32 Teams. 32 Fantasy Football Facts to BULLY Week 6

Bo Nix is playing the worst football of his career; 58% of Denver's dropbacks feature a route breaking to the intermediate middle of the field (third highest in the league), but Nix throws to those routes on just 11% of those dropbacks (third lowest in the league). He's targeting running backs at the highest rate and is super spread out from a pass distribution standpoint. The open intermediate routes are there, but he's not playing well enough to hit them. This is worse than expected and represents a significant decline from his previous play.

Bo Nix's ankle surgery is affecting his play; he's scrambled only a couple of times this year versus 54 times in 2024 and 34 times in 2025, putting him on pace for just 17 scrambles this season. His clock is sped up due to pressure-to-sack concerns, and he doesn't trust his health, leading to checkdowns and panic mode. He's drifting into sacks on three-man rushes, which never happened previously, indicating he's not comfortable with his current physical state.

Allen is sixth in the NFL in missed tackles forced per attempt. He was RB13 in usage last week and two weeks ago the Jets had the fourth-most usage plays in NFL history. If you throw out that outlier game, he's a very real fringe RB1 in fantasy. He's not coming off the field and lowering his shoulder, which is better than a lot of fantasy running backs. For as long as Breece Hall is out, treat Allen as a very serious fantasy running back.

Hall has missed weeks and it's unclear if he'll play in Week 6. He was mostly the bell cow early in the season. When he returns, there will be a split backfield with Braylon Allen, though there's a pretty different style between the two backs.

Brenton Strange caught 7 of 8 targets last week for a 35% target share and was tackled at the one-yard line twice on those targets; he has TE15 expected points over his last four games. Matt Harmon projects him to reach TE12 range going forward. Strange runs the intermediate over-the-middle routes that define the Liam Cohen offense and is the team's third most important pass catcher after Parker Washington. He's a move tight end who doesn't come off the field and runs routes in the areas the offense wants to attack.

Brian Thomas Jr. is playing all three receiver positions but is totally not involved in the offense; his rookie film was good but not as good as his production suggested, and he hasn't gotten back to that level. Matt Harmon questions whether he's actually more valuable to the Jaguars than trading him for a third-round pick, though the team is aggressive and in the AFC driver's seat, making holding him the more aggressive move for a potential playoff run.

Stroud is playing like a top-10 quarterback and should be a top-12 QB in fantasy for the rest of the season. He ranks 2nd in the NFL in catchable air yards (behind only Jared Goff) and has a chance to finish 1st. The Texans' increased neutral pass rate (63% last week) and weak run game (29th in rushing EPA) should funnel more volume to him. Against Jacksonville's elite run defense (1st in rushing EPA allowed), the Texans should lean into spreading the field and letting Stroud 'chuck it around the yard.'

Stroud ranks number two in the NFL in catchable air yards behind only Jared Goff, and Matt Harmon believes there's a chance he could finish number one this year.

Kincaid has been unusable over the last two weeks due to lack of vertical receiving threats in 13 personnel packages; DJ Moore's absence and Keon Coleman's limitations as a receiver mean the Bills cannot effectively run 13 personnel, which was their primary way of activating Kincaid early in the season. Matt Harmon notes the Bills went run-heavy against the Rams by design, and Kincaid was out for a season-high 76% of routes but still produced minimally.

Despite recent struggles, Harmon believes Kincaid will improve rest of season; Joe Brady acknowledged he hasn't given Kincaid enough work and doubled down on that commitment. While Kincaid won't reach top-five tight end heights due to goal-line competition from the Bills' strong run game, Harmon projects him as a potential tight end 8 rest of season, which is well within reasonable outcomes.

Schultz is positioned as an off-ball inside receiver in the Texans' three-by-one formations, part of a crowded receiving corps that includes Nico Collins, Marvin Harrison, Jalen Noel, and multiple other options.

Montgomery suffered an injury that has opened the lead back role for Woody Marks in the Texans offense.

Boston is a kick-ass player running as a true X-only receiver; he's on ball 96% of snaps and in the slot only 6%. He gets open and makes contested catches at an elite level. Matt Harmon says he's been unbelievably good, better than expected, and is winning in the exact same way he did in college. He's a home run pick by the Browns. While some analysts like Dwayne McFarlane suggest he's a sell-high candidate due to environment and usage, Harmon is bullish on him and will rocket him up his dynasty rankings. He's WR21 in usage but WR36 in points, suggesting upside. Matchup-wise, the Ravens have allowed big downfield receivers to have big games.

Henry has been heavily utilized in screen passing game; already has 8 receptions in Week 6 after averaging 15-19 receptions per season over the last two years (career high 33 in 2022 with Tennessee). The Ravens offense is leaning into his receiving role as a key part of their attack.

Watson is not good and is somewhere between functional and unplayable. He's better than his previous self but still not seeing the middle of the field well and not letting plays develop. He's not throwing all the open slant wins that Denzel Boston is creating. The poorly placed ball to Casey Concepcion was behind him and led to a nasty hit.

Wilson is on pace for 105 catches and 1,271 yards, the best season of his career, despite playing the fewest percentage of snaps in the slot he's ever played. He's playing real deal outside wide receiver and crushing it. He was simply uncoverable on tape against the Browns with breaking routes at an elite level; he had a 93rd percentile success rate versus man coverage last year. Matt Harmon says he's a buy-high type player because he doesn't see this changing unless Geno gets benched.

Smith is playing fine enough football. Frank Reich is doing enough things right now to get creative with the offense.

Bond is nothing more than a splash role player getting the football about three times a game. He's not a significant part of the Browns receiving game.

Davis had one of the worst fumbles of the entire season going into halftime and the Jets didn't go back to him a single time after not using him at all on offensive plays through the first four weeks. This was his first time seeing action and it was a bad rep.

J.K. Dobbins was asked about his health status and played coy, saying 'what's healthy?' suggesting he may not be fully healthy. He was slammed up the gut a few times in recent games without success, and his current form is not working for the Broncos' offense.

James Cook has 16 fumbles since the 2023 season, the next closest running back at 12; he had four fumbles in his last five games and nearly lost Monday's game with another fumble. Despite Joe Brady's comment that there must be consequences, Harmon argues Cook is too talented to bench and notes his 1.4 receptions per game (RB38) limits him from graduating to the next tier of running backs.

Despite fumble concerns, Harmon maintains optimism on Cook; he's RB3 in rush yards per game at 106 and will lead the NFL in rushing yards. Harmon argues pro-bowl caliber running backs are rarely benched for fumbles and you have to live with the fumble risk as part of his game; projects him as RB7 rest of season.

Jalen Waddle has only 5 receptions for 5 yards on screens (averaging just 1 screen per game vs. expected 2 per game) and is 2 of 6 on 15+ air yard throws with only 6 targets more than 15 yards downfield. Bo Nix is throwing the ball 60 yards downfield to worse players than Waddle on huge design rollouts, but Waddle isn't getting those opportunities. He's become an underneath intermediate player without manufactured touches and has 1.3 yards per route, a career low, suggesting efficiency will regress.

Jalen Waddle has dropped more passes than he ever has, and while some come on bad play calls, the real issue is usage: he's not getting the screens and shot plays that Marvin Mims received over the past two years. The Broncos' widespread target tree and Bo Nix's poor play are leaving both layups and shot plays on the field. Matt Harmon expected Waddle to get everything Mims did plus more actual wide receiver work, but instead the screens vanished when Mims and Troy Franklin left.

Love is tough to predict in volume; he's been RB19, RB6, RB42, and RB47 over recent weeks, making him RB26 in points per game overall. However, Matt Harmon says you can buy low on him. In the first half against the Lions, he played 76% of snaps and handled 11 of 12 running back touches, including two-minute drill work. He was subbed out in the second half (24% of snaps, 10% in the fourth quarter) likely due to game script, not injury. Harmon watched all his snaps and thought he looked straight up healthy—jumping around with good film. If someone is dangling him as RB25, that's great value. The risk is that games will continue to get out of hand and he'll be phased out in the second half, but as the season becomes more of a disaster and he gets further from his ankle injury, he should be fine.

Love is not involved in the receiving game right now; he had zero receptions this past week and only one the week before. He had five receptions in the awesome performance against the 49ers but only three and two in recent weeks. The Cardinals are projected for only 19.5 points on the road against the Rams (projected for 33), so the same game script issue will likely happen again where he's phased out in the second half. Additionally, Love needs to improve his decisiveness at the hole; he's a little jumpy right now and needs to trust the offensive line more and stop dancing around.

Judy is barely involved in the offense. Jordan Schultz reported the Browns want a third or fourth round pick for him, which is unlikely to happen. If he were traded, it would open up about a 10% target share for other receivers, though Isaiah Bond is only a splash role player getting the football three times a game.

Jonah Coleman should be stashed everywhere as a handcuff; Sean Payton loved talking about him this offseason. With J.K. Dobbins not working out in his current form, Coleman is positioned to take over the Broncos' backfield when he returns.

Josh Allen has 47 fancy points over replacement, which would have been second or third best in the second round of drafts behind only Kenneth Walker and Derek Henry. Harmon argues Allen's dominance means he should be the 13th or 14th overall player for the rest of the season, and despite the depth of quarterback talent, Allen's elite play has made draft position irrelevant.

Josh Allen was drafted 20th overall this year and Harmon predicts he'll be 20th overall again next summer despite his elite performance, because fantasy analysts keep telling people not to draft him early. Harmon notes that if you were going to break the rule of not drafting quarterbacks early, Josh Allen is the one player worth breaking it for.

Herbert is playing really bad football with costly mistakes; he's throwing interceptions right to zone defenders he's staring at. The Chargers dropped to the basement of the NFL in pass rate over expected last week and are 29th in rushing success rate and 25th in yards before contact. Herbert is digging the hole deeper and making the offense worse.

Justin Herbert is throwing interceptions directly to zone defenders he's staring at, with no good reason for the poor decision-making. This contributes to the Chargers' offensive dysfunction alongside the backup offensive line play.

Mitchell is the fun back in the Chargers offense and will limit Omarion Hampton's opportunities. The limited pass protection role for Hampton means Mitchell's involvement is also constrained.

Keon Coleman faded away in Monday night's game against the Rams; while he scored on a slot touchdown, Harmon notes the play was mostly design-based and Coleman could have been replaced by anyone. Coleman is being used in tight end-type ways rather than as a traditional receiver, which limits the Bills' ability to run effective 13 personnel packages with him as the single receiver.

Kamani Vidal had a 42-yard touchdown run where he broke multiple tackles on the outside and is the Chargers' most trusted pass protector, but he's not fantasy relevant. He was out there for only 3 of 34 dropbacks because Vidal is a much better pass protector than Omarion Hampton and Keaton Mitchell is the fun back.

Vidal will eat all the pass protection snaps, limiting Hampton's involvement. While he broke tackles against the Broncos, he looks really slow and won't matter much in fantasy except to reduce Hampton's opportunities.

Kyron Williams has 27 receptions through Week 6, on pace to exceed his career high of 36 receptions in a season; he's RB5-6 in points per game. Harmon attributes his elevated passing game usage to the Rams' top-three pace of play in the league, which generates more quick check-down opportunities. Williams' 50% success rate on running back receptions is very high and sticky, especially against high-powered offenses.

Mark Andrews had a couple of rough moments in the Ravens' game against the Falcons, especially in the first half, despite Tyler Huntley's otherwise clean performance at backup quarterback.

Andrews is described as 'completely washed' with multiple issues: fumbles, dropped passes, multiple punch-outs at catch point, and no yards-after-catch production. His reduced utilization is opening opportunity for other Ravens receivers.

Harrison is expected to play starter snaps immediately after the trade to Houston, moving to Z receiver rather than X. The Texans want him in breaking routes and slot work, similar to Jaden Higgins' late-2024 role. Historical data shows mid-season traded WRs typically see production downturn (only 3 of many since 2017 improved: Amari Cooper 9.3→17.9, DeAndre Hopkins 6.4→10.9, Devontae Adams 15→17.7). Harrison's tight-window catch rate was poor in his first two NFL seasons, but limiting speed-based routes and focusing on tight-window throws could help. First matchup is Jacksonville (tough draw overseas).

Marvin Mims still has 3 screen targets this year despite the expectation that he would completely go away; he was a key part of Denver's screen game over the past two years, and those screens did not transfer to Jalen Waddle as expected.

Penix is 1-of-16 when pressured this season (only qualified QB under 30% completion rate per ESPN), with poor EPA for drop-back under pressure (worst in NFL). He struggles over the middle, lacks mobility, and cannot throw sidearm or angle throws over defenders. He needs perfect situations (ahead on scoreboard, play-action, under center) to be effective; when pressured or in negative game flow, he becomes unreliable. Playing with a rib injury next week adds injury concern.

Collins is being used as the primary X receiver (83% on-line-of-scrimmage snaps over last two games, 17% off-ball, 14% slot rate), not as a sacrificial receiver. He's averaging 2.2 yards per route run, which is elite production. The Texans view him as their X receiver and want to keep him there, with Marvin Harrison moving to Z receiver instead. Collins could be a low-end WR1 rather than top-5 due to Harrison's arrival, but his role remains secure.

Nico Collins expressed frustration on Twitter about his contract situation; the Texans gave him only a raise rather than a contract extension, which Matt Harmon suggests may be related to injury concerns and could explain the team's hesitation to commit long-term.

Hampton is in a very bad spot for fantasy; he was out there for only 3 of 34 dropbacks because Vidal is a much better pass protector and Keaton Mitchell is the fun back. The offensive line is starting backups at both tackle spots. Matt Harmon projects Hampton for zero or one catch per game, which will also limit Keaton Mitchell.

Omarion Hampton is in a very bad spot; he's the goal-line back but was out there for only 3 of 34 dropbacks because Kamani Vidal is a much better pass protector and Keaton Mitchell is the fun back. The Chargers' offensive line is starting backups at both tackle spots, and the overall dysfunction limits his fantasy relevance.

Parker Washington is far and away the most important pass catcher on the Jaguars offense; when the team drops back 39 times (vs. 24 in previous games), he gets fed the football because he's elite at his job. He had a great game last week and any concerns about one-catch games should be dismissed.

Puka Nakua had 24 targets in Monday night's game, demonstrating his elite role in the Rams offense; Harmon ranks him as his wide receiver 1 every single week. Nakua is differentiated by his combination of elite technique, physicality, and power—he runs quick outs and slants but also has explosive breakout routes. Harmon notes Nakua's pre-hernia status is a concern but was tested extensively in Monday's game without issue.

Bateman is playing significantly more slot snaps (26% in recent games) compared to his previous three seasons (9.8%, 7.7%, 9.7%) and 2022 (10%), marking a major role shift. He's being used on more crossing and breaking routes off motion and executing assignments well, though he's still a pure perimeter receiver being stretched vertically. With Jacoby Lane returning, Bateman could see reduced vertical route volume but remains relevant as the offense improves.

Terrence Ferguson is on injured reserve, which has opened up TE5-6 usage for Tyler Higbee in the Rams offense. Ferguson would have been a sure-hit draft pick had he remained healthy.

Patrick is out there running wind sprints for 100% of snaps but getting zero targets. The ball is being bundled to Garrett Wilson instead.

Tyler Higbee has scored 7, 15, and 10 points over the last three weeks and is in the flex conversation; he's TE5-6 in usage over the past three weeks with Terrence Ferguson on injured reserve. Harmon notes Higbee had a couple of intermediate explosive plays on Monday and is a good after-the-catch player with physical brand. With the Rams projected for almost 30 points per game, Higbee should continue to see consistent opportunities.

Tyler Huntley had a clean performance as the Ravens' backup quarterback with a 78% completion rate when receivers had motion on the play (14 of 18); the offense looked smooth and comfortable with him under center. Despite some rough moments from pass catchers like Mark Andrews and Zay Flowers' drop, Huntley kept the offense on track.

Marks is the lead ball carrier for the Texans following David Montgomery's injury and should be started in flex positions. He's also being used as a check-down option and receiving screens, fitting the Texans' increased neutral pass rate (63% last week, season high). The Jaguars allow 63 rushing yards per game (worst in league) and rank 29th in rushing EPA allowed, creating a favorable matchup for Marks despite the Texans' weak run blocking.

Hutchinson is taking snaps in the Texans offense that could otherwise go to top receivers. His involvement at 50%+ of snaps alongside Kayshawn Booty could limit fantasy upside for Nico Collins and Marvin Harrison if the team doesn't condense to two-WR sets.

Zay Flowers is the number one player on a per-snap basis for the Ravens with backup quarterback Tyler Huntley; Declan Doyle manufactured touches for Flowers through end-arounds, toss plays, and man-coverage slot snaps where Flowers hides behind other receivers to cut inside for big plays. Flowers is WR6 on a per-game basis, though two of those games were partial contests and one was with Tyler Huntley.

Zay Flowers had a drop in the Ravens' game against the Falcons, showing imperfect execution even in a strong performance by backup Tyler Huntley. Flowers' wide receiver 15-17 price tag in fantasy drafts should pay off regardless due to his high-volume role and touchdown upside.

Flowers' fantasy value is highly touchdown-dependent; he's currently WR6 despite being drafted as WR15-17, with weekly rankings swinging from top-6 (touchdown weeks) to WR22-23 (non-touchdown weeks). If he reaches career-high or near 7-9 touchdowns and scores in half the weeks, he'll consistently produce top-6/7 weekly performances, aligning with preseason expectations.