0:00Hey, before we jump back into the show, let's take a quick break, but not just any break.
0:05This is a refreshing break with Snapple. We all know about Snapple's iconic real facts, so let's take a minute to go over some of my faves.
0:14Snapple Real Fact 1-9-8-3, the first player drafted to play pro football never played in the league.
0:19Snapple Real Fact 1-1-1-9, the Grand Canyon could hold about 900 trillion footballs.
0:23Snapple Real Fact 2-0-6-4, the first college football game broadcast on TV, was on September 30th, 1939.
0:28Snapple Real Fact 1-8-9-6, the tradition of playing football on Thanksgiving, originated with college football in 1876.
0:33So grab a Snapple, take a second, and enjoy the moment, because let's be honest, this might be the most refreshing part of your day.
0:41Snapple, make your break more interesting. All right, now let's get back to the show.
0:45You know, I'm feeling pretty good about my wardrobe lately, and it's because I keep buying clothes from Quince.
0:51Go to quince.com slash FFTpod right now and see all of their amazing options.
0:55I've got stuff for all seasons and all occasions.
0:58I'm loving my 100% merino wool t-shirts from Quince.
1:01I've got a cashmere sweater, I love the pants, and I love how much everything costs.
1:05Quince has all the wardrobe staples for spring. Think 100% European linen shorts and shirts from $34, and clean 100% Pima cotton
1:12tees with a softness that has to be felt.
1:15And everything is priced 50% to 80% less than what you'd find at similar brands.
1:19Refresh your everyday with luxury you'll actually use. Head to quince.com slash FFTpod for free shipping on your order and 365 day returns.
1:26That's quince.com slash FFTpod for free shipping and 365 day returns.
1:30Now available in Canada too. Quince.com slash FFTpod. Updated losers from Jamie Eisenberg right now on Fantasy Football Today Express.
1:36Okay, maybe that was a little harsh. Updated busts.
1:39Yeah, losers was mean. I'm sorry. If I could do it over, I would.
1:43But it's out there. I said it. I own it.
1:46But Jamie, who are some busts you want to talk about?
1:49We've got some fresh content on CBSSports.com. We go to CBSSports.com slash Fantasy.
1:53Click on football. You're going to see these types of articles trickle throughout the coming weeks and months.
1:59But updated busts. Kick it off. Yeah, the headliner for me is Devon Achane.
2:03You know, you sort of alluded to this with the news and notes that, you know, already dealing with an injury.
2:09I hope that's not going to be the case.
2:12But it's a little bit, you know, scary when it comes to what Achan is dealing with.
2:17Mostly from just the talent around him. Because it's going to be bad.
2:21And that's something you have to deal with. And so he's going to have to overcome arguably the worst receiving core in the league.
2:28A quarterback who's very unproven. And what he's done well, he's done well.
2:32As a combination of using his arm but also his legs.
2:36And I think that'll take away some of the passing downs work from him.
2:40So what we've seen from Achan in the last two seasons is averaging 86 targets and 72.5 receptions per game.
2:46I don't think he's going to be among the league leaders in receptions.
2:50Even though, again, the pass catching group for Miami is pretty terrible.
2:53So if he's not catching the ball and the touchdowns go down by whatever degree.
2:58Because, again, the opportunities will probably be lessened. Then I think we're talking about a guy that should not be drafted in the first round.
3:06And could be a questionable second round pick. I will take him in the second round with the hope that the upside is still there.
3:13I love the fact that they paid him this offseason.
3:16Because I didn't want to see any holdout scenario where he's going to miss any time at camp.
3:22But it just feels as if this is going to be one of those seasons where Miami is playing for 2027 and beyond.
3:29And I'm worried that Achan is not going to be overworked because they want to make sure he's healthy when they're playing at their best.
3:36Achan currently going about 13th in Fantasy Pros ADP.
3:39About 10th or 11th in early CBS ADP. Who's next?
3:42So I'll stick with two running backs here. One will potentially change.
3:46One will probably not. And the one that will change will be Travis Etienne.
3:50Travis Etienne. Call it the Achan. Travis Achane. If Alvin Kamara stays on the team.
3:54And the only reason I'm concerned about it is because we already know.
3:58Heath did a great job breaking this down last year when it came to Saquon Barkley.
4:03I'm sorry. When it came to Alvin Kamara. Coming off Saquon Barkley.
4:07Is that Kellen Moore doesn't involve his running backs in the passing game to the same degree that these guys have been used to in their careers.
4:15And so we saw with Kamara at the start of the season.
4:19Even before he got hurt. He wasn't the same type of player from a pass catching perspective.
4:24And I think Etienne is going to need some of that just because if Kamara is still there.
4:29Then that's where it's probably going to go. That's where his work will make the most sense.
4:34So I love the setup for Travis Achan going to New Orleans if this offense continues to produce like we've seen.
4:41Clearly heading trending in the right direction. But let's keep in mind that you know what we saw from him in Jacksonville.
4:47He had a couple of really good seasons and a couple of really bad ones.
4:52And so you know there's a sample size of him not playing at that elite level production.
4:57So I think if you're getting him late round four early round five it's fine.
5:02He certainly will move up in my rankings and come off this list if Kamara is moved which you know is still a potential to happen.
5:10But right now it feels like a little bit too crowded of a backfield in New Orleans if Kamara is going to stay there.
5:17Just give me what he means to that franchise and probably will still meet in the passing game.
5:22Etienne is a tough tough one for me. You know tough player to evaluate because what you said he's had some really good moments good really bad moments.
5:31The note about Kellen Moore is is important but I'll also add that Kellen Moore has been a head coach or an offensive coordinators for seven seasons.
5:39And last year was the first time his lead running back did not finish top 20 per game in full PPR.
5:45And he's had some good ones. He's had Zeke, Tony Pollard, Eckler, Barkley, and Kamara.
5:50Kamara was the first one that really failed. And right now ETN his ADP is about RB 17 or RB 18 somewhere around the 3-4 term.
5:58All right. So the other running back would be Trevion Henderson.
6:01Like I yeah I'm so hopeful. You know how excited I was about him last year and the thought of him being
6:08the lead running back or the 1A at least.
6:11And you know we only saw that in spurts and really it was when Ramondre Stevenson was hurt.
6:16And when Stevenson was healthy Henderson was not getting those opportunities and he needed to break a long run which we see he's capable of doing.
6:24But it was funny because like you go back to the post draft shows that we did and I was with you.
6:31You know Henderson more explosive than Judkins. Henderson higher ceiling than Judkins.
6:34You know you kept harping on Henderson what he did in the Big 10 games Big 12 games by comparison to Judkins and how successful he was.
6:42And it just didn't he didn't get to work.
6:45And you know maybe there was a reason why that was happening at Ohio State that he was more of a committee back.
6:52And I think it's going to be the same thing with the Patriots this year.
6:57You know you noted on the full length episode that we did and I think anybody that reads you keep referencing the story.
7:04It's by John Breach on CBS Sports.com. The first four games to the Patriots are brutal.
7:08The whole schedule really is brutal for the Patriots this year.
7:12So we may not get those blowouts. We may not get those opportunities.
7:16Now he may be more involved in the passing game and you're asking Ramondre Stevenson to once again be this lead running back.
7:23Who was awesome for them down the stretch and into the playoffs.
7:26But Henderson just feels like he's stuck in a timeshare and on the wrong side of the timeshare.
7:32He only had I think it was two games when Stevenson was healthy where he played more snaps than Stevenson.
7:38And so you're talking about committee back doesn't necessarily catch the ball enough to matter in terms of you know separating himself like a Kenneth Gainwell scenario.
7:46So I just think where he's being drafted in that round four range to me is way too soon.
7:52All right we're going to take a break and give you some more busts after this on Fantasy Football Today Express.
7:58Support for today's episode comes from Square. The business platform that helps sellers become neighborhood favorites.
8:03Whether you're gearing up for a busy season or just trying to keep up with everyday demand, Square keeps your business running smoothly.
8:10From payments to online orders, inventory, staff and more.
8:13All in one place you can focus on your customers.
8:16Not your to-do list. There's a coffee shop near me that I go to all the time and they use Square.
8:22And you really notice the difference. The line moves fast.
8:25The receipts hit your phone instantly. And the staff actually has time to chat instead of wrestling with a clunky system.
8:31It just feels seamless. Like everything's working the way it should.
8:35Which honestly makes you want to come back. Square helps you run your business more smoothly.
8:40Bringing payments, operations and insights together in one place.
8:42So you're ready for whatever's next. Right now listeners can get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at square.com slash go slash FFT.
8:51That's S-Q-U-A-R-E dot com slash go slash FFT. Get started with Square and build a setup that works the way you do.
8:57So far we've talked about Devon Achane, Travis A.
9:00Chan and Travion Hender Chan. Who else is on your bus list right now, Jamie?
9:05So I'll give you four receivers. A couple of them we already talked about if you want to repeat them or not.
9:11But it's Malik Neighbors. It's Chris Olave. It's Jalen Waddell.
9:14And it's Devontae Adams. Why Olave? So Olave was awesome last year as we all saw.
9:19Was absolutely fantastic. However, what did he have going for him?
9:22Was they traded Rashid Shahid? So here's what he did with Shahid and without Shahid.
9:27In the nine games last season when Rashid Shahid was on the team.
9:31Now you could say, okay, that was without necessarily Tyler Shuck starting.
9:35But that's a fair argument. But with Rashid Shahid on the field, and we're only talking about Rashid Shahid, he was averaging 14.1 PPR points per game.
9:43Without Shahid in seven games, he was at 20.2 PPR points per game.
9:47Now we saw the year before, before injuries started to become a problem for both of them.
9:52Shahid was outperforming Chris Olave. Now what do they do?
9:55They bring in a first-round talent in Jordan Tyson.
9:58And so I think Olave is still going to be the best receiver for New Orleans.
10:02I think obviously Kellen Moore's influence is fantastic, and this offense is trending in the right direction with Tyler Shuck, with Kellen
10:09Moore, adding a better running back, adding another pass-catching tight end.
10:12Like they've just spent a lot of capital on this offense.
10:16But that could be at the expense of Olave.
10:19And so I think when you look at it, before the NFL draft, he was a round two pick for me, late round two.
10:26Now, mid to the end of round three is where I'd be taking Chris Olave.
10:30And I think he's going early part of round three.
10:33He's going to, again, still be the best receiver there.
10:36And Jordan Tyson, you want to bank on his injury track record and his injury history being a factor again.
10:42Already missed some time this offseason. That's, again, a fair argument.
10:46But I just think Olave is getting a little overpriced for the additions that they made this year.
10:51And comparing what he's done with just somebody of Rashid Shahid's caliber, now they have a first-round talent sharing the field.
10:58I think my only issue, I don't necessarily disagree with the call.
11:01But I sort of found that the Rashid Shahid factor specifically was probably overrated.
11:06Because with Shahid, he had a 26.4%. Olave had a 26.4% target share.
11:09Without him, he had a 27.1% target share. So 0.7% higher.
11:13So not that it doesn't matter. But I think Tyler Shuck probably made more of a difference than the absence of Shahid.
11:19Because those kind of happened at the same time.
11:22But also, Olave got, finally, he got treated like a number one wide receiver in the sense that he had the most end zone targets.
11:30He had the most targets. He had the most end zone targets of his career.
11:34He had a lot more success on deep balls than he ever had.
11:38But it reminds me so much of Terry McLaurin from two years ago.
11:42Where he basically had the same efficiency, same type of season that he usually has.
11:47He just scored a lot of touchdowns. So that's what worries me about Olave too.
11:51I'm not sure about the Shahid thing. Just because we saw like a little bit of a bump for Juwan Johnson without Shahid.
11:58And we saw a big bump for Devon Vele.
12:01But either way, there are a lot of things in the Olave profile.
12:05Plus the additions that you mentioned. That would lead to that call for sure.
12:09Alright, I think we can leave it at that.
12:12Thank you all for watching and listening. Great stuff.
12:15And we'll talk to you tomorrow on Fantasy Football Today.
12:18And later in the week on Fantasy Football Today.
12:20See ya.