0:00This is Hall of Fame of Marshall Falk and you're listening to the Fantasy Footballers.
0:05To the Fantasy Footballers Podcast with your hosts Andy Holloway, Jason Moore and Mike Wright.
0:10Welcome in! Wednesday, August 26th, the My Guys Episode.
0:13Trademark. Trademark My Guys. Yes! I like what you did on that post yesterday, Mike.
0:18I mean, I just posted. Yeah, yeah, yeah. The My Guys, trademark, episode, the Fantasy Footballers My Guys Episode.
0:25I know people have been eager for our My Guys and it is a balance deciding when we're going to reveal them
0:32because people want to know for their drafts but there's still preseason and training camp and injuries and I mean, half of
0:39our comments yesterday were all aimed directly at Jason Moore.
0:43They were? Yes. What'd I do? Oh, was this the shirt?
0:47This is because, no, this, not... I saw a lot of my shirt looks like I'm naked.
0:52Were you wearing another salmon colored shirt? Yeah, yeah, it was a skin color.
0:57It's, uh, what color is that? It's flesh. Flesh colored.
1:00Uh, no, that wasn't it, Jason. It was the fact that you made another one of your famous proclamations on the show and there'll be no more injuries.
1:10And then immediately we had Ken Walker and Jamar Chase have some scares.
1:14That's Mike's fault. But also, they're totally fine. They're fine.
1:18Yeah, I mean, it was a little scary to see the replay of Jamar Chase hyper-extending his knee.
1:24It was. He went from there totally fine. Oh, no, no, no.
1:28I know he's fine. I'm just saying it was, it was a terrifying like, cause that's, that's no contact or non-contact.
1:35Yeah. Like that's, you've seen ACLs. Well, when you saw the, so he, after the play, he was like, oh my gosh,
1:42Jamar Chase, you know, limps off knee injury and you're like worried.
1:46He says he's fine. You look at him in the, you know, the, the, uh, whatever, the locker room.
1:53He's talking to people. He's like, I'm fine. I could have gone out and played more if I had to.
1:59It was fine. It was just, I hyper extended a little bit, but then later the video comes out and you go, I've seen that exact thing before.
2:09And it is, uh, ligaments can be, the way he went down was like, no, no, but yeah, I think that he's perfectly fine.
2:17And Ken Walker, I mean, I guess a little low ankle.
2:21Well, they're just, they're saying foot, but I think they're just resting him.
2:25Like, no, no, like I mean, I, I'm saying like the video of him, he was at practice and he's in sneakers and he's just walking around.
2:34It didn't look like a guy who was favoring a foot.
2:38No, he's going to have so much work. They need to keep him healthy.
2:42So, so much going on. Our live show is Friday.
2:46So we're so excited to see you guys there.
2:49Um, if you're in the Phoenix area and you want to attend, there are a few tickets left.
2:55Ballers live.com should be about 800 strong in the van Buren, uh, hosted by GMC and Pets.
3:01Smart. It's going to be a, or sponsored by GMC and Pets.
3:05Smart. It's going to be awesome. And we're excited.
3:08Named after Martin Van Buren. Of course. Our favorite.
3:11Well, I don't want to say that cause I don't know what he's doing.
3:15I don't know what he did. I'm afraid, but I mean, president Jason, you know, he had a sweet number of like a crazy hair.
3:24Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Oh yeah. He was president. He has big chops.
3:28President number 26. Ooh, you're a little, little, which way?
3:31I'm thinking earlier. I'm thinking earlier. Yeah. Like 16.
3:3419. We're earlier. 12. We're earlier. Really? 8? 8?
3:37Oh, I knew it. Look at Marty. We know history.
3:41You should dress up as a Marty van Buren for Halloween.
3:44But Andy, you did know that cause he has the, uh, Yeah, he got them chops or something, right?
3:51He has the, uh, uh, the Costanza. Yeah. Or actually no, I'll call it the Bozo the Clown.
3:57Yeah. Where it's, he's bald on the top sides are coming out, but then it comes down into the chops.
4:04It's a, it's a look. Yeah. I mean, that's what he's known for.
4:08My goodness, man, man. That's a, that is an extreme Larry David.
4:12Oh, Martin Van Buren. Wow. MVB. MVB. Wow. This has been a detour.
4:16Uh, it is the my guy show. We got a quick question.
4:21We got news to catch you up on. Luckily nothing catastrophic right now.
4:25Uh, the quick question of the day. How was there any?
4:29Hey, there's Marty. There's Marty van Buren on the back wall.
4:32Looking good, Marty. He, uh, boy, he did. Boy, he did a lot, right?
4:37I mean, you could tell from the eye bags how much he did.
4:41I mean, you're telling, when was a Christmas Carol written?
4:45That is 100% written about. That's Ebenezer right there.
4:48That is Ebenezer van Buren. Like, that, that dude.
4:51That dude's stealing turkeys. Um, quick question of the day.
4:54Which NFL fan bases are you the most jealous of?
4:58This one came in. How is there any answer other than the Patriots?
5:02Yeah, I mean, the Patriots are the clear answer.
5:05Oh, not to me. So, I mean, the rationale to me is bajillions of Super Bowls.
5:10In my lifetime, not like, oh, the history of my team before I was born.
5:15In my lifetime, they've won the most Super Bowls by gargantuan margins.
5:20Then, after it was like, well, you lost Belichick and Brady.
5:23You're done. Welcome to the doldrums. Oh, wait. Wait, what'd you got?
5:27Two years? Two bad years? And now you've got a young superstar runner-up MVP candidate.
5:32You were in the Super Bowl last year? That's not fair.
5:36I am going with the Packers. The history of the team, they have four Super Bowl titles, not six, but four.
5:43They have this long history from Lombardi to, you know, Bart Starr to Favre to Aaron Rodgers.
5:49But it's about the city. It's about the Lambeau Field in the middle of a neighborhood being owned by the actual fans.
5:56Like, the team doesn't have... Dude. Owners. Yeah. Are you kidding me?
6:00Martin Van Buren served as the eighth president from 1837 to 1841.
6:04In 1843, a Christmas carol is written. I knew it.
6:08It's not a joke. Dickens. This was written about President Van Buren.
6:12Charles. Oh, Charles. Humbug, Charles. Dude, now I know more about Van Buren.
6:16He was a grumpy grouch. The Van Buren's need to go after the Dickens estate.
6:21There's not time for Christmas when you've got to lead the country at a time like the 1830s.
6:27That was more decent. I mean, that man has outlived the average life expectancy by over 20 years in this picture.
6:34Yeah. Oh, man. By sheer anger. That's some good research, Jason.
6:38So, for me, I'm going Packers. I think the storied history versus the...
6:42That's funny. Like, when I grew up, actually, you guys maybe picked up football a few years later than I did.
6:49But when I grew up, it was the Patriots were the garbage team of the NFL with the Cardinals because they would be the 4-12 teams every year.
6:59Yeah, we stayed there. Yeah, yeah. But anyways. Yeah, I mean, you guys both...
7:04I don't really count old Super Bowls. Yeah, I don't either.
7:07It's about the history, man. Yeah, but... But I know Al Borland's happy about that.
7:12Oh, what do we have a fourth member? The biggest loser...
7:16We do have a fourth loser. ...who lost to me in the...
7:20I want you to remember that. You lost to me in the Listener League Championship, and that's why you became the biggest loser.
7:28I did. And of course you did. That says Biggest Loser on it?
7:32Yeah, so... That's not a name tag. That is printed on the shirt.
7:37At the live show, there will be no mistaking who Brian Ketchner is.
7:41I always knew without the shirt. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
7:45You don't need that, dude. Yeah. Everyone can just look at just the aura.
7:49Your face is its own name tag. Hey, but good news, you are our Deucer of the Day.
7:56Deucer of the Day! Yeah! Congratulations. It's not really an honor.
7:59Brian, if you listened to the show, you would know what that means.
8:04Yeah. Oh, what does it say on the back?
8:07He's... Oh, he's pitching us on Twitter, Amo? Yeah, gosh.
8:10All right, I'm going off of that camera. Black data.
8:13All right, let's talk some news. By the way, the Megalobull, hosted by Sleeper, over 20,000 Foot Clan players.
8:20You can go there right now, sign up, play with us.
8:24It is the largest fantasy football competition in the world.
8:27Megalobull.com. Everyone needs a good new league. If you haven't played in it before, it is a ton of fun.
8:34It's Foot Clan members. It's great rules. And you get a chance, if you win, to get a Foot Clan Ultimate subscription forever.
8:41And more importantly, play with us next year in the Listener League.
8:45Megalobull.com. Come play with us. I'm in one. Yeah.
8:48I mean, there's drafts from the 4th through the 9th.
8:52Or 8th, rather. And the kickoff's the 9th. So, Megalobull.com for that.
8:56Let's talk news. News and notes from around the league.
8:59Biggest loser back there holding up an affiliate code for something, you know.
9:04We've got the Raiders head coach Clint Kubiak saying Ashton Gentey is, quote, on the mend.
9:09And he's, quote, not going to get into injuries.
9:12And I'm, quote, annoyed by that. And, quote, curious about his availability for week one, unquote.
9:17I believe it is Saturday. I don't guarantee it, but I'm pretty confident that Saturday is the day that the actual official injury reports have to happen.
9:27So, we will know more on these injuries for all these guys.
9:31You know, at least a little bit more. Come Saturday at, it's like 5 p.m.
9:36or something. Did you see that Martin Van Buren was the same height as you?
9:41Oh. He's 5'11"? Six? 5'6". Oh, man. Bangles wide receiver Jamar Chase left with a knee injury.
9:46Spoke to a reporter. Says he's fine. Could have played if there was.
9:51He said he tried to go back out there and the coaches wouldn't let him.
9:56Sam LaPorta returned to practice on Tuesday. That's big.
9:59We weren't sure if he would get back before the regular season began.
10:03That is big because I think there was, in the back of my mind, as a LaPorta, you know, long-time supporter, in
10:11the back of my mind, this was a fearful re-aggravation of what he had surgery for.
10:16So, if he's there week one, then hopefully it was just basically a contact contusion.
10:21Ken Walker did not practice Tuesday. Minor foot injury.
10:24Shut him down. This is not great because it's the second time in a week.
10:29Maybe it wasn't. Maybe it's the first time. But Josh Downs, calf injury.
10:34He called it very minor. Believes he will resume practicing soon.
10:37But we have a lot of injuries in Indianapolis among the pass catchers.
10:42Pierce and Downs and Warren's groin. That's why they got Kenan.
10:45I mean, I really do think Kenan, in the first month of the season of PPR League, will be like top 20 wide receiver every week.
10:54I don't even know that I want to draft him knowing that.
10:58Yeah. But if I am in a deeper league, I mean, like, let's say you're, I mean, the listener league, that we
11:06will be announcing next week the people that get in.
11:09So if you submitted and haven't heard back, that means nothing so far.
11:13Yeah. We haven't replied to anybody yet. That's a 14-team league.
11:17You're reviewing. It's a little deeper. And so, you know, later on in drafts, grabbing a Kenan and throwing them in the
11:25first week in a double flex or something. Brian Thomas Jr.
11:28returned to practice, was wearing a non-contact jersey after the shoulder injury.
11:32Zay Flowers isn't practicing Wednesday. Working on the side.
11:35Also didn't practice on Monday. I don't care for this particular news.
11:39This is the one of all the news that I'm the most concerned about just because we have no, I mean, it could be nothing.
11:48But you've missed two days of practice and it hasn't been disclosed to anybody what's going on.
11:53But working on the side is better than not being there at all.
11:58Save Flowers. Get well soon for Mike's sake. Yeah.
12:01JaCory Krosky- Oh, okay, cool. Not practicing on Wednesday.
12:04Everybody I like in the news today. Yeah, Mike is.
12:07Why isn't he practicing? He doesn't know the butterfly stretch.
12:11I found it a little weird. No, yours was.
12:14Yeah. That was grade seven. Josh Jacobs. That's off the bone.
12:17This is big. Packers general manager came out and said, when asked about a potential Josh Jacobs suspension, the team is preparing for that in case it happens.
12:27Yeah, I don't. Pretty confident we can sustain it, he said.
12:31That does not mean that we wouldn't claim a running back, but we'll deal with that when the time comes.
12:37We're obviously been preparing for that. They don't. This wasn't like new information in terms of like.
12:43That's what I wanted. Yeah, they don't have a new inclination that it's happening.
12:48It's just that it is, as has been stated, a possibility for both him and Puka right now because they haven't been through the NFL's investigations.
12:57Therefore, maybe Marshawn Lloyd ends up with an opportunity.
13:00Marshawn Lloyd definitely should be one of your last round picks at this point, just in case.
13:05Because he's been a laughingstock because of injury. Like, you don't.
13:09He was talented coming out. That's right. We have nothing to evaluate him really on an NFL field.
13:15So you have to go back to your prior, which was like.
13:19A long time ago. People are all in on Jonathan Brooks, who's a slightly higher draft, but not that much higher drafted than Marshawn Lloyd.
13:28And we haven't seen anything from him. So it's interesting.
13:31He definitely has gotten to the tier of player like Tank Bigsby and Blake Corum where I am very interested.
13:38I think the follow-up question from the listenership on this would be, how do you actually approach drafts this weekend, next weekend, when it comes to Josh Jacobs?
13:47Yes. Because that is the ultimate deflation, is taking a player that you have to take in the top three rounds that you could find out.
13:56Look, the way that the general manager worded it, it was like, well, it could happen midseason.
14:02You know what I mean? It might not be at the jump.
14:06It could happen at any time. And I just don't like that hanging over.
14:10I mean, Mike's already been out on Jacobs, but I don't know how much this is factored into it, just having that extra variable.
14:18It's just a piece of it. But yeah, I raised his risk rating in the UDK this morning.
14:24I think it's a more dangerous pick. I still think he is going to be very good when on the field and
14:32has a spot where I wouldn't pass up on him.
14:35But if I take him there, I'd probably take Marshawn Lloyd late in the draft to protect myself.
14:41Yeah, I'd say... I think that's actually... Smart way to do it.
14:45That's the way you should handle it. Like, if you draft Jacobs, I would force Lloyd onto my bench.
14:52I made a trade yesterday for Devontae Adams in our league of record.
14:56Yes. Then I proceeded to post Jerry Rice's age 33 season as inspiration to him.
15:01Was he okay at age 33? He was okay.
15:041,800 yards, 18 touchdowns. How? What? I mean, he's Jerry Rice.
15:08He's the best line receiver. I understand that, but...
15:11Yeah, but I looked at some other guys, too, and there were some pretty dang impressive year 33 seasons.
15:17All that being said, like, one thing we haven't talked about with Puka's rumored potential suspension is, like, if he misses time...
15:25Sure. They don't have... Tutu Atwell's not even there to take anything away.
15:29It's Terrence Ferguson. Terrence Ferguson is their wide receiver three.
15:33I mean, I... I don't... I don't think I'm there, Jay.
15:36That's fine, but... Just be quick on the waiver wire.
15:40I don't know if I'm there because it's... I know they're going to run a bunch of three tight end.
15:46That's the... I mean, that's what they're going to run a ton of.
15:51I mean, he said he's been... He said he never expected to have to learn the X, the Y, the Z.
15:58He's learning every wide receiver position. I know. And maybe you're right.
16:02Maybe you're right. That's a lot of information. Yeah, which is why it's taken him two years to get totally into...
16:09Are we sure they're not just going to snap the ball and he'll just be vibrating?
16:14My problem with them is... I don't know where to go!
16:18I just don't know that he ends up being the highest fantasy scoring tight end on the team.
16:24That's the part that's really hard. I think they have a lot of talent.
16:29It's a crowded room. But we're going to jump into a break here and then it's time.
16:35It's time for the My Guys. One reminder here with big time draft weekends coming up.
16:40Don't forget that the Ultimate Draft Kit is available right now.
16:44All of our tier-based rankings. I mean, I saw mid-show.
16:47Here's an update for you. I saw some of Jason's rankings updates go through mid-show.
16:52That's how often this thing is. You know, this isn't the magazine that you buy that's just permanently three months behind.
16:59Every bit of news, information, depth chart news, training camp, 53-man roster, roster changes.
17:04Those are all updated with our tier-based rankings. All of our player projections, sleepers, breakouts, busts, and values that we've all agreed on, which do get updated.
17:13100-plus player profiles. We're doing some updates to those.
17:16The new mock draft tool. Tons of resources. So, those of you that have had it, you know the resource it is for you on draft day.
17:25You can mark players, do all that stuff. That's ultimatedraftkit.com.
17:29We're going to go ahead and jump into a break, and then it's time, guys.
17:34My guys. Now, I'd be remiss before we start the segment to not give you guys any opportunity.
17:40Every year, I think it's my responsibility to give you a Dante Pettis moment.
17:44Ooh. So, like, right before we reveal, I'm just saying, it's going to throw production into a complete catastrophe over there.
17:51Beautiful. But we don't really pay much attention to that.
17:55So, are there anybody you need to Pettis right now?
17:58Like, withdraw all of my guy from. Yeah. I'm feeling real good.
18:02Mike's feeling good? Yeah, I am too, but I'm going to Pettis Andy.
18:07Wait, me? Yeah. Like, I don't even have my guys now?
18:10Yeah, I'm going to say your second one. Oh, you're Pettising one of my picks.
18:15Yeah. Well, you are the Pettis. It was you.
18:18You are the original and the only. You are the Pettis pivot.
18:22I could misdirect or something. Yeah. Here we go.
18:25Nothing you can take can tear me away from my guy.
18:29Andy. I am so happy that B-Cat is here.
18:32That's what I was going to say. That animation that you forget every year only to- He's just done so much work
18:40redoing animations that I just thought- Why didn't you update?
18:43This is an important show. Why didn't you fix that?
18:46Never. Never change it. He does say Biggest Loser on his shirt.
18:50What a loser. The problem with that- No, that graphic rules.
18:54It's terrible. I know. That's why it rules. If that's the first thing that people saw from us, it's the last thing they ever saw from us.
19:03It's time to get into my guys. 2026, my guys.
19:07Always- Look, this is hard. Because our goal with the my guys, just to state it, and you guys can add to it.
19:14The goal is not to take a player that is obvious.
19:18That is the layup. That is the simple way to do it.
19:22I'll take Jameer Gibbs, please. I mean, that is not the goal of the my guys.
19:27The my guys is to find and plant the flag on three players each that we feel represent tremendous upside.
19:34I mean, we did a show yesterday. We were talking about some players are like, which players in the NFL have bust to league-winning range.
19:43And there's not a lot of guys like that.
19:46That's not necessarily the my guy. But just somebody with high upside and comes in at a draft value.
19:52A lot of the times they're in the offseason, our discussion around my guys is like, if this guy's at this ADP
19:59on this date, he's going to be a my guy.
20:03And so they've fluctuated a little bit. I mean, before we get into it, you know, Alec Pierce for a long time,
20:10I really wanted him as a my guy. This entire season, he was locked as a my guy for you until the last month.
20:18Not enough progress. You know, there were some other players like Kyle Pitts that were in consideration.
20:24You didn't have to say that out loud. We have inside thoughts for a reason.
20:29Can you believe that? I'm going to let you guys go first.
20:33One of you guys go first. All right. I will jump in.
20:37I'm going to start things off last week. I mean, you've got the button, right?
20:42Yeah, yeah, yeah. Okay. I'm just making sure you know what you're doing.
20:47No, no, no. I got it. But the fearless podcast host of the Fantasy Footballers blessed everyone on the UDK.
20:53We released a little sneak peek. So I'm going to start with that one.
20:58Colston Loveland. Oh, Mr. Loveland. Oh, Katzen Doveland. Mr.
21:01Loveland. I am all in. Unsurprised. I am all in.
21:05Look, you're going to be very unsurprised by my my guy picks here.
21:09Colston Loveland. My chips are all in. He's going in the fourth round.
21:13I have no problem with that ADP at all because of what I think he can become.
21:19So it's remembering the story of last year. Tenth overall pick.
21:23He led the team in receiving yards as a 21-year-old rookie tight end.
21:27He's the first rookie tight end to achieve this feat for the franchise since Mike Ditka.
21:33No. Mike Ditka. Dog Bears. Ditka. Look, it was a slow...
21:36But who would win in a fight? Colston Loveland or Mike Ditka?
21:40Oh. Ditka. It's Mike Ditka. It took some time.
21:43You know, training camp. We missed some of it last year.
21:47But by the end of the season, he was the centerpiece of the offense.
21:52Look, the final four games for the Chicago Bears.
21:55So that's week 17-18 and two playoff games. Like, you know, we talk about Ramondre of like when they got in the playoffs, they went to their...
22:04You knew who you believed in. They went to their guy.
22:08And that ended up being Colston Loveland for the Chicago Bears over that time period.
22:1349 targets. Double-digit targets. Four straight weeks, including a wild card game against Green Bay where he caught eight passes for 137 yards and a touchdown.
22:21And in those four games, targeted on 35% of his routes were these empty targets as well.
22:27No. Seven of the 49 were in the red zone.
22:30And they're lining him up all over. This isn't just an in-line player.
22:35Like, they're putting him in the slot. They're putting him out wide.
22:39He is the guy. And you have the quote from your head coach that says, Colston Loveland is the son of the Bears' solar system.
22:47Mm-hmm. You know, we've spent the offseason debating, is it, do you like Luther Byrne?
22:52Do you like Romo Dunze? The answer is Colston Loveland.
22:56One of those, one of the wide receivers can absolutely pay off.
23:00Maybe both of them are pretty good. Colston Loveland is 100% the answer for me.
23:05I want Chicago Bears on my team. And the fact that it is a positional advantage in the fourth round of your
23:12draft, who, in my opinion, like, the reason he's a my guy is because I think that he can finish as the tight end one.
23:21Which is a blasphemous thing to say when Brock Bowers is out there.
23:25I think that Colston can easily surpass McBride this year.
23:28And I think that he can contend with Brock Bowers, who's a second round pick, but you're getting him in the fourth round.
23:36Yeah. The thing about trying to pick the Bears, we love the offense.
23:41You know, I would agree with you, Mike. They love using their top 10 picks on offense.
23:46But whether it's Rome or whether it's Luther Burden, maybe maybe one of those two leads the team in targets over Loveland.
23:54But because he's a tight end, he doesn't have the bar as high as those two wide receivers to be able to
24:01have to be a top three at the position.
24:04So I will say we're not sure exactly where it goes there, but it's hard to imagine him being a bad pick.
24:12It's what he showed in his rookie season was pretty amazing.
24:15You have him being the guy. You have Ben Johnson wanting to run up the score, which, you know, he's making fun hyperbolic statements.
24:23But I think there is a bit of truth to that.
24:27I don't think there was any hyperbolic. I don't think there was an ounce of him being exaggerating.
24:33I think he genuinely is saying his goal is to set the new scoring record.
24:38Even better. Yeah. Even better. If you have the number one guy for a team that one of their goals is to
24:46be the highest scoring offense of all time at a position that gives you a huge advantage over the rest of the league.
24:53I feel like last year people's arguments would have been, but can you count on Caleb Williams?
24:59And I don't feel like that's been a part of any discussion this year, even though we didn't love the completion percentage.
25:07You know, that's not a number that is, you know, well, we'll talk.
25:11We'll talk about him. But it's just 10 targets, 13 targets, 16 targets, 10 targets.
25:16Like, which was that was when the team was finally firing on all center cylinders.
25:21They're not trying to figure things out. They're like, this is what's going to work for us in in the big games that we have to win.
25:30I'm all in. Give me Mr. Loveland. Mr. Loveland.
25:33Well, Jason, I'll let you go next. OK. All right.
25:37For my first. My guy of 2026, I'm going with Garrett Wilson.
25:41Yeah, baby. Yes. Not Gino Smith. I know everyone thought I was going to go Gino Smith.
25:46Not Gino Smith. He feels like you went Gino Smith.
25:50He's he's going to make a impact here in a way.
25:53You did in a way. Garrett Wilson is four years into his career.
25:58And I think that there is a lot of stank on the the Jets stank on his name is being a little overblown.
26:06He has played with and on one of, if not the worst team in his entire career.
26:11Except here's the thing. In those stinky years with the stinky Jets, he is still only one of five players to ever
26:19begin their career with three 80 catch 1000 yard seasons.
26:22And he did it catching passes from eight different bad quarterbacks.
26:26Zach Wilson. Not count. Gino. Mike White. Simeon. Boyle.
26:29Streveler. Old Man Rogers and Tyrod Taylor like. And Martin Van Buren.
26:33And I mean, might as well. Throw him in the ghost of.
26:37He has been an outstanding wide receiver, even for fantasy.
26:40You forget. He's already been a top 10 fantasy wide receiver on this bad Jets team.
26:46And then last year, the most recent example going into year four.
26:50He had to deal with the literal worst passing offense.
26:53Not like just of the year, which it was.
26:56I mean, I want you to understand how bad the Jets passing offense was last year.
27:01They were the only team. There's only one other team in the last decade who threw for fewer yards per game.
27:09They didn't hit 2800 passing yards as a team.
27:12The second worst team last year, the pitiful Browns.
27:15They threw for 400 more yards. And how did Gary Wilson do on that putrid team?
27:20He was the wide receiver five before he went down to injury.
27:24You don't remember how good he was. And it was not just touchdown luck.
27:29I've heard that like, oh, you got it. You got touchdowns.
27:32He did have touchdowns. But if you take those out, he was on pace for 112 receptions at 1300 yards on the
27:40literal worst passing environment that has been out there in the last decade.
27:44It will be better with Gino. It will. There's no way.
27:48I got a quote for you this morning. Just moments ago.
27:52Yeah. Jets offensive coordinator Frank Reich said he has, quote, been so impressed with Gino Smith's play.
27:57There's also a quote this morning talking about OC saying.
28:01Bell cow. Yeah. He's a bell cow. He's talking about.
28:04He gets a question about Omar Cooper Jr. And then at the end of that, he's like, yeah, Garrett Wilson is our bell cow.
28:12Yeah. Breeze bell cow. Garrett Wilson bell cow. I was.
28:16Consolidated offense. Best players play. It just reminded me because people ask us, what do we listen to in coach speak time during training camp?
28:24The Bee Gees. Oh, sorry. It's a great band.
28:27Go on. If you, Bee Gees, if you, if you're listening to a coach and he brings up a name unprompted, like
28:34you're, you know, he's, he tried to judo throw an Omar Cooper Jr.
28:39Well, what I love about Omar is, is Garrett Wilson.
28:42Like those are things to pay attention to. Yeah.
28:45He had four top 15 finishes in the first five weeks before he went down to injury.
28:51Only Jason Amonra and Puka accomplished that feat. And I know what you're saying.
28:56You're saying like, ah, those are great stats, Jason.
28:59You're so handsome and funny. And you know, I love you.
29:02You inspire me to be a better person. But all those stats of Garrett Wilson.
29:08You're not even bald. Are from the past. What about 2026?
29:11What about that? You're talking about the upcoming year?
29:14I'm glad you asked. And I'm glad you asked like that.
29:18Yeah. And put it, phrase it like that. Target share for wide receivers is the stickiest stat per year.
29:24And it is a predictive stat for future success.
29:27Through four seasons, Wilson is averaging 28% target share.
29:30Last year was 30% in seven games. If you sort your platform ADP by target share, you will see one player who is not anywhere near the others.
29:40All of the top 12 guys, anyone that had a 27% target share, they're all being drafted in the top 12.
29:47And then there's Garrett Wilson, who's being drafted around wide receiver 20.
29:51This is the list. It would go JSN, then Garrett Wilson, then Jamar Chase, Puka, Amon Ra, Jefferson, Drake, London, Zay Flowers, AJ Brown, and Chris Olave.
30:00Anyway, that's your top 12 because that stat repeats every year.
30:04Jason barely had enough breath for that. And the final, my final thought is I want to show you like the comparison here.
30:12Go on. Wait, what was the head shake? Oh, crap.
30:15He tried to catch me yawning again. Oh. This live show is taking it out of me, fellas.
30:21Yeah, listen. Yeah, you are putting in work. The team here is putting in work.
30:26And sleeping on the job. If you look at those other players who had a 27% market share or better, they are
30:33drafted so high in every fantasy draft you're in.
30:36And yeah, it makes sense for a lot of them, right?
30:40JSN, Jamar, Puka. What about Drake London? Listen, Drake London has a bad quarterback.
30:45He has a bad offense. Who's better? Pua? Which is what I'm now calling Penix and Tua.
30:51Oh. Yeah, it's a Bennifer. Yes, exactly. You found it.
30:54It's not as good. Yeah, but it's Pua. Oh, no.
30:57But who's better, Pua or Geno Smith? Let's say Pua's better.
31:01Or not. It's like one of these guys is going in the second round and the other is in the fourth round.
31:08Fifth round on Yahoo right now for Garrett Wilson.
31:12And you go, well, but we saw it last year.
31:15We saw it last year. But Drake London with bad quarterback play.
31:19What are you talking about? Garrett Wilson outscored last year in games they played.
31:24Garrett Wilson had a point more on average with his bad quarterback play.
31:28So, to me, Garrett Wilson in the fourth, in the fifth, I love grabbing him.
31:33I'm so confident that he is being drafted at his floor.
31:37He's being drafted around wide receiver 20 to 22.
31:40He's not finishing lower than that. And he has, to me, the potential to be a top 10 wide receiver this year.
31:47Did you see? This was yesterday. There was Ian Rappaport.
31:51The quote came out. He believes that Tua's play has made the plan to make him the starter at the beginning of the season.
31:59Quote, impossible. That's, yes. Yes, it has. Pua. Pua.
32:02Like, holy crap. He's just. A man on the NFL network is saying, this dude is so bad, it's impossible.
32:08And we thought it was impossible for him not to get the job because of how bad panic was last year.
32:16And this is, take Drake London in the second if you want.
32:20Or take Garrett Wilson in the fourth. One of the top trending names on sleeper dynasty leagues right now is the Falcons third string quarterback.
32:28That makes sense. Do I remember what his name is?
32:31No, it doesn't matter. It's not Pua. All right, my first, my guy.
32:36Travion Henderson. You did it again. What? Travian Henderson?
32:39You did it again. After all that. You've been talking about Romandre.
32:43You're crazy. This was all a hoodwink. Dude. I didn't know he was that much in on handover.
32:49I get the apology now. I get the apology now.
32:52And it still worked. You ever seen Austin Powers 2?
32:56Gosh dang it. It's hilarious. All right, so tell us why.
32:59It's not Travo. It's not Travo. Now I don't know what button to push to get my real my guy.
33:06Dajon Stribling. How did I not see it coming?
33:09I don't know, man. Dajon Stribling, wide receiver for the San Francisco 49ers, is the official my guy.
33:15You've taken the air out of that sale. Well, here's the deal.
33:19I want to take shots at rookie wide receivers in fantasy.
33:23That's what I want to do. Since 2019, we've had at least four rookie wide receivers finish inside the top 36 every single year.
33:31Last year was an exception. We had two of them in that category.
33:35Things kind of didn't work out. But Dajon Stribling right now, we talked about this weeks ago.
33:41I actually told Jason yesterday. I feel like he's sort of ruining the my guy here by playing too well in the preseason and getting everybody's attention.
33:50But the fact is there's just not enough time between now and draft days, or two weeks ago and draft days, for
33:58his ADP to move up to a place that I would be uncomfortable taking Dajon Stribling.
34:03This is the 33rd overall pick in the NFL draft.
34:06There are some things hanging over Dajon Stribling in terms of why people have been slow to buy in and believe.
34:14One of them is the propensity for the 49ers to overdraft players that don't work out.
34:19We've seen it with Trey Sermon. We've seen it.
34:22I mean, you could go to Dante Pettis. You can go to any of these other guys.
34:28It's really difficult to trust them, taking a player that not everybody projected to be drafted this high.
34:34Dajon Stribling, the actual player, is somebody that you're going to fall in love with week after week after week for the 49ers.
34:42Not even saying anything about the fact Mike Evans is barely on the field right now.
34:47Ricky Pearsall's been knocked out. George Kittle's coming back from an Achilles at an older age.
34:52Christian Kirk's already been hurt. They don't have other options in the receiving game, but it's not just, hey, Stribling is going
35:00to succeed because he's the last man left. Stribling is going to succeed because he is a dynamic, great NFL-wide receiver.
35:07He's 6'2", 207. If you haven't gone back and watched collegiate film, you've probably seen some highlights from the preseason.
35:14This is a huge catch radius guy. This is the best friend of quarterbacks.
35:18Great hands. Elite ball-tracking skills. And really, if you see him with the ball in his hands, above average yak for a big guy.
35:26Great acceleration. Ran a 4-3-6 at the combine. And when you look at what he did on the collegiate level, a lot
35:34of the big performances came right up until the final college playoffs.
35:38He averaged 84 yards a game over his last five games.
35:41But what I love to see, he put up huge games against Georgia, right?
35:46One of the best teams in college football. 3 for 94 and a touchdown.
35:517 for 122. The fact that they believe in this rookie-wide receiver on this level, that Kyle Shanahan has put so much trust in him.
35:59We've got to remember, it was Dante Pettis in the doghouse forever.
36:03It was Brandon Ayuk. Could not get the kind of playing time and really, what I like, a focal point of the offense.
36:11Right? Shanahan draws up. We've looked at this in years past.
36:15We've talked to Juszczyk. Like, he draws up, plays for players.
36:19He designs offenses for the strengths of their players.
36:22To me, the camp buzz combined with what we saw in the preseason, the draft capital, the availability of other players.
36:29Shanahan came out and said that Stribling was picking up things in a hurry in his presser.
36:34Continues to look like if healthy, he could have a fairly extensive role early on.
36:39He's broken every record in terms of preseason target share for rookies.
36:44Brock Purdy said he's a really smart dude. He's been a guy that's come in and shows that he understands everything.
36:51To me, this is actually the strangest situation for fantasy, which is a safe rookie wide receiver.
36:56That's what I think Dajon Stribling is. That is right now, what's his ADP?
37:0113th round on ESPN, maybe that's a little delayed.
37:0411th round in Sleeper. 10th round in Yahoo. Let's call him a 10th round pick, 10-0-1.
37:09I'd take him ahead of that. Yeah. I'd take him way ahead of that.
37:14I'm with you of this is a shot worth taking of maybe you've got to jump in early and you're like, I'm
37:22going to take him in the 8th. Okay. Great.
37:25He's an 8th round pick. The true upside options in the 8th round.
37:29In the 8th round, you're like, I hope I get a guy who's going to be in my flex all year.
37:36Take some shots here. I love it. Like you said, Andy, Shanahan makes game plans around single players.
37:42It's been kill before? Yeah. Debo. Debo's the guy to me that I don't think if Debo was drafted for the Jets would have been a sensational superstar.
37:52I don't think his skill set was very unique to him.
37:55He was a tackle breaker, yards after catch guy.
37:58But this is the type of player that Shanahan is going to get the ball in his hands in space.
38:05Like I think if he had gotten a Luther Burden or a Stribling, it's just a match made in heaven.
38:12So I do love that. And there's been some talk.
38:15I think it was Malik Turner, another guy on the wide receiver depth chart, was taking snaps above Debo, who is on this team.
38:23Yeah, I think Debo's buried. But like Debo's involvement in this offense is just not something that's going to impact Stribling.
38:30All right, Mike, let's go back to you. All right.
38:34You blew us away with the fact that you like Colston Loveland.
38:38Yeah, Colston Loveland. There's another guy that I have just been waiting, waiting for him to finally be allowed.
38:44Mike could be in this show. Mike could not resist it.
38:48It's time, I guess. It has to. It has to be.
38:52Kenneth Walker. Yeah, baby! It's time! Kenneth Walker. There it is.
38:55We had to put Kenneth Walker because there's some people new to the show.
39:00That was so respectful. That's like when you got a diploma on the front of the stage.
39:06Kenneth Walker. Yeah, but then he walked off and flashed people right there.
39:10A.K.A. Ken Bone Walker, one of my favorite running backs of the modern era.
39:15Why do I like him? The year of Mike continues.
39:18He's going in the middle of the second round.
39:21And I think Kenneth Walker should be in the first round in terms of what he's going to provide for fantasy football teams.
39:29He just got paid. A three-year deal worth up to $45 million.
39:33It's the fifth highest fully guaranteed running back contract in the league.
39:37The Kansas City Chiefs immediately went out and said, we need to fix things.
39:42And how are we going to fix it? We're going to fix it with Kenneth Walker.
39:47Last year, Kansas City was dead last as a team in explosive rush rate.
39:52One 20-plus yard run. Kenneth Walker had 10 by himself.
39:5515% of his rush attempts went for 10 or more yards.
39:59Third best among running backs last year. The Kansas City Chiefs, the entire team was just, they were not explosive.
40:06They had four offensive plays of 20 or more yards that resulted in a touchdown.
40:11The Kansas City Chiefs, the big play, high-flying Patrick Mahomes Chiefs, could not score from outside of the 20.
40:17They were tied for the fewest in the NFL.
40:20Kansas City, dead last and forced missed tackle rate.
40:23Who's number one at the running back position? Oh!
40:26Ken Bone Walker. Kenneth Walker, number one enforced missed tackle rate because he is always there.
40:32He is always there. And now he's going to get his opportunity.
40:36Speaking of opportunity, the playoffs. Over the three games in the playoffs, Kenneth Walker, 74 touches, 417 scrimmage yards.
40:42So that's almost 25 touches a game. In those games, guys, he was averaging, if you were playing fantasy, 23.4 points.
40:49The playoffs. The best of the best. And he's averaging over 20 points a game?
40:54Like, the depth chart of Kansas City. There is nothing there in terms of challenge, truly challenging Kenneth Walker.
41:01Yeah, like, yes, look, Demarcato is there. He seemed like the de facto two.
41:05Maybe it's Emmitt now. Maybe it's Emmitt Johnson. Mahomes is coming off of a major injury.
41:11They know that they have to figure this out through the running back position.
41:15The accolades, the talk of Kenneth Walker has been absolutely outrageous coming out of Kansas City of saying, he's a full package player.
41:23He's going to do everything. We didn't bring him in just to carry the ball.
41:28We're going to get him. We're going to throw him the ball as well.
41:33Let me put you on the spot. Please do.
41:36Let me interrupt. I know you have the stats to back up to Ken Bone Walker.
41:41But I'm going to put you on the spot with the My Guy because he's a second-round pick.
41:48Ken Bone Walker can finish as high as RB.
41:51How high can he finish? Well, I just feel like the My Guy, you said he's a first-round pick.
41:57Yeah, he is. We always look at it and we say, can they be number one?
42:02If Jameer Gibbs stays healthy all year, Kenneth Walker can't pass him.
42:06But if Kenneth Walker stays healthy, he can be the running back too.
42:11Okay. I wanted that soundbite. Do you – like opportunities.
42:14Okay. Andy Reid. It's been an absolute dumpster fire for the last, what, six or seven years, really since Kareem Hunt was able to do anything.
42:23But from 2004 to 2018, Andy Reid's running back one averaged 22 opportunities per game, 110 total yards per game, almost 20 PPR points per game.
42:32Look, this is not a bad team. We want running backs on great teams.
42:36What do lead backs on teams with 10.5 win totals do on average?
42:41Over 1,250 total yards, 10.5 total touchdowns. And look, the beginning of the season, the Chiefs are very favored.
42:47In fact, they have the bye week in week five, but through their first five games, they're favored in all of them.
42:55And Kenneth – this is – it feels like Christian McCaffrey of last year.
42:59Whereas how does Christian McCaffrey fail? He gets hurt.
43:02That's it. If you want to bet that Kenneth Walker is going to get hurt, okay.
43:08He's missed some games in his past. But when you have a player where the only path for failure is just getting
43:15hurt, I think that's a – like, that's a player you want to be all in on.
43:21Because literally any player can get hurt. But it's like Bijan.
43:25Bijan's the consensus number two, and I'm not going to argue it.
43:29Things could go bad. Like – You mean with Pua?
43:32Yes. Like, the team environment of the Atlanta Falcons – Bijan is an amazing player because it wasn't great last year, but
43:39things could go wrong for Bijan that are not in his control.
43:43It seems like games this year could be started by Jack Strand or Cooper Rush on the Falcons.
43:50Yes. Which is terrifying. Yeah. Give me Patrick Mahomes.
43:53Ken Bone Walker. Yeah. Not a surprise. We'll take a break.
43:56Mike, come back with five more My Guys for 2026.
44:00All right, we're back. Colston Loveland, Ken Bone Walker for Mike so far.
44:04Jason with Garrett Wilson. I've got Dajon Stribling. And Jason, you're back up.
44:08It is time to reveal your second My Guy.
44:11I've got Garrett Wilson, who I think is a value in fantasy football.
44:16I'm going with another value at wide receiver. A couple rounds later, it's a rookie.
44:21Carnell Tate. Maybe on Henderson. You wish. Carnell Tate.
44:24I can't believe it worked again. Yeah, baby. I didn't even think about it.
44:29Now I'm going to think about it. Yeah. You should question every time.
44:33You don't even know if the next one was.
44:36I don't. I don't know what the next one is.
44:39Did you say coo me twice? No. I think you said shame on me.
44:44Who knows? Fool me twice. Fool me twice. There you go.
44:48I was going to compliment you on. Listen. That's a funny phrase.
44:52I might have said a horrible curse word. I don't have any idea.
44:56That's why you won't remember next year and we will get you again.
45:01Yeah. My memory. We will. Carnell Tate, wide receiver for the Tennessee Titans, drafted number four overall.
45:06I mean, this is a super highly drafted, potential superstar wide receiver who is not being drafted that way.
45:13And we know why he's not being drafted that way.
45:16It's worries about Cam Ward and the offense. You know, you've got Wondale Robinson and a new coordinator, all that.
45:23But here's the thing. When you're drafted in the top 10, you are guaranteed 100 targets.
45:28You're really good. And here's it. I mean, he's really good.
45:32That is the lead here is do not forget what a sensational superstar Carnell Tate is.
45:37He was a five-star recruit coming out of high school.
45:41He led the nation in passer rating when targeted.
45:44Five touchdowns of 40-plus yards or more. He shared the field with Jeremiah Smith, who is one of those generational wide receivers.
45:51Oh, man. I wish they had the first pick next year.
45:55He's sharing the field with Jeremiah Smith. He missed three games, and yet he still put up 875 yards with nine touchdowns
46:02and five of those over 40 yards. He caught 12 of 14 contested catches.
46:07He never dropped a pass. Like, this is a great wide receiver.
46:11Early in camp, everything was how he was dominating.
46:14And then the preseason hits. Preseason. Domination. Five targets, zero receptions.
46:18He's done. He sucks. Cam Ward can't possibly hit him with this vanilla offense.
46:23I just want to remind people. Jamar Chase, preseason.
46:26One reception on five targets. Drake London, one catch on one target.
46:30A.J. Brown, one catch on three targets. You're using 100% catch right in there, Jay.
46:35I heard it. Sure. Sure. My point is the preseason.
46:38I mean, we remember when Jamar Chase couldn't catch a football because the college ball had stripes in the NFL.
46:45Like, these are great wide receivers. He is a great wide receiver who is the clear best wide receiver on his team.
46:52Drafted number four. So, that means he will be playing, you know, near 100% snaps from week one right out the gate.
47:00And he's not being drafted where these other highly drafted rookies have been drafted recently.
47:05You look at rookies wide receivers. Whoa! Whoa! Whoa!
47:08Whoa! Rookie wide receivers. What are you saying? Drafted this high.
47:11I mean, you had to take Marvin Harrison in the second round.
47:15You had to take Malik Neighbors in the third.
47:18Amari Cooper in the fourth. Even last year, Ted Arroa was a fifth round pick.
47:24And he had a bad quarterback play. You now have Carnell Tate coming into a team.
47:29And I just want to remind you. Two years ago.
47:32Not long ago. Two years ago. We had an offense that took a wide receiver number six overall.
47:38They had Brian Dayball running the show. And the wide receiver two was Wandale Robinson.
47:43It's literally the same offensive coordinator with the same human at wide receiver two.
47:48Drafting their potential superstar, you know, top five in the NFL draft.
47:52And Wandale had a ton of targets. That's the thing about...
47:56Dayball targets his wide receiver one like crazy. Digs both years in Buffalo.
48:00Neighbors. His wide receiver one is targeted. And I know the quarterback play is the issue.
48:06But, I mean, look. I mean, Tommy DeVito, Drew Locke, Tim Boyle.
48:10Are they really that much worse or better than Cam Ward?
48:13That was who Malik Neighbors was averaging like 180 targets.
48:17This is a good pick. He's being drafted at his floor.
48:20His seventh round in ESPN and Yahoo. He has the potential to be a top 15 wide receiver year one.
48:27And he can't possibly be worse than where he's drafted right now.
48:31Like wide receiver 29 or 30? Get out of here.
48:35All right. Mike's my guy. Carnell Tate, my next my guy.
48:38Mike's? Caleb Williams. What? Did he say Mike? He did.
48:42Can we get that? Yeah, I got you. What did he say?
48:46Jason's my guy. Carnell Tate. Caleb Williams is my my guy number two for the 2026 combo season.
48:52Yeah, I didn't know how long to wait to reveal the Caleb Williams with your Colston Loveland.
48:58I like it. Here we go. Eighth round pick on ESPN.
49:01Seventh round pick on Sleeper. And there's a number of things I want to talk about with Caleb.
49:07Obviously, you touched on what this offense wants to do with Ben Johnson.
49:12What his expectations are. I mean, you saw a massive uptick in performance from the Bears last year in year one of learning this system with Ben Johnson.
49:21And the only real negative thing we point at, which, by the way, his ADP is the quarterback seven off the board.
49:29That's what he was last year. So that's the that's where he's being drafted.
49:33You've got rushing upside with Caleb Williams. You've got three elite receiving talents that we believe in in Burden, Loveland and Odunze.
49:41He has, you know, his tendency is to give you valuable for fantasy passes, fourth most end zone pass attempts in the league.
49:48And I expect a huge level up from him this year.
49:52And one of the things that people point out, the biggest thing is the completion percentage.
49:58And they worked on his intermediate throws last year.
50:01Ben Johnson did. There's a great chart put out by Ryan Heath of fantasy points that looks at, I mean, literally like
50:08100 pieces of data in terms of what things correlate in terms of quarterback statistics with the following season's fantasy points per game.
50:16Completion percentage is one of the lowest correlations to fantasy points per game for that quarterback the next year.
50:22Thanks, Josh Allen. It's way down the list. You know, things like avoided sacks is a mat is three times as valuable
50:30in correlation to fantasy points per game for that next season.
50:33Then completion percentage. What have the the Bears committed themselves to putting Caleb Williams in the position where he is not being
50:41sacked like he was as a rookie, which almost broke the records or broke the record last year.
50:47They repaired this offensive line pressure to sack ratio.
50:50That's another high correlation. The things that they have fixed on this offense, they jumped from 28th in points per game to
50:57ninth in points per game last year. This is the scoring environment you want for fantasy.
51:03That's one year of Ben Johnson, one year of Ben Johnson.
51:06And so I think you see a huge step forward.
51:10You can go look at first round quarterbacks who finished top 10 in year two and then say, hey, how was year three for those guys?
51:18Well, 60 percent of them were up over that 20 fantasy points per game.
51:23You've got a long history of these guys that have made the jump.
51:28It's just something where I'm looking at this team.
51:31And if you wipe out a little bit of the just like the Bears can't pass.
51:36They'll never get 4000 yards. Look, I think they figure it out this year.
51:41I think that, you know, both of us believe or maybe all of us believe that the Bears are making a step forward on the offense.
51:49What's wild is you're going to have two of the best offenses in football in the same division with with Detroit and the Bears.
51:58But you've got weapons, offensive line, play caller, pass catching, running back, rushing upside for Caleb Williams.
52:03He's dropped 15 pounds. I am just I love that.
52:07I'm so excited about Caleb this year. And Bears fans can finally believe me when I say I've never been against you.
52:14I've just been I've just been subject to the realities of the NFL.
52:18And sometimes that looks like you don't like a team or a player.
52:23We are water. We are subject to what's changing.
52:26Yeah. Caleb losing 15 pounds is such a big deal to me because there's a player that you want to know takes it serious.
52:34You know, he does. That's like one of the knocks is maybe he's not as focused as you'd want your quarterback one to be.
52:42But he is Kyler Murray. I mean, if Kyler Murray could have taken one of those offseason is like I put on two inches.
52:50That would have been so cool. You know, they each have their roles to play.
52:55But Caleb, Caleb dropped 15 pounds. He's taking it serious.
52:59We love the Bears offense. And all of those things go back to Caleb.
53:03I will say this. My counter argument. And I think it's decently compelling.
53:08The case against Caleb Williams. I don't know, Andy, if you have seen this picture.
53:13I don't think the irony is where you're seated.
53:16Where I'm seated. I feel very. The picture is fine.
53:19Oh, man. You know what that is? I thought we were going.
53:23It's all three screens there. That's zoom. I feel.
53:26But I don't think the picture is wild. Here's the truth.
53:30Oh, what about now? What about now, Andy? I don't know.
53:34It's too sultry. It's too sultry. If you ever have them wearing these uniforms where they have those light colored, like the
53:41light colored pants and the dark socks, these guys always look a little different.
53:46Look, this is the first time I'm going to say it this year.
53:50No butterfly stretch. No butterfly stretch. Not in those pants.
53:53Jason looks like he's actually kind of cringing. Well, I'm like.
53:57This is your bit. I'm in the fire. I didn't realize.
54:01And you are his bit. All right, Mike. The next my guy.
54:05The last one. One more each. All right. It's this is my Alec Pierce because this was a player that I statted out the UDK.
54:13I was going through the all the doing the projections, you know, looking at the top level and then filtering things down
54:21of how I think it's going to shake out for that team.
54:25A player really popped like a when I went and saw where his Reiki was.
54:30I went, oh, that's spicy. And it didn't work out for you with Alec Pierce of the injury stuff.
54:36But the news just kept getting. I wanted Alec Pierce to be the guy.
54:41It just kept getting better and better. And here we are.
54:45Christian Watson. Christian Watson, wide receiver for the Green Bay Packers.
54:48We are entering year five. They just gave him a fresh set of cash with a four year extension.
54:55The problem for Christian Watson has never, ever been talent on the field here.
55:00Wide receiver since the year 2000 to average 17 or more yards per reception and catch 20 touchdowns through their first four years.
55:07Deshaun Jackson, Mike Wallace, Christian Watson. He can hit the big play.
55:11Absolutely. The problem has been volume for Christian Watson.
55:14And health. I was going to say, if there's ever a player you've needed hamstring insurance on the show.
55:21Absolutely. That one. That's your biggest risk. Ken Walker.
55:24I'll fight people on the health argument. Christian Watson.
55:27They're winning. Yeah. If you want to come at me with the health argument, I'll say, yeah, you're probably right.
55:34But truly, volume also was an issue because the Green Bay Packers were rotating all of their guys.
55:40You had Romeo Dobbs, who was kind of their de facto possession number one wide receiver.
55:45Dontavian Wicks would come in and just, he would rotate players off the field because Wicks is a capable pass catcher.
55:52Those guys are gone. It is now consolidated. It's Christian Watson and Matthew Golden as the two starters.
55:58And then Jaden Reed's the slot player. But last year, recovering from yet another injury from an ACL tear.
56:05But from week 11 on, he was the wide receiver 11 in fantasy football.
56:09He was giving you huge, huge spike weeks. During that time, the per route metrics were elite.
56:15Second in yards per route run behind only Luther Burden.
56:18He was tied with JSN for third in targets per route run.
56:22And then a metric that we know is fairly predictive for next year.
56:27Over that time period, he was first in, this one's a mouthful, but first in the NFL in first downs per route run.
56:35It's like, they're going to him. They're going to him early.
56:38When you look at the nine my guys, and I know a couple haven't been revealed yet, I think Christian Watson has
56:46the potential to impact fantasy teams in the most significant way of almost all the names because of where you're drafting him
56:53and what he represents for your team. Which is a, right now on Sleeper, a late round, sixth round pick.
57:00Late round, sixth round, as they say. Sorry, a late sixth round pick.
57:04On ESPN, I don't know what clown show business is going on over there because he's in the ninth round.
57:11Maybe just weird mock drafts, but late sixth round for a player who can do what I think Watson's going to do this year.
57:19It's exciting. It's absolutely outrageous. Why don't we like Jordan Love?
57:23Because we can make this, you can make this exact same argument for liking Matthew Golden, the consolidation.
57:29Yeah. You can make it for Tucker Craft, the consolidation.
57:32We like Jaden Reed, like whether his role, like for Jordan Love, he's great.
57:37I mean, even if Jaden Reed's not reliable week to week.
57:41So you got four names that are pretty interesting.
57:44And I feel like maybe Jordan Love's been just like, I haven't heard.
57:48Thank you for bringing up Jordan Love. Oh, that's why we're a team.
57:52The reason why people wouldn't love Jordan Raitt is because the Packers were 28th in pass rate last year.
57:59Yeah. However, Jordan Love was efficient among 38 qualifying running or quarterbacks with 200 or more dropbacks.
58:05First in EPA with a clean pocket. Sixth in passer rating.
58:08Seventh in completion percentage over expectation. And fourth in pressure to sack ratio.
58:13Andy, some of the stuff you were talking about for Caleb.
58:16And this year, there's talk of stuff being a little bit different.
58:20More balanced. They're playing under center more with more play action than we have seen the Green Bay Packers in recent history.
58:28Watson's going to play the Z receiver role. So he's going to move.
58:32He's going to be in motion. The stuff that we love for fantasy football.
58:37You can draft him easily as your wide receiver three.
58:40And I think before the end of the year, he's your wide receiver two.
58:45Maybe even a wide receiver one type of a player.
58:48They changed. It's interesting. This is per Josh Norris.
58:51Look, Christian Watson's out routes from 2022 to 24, just 7.7 where he's breaking horizontally, which we need those routes.
58:58We can't have you just being the sacrificial X running a fly route.
59:03As long as he doesn't break horizontally or vertically, I'd be happy.
59:07But so he went from 7.7 to 35% last year.
59:10They were using him truly in a different fashion with the consolidation, with what I think is going on with Josh Jacobs,
59:17not just the suspension stuff, with the efficiency of...
59:20I think that LeFleur is seeing that I've got to start trusting Jordan Love more and changing this offense.
59:27Christian Watson going in the 6 is an absolute smash pick for me.
59:31If you had ever removed him from the board the last six months, I think he would have been somebody strongly considered for a My Guy Almighty.
59:40I just totally believe in the value. I think he's the perfect target for fantasy because the talent is there, but the fatigue is high.
59:49Yeah, the injury history is why he's low. I mean, if he had played a full season last year or even the year prior...
59:57Or ever. Or ever. He'd be drafted higher. If he had ever played a season.
60:02Yeah. I mean, and that is genuinely still the worry.
60:05Like, when I think about drafting Christian Watson, I'm still a little gun-shy because of, like, the injury history.
60:12He's just never been able to stay healthy. But if you're getting him at, like, the 6-7 turn...
60:18Upside. Absolutely. The injury risk is baked in there.
60:21I walked into that one. He grew up. All right.
60:24Well, I'm going to take a guy who was injured last year.
60:28All right. Omarion Hampton. I am in love with Omarion Hampton.
60:32All offseason, this has been the guy that I haven't really pivoted from.
60:36Everything is set up for him to dominate. I loved him coming out of college.
60:41I think he is a phenomenal three-down fantasy football running back.
60:45What he does is perfect for fantasy football. He is the goal line back.
60:50He had 80% of the goal line carries last year, which would have been fourth in the NFL.
60:56He is a pass-catching running back with a pass-catching...
60:59Pass-running back check-down quarterback. I mean, remember Austin Eckler with Justin Herbert?
61:03In this short rookie season that Hampton had, he averaged 19 routes per game, 3.6 receptions per game.
61:09And he started out as that dude. The first five weeks before the injury, he led all running backs and avoided tackles per carry.
61:17Now the change of everything around him is positive, positive, positive.
61:21I know that their new free agent center got injured.
61:24That does stink. But their offensive line is still significantly better.
61:28I mean, they have two superstar tackles in Joe Ault, Rashawn Slater.
61:32They didn't have either of them last year. They're both back now.
61:36They're both on the field. And they're going to dominate and mow these guys down.
61:41They brought Alec Ingold in the fullback. Where did he come from?
61:45Oh, he came from Mike McDaniel's team that runs this outside zone to great success with a fullback, getting guys out, pulling,
61:52and breaking away opportunities for Devon Achan. Devon Achan was the second highest yards per route run on those outside zone schemes.
62:00You know who was third? Omari and Hampton. So you've got this team that I think is going to win a ton of games.
62:08They've got a good defense. They're projected to win a lot of games.
62:12You have an offensive line that is better. You have proof from his rookie season of how good he was.
62:19You have an offensive mastermind joining the fray who gets his guys the ball.
62:24Yeah, I know. He says, oh, we're going to go hot hand.
62:28They're going to go hot hand-ton is what they're going to do.
62:32Okay. Because he's going to be- Get this guy out of here.
62:36That's a swish! Get him out of here! Yeah!
62:39I got it. I got it in. That was a swish.
62:43Heck yeah. I had to swipe pages. I couldn't get to the booze.
62:47Woo! Yeah, hot hampton. He's going to get the rock.
62:50Hot. Repeating it is always helpful. Hot hampton. Well, I'll repeat it all season long because he's going to be running with the hot hampton.
62:59Rookie, the thing is, is when you draft a running back in the first round, year two, it pretty much always crushes in fantasy football.
63:0712 of the 15 players in that situation, they average 18 or more opportunities per game.
63:13Those players average 10.3 touchdowns per game. I just think everything is set up.
63:17He's on a great offense. He is fairly alone.
63:20I don't worry about Keaton Mitchell being, you know, the goal line back or the- What about Silky Smooth?
63:27The regular- Vidal Sassoon. Vidal Sassoon is going to be a backup.
63:31He's going to touch the ball enough. He's going to catch the ball enough.
63:36He's going to be around the goal line enough.
63:39And when I look at year two running, it's like, I would definitely take him over Gentie.
63:44The situation is so much better for Hampton. I don't see how he fails.
63:49I thought you said year two guys are awesome.
63:52Yeah, I mean, that's what I'm saying. Gentie is awesome, and I would take Hampton over him.
63:58That's why he's a my guy. All right. I didn't realize I had timed this up so poorly.
64:04Same team. Lad McConkie. Lad McConkie. Bears and Chargers, baby.
64:07I guess so. I didn't even think about it when we had those two guys up on the board.
64:14Two great offenses. For me, Lad McConkie has been the name that has been the most locked on the board for the most amount of time.
64:22To me, this is, you know, Jason's talked a little bit about the context for the offense in Los Angeles.
64:29This is a team favorite to win the division.
64:32It's got Mike McDaniel. You know, Mike McDaniel himself came out and said, essentially, I think it's reasonable as an expectation to
64:40exceed whatever career highs the wide receiver room has had across the board.
64:44There's untapped potential. We've seen great things from Lad McConkie.
64:47But to me, he jumps off the page this year as sort of the JSN story that we got from last year.
64:55JSN was not, if you remember, he was not drafted anywhere near where he was finished or where he finished.
65:01And like Lad had a very disappointing sophomore season.
65:04And you look at the numbers and it's like six fewer targets year to year.
65:10What actually happened was the catch rate plummeted because Justin Herbert was under fire all the time and they had different injuries
65:17and struggles throughout this team, including Herbert's, you know, is Herbert elite?
65:21You know, that's a question that we need answered.
65:24But the situation there with the offensive line improvements, you know, Lad is one of seven wide receivers over the last decade
65:31with 200 plus targets, 1900 receiving yards, 13 touchdowns through two seasons.
65:36The other names, Michael Thomas, Justin Jefferson, Waddle, Chase, good company.
65:39And all of those players, anybody that's ever done that in the history of the league, were all top 24 picks the next year.
65:47Well, that's not the, you know, that that's a tough situation where you're like, Hey, Lad McConkie has the potential to do what JSN does.
65:56There were doubts about JSN being able to play outside.
65:59There's no more Keenan Allen soaking up that league.
66:02I mean, he was the team's leading receiver last year is gone.
66:06And Lad McConkie, I don't think any of us has had doubt about his talent and ability, but, you know, last year,
66:14Keenan Allen cost Lad a ton of numbers, a ton of production.
66:18This team has a lot of potential. And the biggest problem with the Chargers is just the what will go wrong narrative.
66:25What's going to happen? I mean, that's the same thing I think about with Hampton.
66:30It's like, I traded Hampton. Do I want to?
66:33Not really. We loved him coming out of college, but I'm afraid of what's going to go wrong on this team.
66:40Lad McConkie is more than a slot receiver. His horizontal breaking routes, that's the bread and butter, but he can go deep.
66:48Last year, best yards per route run on go routes.
66:51Puka, Jaden Reed, AJ Brown, Lad McConkie. He was number four.
66:55And the draft cost is a round discount from last year.
66:58Yes, he was overdrafted last year. People expected that rookie season to continue and him to finish as a top 12 guy again.
67:06Didn't happen, but now you get a discount. So for me, I think this is one of those ones that seems really obvious.
67:14Mike McDaniel, Justin Herbert, a loss of their leading receiver last year.
67:18You're not going to have volume production out of Trey Harris.
67:22You're not going to have volume production out of Quentin Johnston.
67:25You're going to have Lad McConkie be the key cog in the receiving game.
67:30So that's why he's my guy. Lad McConkie is going to crush this year.
67:35He is going to be so good. Keenan Allen was the wide receiver eight a couple years ago.
67:41So Keenan being gone, Lad being the clear best wide.
67:44I mean, I like Trey Harris. You know, there's a place for huge down the field.
67:50The ball is moving through Lad and Hampton on a great offense.
67:54I mean, they move Tyreek and Waddell around all the time under Mike McDaniel.
67:58They're going to move Lad around. He's not just going to play in the slot.
68:03He's going to be outside. He's going to be moved around and focused on.
68:08And he wins. He wins down the field. My concerns early in the offseason, again, Andy, it's never been talent.
68:15It was, man, how do you have the rookie season that McConkie had?
68:19And then you bring in Keenan Allen and you're just like feels like you've replaced a second year player who looks like
68:27he was about to be a superstar. Like that felt really bad.
68:31It was weird. It took some time to get over that of are they going to do the right thing?
68:38Of our opinion, would they do the right thing and make sure that Lad McConkie is the focal piece of the passing offense?
68:45And over the offseason, my concerns have lowered. Yeah, McDaniel will do that.
68:50Yes. And, you know, it feels – it's always funky and funny when you get to like the end result and you're
68:57like, I can't believe I had some concerns about it.
69:00But last year was – like that was so weird.
69:04But we're washing that away just like they washed away G-Row and then they bring in Mike McDaniels.
69:10So far, I mean, my read on Lad, rookie year I was all in.
69:15That was great. Yeah. Sophomore year, I was out.
69:18I was out in his draft. I am so in and so jealous that Andy got Lad.
69:23He's going to – he's so good at football.
69:26Did you guys see the latest breaking news? Really smart work.
69:30Do I need to hit a button? No, it's not that important, but it's just really, really smart work from Michael Penix.
69:37He will not play in preseason week three. So I can only assume he will be the starter.
69:44He's going to let Tua give him the job.
69:47Is that like skipping a political debate? Yeah. Yeah.
69:50And then if you know that your opponents are going to fail on that stage, let them do work.
69:56Skip the debate. Just a quick blurb. Luther Burden returned to practice.
70:00That seems good. You're my guy. Yeah. We love it.
70:03Yeah, we love it. We do need those weapons there.
70:07Thursday, mock draft episode. Friday, Fantasy Time Machine. Friday night, we will be live at the Van Buren for our Megalist show.
70:14Bold predictions episode. So that means everybody out there listening, watching that isn't going to be there gets a bonus episode of
70:22the show released on Saturday, which is super exciting.
70:25You get an extra episode this week. The Ultimate Draft Kit for the weekend.
70:29UltimateDraftKit.com. If you want to play in the Megalobowl, that's Megalobowl.com.
70:33And we are saying goodbye. But only till tomorrow, folks.
70:36Hopefully you'll share your comments with us. I'm sure you will for all of those my guys.
70:42Whether you're surprised, ashamed. We'll see what happens. Goodbye.
70:45Thank you for listening to another episode of the Fantasy Footballers Podcast.
70:49Join our fantasy football community on JoinTheFoot.com. And follow us on Twitter at TheFFBallers.