DraftKings $1M Millionaire Maker Breakdown + C.D. Lamb & Saquon Starts

Matt Kelley is skeptical of AJ Dillon as a late-round flyer, noting he would likely need three separate injuries (Brooks, Hubbard, and Etienne) to become fantasy-relevant.

Alec Pierce has been activated from the PUP list and is expected to return to full practice, though Matt Kelley remains unenthusiastic about drafting him despite the likelihood of him playing Week 1.

Matt Kelley considers Brock Bowers a special player and prefers him over Trey McBride relative to their costs.

Matt Kelley expresses frustration with the current Bucky Irving projection, suggesting he would personally project him higher, but notes concerns about his usage near the goal line.

Matt Kelley notes that Carson Steele is making a decent argument to secure the running back three job for the Philadelphia Eagles.

Matt Kelley notes that Cedric Tillman was waived by the Browns but could be a strong waiver claim candidate for teams like the Dolphins or Raiders, highlighting his productive stretch in 2024.

Matt Kelley predicts that Charlie Kolar will end up scoring the most fantasy points among the Chargers' tight ends.

Matt Kelley suggests that in two months, fantasy managers will be asking why they let Chris Godwin and Deebo Samuel fall so late in drafts.

Matt Kelley argues that Christian McCaffrey is the best fantasy football player of the last decade, alongside Cooper Kupp, Michael Thomas, and Tyreek Hill, and considers his current ADP drop to be objectively crazy.

Matt Kelley is actively fading DJ Moore in best ball drafts, suggesting that Moore will likely disappoint drafters who expect him to be a consistent high-end producer.

Matt Kelley has moved Daniel Jones up in his rankings, citing positive health reports and the expectation that Jones will run enough to provide more fantasy value than Sam Darnold.

Matt Kelley believes the bench risk for Daniel Jones is low, despite not viewing him as a high-end quarterback, because the team performed well with him last year.

Matt Kelley expects Deebo Samuel to perform marginally better than last season because he is on a better team, despite facing increased target competition.

Matt Kelley is becoming bearish on Drake London due to the uncertainty surrounding the Falcons' quarterback situation, specifically citing Tua Tagovailoa's poor play and the lack of a clear starter.

Matt Kelley strongly advises against drafting Eli Stowers, labeling him 'unplayable' and citing one of the worst routes he has ever seen on film. Despite Stowers being a high draft pick, Kelley remains firm in his negative stance.

Matt Kelley expects Emari Demercado to serve as the third-down back for the Cardinals, while viewing him as a potential handcuff in the backfield.

Matt Kelley dismisses the idea that George Helani is better than Zach Charbonnet, labeling Helani a 'zero' and pointing to his limited production over two seasons.

Matt Kelley disagrees with the hype surrounding Isaiah Likely, pointing to his low points-per-game averages (4.4, 7.7, 5.9, 5.71) and doubting his ability to maintain touchdown production on the current Giants roster.

Matt Kelley expresses concern regarding Isaiah Pacheco's back injury and advises against drafting him.

Matt Kelley ranks Jadarian Price aggressively, viewing him as a high-upside pick for managed leagues as the season approaches.

Matt Kelley suggests James Conner's status for Week 1 is uncertain and potentially poor, noting that the Lions' interest in Kareem Hunt likely signals they are not pursuing a trade for Conner.

Matt Kelley avoids drafting James Cook because he is skeptical of his passing game usage and believes Cook's production last year was heavily inflated by unsustainable touchdown efficiency.

Matt Kelley views Jeremiah Love as a high-upside target at the 3/4 turn, citing positive mobility work and his health status as reasons to be bullish.

Matt Kelley views Jonnu Smith's signing with the Green Bay Packers as bearish for Luke Musgrave and bullish for Tucker Craft and Jayden Reed, noting that Smith is likely not good enough at this stage to force the team into base 12 personnel.

Matt Kelley believes the addition of Jonnu Smith does not change the outlook for the Green Bay Packers' offense, expressing concern that Smith could be just good enough to command targets that hinder other players.

While Josh Downs' calf injury is considered minor, Matt Kelley is concerned about his target competition with Keenan Allen, which may limit his upside.

Matt Kelley highlights that Saints beat writers are high on Juwan Johnson and notes his good chemistry with quarterback Tyler Shuck.

Matt Kelley questions the logic of using Kenneth Gainwell as a goal-line back given his size (200 lbs) is similar to Bucky Irving's (195 lbs).

Matt Kelley strongly prefers Brian Robinson Jr. (JCM) over Kenneth Gainwell, stating the gap between the two players is significant and questioning Gainwell's touchdown projections.

Matt Kelley maintains interest in Kenyon Sadiq, noting his athletic tools despite a lack of production in college. Sadiq recorded 51 receptions for 560 yards and 11 touchdowns, and Kelley views him as an interesting profile to draft.

Matt Kelley labels Kirk Cousins a below-average quarterback who struggles because he can no longer move, citing his 28th-place finish in adjusted EPA per play last season.

Matt Kelley recommends stashing Malik Davis over other options like Jaden Blue or Trey Benson.

Matt Kelley argues that Malik Willis is worth drafting for his rushing floor and potential ceiling, despite disagreement from others regarding his job security.

Matt Kelley prioritizes drafting Mark Andrews, choosing him over other options in the 12th round and expressing doubt that he would have been available later in the draft.

Matt Kelley expresses a strong preference for drafting Marshawn Lloyd, noting that he is no longer available as a final-round pick, implying his value has risen.

Matt Kelley prefers Matthew Golden over Jaden Reed and Christian Watson at their current draft prices, identifying him as the only converted wide receiver he is keeping a close watch on.

Based on joint practice target distributions, Matt Kelley believes Michael Wilson will see more targets than Marvin Harrison Jr. in the Cardinals' offense.

Matt Kelley is steadily moving Mike Evans down his rankings, noting that reports of Evans planning to play Week 1 are not particularly bullish.

Matt Kelley defends Patrick Mahomes against market skepticism, citing his consistent history of elite fantasy finishes (QB4, QB11, QB8, QB1, QB3, QB4, QB7, QB1) and dismissing concerns about his running ability or injury status.

Matt Kelley argues that Puka Nacua is an elite fantasy asset who should be drafted ahead of Jonathan Taylor, emphasizing his historic rookie season production.

Matt Kelley defends drafting Quinshawn Judkins in the sixth round, noting that while he lacks passing game involvement, his efficiency and workload make him a solid value pick.

Matt Kelley considers Rashod Bateman one of the best round 18 picks in best ball drafts, noting that he does not believe the recent legal issues will be a significant long-term factor.

Matt Kelley is moving Rico Dowdle up his rankings, citing his efficiency in limited opportunities and his status as one of the few players with multiple 200-plus scrimmage yard games in recent seasons.

Matt Kelley notes that rumors suggest Sean Tucker might get cut by the Buccaneers, despite his talent as a running back; his draft stock was previously impacted by a heart issue coming out of Syracuse.

Matt Kelley is heavily invested in Terrence Ferguson for high-stakes tournaments, citing significant exposure and a belief in his upside compared to other late-round options.

Matt Kelley views Terry McLaurin as a fair price at his current ADP and holds approximately 25% exposure to him across his portfolio.

Matt Kelley predicts that Theo Johnson will play more snaps than Isaiah Likely, suggesting he is a slept-on player.

Matt Kelley regrets drafting Xavier Worthy in a recent draft, stating he should have taken George Kittle instead, though he believes Worthy has a strong chance to play better once fully recovered from a torn labrum.

Matt Kelley regrets drafting Xavier Worthy in a recent mock draft, noting that he should have selected George Kittle instead to better balance his roster.