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1:16Bet on anything, anytime, anywhere. You're welcome. Welcome into the Live Fantasy Football Show.
1:20I'm Mitch Anderson. I'm Justin Mello. And Mello, the NFL season is here.
1:24Week one's right around the corner. Let's help people win the most important week to start the season.
1:29Week one. If you have any questions about your lineup or any start-sit decisions, let us know down below in the comments.
1:35We are going to be answering every single one because we are committed to helping you win your first game.
1:41But Mello, let's start off with our number one quarterback here in week one.
1:45It's Lamar Jackson at Indy. Feeling great about that spot.
1:48Last season, the Colts had a bottom 10 defense according to Pro Football Focus and allowed the second most passing yards in the NFL.
1:55Also, Lamar was the quarterback one of all time.
1:58The last time we saw him play a full healthy season.
2:01And there, imagine, I think this is the one really people forget about.
2:05He was the quarterback one overall by a whole three points per game last year through week three before he got hurt.
2:11I know it's only three weeks, but he was the QB one by a whole three points per game through three weeks.
2:18Handily my quarterback one going into week one. You know, we talk a lot about the quarterback one overall in 2024.
2:24That is one that I don't know if I fully realize.
2:27That's pretty incredible. Yeah. Let's talk about our QB two, though.
2:31You just talked about a guy that we've been worried about with injury.
2:34Here's another one. Let's talk about Joe Burrow, who should be fully healthy here for their game against Tampa Bay.
2:4052 and a half point total. Healthy Joe Burrow.
2:43Healthy Tee Higgins. Healthy Jamar Chase. No questions asked here in one of the best offensive environments, if not the best offensive environment in week one.
2:51Yeah, can't go wrong here. I there's going to be so many points.
2:54Everyone's healthy, which has been kind of an issue in recent years.
2:58Hopefully they don't get off to a slow start like they have in years past.
3:02Right. Everything else is there. All right. Next we have Josh Allen.
3:06This one is tough because on one hand, Houston has debatably the best defense in the league and Josh Allen scored his
3:12second fewest fantasy points on the season last year when he went against the Texans.
3:17But on the other hand, it's Josh frickin Allen.
3:19He is a top two fantasy quarterback every single year.
3:22We shouldn't have to overthink this one very much.
3:25He's a must start every week. It feels crazy to have him here at number three, but I have to agree.
3:31It's kind of like when we put Christian McCaffrey at number one and it feels so wrong not to be putting the
3:38guy that was the first overall pick as the number one running back.
3:42But the matchups are the matchups here. And Josh Allen is going up against an imposing defense.
3:47We have to drop him an entire two spots down to the quarterback three.
3:51But this is the right spot. But let's move on to number four.
3:54This is a guy in a spot I absolutely love.
3:57Jalen Hurts taking on the Washington Commanders outside of that game in 2024 when Jalen Hurts went down early and Kenny Pickett came in.
4:04He's averaging 22.1 points per game against Washington in his career.
4:08We keep talking about the Eagles comeback tour and the first city on that band T-shirt mellow for this comeback tour is in Washington.
4:15I think Jalen Hurts is going to explode against the Commanders.
4:18I'm with you. The vibes are so negative around Jalen Hurts and to some extent the Eagles right now.
4:24I don't think it's warranted. This is a great matchup.
4:27This is a guy who has historically been a great fantasy quarterback even when the real life production has not been there quite to the same extent.
4:34So I'm excited about Jalen Hurts in week one.
4:37Another quarterback I'm very excited about Justin Herbert going against the Arizona Cardinals.
4:41He finally has two healthy offensive tackles and a competent play caller.
4:44He dropped 27 fantasy points week one last year when his line was relatively healthy and I use that relatively word lightly.
4:51And on top of all of it, he gets to play Arizona who allowed the third most points per attempt last season,
4:57the fifth most passing yards and the fourth most passing touchdowns.
5:01Yeah, he's another guy too. We talk about a lot as being like a pocket passer, but like obviously has like the wheels too.
5:08He was second in the entire NFL among quarterbacks and rushing yards.
5:11And part of that was the offensive line issues and a career high and scramble rate.
5:16But Justin Herbert to me against Arizona, an absolutely unbelievable spot, really, really high upside.
5:20And I think we both agree like barring any huge injuries, which is obviously an issue in LA, we could see Justin Herbert having an absolutely massive year.
5:29But let's move on to number six. Let's talk about a guy that I keep seeing conversations about this guy being a
5:35potential QB one overall dark horse, Caleb Williams taking on the Carolina Panthers.
5:39We just talked last episode about his receivers, but like you said, we've heard Ben Johnson say he wants this team to
5:45be the highest scoring offense in NFL history. And if that were to happen, it's got to start with Caleb Williams.
5:52And in his one game against the Panthers as a rookie, he passed for 304 yards and two touchdowns.
5:57I expect Caleb Williams to start hot here. Yeah, he's got just a ridiculous supporting cast.
6:02One of the best offensive minds in the league.
6:04You hear about, you know, the projections of this offense and the hype around this offense, how good they're going to be.
6:11I think it starts here in week one. Next, we have Dak Prescott in a visual game at the Giants.
6:17Dak Prescott's last four weekly finishes when playing against the Giants quarterback five, three, 11 and one.
6:22The Giants defense is still bad. Dak still has CD lamb and George Pickens.
6:26This is an absolute smash spot for Dak Prescott.
6:29Dak Prescott is just like the most boring quarterback to just be so unbelievably consistent when he's healthy.
6:34And like you said, this defense still stinks. This offense is still incredible.
6:38No reason to believe Dak isn't going to absolutely light it up against the Giants.
6:42But moving on to number eight. Thank God we don't have him at number five.
6:47I can't deal with another lawsuit. That's Jaden Daniels taking on the Philadelphia Eagles in the games he's actually started and completed last year.
6:54He averaged 19.1 fantasy points per game. And there's obviously a clear ceiling with this guy.
6:58His last game against Philadelphia, he passed for five touchdowns.
7:01He's one of the best dual threats in the league.
7:04Fire him up in your quarterback one slot. Yeah, don't let last year's injuries and the negative vibes around the commanders dissuade
7:11you from having confidence in Jaden Daniels. Burn the tape.
7:14He runs the ball so much. He's good as a passer.
7:17He has the best weapons he's had of his career at this point now that you asked Stephon Diggs to this offense.
7:23So I think he'll have a really good week one.
7:26Another quarterback we like a lot, Trevor Lawrence taking on the Browns.
7:30I will say Cleveland's defense is sneaky. Still pretty good despite trading away Myles Garrett, which is the only reason we don't have Lawrence higher.
7:37But he was the quarterback one overall from week 12 on last year, and he should hopefully carry that momentum forward into year two with Liam Cohen.
7:45One thing to monitor will be the health of Jacoby Myers in these other weapons.
7:49But it's a good thing that he has so many great weapons anyways.
7:53So I have confidence regardless. Yeah, we're so, so high on Trevor Lawrence this year.
7:58I sneaky sleeper. I've been liking his Parker Washington.
8:00But obviously, we've just got to knock him down a little bit here against Cleveland.
8:05This is a really tough matchup. That being said, I'm so high on him in a season-long outlook.
8:10On to number 10, though. Let's talk about Jackson Dart taking on the Dallas Cowboys.
8:14The vibes have been interesting, to say the least, in New York this offseason.
8:19But this is the Cowboys defense that allowed, by far, by almost 50 points, the most fantasy points to quarterbacks last season.
8:25Obviously, this Dallas defense has improved, so I don't think it will be quite as bad this year.
8:30But if there's ever a spot to start a breakout season for Jackson Dart, it's here against Dallas.
8:36Yeah, some of the camp reports haven't been the greatest for Jackson Dart.
8:39But boy, does he get a great spot to just turn the narrative upside down on its head.
8:45Obviously, we'll need to monitor Malik Naber's availability and his health in Week 1.
8:49That'll change things pretty drastically. But otherwise, I'd really like this spot for Jackson Dart.
8:53Another guy whose spot I really like in Week 1 is Baker Mayfield at Cincinnati.
8:58Talk about bad defenses. Baker Mayfield gets one here.
9:00People want you to forget that he has finished as a quarterback one in three straight seasons.
9:05People want you to forget that. Big quarterback wants you to forget.
9:09Yeah, big quarterback. Don't let them brainwash you, man.
9:12He gets, like I said, one of the worst defenses in the NFL here.
9:16We love that. Heavenly matchup. Similar to what we mentioned with the Jags and Giants, though, we'll need to monitor the health
9:22of the pass catchers, like Abuka, who has the toe injury.
9:25That could bump Mayfield down if Abuka isn't 100% or if he isn't playing.
9:29But I still like Baker regardless. We've got a healthy Baker Mayfield in the game with the highest point total on the
9:36slate, which hopefully he'll have a Mecca Abuka out there.
9:39But it is very easy to forget not only that he was a quarterback one in three straight seasons, that he was the MVP candidate.
9:46Or excuse me, the top MVP candidate in the NFL heading into Week 6 before injuries piled up and the PCL and MCL sprains.
9:53But like a healthy Baker Mayfield against Cincinnati, fire me up.
9:57Absolutely locked in quarterback one. And why not for our final quarterback one of Week 1?
10:01Talk about Jared Goff going up against the New Orleans Saints, who's finished as a top 10 fantasy football quarterback in four straight seasons.
10:08If this guy didn't look like a limping giraffe when he ran, I don't know how high we would be drafting him every year in fantasy.
10:16But nobody has a higher passing yards line here in Week 1 than Jared Goff.
10:20He may be boring, but he should be a certified quarterback one for the first week.
10:25Limping giraffe like he's Mike Lennon or something. Honestly, pretty ass.
10:28That is Mike Lennon. No, I love Jared Goff here in Week 1 too.
10:32Good matchup. Great offense dome game. We love all of that.
10:36Going into the quarterback two territory, we have Drake May at Seattle.
10:39He's obviously a guy we love season long. Should be one of the first quarterbacks off the board in drafts.
10:45Week 1, we're a little bit less confident. The reason being that the Seahawks really embarrassed him last year in the Super Bowl.
10:52Obviously, the last time these two teams met. The good news is that he sneakily still scored 17 and a half fantasy
10:58points in that game, which is pretty respectable. All things considered, AJ Brown is now his teammate.
11:03Rick Wollin is no longer on the opposing side.
11:06So even though we have him as the quarterback 13, it's hard to imagine not starting him.
11:11Yeah, you don't draft Drake May and you don't start him.
11:14This ranking is more to tell you that I think you need to temper your expectations on what you're going to see here in Week 1.
11:22Obviously, May has a tremendous upside. He's one of these dual threat guys we talk about who can throw the deep ball and he can run.
11:30But I completely agree with you. With the matchup, he is a little bit like the receivers in how I view AJ
11:36Brown being like 12B to Tee Higgins. It's kind of Drake May being 12B to Jared Goff.
11:41On to number 14. I mean, Mello, this feels wrong for me to talk about Kyler Murray taking on Green Bay and not you.
11:48I'm going to admit something. There is no telling what we see here.
11:52But I'm taking the side that the Vikings get off to a good start.
11:56Kevin O'Connell is going to put Kyler Murray in a position to succeed.
12:00He's going to have the best weapons of his entire career and he's going to do just that.
12:05He's going to succeed in his debut as a Viking.
12:08I can't tell you everything that's going to happen this year, but I truly think they're going to set him up for success.
12:15And you're going to see this comeback story start for Kyler Murray.
12:18Yeah, I talked about it in the receiver episode with Justin Jefferson.
12:22I think week one is going to be the start of something beautiful this season for this Vikings offense.
12:27Tyler's going to cook. JJ's going to cook. It's going to be glorious.
12:31I'm looking forward to watching it. Next, we have Matthew Stafford playing in Australia against the 49ers.
12:36The MVP in quarterback three overall last year comes in at 15.
12:40I mean, Stafford finished as the quarterback two and quarterback eight in the two weeks he played the Niners last year, which is promising.
12:47However, the San Fran defense was mighty beat up last year.
12:50Should hopefully be healthy this time around. Electric substation willing.
12:53And I'm also not sure how flying into Australia within 24 hours of kickoff will play off for the Rams.
12:59But I guess we'll find out. Yeah, that is definitely a very interesting strategy.
13:03But yeah, Stafford should be in a really, really good spot here.
13:07Like you said, like I did not realize it was that good against San Francisco.
13:11Obviously, I dug a little bit into what Devontae Adams did last year and what Pukunakua did last year.
13:17But there's no reason to believe Matthew Stafford shouldn't come out slinging it.
13:20And this is a team he's familiar with. I absolutely love him at 15.
13:25And there's another guy I love here at number 16.
13:27Not as much week one, but season long. He is my guy.
13:31And that's Brock Purdy. I don't think week one is going to be Brock's highest ceiling environment, as we've seen him tend
13:37to be just fine versus the Rams in his career, but nothing special.
13:41Continue to monitor the health of his pass catchers as well.
13:45But there's probably better options if you're in a one QB league for week one than Brock Purdy.
13:50Super flex, though. You should feel extremely confident firing him up as your quarterback, too.
13:54Yeah. And don't sleep on his ability to scamper.
13:57That boy scampers. Big scampering guy. Big scampering guy.
14:00He'll have a chance in this game if they're throwing the ball late, have some scrambles.
14:04So not the worst of quarterback twos. Next, we have Valik Willis playing at Vegas.
14:09Now, let me say this. Big scamper. Oh, he doesn't scamper.
14:12He strides, Mitch. He's a strider. I will admit, the Dolphins should be relegated to the SEC.
14:17The camp reports around this team have been more depressing than those animal cruelty, like PSA commercials that play in the arms of the angel.
14:24You know, shout out Sarah McLaughlin. Yes, thank you.
14:27I'm glad you know exactly what I'm talking about.
14:30But with that said, he still could be a decent start here as a mobile quarterback, a strider, as we called him,
14:36playing against a Swiss cheese Las Vegas defense. I kind of like him in two quarterback leagues, even though I'm scared in one quarterback.
14:43Yeah, this is probably not the week I would start Malik Willis.
14:47I would probably bench him and look at what it looks like.
14:50Look at how much he's running the ball. It's definitely not a bad matchup.
14:54So this is one that you should be excited about with Malik Willis.
14:58I just, there has to be a better option.
15:01If you don't have anyone available out of the 16 guys we've named, yes, start him.
15:05But to me, I completely agree. He's more of a super flex start here in week one.
15:10On to number 18. We've talked about this game a lot in all three of our rankings episodes.
15:16Let's talk about the New Orleans Detroit game and let's talk about Tyler Shuck.
15:20Mello, as a real certified Shuckhead, I am so excited to see him kick off the sophomore tour with an unbelievable game environment.
15:27From week 10 on last season, this guy was the quarterback 12.
15:30Now he has another full offseason under his belt.
15:33And I think we could absolutely see him take the next step, starting with this incredible situation in Detroit.
15:38Yeah, I think I just kind of want quarterbacks going against the Lions this year just because they're going to be playing
15:45from behind and the Lions secondary isn't good. Like it's just a great environment for quarterbacks.
15:50No Jordan Tyson stinks, but I still think Shuck is a solid super flex start.
15:54Load up 50 targets for Chris Alave. Honestly possible.
15:57Next up, we got Bo Nix playing at Kansas City.
16:00Nix was decent, but not great in his two contests against the Chiefs last year.
16:04I'm very excited to see him play with Jalen Lottel.
16:07I think that's going to be great. I'm not as excited about the matchup or the play caller change at the start
16:13of the season with Sean Payton giving up those duties.
16:16I think Nix is probably just going to end up as the quarterback seven on the season again, just like he has
16:23every year of his career thus far. But I'm probably keeping him on my bench in week one outside of super flex.
16:29I have nothing to add to that. I completely agree.
16:32He's going to be the quarterback seven again, but like this just isn't the matchup I want Bo Nix in.
16:38It's a very similar story to some of these other guys where, you know, I feel very comfortable in super flex, but not as comfortable in one QB.
16:46And the difference I'd say between like him and Malik Willis is like, I could see Malik Willis randomly rushing for a
16:53hundred yards and he does have quarterback one upside.
16:55Bo Nix, I just, I have a hard time seeing it in the spot against Kansas City.
17:00Same. But let's take a look at the other side of that game and let's look at Patrick Mahomes taking on the Denver Broncos.
17:07And this one's tough. We love Patrick Mahomes. He was the quarterback two last year before he got hurt, but we know
17:14Denver is not an inviting matchup specifically for quarterbacks, specifically for a guy who will be in his first real game action
17:20since tearing his ACL and somehow getting back on the field this quickly.
17:24But he's averaged just under 18 fancy points per game against Denver in his career.
17:29I would be cautious here. Same advice we've been giving.
17:32This is more of a quarterback two. This is the line where I would say like, there has to be a better
17:38option for you to start in week one in one quarterback league than Patrick Mahomes.
17:42Yeah, I'm hesitant to ever bet against Patrick Mahomes, but I will in week one, at least from a fantasy perspective.
17:49I will in a week one regular season game.
17:51Right. From a fantasy perspective too. Like the Chiefs can go out and win that game and the home still could be the quarterback 19 on the week.
18:00Just coming off the ACL top matchup. I don't really want to start him in fantasy week one.
18:05Next up, we have Jordan Love at Minnesota. Jordan Love is great, but maybe not quite as great for fantasy.
18:11The Packers just don't throw the ball enough to make it worthwhile to start Jordan Love unless the matchup is extra juicy.
18:17And this one's not. Brian Flores and the Vikings have a solid squad.
18:21Love has failed to crack the top 20 quarterbacks in each of their last two matchups.
18:26So I'm not really going out of my way to start Jordan Love.
18:30I've said it before, but Jordan Love just does not spark joy when I see him in my fantasy football lineup and
18:36I try to avoid it at all costs. This next guy is one that honestly also feels kind of icky when you put him in your starting lineup.
18:44But I actually think he could have a pretty decent performance this year relative to his ADP.
18:49That's Sam Darnold back in this game against New England.
18:52He's a really tough one to rank here. I think this matchup certainly does not help.
18:57Both of these defenses pretty stingy against the pass.
19:00I think he's a fine guy to roll out in two quarterback super flex leagues.
19:04He just has almost no ceiling to me in this matchup.
19:07Yeah, it's a tough matchup. And I agree. I think Darnold's getting a little slept on maybe season long when you look at how good he's been.
19:15That's right, yeah. I agree. The last couple years he's been good.
19:19But yeah, this is not the spot I'm starting him.
19:22Maybe as a low-end quarterback too in super flex, but I just don't really love the matchup.
19:27Yeah. Next up we have Daniel Jones taking on the Ravens.
19:30Is Daniel Jones truly healthy? Is Alec Pierce truly healthy?
19:33Is ancient Keenan Allen going to lead this team in targets in week one?
19:37I have no idea. The upside is that Jones is just as good as he was to start last year, but there
19:43is too much uncertainty for me to really feel confident about it, which is why we have him this low.
19:49Although he said ancient Keenan Allen, it sounded like ancient Mesopotamia.
19:53The traversers went across the Keenan Allen. I don't have to worry about this.
19:57I don't plan on drafting Daniel Jones on any rosters, but if you do have him, yeah.
20:02This one, you can lock him in as your second quarterback.
20:05I would actually rather this next guy probably just for the sake of having a little more upside.
20:10I think Daniel Jones is just really a floor play.
20:13But on to our next one. We talked about this matchup a little bit last episode, and I said this might be my favorite over of the week.
20:21Cam Ward taking on the New York Jets. What better way to kick off a breakout second season than a date with the New York Jets?
20:29They allowed the second most points to fantasy quarterbacks last year, and according to my notes, are still the New York Jets.
20:35And so I'm excited to see what Cam can do here.
20:39He's got two new weapons. He's got Carnell Tate.
20:41He's got Wandale Robinson. You bring in Brian Dayball.
20:44I expect him to elevate this offense. I think I like Cam Ward throughout the whole season, seeing how he develops, but
20:50I actually think this is a spot that you could just see the breakout start.
20:55This defense is bad enough. Wait, Mitch, I'm actually fact-checking you here.
20:58Oh no, you're right. They are still the New York Jets.
21:02They're still the New York Jets. Yeah. Yeah, they're still the New York Jets.
21:06So it is a fair matchup. I think my one thing with Ward is I just kind of want to wait and see at first.
21:13I don't really have a lot of confidence in him yet.
21:16Yeah. So that's why I would probably keep him on the bench unless you're really desperate in like a super flex league.
21:23But the matchups, it's a little intriguing. Those were our top 24 quarterbacks for week one of the NFL season.
21:29As we said at the beginning, if you have any lineup questions at all, that's why you come to the lineup of
21:35fantasy football, leave them down below in the comments and we will answer as many as we possibly can because we are
21:42committed to helping you win the most important week to start the season, week one.
21:46But Melo, before we get out of here, did we miss anything?
21:50I think we got it all. All right. We'll catch you guys next episode.
21:54Bye.