0:00We've made it. Week 5 Running Back Rankings, I know you have bi-weeks and trust me, I've got injuries just like you in my lineup.
0:07So we talked through 39 names today. I mean, look, the first, I don't know, 17, 18 are self-explanatory, but then we
0:14get into the nitty gritty, the weeds of, hey, what can we expect from Kyle Monunga?
0:19Is he absolutely startable in your lineup this week?
0:21What about Dave Montgomery after his week one in his horrible next three weeks?
0:25Is Arzier Harvey destined for six, eight, 10 receptions on a weekly basis?
0:29And I might even throw out some trade possibilities for Saquon Barkley.
0:33I might go off the rails and fantasize a little bit of where the Eagles might send them to if they want
0:39to move him on this full-on reset for them.
0:42So stick around for this episode of Yahoo Fantasy Football with Josh and Hayden.
0:46Welcome to Week 5, everyone. We have injuries, we have bi-weeks, we also have your Week 5 Running Back Rankings presented by Farmers Insurance.
0:53Shout out to Farmers for joining us on the channel.
0:56for the rest of the season. Let's kick things off with Jameer Gibbs as your Running Back 1.
1:01This is against the Arizona Cardinals. And on the road, Hayden, the Lions are projected for nearly 30 points.
1:07That's a lot. Yeah, we haven't really seen that many 30 points per team totals this season.
1:12So that's rare. And then also rare, he has 105.1 half PPR points through four weeks.
1:16That's RB14 all time through that time frame. He's had 20 expected half PPR points in every single week.
1:22Cardinals defense is a joke. So as easy as it gets.
1:25Okay, if you're new around here, we tear these out.
1:28Some big groupings and some small. And Hayden, I wonder if the S tier this week, the top tier, fits only two names.
1:35Bijan Robinson is your Running Back 2. This is against the Baltimore Ravens.
1:39They're projected for 23.5 points. And typically when you see that against Baltimore, you would think that that team are still underdogs.
1:45That is not the case here against the high-flying Atlanta Falcons.
1:49What they are two, two and a half, three-point favorites here against the Lamar-Lis Ravens.
1:53Yeah, three and a half point favorites here. 11th highest team total of the week.
1:57So officially an above average offense heading into this one.
2:00He scored over 25 half PPR points in seven of 10 recent games.
2:04He's played 14 games with Michael Penick, stating back to 2024.
2:07He's averaging almost 23 half PPR points on 5.1 targets per game.
2:11They didn't even have to throw in the ball that many times because the ground game was absolutely on fire with Callahan, the new offensive line coach.
2:19Tafanski, a historically good run game play caller as well.
2:22So get used to it. It's going to be B.
2:25John and Jameer Gibbs as the top two. And I agree with you.
2:29Everyone else is A tier. I wonder if we get any news of the Jake Matthews injury.
2:34I haven't seen that. We're recording this on Wednesday.
2:36And by the way, keep that in mind with all these practice reports.
2:40Things change. Hayden, by the way, top five in rankings right now, just in the world, in the universe, in terms of fantasy football for the season.
2:48And he's constantly updating these up until Sunday's kickoff as well.
2:51Okay. You answered it. That means you're running back three in Jonathan Taylor kicks off the A tier.
2:57This is at the Pittsburgh Steelers, two and a half point road underdogs.
3:00The Indianapolis Colts are right now. Jonathan Taylor is their best offensive player and arguably their entire offense right now.
3:06He pretty much is. He's projected for 108 total yards in this one.
3:10And the other two are 122 and 132 yards.
3:13A little bit of a step down. Speaking of step downs, a slight step down this year for Jonathan Taylor is averaging
3:192.2 half PPR points fewer than last year in the Daniel Jones games.
3:23Not that crazy, though. And then the expected fantasy points are just about the same.
3:27The big difference is career low 4.1 yards per carry through four weeks.
3:31I don't think that's a Jonathan Taylor thing at all.
3:34Just watching the Colts in general. I think the offensive line is no longer a great unit.
3:39I think it's more mediocre. The right tackle has been beat up from what I've seen out there.
3:44So I think that's affecting things. It's not affecting things to knock Jonathan Taylor down too far in the rankings.
3:50He's still the RB5 and RB7 usage this season.
3:53He's faced the Ravens, Chiefs, Texans, and the Commanders, which I think is a pretty underrated defense.
3:58That said, Steelers are also an awesome defense. So I think this is fine.
4:02He's an awesome pick. He would go around one still.
4:05But I do think there's a separation between the top two.
4:08Yeah, I mean, last year, this offense was number one in scoring for nine or ten weeks.
4:13Right now, they're 13th, which is not bad. I mean, the team total is 25.5 on the year.
4:19And that has led us to, you know, Jonathan Taylor having weeks of 23.6, 27.2, and 22.2.
4:24So we just need to avoid like the bottoming out that he had kind of in week three is 8.2 points.
4:30Okay, Kyron Williams all the way up as your running back four.
4:33This is against the Buffalo Bills. I mean, talk about an awesome primetime game that we have between those two on Monday Night Football.
4:40The Rams have a 29-point projected team total, nearly at that.
4:44And the Bills are at nearly 26, Hayden. We'd love to see it.
4:47Yeah, this is Monday Night Football. I'm thinking about going to this game.
4:51Okay. But, I mean, just because this game is going to be electric.
4:55The bottom line is, Lake Horm just not playing as much because the Rams have been in more competitive or like negative
5:02game scripts and Kyron Williams plays all those snaps.
5:04And it's not that he's out there. To me, it's pretty evident that they're using Kyron Williams' ability to run little either
5:11like choice routes from the slot, angle routes, just quick outs in general as like a big part of the offense right now.
5:17And that's really helped him in fantasy. So you were spot on pre-draft with Kyron Williams in that if they're projected for 29 points, he's scoring touchdowns.
5:25If they're trailing in games, he's catching passes. He just had 10 receptions last week as well.
5:30So he's the RB6 and RB9 usage and his his totals improve every week.
5:34So this is as good as it gets for him.
5:37With that said, if there's going to be a Blake Corum game this season, I think this might be it where they are projected for 29 points.
5:45Yes. We'll see. I will say on the Buffalo side of things, Christian Benford, their top corner being out, I think does
5:52make them, you know, more of a pass funnel.
5:54They have this absolute like freak looking player, Dion Walker.
5:57He's so, so, so huge over the middle. And he's been one of the breakout players at defensive tackle.
6:03So I wouldn't say that this is the easiest team to run up the middle on.
6:08But I do think that the linebacker secondary play in general, I think is gettable.
6:12So I feel very comfortable with Kyron this high.
6:15Yeah. Dion Walker out of Kentucky. Is that correct?
6:17Yes. Is planet theory, you know, and he went multiple rounds later and had an injury and all that type of stuff.
6:24But Hey, sometimes you just bank on the traits and he develops into a wrecking ball, just like throwing dudes, even in stunts.
6:31He's just like going and slanting down. And then that offensive lineman is being displaced by three or four yards and landing on one foot.
6:38It's pretty incredible. You mentioned the bills. James Cook is your next running back here.
6:42This is at the LA Rams. Yeah. I mean, this offense we want pieces of and I'm still waiting on, you know, the DJ more key on Coleman.
6:51We'll have that conversation. The wide receiver ranking show on Friday.
6:54So if you're new run here, hit subscribe. That comes out on your feed that day.
6:59But talk to me about James Cook. Obviously, he's a must start.
7:02Nothing's changed. He had 16 happy PR points last year.
7:05He's at 15.9. He's the RB 37 receptions per game.
7:08He wasn't catching many passes last year. He's averaging almost 18 carries per game.
7:12He's got 105 rushing yards per game. It's like the most stable offense in the NFL.
7:17So he's the RB 11 on RB 12 usage because like other running backs are like, you know, have like surpassed him.
7:23But the stats from this year are the exact same stats from last year.
7:27He's going to lose some touch pushes to Josh Allen.
7:30And at the same time, he's capable of hitting a 50 yard play himself.
7:35And there's so often in the red zone that even with Josh Allen stealing the work, like he's still going to finish
7:41with 10 plus touchdowns quite easily this year. So I really like it.
7:45You are predicting a chase Brown breakthrough and we need it.
7:48Uh, this is at the Miami dolphins. He is your running back six.
7:52They are seven and a half point road favorites.
7:55So far this season running back 14, 22, 30, and 22 weeks.
7:58I'm assuming he's still an eight year for you.
8:01Yes. I think he's still the buy low. I said it last week, but acknowledging that it was once again, a bad matchup.
8:07This one is a good one, but to put some context on what chase Brown has faced so far, it's Jacksonville Texans
8:14Steelers and the Buccaneers from 2025 through week four.
8:17Those are the first fourth, six and 13th best defenses against fantasy running backs.
8:21Uh, the dolphins, guess what? They're not that high up.
8:24So, uh, RB 11 and usage, he's still catching 5.3 receptions per game.
8:27Like that's what we're here for. And if Jamar chase T Higgins, these guys are going to be missing time against this Miami defense.
8:35Like this is the time to absolutely, uh, go crazy.
8:37Yeah. T Higgins, uh, was on the sideline for practice.
8:40Jamar chase is still in concussion protocol. And if you look at the dolphins defense, they are right now 19th in explosive play rate allowed.
8:48Uh, Hayden, I would have guessed it was much worse than that.
8:51Just watching every single team, but maybe it's, you know, just 19 yard gains over and over and over again, instead of
8:5820 yard gains at this dolphins defense allows. My note on Miami's defense, they've allowed three top five fantasy running back finishers this season.
9:05And the fourth opponent they had was Aaron Jones who had 128 total yards in that one.
9:10Uh, he just didn't have the touchdowns. Okay. Javante Williams is next for you as running back seven.
9:15He is running back 11 in consensus rankings, mainly because he's facing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense.
9:20Uh, right now, Hayden, 44% of Javante's fancy points are coming directly from touchdowns.
9:24It is the prime example of touchdowns, meaning more than yards and catches in a fancy season.
9:29Great news for him. The Cowboys project for the third most points of the week.
9:34You know, they're massive favorites here, almost 10 points, uh, against Tampa Bay, uh, on a short week.
9:39So I think that game script is like classic for Javante Williams here with, you know, an undrafted free agent rookie making a second start on the road.
9:47Kind of fun. Kind of fun. But also you have two days to think about it.
9:52Then you're back or three days to think about it.
9:55Then you're back on the field. So I think that, you know, this is a great game for the Cowboys.
10:01The Buccaneers defense just has not faced like a serious fantasy running back or offense, just collectively Packers, Vikings, Browns most recently.
10:07Um, so like you said, like, I know that they have Vita Veya, but we might get Tyler Smith back in this one after that thumb injury.
10:15You can make an argument. He's one of the best interior offensive linemen in the world.
10:20And that would be a big boost to an already good Cowboys offensive lines.
10:24Like there's like really like nothing you can say negatively about him.
10:27He's the RB seven or RB six usage. I, I, he does not talked about as one of the best picks you
10:34could have made in fantasy, but like early round four teams with Javante Williams, like that has been an absolute home rep.
10:40The Bucs have allowed 3.3 yards per carrier to running back to just third best success rate, fourth best against those runs.
10:47But like you're talking about, you're, you're basically just banking on touchdowns here for, for Javante.
10:52Um, I did want to ask you since this game is on Thursday night, uh, we already did stats versus film.
10:58We talked about CD lamb and how he already has more receiving touchdowns this year than he did last year.
11:04George Pickens who ran super hot last year is doing the opposite this year.
11:08And for us as a buy low, you're starting both of those guys, right?
11:12What about in the Bucs end with Jalen Daniels against this Cowboys secondary and this Cowboys defense?
11:17Uh, it's mainly only a conversation here with Emeka Ekbuka.
11:20Yeah. But where is he like wide receiver three flex territory for you?
11:24He's my wide receiver 39. He's projected for only 5.7, uh, half PPR points according to the live betting markets right now.
11:30So I think he's only a wide receiver three spot.
11:33We have to do better in our flex than 5.7 projected points last week, the Buccaneers, they had a 34% neutral pass rate, which is way below average.
11:41Like it's around 50%. Um, and that makes sense to me.
11:45And, you know, they're just not making him like all the way, the priority.
11:49Um, like there's like a little bit too much Kate Otten from, for my liking here.
11:53And then I think Emeka has a little bit underwhelmed on tape, if I'm being honest.
11:58So I would say hopefully he's, you know, the first name on your bench as we kind of wait for Baker Mayfield to return.
12:05Um, but yeah, underwhelming. Yeah. Yeah. The Bucs over the last three seasons have had, you know, Dave Canales, then Liam Cohen.
12:12And then, uh, who was it last year? He had a weird name.
12:15Um, uh, Grizzard, Josh. Yep. Yep. Yes. From, I think, Lizard Lick, North Carolina.
12:20That's right. My memory serves, correct? That's right. Uh, you know, the first two guys went on to get head coaching jobs.
12:26The other guy got fired after one year. Uh, if Todd Bowles makes it, Hayden, I have a pretty good idea which direction Zach Robinson is going.
12:34Yes. I agree. Okay. Jalen Warren is your running back eight.
12:37Is this a tier or B tier against Indianapolis Colts?
12:40Oh, this is a tier. You know, me and my Jalen Warren stocks.
12:44Uh, we got, uh, updates on Rico Dowdle. He said he dislocated his toe twice in that last game and like, he's just getting ready to ramp up.
12:52So this is obviously assumed that Rico Dowdle is out.
12:55Uh, Warren's been the running back 14, running back 16 in usage in the two games without him.
13:00I think he's looked excellent on tape. The Steelers have also like, I think found the right combination of both, you know,
13:07Rogers, uh, berating, uh, Mike McCarthy to get some of the plays out of the playbook.
13:12And then also they kind of reorganize the offensive line and it feels a little bit more settled going into week five
13:18than it did, you know, like after like the week one, week two performances from them, he's been the RB 11 on
13:25RB 15 usage over the past two weeks. They got a 23 and a half team total.
13:30They're expected to win against the Colts by, uh, two and a half points at home.
13:34Um, and the Colts, they've been really bad. They've allowed the fifth most pass yards per game, seventh most rush yards per game.
13:41Um, they face, you know, the commander's quarterback three and the Texans without Nico Collins this year.
13:46And those teams moved the ball on them. So I feel good about the overall environment.
13:51Yeah. Two and a half point home favorites here for the Steelers.
13:54And Warren has been the running back eight and 21 over the last two weeks.
13:59Derek Henry is your running back nine in consensus rankings.
14:02He is the running back five. This is at the Atlanta Falcons.
14:05Uh, Hayden, this is a big test for Declan Doyle, who has to go out there with a backup quarterback, most likely in week five.
14:13We've seen other play callers with backup quarterbacks so far this season.
14:16Um, and this is kind of typically the game that maybe Derek Henry fails to reach expectations.
14:21I mean, three and a half point underdogs. And we know he's just doesn't catch passes.
14:26Right. Right. Uh, they're projected for 20 points, which is 23rd.
14:29Um, so this obviously assumes that Lamar Jackson is not going to be out there.
14:33There's been four games that Lamar Jackson, um, as a Baltimore Raven, he's averaged 22 half PPR points on them.
14:39So like, there's still like a ceiling to chase.
14:42He's averaged 24 carries per game in them. I feel very confident that deckly Doyle is going to run the ball plenty in this game early on.
14:50Uh, and they're going to have, uh, how do you think Jurgen's going to play this, this game?
14:55No, he's not. He's in, um, concussion protocol. So he's going to miss this week.
15:00I think they then have a buy and then he's going to come back.
15:04Okay. If I'm remembering correctly. Yeah. So on top of the backup quarterback situation, the interior offensive line is just a complete
15:10mess right now because of the center issue. They have their guard playing center right now.
15:15And he's really hasn't played center before. So there's a lot of moving parts here for Derek Henry.
15:20I feel confident that deck and go is going to make the most out of a pretty bad situation.
15:26And Derek Henry is still going to have, you know, 18 plus touches in this one.
15:30Just being realistic about a 20 point team total and you know, the state of the offensive line.
15:36Are we going to be selective and put him in B tier?
15:39Um, no, I don't like the optics of that.
15:42So we'll keep them in the A tier. Okay.
15:45Well, I mean, that leads me into, you're not going to love the optics if CMC is in B tier as well.
15:51So I'm just going to put him in A tier.
15:54Correct. This is against the Seattle Seahawks. I mean, the 49ers high flying.
15:58I would put Brock Purdy at the number one for MVP odds right now yet on the road in Seattle only projected for 21 and a quarter points.
16:06Talk to me. Yep. That's 18th. That's a little bit below average.
16:10That makes sense because Seattle has just been dominant against everybody.
16:13Um, he's faced Mike McDonald's, uh, defense four times.
16:15He scored 9.9, 8.7, 18.7 and 12.6 half PPR points.
16:18That's an average of 12 and a half. Um, and Seattle hasn't allowed a running back to the reach a hundred total
16:25yards or 12 and a half PPR points this season.
16:28So we know this is a good defense. It's been a good defense.
16:32Um, I will say with Christian McCaffrey, if we remove that week one game, which I think largely, you know, you're in Australia, he had cramps.
16:39It was a million degrees. Uh, since then he's the RB seven on RB nine usage.
16:44Like that feels right. You know, he's averaging four receptions per game.
16:48That's RB six. He's RB three. And inside the five yard line carries his offense is good.
16:53Like this is going to be totally fine for Christian McCaffrey.
16:56Like even like the six overall pick. Like I feel very, very, very good about it.
17:01Oh, a hundred percent. Um, he's been the running back 22 and week one, then three, five and 19.
17:06So it's not like, you know, certified top three running back usage every single week, but, uh, they're still going to give you very solid weeks.
17:14Yes. More often than bad weeks or even average weeks, right?
17:17These are your standard ground picks presented by DraftKings.
17:20Every game day means more with drafting sports. The crown is yours.
17:23And that name today is Trevion Henderson. As you're running back 11, this is against the Las Vegas Raiders.
17:29Hey, the caveat here. Okay. Or Mondria Stevenson, not practicing on Wednesday.
17:32That's the latest that we have. Uh, I believe you saw at the final touch that he had over the weekend that
17:39he got a bit crunched and maybe something happened with his ankle and his knee.
17:43So I know that, uh, Mike Vrabel had the microphone and said, quote, he has a chance to play, but again, going
17:50by what you have right now, uh, if he does not play, Trevion Henderson should be shooting up rankings.
17:55Yep. He has had, uh, just three games without Ramondre Stevenson, but he's been the RB one overall.
18:01Uh, he's averaging 22.7 half PPR points in those three games on RB five usage.
18:05So it's not just that he happened to hit big explosives in those games.
18:09Like he was getting the rock a ton. I think the other context is they brought in our boy, Jamal Williams for, uh, a workout, uh, this week.
18:17And I think, you know, maybe they knew about the Ramondre injury from, uh, after that game.
18:22I did not like the way that that injury looked personally.
18:26And the backup is only Corey Kiner. So I didn't show you.
18:29Yeah. Shout out to Corey Kiner, but at the same time, shout out to Trevion Henderson.
18:34Uh, and the receiving depth is still a super lackluster.
18:37You can add Matt Collins to the injury list on top of that.
18:41So they're just running out of options to get the ball to.
18:44And then I look at the team total, they're projected for 24 and a half points, the three and a half point favorites against the Raiders.
18:52Uh, the Raiders have got her have let Kenneth Walker rip big plays.
18:56Travis, uh, actually had 70 yards against the Raiders, which is super impressive for what he was doing.
19:01Other than that, Omarion Hampton had 115 total yards against the Raiders as well.
19:05So other backs have got it, uh, have figured it out.
19:08And that's just too big of a team total.
19:11And the splits are too large for, uh, to not have trade on Henderson almost like in the RB one.
19:17Yes. Yeah. We talked about this in stats versus film that this backfield, the Broncos backfield, uh, if there is only one
19:23running back out there, we want that guy. Like we, we want pieces of that.
19:28That becomes a must start when it split truly 50, 50.
19:31Uh, and when the team totals are kind of lower than, uh, it kind of becomes a start.
19:36No one, but this is a separate thing. We saw RG Harvey do it in the Denver Broncos backfield last year.
19:42We definitely saw Trevor and Henderson do it for a stretch of six, seven games last season too.
19:48And he was, uh, find the end zone. And by the way, Hayden, it's a Josh McDaniels revenge game.
19:53Wow. Yeah. You can say that's also a Raiders revenge game against Josh McDaniels too.
19:58It depends on how you look at it. Yeah.
20:00It goes both ways. Okay. On the opposite end is Ashton Gentry, who is your running back 12 against the Patriots on the road.
20:07He's been running back 26, 20 and 15 over the last three weeks.
20:11And like you said, he's a three and a half point underdog here.
20:15So it was just a really weird sequence last week.
20:18He's played 74% of the first three drives in game from weeks one to week three.
20:23And then last week in the first three drives, he played 43% of the snaps.
20:27And I don't think that was injury related to me personally.
20:30I think they were just like going to see who's going to ride the hot hand there.
20:35And then as the game progressed, the Chiefs got up multiple scores.
20:39Ashton Gentry is very clearly the best pass catcher on the team.
20:42And then by the end of the fourth quarter and stuff, he was out there for a big, big chunk of the
20:49snaps, but he was down at 67% snaps this last week.
20:52The ankle injury, I think is still bothering him to some degree.
20:56He had a couple nice plays, but I think in general, still not moving like with enough pacing for my liking here.
21:02Uh, but he's been the RB three in expected points, uh, on RB 10, uh, actual production.
21:07So it hasn't been an efficient, uh, year for Ashton Gentry, but RB three usage is too big to fail.
21:13And I don't think that's going to completely go away.
21:16Yep. Uh, it seemed like Mike Washington was being used early as the runner and then Gentry would come in for the passing down snaps.
21:23And then he kind of pulled away in the second half.
21:26But again, if they are losing in this game, that to me only sides more and more and more in the direction
21:33of Ashton Gentry here, I put them in B tier fair or move them up.
21:37Uh, we have to have a cutoff at some point here.
21:41Yeah. Yes. I like it. Okay. I'm just, you know, trying to drive the ship.
21:45Uh, Deandre Swift is up next. He's the running back 13 at the green Bay Packers.
21:50I would say that, you know, he's still a great pick, still a great guy to have in your fantasy team.
21:56Um, this backfield might just be back to being split 50 50 and, uh, did not love Ben Johnson's comments where he
22:02said that the fumble was egregious for him last week.
22:05Uh, actually, uh, after having also a fumble in what week three on top of that against the Minnesota Vikings.
22:11Uh, he said he was going to clean it up, but I guess Hayden, if a fumble reaches egregious levels, that means
22:18you don't get a touch for the rest of the game.
22:21Just like happened to sweat. Yes. That was midway through the third quarter and Kyle, the nun guy went absolutely crazy to close this one out.
22:29So there's definitely, you know, a lot more risk here with Deandre Swift.
22:32And at the same time, either one of these backs are capable of finishing as the RV one overall in this offense.
22:39So like, you know, like I don't know what else to do here.
22:43So he's been the RV 12 and RBA usage this season.
22:46That's been one insane game, three, two mediocre games.
22:49And the last week was a bad game for him.
22:51I think the matchup of the Packers is a good one.
22:55They're projected for 24 points. That's the 10th most with Tyson Bajan under center, most likely.
22:59And the Packers have allowed the second most fantasy points to running backs this season.
23:04And then I went back and I looked at what they've been doing against, uh, running backs, uh, without Michael Parsons, uh,
23:10without Michael Parsons, uh, late last year. And they've allowed the most rushing yards per game in the NFL, uh, since that point.
23:17So it's a great spot. It's a spot where you play both, you know, obviously you don't have both on your team,
23:24but especially with Ken Walker, the third and Chuba Hubbard on buys this week and other guys injured.
23:29Um, both of them are top 20 at the position and both are RB twos at this point.
23:34Okay. We'll get to comment on guy in a moment, but we have to get through Aaron Jones first.
23:40This is your running back 14. This is on the road against the Northern saints, uh, saints team that, I mean, Hayden,
23:46they've given top 20 weeks to Mike Washington jr.
23:49And Brian Robinson over the last two weeks on top of the starters.
23:53So, uh, yeah, Aaron Jones, who was getting, I mean, just a ridiculous amount, 69 of the 81 opportunities since Jordan Mason went down.
24:00Uh, this should be a feast. Let's put it that way.
24:03It's hard to allow six top 20 running backs in four weeks, but the saints have, have done just that.
24:09Um, and I mean, so many missed tackles defensively from them.
24:12Um, so that's a big question mark short week on top of that.
24:16Uh, yeah, Aaron Jones finished a top 24 running back in every week in the three games without Jordan Mason, that's RB 18, 15 and 18.
24:24Um, and then last week, only one of his 20 carries went for a negative.
24:28Um, so like they're like, it's an offensive line that's, you know, going to miss Donovan Jackson, but it's a fine enough offensive alignment, uh, grouping.
24:36And yeah, they might not have Justin Jefferson or Jordan Addison.
24:39Addison now has a hamstring injury and Justin Jefferson.
24:41There was comments from KOC that, you know, Hey, we got the bi-week next week, you know, which is to me is
24:48always like a signal that he's not going to play.
24:51So we're losing bodies and Aaron Jones is going to be out there for every snap.
24:56Totally. The 69 opportunities he has over the last two weeks are almost like half of his entire opportunities last season, but that's pretty nuts.
25:03Um, I mean, again, the saints allowing 5.2 yards per carry.
25:06That's 31st in the league. I will add the Vikings just lost their left guard.
25:11So hopefully it doesn't impact them too much, but, uh, this is the most consistent part of their offense right now is the rushing attack too.
25:18Emmanuel Wilson is your running back 15. It has been a bit of a rollercoaster from a fancy standpoint.
25:24Um, obviously running back 24, then running back 67, then running back six over the last three weeks.
25:29But we know he is going to pull a Aaron Jones and own, you know, 85% of the backfield touches here.
25:35Most likely. Yeah. So I was watching that game back and I thought Emmanuel Wilson, like he's pretty slow, but he makes
25:42some guys miss on contact and he caught some passes as well.
25:45Like going directly in a straight line. Yes. Uh, but, but also like head on a swivel, like look out, like if
25:52he's coming, like you don't want to, you want any of that, uh, action, which by the way, the chargers to the
25:58most like egregious missed tackles I've ever seen on Emmanuel Wilson touchdown over there.
26:02One, like try to play flag football against like totally pathetic.
26:06Um, also pathetic George Alani had three massive mistakes in pass protection in this one.
26:10And I think that's matters a little bit because we never knew about Emmanuel Wilson catching passes.
26:15Like I feel comfortable that he's going to like, at least be like somewhat in the mix there, like enough to trust
26:22him as an RB two, cause he's gonna get all the goal line work.
26:26This team is averaging 24.8, uh, expected half PPR points to the running backs collectively.
26:30And if you know, he gets 65 to 80% of them, uh, that's a really good spot to be in.
26:36And then the meanwhile, with the 49ers, you know, they just don't have enough defense alignment right now.
26:41Um, I know they got Fred Warner and they still got Osa, Diggie Zou and whatnot, but like everyone's kind of getting home.
26:48Uh, RJ Harvey, Jeremy, my loved Von H and Kyron Williams, all top 20 running backs.
26:53Um, and the team totals rocks all again. Yeah.
26:55Three point home favorites. Uh, his four targets last week were a nice surprise going back through and watching all the games.
27:02So if he gets, I mean, three of them, two of them were designed and then the third one was an escort.
27:08So, Hey, that's good stuff for a guy that I think only had two targets heading into that game.
27:14Okay. Braylon Allen is next. Again, we're on this trend of kind of replacement running backs who own their backfields.
27:20Yep. That is what Braylon Allen is here. He's running back 20 in consensus rankings home favorite, which is a much different
27:26spot last week against the Chicago bears when they only had 32 offensive plays.
27:30Yeah. I just don't think the Browns are going to be able to play the time of possession game that the bears
27:37did last, uh, last week, 32 plays. Like I still cannot get over how few that is.
27:42Um, but he played on 30 of 32 plays and you know, if we extrapolate to a normal 55 plays per game, then Braylon Allen looks amazing.
27:50So, uh, the jets have collectively averaged 17.7 expected half PPR points.
27:53Let's say he gets 90% of them. My math, if it's correct, that's about 16 expected points here, uh, as, um, home favorites.
28:00Like it's too big to fail. Totally agree. Uh, Browns allowing a run of 10 or more yards on a league high 15% of backfield runs.
28:08Uh, that's from the great rich reebar in his worksheet.
28:11So something to watch for. Basial tootin against the Philadelphia Eagles is your running back 17.
28:15Uh, we do view this Vic Fangio defense as quite good in the past coverage department.
28:20I'll be, it's kind of a Rocky this season.
28:23I mean, all the defensive numbers Hayden are kind of poor for the Eagles right now.
28:27I mean, they were allowing 15 rushing points per game to just backfields.
28:31That's 23rd in the league. And we know Basial tootin right now.
28:35I mean, he's second in success rate across the league, despite being hit at or behind the line of scrimmage on 48% of his runs.
28:42And he's fourth best in terms of yards after contact per rush.
28:46Yeah. He's the RB 16 and RB 25 usage.
28:48Like that's as like pretty much as wide of a gap as you'll see, um, from a running back.
28:54So he individually is playing excellent. It's not the greatest role ever, but I'm not going to nitpick this.
28:59This is an RB two that we're looking at.
29:02And with the Eagles, number one, Jalen Carter, he's got a wrist injury that he's been playing through.
29:07He's just not the same Jalen Carter, like the a hundred million dollar player.
29:12And then Zach bond was in the concussion protocol.
29:14I'm guessing he's going to return in this one.
29:17Cooper de jean knee injury. Quinn, John Mitchell picked up an injury.
29:20Jonathan Grenard was walking off the field with an ankle injury as well.
29:24So like, that's a lot of really good players that are just not themselves or just going to be completely out in this game.
29:31So I would treat the Eagles as a little bit of a tanking enterprise as you know, they're trading away cam Jergens
29:38for, for 20, 28, a second rounder. So yeah, I think, you know, I feel comfortable that Jacksonville cleans up in this
29:44one, um, with a 25 point team total. Yeah.
29:47Yeah. We'll talk a little bit more about the Eagles.
29:50Uh, once we get to well Shipley, I will say for injuries and for bi-weeks already being at play, this running back 12 through 17 is very healthy.
29:58You know, like it's a really nice group. I think that I would be very confident in starting all my lineups football weekends move fast.
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30:43The crown is yours. Running back 18 is Quinshawn Judkins.
30:46This is at the New York jets. Uh, I very similar stats for Judkins and Kim Scadaboo, which they're kind of linked
30:52to the surgery that they had last year in terms of the dislocated ankle and the fibula fracture on top of it.
30:59Um, of 46 running backs with 25 or more attempts.
31:02Judkins has is 42nd in terms of yards per carry and is 45th in success rate.
31:07Uh, and actually some of his past work role now that Dylan Sampson is down, uh, has actually kind of aided him
31:13and saved some of his weeks lately too. Career highs and expected half PPR points last week at 22.9.
31:19That was the RB four in usage last week, career high, seven targets, career high, six receptions with Dylan Sampson.
31:25So, you know, we've never seen this before with, with that.
31:28And I think that he can catch the ball.
31:30Like it's not his best stuff, but you know, I think that he's capable enough and he still had a 17 carries.
31:37Uh, they're not going anywhere. I think that some of this is, some of this belongs to Quinshawn Judkins.
31:42Well, I largely think this is just an offensive line, just like completely gelling together.
31:47There's a lot of new parts over there. So I wouldn't be surprised if like that gets cleaned up kind of as
31:53the season progresses and he looks a little bit better, but I will swap out running game efficiency for more receptions all day long.
32:00That's the easiest swap ever. He's projected for 75 and a half total yards.
32:05And then the Browns are projected for 18 and a half points, which is, it's not a lot, but we've seen much
32:11worse, uh, team totals, uh, the season as well.
32:14So I think he's all right. Okay. Let's talk to your, my love Hayden.
32:18How do you feel if I tell you that you are five spots below consensus on Jeremiah love?
32:23They have him as running back 14. You're at running back 19.
32:27This is against the Detroit lions love so far this season running back 19 37, seven.
32:31We got our hopes up. Maybe we got a bit over our toes and skis and then running back 41.
32:37Um, again, five and a half point home underdog here, but yet the team is still expected to score nearly 25 points.
32:44So talk to me about Jeremiah. I don't know if he's going to play, you know, so I'm, I'm docking because of
32:50the injury, uh, late in the game, fourth quarter, his right ankle gets trapped.
32:54He was kind of slamming his hands on the ground.
32:57Then the next play before it, he stands up and he's kicking his leg.
33:01Like, you know, a dog does at the beach.
33:04And then he walks off to the sideline after the play.
33:07And that was his last snap of the game.
33:10Tyler Algier for the last 11 minutes, uh, was out there, even though it was not the game script that he typically is out there.
33:17I don't think Jeremiah love was benched. I think he was not out there because he was injured and this is his other ankle.
33:24And I think before that game, that was not the same Jeremiah love that I know.
33:29Um, I didn't think that he totally had his like normal change of direction on tape.
33:34And that was before this new injury. I just don't know if he's gonna apply.
33:38Like bottom line, make sure Tyler Algier is picked up.
33:41We are, we're not recording this before, or we are recording this before we get the Cardinals injury report.
33:47I would not be surprised if he's, if he's on it and it's going to be listed as his other ankle.
33:53The left ankle was the preseason. This is his right ankle.
33:56Um, so I would love to play him, but I'm not sure if he's healthy.
34:00Okay. We'll have a lot of updates on that on the Sunday morning start set show.
34:05I will not be there, but Hayden will be there for half it and Harmon and Boone would definitely cover it.
34:11So, uh, tune into that on Sunday morning. Okay.
34:14Running back 20 is Kyle Monungay. Uh, I mentioned the quote that Ben Johnson had for DeAndre Swift.
34:19He also had one for Kyle Monungay, uh, who messed up his thumb.
34:23Ben said the thumb is not an issue, but he did have 30 carries.
34:27And he feels like he had 30 carries. So Hayden, that makes me think that DeAndre Swift is still going to get a large chunk of the work.
34:35And, uh, we probably won't see 30 carries for common on guy this week.
34:40I would also like to know how the defense felt after this Kyle Monungay 30 carries too.
34:45Cause I mean, this guy just wants to go right through your melon.
34:48Um, just zooming all the way back out. So week five last year is kind of when the bears like became the bears with Ben Johnson.
34:56Uh, they're by yes. From that point, Kyle Monungay is the RB 27 on RB 30 usage.
35:01DeAndre Swift is the RB 12 and RB 16 usage.
35:04Like I think that's a good starting point. I would say after this last game and the coach quotes and the DeAndre
35:10Swift fumbles, Kyle Monungay throw him up, throw him up a couple spots from that, uh, knowing that he has this crazy ceiling.
35:17And then after the running backs that we'll get to in the next couple of names, these are terrible running backs.
35:23I don't feel comfortable about any of them. So I'd rather shoot with shoot for the moon with Calvin on guy, the
35:30Packers 139 rushing yards allowed a second most fancy points allowed to running backs this year, 131 rushing yards per game without
35:36Micah Parsons fifth worst red zone defense on top of that without Micah Parsons going back to last year as well.
35:4324 point team total, which is top 10 in the league.
35:46Um, so, you know, this could be another running back 27 finish, which is what his average is or it could be the RB two.
35:53Yep. But one nugget I had in mind is that typically what we see with the split between Swift and Monungay is full drives, right?
36:00With Monungay faring so much better in short yardage and goal line stuff.
36:04I wonder if we see a slight change in that.
36:07If they get inside the five yard line, if he subs on common guy, now this is a small sample and Swift
36:14has improved in that area, but you know, we've seen a fumble.
36:17We've seen DeAndre Swift stuffed this past week, just trying to convert.
36:21You know, fourth downs, fourth and goals, and he couldn't do it.
36:24And then common on guy has gotten stuff in the past, but then in the second effort kind of gets in and is just a bulldozer there.
36:32So I just wonder if Ben Johnson just looks and like you said, zooms out and says, Hey, we have this emerging
36:39player who kind of has the style for this.
36:41Let's just lean on him in that area a bit more often.
36:45Yeah, I can totally see it. It checks out.
36:48And I think Ben Johnson is probably more likely than other coaches to make changes, even when things are going fairly well.
36:54The offense is still rolling, but like, I think he would still like, look at this objectively and be like, we could change this up.
37:01Okay. Cam Scadaboo is your running back 21. This is at the Washington commanders.
37:05Still beat here for you. Yeah, I guess so.
37:08He was wearing a non-contact jersey on practice on Wednesday, which I'm sure that's just like, you know, so hard for him
37:15to make sure he's not contacting other players. But on the season, Scadaboo was the RB 26 on RB 19 usage.
37:21I talked about this on stats versus film. This was like a wild game to track in terms of the running back rotation.
37:28It was Cam Scadaboo early, but Najee was out there.
37:30Uh, and then as they, uh, we're getting to the goal line, Cam Scadaboo was on the field.
37:36They score a touchdown to Theo Johnson incomes, the two point conversion, which means Najee Harris subs in Najee Harris runs the
37:42ball in for that two point conversion, which to me is like a tell, like they might sub in Najee Harris at the goal line for Cam Scadaboo.
37:50And then later in the game, Najee Harris fumbles the ball.
37:54It doesn't play another staff afterwards. It's like, what do I do with that information?
37:58I have no clue. Uh, yeah, they're expected to lose this game by three and a half.
38:03I think we all think that Jamis stinks out loud.
38:06Uh, and then the other note is that Najee Harris, he played 12 snaps and 10 of them are runs by himself.
38:13So this is also becoming an obvious tell that when Najee's in the game, they're just running the ball, uh, up the middle.
38:19So yeah, wonky stuff from the Cam Scadaboo Najee Harris split.
38:23Yeah. And again, I'll mention that he is having some of the same issues that Quinchan Judkins is, at least from an
38:29underlying metric standpoint, where he's 41st in yards per carry among 51 backs.
38:33Uh, he's 43rd when it comes to success rate.
38:35Uh, on top of that, the giants average actually a league low 3.7 yards per play on first down.
38:41He's still averaging 19 touches, which is really good.
38:44But something I've speculated on since week one, when we saw the commanders against the Eagles is that this commander's defense is
38:50very obviously with Durante Jones coming for Brian Flores, but Vikings like in that they probably punch above their weight in terms
38:57of shutting down the run or slowing down the run versus what you would expect on the depth chart.
39:02And that's the case so far. I mean, they're ninth in yards per carry to backfields and then seventh in yards allowed before contact per rush.
39:10So the commanders are again, playing better than I expected them to against the run this year.
39:15Agree. Dave Montgomery first seat here for sure. Yes.
39:18Okay. This is your, excuse me. Got choked up.
39:20This is your running back 22 at the Tennessee Titans.
39:23You know, that statement started strong and then it struggled just like Dave Montgomery season running back six, 48, 36 and 45 over the last four weeks.
39:31We keep saying it that like, Hey, the matchup lines up and that means it could be a solid Dave Montgomery game.
39:38That didn't happen last week against the Cowboys. I'll be, they scored so many points here.
39:42They're favored despite being on the road against Titans.
39:45So might it happen here? I hope so. You know, that's, that's the lone positive note that I have is, you know,
39:51the game script should be on his side. We were promised more Woody marks.
39:55We did get it. How the Texas have operated in the first three weeks was that David Montgomery gets the first two
40:02drives and then it's a drive by drive rotation for the rest of the game.
40:06Last week, Woody marks out there for the second drive.
40:09So like that's congratulations to Woody marks. You're playing more in the rotation.
40:13Yeah. You can chop the team total almost in half because Woody marks is going to be out there for half of the snaps.
40:20I think that Woody marks and David Montgomery, it's like, doesn't matter behind this offensive line.
40:25And the Titans have absolute freaks across the defensive line.
40:28So it's, it's one of these tricky spots where they're expected to score a lot of points, but it's a pass funnel.
40:34So I can feel great about Nico Collins, but if Nico Collins on the field, that means the Texans are moving the
40:41ball, which means it's more red zone opportunity. So I think like on the whole, I think the bottom has kind of,
40:47we kind of hit the bottom with David Montgomery the last couple of weeks and that the Texans are going to be, I would hope so.
40:55If there's a bottom worse than the running back 48, 36 and 45, we might be a negative points territory here.
41:01Remember it can always get worse. Like Woody marks could just like take this thing by, by, by the horns here.
41:07Um, but I just think the Texans offense, like probably will, you know, be a little bit better.
41:13Um, yeah, but they're also just like, they should just like never run the ball.
41:17Like this, this team should honestly be like number one in neutral pass rate.
41:21Like that's how bad their offensive line is. Uh, to make a Ryan's just got on the mic and announced that he's
41:28taking over play calling duties on the defensive side of the ball.
41:31Uh, at first I thought he was going to say offense, but no, he said, I would like to see that just play caller on both sides.
41:39Do you think we'll ever see that in the NFL?
41:42Uh, no, but if that means that somebody else is in charge of timeouts, I think that might help the Texans.
41:48Oh, I love it. Okay. Omari and Hampton is up.
41:51Is this D tier or C tier? I'll put them in C tier.
41:55It would be quite funny if, if you might was the only player in that, uh, Steve, Stephen Haglund, uh, is a longtime fan of the charters.
42:03Let's put it that way. Does a good job and host a podcast, uh, that covers a team.
42:08This is his guest for the charters offensive line against the Broncos.
42:12This week. You're ready. Left tackle Branson Taylor, left guard, Logan Taylor center.
42:16Jake slaughter, right guard, Cole strange, right tackle. Travis Burke.
42:18Oh boy. Like two of those names could easily have just been in chat.
42:23But GBT. Yes. Yes. Absolutely. Um, did you see how Joe got injured in this one?
42:27It was awful. Like he was just like minding his own business.
42:31And then here comes like Nicky man warrior off the side and just like just hits him in the head.
42:37And like, he just like, it's like stun gun.
42:39So, you know, he might not go to injured reserve.
42:42Rashawn Slater is going into reserve lad McConkey. Also, he got hurt.
42:46He got hurt on the interception and cause he was trying to turn, uh, and go try to chase down the guy with the ball.
42:53And then his foot got worse and he didn't play after that.
42:57So, you know, Omari Hampton, it can always get worse.
43:00Uh, I will say this. They're catching the Broncos at the right time.
43:03At least with Pat Sertan hurt. Riley Moss is hurt.
43:06John Cooper stole the sideline because of the alleged domestic abuse.
43:10They've had the defensive tackle issues from the off season exits.
43:13The linebackers have been absolutely terrible. So like this is the worst.
43:16The Broncos have looked defensively in years and years and years going into a game.
43:21Um, all four running backs against Denver have finished his top 20 backs.
43:25They've allowed 143 rushing yards per game, which is the fourth most.
43:28Um, that's like the reason why I'm holding on.
43:31And I think that he's going to get almost every single goal line opportunity, even though he's just, he's absolutely not trusting the past game at all.
43:39So, uh, he's been the running back 36, 38 and 23.
43:42Okay. Let's talk. Archie Harvey as promised. He is the number one Broncos running back on your rankings.
43:47Here's your small trophy to the people who drafted Archie Harvey.
43:51I mean, what? He had 10 catches last week and still finishes like the running back 23.
43:56So. It's really bad. Like when I was going through my rankings, my write-ups, like I was like, I can write up
44:02a pretty positive story on Quinchan and Kyle Monunga.
44:05Like scouted was kind of interesting. And then I get to this next year and I'm like, wow, it's, it's really that bad.
44:11Um, so it's like split backfield. Then you're just like trying to get a lean on how things are going to operate.
44:18Like Dobbins wasn't being utilized as many, like his percentage of snaps on early downs was down.
44:23And I think, you know, that might be like the signal that I was looking for.
44:28Um, and then, you know, Pat Bryant, not being out there and, you know, Marvin Mims and whatnot.
44:33It's like, I think that the receiving work is like pretty stable.
44:36And then he could be the goal line back moving forward.
44:40I don't know that, but you know, I'm trying to like find any reason to play running backs in this tier.
44:46And Denver's projected for 23 points as favorites against the chargers who did not want to tackle Emmanuel Wilson at all last week.
44:53Yep. Okay. Like you're saying, I mean, the cliff from B to C is, and I would even say after Dave Montgomery, it's almost further.
45:00I don't know. Maybe D much be in there too.
45:03He's, he's hanging on. Let's say it's the last one hanging on.
45:06Yeah. There should be a, a graphic right here that it's just like falling into the grand can.
45:12Cause next is, is Bill Krosky merit. Oh, um, I mean, look, the matchup is sound from a standpoint that the New
45:18York giants from the underlying metric standpoint, 30th in yards per carry to running backs rate of 10 plus yards.
45:24That is 30th. But after week one, when bill was the running back 17, he has no week better than running back 40 at this moment.
45:32The commanders use for running backs. Um, last week, wonderful.
45:35Even with Rashad white out, what was interesting about the split though, was Austin Eckler was not playing the late down snaps.
45:41Austin Eckler split the early down work with Bill Krosky merit, which was like weird to me.
45:46Cause you think of Austin Eckler as the, you know, the third down guy.
45:50Uh, but that's not what happened there. Like they had Katron Allen and Craig Reynolds were sprinkling in a little bit.
45:56So this is as committee as it gets. Um, and I think that Austin Eckler, like Loki kind of looked pretty good.
46:03Um, uh, so I don't know what to do with Bill Krosky merit.
46:07He's the RB 36 and RB 30 usage. Last week, he was RB 27 usage.
46:11Um, the only thing positive I can say is they're projected for 23 and a half points.
46:16You know, we're going to talk about some committee backfields in a second that aren't projected for that many points and their favorites.
46:23So I'm just, and I know that he's capable of the explosive play.
46:27We saw like that 48 yard touchdown that got called back.
46:30Like, like he's capable of that. You know, you get one, one of those every four or five weeks.
46:36So you're just like hoping that it hits this week.
46:39One of those split backfields is the new Orleans saints.
46:41Uh, Alvin Kamara was the touchdown scam last week.
46:44Uh, he only had 48% of the backfield touches.
46:47And again, it was all about touchdowns for him.
46:49My question here against the Minnesota Vikings one at home only projected for 20 and a half points.
46:55Um, is Alvin Kamara going to be out there that much with the past protection duties that Brian Flores forces on your backfield?
47:01I don't think he's going to play that much, but I, and I think that Kendrick Miller could steal the, some of the goal line work.
47:09It's not going to be a hundred percent of Alvin Kamara at the goal line.
47:14I will say, I think you can like design a couple targets to Alvin Kamara on early downs, but like that's as far as I'm willing to go.
47:22Um, and typically you kind of just like throw the ball to the flats to like, you know, Chris Olave and a Vele and a Juwan Johnson.
47:30And I think that's going to be, you know, quick releases to the flats.
47:34Like those type of guys is kind of the way to beat Minnesota.
47:38Um, yeah. Vikings are second best against fancy running backs after adjusting for schedule, opposing running backs are rushing less and receiving
47:44less in terms of volume against them. So it's like both phases gets hurt by the Vikings defense and saints are a weird team right now.
47:52The vibe seem off like kind of, it's like almost like from the Kelvin banks injury.
47:56And then like the defense kind of falling apart.
47:59It's like the, the vibes are suddenly weird. Yeah.
48:02And again, nationally, the saints and Falcons rivalry is just like a, another game, but there it's like, Hey, losing three straight
48:08is a pretty big freaking deal for a Falcon scene that has not been good over the last two years.
48:14You know, okay. Bucky Irving is up next for you.
48:17This is running back 27. This is at the Dallas Cowboys.
48:20I mean, we've already gone through the ringer. I will say with Bucky Irving.
48:24And after week one, I was like, man, I regretted not drafting enough of Bucky Irving.
48:29And then it kind of changed this past week.
48:32I mean, he handled a season low 66% of the backfield touches.
48:35He did not have a catch or a target.
48:38And then most importantly, as you pointed out, Sean Tucker is now involved and he's now getting the short yardage work.
48:44And both of those things combined really tanks Bucky's value for you moving forward.
48:48But, you know, on top of that Bucks project for 19 and a half points with an undrafted free agent playing on the road on the short week.
48:56So it was like as bad of a, you know, like reset that you can have from like aside from an injury
49:03for Bucky Irving last week, it was his fewest amount of expected points since week 14 of 2024 at eight and a half.
49:10And the Sean Tucker stuff, it was a third in one or Bucky Irving was on the field.
49:15Then it was a third in one. They subbed Sean Tucker in.
49:19He failed. It was fourth and one. He picks up that one.
49:22Bucky Irving comes in for a play. They get down to the one yard line.
49:27I forget who catches a pass or whatever. And then they bring Sean Tucker right back in for the goal line opportunity from the first yard line.
49:34So like this was not just like, oh, he was out there.
49:38Let's keep moving. It's like, you know, Bucky's on the field.
49:41They get to short yardage. Let's bring in Sean Tucker, who, by the way, has a good 30 pounds on Bucky Irving.
49:48And this is what they did last year. So like I'm nervous.
49:51Like I would, I would be trading Bucky Irving away.
49:54He's, he's such a fan favorite. And I don't think that his film has been nearly as good as other people talking about.
50:01So I think he's like an excellent sell, sell low, sell high, whatever you want to call this one.
50:07I'm just selling. Yeah. Unfortunately, the Bucks have also only produced 14 plays that have gained 15 or more yards.
50:12That's the fewest in the league. So we'll see if, you know, our guy Jalen Daniels can make some magic happen on Thursday.
50:19Okay. Will Shipley, the waiver wire number one target of the week sits here is running back 28.
50:24This is at the Jacksonville Jaguars. That's a major reason for that.
50:28But also a major reason Hayden is we are seeing a reset before our eyes.
50:32We know that Landon Dickerson after week one, when he played horribly was placed in injury reserve.
50:37Lane Johnson retires, not playing in week four and then ahead of week five.
50:42And then they just traded Cam Juergens for a 2028 second round pick to the Baltimore Ravens and Juergens who moved from
50:48center to left guard to replace Leonard Dickerson was playing horribly.
50:51So now they're going with a youth movement along the offensive line.
50:55But man, this is not the time to do it against a Jaguars defense of the big old boys up front who
51:01are long and athletic and don't move off the ball backwards.
51:04Yeah. So there are three of their play starters are now extremely inexperienced.
51:08And Willie Lampkin is like an absolute stud, but he's 5'11", 290.
51:12Like they're kind of like running an experiment of like, could we get away with this?
51:17Like not at center, but at guard. Um, this will be fascinating to watch.
51:21I did hear from one of the Eagles beat writers who EJ Smith, who mentioned that maybe Lampkin now will play center
51:27and then they'll move Kendall to left guard. Um, but you know, who knows what I kind of, it's two sides of this, right?
51:34I'm sure the Eagles are going to put out there to multiple, multiple media members.
51:39Hey, we saw these guys in training camp and we can't wait to see them on the field.
51:44You know, we were really excited to get them out there at the same time.
51:48This was not their plan. Of course not easily heading into week one.
51:52We saw what their plan was and, uh, it didn't even last three weeks.
51:56Yeah. And, and then we said how he gets aggressive and he said, this team is over.
52:01And I think that means the head coach it's over the trenches it's over.
52:05And they might even trade away other players to get picks.
52:09I think Bravo by Howie Roseman for getting a second rounder.
52:12Cam Juergens has not been the same player since his back surgery, moving him positions.
52:16Like it was a good experiment for two weeks, but it failed miserably.
52:20And you know, the, you can say like the Eagles are like more or less tanking.
52:25Like, you know, if you're trading future, uh, or current players for future capital, like to me, that's what tanking kind of is here.
52:32So we'll shiply gets, he's finds himself in a really bad spot.
52:35You know, Jacksonville's defensive line is awesome. And they're big and physical.
52:39I'm talking about, you know, like this interior, uh, is really now really tiny.
52:43Um, so it's, it's going to be a problem.
52:46They're projected for under 18 points. That's 29th. Uh, I think we'll ship these going to get the ball a ton.
52:52I just don't think it's going to go anywhere.
52:54It's Damien Pierce, Carson Steele in Jaden Blue. They have no choice, but to give shiply the ball.
53:00Yeah. Damien Pierce was caught up from the practice squad.
53:03Uh, Jaden blue, I don't think was. So of course all you Jaden blue trafters, like that is truly the worst possible
53:09outcome on a team that has two running back injuries on not the one that you drafted him on.
53:15Uh, he's still not getting called up. Yeah. Um, a couple of things here.
53:19You mentioned that Howie is aggressive. And I actually love that from a team that is going through all this change because
53:25that should give the Eagles fans hope that, Hey, we're not slow playing this.
53:29We're going to do it almost all at once.
53:32And that's awesome. Uh, that's what you want as part of the fan base.
53:36My question to you, Hey, and I know he's injured for multiple weeks.
53:40Do you think it's a possibility that the Eagles would trade Saquon Barkley?
53:44Wow. I don't know the contract, but like, I don't see.
53:47They would save about 1.3 million doing it. Yeah.
53:50Uh, I think that would make a lot of sense.
53:53Like, I think they're going to get creative. Like, can they get rid of Dallas Goddard?
53:57Like, could like you name a player. I think Devante Smith is going to be on this football team.
54:03And I was like, my Kyle lemon. Uh, but they're going to get creative, you know, definitely.
54:08So, yeah, I was even, you know, fantasizing. Uh, is one word to use of where Saquon Barkley would be drafted or excuse me, traded.
54:15Uh, um, I, I think I have a top two for you.
54:19Okay. Top three. I have a top three. This is pure fantasy.
54:22This is as speculative as we've ever gotten. And I like it.
54:26Okay. My, my top three Saquon Barkley trade destinations.
54:29You ready? Number one, Minnesota Vikings. Number two, Seattle Seahawks.
54:32Mm-hmm. Number three, Denver Broncos. Thoughts? Better than the Eagles.
54:35That would be a huge win. Uh, yeah. Um, that's, that's fascinating.
54:38I think that's like exactly how, how we Roseman thinks about this.
54:42If you get anything for Saquon next year's Eagles team is not going to go anywhere either.
54:47Like they have their, they're way behind. Um, so.
54:49Okay. Wow. Yeah. Eagles now have a first and second extra picks in 2028.
54:53So, uh, that's going to be very interesting to see.
54:56Ollie Gordon is your running back 29. This is against the Cincinnati Bengals.
55:00Uh, he shocked the world last week, actually having explosive runs against the Minnesota Vikings.
55:05Uh, Cincinnati against bad defensive lines. I'm looking at you.
55:07Houston has dominated that. I mean, Dexter Lawrence was unblockable in that game.
55:11And that might be the case here against Miami, but their offensive line is probably better than what their rushing attack has shown so far this season.
55:19Yeah. I like their offensive line. There were a couple key blocks for those big runs for Ollie Gordon.
55:25They were largely like untouched. Like there might've been like a little paw on him, like going through those holes, but those
55:31are like largely untouched runs for, for, for Ollie Gordon.
55:34I can't say that. I was like, wow, look at all the Gordon on tape.
55:39Like, I was like, there, there he goes. He's running right up the middle as he, as he should there.
55:45Um, I did not know that Jalen Wright started this game.
55:48No one, no one told me that Jalen, Jalen Wright was the starter played the first drive.
55:53And then afterwards, Ollie Gordon played 60% of the snaps after that drive.
55:57So not a hundred percent, 60%. Um, I think this one's largely, you know, still up in the air.
56:02Um, so that's my, my bold take. Uh, he had 7.6 expected half PPR points, nine carries two receptions.
56:08Um, they're not going to trust Jalen Wright and pass protections.
56:11I think that's how he's going to get on the field a little bit more.
56:15Um, but they're projected for the 18, uh, or 18 point.
56:19That's 28th in the NFL against, you know, I think a largely, you know, you tack.
56:23The bangles by throwing the ball to your tight end over the middle or slot wide receiver.
56:28Um, yeah, this is the, my biggest prediction, uh, heading into a week is now Ollie Gordon lower than 25 and a half total yards.
56:36So that's the biggest play I've made. Why is it that down?
56:39Did you ladder that down? Why is it at 65 and a half?
56:43Oh, okay. Got it. So you did ladder it down.
56:46I mean, but that, that, no, that's just like, I just think that's, that's way off.
56:51Okay. I understand you can't ladder things down. I just, uh, you know, I'm going to pull it up in a second after the show.
56:58I might, I might just, I might go buy a ladder from home Depot.
57:02Okay. Uh, I guess we can begin on, on D tier here.
57:06Cause it's a bunch of running back twos. We already talked about Tyler Algier and monitor the injury report.
57:11And if you get the notification that Jeremiah love is out of practice, uh, go and pick up.
57:17Yes. Tyler Algier, uh, that's against the Detroit lions.
57:19I did want to bring up Brian Robinson next for you.
57:22Uh, he has entered the common guy, Blake Corum of the past, you know, role here.
57:27Heck maybe even the Jamal Williams roles of the past.
57:30Um, not necessarily just pure touchdown score. Uh, but in terms of a backfield that does enough to support too, he's running
57:37back 39 and consistent rankings and running back 31 here for you.
57:40Maybe it's like a diet version of like the David Montgomery role.
57:44I think he's going to get some touches in all four quarters.
57:47This is not just late in the game. It's not just short yards.
57:51Like he's getting some work. The difference is when David Montgomery was like the RB 22, uh, per week, uh, the lions
57:57were projecting for 28 points or even sometimes more than that, where the Falcons there at 23 and a half.
58:03So I think he's, he's in the flex territory.
58:06He's projected for 35 and a half rushing yards by the betting markets right now.
58:10That feels about right. I think he's live for a touchdown.
58:14This is not the easiest matchup against the Baltimore Ravens.
58:17Um, but yeah, I think, you know, Blake Corum old David Montgomery.
58:20Um, I don't think he's going to be quite as good as the common guy stuff.
58:25Uh, cause he's probably not as big of a big play threat, but, um, we're in that ballpark.
58:30Okay. I'm just going to throw up through running back 39 here.
58:34If you don't mind, uh, that is Keaton Mitchell, Tony Pollard.
58:37That's the first time we've mentioned a Titans running back.
58:40Uh, Woody Marks, JK Dobbins, C rod Marshawn Lloyd is the first time we've mentioned a Packers running back, Mike Washington.
58:46And then, um, I might call my shot and, uh, Blake corn might have a few more points than he typically does this week.
58:53Okay. I like that. Yeah. Huge team total, uh, quickly on Pollard.
58:57Um, I was looking at it. Um, they're projected for 15 and a half points cause they're facing the Texans.
59:03There's been 12 games for Pollard with cam Ward where they've scored under 20 points.
59:07So I'm giving you like the benefit of the doubt.
59:10So not just under 15 points, he's averaging 7.6 half PPR points.
59:13His high is at 12 points with a score under 20.
59:17And I just don't think they're going to score over 20 in this one.
59:21So a hard refresh there. And then with Keaton Mitchell, uh, last two weeks, 9.8, 11, uh, expected, um, fantasy points from him.
59:28So like, I think he's getting in the mix because they're throwing him the ball.
59:32And if like lad McConkey is not out there, they're going to have like no choice.
59:37And with the state of their offensive line, like I would not be surprised if they say screw it.
59:42It's like swing passes, wheel routes to Keaton Mitchell.
59:45Let's just see what happens. Um, yeah. And the Broncos linebackers have been bad.
59:49It's like, that's the story you tell with Keaton Mitchell, but it's not a good group.
59:54Like this to me is tight ends, wide receivers.
59:56Oh yeah. Please don't tell me that you're RB2.
59:59If you, if these are your RB2s, it's time to go read a book and you know, well, touch some grass.
60:05Hey, you're, you're talking to me. This is, this is one of the groups in the expert league.
60:10I have Ken Walker, Saquon and Brees Hall. Yeah.
60:13I mean, I'm so down bad. Yeah. I truly was thinking of just like waving the white flag this week and benching
60:20everyone and just like having a moment and putting up a zero.
60:23Uh, but I know that could come back to bite me in the end.
60:27Uh, Woody Marks is my, my best running back.
60:30Yeah. I, I have had, uh, an expert league to one age hand Chuba Hubbard's on, um, uh, a buy right now
60:36and then Jeremiah love might not play. So I'm going to be right there with you as well.
60:42It happens, but this is, I might go outside this week is what I'm saying instead of watching.
60:47All right. That's going to do it for us.
60:50Thanks everyone for tuning in again. We'll be back on Friday with the wide receiver rankings episode.
60:55And, uh, if you want to go watch, you know, the fantasy forecast, I'll be over there on Thursday.
61:00All right, everyone up the villa. Talk to you guys soon.
61:03See ya.