrible, and I don't have full confidence in how good of a passer he was in Green Bay automatically coming over to Miami.
11:52Like, I don't – I mean, like, I still am as, like, an okay, you know, passer, but also, like, this is
11:59probably going to be a very low-volume passing offense and very low play volume.
12:03You know, if I was still looking at a slow offense in Houston, I don't think that's necessarily going to speed up with Miami.
12:11And I imagine they want to run the football because that's where their strength is.
12:16So how many plays per game are they really going to have?
12:20I mean, that's part of my projection too on these teams, that I have them for pretty low plays per game as part of my projection.
12:29Yeah, I had him at – plays per game I had at, like, 58.3, which is, like, right there at the bottom of the league.
12:37Right? It's, like, it's right there at the bottom.
12:40But all right, so if you were going to take a chance on one of these wide receivers, who would it be for you if you had to?
12:49Yeah, it depends on the format a little bit.
12:52In best ball where you have no free agency wire or waiver wire to be a backup, I'm more interested in Malik
13:00Washington because I think he's going to have a role.
13:03You know, if we're talking about Jeff's wide receivers, I believe he will, throughout the season, be a part of the game plan.
13:10You know, if we're talking about managed leagues, I'm much more interested in Chris Bell, especially if there's an IR spot.
13:17You know, in managed, Malik Washington scoring eight PPR points per game does nothing for me.
13:23You know, in best ball, like, sometimes you need those weeks just because, you know, you have injuries on the team.
13:30There's nothing you can do about it because you don't have the waiver wire.
13:34In managed, you have a waiver wire. Like, you can find eight points per game on the wire, you know, every week.
13:41So I'll take the player who has the better theoretical ceiling and see what happens.
13:46And again, especially if I have an IR spot.
13:49Yeah, I mean, that's fair. I have Chris Bell at a 17% red zone target share.
13:55If he's healthy, I think he's going to be a guy that they have to use in the red zone.
14:01So I think that's fair. I have been projected at Bell at seven points.
14:06But this is just how projections go. I mean, you know, it's unfortunate, but it's just, you know, if I'm splitting the
14:13pie up, I got to come together to some sort of consensus.
14:17But let's go ahead and move over to our next team here really quick.
14:22But before we do so, we're going to take a quick break and we'll be right back.
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16:32But, Wyatt, let's go ahead and move over to our next offense.
16:36And why don't we get to probably the more, I guess, exciting offense.
16:41It's the Arizona Cardinals. I say exciting, Wyatt, because this is an offense that probably has the most appealing players name value-wise
16:48of all these offenses that we're going to talk about today.
16:51To set the stage with Arizona, right? I mean, they have, you know, Mike LaFleur is now in town.
16:58Mike LaFleur comes over, obviously, from the Shanahan tree.
17:01You know, he was with all those coaches in Washington when they were all there under Mike Shanahan, right?
17:07And he was a part of that. And then he branched off.
17:11And they all started kind of going their own ways.
17:14He comes over now. And now he's the head coach.
17:17It was kind of a surprise. He came out of nowhere.
17:21Now he's coaching and calling the place here for Arizona.
17:24And they obviously bring in Jeremiah Love. And Jacoby Brissett, we think, is going to be the starter.
17:30But it's still kind of up in the air because he's still kind of in that dispute.
17:36But there was a photo that just went out that showed him training with the guys.
17:41I'm sure they're going to figure it out. But let's set the stage about this offense, Wyatt.
17:47Do you have projections on, you know, total points for the offense?
17:51Where does the offense land in total touchdowns? You know, what are your projections in general before we get into the players?
17:58Yeah, I have them scoring just under 40 touchdowns for the season.
18:02Okay. This is actually a pretty simple conversation for me because obviously the Cardinals have some really talented weapons.
18:08You know, Trey McBride, one of if not the best tight end in football.
18:13Jeremy Love is a really exciting prospect. Marvin Harrison Jr.
18:16has disappointed compared to expectations, but he's a good wide receiver.
18:20Michael Wilson just showed everybody that he's a good wide receiver in the NFL.
18:24Jacoby Brissett, like you said, I think that will get figured out.
18:28The problem is, is that all these weapons are being drafted aggressively because of what they did last year, which was a
18:36magical circumstance in which they threw caution to the wind as their defense was awful.
18:41They were immediately in garbage time and they let Jacoby Brissett go out there and throw 50 times a game.
18:47That is highly unlikely to happen. Then there's a decent chance that Carson Beck is starting games at the end of the
18:54season and possibly even half the season, depending on how bad things go.
18:59And they just want to see what they have.
19:02How about you? I think Carson Beck is pretty bad.
19:05I think a lot of people think that Carson Beck is pretty bad.
19:09The Cardinals obviously didn't quite think he was terrible to take him in the third round, but that really worries me for
19:17all the weapons, especially considering that he is more likely to start during fantasy playoffs than at any other time.
19:23And he could just crater that offense when it matters the most for all of us.
19:28So when you're drafting these players, you're playing a pretty penny to get them on your team.
19:34And there's a chance that it all goes away pretty early, halfway through the season even.
19:39So that makes me really concerned about the offense, about the players.
19:43Yeah, I get that. I have them projected at, I want to say, 30.
19:48I mean, it's not high. I have them at 34.6 touchdowns this year.
19:52Like you said, I think the interchanging of the quarterbacks is going to be kind of messy.
19:58I do think they're going to give Carson Beck a look at some point.
20:02And the truth is, their schedule is terrible. I mean, they have a gauntlet of a schedule, Wyatt, where it's hard to
20:10find more than three games that you can say, hey, they can win this game.
20:15It's like the Jets are like the only game off the top of my head that I can think of that I
20:22sit there and say, like, hey, that's a winnable game for them.
20:26It's brutal. On one hand, you hope that they're playing from behind and they're airing it out.
20:31But I also just don't know what it means for a guy like Jeremiah Love, who I love the talent Jeremiah Love.
20:39Right now he goes at 25.8. So he's right there on the 2-3 turn.
20:43A lot of times he's sneaking into the late, late second round.
20:47And I expect people, as they get more excited just about fantasy football and guys start hearing names like we've seen with
20:55rookies over the past couple of years. I mean, Ashen Jenty last year was going at the 1-2 turn on a terrible Raiders team.
21:02We saw this offense last year for, you know, the Cardinals still put up points.
21:07I mean, they weren't good, but they were playing from behind a lot.
21:12So I think Jeremiah Love's price goes into that second round.
21:15He's right on the cusp of it at 25 on the ADP.
21:19I think he definitely settles into the second round, probably like that late last three picks in the second round.
21:26Because running backs are just getting pushed up a ton this year.
21:30And I just can't stomach taking him. I love the talent.
21:33I just, I'm not, I'm just not there yet.
21:36I do think that there's going to be some sort of split.
21:40You don't draft a running back that high. I get it to give him a split.
21:46But, I mean, there's already, he's already talking about, you know, he finally is going to get, you know, it's a team game.
21:53And, you know, from college days to now, like, this guy's in the room.
21:58And it just worries me. I don't think James Conner's just going to go away either.
22:03I look at it as a situation where Love is still going to be very good to solid this year.
22:10But I do think he'll get vultured. And I do think you're really, really going to hope that he catches passes in
22:17garbage time to really bring, kind of like the Von A-chain, actually, last year in some ways.
22:23Where there were just times where he did nothing and then he would just have, like, in garbage time, two minutes until he catches, like, five passes.
22:32Like, that's how I see Love kind of getting there, raising that floor.
22:36But the ceiling, I just don't see it there where I do see other players in his range that I'd want to take a chance on.
22:44That I do think have top five potential. Like, that's kind of my concern there.
22:49Do you share similar concerns about Love and his price point?
22:53Or are you kind of just like, hey, you know, talent, I don't really care.
22:58I'm just in love with the talent. And I'm willing to take the chance.
23:03With the main skill players for Arizona, all of them, I want to have some exposure to them, like in best ball
23:10run drafting a lot of teams, because they are so talented.
23:13You know, like, I don't want to have zero of players like that.
23:18But, yeah, I'm worried about what the ceiling is.
23:21Like, how often will this team be in the red zone?
23:24And when they're in the red zone, is it Jeremiah Love or Tyler Algier?
23:29I don't know yet. I think it's going to be Love.
23:33I was talking about James Conner, but yeah. Yeah, I mean, this is a new coaching staff, so we don't know that
23:40they're going to have Tyler Algier do the same thing to Love that he did to B.
23:45John Robinson. But it's a possibility, because we've seen him do it before, because he's good at that stuff, you know?
23:52So, yeah, there are real ceiling concerns for everybody in the offense.
23:56And that's why, you know, the prices are aggressive.
23:59Yeah. Prices are aggressive. Trey McBride, I don't need to get into him too much, at least from my point of view.
24:07I just, I have a philosophy. McBride's going at like 20.
24:10I just have a philosophy, Wyatt, that I just don't take tight ends high.
24:15I really just don't. I'm not going to have much Colson Lovell in this year.
24:20I just can't really stomach taking McBride. And like, he'll probably settle in at that 2-3 turn.
24:25Maybe in some leagues, probably that early third. But I'm just not really, I'm not going to spend up on him.
24:32I love him. He's a great player. I have him projected somewhere around 15 points.
24:37So, I understand. But there's just so much value at tight end this year that I just don't see myself taking much of him.
24:45Especially with how many running backs get drafted high too.
24:48I don't want to start behind because I'm drafting a tight end high.
24:53When we've seen so many come out of nowhere and have solid seasons.
24:57Yeah, I don't personally have an issue with drafting tight ends really highly.
25:01I want to have some exposure to McBride. I want to have some exposure to Bowers.
25:07I want some exposure to Loveland. But this is a year where I feel really comfortable with a lot of different tight ends at different price points.
25:15So, I'm not going to have that much of Bowers or McBride.
25:19I'm going to have a little bit of exposure.
25:22But I'm not going to overweight on either of them.
25:26Yeah. Let's talk a little bit about the wide receivers here.
25:29Marvin Harrison Jr., obviously the fall from grace has been pretty steep.
25:33Marv sitting here. And let's see. Marvin Harrison Jr.
25:36I was trying to flip to add it onto the stage, Wyatt.
25:40But I don't remember which one of the presets.
25:43So, you may have to try that. There you go.
25:47Marvin Harrison Jr., ADP 72. I mean, that's a really, really affordable price for Marvin Harrison Jr.
25:52Michael Wilson, if you look at his price point, I believe he's even farther back.
25:57Michael Wilson is at 90.2. I'm intrigued, I guess, somewhat.
26:00But I still – I'm still probably not going to have too, too much.
26:05If you're telling me Michael Wilson is my wide receiver four, okay.
26:09I can take that. I can live with that.
26:12Same with Marv. Even if Marvin's your wide receiver three, you can probably live with that, too, Wyatt.
26:18Especially if you have two really good wide receivers in front of him.
26:22So, the price point's interesting here. What are your thoughts on the wide receivers?
26:27Yeah, I'm pretty much just aligned with you. So, it's hard to love the prices for either of them because of how crowded the offense is.
26:35And like we were talking about, that we don't think that this offense is going to be the same magical Christmas land
26:43that it was last year for fancy points. But, you know, if Marvin Harrison Jr.
26:48is my wide receiver three, that feels okay. Same, like you said, Michael Wilson, wide receiver four, that feels okay.
26:54But I don't want these players to be ones that I'm relying on too much.
26:59Yeah, and honestly, like Marv goes right ahead of a guy like Parker Washington.
27:04And I know Parker Washington feels like the hot name.
27:07So, I hate to be the guy that's like pounding him and talking about him because it feels like he's just everyone's breakout.
27:15But forgetting about the noise and the steam, you know, Parker Washington goes one spot behind Marv.
27:20And I'd rather take a chance on Parker. I think it'll be a much better offense.
27:25I think the volume will be there. And so, that's just a kind of – when you're looking at the area, Carnell
27:33Tate, we talked about Carnell Tate already, Wyatt. Carnell Tate goes 67.8.
27:37Marvin Harrison Jr. goes 72.6. We talked about both guys now.
27:40I mean, who do you prefer if you're on the clock?
27:44Who would you take today if it was up to you?
27:48I'm taking Carnell Tate because there's really no target – well, there is a little bit of target competition.
27:54But it's a very different type of target competition between the two.
27:58And also, you know, I think that Cam Ward is the best quarterback between the teams.
28:03You know, he rarely had a chance to be able to show that last year.
28:08But I think we could see a little bit different in 2026.
28:12Yeah. I'm actually with you. I would take Carnell Tate as well.
28:16Let's go ahead and move over to our final team here, Wyatt.
28:20And it is going to be – so we talked about the Cardinals already.
28:25We talked about the Miami Dolphins. Dolphins. It is interesting because – and it's not like it's a big surprise here who
28:32we're talking about because we already kind of labeled it before the show started.
28:36But I do find it funny – wait, this was our last team.
28:41This was our last team. My head's all over the place.
28:44I don't know why I just said that. Why did I just say we had another team?
28:50We haven't talked about the Titans yet. We didn't talk about the Titans yet.
28:55But, dude, oh my gosh. I'm sweating over here right now.
28:58So this is a little out of character. But I think we – you know what's funny?
29:04For the viewers, we talked so much about the Titans before we came on that I just assumed that we talked about them already.
29:12That's why when I say we talked about Carnell Tate and we talked about more, we've already talked about both these guys.
29:19All right. Well, let's go ahead and move over to the Titans as the final team here.
29:25And Titans, when you look at just their overall projection for the year, I have them projected at 36.1 touchdowns this year.
29:32I have them at a pass rate of a 55.6.
29:35That makes a run rate of 44.4. Where are you at with the Titans touchdowns-wise?
29:40What are your expectations overall before we get into the offense?
29:44Yeah, I have them scoring 38.5 touchdowns for the season, passing a 56% rate.
29:48Another team that low plays per game. We'll see if they're able to pick up the pace or not.
29:55Another team I expect to try to run more if they can, but a team that might not be able to because
30:02they could easily be behind in games. It's not the best environment.
30:06You know, there's not a lot of talent on the team as a whole, which is rough.
30:11The coaching is obviously better now than it was last year.
30:15This is one thing that we were talking about before the show is that, like, Brian Dayball, you know, I think he's a good offensive coach.
30:24But I think he's a floor raiser for an offense.
30:27But I don't think, like, he brings that high of a ceiling to an offense, you know?
30:33You think he's the Mike McCarthy, just younger. Atlanta, a little steep.
30:36He did lose a little bit of weight. Yeah, a little bit.
30:40Yeah, where, like, yeah, when he has a really good quarterback, his offenses look really good.
30:46Yeah. And when he doesn't, his offenses can look good, you know, because he can put together a solid offense.
30:52But, you know, like, what he did with Daniel Jones was impressive.
30:56But, like, was that offense top of the line?
30:59No, like, not at all. You know, they just, he maximized the talent he had, but he didn't turn into something it wasn't, you know?
31:07Right. So, it definitely helps the offense. But I don't think, like, we're going to see, like, this huge turnaround from Cam Ward this year.
31:16Like, I expect improvement, but I don't think you should expect Cam Ward to all of a sudden be a top QB or anything like that.
31:24Yeah, and I think that's fair. If I was looking at these offenses, the three of them, and I had to say,
31:32hey, I think, you know, when you just look at, like, kind of look at upside, I, crazy enough, I do think
31:39that they have maybe the highest upside or maybe the more intriguing.
31:43I say upside because obviously the Cardinals have the sexiest players, right?
31:47They have the biggest names. So, it's definitely not them.
31:50But when we talk about the environment and what a team is building, I feel like I have a little bit more
31:57faith in the Titans and what they've put together to take a step forward than I do the other two teams.
32:04I mean, Arizona's schedule is just so bad. And the vibes are just so bad around that team being anything this year.
32:11I can see a path for the Titans, just overall ending up being solid.
32:16I mean, let's just talk a little bit about the wide receivers here first, and then we'll get into Cam Ward and
32:23we can talk about the run game. The big names, obviously, are Carnell Tate and Wanda Robinson.
32:29Those are the two players that probably are the most intriguing just out of the wide receivers.
32:35You still have Shima Redike. You have Alec Ayumaner.
32:38You still have Calvin Ridley, who could be pesky, but I don't expect him to be anything fantasy worthy unless there's a lot of injuries in the offense.
32:47But how do you see the target share in this offense shaking out for these wide receivers?
32:52For the wide receivers, I think this is the Colonel Tate and Wanda Robinson show.
32:57I think that Tate will lead the team in targets.
33:01When you take a wide receiver that high, you've got to have some serious plans for him, and it'll work out or it won't.
33:09I think that Colonel Tate represents a nice ceiling because he's a rookie play.
33:13He could just be fantastic. He was a very good prospect coming into the NFL.
33:18It's just kind of a matter of how that offensive environment ends up shaking out.
33:23And then Wanda Robinson is a decent PPR play, but I think he truly is a floor play as opposed to a ceiling play.
33:31Because how many touchdowns will he score on this offense?
33:34You know, he showed some improved efficiency last year with the Giants, but I don't know how much of that ports over
33:42to playing with Cam Ward in this offense. So, like, there's some interest in either of them, depending on cost.
33:48Their costs right now are fine, but neither one really gets me that excited about drafting them.
33:54Yeah. And do you look at Cam Ward? I mean, sorry, do you look at Colonel Tate and think of him having
34:01a similar season to Ted Aroo, McMillan? I mean, Ted Aroo, McMillan had 122 targets last year, 70 catches, 1,014 yards, seven receiving touchdowns.
34:09He averaged 12.4 points per game. Is that pretty close to what you have Tate projected for this year?
34:15I have him for a little bit less than that.
34:18It shouldn't be a surprise if he has a Ted Aroo, McMillan type of season.
34:23I think that's actually a pretty good comparison because of the QB, the offense, all those things, and the type of, you
34:31know, players he's up against in his offense to compete for targets.
34:35But Ted Aroo, McMillan, I thought was a significantly better prospect than Cardinal Tate personally.
34:40But I think that Cam Ward could be a better QB than Bryce Young pretty easily.
34:45So it kind of balances out a little bit.
34:48Yeah, I think that's kind of fair. And last year, Ted Aroo, McMillan, I personally think he had less target competition than
34:55what, you know, than what Cardinal Tate's going to have this year.
34:59Ted Aroo, McMillan, I mean, projecting I had him between 25% and 30% target share, and that's pretty much where he was last year.
35:07Cardinal Tate, I had him at a 20% target share.
35:10That could change a little bit. But that's where I have him currently today.
35:15I think you had shared you're pretty close to that as well, a little bit higher than I am.
35:21But Wanda Robinson, I mean, look, I know you're not as high on him as I am in terms of I had
35:28Wanda to start at a 25% target share. I know it sounds high, but just from what we've seen the last two years, it's just hard to imagine.
35:38I haven't met 137 targets this year, 93 catches, 881, and 3.6 touchdowns.
35:42He's sitting at about, you know, he's sitting at 11.9 points per game, which, you know, for his ADP is pretty decent at a 106 ADP, 11.9.
35:51I have him currently, I don't know if this is going to stay the same, so I don't want people to freak
35:58out here, but I have him 0.1 points ahead of Cardinal Tate, actually.
36:02So if you're asking me who I'd rather take a chance on, I might honestly rather Wanda.
36:08And that might, your stomach might be turning because I think you don't like it.
36:13I was going to say, based on this, you are a Wanda Robinson bull.
36:18You should have on every team you draft. I guess so.
36:21So I like the Wanda Robinson. Maybe we should be talking about the Titans because apparently you think they're going to be really good.
36:29Oh, God, please stop. Let's go ahead and just move over to just Cam Ward a little bit.
36:35We'll get to the running backs and then we'll get out of here.
36:39Cam Ward, what are your projections for him? Touchdowns, is he going to run more this year in your opinion?
36:46Where do you kind of see him ending up?
36:49Yeah, I've got him thrown for just under 25 touchdowns starting the whole season, assuming health.
36:54Like I was saying, I think, you know, Brian Dayball raises the floor of the offense.
36:59I think he will have improvement from Ward and like 25 passing touchdowns isn't anything spectacular.
37:05It's fine. You know, it's a good NFL season, especially for him.
37:09I do think he's going to run more. This is something we've seen from Brian Dayball with all his QBs.
37:15Now he's had QBs who run. Cam Ward has shown athleticism and has shown a willingness to run around the goal line.
37:23I think he will do more of that this year and how much he does between the 20s was yet to be seen.
37:30But I think he will do a little bit more than that.
37:34I think that's just kind of somewhat of a staple of the Brian Dayball offenses, utilizing his QBs athleticism, which Cam Ward does have, you know.
37:43So I do think we're going to see him running some.
37:46Okay. Yeah, I have him at two and a half touchdowns rushing.
37:50I have him attempts wise at 57.2 attempts this year, which would be more than last year.
37:56In college, I'm pretty sure he had a season where he ran over 100 times.
38:01I just think from him, he kind of gives me CJ Stroud vibes where he is somebody who likes to throw the ball deep.
38:09His eyes are typically downfield. He is not somebody who gets out of the pocket and is just looking to go.
38:16He is somebody who just seems to kind of want to extend the play with his arm and just, you know, get the ball downfield.
38:24So that's kind of where I have him. I agree with you.
38:28I think Dayball gets him running a little bit more.
38:31I have met a 17 and a half red zone rush here.
38:35So I think maybe Dayball gets creative with him.
38:38We saw him do it with Daniel Jones a ton.
38:41And so I think that's fair. Moving over to the running backs here.
38:46Somewhat interesting conversation to have. Tajay Spears has been somebody that people have wish casted to be a thing Wyatt for a really long time.
38:54But at the end of the day, Tony Pollard, the savvy vet, is still there.
38:59How do you see things shaking out? Is it finally time to transition from the old man?
39:05Or do you think he's going to kind of hang on to this role still?
39:09I think it's just going to be status quo for these two.
39:13And the way it's been. I don't see why Brian Dayball would change anything that's been going on.
39:19It's Tony Pollard doing the majority of the rushing work.
39:23And Tajay Spears getting a little bit more of the passing down work than Pollard.
39:28Because that's what Spears is especially good at. And Pollard's been a good rusher.
39:32Even last year as he's getting into his advanced age.
39:36And he's obviously not as dynamic as he used to be.
39:39He's still a good player. And we saw it down the stretch last year.
39:44So I have no reason to believe it would change.
39:47Yeah, I mean Pollard averaged 4.5 yards per carry on a pretty brutal offense last year.
39:52That was the most he averaged over the last three years.
39:56So I'm kind of with you. Pollard, he's interesting.
39:59I'm not excited to draft him, so to speak.
40:0276.8 still feels a little bit high, in my opinion, to take Pollard when you have some other guys going around him
40:09that I think have some intriguing upside. I'm very kind of high on Blake Corum this year, who I know is in a timeshare.
40:17But I have some interest there, especially if you're taking Tony Pollard as your RB3, maybe in some cases RB4, if you're
40:24really glutton for running backs that high in the top 80 picks.
40:28To me, it's like I'd rather take a chance on Blake Corum to be my RB3 over Pollard in that situation if you're just looking for upside.
40:37And you don't need him to start your lineup every week if things shake out for Corum, which I do anticipate him
40:44having a similar role and slightly expanded this year.
40:47Tajay Spears, though. Talk to me about him. Do you have him having a decent target share?
40:53Do you think he's involved in the pass game a decent amount?
40:57Is he a guy that you'd be interested in drafting?
41:00He's got 154 ADP, so he's pretty much free.
41:03And for those slappy best ball drafters, I'm sure that they just love the price of Tony Pollard.
41:09He's got to be the most underrated player in drafts right now in best ball.
41:14I actually like Tajay Spears in best ball more than I do in managed leagues.
41:19So predictable. Because I do think he has a weekly role as a pass game weapon.
41:24So when you're doing a 0 RB build and you want some more guaranteed points, I think he's good for that.
41:31But I think if anything happened to Tony Pollard, I don't think we see Tajay Spears get a big workload for an extended period of time.
41:40So I don't think he's necessarily a handcuff per se to Tony Pollard.
41:44I think we'd see some Nicholas Singleton if that happened.
41:47He'd obviously get a boost, but I don't think it would be as big of a boost as other running backs in his area specifically for that.
41:56But if you're looking for some actual production week to week, even without an injury for your best ball teams, when you're
42:04building a little floor into your running back room, I think he's good for that.
42:09And managed, because I don't think he's a full-on handcuff, I don't know what you're doing with him.
42:15I don't know how he fits into a team because you don't actually want to start that.
42:20If you're a 0 RB team, that's not enough week to week to actually slot into your lineup.
42:26Yeah, unfortunately, in a managed league, unless you're really just banking on Tajay Spears just really finally taking that leap, I mean,
42:33when are you going to ever really start him on a bad offense?
42:38I mean, we're talking about a guy that's in a time share on a bad offense that also we don't expect.
42:45I mean, I have him projected for 105 rushing attempts this year.
42:48I mean, that equates to, I mean, it's got to equate to somewhere around like, I don't know why, like six-ish a
42:56game, maybe a little bit more than six-ish a game.
42:59It's just, I don't know, you're really banking on the receiving and it's just going to be hard to start a guy like that.
43:07Singleton's interesting. I wouldn't draft him in redraft, but if you have like a scout team where you just like click and
43:14star players or just keep guys in mind kind of thing, Singleton's interesting.
43:19But the truth is, if Tony Pollard goes down, every analyst and their mother is going to say, go get Nicholas Singleton
43:26because he's going to be the guy that's going to probably be the early down back.
43:31Could be Michael Carter. Who knows? You know, we'll see how that shakes out.
43:36But I do want to mention one other player because this is a guy that has kind of been talked about a decent amount, Wyatt.
43:44But Gunnar Henderson has really been someone that people have kind of started to fall in love with a little bit this year.
43:52Gunnar Henderson is going to pick 185. Brian Dayball has had somewhat of a thing for tight ends, you know, in his past.
43:59What are your thoughts on Henderson? I have him at an 18% red zone target share.
44:04I am a fan of Gunnar Helm, who has a really, really cheap price.
44:09You're going to end this soon. But I think we'll be their starting tight end and we'll be their main pass catching tight end in the offense.
44:18And third option on a bad offense, you know, that does not sound that great.
44:23But in best ball where you can take him as late as you can, he actually fills a nice role, I think,
44:30in some three tight end builds where you're trying to build in a little bit of, you know, potential and a little bit of floor.
44:38Because I do think he is that starting receiving tight end for the Titans.
44:43In managed leagues, not a chance. There's like almost no reason to draft him.
44:48Yeah. If you're drafting Gunnar Helm, you're pretty much playing the waiver wire at tight end.
44:53So, I mean, unless you think he's going to start off hot and you're ready to start him week one, week two,
45:00because he's got a good couple matchups. I have him projected for 60 targets, 48 catches, 394, three touchdowns.
45:06I mean, that puts him at like six points per game.
45:10I mean, it's just not going to be consistent enough, I don't think.
45:14You know, tight ends why we look at guys usually, if they're not a heavy target earner, it's a guy that's like,
45:22okay, well, can you count on this guy to get a touchdown for you almost every other week at least?
45:28And in an offense that we don't expect to have a lot of touchdowns, especially, you know, passing touchdowns, you're at 25.
45:35I'm at 22 for Ward. Helm's probably not somebody that we're going to feel super good about.
45:41By the way, Gunnar Henderson plays for the Baltimore Orioles.
45:44Not exactly sure why that came out of my head there.
45:48But thank you guys so much for watching. We're at the 43-minute mark.
45:52Keep tuned in with us. We've got more content coming out the next couple of weeks.
45:58Thank you guys so much for watching, and we'll see you guys next time.
46:02From the Podfather to you, I deeply appreciate you tuning in.
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