NFL fantasy football news and player signals for Wednesday, June 17, 2026
A crawlable daily synthesis of the player-specific takes STACKED extracted from monitored podcasts, videos, articles, and social posts.
Players driving the slate
Caleb Williams
14 signals14 positive across News, Projection, Role.
Colston Loveland
14 signals14 positive across Breakout, News, Projection.
Jerry Jeudy
14 signals14 positive across Breakout, Depth Chart, Projection.
Josh Allen
12 signals5 positive, 7 negative across Matchup, News, Projection.
George Kittle
11 signals7 positive, 4 negative across Injury, News, Projection.
Harold Fannin
10 signals5 positive, 5 negative across Breakout, Depth Chart, Injury.
Kyle Pitts
9 signals9 positive across Breakout, Matchup, News.
Nico Collins
9 signals9 positive across Projection, Role, Usage.
All extracted player insights
JD5 ➜ Scary Terry (via @Commanders)
Great day to be great and draft Jerry Jeudy! [Quoted](
“Moore was a consistent presence for Young in the passing game during OTAs with McMillan (foot) sidelined.” He’s not sexy but keep an eye on Moore for low end fantasy production.
Tyler Shough on Jordyn Tyson: “Yeah we are hanging out every other day.. We’re hanging out watching movies, watching NBA Finals, coming over having food together. He’s such a great guy.” (@BootKreweMedia)
In 11 on 11: Geno Smith goes 2-for-3 in hurry up. Garrett Wilson makes a nice grab on a deep ball. Ball inside the 10, Mason Taylor drops a laser in the end zone, then Smith takes a sack (officials didn’t blow it dead; plays continues with Cisco INT). #Jets
In 11 on 11: Geno Smith goes 2-for-3 in hurry up. Garrett Wilson makes a nice grab on a deep ball. Ball inside the 10, Mason Taylor drops a laser in the end zone, then Smith takes a sack (officials didn’t blow it dead; plays continues with Cisco INT). #Jets
In 11 on 11: Geno Smith goes 2-for-3 in hurry up. Garrett Wilson makes a nice grab on a deep ball. Ball inside the 10, Mason Taylor drops a laser in the end zone, then Smith takes a sack (officials didn’t blow it dead; plays continues with Cisco INT). #Jets
Tyler Shough to Chris Olave, get used to seeing this connection #Saints
Minicamp day 2 - Solely 7v7 again - Media got to watch Justin Herbert throw during a team period for the first time in a month. He was solid, but it was clear that he was still getting timing down with receivers. Not much completed deep -Derwin James intercepted Trey Lance -DJ Uiageleli had a nice ball to Oronde Gadsden that was over the arms of Daiyan Henley. Uiageleli has looked good so far - Ladd McConkey caught passes at a standstill in individuals - Henley forced a fumble on Tre’ Harris
Minicamp day 2 - Solely 7v7 again - Media got to watch Justin Herbert throw during a team period for the first time in a month. He was solid, but it was clear that he was still getting timing down with receivers. Not much completed deep -Derwin James intercepted Trey Lance -DJ Uiageleli had a nice ball to Oronde Gadsden that was over the arms of Daiyan Henley. Uiageleli has looked good so far - Ladd McConkey caught passes at a standstill in individuals - Henley forced a fumble on Tre’ Harris
Minicamp day 2 - Solely 7v7 again - Media got to watch Justin Herbert throw during a team period for the first time in a month. He was solid, but it was clear that he was still getting timing down with receivers. Not much completed deep -Derwin James intercepted Trey Lance -DJ Uiageleli had a nice ball to Oronde Gadsden that was over the arms of Daiyan Henley. Uiageleli has looked good so far - Ladd McConkey caught passes at a standstill in individuals - Henley forced a fumble on Tre’ Harris
Minicamp day 2 - Solely 7v7 again - Media got to watch Justin Herbert throw during a team period for the first time in a month. He was solid, but it was clear that he was still getting timing down with receivers. Not much completed deep -Derwin James intercepted Trey Lance -DJ Uiageleli had a nice ball to Oronde Gadsden that was over the arms of Daiyan Henley. Uiageleli has looked good so far - Ladd McConkey caught passes at a standstill in individuals - Henley forced a fumble on Tre’ Harris
Minicamp day 2 - Solely 7v7 again - Media got to watch Justin Herbert throw during a team period for the first time in a month. He was solid, but it was clear that he was still getting timing down with receivers. Not much completed deep -Derwin James intercepted Trey Lance -DJ Uiageleli had a nice ball to Oronde Gadsden that was over the arms of Daiyan Henley. Uiageleli has looked good so far - Ladd McConkey caught passes at a standstill in individuals - Henley forced a fumble on Tre’ Harris
Minicamp day 2 - Solely 7v7 again - Media got to watch Justin Herbert throw during a team period for the first time in a month. He was solid, but it was clear that he was still getting timing down with receivers. Not much completed deep -Derwin James intercepted Trey Lance -DJ Uiageleli had a nice ball to Oronde Gadsden that was over the arms of Daiyan Henley. Uiageleli has looked good so far - Ladd McConkey caught passes at a standstill in individuals - Henley forced a fumble on Tre’ Harris
Most PPR points by a wide receiver in the first five seasons of their career in NFL history
Blue is to the RB depth chart as Turpin is to the WR depth chart [Retweeted](
Javonte Williams didn’t participate in team drills today. Phil Mafah had the first rep with the starters and Jaydon Blue had the second.
Javonte Williams didn’t participate in team drills today. Phil Mafah had the first rep with the starters and Jaydon Blue had the second.
Javonte Williams didn’t participate in team drills today. Phil Mafah had the first rep with the starters and Jaydon Blue had the second.
History does not look great, if betting on a Bucky Irving bounce-back. Do you still believe?
Defenders vs Cam Skattebo
Zay Flowers has a new OC and it’s like nobody cares?
"The Browns have gotten near-full participation this spring from C/G Elgton Jenkins and RB Quinshon Judkins." Judkins and Skattebo are attempting to buck the small sample of skill players struggling off dislocated ankles. Practicing this early helps. <https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7346035/2026/06/10/browns-minicamp-observations-shedeur-sanders-deshaun-watson/>
"Despite the gruesome nature of Cam Skattebo’s injury last October, his recovery from a dislocated ankle, fractured fibula and ruptured deltoid ligament was relatively straightforward." He was in 11-on-11 in the final two minicamp practices. <https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7352160/2026/06/12/ny-giants-malik-nabers-john-harbaugh-minicamp/>
"Isiah Likely was Jaxson Dart’s favorite target in open practices this spring, with the athletic tight end proving to be dangerous on crossing routes. Expect the Giants to manufacture touches for Likely on screens." Redraft punt TE for Weeks 1-4. <https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7352160/2026/06/12/ny-giants-malik-nabers-john-harbaugh-minicamp/>
Dylan Sampson's 2.01 YPRR last year ranked 2nd among RBs, behind only Bijan Robinson. He's one of only two rookie RBs in the @FantasyPtsData era to hit 2.00 YPRR as a rookie (the other is Breece Hall).
Dylan Sampson's 2.01 YPRR last year ranked 2nd among RBs, behind only Bijan Robinson. He's one of only two rookie RBs in the @FantasyPtsData era to hit 2.00 YPRR as a rookie (the other is Breece Hall).
A different player has led Todd Monken's backfield in rush attempts/game and targets/game during every season he's coached. For reference, Quinshon Judkins averaged 2.4 targets per game last year. Just 1 of 7 RBs on the left have hit that target mark*
Jonah Coleman hype 👀🥶📈 [Quoted](
Standouts during OTAs and mandatory minicamp: — Jaylen Waddle: His speed his different and real — Evan Engram: He’s been very productive as a receiver — Que Robinson: Had a number of sacks and has impressed the coaching staff. Viewed as a future starter — Jonah Coleman: He’s NFL ready and looks the part — WR depth: Troy Franklin, Pat Bryant and Marvin Mims all look good
Standouts during OTAs and mandatory minicamp: — Jaylen Waddle: His speed his different and real — Evan Engram: He’s been very productive as a receiver — Que Robinson: Had a number of sacks and has impressed the coaching staff. Viewed as a future starter — Jonah Coleman: He’s NFL ready and looks the part — WR depth: Troy Franklin, Pat Bryant and Marvin Mims all look good
Standouts during OTAs and mandatory minicamp: — Jaylen Waddle: His speed his different and real — Evan Engram: He’s been very productive as a receiver — Que Robinson: Had a number of sacks and has impressed the coaching staff. Viewed as a future starter — Jonah Coleman: He’s NFL ready and looks the part — WR depth: Troy Franklin, Pat Bryant and Marvin Mims all look good
Standouts during OTAs and mandatory minicamp: — Jaylen Waddle: His speed his different and real — Evan Engram: He’s been very productive as a receiver — Que Robinson: Had a number of sacks and has impressed the coaching staff. Viewed as a future starter — Jonah Coleman: He’s NFL ready and looks the part — WR depth: Troy Franklin, Pat Bryant and Marvin Mims all look good
Standouts during OTAs and mandatory minicamp: — Jaylen Waddle: His speed his different and real — Evan Engram: He’s been very productive as a receiver — Que Robinson: Had a number of sacks and has impressed the coaching staff. Viewed as a future starter — Jonah Coleman: He’s NFL ready and looks the part — WR depth: Troy Franklin, Pat Bryant and Marvin Mims all look good
Standouts during OTAs and mandatory minicamp: — Jaylen Waddle: His speed his different and real — Evan Engram: He’s been very productive as a receiver — Que Robinson: Had a number of sacks and has impressed the coaching staff. Viewed as a future starter — Jonah Coleman: He’s NFL ready and looks the part — WR depth: Troy Franklin, Pat Bryant and Marvin Mims all look good
Jordyn Tyson has effortless bounce
yea Tua gonna take the QB1 job
I had Cam Ward 18 of 29 overall today. No 7 on 7 today. All move periods. No TDs, but no turnovers. Overall a pretty good day for QB1.
Mitch Trubisky 20 of 26 2 TD passes. Will Levis 6 of 10, 1 INT
Rashee Rice is going to be a late 2nd rounder by July and it’s going to be the most predictable ADP rise of all time
People on SNAP are the ones calling Justin Herbert overrated and yes it is ruining my life.
Some notes from the final day of #Saints minicamp: - Cam Jordan in attendance but not in team drills (ramp-up szn). Devaughn Vele absent for the first time. Otherwise attendance was similar to what we’ve seen. - Christen Miller a full go again today. Jordyn Tyson still limited, but did get into walkthroughs and seemed to be moving well. - Bryce Lance has really gotten some a chance to shine with WR absences. Had two TDs today during red zone work. - Another busy day with two sets of 11-on-11...
Some notes from the final day of #Saints minicamp: - Cam Jordan in attendance but not in team drills (ramp-up szn). Devaughn Vele absent for the first time. Otherwise attendance was similar to what we’ve seen. - Christen Miller a full go again today. Jordyn Tyson still limited, but did get into walkthroughs and seemed to be moving well. - Bryce Lance has really gotten some a chance to shine with WR absences. Had two TDs today during red zone work. - Another busy day with two sets of 11-on-11...
Some notes from the final day of #Saints minicamp: - Cam Jordan in attendance but not in team drills (ramp-up szn). Devaughn Vele absent for the first time. Otherwise attendance was similar to what we’ve seen. - Christen Miller a full go again today. Jordyn Tyson still limited, but did get into walkthroughs and seemed to be moving well. - Bryce Lance has really gotten some a chance to shine with WR absences. Had two TDs today during red zone work. - Another busy day with two sets of 11-on-11...
Some notes from the final day of #Saints minicamp: - Cam Jordan in attendance but not in team drills (ramp-up szn). Devaughn Vele absent for the first time. Otherwise attendance was similar to what we’ve seen. - Christen Miller a full go again today. Jordyn Tyson still limited, but did get into walkthroughs and seemed to be moving well. - Bryce Lance has really gotten some a chance to shine with WR absences. Had two TDs today during red zone work. - Another busy day with two sets of 11-on-11...
Titans QB Coach Shea Tierney on Cam Ward: “We have a guy who's really committed to the game, is always thinking about it and really just has that hunger to be great.”
There was a Xavier Restrepo body contortion catch today that I would bet infinity dollars we see on @Titans socials before sundown.
Practice is over. Another light competition day. - No AD Mitchell today. Offense didn’t have the best day either. - Good day for Josseph Ossai & D-Line. Thought they simulated pressure well. - Need more from Mason Taylor. Bad drop on what would’ve been a TD. - Safety rotation will be interesting to see how it’s handled in camp but they’re a lot faster as a group. #Jets
Van Jefferson walkoff TD catch to end practice. Nice grab corner of the end zone
2026 Las Vegas Raiders fantasy football team preview! -When will Fernando Mendoza get his first start? (My guess: Week 6) -Ashton Jeanty year two boom?!? -WHAT THE HELL IS THIS WR ROOM -Brock Bowers THE TE1 -MORE ✍️ <https://www.fantasylife.com/articles/fantasy/las-vegas-raiders-fantasy-football-team-preview-for-2026>
2026 Las Vegas Raiders fantasy football team preview! -When will Fernando Mendoza get his first start? (My guess: Week 6) -Ashton Jeanty year two boom?!? -WHAT THE HELL IS THIS WR ROOM -Brock Bowers THE TE1 -MORE ✍️ <https://www.fantasylife.com/articles/fantasy/las-vegas-raiders-fantasy-football-team-preview-for-2026>
2026 Las Vegas Raiders fantasy football team preview! -When will Fernando Mendoza get his first start? (My guess: Week 6) -Ashton Jeanty year two boom?!? -WHAT THE HELL IS THIS WR ROOM -Brock Bowers THE TE1 -MORE ✍️ <https://www.fantasylife.com/articles/fantasy/las-vegas-raiders-fantasy-football-team-preview-for-2026>
Cam Little rn: [Quoted](
Solak's claim that Sorsby clears Beck as a prospect triggers mixed reaction. Some commenters agree Beck is poor (undrafted in superflex, picked up for $8 waiver; started in National Championship but threw 69 yards vs. 7–6 Nebraska; publicly dated porn stars). Others defend Beck: started in CFP games, has more college pedigree than Sorsby. Consensus: neither QB is fantasy-relevant in 1QB leagues; both carry red flags (Beck: poor mechanics/decision-making; Sorsby: gambling/character). Fantasy managers unlikely to target either in standard formats.
Rachaad White and Bill catching some balls out of the backfield
Jets minicamp: QB Cade Klubnik, who didn’t practice yesterday, is back on the field but he’s not participating in positional drills. Standing behind the QBs and taking “mental reps.” #Jets
7-on-7 work today for the #Jets Three straight completions: one to Breeece, one to Mason Taylor over the middle and a circus grab from GW. Nice grab going across his body to make the play.
7-on-7 work today for the #Jets Three straight completions: one to Breeece, one to Mason Taylor over the middle and a circus grab from GW. Nice grab going across his body to make the play.
What round are you comfortable taking Jeremiyah Love in fantasy drafts?
Drake Maye and A.J. Brown light the league on fire in 2026 Beyond the Box Score with @DanSchneierNFL: <https://youtu.be/e6hOnjEw0FA?is=fbnWySmRaeQuKS6S>
Drake Maye and A.J. Brown light the league on fire in 2026 Beyond the Box Score with @DanSchneierNFL: <https://youtu.be/e6hOnjEw0FA?is=fbnWySmRaeQuKS6S>
Trevor Lawrence and Liam Coen cooked in their first season together. @DanSchneierNFL and I see several paths to an even better Jacksonville Jaguars season in 2026. Beyond the Box Score: <https://youtu.be/JrfnHx3qIow?si=-8BtxCgW0Sesdct9>
Jets OC Frank Reich on Geno Smith: "I am just so impressed by Geno. I can not express that enough. Man, he is on point. His preparation is top notch. His football mind is elite.” (@ZackBlatt)
Speed WR in crowded Eagles room; Wicks expected to get more snaps overall as physical outside option. One comment suggests he's 'droppable' with Wicks emerging.
Expected to be second-most-targeted Eagles pass catcher after Smith; will serve as safety valve for Hurts. Some concern about TD regression from 'gimmicky redzone TDs' but target volume should remain solid.
Rookie slot WR sidelined by hamstring injury, creating opportunity for Wicks in two-WR sets. Expected to play slot role when healthy; different player profile than Wicks (small slot guy vs. outside physical WR).
Described as 1A in Eagles passing attack with elite release against press coverage; expected to play X position and be primary fantasy asset. only Eagles pass catcher worth trusting long-term; 'absolutely a real outside guy' with best-in-league press release.
Mentioned as QB needing safety valve targets; Goedert expected to fill that role with increased target volume despite potential TD regression.
Seeing snaps in two-WR sets with Lemon sidelined by hamstring injury; positioned as outside WR while Lemon plays slot. New OC from Packers system (reason for trade) may boost familiarity. Community split: late-round dart with upside if drops improve (21 of 30 catches went for 1st downs in GB; 3 drops as rookie, 2 last year); vs. skeptics citing drop-prone history and crowded Eagles passing attack (Devonta Smith, Goedert, Hollywood Brown, Lemon). Wicks described as only true outside/physical WR on roster; could be Agholor-type replacement. Early-season waiver target vs. Washington Week 1 but unlikely top-20 fantasy asset long-term.
SleeperNFL’s Top 10 TE Rankings: 1) Brock Bowers 2) Trey McBride 3) George Kittle 4) Tucker Kraft 5) Colston Loveland 6) Tyler Warren 7) Harold Fannin Jr. 8) Kyle Pitts 9) Sam LaPorta 10) Travis Kelce What would you change? 🤔
SleeperNFL’s Top 10 TE Rankings: 1) Brock Bowers 2) Trey McBride 3) George Kittle 4) Tucker Kraft 5) Colston Loveland 6) Tyler Warren 7) Harold Fannin Jr. 8) Kyle Pitts 9) Sam LaPorta 10) Travis Kelce What would you change? 🤔
SleeperNFL’s Top 10 TE Rankings: 1) Brock Bowers 2) Trey McBride 3) George Kittle 4) Tucker Kraft 5) Colston Loveland 6) Tyler Warren 7) Harold Fannin Jr. 8) Kyle Pitts 9) Sam LaPorta 10) Travis Kelce What would you change? 🤔
SleeperNFL’s Top 10 TE Rankings: 1) Brock Bowers 2) Trey McBride 3) George Kittle 4) Tucker Kraft 5) Colston Loveland 6) Tyler Warren 7) Harold Fannin Jr. 8) Kyle Pitts 9) Sam LaPorta 10) Travis Kelce What would you change? 🤔
SleeperNFL’s Top 10 TE Rankings: 1) Brock Bowers 2) Trey McBride 3) George Kittle 4) Tucker Kraft 5) Colston Loveland 6) Tyler Warren 7) Harold Fannin Jr. 8) Kyle Pitts 9) Sam LaPorta 10) Travis Kelce What would you change? 🤔
SleeperNFL’s Top 10 TE Rankings: 1) Brock Bowers 2) Trey McBride 3) George Kittle 4) Tucker Kraft 5) Colston Loveland 6) Tyler Warren 7) Harold Fannin Jr. 8) Kyle Pitts 9) Sam LaPorta 10) Travis Kelce What would you change? 🤔
SleeperNFL’s Top 10 TE Rankings: 1) Brock Bowers 2) Trey McBride 3) George Kittle 4) Tucker Kraft 5) Colston Loveland 6) Tyler Warren 7) Harold Fannin Jr. 8) Kyle Pitts 9) Sam LaPorta 10) Travis Kelce What would you change? 🤔
SleeperNFL’s Top 10 TE Rankings: 1) Brock Bowers 2) Trey McBride 3) George Kittle 4) Tucker Kraft 5) Colton Loveland 6) Tyler Warren 7) Harold Fannin Jr. 8) Kyle Pitts 9) Sam LaPorta 10) Travis Kelce What would you change? 🤔
SleeperNFL’s Top 10 TE Rankings: 1) Brock Bowers 2) Trey McBride 3) George Kittle 4) Tucker Kraft 5) Colton Loveland 6) Tyler Warren 7) Harold Fannin Jr. 8) Kyle Pitts 9) Sam LaPorta 10) Travis Kelce What would you change? 🤔
SleeperNFL’s Top 10 TE Rankings: 1) Brock Bowers 2) Trey McBride 3) George Kittle 4) Tucker Kraft 5) Colton Loveland 6) Tyler Warren 7) Harold Fannin Jr. 8) Kyle Pitts 9) Sam LaPorta 10) Travis Kelce What would you change? 🤔
SleeperNFL’s Top 10 TE Rankings: 1) Brock Bowers 2) Trey McBride 3) George Kittle 4) Tucker Kraft 5) Colton Loveland 6) Tyler Warren 7) Harold Fannin Jr. 8) Kyle Pitts 9) Sam LaPorta 10) Travis Kelce What would you change? 🤔
SleeperNFL’s Top 10 TE Rankings: 1) Brock Bowers 2) Trey McBride 3) George Kittle 4) Tucker Kraft 5) Colton Loveland 6) Tyler Warren 7) Harold Fannin Jr. 8) Kyle Pitts 9) Sam LaPorta 10) Travis Kelce What would you change? 🤔
SleeperNFL’s Top 10 TE Rankings: 1) Brock Bowers 2) Trey McBride 3) George Kittle 4) Tucker Kraft 5) Colton Loveland 6) Tyler Warren 7) Harold Fannin Jr. 8) Kyle Pitts 9) Sam LaPorta 10) Travis Kelce What would you change? 🤔
SleeperNFL’s Top 10 TE Rankings: 1) Brock Bowers 2) Trey McBride 3) George Kittle 4) Tucker Kraft 5) Colton Loveland 6) Tyler Warren 7) Harold Fannin Jr. 8) Kyle Pitts 9) Sam LaPorta 10) Travis Kelce What would you change? 🤔
No surprise as Kalif Raymond is gone. But at OTAs Isaac Teslaa been a "mainstay" in Lions 3-WR base formations, per The Athletic. Don't think route volume will be an issue for Teslaa this season. It's just tough to earn targets when competing with ARSB, Jameson Williams, Sam LaPorta, Jahmyr Gibbs. We are at 177 on Teslaa right now, in the range with plenty of other upside WR stabs like Denzel Boston, Ryan Flournoy, Tre Harris, AD Mitchell etc. <https://establishtherun.com/etrs-top-300-for-dra...
Cowboys TE Jake Ferguson on HC Brian Schottenheimer: “You know what the right word is? He feels more dangerous. I feel more of a dangerous sense from him, like he's in his bag, you could say… You can see it and you can feel the energy. It's there."
YES OR NO - Will Josh Allen win a Super Bowl on the Bills?
KEEP/TRADE/CUT - 2026: Terry McLaurin Mike Evans Parker Washington
KEEP/TRADE/CUT - 2026: Terry McLaurin Mike Evans Parker Washington
KEEP/TRADE/CUT - 2026: Terry McLaurin Mike Evans Parker Washington
KYLER MURRAY MY GOAT! NEVER DISSED!!!
From yesterday’s notebook, some words on the impressive starts by Zachariah Branch and Harold Perkins Jr. for @AJCsports:
I'm sure Makai Lemon is going to be a very good wide reciever but this is a 3-yard gain people lmao [Quoted](
Caleb Williams vs Brock Purdy
Caleb Williams vs Brock Purdy
Broncos QB Bo Nix is on track to be ready for training camp after undergoing an additional ankle surgery to clean out bone spurs. Story via @Jeff_Legwold: <https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/49087824/broncos-bo-nix-track-training-camp-says-second-ankle-surgery-was-bone-spurs> [Retweeted](
Jaguars' Reported J.K. Dobbins FA Interest Adds Another Layer to RB Debate <https://www.si.com/nfl/jaguars/onsi/jacksonville-reported-j-k-dobbins-fa-interest-adds-another-layer-rb-debate> [Retweeted](
Wide receivers with a 1,200+ yard season to their name since 2024 and their current Underdog ADP: -Ja'Marr Chase (WR1) -Puka Nacua (WR2) -Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR3) -Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR4) -Justin Jefferson (WR6) -Drake London (WR7) -George Pickens (WR10) -Malik Nabers (WR14) -Zay Flowers (WR15) ... -Brian Thomas (WR31) ... -Jerry Jeudy (WR74)
Wide receivers with a 1,200+ yard season to their name since 2024 and their current Underdog ADP: -Ja'Marr Chase (WR1) -Puka Nacua (WR2) -Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR3) -Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR4) -Justin Jefferson (WR6) -Drake London (WR7) -George Pickens (WR10) -Malik Nabers (WR14) -Zay Flowers (WR15) ... -Brian Thomas (WR31) ... -Jerry Jeudy (WR74)
Wide receivers with a 1,200+ yard season to their name since 2024 and their current Underdog ADP: -Ja'Marr Chase (WR1) -Puka Nacua (WR2) -Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR3) -Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR4) -Justin Jefferson (WR6) -Drake London (WR7) -George Pickens (WR10) -Malik Nabers (WR14) -Zay Flowers (WR15) ... -Brian Thomas (WR31) ... -Jerry Jeudy (WR74)
Wide receivers with a 1,200+ yard season to their name since 2024 and their current Underdog ADP: -Ja'Marr Chase (WR1) -Puka Nacua (WR2) -Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR3) -Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR4) -Justin Jefferson (WR6) -Drake London (WR7) -George Pickens (WR10) -Malik Nabers (WR14) -Zay Flowers (WR15) ... -Brian Thomas (WR31) ... -Jerry Jeudy (WR74)
Wide receivers with a 1,200+ yard season to their name since 2024 and their current Underdog ADP: -Ja'Marr Chase (WR1) -Puka Nacua (WR2) -Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR3) -Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR4) -Justin Jefferson (WR6) -Drake London (WR7) -George Pickens (WR10) -Malik Nabers (WR14) -Zay Flowers (WR15) ... -Brian Thomas (WR31) ... -Jerry Jeudy (WR74)
Wide receivers with a 1,200+ yard season to their name since 2024 and their current Underdog ADP: -Ja'Marr Chase (WR1) -Puka Nacua (WR2) -Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR3) -Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR4) -Justin Jefferson (WR6) -Drake London (WR7) -George Pickens (WR10) -Malik Nabers (WR14) -Zay Flowers (WR15) ... -Brian Thomas (WR31) ... -Jerry Jeudy (WR74)
Wide receivers with a 1,200+ yard season to their name since 2024 and their current Underdog ADP: -Ja'Marr Chase (WR1) -Puka Nacua (WR2) -Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR3) -Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR4) -Justin Jefferson (WR6) -Drake London (WR7) -George Pickens (WR10) -Malik Nabers (WR14) -Zay Flowers (WR15) ... -Brian Thomas (WR31) ... -Jerry Jeudy (WR74)
Wide receivers with a 1,200+ yard season to their name since 2024 and their current Underdog ADP: -Ja'Marr Chase (WR1) -Puka Nacua (WR2) -Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR3) -Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR4) -Justin Jefferson (WR6) -Drake London (WR7) -George Pickens (WR10) -Malik Nabers (WR14) -Zay Flowers (WR15) ... -Brian Thomas (WR31) ... -Jerry Jeudy (WR74)
Players averaging 2.5+ yards per route run over the past three seasons
Players averaging 2.5+ yards per route run over the past three seasons
Players averaging 2.5+ yards per route run over the past three seasons
Players averaging 2.5+ yards per route run over the past three seasons
Players averaging 2.5+ yards per route run over the past three seasons
Community member questions why Coleman not included in article's four make-or-break WRs. No substantive response or discussion; appears to be a nomination/debate point rather than established analysis.
Mentioned as late-round dart throw in Colts receiving room. Minimal substantive discussion.
Mentioned as late-round dart throw alongside Parker Washington and Coker; route-running comparison to Quentin Johnston noted. Minimal substantive discussion.
Mentioned as competing with Josh Downs for 2WR set snaps in Colts OTAs; 6'2", 215 lb frame vs. Downs' 5'9", 171 lb. Getting more OTA buzz than Downs at this early stage, though community notes this is June noise and Pierce injury could shift dynamics. Size advantage may favor Dulin in 2WR sets.
Community question about 2026 Chargers return status; expressed desire to play for LAC a few months prior but deal not yet done as of thread date. Minimal fantasy impact discussion; appears to be roster/news question rather than fantasy analysis.
Nominated by community as natural 5th make-or-break candidate. Contract extension secures his role; Year 5 with full health and Doubs/Wicks departures create best-case scenario. However, 107 targets in 2024 yielded mediocre fantasy production; struggles catching in traffic and contested situations; size/strength concerns vs. Jones' preference for bigger targets. Community split: optimistic on volume upside if Packers shift to pass-first offense (100+ additional targets available), but skeptical on weekly consistency and endzone usage. Late-round bench stash to mid-round swing depending on offensive volume shift and health.
Listed as one of four make-or-break WRs in article; minimal Reddit discussion. No specific community pushback or endorsement; appears to be accepted as a known commodity rather than a debate point in this thread.
Listed as one of four make-or-break WRs in article; minimal Reddit discussion. No specific community pushback or endorsement; appears to be accepted as a known commodity rather than a debate point in this thread.
Article lists Johnston as make-or-break; community sentiment shifts bullish on his 2026 outlook. Chargers OLine was dead-last in pass protection in 2025, hindering deep shots; new OLine help and McDaniel's quick-game emphasis (Herbert footwork adjustments) should unlock Johnston's YAC and athleticism. Likely in 2WR sets over Ladd (who has injury concerns). Priced as early/mid 2nd on KTC; community buying at cost. Route-running vs. Tre Harris debate noted. Harbaugh's offensive philosophy and Alt injury context suggest Johnston was miscast as pure deep threat; quick-game role better suits his size and athleticism.
Article frames Downs as make-or-break; community heavily bullish on his polished route-running and undersized frame playing above it, citing 2024 as his best season and recent Pierce injury as upside catalyst. However, significant ceiling risk: Colts' target competition and DJ Jones' apparent preference for other receivers limited him in 2025; Downs' 5'9", 171 lb frame may relegate him to 3WR sets only, capping volume. Ashton Dulin (6'2", 215 lb) getting OTA buzz in 2WR competition. Downs outperforms current ADP if he breaks into 2WR sets and gets early volume, but size and QB attention remain volatility concerns; late-round bench stash to mid-round swing depending on role clarity.
The Giants spent money to bring Isaiah Likely over from Baltimore. Unlike Theo Johnson who is an inline tight end, Likely is a big slot player and move tight end type, giving the Giants more versatility in their tight end usage and affecting the snap distribution for receivers in the slot.
Theo Johnson remains on the Giants roster as an inline tight end. Matt Harmon references Max Toscano's prior characterization of Johnson as an underrated player, noting Johnson has had issues catching the football but is otherwise a good player who is developing. Johnson's presence as an inline tight end affects the snap distribution for receivers like Malachi Fields.
Darnell Mooney was brought in by the Giants and has history with head coach Matt Nagy from their time together in Chicago. Matt Harmon notes he preferred Mooney's usage in Atlanta to his usage in Chicago, but expresses concern about Nagy's coaching style limiting the offensive potential. Harmon projects Mooney as a Z receiver in the Giants' formation, suggesting a secondary role in the offense.
Malik Nabers will continue to operate in multiple alignments across the Giants offense, with potential to move to X receiver in some packages to accommodate Malachi Fields' role as a boundary receiver and Darius Slayton's shift to flanker.
Matt Harmon doubts Slayton will have a significant role on the Giants given the team's recent acquisitions: they traded up for Malachi Fields, brought in Calvin Austin, and added Darnell Mooney. Harmon sees Slayton as a potential sacrificial X receiver at times, but not a primary target in the new offensive scheme. With Fields joining the Giants, Slayton is expected to move to flanker role to accommodate Fields as the primary outside X receiver. The coaching staff will likely deploy Fields on the boundary as a ball-winning downfield threat, which shifts Slayton's role and snap distribution.
Giants traded up (including a 2027 fourth-round pick) to select Fields at 3.10 (10th pick in third round). Matt Harmon likes the move despite production-based concerns; Fields showed elite athleticism (38-inch vertical, 10-4 broad jump) but ran a 4.61 40-time (tight end speed). Former quarterback still relatively new to wide receiver position; Lance Zierlein compared him to Michael Pittman type. Harmon notes wide range of pre-draft opinions—some early first-round buzz before the 40-time—and acknowledges production-based analysts dislike him for lack of college breakout season and being an older prospect, but believes tape shows promise beyond production metrics. Fields projects as hybrid slot/boundary receiver with approximately 30% slot snaps plus boundary work, leveraging his 6'4", 210+ lb frame for contested catches and vertical routes. Excels against zone coverage (63rd percentile success rate, 81.6% success rate on in-breaking routes) due to quarterback background enabling him to diagnose zone coverage and work back to the football. Struggles to separate on vertical routes against press man coverage (below 35th percentile success rate) and has low nine-route and post-route success rates. Should see at least 30% slot snaps given his ability to play both on and off the ball, which allows Giants to move Malik Neighbors around while keeping Fields on the field. Elite contested catch ability in tight coverage, with specific skill of climbing the ladder and winning upstairs, which pairs well with QB Jackson Dart's throwing style of going up and letting receivers go get it. Fields runs curl routes at 81% success rate (his best route) and stop routes where he generates best separation against man coverage; Dart specifically loves throwing contested go routes and deeper 10-yard stop routes on the boundary, creating natural alignment between receiver skill set and quarterback preference. Giants traded up to target Fields, suggesting intentional quarterback-receiver pairing.
Tyson is the speaker's favorite rookie on the board, a top-10 pick for the Saints in a historically favorable environment. The Saints ranked first in pass rate over expectation, have the highest pace of play (lowest seconds per play), play in a dome, and face a top-3 playoff strength of schedule. With Rashid Shaheed traded to Seattle (66 targets vacated), De'Von Achane on season-ending IR (35 targets vacated), and Juwan Johnson forced into high volume (6–9 targets per game), Tyson will absorb significant target share from Johnson. The combination of pace, volume, target vacuum, and schedule creates a major breakout opportunity in his rookie season. The speaker trusts the Saints offensive situation 'a thousand times more' than the Tennessee Titans offensive situation, implying Tyson's environment is significantly more favorable than comparable rookie alternatives.
Harrison Jr. is the riskiest player on the board due to multiple compounding factors. He underperformed in 2025 with no real material changes going into 2026, making him a 'big time fade' similar to his fade status heading into 2025. However, the arrival of LaFleur as OC and Kyler Murray's departure make the upside case easier to make for a fourth or fifth year breakout. The systemic risk of the Arizona Cardinals offense, target competition from Trey McBride and Michael Wilson, and uncertainty around Jacoby Brissett's sustainability (he may not repeat 400-yard passing games in year two as defenses adjust) compound the downside. There's a real chance of Carson Beck starts, which the speaker views as a significant downside risk. Harrison Jr. has a 63% catchable target rate since joining the NFL, the second-lowest in that span; the speaker attributes much of the downside to environmental factors rather than talent. Under new coach LaFleur, he will be moved around more and used in creative ways beyond just outside X receiver. Projected to see 7–10 targets per game, turning into 11–12 targets, 1,300 yards, and red zone opportunities if the Cardinals pass 35–40 times per game.
Burden is positioned as a league-breaking upside candidate in Chicago's condensed receiver room with Ben Johnson's system and Caleb Williams improving in year two. Upside scenario includes 80 receptions for 1,108 yards if he 'pops off' in 2026, suggesting he's in the conversation for major breakout potential alongside other Bears pass-catchers.
Vegas projects Odunze at 825.5 receptions for 2026, highest among Chicago receivers. Despite disappointing 2025 (63.3% catchable target rate, 81st among WRs), he remains a top-tier separator and route runner; the issue was accuracy on deep targets (40.4% of team's deep targets). With DJ Moore's screen-game usage now available and Caleb Williams improving in year two of Ben Johnson's offense, Odunze has a floor of 20–25 screen receptions and realistic upside for an Allen Robinson-type 80-reception, 1,410-yard season. The speaker drafted him in multiple spots last year but notes the real-life situation didn't allow projections to reach a super high upside case in 2025, suggesting improved environment could unlock that ceiling in 2026.
Mooney is going at the end of the fifth round and should see expanded opportunities in Year 2 of Ben Johnson's Bears offense now that Allen Robinson (who played heavily in the first half of 2025 and sidelined Mooney) and DJ Moore (traded to Buffalo) are out of the way. With both blockers removed, the offensive playmaking should be extremely condensed around Bears receivers including Mooney, Cole Kmet, and Robert Tonyan as Caleb Williams is expected to make a big jump in his second year.
League Breaking Upside notes Kmet was drafted by Ben Johnson in 2025 and broke out in the second half of the year. Vegas projects him at 750 receptions for 2026. With DJ Moore (traded to Buffalo) and Allen Robinson now out of the way, Kmet's role should expand significantly in Year 2 of Ben Johnson's offense as Caleb Williams is expected to make a big jump. Expected to continue his breakout trajectory as one of only two primary pass-catchers (alongside Rome Odunze) in Chicago's condensed receiving room.
Tonyan is one of three Chicago Bears pass-catchers (alongside Cole Kmet and Allen Robinson) drafted in the fourth round by Ben Johnson; with DJ Moore and Allen Robinson now out of the way, Tonyan's role should expand significantly in Year 2 of Ben Johnson's offense as Caleb Williams is expected to make a big jump. The source expects the offensive playmaking to be extremely condensed around these Bears receivers, making them high-priority targets.
Etienne saw 23 screen targets in 2025, fifth-most among all NFL running backs, behind only Bijan Robinson, Rashad White, and Kenneth Gainwell; this high screen-target volume under Liam Coen's system (which historically emphasizes running back targets) positions him as a pass-catching specialist in Jacksonville's offense alongside early-down workhorse Beeshall Tueton.
Chris Rodriguez is missing summer team activities due to a foot injury that appears more serious than initially reported. Even if healthy by season start, he is characterized as an early-down thumper at best, lacking explosive play and pass-catching ability. He does not score via explosive plays or receiving, limiting his fantasy upside in Jacksonville's high-powered offense. Screen passes will go to Beeshall Tueton instead, positioning Rodriguez as a secondary option in a backfield that scored 20 total touchdowns last year (excluding QB rushing).
Elite RB with high play snap percentage; used as comparative benchmark for opportunity share and workload patterns; great backs maintain high snap share and don't come off field, supporting Ashton Jente's 85% opportunity share as elite fantasy asset.
Projected to start 3-6 games for Raiders in 2026 before #1 overall pick Fernando Mendoza takes over; represents QB upgrade from Geno Smith as part of Raiders' offensive environment improvement.
Raiders' 2025 starting QB performed poorly; being replaced by Kirk Cousins (projected 3-6 games) and #1 overall pick Fernando Mendoza (majority of season); QB upgrade part of Raiders' offensive environment improvement for Ashton Jente.
#1 overall pick projected to take over Raiders QB role after Kirk Cousins' initial 3-6 game stint; part of Raiders' QB upgrade from Geno Smith for 2026 season.
Averaged 3.5 yards before contact per attempt in 2025, more than double the running room that Ashton Jente had; used as comparative benchmark for offensive line impact on running back efficiency.
Calvin Ridley is being drafted ahead of Gunnar Helm in the back end of underdog drafts, competing for targets on the Titans.
Carnell Tate is competing with Gunnar Helm for targets on the Titans, along with Juan Delale Robinson and Calvin Ridley, making it unclear if Helm will actually matter in redraft leagues.
Gunnar Helm was a rookie receiver report darling with 20% targets per route and 1.45 yards per route, on par with Higgins and Null. With Chico Okonkwo gone, his route share should increase significantly.
Dalton Schultz was tight end 14 in points per game last year, but faces increased competition from Texans wide receivers stepping forward, including Jaden Higgins, Jaylen Null, and Tank Dell.
Chris Bell is coming off an ACL tear, creating opportunity for Greg Dolric in Miami.
AJ Barner is heading into year three and was tight end 20 last year but was heavily used during the playoff run. The Steelers are projected to be a top 10 offense, and he's the analyst's most drafted tight end on Underdog.
Jordan Tyson was banged up his entire college career, raising durability concerns.
Chris Olive is dealing with a blood clot issue, creating a path for Jawan Johnson to become a top two target if something happens to the wide receivers ahead of him.
Oscar Delp is a better inline blocker, which limits Jawan Johnson's route opportunities.
AJ Barner is heading into year three and the source really likes him; the Steelers are projected to be a top 10 offense with no firm second target after JSN.
Chris Olive is dealing with some kind of blood clot issue, which could create a path for Jawan Johnson to be a top two target if something happens to the wide receivers ahead of him.
The Titans added Jordan Tyson and drafted Oscar Delp in the third round, which could squeeze Jawan Johnson's routes since Delp is a better inline blocker and could displace some of Johnson's playing time.
Jawan Johnson was tight end 11 last year but is ranked at tight end 20 in this projection, which is much lower than his recent finishes.
Eli Raridan was drafted by the Patriots and will likely take over the Austin Hooper role with around 30% of routes.
Hunter Henry will likely stay around 75% of routes with the Patriots, and should score some touchdowns with more passing volume despite a tougher schedule.
Hunter Henry was a tight end 12 last year and is described as a fine backend tight end option with a high floor.
Likely has shown flashes but carries a concern: 1.43 career yards per route run, and Theo Johnson could squeeze him for blocking snaps and lower his route percentage.
The analyst is warming up to Isaiah Likely as a top target in the Giants passing game, especially early season when Malik Neighbors is injured, projecting him as a backend tight end one in games Neighbors misses.
Ferguson was purely touchdown-dependent in 2025 (8 TDs), a profile the analyst is not interested in drafting, and he will likely go higher than tight end 14 in ADP despite the analyst's skepticism.
Ferguson faces increased competition for targets from CD Lamb, George Pickens, and rising ADP prospect Ryan Florenoi, limiting his receiving opportunities.
Ferguson projects poorly at 475.5 receiving yards, ranking between Chico Conquo and Brenton Strange, despite being tight end 10 in PPG last year on eight touchdowns—a TD-dependent profile unlikely to repeat.
Goedert was using a weird gimmicky gadget role in the end zone last year, and with a new offensive coordinator (Mai Lemon and Eli), it's unclear how transferable that skill set will be into 2026.
Now in his 30s, Goedert had a 1.37 yards per route run last year (second lowest of his career), and his 11 touchdowns did heavy lifting for his 2025 production, raising questions about sustainability.
Goedert had a five-game sample without AJ Brown at 14.9 points per game, suggesting potential upside if the Eagles' receiving corps changes.
If Kincaid can stay healthy and run 70% of routes, he could finish as tight end 8 in points per game in the Bills offense that will score plenty of points.
Through five games Kincaid was TE3 at 13 points per game, but after injuries his final nine games he dropped to 10.2 points per game, finishing outside the top 18 in five of nine contests.
Kincaid had a torn PCL from the 2024 season and was banged up the entire year with PCL, oblique, and hamstring injuries, contributing to his limited route share and inconsistent production.
Kincaid had 2.79 yards per route run last year (behind only Puka and JSN among tight ends and wide receivers) and has upside to run more routes as he gets further into his career, making him a comfortable upside swing at his ranking.
Andrews is in his 30s coming off a horrific tight end 23 point per game season last year, and the analyst is essentially hoping for a touchdown spike, though he'll probably get a bump in half PPR.
Andrews is expected to be a top two target earner on the Ravens, squarely in conversation for the second most targets on the team behind Flowers and ahead of Rashad Baitman, Elijah Serat, and Jacobe Lane.
At 32 years old coming off a torn Achilles in a Shanahan offense, Kittle may be a shell of himself, though he could come on down the stretch and serve as an early season hammer next to another tight end.
Kittle has a career 2.34 yards per route run (top 12 at WR last year) and 10 yards per target (most in NFL history for 300+ catch players), making him essentially the AJ Brown of tight ends with elite efficiency.
A fantasy injury analyst reports Kittle has been doing power sleds, box jumps, and jogging, appearing confident he'll play week one after his Achilles tear, though return to efficiency typically takes longer than return to play.
George Kittle has a career 2.34 yards per route run, which would be a top 12 number at wide receiver, and a career 10 yards per target, the most in NFL history for anyone with 300+ catches, demonstrating he is a monster talent.
While Achilles tear return to play is as fast as ACL tears or faster, return to efficiency and the player's pre-injury form takes much longer, raising questions about whether George Kittle will be a shell of himself.
George Kittle tore his Achilles but is targeting week one return; fantasy injury analyst Jeff Mueller reports he's been doing power sleds, box jumps, and jogging and seems confident he'll play week one.
Travis Kelce projects great when looking at overunder receiving yards, ranking right after Harold Fannon and ahead of Tucker Kraft and Sam Laaporta.
Travis Kelce at tight end 9 is a fine bet and is honestly a touchdown spike away from really crushing his ADP; even if his yards and efficiency are down, eight plus touchdowns on the Chiefs offense would make him crush his ADP.
Travis Kelce is ranked at tight end 9 and is considered a fine bet despite slowly deteriorating; he was tight end 8 last year and tight end 6 before that, but was a top six tight end when Mahomes was healthy.
Harold Fannon's range of outcomes includes leading the team in receptions with five or six touchdowns, or having the second or third most receptions among tight ends and crushing, but there is scary downside.
Harold Fannon could end up like Dalton Concaid on the Browns, running 60% of the routes but being efficient on those routes without enough volume to reach tight end five territory, instead projecting as tight end 12 in points per game and potentially a waste of a pick.
Harold Fannon is essentially a receiver playing tight end who may have benefited from a weak wide receiver room last year; with his coach gone and new receivers added (Denzel Boston, Jerry Judy, Cedric Tilman), his usage could be displaced since he's not a great inline blocker.
Harold Fannon is dealing with an injury and is not practicing, which is concerning given the coaching change with Todd Monken coming over.
In four full games without Injoku, Harold Fannon had 27% target share and 82.6% of the routes, demonstrating elite usage.
Harold Fannon has true top five upside at tight end, though there is some downside risk to consider.
In his rookie receiver report, Harold Fannon put up the second best points per game and second best targets per route run on the Browns, with 7.3% first downs per route run, showing impressive efficiency despite playing on the 31st ranked EPA per play offense.
Harold Fannon's ranking at tight end 8 is probably lower compared to the market, reflecting concerns about his situation with the Browns.
Dan Campbell made it a point of emphasis to give Jameson Williams the football when he took over play calling last year, suggesting continued offensive focus on the receiver.
Harold Fannon is on the Browns, an offense ranked dead last in implied points per game at 17.3, which is a significant gap below even the 23rd ranked offense.
Harold Fannon is ranked at tight end 8, which is probably lower compared to the market, but represents as high as the analyst can rank him.
Sam Leaporta had better efficiency than Jameson Williams with comparable yards per target and yards per route run metrics before his injury.
Sam Leaporta is in a really strong offense in the Detroit Lions who will sleepwalk to being a top 10 unit, and new offensive coordinator Drew Petting, who had success with Trey McBride, should be great in this role.
Sam Leaporta is coming off a back surgery that came out of nowhere at week 10, and the analyst is concerned that back injuries in a player's mid-20s can lead to serious complications.
Sam Leaporta has finished as tight end three, tight end eight, and tight end six since coming into the NFL, making tight end 7 ranking feel appropriate for his historical production.
Tucker Craft already showed how he can crush in a given season and is attached to Jordan Love, one of eight quarterbacks with a seven plus adjusted net yards per attempt over the entire history of the NFL.
Tucker Craft is squarely in the conversation to be a top two target earner on a top 10 scoring offense in the NFL attached to Jordan Love.
Jawan Johnson is mentioned as a later-round option that can be drafted alongside a B-tier tight end for comfortable week 1-3 starting options.
Hunter Henry is mentioned as a later-round option that can be drafted alongside a B-tier tight end for comfortable week 1-3 starting options.
Trey McBride goes up to 18+ points per game when Saquon Barkley is in the game, compared to his 16.2 PPG baseline.
Bijan Robinson will catch a ton of passes, but as a running back, he will likely be out-targeted by Kyle Pitts.
Drake London's presence significantly impacts Kyle Pitts' target share; with London on the field, Pitts was on pace for 75 catches, 717 yards, and 3 TDs over 17 games.
Tucker Craft made up 23.6% of the team's receiving yards when he played, demonstrating his importance to the offense.
Tucker Craft had a 4.88 yard average depth of target with 15.6 yards per reception, catching the ball near the line of scrimmage and generating 10+ yards after catch—elite efficiency for a tight end.
Before his ACL tear, Tucker Craft was tied with Trey McBride as TE1 with 16.2 points per game, demonstrating elite production.
Tucker Craft is a round 7-8 pick in home leagues, making him a good value given his elite efficiency and production before his ACL tear.
The potential signing of Stefan Diggs is a downside concern for Pitts' target share as a top two target earner.
Pitts has everything to gain with a new play caller and new quarterback Tua, providing new life and opportunity in the offense.
Pitts will be a top two target and run all the routes in the Falcons offense, likely out-targeting running back Bijan Robinson.
In games without Drake London, Pitts was on pace for 119 receptions, 1,400 yards, and 10 touchdowns—elite wide receiver-level production.
Kyle Pitts projects for the third most yards this year and finished as the TE4 in points per game last year, with strong ceiling potential.
Pitts will likely outtarget Bijan Robinson despite Robinson catching a ton of passes, as Pitts is positioned as a top target earner.
Kyle Pitts will be a top two target earner and run all the routes in the Falcons offense.
Warren probably benefits the most from Michael Pitman leaving the team and could very much lead the Colts in targets.
Daniel Jones is expected to be a shell of himself and limited in 2026, likely not returning to form until 2027, which will impact his receivers' production.
Warren's production collapsed after Daniel Jones' injury, dropping to 6.3 points per game over five games, raising concerns about the Colts' quarterback situation.
Warren ran 83% of routes as a rookie and was on the field a ton, averaging 11.09 points per game.
Tyler Warren had 13.1 points per game in games with Daniel Jones and was on pace for 82 catches and 969 yards, ranking behind only Bowers and Leporta in rookie tight end production in the modern era.
According to film analysis, Loveland is poised to become elite at both blocking and receiving, similar to George Kittle, which should help him clear 80% of snaps on most games.
Loveland ran only 66% of routes last year, which is the primary concern about his profile.
Over a 13-game sample from week eight through the playoffs, Loveland averaged 13.9 points per game, ranking behind only McBride, Bowers, and KD among tight ends.
There is a real world where Colston Loveland leads the entire team in targets, receptions, yards, and touchdowns and becomes an absolute monster in Ben Johnson's offense.
Loveland's only concern is his 66% route share last year, though author notes this may improve going forward.
Author sees "a real world where Coloulston Lovelin is not only a top two target earner next to Odun or Luther Burden, but that he just leads the entire team in targets, receptions, yards, touchdowns, and is just an absolute monster."
From week 8 onward (80%+ snap share), Loveland averaged 13.9 PPR points per game over a 13-game sample, ranking behind only McBride, Bowers, and KD among all tight ends during that stretch.
Once Loveland got fully unleashed (70%+ route share), he posted 20+ PPR points in 4 of 6 games with a 130 passer rating when targeted as the first read, second-best among all receivers behind Roma Dunce.
Author is "pumped about" Loveland as his TE3, highlighting exceptional rookie metrics: 21.1% targets per route run (comparable to Tedo McMillan), 1.86 yards per route (second-most in rookie class), and led entire rookie class in PFF grade despite only 66% route share.
McBride's 23 touchdowns in 12 starts last year represents a career-high touchdown rate that author expects to regress; comparing to 2024 season (2 receiving TDs, 1100 yards, 15.6 PPR points per game) as a more reasonable outcome.
McBride was TE1 overall last year with 18.6 PPR points per game (third-most ever for a tight end) on 126 receptions, but author expects regression to around 14-15 PPR points per game based on historical touchdown regression and offensive changes.
Author is "definitely lower than consensus" on McBride, expecting regression from his TE1 season. He projects McBride to regress to 14-15 PPR points per game, citing concerns about the new Cardinals offense under Mike LaFleur and uncertainty around Jody Brassette's holdout.
The analyst is lower than consensus on Trey McBride for 2026, expecting regression from his elite 2025 season (18.6 PPG, 126 receptions) due to offensive changes with Drew Pingig leaving for the Lions and Mike LaFleur taking over as Cardinals head coach.
Bowers is on pace with elite receiver prospects like OBJ, Puka Nakua, and Michael Thomas through 29 career games in receptions, and his per-reception and per-target numbers are comparable to Amon-Ra St. Brown, suggesting elite upside.
Bowers is ranked as the top tight end for 2026 fantasy football. Despite a knee injury in week one and playing on an underperforming Raiders offense in 2025, the analyst is betting on the Raiders offense improving with new coaching and quarterback development, positioning Bowers as the clear WR1 target on the team.
Matthew Golden looked awesome at the very end of the season, suggesting there may be something there for the Packers offense going forward.
Jaylen Reed is part of the Packers' strong group of pass catchers alongside Christian Watson and Tucker Kraft, providing excellent yardage ability.
The loss of Romeo Doubs is a concern for the Packers offense, as he was used effectively in out routes with Jordan Love, particularly in the Steelers game.
Tucker Kraft is full go for Week 1 with no problems, and the analyst was holding out on the Packers until receiving confirmation of his health, noting he was dominant before his injury.
Christian Watson's on/off numbers are crazy, with the Packers offense being a top-two offense since he entered the league, making him a natural pairing with Jordan Love's skillset.
Jordan Love's stats are insane and he has won playoff games on the road, though there is skepticism around him that the analyst believes is unearned given his actual performance.
Eric All could potentially return and provide a change-up option in the Bengals offense to help counter the heavy cloud coverage defenses are using, as he showed promise in his rookie season before getting injured.
Drew Sample was used in heavy two tight-end formations after Joe Burrow returned, but the numbers with tight ends were awful during that stretch.
Hayden Hurst was used in heavy two tight-end formations after Joe Burrow returned, but the numbers with tight ends were awful during that stretch.
Cody Ford has not been great but provides experienced depth on the Bengals' offensive line.
Ted Karras is part of the Bengals' improved offensive line, with Connor Liu drafted as a potential successor at center.
Alex Cappa is part of the Bengals' improved offensive line that has finally turned things around after years of struggles.
Cordell Volson is mentioned as part of the Bengals' improved offensive line, though the analyst notes he took a step back last year.
Marius Mims, the Bengals' right tackle and former first-rounder, has legit All-Pro upside and started to tap into it last year while remaining healthy.
Chase Brown is mentioned as the Bengals' running back, but the analyst notes the run game wasn't explosive last year despite the offensive line being pretty good.
Joe Burrow struggles significantly against cloud coverage (Cover 2/Cover 6), posting a 26th-ranked EPA per play in those situations versus 5th in other coverages, making the Bengals predictable.
Joe Burrow stated this is the best team he's ever played with, and the analyst agrees it's the best offense he's ever had, largely due to significant offensive line improvements.
Jared Goff's quick pressure rate deteriorated significantly, going from 27th in quick pressure faced in 2024 to 7th highest, indicating increased pressure and offensive line struggles.
The Lions will miss David Montgomery in pass protection, which is a concern for the offense despite Gibbs improving in that area.
Penei Sewell was moved to left tackle by the Lions, and the analyst notes he has the athleticism and prior experience at the position, though it represents a shift from his previous role.
Blake Miller was drafted by the Lions at right tackle, though the analyst expresses some concern about the move of Penei Sewell to left tackle and the uncertainty of a rookie at right tackle.
Cade Mays was signed by the Lions and the analyst thinks he is solid at the very least, capable of providing at least average center play.
Kirk is part of the 49ers' receiving group but is getting up in years alongside Mike Evans.
Pearsall looks good whenever he plays, contributing to the 49ers' deep receiving group.
Bourne started games for the 49ers last year and is now the number three receiver for the Cardinals.
Jones stepped in for the 49ers and didn't miss a beat, maintaining offensive efficiency despite the quarterback change.
Evans was added to the 49ers' receiving group but has a history of missing time due to injury.
Purdy plays the passing game so well that the 49ers offense can cook despite a bottom 10 run game, demonstrating his efficiency and impact.
Kittle suffered a late-season Achilles injury that is concerning, as the 49ers rely heavily on him not only as a receiver but as a blocker.
Jackson had similar weird issues to Josh Allen last season coming out of an unbelievable heater year, including sack and blitz problems.
Allen had the lowest rate of throws of 10+ air yards since 2021 and threw the shortest relative to the sticks of his career, suggesting conservative play.
Allen took 40 sacks last year compared to 38 combined over the previous two seasons, losing 298 yards to sacks versus 215 total in the prior two years.
Kincaid has the potential to be one of the best tight ends in the NFL as a pass catcher and was the only Bills receiver who could handle man coverage last year.
Moore was fourth in yards per route against man coverage in 2023 and fifth in 20+ yard catches, providing the Bills an answer to their man coverage problems.
Moore is an undeniable upgrade for the Bills offense, addressing their weakness against man coverage with his ability to win against press and excel on screens.
Edwards is likely the guard being replaced in the Bills' offensive line, with continuity otherwise maintained.
Bell was drafted by the Bills as a player the analyst likes, adding depth to their receiving group.
Coleman's targets are being replaced by DJ Moore and Josh Palmer in the Bills' receiving corps upgrade.
Allen faced the most man coverage in football last year and his numbers dropped off significantly against man versus zone, with below-average QBR against the blitz.
Allen was top four in DVOA and EPA per play last year with a dominant run game, establishing the Bills as a top-tier offense despite some concerning trends.
Goedert is included as part of the Cowboys' loaded pass-catching group alongside their elite receivers.
Lamb is part of the second-best receiver duo in the NFL alongside George Pickens, though the analyst likes Pickens slightly more than Lamb.
Prescott can handle complex game plans that change weekly, and his aggressive downfield throwing style amplifies the value of elite receivers.
Prescott has a good understanding of his quarterback strengths and ways to improve the offense, with continuity with offensive coordinator Schottenheimer creating excitement.
Smith had a great rookie season, contributing to the Cowboys' solid offensive line prospects.
Smith is part of a strong interior offensive line alongside the left tackle position, contributing to solid overall line play.
Thomas played well in the left tackle competition but delivered C+ to B- level pass protection performance rather than dominant play.
Guyton is in a left tackle competition with Nate Thomas, with Thomas showing solid play in evaluation but not dominant performance.
If guaranteed the same version of Pickens from last year, he would rank in the top three at his position, though his franchise tag status creates some hesitation about availability.
Pickens was unlocked as a complete wide receiver by the Cowboys' coaching staff, with usage that was less limiting than his time in Pittsburgh, where quarterback play restricted his opportunities.
Shelton was drafted by the Cowboys to provide depth on the offensive line.
Noteboom was signed by the Rams but then benched, showing McVay's willingness to make aggressive offensive line changes.
Shelton was playable with the Rams but unplayable with the Bears, showing the impact of Sean McVay's system; he's starting again for the Rams.
McClendon came in and played pretty well for the Rams, but is now the starter, meaning the depth behind him is gone.
Havenstein didn't play great last year, got hurt, and has now retired, creating depth issues on the Rams' offensive line.
Corum is part of the Rams' running back group.
Williams is part of the Rams' running back group.
Whittington is part of the Rams' receiver group alongside Puka Nakua and Devante Adams.
Simpson is the backup quarterback to Matthew Stafford on the Rams.
Allen gets opportunities in the Rams' deep tight end rotation, which is incredibly stacked.
Luepke is a fullback the analyst has always been a fan of, providing versatility in the Cowboys' run game with different personnel packages.
Williams had a great year last year and is perfect for the Cowboys' run scheme, though the analyst likes him less than others do.
Jordan is one of the best blockers at tight end in the league and serves as a third tight end for the Cowboys, allowing them not to rely heavily on him.
Ferguson is the Cowboys' primary tight end and a key weapon in their offense.
Flournoy is a receiver the analyst is very high on who can play on the outside; he had explosive games including a standout Jets game and another big game later in the year.
Pickens has been unlocked as a more complete wide receiver under the Cowboys' system; the usage of him is less limiting than it was in Pittsburgh, allowing him to reach another level.
Prescott is a locked-in top 10 quarterback who shows great comfort in the Cowboys' offense, benefiting from Schottenheimer's play design and his ability to control things on third down.
Fuaga plays on the inside for the Rams' offensive line, providing some stability at that position.
Jackson, the Rams' left tackle, faces potential suspension due to another domestic violence accusation; if he's out, the Rams' offensive line depth is not strong enough to absorb the loss.
Nakua's continued development as a complete receiver is underrated; he may be the best wide receiver in the NFL right now in terms of the completeness of his game.
Stafford got hit 45 times last year despite only taking 19 sacks; those accumulated hits add up and he's another year older, which is a concern for sustaining the Rams' offensive efficiency.
George Pickens could be available in the 15th round according to Sam Wise, representing significant conviction and value at that draft position.
David Njoku was going undrafted in early contests and the speaker accumulated 55% exposure on him in a pre-NFL contest, viewing him as a significant value play.
Jonah Coleman was drafted ahead of RJ Harvey, suggesting he has taken over the primary role in the backfield.
RJ Harvey suffered a torn labrum requiring surgery and is expected to fall significantly in ADP as a result, making him a bad pick even at depressed prices.
Jonathan Brooks was being drafted in the 220s early in the season but has since risen to nearly pick 100, representing a significant market inefficiency that the speaker exploited early.
Derrick Henry doesn't catch many passes but is reliable for scoring touchdowns, making him a valuable stack partner with Lamar Jackson.
Lamar Jackson has dual-threat value in stacking scenarios because he rushes and can score touchdowns that way, making him valuable alongside running backs like Derrick Henry.
Derrick Henry is valuable for stacking with Lamar Jackson despite limited pass-catching ability, as he is a reliable touchdown scorer in the running game.
Lamar Jackson has rushing touchdown upside that makes him valuable for stacking purposes, as he can score touchdowns both through passing and rushing.
Brock Bowers is a premium tight end that Sean targets early in drafts, often willing to finish with two tight ends if he lands Bowers in the early rounds.
Trey McBride is a premium tight end that Sean targets early in drafts, often willing to finish with two tight ends if he lands McBride in the early rounds.
Joe Burrow is a premium quarterback target for stacking purposes, as pairing him with Jamar Chase creates mathematical correlation value in best ball.
Stacking Jamar Chase with Joe Burrow is mathematically sound because when Chase has a big game, Burrow will too, making it a common-sense pairing in best ball drafts.
Dowdle is ranked ahead of both Nicholas Singleton and Jonah Coleman in dynasty, though the difference is close and may depend on whether you're a contender or rebuilder.
Williams is ranked ahead of RJ Harvey in dynasty, with the difference in value being around a second-round pick rather than a first.
Harvey is ranked ahead of Blake Corum and has not only the upside of Jonathan Brooks but also already has a sizable role in the backfield.
Warren is ranked ahead of Blake Corum in dynasty rankings.
With Mike McCarthy as coach, Warren should continue to see pass-catching opportunities as McCarthy and Rudolph had the third highest check-down rate last season.
The analyst is slightly ahead of market on Warren and traded a future second for him on a dynasty team, believing he could produce and help push for a championship.
Dowdle should be pushed down further from his RB33-35 range to closer to RB40 in dynasty rankings due to his pass protection issues and the likelihood of a split backfield.
Warren is liked at his current price point and could be closer to a 60-40 snap share, making him a good bet to produce at his cost.
Warren had only one pressure allowed in all of his pass blocking snaps last year, making him a safer option for Aaron Rodgers and potentially earning him closer to a 60-40 snap share over Dowdle.
Dowdle was charged with 12 pressures on 52 pass blocking snaps last season, the third highest raw pressures of any running back, which could lead to Aaron Rodgers preferring Warren on third downs.
Warren averaged 3.8 targets per game in the two seasons prior to last year but dropped to 2.8 targets per game with Gainwell's addition, suggesting he could see increased passing game usage with Dowdle in the backfield.
Warren was a two-down grinder for the Panthers in 2025 while still active in the passing game, but less so than in prior years due to Kenneth Gainwell's presence, and his role may change with Dowdle's arrival.
Dowdle took over a significant part of the Panthers backfield in free agency and now joins the Steelers to play with former coach Mike McCarthy, but is expected to split the backfield with Jalen Warren.
If choosing between Singleton and Coleman in dynasty at cost, Singleton is the better pick because both have similar chances at getting opportunities and those opportunities continuing, but Singleton is cheaper.
Singleton's dynasty price is also over the top, but the difference between him and Coleman is that Coleman is on a good offense while Singleton is on an offense that we hope gets good.
Coleman's RB30 dynasty price is wild and overvalued given his day-three draft status and the uncertainty of his role in a crowded backfield.
Harvey finished the season well from a fantasy perspective despite not looking clean as a runner, as he caught passes and got red zone usage after Dobbins went down, but he may have been a player of circumstance.
Harvey struggled with vision and finding the correct holes as a runner in his rookie season, and his second-round draft status doesn't protect him from losing touches to both Dobbins and day-three rookie Coleman.
At current prices, Dobbins is the most interesting option in the Broncos backfield if he can stay healthy for 13 games, as he has consistently looked good when playing.
Coleman is praised for his pass protection and doing the little things right, which Sean Payton values, but he's entering a crowded three-headed backfield with Dobbins and Harvey.
Coleman is climbing in dynasty ADP as an RB3 in the Broncos backfield, but the backfield is now shaping up as a three-headed monster with unclear role distribution.
Dobbins was the primary one-to-two down grinder for the Broncos before Coleman's arrival, but the backfield is now becoming more complicated with three potential contributors.
Coleman is being brought in by the Broncos for his pass protection and ability to do the little things right, which aligns with Sean Payton's preference for versatile backs in specific situations.
Harvey has fallen out of RB2 range in dynasty rankings and is now just outside that tier, with his role becoming less clear after the Broncos added Jonah Coleman.
Analyst prefers Travis Etienne over Kyron Williams as a one-and-a-half to two-year bet in New Orleans, believing Etienne's role looks better down the road despite similar 2026 outcomes.
Analyst is lower on Kyron Williams than the dynasty marketplace, viewing him as a one-year bet due to uncertainty about his role beyond 2026 with Blake Corum's rise and other Rams offense factors.
Corum's path to RB2 status this year or next year seems far-fetched; if Kyron goes down he becomes an RB2, but betting on injury is not ideal, and his long-term outlook is concerning with potential Rams offense changes.
Corum is appropriately priced as RB3 in dynasty; he had a substantially better breakaway rate than Williams last year but Williams still had better yards created after contact.
Williams maintains the primary passing game role with McVay's trust, likely to remain the two-down back with continued pass-catching usage, while Corum had only a 2% target share last year.
Corum showed strong efficiency as a runner for the Rams in 2025 and is catching up to Williams on the ground, with potential to eventually take over more of the backfield role.
Williams is universally ranked RB16 in dynasty and had a down fantasy year in 2025, but still maintained value as a player you'd be happy to have on your team.
Singleton is unlikely to see significant playing time in year one with Pollard and Spears entrenched, and even if both leave, the Titans could draft another running back to pass him on the depth chart.
Singleton is consensus RB1 in dynasty ADP for the Titans backfield, but analyst expects limited production in 2026 and questions whether the team will add another running back in 2027, making his RB37-40 price tag outlandish.
Singleton is being overvalued in dynasty rookie drafts despite being a day three pick from a weak running back class; he struggled with running back instincts at Penn State and was outperformed by Katron Allen in his final college season.
Pollard burst out at the end of 2025 with an amazing finish to the season after a difficult start, establishing himself as a strong performer in the Titans offense.
Analyst is trying to move down from Chuba Hubbard in dynasty, considering trades to players like Jalen Warren or Rico Dowdle with additional assets, due to concerns about his efficiency and ceiling.
Brooks represents a pure upside candidate with potential home-run ability in both rushing and passing games if healthy, though back-to-back ACL injuries create uncertainty about his return to form.
Brooks' ADP in dynasty startup leagues varies from RB33-41 depending on platform, and he can still be found at reasonable prices in some leagues, though early offseason prices were cheaper.
Dowdle was 16th in rushing yards over expected last year and took over a large portion of the Panthers backfield before the team let him walk in free agency.
Hubbard ranked 43rd out of 48 qualifying running backs in rushing yards over expected last year, indicating efficiency issues beyond just offensive line problems, and was RB57 in PPR points per game from week 8 onward.
Brooks is generating significant offseason hype as reports emerge that he could be the starting running back and contribute heavily in the passing game, with his ADP rising in dynasty leagues.
Purdy plays the passing game exceptionally well for the 49ers offense, allowing them to maintain elite offensive efficiency even with a bottom 10 run game.
Jones stepped in for the 49ers and the offense didn't miss a beat despite the quarterback change.
Bourne started games for the 49ers last year and is now the number three receiver at the Cardinals.
McCaffrey is going to be another year older after taking around 400 touches last year, and the history of running backs with that workload is not great despite his elite status.
Kittle suffered a late season Achilles injury, which is concerning given the 49ers' reliance on him as both a receiver and blocker.
Pearsall looks good whenever he plays and is part of the 49ers' deep receiving group.
Diggs was the Bills' best receiver last year and is a slot guy.
Kincaid has been the only guy on the Bills who could handle man coverage, and pairing him with DJ Moore could allow the offense to be more multidimensional.
Kincaid has the potential to be one of the best tight ends in the NFL as a pass catcher and could benefit from the addition of DJ Moore allowing more 12 and 13 personnel usage.
Allen had the lowest rate of throws of 10 or more air yards since 2021 and threw receivers at the lowest rate of his career, one yard short of the sticks.
Allen took 40 sacks last year compared to 38 combined in the two previous seasons, losing 298 yards to sacks versus 215 total in the prior two years.
Allen was blitzed at the ninth highest rate in the NFL last year and was below average in QBR against the blitz.
Allen faced the most man coverage in football last year and his numbers dropped off significantly against man versus zone coverage.
Moore is an undeniable upgrade for the Bills offense despite the team giving up too much in the trade, addressing their weakness against man coverage.
Edwards is likely the guard being replaced in the Bills' offensive line changes.
Bell was drafted by the Bills and is a player the analyst likes.
Coleman's targets are being replaced by DJ Moore and Josh Palmer as the Bills upgrade their receiver group.
Cooks received some targets for the Bills last year but was part of the receiver group being replaced by DJ Moore and Josh Palmer.
Prescott has a good understanding of his quarterback strengths and ways to improve the offense, with continuity with Schottenheimer going into the season.
Booker had a great rookie season and is part of a strong interior offensive line.
Smith plays next to the left tackle competition and is part of a strong interior offensive line alongside Booker.
Thomas played well in the left tackle competition but delivered C+ to B- level pass protection performance, not a total disaster but not dominant either.
Guyton is in a left tackle competition with Nate Thomas, with Thomas playing well in evaluation but not at an elite level.
If guaranteed the same version of Pickens from last year, he would rank in the top three at his position, though playing on the franchise tag creates some hesitation about availability.
Pickens was unlocked to another level as a complete wide receiver under the Cowboys' coaching staff, with more expansive usage compared to his limiting role in Pittsburgh.
Lepke is a fullback the analyst has always been a fan of; the Cowboys can deploy him in various personnel packages like 12 and 22 personnel.
Prescott is a locked-in top 10 quarterback; he has comfort in the Cowboys' offense and benefits from the perfect blend of Schottenheimer's play design and his own ability to control things on third down.
Williams had a great year last year and is perfect for the Cowboys' run scheme, though the analyst likes him less than others do; he's more of an above-average go-to running back.
Spann-Ford is one of the best blockers at tight end in the league and serves as the Cowboys' third tight end, providing depth without needing to rely on him heavily.
Flournoy is a receiver the analyst is very high on; he can play on the outside and had strong games, including a standout Jets game and another strong performance later in the year.
Lamb is one of the Cowboys' top receivers and part of their deep receiver group that can attack vertically, intermediate, and underneath; all three receivers are good blockers which supports the run game.
Pickens was unlocked to another level as a complete wide receiver in Dallas's offense, whereas in Pittsburgh his usage was somewhat limiting due to the nature of the quarterbacks and quarterback play.
McClendon came in and played pretty well after Rob Havenstein retired, but now the depth is the starter, meaning the Rams have lost depth at the tackle position.
Jackson, the Rams' left tackle, just had another incident with an accusation of domestic violence and has already had one suspension earlier in his career; if he's out for any period of time, the Rams' offensive line depth is not strong.
Nakua may be the best wide receiver in the NFL right now in terms of the completeness of his game; his continued development as a complete receiver is something that's slept on despite his unbelievable production last year.
Adams was extremely productive when on the field last year, and the Rams have insulated themselves with tight end depth so that if he gets hurt again, they can rely on tight end looks like they did against Jacksonville.
Adams is over 30, had a hamstring injury last year, and may have had unsustainable touchdown rates inside the 10-yard line, raising some durability and regression concerns.
Stafford got hit 45 times last year despite only taking 19 sacks; those hits add up and he's another year older, which is a concern for sustaining the Rams' offensive efficiency.
Hartitz enthusiastically endorses Jerry Jeudy as a core draft target, even joking about putting his name on his phone as a reminder of his financial future with the pick.
Joe has drafted Jerry Jeudy in 67% of 60 drafts, indicating strong conviction in his value despite skepticism from others.
Hartitz criticizes the depth chart situation, calling Ted Hurst a 'clearcut wide receiver four on this team' in the same round as higher-priority receivers, suggesting he's overvalued.
Hartitz appreciates what Denzel Boston provides but believes a former first-round pick in his prime projects better than the new first-round rookie.
Despite the Browns paying Jeudy handsomely as their WR1, Hartitz prefers Casey Conpsion because a former first-round pick in his prime projects better than a new first-round rookie, though Jeudy still offers upside potential.
Hartitz is bullish on Jerry Jeudy's trade potential, noting that if he gets traded, he would move up multiple rounds in draft value regardless of destination.
Ian Hartitz expresses skepticism about comparisons made to Deshaun Watson, suggesting he doesn't fully understand the basis for such comparisons.
Jameson Williams is used as a separation comparison, with Jeudy's separation metrics being better than Williams despite Williams' higher draft capital.
Isaiah Bond is mentioned as a target recipient in Cleveland's offense, with the analyst noting confusion about route assignments while watching film.
Justin Jefferson's catchable ball rate of 66% is referenced as context for Jeudy's improvement from 73% in 2024 to 60% in 2025, suggesting Jeudy is getting help from better quarterback play.
Michael Wilson goes eight rounds ahead of Jerry Jeudy despite similar late-season breakout profiles and comparable offensive situations, suggesting Wilson may be overvalued relative to Jeudy.
Hollywood Brown is referenced as a comparable to Jeudy, having hit over 1,200 yards one season before breaking his foot, with only 11 WRs achieving 1,200+ yards in the last two seasons.
Jeudy has cleaned up his game and is no longer overselling routes like he did 3-4 years ago, suggesting he's underrated at this point after public sentiment swung too far negative.
Jeudy's catchable ball rate of 55% (dead last among receivers with 5+ targets per game) should improve significantly with Deshaun Watson, who cannot be worse than the 42nd/46th-ranked quarterbacks the Browns had in 2024.
Despite rookie competition, Jeudy is still the bellcow receiver in Cleveland with guaranteed money, and a former first-round pick in his prime should project better than new first-round rookies.
Jeudy is projected to make significantly more fantasy noise than his current price tag suggests, with improved separation metrics (14th in separation win rate) and better route running than early in his career.
Jeudy is going as WR74 in round 16 after being drafted as WR40 last September, representing significant value given his 1,200 receiving yards in 2024 and improved route running.
Jeremiah Love is the Cardinals' starting running back, with Tyler Alier positioned as a backup in a committee if something happens to Love.
Ray Davis is interesting as a clear RB2 on his team, representing a better value tier than paying up for players projecting only 7-8 points.
Michael Wilson goes eight rounds ahead of Jerry Judy despite similar late-season breakout profiles, suggesting he is overvalued relative to Judy.
Jerry Judy had a late-season breakout in 2024 with a bad quarterback and limited offensive weapons, similar to Michael Wilson's trajectory, suggesting he could be a number one receiver in Cleveland.
Jerry Judy is going as WR74 in round 16 despite having 1,200 yards in 2024, making him significantly undervalued compared to other 1,200+ yard receivers who go in the top 15.
Will Shipley would serve as a backup to Tank Bigsby if Saquon Barkley goes down, handling pass protection and receiving duties.
Saquon Barkley was special in 2024 with elite explosive run production, topping Tank Bigsby's performance.
Saquon Barkley is ranked way higher by the analyst than his current draft position and is one of his favorite picks, with 30 explosive runs on 314 carries in 2024.
Tank Bigsby's top five runs with the Jaguars in 2024 were elite-level, comparable to anyone in the league, and he's only 25 years old with significant upside ahead.
Tank Bigsby had 13 explosive runs on 69 carries last year and demonstrated elite athleticism with power, acceleration, burst, and jump-cut ability that breaks multiple lanes.
Tank Bigsby is a clear RB2 behind Saquon Barkley and available in round 14-15, making him an excellent value pick. If Saquon goes down, Bigsby would get the lion's share of the workload and become a must-play starter.
Hartitz believes Tank Bigsby would be on the cover of every Waiver Wire article in the industry if something happened to Saquon Barkley, highlighting his league-winning potential as a handcuff.
Hartitz's main pitch on Tank Bigsby is that he is 'the best cheap handcuff' and 'the cheapest really good handcuff in fantasy,' questioning why Tyler Allier is going ahead of him.
Hartitz suggests Tank Bigsby could realistically receive 8-10 touches per game if the Eagles embrace the run more following AJ Brown's departure, with potential for low-end RB2 weeks during blowouts.
Hartitz notes concern that backup Tank Bigsby averaged 5.9 yards per carry versus Saquon's 4.1 in the same Eagles offense with the same offensive line, suggesting potential inefficiency.
Hartitz dismisses concerns about Tank Bigsby's rookie drops as an overreaction, noting he has over 200 carries across Jacksonville and Philadelphia over the last two seasons, providing a substantial sample size.
Hartitz is extremely bullish on Tank Bigsby, stating 'Tank Bsby is so freaking good at football' and highlighting his elite efficiency metrics: 3.7 yards after contact (tied with Derrick Henry and Devon Achane), second in tackles avoided per carry behind Kenneth Walker, and one of only seven running backs with double-digit explosive rush rate.
Hartitz already has Tyler Warren on his roster and doesn't feel the need to go out of his way to target another tight end in the draft.
Hartitz already has Colston Loveland on his roster and doesn't feel the need to go out of his way to target another tight end in the draft.
Mentioned as a late-round tight end option with similar upside to mid-tier alternatives, only a couple years removed from a top tight end finish.
Hartitz does not view Jake Ferguson's upside scenario as significantly different from late-round tight end options, making him less attractive to target.
Hartitz prefers not to spend up on mid-tier tight ends like Kelce, viewing their upside scenario as not significantly different from late-round options like Chick or Hunter Henry.
Late-round tight end target with good yards and targets, positioned alongside quality company in the tight end landscape.
Ian suggests that Jake Ferguson's upside scenario is not too different from late-round tight end options like Chigoziem Okonkwo, implying limited ceiling.
Ian notes that Gunner Helm's yards and targets are followed by good company, suggesting solid production metrics.
Josh identifies Gunner Helm as one of his two late-round tight end targets alongside Chigoziem Okonkwo.
Hayden notes that Jawan Johnson and Chigoziem Okonkwo are pretty similar in general, with Jawan Johnson's ADP not being the worst ever.
Hayden prefers AJ Barner as a late-round tight end option over Chigoziem Okonkwo, suggesting he offers better value in that range.
Hayden expresses concern that John Bates will be a significant obstacle to Chigoziem Okonkwo's upside, calling him 'a monster' and suggesting he will be difficult to fade.
Josh compares Chigoziem Okonkwo to Sam LaPorta's role in the Detroit Lions offense, noting that David Blau showed Okonkwo LaPorta film and that Okonkwo can make more out of less as a YAC threat.
Josh believes Chigoziem Okonkwo could see more single tight end sets under David Blau's system similar to Sam LaPorta in Detroit, and if his route participation reaches 70-75%, his ADP may not be factoring in enough upside.
Hayden is concerned about Chigoziem Okonkwo's depth chart placement, noting that if Aayuk gets cut and signs with the Commanders, Okonkwo could drop to Jawan Johnson tier, and he believes the depth chart is not yet set in stone.
The discussion raises the question of where Chigai Okonkwo should be drafted if Stefon Diggs signs with Tennessee, which could impact Okonkwo's role and target share.
Ian Hartitz contrasts Chigai Okonkwo with Hunter Henry, noting that Henry's best case is finishing as tight end 10 or 11, whereas Okonkwo has higher ceiling potential.
Chigai Okonkwo gets a healthy Jaden Daniels at quarterback, which could help him clear 100 targets and significantly increase his fantasy value.
Chigai Okonkwo had the seventh most yards after the catch per reception over the last four years, demonstrating strong playmaking ability after the catch.
Malik Willis is recommended as a round six quarterback option, part of a strategy to get quality QB value late in drafts.
Ian Hartitz has been drafting Colston Loveland early and likes the stack with a quarterback in the round six range, indicating strong confidence in his value.
Ian Hartitz is targeting Tyler Warren at the round six quarterback range as a tight end option, noting he's the one tight end he can't pass on, especially if he didn't get Colston Loveland.
Jaylen Hurts is being drafted in the sixth round range, part of a tier of quarterbacks going much cheaper than in previous years.
Drake Maye is being drafted in the sixth round range, part of a tier of quarterbacks going much cheaper than in previous years.
Daniel Jones is being drafted in the sixth round range, part of a tier of quarterbacks going much cheaper than in previous years.
Joe Burrow is among the quarterbacks being drafted in the sixth round range, part of a tier of QBs going much cheaper than in previous years.
Lamar Jackson is the next quarterback off the board after Josh Allen, going as the ninth pick of the fifth round, two rounds later than Allen.
Josh Allen is being drafted as the 10th pick of the third round, reflecting a shift in quarterback draft strategy where elite QBs are going later than in past years.
Ian Hartitz believes Caleb Williams will clear the 4,000 passing yard curse despite potential falloff in game script later in the season.
Scored nine rushing touchdowns last year, providing a comparable example for Caleb Williams' potential rushing touchdown upside.
Being drafted in the sixth round alongside Joe Burrow, Jalen Daniels, Caleb Williams, and Jaylen Hertz.
Being drafted in the sixth round alongside Joe Burrow, Drake May, Caleb Williams, and Jaylen Hertz.
Being drafted in the sixth round alongside Jalen Daniels, Drake May, Caleb Williams, and Jaylen Hertz.
Next quarterback off the board after Josh Allen, being drafted as the ninth pick of the fifth round.
Being drafted as the 10th pick of the third round, later than elite quarterbacks have historically been drafted.
Stacked vertically in the same area as Caleb Williams, making the pairing attractive for fantasy purposes.
Expected to clear the 4,000 passing yards threshold, with potential for positive game script as Bears and Jaguars defenses likely won't repeat as top-two in takeaways.
At 24 years old, has already made significant jumps from rookie to year two, suggesting continued development potential unlike quarterbacks with extended college careers.
Has potential to score 5-6 rushing touchdowns in a season (had 3 last year), which could add 36 fantasy points and elevate him from QB7 to top-three quarterback season.
Appropriately priced and preferred over Jaylen Hertz at current ADP, especially when stacked with Colston Loveland in the same vertical area.
Bears offense could see a similar jump to the Dan Campbell Lions' year-two transformation, with potential to become a top-five offense and perennial contender.
Averaged almost 70% completion rate at USC and makes throws only three quarterbacks in the league can make, suggesting room for improvement in completion percentage.
Improved dramatically from 68 sacks as a rookie to 24 in year two, the biggest leap in NFL history for sack rate reduction year-over-year, driven by offensive line improvements.
Responsible for four of the top five NextG stats fastest ball carrier times at quarterback, demonstrating elite athleticism and rushing ability from year one.
Finished QB7 in points per game last year despite not having a high touchdown rate or averaging seven yards per attempt, demonstrating strong underlying performance.
Caleb Williams' ability to reduce sacks from year one to year two is described as 'unfreaking believable,' suggesting significant improvement potential.
Caleb Williams was responsible for four of the top five NextG stats fastest ball carrier times at quarterback, demonstrating elite rushing ability from year one.
Caleb Williams finished as QB7 in points per game last year despite not having a high touchdown rate or averaging seven yards per attempt, showing his physical gifts can produce fantasy value.
Devonte Smith is preferred over other round four receivers like the Burtons and Ibukas due to fewer questions surrounding him.
There are questions about whether AJ Brown has experienced a decline, which impacts the outlook for his teammates like Drake London.
Drake London has questions around him, including potential quarterback decline and being in a new spot, making him less attractive than Nico Collins.
If Nico Collins can be ranked highest among the wide receiver cluster before the value cliff, he represents a strong draft target.
The Texans' offensive line improvements and running game with Dave Montgomery should create better looks for Nico Collins to be targeted downfield.
Hartitz likes Nico Collins and is drafting him early, preferring him over other wide receivers in the cluster due to his talent and volume potential.
Ian Hartitz believes CJ Stroud is a clear top 10 receiver based on real-life talent, possible volume, and quarterback quality, and he's making a bet on him.
Concerns exist about whether offensive coordinator Nick Kaley will significantly increase Nico Collins' target share in year two, as he averaged only 5.5 receptions per game under Bobby Slowick.
Nico Collins had four or fewer targets in five of the final six games last year despite the Texans' strong defense, raising concerns about target volume consistency even with elite talent.
Nico Collins is projected to score significantly more touchdowns this year after posting only three touchdowns despite a 37% success rate and negative 8% completion percentage over expected on red zone targets last season.
Despite being a second-round pick, Nico Collins is considered undervalued with positive regression potential given his elite yards per target and historical production with CJ Stroud.
Ian Hartitz projects Nico Collins for 17 games, 160 targets with top-three upside at the position, citing his superstar-level talent and potential for positive regression after injury-plagued seasons.
Jerry Jeudy (WR, CLE) is #151 overall in Hayden Winks' 2026 Half-PPR rankings vs. Underdog ADP 184.6 with a 98.1-point projection. Verdict: Jeudy faces more competition but won't be last in catchable ball rate again. Jeudy can be frustrating because he can be too undisciplined in the route, but we must acknowledge just how bad the situation was last year. His catchable target rate (55%) was the worst in the NFL last year among WRs who averaged more than 5 targets per game. He only managed a WR80 per-game finish in half PPR on WR47 per-game usage.
Nico Collins (WR, HOU) is #21 overall in Hayden Winks' 2026 Half-PPR rankings vs. Underdog ADP 22.4 with a 196-point projection. Verdict: Collins has top-5 talent if his OC/OL can get out of the way. Collins is a total freak. At 6'4"/222, he showcases elite build up speed on his vertical routes, while also having the fluidity to be an asset after the catch on screens and slants. If ranking WRs based on real-life talent, I'd place him 3rd or 4th.
Hartitz likes Malik Willis as a late-round quarterback option to pair with a round six quarterback selection.
Hartitz is not interested in drafting Chuba Hubbard in the round three range, suggesting he doesn't see the value at that ADP.
Drake Maye is being drafted in the sixth round range, part of a cluster of quarterbacks going later than in previous years.
Joe Burrow is being drafted in the sixth round range, part of a cluster of quarterbacks (Burrow, Jane Daniels, Drake May, Caleb Williams, Jalen Hurts) going later than in previous years.
Lamar Jackson is being drafted as the ninth pick of the fifth round, representing a significant shift in quarterback ADP with elite quarterbacks going much later than in previous years.
Josh Allen is being drafted as the 10th pick of the third round, representing a significant shift in quarterback ADP with elite quarterbacks going later than in previous years.
Hartitz would rather have Caleb Williams than Jalen Hurts at their respective ADPs, suggesting Hurts is overvalued relative to Caleb.
Hartitz is interested in drafting Tyler Warren in the round six range as the one tight end where he can see significant upside, especially if he didn't get Colston Loveland earlier.
There is uncertainty around Chigoziem Okonkwo's role if another free agent tight end signs with Washington, which could impact his target share and ADP valuation.
Hartitz highlights Chigoziem Okonkwo's elite yards after the catch ability, noting he ranks seventh in yards after the catch per reception over the last four years and top-eight in tackles avoided per reception.