Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry artwork

MNF Recap + Week 4 Waiver Wire

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.

57 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Sep 29, 2026
Published
Tue, September 29, 2026
41
Player insights
33
Players mentioned
Topics
Sam DarnoldChris BellColston LovelandKalif RaymondKeenan AllenMalik WashingtonMarcus MariotaAdonai MitchellAlvin KamaraBraelon AllenBreece HallBrian Thomas Jr.Brock BowersCaleb Douglas
Player analysis

Player insights

41

Adonai Mitchell

PositiveRole67:29

Adonai Mitchell was starting to lead his team in targets before missing last week; he should be back playing against Chicago. Matthew Berry highlights him as a deeper league waiver wire option.

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Alvin Kamara

PositiveValue18:40

In PPR leagues, Kamara is targeted over 33% of his routes and has double-digit target share in both games played; Matthew Berry calls him a PPR cheat artist and prefers him significantly over Kendrick Miller in PPR scoring, ranking him third on his week four waiver wire list. Even in non-PPR, Berry still ranks Kamara slightly higher because he believes Kamara will lead the team in touches among running backs, though it's much closer in standard scoring. Saints play the Falcons at home this week, a matchup where throwing is viable against Atlanta's defense.

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Braelon Allen

PositiveValue9:00

Braylon Allen is Matthew Berry's number one waiver wire pickup at running back. After Breece Hall left the game with a quad injury (expected to sideline him a couple of weeks), Allen played 100% of the running back snaps. Berry likes the matchup against the Bears, who are giving up almost five yards per carry (fourth most in the NFL). While Ollie Gordon has the longer leash as the primary back, Allen will have the most fantasy impact in the short term. The Jets like Allen as a talented player who gets red zone opportunities, though he's not a big part of the passing game. Berry expects Allen to carve out a role even when Hall returns if he performs well.

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Breece Hall

NegativeInjury9:00

Breece Hall suffered a quad injury in Week 3 and is expected to miss a couple of weeks. This opens the door for Braylon Allen to get significant playing time in the short term.

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Brian Thomas Jr.

PositiveMatchup35:15

Brian Thomas Jr. faces a brutal stretch of cornerback matchups coming up: DJ Turner this week against Cincinnati, then Kenyon Mitchell or Cooper DeGene in Philadelphia, followed by Houston's elite corners. Matthew Berry uses this as context for why Jacoby Myers is a better waiver wire target than Thomas, as Thomas will be facing top-tier coverage while Myers benefits from the Jaguars' high-volume passing attack.

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Brock Bowers

PositiveRole55:02

Matthew Berry expresses confidence in Brock Bowers' return and impact for the Raiders, stating "Bowers gives them another direction" and praising his role in the team's strong performance. Berry frames Bowers' return as a significant addition to an offense that has been "legitimately good," suggesting the tight end's presence enhances the Raiders' offensive versatility and playmaking potential.

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Caleb Douglas

PositiveInjury38:48

Caleb Douglas is banged up, which is expected to increase target share for other Miami receivers (Malik Washington and Chris Bell) in the offense.

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Chris Bell

PositiveRole39:00

Chris Bell is described as the more talented player between the Miami receivers, having recovered from an injury that caused him to fall in the NFL draft; he is continuing to get healthier and should see increased opportunity as Caleb Douglas remains banged up.

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PositiveValue65:40

Chris Bell is averaging over 18 yards per reception so far this season and is described as the more talented player who would have gone higher in the NFL draft if not for injury; he's now healthy and continuing to get healthier. Matthew Berry notes he may have more long-term upside than Malik Washington, though it depends on whether you need immediate production or longer-term potential.

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Colston Loveland

NegativeUsage4:13

Loveland has an end zone target in two or three games through Week 3. His best game came in Week 3 with four receptions for 31 yards, but he nearly scored a touchdown that would have changed the narrative. If he had scored the touchdown in Week 1 that Caleb Williams missed, the perception around him would be very different. He is trending in the right direction with increasing targets, receptions, and yards, but remains touchdown-dependent.

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PositiveProjection4:13

Through three games, Colston Loveland has a below 12% target share with just nine targets on 89 routes run. Matthew Berry, who had him as a Ride or Die pick, now calls him his worst call of the season so far. Berry projects him as a touchdown-dependent tight end in the 12-16 range in his upcoming rankings, making him a mid-to-higher-end TE2 rather than a must-start. The positives are his targets and receptions are trending upward, and he nearly scored in Week 3, but the overall production remains disappointing.

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Darren Waller

PositiveValue43:50

Now with the Carolina Panthers, Darren Waller is a viable waiver wire option with Jalen Coker dealing with a quad strain. Last week Waller posted season highs in target share and route participation. The Lions allow 33 fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends this season, and Kenyon Sadiq just went off against them. While lower on Matthew Berry's list than Sadiq or Higbee, Waller is still worth considering.

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De'Von Achane

NegativeInjury9:00

Devon Achane is out for the year with a torn ACL suffered in Week 3. This opens the backfield for Ollie Gordon to take over as the primary running back for the Dolphins.

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DeVonta Smith

PositiveProjection2:10

Despite the Eagles' loss to the Bears on Monday Night Football, Matthew Berry is not concerned about DeVonta Smith long-term. Berry expects Smith to be fine and the Eagles to bounce back at home against the Rams.

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Drake Maye

NegativeProjection2:10

After Monday Night Football, Case Keenum has more passing touchdowns than Drake May through Week 3.

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Isaiah Davis

NegativeRole9:00

Isaiah Davis will see some playing time for the Jets, especially on third down, after Breece Hall's quad injury. However, Braylon Allen is expected to get the majority of first and second down work and goal line carries, making Allen the better fantasy option.

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Jalen Hurts

PositiveProjection2:10

Despite the Eagles' bad loss to the Bears on Monday Night Football, Matthew Berry is not concerned about Jalen Hurts long-term. Hurts bailed out his fantasy owners with a rushing touchdown in the game. Berry expects the Eagles to bounce back at home against the Rams and notes that the Eagles make a stupid, terrible loss every year but ultimately bounce back.

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Jayden Daniels

NegativeInjury48:01

Jaden Daniels is out and Marcus Mariota is starting for the Commanders. Matthew Berry speculates the team may wait until after the bye week to bring Daniels back, especially if Mariota continues to perform well and the Commanders win their upcoming games against the Colts and Giants.

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Jaylen Wright

NegativeInjury12:00

Jalen Wright is dealing with a foot injury and was a scratch in Week 3. He is day-to-day with the expectation that he will be active. If Wright returns, he could limit Ollie Gordon's touches, as the Dolphins may prefer Wright in the backfield.

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Kalif Raymond

PositiveBreakout6:20

Kalief Raymond has emerged as a major part of the Bears offense under Case Keenum, leading the team in receptions and receiving yards through three games with a 23% target share (at least 16% in all three games). He averages over 10 yards per target. The schematic shift with Keenum—moving from Caleb's deep play-action approach to a quick-game offense (nearly 30% increase in passes under 15 yards)—has benefited Raymond as a slot receiver. He came from Detroit with Ben Johnson and understands the system. Moe Hassan notes he's a thing now, and while not a top waiver target, he will be a significant part of the offense in the short term, especially as long as Case Keenum is the quarterback.

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PositiveUsage68:24

Kalief Raymond is tied for the highest utilization score among Chicago wide receivers with a 23% target share on the season; Matthew Berry highlights him as a deeper league waiver wire option.

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Keaton Mitchell

PositiveBreakout22:21

Keaton Mitchell played 36% snap rate in week three, only four fewer snaps than Omari Hampton, and is averaging over five yards per carry compared to Hampton's under four yards per carry. Mike McDaniel put up wanted posters in the Chargers facility for Mitchell, and Joe Ortiz (former Ravens front office, now Chargers GM) acquired him. Berry believes in Mitchell's talent and McDaniel's play-calling for the run game, sees his role potentially increasing, and ranks him fifth on his week four waiver wire list. Berry notes Mitchell scored on a shovel pass touchdown and can be used in space, though consistency is uncertain.

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Keenan Allen

PositiveValue28:28

Keenan Allen, at age 34, posted a season-high 26% target share in week three without Alec Pierce and is a top 20 wide receiver in utilization score (per Dwayne McFarlane's proprietary metric). Matthew Berry ranks him as the number one wide receiver pickup because Pierce will be out for a while and the Colts are a functional offense. Allen's strength remains elite route running and football IQ; though he's lost a step athletically, his veteran craft and ability to sit in zone coverage and create separation at the top of routes compensates. Schedule includes Washington (London game, Commanders allow most fantasy points to WRs), Pittsburgh, Tennessee, and Minnesota.

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PositiveValue67:06

Keenan Allen at Washington is Matthew Berry's top wide receiver waiver wire add for week four; available in over 50% of leagues across FantasyLife.com platforms.

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Kenyon Sadiq

PositiveBreakout42:20

Sadiq's breakout game came with AD out, which gives slight hesitancy with AD's return; however, Matthew Berry believes the genie won't go back in the bottle. Sadiq was an early round pick, Frank Reich's offense has always featured tight ends, and he was given a rushing touchdown in week one. Berry emphasizes this is the last chance to get Sadiq at a discount—he's available in over 80% of leagues—and positions him as a tier-one tight end waiver add for the rest of the season.

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Luther Burden

PositiveRole0:47

Burden was a key Bears receiver in Monday Night Football with Case Keenum at quarterback. The offense looked very functional under Keenum, and Burden should feel good about his prospects, especially with favorable upcoming matchups: home to the Jets next week, then at Green Bay (not a scary defense), then at the Falcons. Matthew Berry expects Burden to remain a productive part of the offense until Caleb Williams returns.

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Mack Hollins

PositiveRole68:29

Mack Hollins has been the better Patriots wide receiver compared to Romeo Dobbs; in the absence of A.J. Brown, he had a 30% target share in week three and a 70% route rate since A.J. Brown went down. Matthew Berry prefers him as a waiver wire option.

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Malik Washington

NegativeMatchup38:42

Malik Washington has a 27% target share on the season and averages 50 receiving yards per game, but faces a nightmare matchup against Minnesota and Brian Flores' defense, which held Ben Johnson to three points; Washington is used near the line of scrimmage with manufactured touches leveraging his speed, but the overall Miami offense is expected to struggle in this matchup.

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PositiveRole65:54

Malik Washington has been a top 30 wide receiver in utilization score through the first three weeks; Matthew Berry prefers him over Chris Bell because his slot role is unlikely to go away when Douglas returns. He's a deeper league wide receiver four or so, but his on-field presence in NFL games has value.

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Marcus Mariota

PositiveProjection46:35

Marcus Mariota is playing better statistically than Jaden Daniels, which surprised Matthew Berry. Over his last two seasons, five of his nine starts finished as a top 14 fantasy quarterback. This week he faces Indianapolis, who rank bottom three in pass defense and are allowing almost 22 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks.

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PositiveRole46:47

Mariota is a veteran leader playing within the game and not trying to do too much, putting the Commanders in good positions. He uses his legs effectively on clutch third downs. With Jaden Daniels out, the Commanders' offense relies on Mariota's arm, and he has healthy weapons in Terry McLaurin and Stephon Diggs, though the running game is limited with Rashad White.

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Ollie Gordon II

NegativeProjection12:00

Ollie Gordon is the primary back for the Dolphins after Devon Achane went down with a torn ACL (out for the year). Gordon will have the longest leash and get 100% of running back touches going forward. However, Moe Hassan projects him as a touchdown-dependent, high-end flex play due to the Dolphins' poor offense. Gordon averaged under three yards per touch in Week 3 despite getting 100% of the running back touches and scoring a touchdown. He's a big, physically imposing runner who thrives in gap schemes with pulling linemen, but the Dolphins have a young offensive line. The matchup against the Vikings (giving up 3.1 yards per carry, third fewest) is unfavorable. Jalen Wright (day-to-day with a foot injury) may return, which could limit Gordon's touches.

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Parker Washington

NegativeRole35:15

Parker Washington remains the number one receiver in the Jaguars offense, with Jacoby Myers as a viable number two option and Brian Thomas Jr. as a third option. Matthew Berry notes the Jaguars have three really viable options on the perimeter, which creates both high upside and downside risk for any single receiver.

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Pat Freiermuth

PositiveValue44:24

Pat Friermuth is a deeper waiver wire tight end option against Cleveland. He's been a bigger part of the Steelers offense. The Browns are bottom 10 in yards per game allowed to opposing tight ends this season, making this a favorable matchup for Friermuth.

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Sam Darnold

PositiveValue45:01

Sam Darnold is Matthew Berry's top quarterback waiver wire pickup for week four. Available in over 60% of leagues, Darnold ranks third among quarterbacks in yards per pass attempt since the start of last season. He has a nice matchup against the Chargers this week, who are bottom 12 in pass defense. Berry likes the Vikings offense and receivers as well.

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PositiveProjection45:21

Since the start of last season, Darnold ranks third among quarterbacks in yards per pass attempt. He's facing the Chargers this week, who rank bottom 12 in pass defense and are allowing quarterbacks to average 17 fantasy points per game. Matthew Berry recommends streaming Darnold this week, especially given the matchup strength.

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PositiveRole45:40

Darnold and the Vikings offense have picked up right where they left off from last season without missing Clint Kubiak. The offense is looking good with strong receiver play from Jackson Smith-Njigba. Matthew Berry projects Darnold as a viable low-end QB1 the rest of the way, though notes he's more matchup-dependent than elite quarterbacks since he doesn't run enough.

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Saquon Barkley

NegativeProjection2:10

After Monday Night Football, Case Keenum has more rushing touchdowns than Saquon Barkley through Week 3. Matthew Berry notes this is depressing but is not concerned about Barkley long-term, saying he will be fine.

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Terry McLaurin

PositiveRole47:00

Terry McLaurin is healthy and is a key weapon in the Commanders offense with Marcus Mariota at quarterback. With the Commanders unable to run the ball effectively, the offense relies heavily on McLaurin and Stephon Diggs in the passing game.

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Travis Etienne

NegativeInjury9:00

Travis Etienne suffered a hamstring injury and is expected to miss a couple of weeks.

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Tyler Higbee

PositiveValue43:15

With Parkinson and Ferguson both out for the Rams, Tyler Higbee becomes a viable streaming tight end option. Last week he posted a 22% target share and 77% route participation. The Rams are third in tight end target share overall this season. Higbee, the veteran who knows the system, is positioned as an interesting waiver wire pickup against the Rams this week.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

822
0:00Yeah, yeah, yeah. A thousand percent. So right, it is one o'clock on the East Coast, but it is five o'clock somewhere,
0:06which means Fantasy Football Happy Hour is officially underway.
0:09It is Happy Hour here in the lounge as well.
0:12In the lounge. Beetle. Yeah, so very excited about it.
0:14Let's get into it. Let's do it. Stefania Bell, Moe Hassan, I am Matthew Berry, your friendly neighborhood bartender as well.
0:20Big Monday Night Football game. It is Waver Wire Tuesday.
0:23And of course, coming up later in the show, we've got some early line alerts for some bets that we like.
0:29Yeah, we're going to get to all that, but as you just said, it was Monday Night Football last night.
0:35It was a fun game, an unpredictable one probably for most.
0:38Case Keenum came in and did work, which is interesting because now what does that do as far as optimism?
0:43And hey, Caleb, can maybe take a little bit of time?
0:47Yeah, I mean, to me, that was the biggest thing is that the Bears player that we cared about, right, the Luther Burden.
0:53And we'll get to Colson Loveland in a second.
0:56But in terms of Luther Burden, in terms of the running game, in terms of even Roma Dunze, like this offense looked very functional under Case Keenum.
1:03So whether it's Case Keenum or Tyson Bajan, I don't know how you go away from Case Keenum after what he did last night.
1:10You feel good about your Bears players, especially when you think about the fact they're home to the Jets next week.
1:16Then they're at Green Bay. That's not a defense that scares you.
1:19Then they're at the Falcons, right? Defense played better on Thursday night, but still, you're not being like, ooh, scary, scary.
1:25So until Caleb Williams comes back, like, good job, Case Keenum, Ben Johnson, you're awesome.
1:29This is his most fantasy points in the game since week one of 2019 when Keenum was with my commanders as well.
1:36Now, again, it was a bunch of dink and dunk stuff.
1:39The average up to target was under five yards, but it doesn't matter.
1:42He ran Ben Johnson's offense. Absolutely. I'm expecting it to be a few weeks.
1:46You mentioned Bajan. I think that's actually really interesting because they're really high on him.
1:51I know. They paid him as one of the highest twos in the league because they feel like he's one of the best 32 quarterbacks in the NFL.
1:58And I've known a bunch of guys that have been around him, and they absolutely love him as well as a gamer.
2:05I don't know how you go away from Case the way he played.
2:08You get a big win against the Vic Fangio defense, one of the top coordinators in the NFL.
2:13We mentioned how good he was against the Blitz.
2:16Perfect. 11 of 11 with two touchdowns. They've shifted the offense schematically.
2:19We're going to talk about how that affects some of the other guys, the receivers and Loveland as well.
2:25But, again, anyone playing quarterback for Ben Johnson, I am not concerned about this offense.
2:29Thousand percent. By the way, not to rub it into everyone out there, but Case Keenum after this game, after one game,
2:35Case Keenum now has more passing touchdowns on the year than Drake May.
2:39Wow. And he has more rushing touchdowns than Saquon Barkley.
2:42That is depressing. That's depressing. If I told you that before the season, what would you say?
2:46Like, I want to talk more about the Bears.
2:49All I'll just say about the Eagles, bad day at the office, but I'm not worried about Jalen Hurts.
2:54He's going to be fine. He bailed you out with a rushing touchdown.
2:58Saquon's going to be fine. Devontae Smith is going to be fine.
3:01Tough game for Dontavian Wicks. But, ultimately, I just think they will, this will come up later in the show, but I
3:08think the Eagles will bounce back at home against the Rams.
3:11And everyone's like, but I'm telling you, every single year, the Eagles make some stupid, terrible loss and everyone panics.
3:16And everyone's just like, oh, it's over for the Eagles.
3:19And sports radio is going to go crazy all this week in Philadelphia.
3:23I love sports radio. And you know what? And then the Eagles end up winning another game and it's going to be just fine in Philadelphia.
3:30Mo, if I say duh, Bears, do you know what that's from?
3:34Yeah, that's the slogan of the Bears. But, like, do you know where it's?
3:37Oh, is it Ditka? Yeah, okay. Well, I mean, it's a Saturday Night Live sketch.
3:42It's a Saturday Night Live sketch. Oh. No, I'm going to give it to them.
3:46Was he hosting? Do your parents let you stay up for Saturday Night Live?
3:50Yeah. Like growing up? It just wasn't, I said no, it wasn't a thing that people, like, watched growing up.
3:56It's been on the air for 75 years. Yeah, for an older generation.
3:59Okay, you know what? Stop looking at us when you say stuff like that.
4:03I'm going to start bringing weapons up the table.
4:06Colston Loveland is a name that we've said a lot here, both on day two and all of last week while we practiced.
4:12Yeah, it's brutal. It hasn't been great. We thought last night maybe there was a moment, and then the Lord took us away.
4:19Do we bench him now? Is it time? Maybe.
4:21Not to fence it here. Okay, first off, a couple of things.
4:25So, like, you see it there on your screen.
4:27He's trending in the right direction. It's all small and terrible, but he's trending in the right direction, right?
4:32His targets are increasing. His receptions are increasing. His yards are going up.
4:36Again, four for 31 isn't an amazing day. It is his best game of the season.
4:41And the positives here are he almost scored a touchdown.
4:43Yes. And again, like, so he's... No, but in all seriousness, like, if one more inch, you know what I mean?
4:49Like, half a foot more, right? And, you know, how many times...
4:53Just a couple more inches. How many times have people said that to you, Beatle?
4:57So many guys. How many times? Way too many, I'm sure.
5:00Way too many. Right? A couple more inches would have made a big difference here.
5:04And if he scores the touchdown, I think the narrative around Colston Loveland is very different.
5:09If he'd scored the touchdown in week one that he should have, where Caleb just, you know, missed the room, I think the narrative is very different.
5:16Again, an end zone target in two or three games.
5:19Look, it's not great, right? No. Through three games, he's got a below a 12% target share.
5:24He's run 89 routes. He has just nine targets.
5:27I think he has moved into... It is unfortunate because, raising my hand, I had him...
5:31He was one of my finalists for Ride or Die.
5:34Like, I was all in on Colston Loveland. I have a ton of Colston Loveland.
5:38At the moment, it looks like he was my worst call of the season so far.
5:43It's early. I'm still holding out hope. I will say this.
5:46I think he is now in that touchdown-dependent tight end, too.
5:49I think when my rankings come out a little bit later on FantasyLife.com, I'm a company man.
5:54He'll be in that 12 to 16 range. I haven't done all the projections yet.
5:58But my guess is he will be, you know, a mid-to-higher-end tight end, too.
6:02So, no, he is not a must-start. This week, the positives, again, are they're home to the Jets.
6:07And I do think, again, they're trending in the right direction.
6:10I just... I don't think they're using Kalief Raymond all the time.
6:13But they did use him really well. There you go.
6:16Again, Mo, it feels like Kalief Raymond is kind of a thing.
6:20Yeah, Kalief had a huge game. And it's in large part because of how they shifted the offense with the new quarterback and how Case Keenum plays, right?
6:28With Caleb, they, like, take a lot of shots down the field, a lot of play action.
6:32With Case, it's quick game, right? Almost a 30% increase in that section of the game.
6:37That's all the passes essentially under 15 yards. Right.
6:39Kind of because he's old, right? So he doesn't have the offense.
6:43And he's not as mobile. He can't extend plays.
6:45Sure, of course. So you have to shift how you play.
6:48And obviously, going against the pressure of the Eagles, that plays a big role in that.
6:53When I'm talking quick game, though, I like my slot receivers.
6:56And that's what Kalief is. And then when he's talking against the zone coverage, he was, remember, he came from Detroit with Ben Johnson.
7:03So he understands the system, where to sit in the zone coverages.
7:06On the outside, guys like Romo Dunze, you can get rid of that free access.
7:10Sometimes the corners will press up and I can't throw the quick ball right away.
7:15But some of these backers and nickel defenders, they'll play further back because they have safety help, meaning there's going to be
7:21a lot of room to get some quick passes in, good for PPR.
7:25As long as Case is in there, I like Kalief a lot.
7:28Yeah. He's had a right back. That's crazy. With all those receivers and weapons.
7:32I mean, listen, not a ton, but like, I mean, it's not completely out of nowhere.
7:36Kalief Raymond played in Detroit for Ben Johnson, who was the coordinator.
7:40And so he came over and you thought, oh, this is a nice depth piece.
7:44But the idea that he would have a 23% target share through three games this season, that he had at least 16%
7:50in all three games, that he would lead through three games, that he would lead, literally, Kalief Raymond leads the Bears in receptions and receiving yards.
7:58I didn't predict that. I don't think anyone predicted that.
8:00But he's averaging over 10 yards for target there, to your point.
8:04Like, some of that's yards after the catch. Some of them, they're taking some shots there as well.
8:09So that was skewed a little bit with that crosser route.
8:12But on average, a lot of quick aim with him.
8:15Yeah, I mean, but they are finding him. Two things I will say here.
8:19We're going to talk about him a little bit in waivers.
8:22So is he a waiver target? I think he's on the waiver list.
8:25I don't know that he's somebody that I'm targeting.
8:28Yeah. But he's going to be a thing. Like, the first game, I was just like, ah, 60 points.
8:33It's a fluke. And then second game, I was just like, well, it was a little bit weird.
8:38It was bad weather, low-scoring game. But now you're just like, okay, Kalief Raymond's going to be a thing.
8:44And what that means is less targets for Burden, for Adunze, for Loveland, for the running backs.
8:49Like, Cleef Raymond's going to be a thing. He's going to be out there running routes.
8:53Especially in the short term. It'll be interesting to see when Caleb comes back.
8:57I think they'll shift back to their previous strategy.
9:00But 100%, in the short term, yes, he's a big part of this offense.
9:04All right, let's do a little waiver wire. You didn't tease that.
9:07All the injuries to the running backs we saw.
9:10So we're going to start with them. Your number one ad.
9:13Yeah, for me, it's Braylon Allen. We'll get into Ollie Gordon in a second, obviously.
9:17But, you know, Devon A. Chan, he's out for the year with that torn ACL.
9:21You see it there on your screen in terms of some of the major running back injuries.
9:26Brees Hall has that quad injury. Looks like it's going to be a couple of weeks.
9:30Travis A. Chan has that hamstring injury. Also going to be a couple of weeks.
9:35But for me, my number one waiver pickup at the running back position is Braylon Allen.
9:39Because I think he's going to have the most impact.
9:42Again, he's not going to have the longest leash, right?
9:45That would be Ollie Gordon, who's going to be filling in for HN for the rest of the year.
9:50But after Brees Hall left the game, Braylon Allen, 100% of the running back snaps here.
9:55I like this matchup against the Bears, despite the fact of what they did last week.
9:59On the season, the Bears are giving up almost five yards per carry.
10:03They're giving up the fourth most in the NFL.
10:05You'll see some Isaiah Davis, especially on third down.
10:08Isaiah Davis has some big playability to him. But in terms of who's going to get the goal line work, who's going
10:14to get the majority of the stuff on first and second down, who I think has the better chance at significant fantasy production, to me it's Braylon Allen.
10:22And I think there's a chance. You know, I used to talk about Braylon Allen all the time on my show last
10:28year with my buddy Connor Rogers, who does all the Jets stuff.
10:32But, like, the Jets really like Braylon Allen. Like, he's not just a guy.
10:36He's a talented player. Yeah, he's super talented as well.
10:38And it's an offense that's given opportunities and getting red zone opportunities as well.
10:42My only concern is he's not a big part of the passing game.
10:46Correct. But to your point, you're going against a Bears defense that isn't great against the rush.
10:51So a little bit schedule dependent in my book, especially with Brees Hall out week to week.
10:56In the short term, I do like Braylon. I think he could be a potential player.
11:00It all depends on what you need. Like, do you need just somebody like you're in a deeper league?
11:05You just need somebody that helps you out for the rest of the year?
11:09Then the answer might be Ollie Gordon. But if you need somebody for the next week or two, I think it is Braylon Allen.
11:16We like the matchup with Chicago. Next games are then home to Cleveland, at New England, home to Miami.
11:22I also think that Braylon Allen carves out a role for himself even when Brees Hull comes back, that if he performs
11:28as well as I think he will. I think this is the week I take a really good hard look at my teams and make some changes.
11:35Yeah. You got to talk to him? This is the week.
11:38You should have done that a few weeks ago.
11:41Sit him down, talk to him. Yeah, I've got to really figure out what's going on with the guys.
11:46We'll make some phone calls. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Oh, we're going to go down.
11:50Some self-reflection. It's like coaching. Talk about it. Oh, we got to go to Miami, your neck of the woods.
11:56And you mentioned A-Chan with the injuries out. So backfield, who do you like now?
12:00Yeah, A-Chan out is tough. I like Olly Gordon.
12:03I think in the long term he could figure this out.
12:06Much different running back as well. I mean, A-Chan known for his speed, one of the fastest guys in the NFL.
12:12Olly Gordon, big, physically imposing. He's going to run downhill.
12:15Now, he does have experience as a workhorse back coming out of college.
12:18Oklahoma State, if you remember, I think he finished seventh in the Heisman one year.
12:22I mean, coming out, everyone thought he was the next guy up.
12:26He can play. Yeah, he can play, right? With the ball in his hands.
12:30Now, here's the thing about the way he plays, too.
12:33It's a little bit interior lineman dependent. He thrives in a gap scheme with a lot of guys pulling.
12:38You add Caden Proctor. But it's a really young Dolphins roster, especially on the offensive line.
12:42So that is a little bit concerning to me.
12:45You're going to get—I mean, there's the good and the bad, right?
12:48The good is that you're the primary back. You're going to get volume.
12:52He's used to a workload, and he can use—and he's red zone volume as well.
12:56The bad is it's a really bad offense. That's the point.
12:59That's the point. That's a big one. I mean, listen.
13:02No pressure. Devon A. Chen goes down last week against the Chiefs.
13:06And Oli Gordon gets 100% of the running back touches.
13:08Now, Jalen Wright was a scratch in that game.
13:11He's dealing with a foot injury as well. But still, 100% of the running back touches went to Oli Gordon.
13:17But he averaged under three yards per touch. Yeah.
13:19I mean, so he got a ton of work.
13:22Just didn't do a ton with it. So, I mean, again, he got the touchdown, which bailed you out.
13:27Again, not that anyone started Oli Gordon last week.
13:30But my point is, he's going to be a touchdown-dependent, high-end flex play for me.
13:34Because to your point, it's just not a good offense.
13:37And then you look at this matchup. They're on the road at the Vikings.
13:41The Minnesota Vikings are giving up 3.1 yards per carry to running backs this season.
13:45That's third fewest. And so, Jalen Wright, day-to-day, the expectation or the hope is that he'll be active.
13:50I think if you're starting a Miami Dolphins running back beetle, if you're starting a—I know you're not.
13:55But I might. But if you were— If you are, you're losing.
13:58Yeah. I'm losing regardless. No, but if you were, I think Oli Gordon's the one you want.
14:03But I think bad offense. He's not going to get 100%.
14:06He's not going to be used in the passing game all that much.
14:10That's why I have Braylon Allen. I've seen a lot of people out there online saying, like, get ready for spend all your fab.
14:17Go. And I—absolutely not. Like, I just think—again, he's going to be a starting running back in the NFL, which has value in fantasy football.
14:24But let's not get crazy. It's a bad offense, and he's going to be sharing some touches with Jalen Wright.
14:29And I don't think—again, it's a new coaching staff.
14:32So they might prefer Jalen Wright. We have no idea.
14:35We assume—again, he was a scratch because he was injured, not because he was, like, a healthy scratch.
14:40And they were like, no, it's only Oli Gordon.
14:42Well, bad obvious—I mean, bad offense is the obvious play.
14:45But it's also a bad defense. It's just a bad team overall.
14:49Oh, so what does that mean? You're going to go down early, and you're going to throw the ball a lot.
14:54Yeah. Oli's not used as much in the passing game.
14:57So it's just tough. And, again, the nightmare matchup against the Vikings, I don't like anyone against the Vikings.
15:03All that said, they're going to—you know, I think they will run—I think they're going to run, as a generally rule, especially
15:09because of Milly Wilson's quarterback, they're going to be a run-heavy team.
15:12And so when they get in close, Gordon will get the—he's going to be a touchdown defendant flex.
15:17That's what he is. Yeah. That's what he is.
15:20You want to talk some things? Bit accordingly. This is a weird camera angle.
15:24I'm just looking. Wait, do it again. Show it.
15:26Like, let me see. I'll be the crit. Don't you— Wow.
15:29Like, it's the side of—it's chiseled side face of Moe Hassan.
15:33Yeah, it is chiseled. And then there's you. You look good.
15:36Thank you. And I just look like— I didn't even know we had this.
15:40Where is this camera? I don't— Let me do it.
15:42Let me take people behind the scenes on television, because this is how you know Moe is young and in great shape.
15:49If they took that angle of either one of us— Oh, dude.
15:52People would be fired. Yeah. But Moe's just like, whatever, bro.
15:55Don't care what angle. Like, you can see just behind me, like, I got the Jane Daniels jersey.
16:00We like that. Faith in five. Yeah. That's my Globetrotters jersey.
16:03My one time playing professional sports, I was a member of the Harlem Globetrotters for two and a half minutes.
16:09That's actually good. Listen, Beetle, it's rare that I can last two and a half minutes at anything.
16:14So that was awesome. Thank you very much. Yes, dad jokes galore.
16:17Did you score? How many of you scored? That's a dad joke.
16:21I went two for four, Moe Hassan. That's pretty good.
16:24It's the council numbers. And I drained like a 21-footer in rhythm.
16:27Oh. This feels very out-of-body right now for you.
16:30That is, yeah. I have a clip. I have a clip that we'll play tomorrow.
16:34We'll play it tomorrow on the show. Can I ask you, who'd you play against?
16:38We played against the Washington Generals. Oh, it was real, real.
16:41Like, it was a real game. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
16:44And what's fascinating about the Generals, like, all right, detour, whatever, screw it.
16:48Who cares? No, so you get, like, when you're a celebrity for the, and I'm using celebrity very loose terms.
16:53Yeah, I mean. Oh, my bad. Again, super loose terms.
16:56But the Globetrotters always, the Globies always have, like, a celebrity player every game.
17:00I didn't know. Again, and so basically you warm up with them.
17:03You get the whole uniform. I put on the headband.
17:06I did the whole thing. I put the wristbands.
17:09Yeah, I do. Yeah, if you're going to do it, like, just own it.
17:13And so the hilarious part of it is, and so you warm up with them, and then you get, like, two and
17:19a half minutes at the start of the second half, and they call two different plays for you.
17:24I ended up getting four shots. Wow. And so I think I drained my first one, and so.
17:29But you would have sit the whole first half just, like, waiting?
17:32Oh, yeah. That's nerve-wracking. By the way, the most awkward thing is it's just, like, you know, all the guys would come
17:39off the bench, and they'd all get dapped up, and I'm like, oh, God, am I looking just like the awkward white guy?
17:45Yes, yes. The old awkward white guy, I should say.
17:48They're like, who's this rich guy that bought a spot in this weird charity moment?
17:52Not that rich. That's what it looks like. You know, mediocrely a whale off.
17:56Do you have an NBA comp, by the way?
17:59I'm thinking, I have someone in my head, but I want to know what you think.
18:03Oh, this ought to be great. It kind of, I see a little P.J.
18:07Tucker. Sure. What in the world? Like, the scrappy guy, you could hit some corner threes.
18:12Do you collect sneakers? Uh-huh. I'm not a huge sneakerhead, no.
18:15Physical on defense. Okay, well, then you can't be P.J.
18:18Yeah, yeah, yeah. That's what I'm seeing right here.
18:20Well, but the hilarious part is, it's like, so, how it works is that the Washington generals.
18:25This is awesome. The Washington generals, so they let the Globetrotters do all their tricks, right?
18:29Like, there's set goofy stuff that the Globetrotters do, and they're pulling down the pants and the whole thing.
18:35And the generals just sort of go along. But then there's portions of the game where the generals actually try.
18:40And internally, they keep track of that. You know, the Globetrotters win every game.
18:44But, like, internally, like, there's, like, five minutes every quarter where they actually try.
18:48It's like their cardio? Right. They keep track internally of, like, who wins of the five minutes where it's not, where they're
18:55not letting all the goofy stuff happen. So, anyway.
18:57Anyway, but so during the goofy part, the generals, you know, sort of let the Globies do what they want.
19:03So, anyway. Globies? Are we doing this? No, but the best part is, and we'll have to show this footage tomorrow.
19:09The best part is, is that, so I drain this 20-footer, and I'm feeling good about myself.
19:13And then all of a sudden, again, like, I'm old.
19:16I'm old. And these are professional athletes. The people that play for the generals and the Globetrotters are all, like, former college athletes.
19:23You know, European stars. Like, D1. Like, they're all, like, really good athletes.
19:26Some have played in the pros. But for a moment there, because, like, I hit the bucket, and, like, it swished, and the crowd goes crazy.
19:34And I'm just like, yeah. And so, like, a guy's dribbling up, and all of a sudden I get in defensive strength.
19:40Like, I'm going to take this guy. I got a minute.
19:43I can last just a minute. And the guy just, like, and so the guy's just, like, he just, like, looks at me, like, trying to play defense.
19:51And he just, like, takes, like, two dribbles. Blows by me.
19:54I fall on my ass. You fell? That's the kind of funny to play.
19:58I would have left. I completely fall on my ass, you know, and, yeah.
20:02And he just blows by me and everything like that.
20:05So, I'll show you footage of both me draining the point and then also falling on my ass, looking like a moron when I tried to play defense.
20:13It's very humbling. One minute you're on top of the world, next minute we're all laughing at you.
20:18Pretty much. It's kind of amazing. Story of my life, by the way.
20:21Story of my career. God, that's awesome. The story of my marriage.
20:25I mean, you made a shot. That's all that matters.
20:28A lot of people have gone. We should probably.
20:30All right. Let's get back to the words. Saints backfield.
20:33Let's, yeah. Saints backfield. We got a little side.
20:36Absolutely, yeah. So, Travis Etienne, if that's how you say it.
20:39Etienne. Etienne. Etienne. Etienne. Etienne. Etienne. Etienne. Etienne. Etienne.
20:41Etienne. Etienne. Etienne. 23%. CJ Donaldson. 23%. So, like, it's still going to be, even though Etienne's out.
20:46Like, CJ Donaldson's going to play. So, they still, you know, Kellen Moore wants a three-headed committee.
20:51But Alvin Kamara, to your point, in PPR leagues, targeted over 33% of his routes.
20:55He's had a double-digit target share in the two games that he's played.
20:59The Saints, as we know, played a very fast pace of play.
21:02And so, he's going to be out there. And it's clear that Kellen Moore trusts Alvin Kamara.
21:07So, is it going to be a committee? It is.
21:10Kendrick Miller, tied for the Saints' lead in goal-to-go rushing attempts.
21:13He's had better rushing metrics so far than Alvin Kamara.
21:16So, I think those are going to be the two running backs you want.
21:20They're both neither more than a flex. But I do think in PPR scoring, like Alvin Kamara, who are all like, eh, he's old, we're over him, whatever.
21:28He's once again going to be a little bit of a PPR cheat artist.
21:32Again, in a flex sort of way. So, PPR, you go on Kamara over Miller?
21:36But if it's... Yes. Non-PPR, you think you'd go Miller?
21:39No, I think I'm still going Kamara because I think he's still going to be out there.
21:44It's certainly closer. It's much more of a toss-up in non-PPR.
21:47But even in half-PPR, I think I still have Kamara slightly higher.
21:50But again, just because I think he'll actually lead the team in touches among running backs.
21:55Again, Kendrick Miller will be there. He'll probably get more goal-line rushes.
21:58But, yeah. Anyway, they play the Falcons at home this week.
22:01One of us is not going to... And it's hard to run against the Falcons, but you can throw against the Falcons.
22:07So, I do think he'll be more involved in the passing attack.
22:11Chargers for a second because you are still very optimistic.
22:13And now we're just looking for where things can happen.
22:16I know. We're not giving up yet. Keaton Mitchell, is he going to be a spark?
22:21You know what? I think so. Look, 36% snap rate in week three.
22:24Played only four fewer snaps than Omari and Hampton.
22:27Is this consistent? Is this trying to do something?
22:29But, like, you know, we've all talked about the story in the offseason that Mike McDaniel literally put up wanted posters in
22:36the hallways of the Chargers facility with Keaton Mitchell's face on it saying, basically, I want this guy.
22:41Please, go get me Keaton Mitchell, which, by the way, the former general manager, sorry, Joe Ortiz, who used to be in
22:47the front office of the Ravens with Keaton Mitchell, now the general manager at the Chargers, went out and got him some Keaton Mitchell.
22:54He's averaging over five yards per carry so far.
22:56So far this season, by the way, Omari and Hampton, under four yards per carry.
23:01If they feel like their offensive line isn't good, and they should if they've watched any of these games, then Keaton Mitchell
23:07is somebody that, again, you can dump off to, you can use in space.
23:11Like, he scored the touchdown, which was like a little bit of a shovel pass where he ran the route and went inside.
23:17So, like, I'm not sure that he's going to have this consistent role, but I believe in his talent.
23:23I still believe in Mike McDaniel as a play caller for a run game.
23:26And so we know McDaniel likes Mitchell. They need a spark.
23:30I could see his role increasing. Yeah, especially as an American Hampton owner.
23:33I mean, I took him in the second round.
23:36I thought the world of him. Single digits. You took him in the second round?
23:40Yeah. Good God. I thought he'd be a top ten back.
23:43You just got lost. Because you told me to take him.
23:46I apologize for viewers. We just blame Matthew. It pains me to say that.
23:50We didn't know, when you did your draft, we didn't know each other.
23:54You should have used my ranks. That's an absolutely terrible pick of drafting him in the second round.
23:59I also have Colson Loveland. I didn't draft him in the second round, but I do have him.
24:04Yeah, same. Got him late. He was a sleeper for me.
24:07All right. You've got a lot to learn about fantasy football mode.
24:10It pains me. Yeah. But you know your X's and O's really, really well.
24:14You grind all the tape. And so the fact is that the way that Mike McDaniel calls a run game, Mitchell is an interesting fit.
24:21Yeah, and McDaniels likefully used different running backs. I mean, I probably should have listened to him in his preseason press conference.
24:28Let's talk about that. He was like, hey, I'm going to use all these different backs.
24:32Why are you taking O'Meara and Hanson fantasy owners?
24:35And I completely disregarded that, as I should not have.
24:38Never again. And clearly he wants to utilize different kinds of guys.
24:41Third down, passing opportunities, red zone. So yeah, I mean, Keaton Mitchell, only four less snaps in O'Meara and Hampton.
24:47I was not expecting that at all. It's clearly he's on that upward trajectory.
24:51They love him. You mentioned he was vying for him.
24:53All the signs were there. That is kind of cool.
24:56How was I ignoring him? Just not to take him in the second round.
25:00Anyway, I'm sorry. We're going to look at our team.
25:03He's a first-round pick. We're going to figure some stuff out.
25:06This is the week to make changes. If you're a visual learner, by the way, let's throw that full screen up.
25:12So everything that just went down with the backs, there it is.
25:15These are my top running back waiver ads in week number four.
25:19All these guys available in over 50% of leagues.
25:21Braylon Allen plays Chicago this week. Ollie Gordon at two, as we've talked about.
25:25Alvin Kamara at three, home against the Atlanta Falcons.
25:28Kendra Miller, who we just talked about, at four.
25:30Again, I think they're just really close. I prefer Kamara significantly in PPR.
25:34I think it's a lot closer in half PPR or standard.
25:37But Kamara and Kendra Miller in that order of the Saints running backs with Etchen missing close to a month.
25:43And then finally, Keaton Mitchell, who a friend of mine literally drafted in the second round, apparently.
25:48Kamarian. Oh, Hampton. Oh, you drafted Omarian Hampton in the second round.
25:51I thought you were saying Keaton. What are you doing?
25:54Oh, that's much better. Okay. Thank God. Thank God.
25:56Keaton in the second would be absurd. I mean, I can't do it all.
26:00Okay, thank God. Oh, come back on camera. I'm not a psycho.
26:04Come back on camera. Come back on camera. She's directing now, you guys.
26:07Great. Andreas, come back on camera. All right. So I have to do this on camera.
26:12Okay. I apologize, Mo, to you and to America.
26:14Never to Beatle. But to you, because I thought you said you drafted Keaton Mitchell in the second, and I was freaking out.
26:21I thought you knew they were talking. Omarian Hampton was a completely legitimate pick in the second round.
26:26That was his average shot position. Thank God. That makes so much more sense.
26:30We just thought after the rough piece. Okay, that's fine.
26:33All right. I should really listen. It'd be nice.
26:35One down, receivers and diamonds next. You know those nights when it's almost dinner time, everyone's hungry, and you open up the
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28:40One more time, gusto.com slash berry. We are back, receiver waivers.
28:43Keenan Allen at the ripe old age of 34 and very, very relevant on this Colts passing game.
28:48Where is he for you? Yeah, unfortunately, like, he actually looked pretty good.
28:52Like, you know, last week again without Pierce out.
28:54Keenan Allen, season high 26% target share in week number three.
28:57He's actually a top 20 wide receiver in terms of utilization score.
29:01Again, Dwayne McFarlane of fantasylife.com. Oh, I got to learn which.
29:04Shout out. You wouldn't be a good weather person.
29:06No, I would not be a terrible weather person.
29:09All right. And then they just got me off the camera because they're like stopped with the bad pointing.
29:14But here's the thing. Again, with Alec Pierce out, they're looking for other options in that passing attack.
29:19And Keenan Allen, 26% target share. Again, utilization score is a top 20 wide receiver.
29:24Proprietary metric that Dwayne McFarlane of fantasylife.com came up with.
29:26And now you get my beloved commanders who, for their amazing win, still let JSN absolutely cook them.
29:31Right? They've still allowed the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers of any team in the NFL.
29:37And in fact, wide receivers that have faced the commanders have caught at least 74% of their targets.
29:42Like, we are not so good. And so Keenan Allen showing some of that veteran moxie.
29:46Ooh, big hooks. Yeah, thank you. Like, he's, I think he's the number one wide receiver pickup again because Pierce is going
29:52to be out for a while and we think this is a functional offense.
29:56It's not a terrible schedule coming up for a slot receiver.
29:59And Keenan plays both, you know, inside and outside.
30:02But at Washington, that's the London game, even though it's, the game's in London this weekend.
30:06That's weird. Then at Pittsburgh, home to Tennessee before he plays the Vikings, which is tough.
30:11But, yeah, they should be trailing in a lot of those.
30:14I think you're right. Especially that Washington matchup this week, they've allowed the most points for a fantasy wide receiver.
30:20So I love that. Yeah, basically him, Josh Downs, Tyler Warren.
30:23So it's three guys. For Keenan, I think his strength has always been his route running.
30:27I think of all those times, especially on the goal line, creating separation with the Chargers, you know, caught a million balls.
30:34So many, like, their best receiver probably in franchise history.
30:36Now at 34, he's tied for the oldest receiver in the NFL.
30:40He's kind of lost a step. So he's in that route running.
30:43It's gone down a little bit of a notch.
30:46But I think speed is actually a little bit overrated when you talk about getting separation and route running because he has such a high football IQ.
30:53You mentioned him being the veteran. Now your game has to shift a little bit.
30:58Now it's like, okay, I understand where the defenses are in zone coverage.
31:01And I can sit. I can be crafty at the top of my route and give a move outside and come back in.
31:08So, like, it's a little bit like in basketball when you get older.
31:11You just have to, like, adjust and get to the mid-range game.
31:15Like LeBron Jones. That's where I see, exactly. That's where I see, like, Keenan Allen at this stage in his career, especially with Alec Pierce out.
31:22Could not agree more. I mean, so much is made about separation.
31:25But then there are guys, like, I think about, like, the first guy that came to mind is I think about, like,
31:32Larry Fitzgerald, especially later in his career. Like, one of the all-time greaters, by the way, proud Fantasy Life investor, Larry Fitzgerald.
31:38Like, he was never that crazy. Who is an investor, first of all?
31:42I feel like it's a shorter list. Every single player you mention, I feel like is an investor.
31:47Not Moe Hassan. Not Michelle Beadle. Whatever. I keep my money to myself.
31:50Anyway, fair enough. No, but what I was going to say is, no, but Larry Fitzgerald, like, Larry Fitzgerald never got crazy separation later in his career.
31:58It didn't matter. Larry Fitzgerald, throw it somewhere near Larry Fitzgerald.
32:01He was coming down with it, right? I always think about Anquan Bolden back in the day.
32:06Like, that was a guy that, like, never got separation.
32:09Anquan ran, like, 4'8 or 4'9", 40. Correct. Right.
32:11And just Jerry Rice was never, like, the fastest guy.
32:14Exactly. Like, everyone that is considered the greatest wide receiver in NFL history, like, Jerry Rice was never, like, a guy that burned you with his speed.
32:22Devontae Adams. Yeah. Same thing. One of the best route runners in the history of our game.
32:26His release game off the line of scrimmage may be number one.
32:30If you ask a wide receiver who's the number one guy I studied tape for releases, it's Devontae Adams.
32:35What do you think he would run in a 40-yard dash today?
32:39You know, like, maybe, like, a 4'7". Like, it wouldn't be great.
32:42No. I was going to say 4'5". I was going to be nicer.
32:46But, yeah, you're, I mean, because he was blowing by Sir Can.
32:49Well, that too. He was. But, anyway, right, maybe it's all that Taco Bell.
32:53But, either way, the point of the matter is, is, yes, Keenan Allen is not the player he once was.
32:59But, yeah. He's got a meaningful role on a competent offense and a great matchup this week.
33:03Isn't there, like, a country song that's like, I'm not as good as I was, but I'm.
33:08Toby Keith. What is it? I'm not as good as I once was, but I'm as good as I ever was.
33:14Oh. Something, it's like. Something like that, right? I think that's the lyric.
33:18This feels like the spirit of what we're talking about.
33:21But, yes, Toby Keith. I like to bring quotes but then not get them right at all.
33:25By the way, Toby Keith has a lot. Like, I know this sounds dumb.
33:29I'm so sorry. But, like, I've gotten more into country music lately.
33:33And, like, every time I hear a song. Talk to me.
33:36So, any time I hear a song, like, just on, like.
33:39It's the horse one, right? Country or Pandora. No, that's when it's Whiskey for My Man, Beer for My Horses.
33:45That's another Toby. That's another Toby Keith one with Willian Wilson.
33:48But my point is, is, like, I can't tell you how many times, like.
33:52So, I listen to, like, you know, country music, like, on Pandora or something like that.
33:56And then I'm like, oh, that's a really good song.
33:59I want to, you know, I'll Shazam it and add it to a playlist.
34:03And every single time it's like, oh, it's another Toby Keith song.
34:06Toby Keith has so many. Man, our algorithm is very different.
34:09Very different. What's yours? It's not that. I know that.
34:12All right, we've got to pick up the pace.
34:15Jacksonville, Jacoby Myers. Do we add him? I'm starting with him this time.
34:18Yes, go. Yes, I think there's positives and negatives here.
34:21I'm going to start with the positive. Trevor Lawrence is playing the best football of his career.
34:26The confidence he's playing with. They're putting up 30 a game.
34:29I think this game's also going to be a shootout, right?
34:32You're going against the Steelers. Yeah, they just gave up 30 against the Steelers, the team they're playing, which is the Bengals.
34:38The risk involved here is that Parker Washington and Brian Thomas are still a big part of this offense.
34:44Three really viable options on the perimeter. Essentially, that's Jacoby Myers' land there on the outside.
34:48So I just think there's risk. It's very high upside, but could also be a potentially really big downfall.
34:54Yeah, see, I'm not worried about that. First off, Jacoby Myers has earned targets every single year he's gone, whether it was
35:00the Patriots, whether it's Raiders, and now with the Jaguars.
35:03He's been great ever since he got there. They throw a lot, right?
35:06Again, the traveler. Trevor Lawrence is playing at a very high level.
35:10They throw a lot. And so Parker Washington, he's still the number one in this offense.
35:14But Jacoby Myers is a very viable number two, especially because look at who Brian Thomas Jr.
35:19is facing coming up. We've talked about this yesterday on the show where just like all these brutal cornerback matchups.
35:25He's got DJ Turner this week against the Cincinnati Bengals.
35:27Then he's going to go to Philadelphia, and it's probably going to be Kenyon Mitchell or even Cooper DeGene, right?
35:33Then you get to Houston and those corners. Like, I just – it's a brutal stretch coming up – brutal stretch here for Brian Thomas Jr.
35:40So it's a very good passing offense. I want as much of this Jaguars offense as they get.
35:46So, yeah, give me some Jacoby Myers who's available in over 56% of leagues.
35:49By the way, the game total in this one, 51.5.
35:52It's the highest in week three on the week three slate.
35:55We expect a lot of points in this Bengals-Jaguars game.
35:58Yeah, shootout and the offense that's trending upwards, you know, scoring the most points.
36:02Good combo for us. That's what we want. That's what we want.
36:06Fun fact, Matthew, Mr. Robinson had a nice big game from my bench.
36:09That is a fun fact. Is he going to keep that going moving forward?
36:13Yeah, so to be clear, Beatles, of course, is such a crazy Spurs fan.
36:17She means Wando Robinson, not David Robinson, the original.
36:20David Robinson, yeah. The original Mr. Robinson. Same, same.
36:22Eddie Murphy was the original Mr. Robinson. I was going to say, yeah.
36:26Do you know who Eddie Murphy is? Of course.
36:28Okay. Well, nothing's for sure. He's one of the most famous comedians of all time.
36:33I know, but he hasn't been – Probably number one.
36:35He hasn't done stand-up comedy in a long time.
36:38I was going to say, shout out for saying comedians first.
36:41I'll give you credit for that. Points. I think he's known more for his comedy, isn't he?
36:46Well, he's acted a lot. Yeah, he's done a lot of huge movies.
36:50I've been in some massive movies. Can you name an Eddie Murphy movie?
36:53Coming to America. There you go. Nice job. That's one of the biggest ones.
36:57All right. Back to Wondell Robinson. Well done. All right.
37:00There we go. Come on out. You're not embarrassing yourself today.
37:03I'm proud of you. Yeah. The positives of Wondell Robinson are, look, you know, positive game script.
37:08They're on the road at Baltimore. They're going to be down and throwing.
37:12That's what happened against the Giants where they threw a lot.
37:15They're an 11.5 point dog in this one as well.
37:18And Baltimore has allowed the fifth most receptions to the slot.
37:21So, in theory, this should all work out. 31% target share for Wondell Robinson.
37:25Again, Brian Dable signed him. He was a sleeper in the preseason.
37:28Quiet first two weeks. But Cam Ward looked a little bit better against the Giants.
37:32And hopefully in a game against the Ravens, they're going to be there for throwing.
37:36Throwing a lot. Ravens struggle against the slot. Wondell Robinson's the number one wide receiver.
37:41Still Tennessee. Let's not get crazy. And Cam Ward hasn't looked good.
37:44But Wondell Robinson's my number three wide receiver in waivers this week.
37:47Great photo that he's got. I like to pay attention to those.
37:51The photo? Yeah. Some guys are very serious. I like that.
37:54I like it when guys try something different. Did you see Jimmy Butler with the earrings?
37:58That's his thing. That's his thing. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
38:01He doesn't play anymore, but he does take pictures.
38:03I know. Well, yeah. Speaking of Wondell, though, I think when we see UC Drake going up week to week to week, he's new in the system.
38:11He's learning Cam Ward. And that, to me, tells me a young quarterback is trusting him more.
38:16So, I would expect that to continue going up.
38:18Again, we got the season-high target share, so that speaks volumes to me.
38:22And I think a Titans team that's not very sound on both sides of the ball, they're going to be playing from behind, throwing the ball a lot.
38:30So, I think that's where the potential lies with Wondell.
38:33Yep. You know what? It's just working out this way.
38:36I'm not even planning it, but you're getting a Miami one again this time.
38:40Talk to me about the receivers. Unfortunately, because it's the worst team.
38:43Sorry. I didn't mean it that way. Yeah. Okay.
38:46So, I mean, Malik Washington and Chris Bell, those are the two guys now that people are looking at, especially with Caleb Douglas banged up.
38:53So, their target share is going to go up.
38:55I just, I think when you're going to Minnesota, this is a nightmare matchup.
38:59They held Ben Johnson to three points. Now, imagine what the Miami Dolphins are going to do to, I mean, or try to do against Brian Flores.
39:07What is less than three? Less than three is negative something.
39:10Brutal. I do think it's brutal. And you lose A-chan, too.
39:13So, I think it's just a significant blow. The entire offense, honestly, I'm not expecting much from any of these guys.
39:19Yeah. It's just like you get further down, especially in deeper leagues.
39:22The positives here about Malik Washington, 27% target share on the season.
39:26He's averaging 50 receiving yards a game. They're going to have to throw a little bit.
39:30And so, Malik Washington, they've used near the line of scrimmage.
39:33And so, they're trying to get him the ball.
39:36He's got crazy speed. And so, they're trying to, like, manufacture touches for him.
39:40I think Chris Bell's the more talented player. This is a guy that would have gone a lot higher in the NFL
39:46draft if not for coming off the injury. But he's healthy now.
39:49Continuing to get healthier as well. Again, we'll see how this all plays out when Douglas comes out.
39:54But I prefer them Malik Washington because I don't think his role goes away again as a slot.
39:59And then Chris Bell, by the way, who is averaging over 18 yards for reception so far this season as well.
40:05So, Malik Washington, who's, by the way, been a top 30 wide receiver in utilization score through the first three weeks.
40:11I mean, like, he's out there. He's much more of a deeper league guy.
40:15He's a wide receiver four or so. But, like, again, he's on the field in an NFL game.
40:20And that has value. Screen grab this. Yep. So, my top wide receiver waiver ads for week number four.
40:26All these available in over 50% of leagues across the site, according to FantasyLife.com, where we monitor every platform where you could possibly play.
40:32Possibly play. Excuse me. Keenan Allen at Washington. Jacoby Myers at Cincinnati is number two.
40:37Wandel Robinson at number three. And then the Miami guys.
40:39Malik Washington over Chris Bell. Although long-term, Chris Bell, I think, maybe has more upside.
40:44It just depends on what you need. Whether you need a guy this week or longer term as well.
40:49Here's some other deeper league names. How about Adonai Mitchell, who was starting to lead the team in targets.
40:54Missed last week, but should be back playing against Chicago.
40:57Trey Tucker. You know, again, this Raiders offense looks better than we think.
41:01Kalief Raymond. We talked about him in the first hour.
41:04He's tied for the highest utilization score among Chicago wide receivers.
41:0723% target share for Kalief Raymond on the season.
41:09Wow. Mack Hollins. For all the Romeo Dobbs talk, Mack Hollins, to me, has been the better Patriots wide receiver.
41:15In the absence of A.J. Brown, had a 30% target share in week three.
41:19Since A.J. Brown went down, 70% route rate for Mack Hollins.
41:22And finally, we don't know the status of Puka Nakua.
41:25But Kanata Mumfield had a really nice game last week for the Rams.
41:2975% route rate. Not only Puka, but both tight ends.
41:31Terrence Ferguson and Colby Parkinson all dealing with injuries.
41:34So, could be another big game for Kanata Mumfield against the Eagles this week.
41:38It's a fun name, too. I'm just judging. It is.
41:41That one's a fun one to say as well.
41:43The Puka thing's crazy. By the way, we've got to get to tight ends as well.
41:48Let's do it quick, yeah. And we're going to start with the rookie for the Jets, Mr.
41:53Sadiq. Freaky Sadiq. I like it so much. Now you wanted you to do it.
41:57Talk to me. He's such a dog. I mean, look, you take someone in the first round at that position, you're going to start using him.
42:04We're seeing his usage go up. That seam that Gino threw him in the end zone, that told me trust.
42:10That was ball placement. And then the big fella just made a play on the football.
42:14Coming out of Oregon, just made plays all over the field.
42:17Like, that was their number one target, really. With really good wide receivers, too.
42:21They had DeCorey and Moore, Evan Stewart. And this was the guy that stood out.
42:26So, they loved him coming out. Now, he did, his breakout game was with AD out.
42:30So, that's the only thing that gives me a little bit of hesitancy with AD coming back.
42:35But when we're talking red zone targets, you want size in the middle and on the perimeter.
42:40He's as good of a pass catcher at the tight end position as you'll see in the NFL.
42:45Yeah, I don't think the genie's coming back in the bottle, though.
42:48Remember, this is the guy they gave a rushing touchdown to in week number one as well.
42:53He was an early round pick. Frank Reich's offense has always featured tight ends.
42:57So, I think, we thought the Kenyon-Sadiq breakout would come.
43:00We didn't think it would come this early. This is your last chance at getting Kenyon-Sadiq.
43:04He's available in over 80% of leagues. Wow. Yeah.
43:07If you guys want to talk about yourself. Yeah, yeah.
43:10Go out. So, anyway, as long as we're talking about tight ends, Beatle, while you check your waiver wire.
43:15I'll just go. Listen, we mentioned it. Parkinson and Ferguson both out for the Rams.
43:19So, Tyler Higbee. Oh. All of a sudden. Right.
43:22Who had a 22% target share last week as well.
43:2477% route participation. And, by the way, overall in the season, the Rams are third in tight end target share.
43:30Now, one of the challenges have been is like, is it Parkinson?
43:34Is it Ferguson? Is it, you know, Davis Allen, right?
43:36But Tyler Higbee, the veteran who's been there, knows his system, looks like at least for this week, if you need a
43:43streaming tight end, Tyler Higbee against the Rams becomes pretty interesting as well.
43:46And then one of the guys that I'll just mention real quickly is Darren Waller.
43:50Waller to the baller. You know, every time you think he's out, he comes back in.
43:55Now a member of the Carolina Panthers. Jalen Coker dealing with that quad strain.
43:59And so, last week, season highs and target share in route participation.
44:02By the way, Lions allow 33 fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends this season.
44:07We just saw Kenyon Sadiq go off against them.
44:09So, again, lower on my list. But Darren Waller, I think, is viable as well.
44:14Some other names, if you need to go a little bit deeper.
44:17TJ Hawkinson playing the Miami Dolphins. He's been a bigger part of this offense with Aaron Rodgers.
44:22Again, you like the matchup. I'm sorry, Pat Friermuth against Cleveland.
44:25Big, a bigger part of this Steelers offense as well.
44:28Worth noting, the Browns are bottom 10 in yards per game allowed to opposing tight ends this season.
44:33And you see Hawkinson at four against Miami. You like anyone playing the Dolphins.
44:37He's got a 40% red zone target share so far this season.
44:40And TJ Hawkinson, especially if Justin Jefferson ends up missing this game.
44:43Once again, my top tight end waiver ads for week number four.
44:47Kenyon Sadiq, Tyler Higbee, Darren Waller, TJ Hawkinson, and then Pat Friermuth.
44:50By the way, big line under Kenyon Sadiq. There's a tier there.
44:54Like, Sadiq is somebody for the rest of the season.
44:56So, there you go. We start with Sam Darnold for the QB waiver wire, my friend.
45:01And back last week, is he the top out, actually?
45:04Yeah, I think so. I mean, like, we like this offense.
45:07We like the receivers as well. And we like Sam Darnold as an NFL quarterback, right?
45:11So, he's available in over 60% of leagues, right?
45:14Since the start of last season, get this. Since the start of last season, Sam Darnold actually ranks third among quarterbacks in yards per pass attempt.
45:21It's a nice matchup with the Chargers this week.
45:24We talked about that in the first hour in terms of how bad they are.
45:28Bottom 12 in pass defense, the Chargers, they can't seem to get anything done.
45:32It doesn't matter what they throw at Jackson Smith and Jigba.
45:35You can't stop JSN and Sam Darnold. It looks like they picked up right where they left off.
45:40They don't really miss Clint Kubiak. This offense is looking good.
45:43So, yeah. Give me Sam Darnold this week, especially if you need a streamer.
45:47Quarterbacks facing the Bolts are averaging 17 fantasy points per game.
45:50And he's a good quarterback. Sammy D? Yeah, fight on.
45:53He's a Trojan. I agree. The first thing that comes off the page is the Chargers mashup.
45:58So, that's in the short term. In the long term, though, I mean, he picks up right where he left off, right?
46:04Super Bowl champion, putting up amazing numbers, throwing to one of the best receivers in the NFL, especially yards after catch with JSN.
46:11That's just going to bolster your numbers even more.
46:13I also think I usually see week one to week two, you see the biggest jump for quarterbacks.
46:18This is his week two, right? Yeah. Because essentially he was out.
46:22So, I think he's only going to continue getting better.
46:24Yeah, he doesn't run enough, which is, you know, so I think he's kind of a, he's more a little bit more matchup dependent than many elite quarterbacks.
46:32But I do think he's a viable starter kind of as a low-end QB1 the rest of the way.
46:38How about Marcus? Speaking of Eddie Murphy, Mariota. People are very pleased.
46:41Can he keep that thing on? Especially Mr. Matthew Berry as a commander.
46:45You did call it that he would be a steady guy that writes the ship.
46:49When I was calling for Stetson Bennett, you said, no, Marcus Mariota.
46:52And I will, I must admit, yeah, he's playing like it.
46:55Honestly, he's playing better statistically than Jaden Daniels, which surprised me as well.
46:59It's an offense that has a lot of weapons, right?
47:02Terry McLaurin's out there. It's a good system. The way Marcus is just that veteran leader, playing within the game, not trying to do too much.
47:09I think he's putting this team in really good positions.
47:12Yeah. By the way, five of his nine starts over the last two seasons, he's finished as a top 14 fantasy quarterback.
47:18I like this matchup against Indianapolis, right? Colts bottom three in pass defense through three weeks, right?
47:23They're allowing almost 22 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks.
47:26Like Marcus will use his legs as well. That clutch third down, as we saw.
47:30Again, McLaurin's healthy. Stephon Diggs is healthy. They can't really run the ball.
47:34The commanders, they're getting a little bit out of Rashad White, but not a ton.
47:38So it's all going to be in the arm of Marcus Mariota.
47:42And as long as this defense continues to be bad, I mean, they basically, they didn't stop Seattle.
47:47They outlasted Seattle. Even with a pick six, they outlasted Seattle.
47:50Like, I mean, you know, and so I think the Colts will be able to put up points against Washington.
47:56So yeah, give me Marcus Mariota. As long as Jaden Daniels is out, they play the Colts this week in London.
48:02That's the London game. Then they're home to the Giants.
48:04They're at San Francisco. And then there's a bye week.
48:07I wonder if they wait until after the bye week to bring Jaden Daniels back.
48:11Especially if they're rolling with Mariota. They just beat the Seahawks.
48:14If they can beat the Colts and the Giants, both winnable games for the commanders, I think I could see them saying
48:21like, you know what, hey, we'll wait until the bye week to bring Jaden Daniels back.
48:25Make sure that elbows. He's the future of the franchise.
48:28So let's not take any risks. So Mariota, I think, is a very viable starter for the next couple of weeks.
48:34How about Jacoby Brissette? How about Jacoby Brissette? Yeah.
48:36You know what? Like, very quietly, the Cardinals under Matt LaFleur are throwing it everywhere.
48:41Partially it's because of matchup, because their defense is terrible.
48:44Partially because, like, Jacoby don't care. He got zero Fs to give, man.
48:47Like, you know. He'll sling it. He'll sling it, man.
48:50Yeah. They're throwing the ball a lot. So far this season, they're top five in terms of quarterback pass attempts.
48:56The Cardinals are throwing it a lot. Again, top five in pass attempts, Jacoby Brissette is on the season.
49:01They have an implied team total of 23 points here at the New York Football Giants, a team that Cam Ward actually looked okay against.
49:08And so, yeah, I mean, Jacoby looks like he was a good fantasy quarterback.
49:12Like, forget the scoreboard. You don't have to look at the scoreboard here.
49:16But, like, you know, junk time still counts in fantasy.
49:19Yes, it does. As I've said many times, Jacoby Brissette understands the assignment.
49:22There you go. Yes. Jacoby, I mean. I'm still learning which camera to look at, by the way.
49:27I'm a disaster. Don't worry about it. You look good in any of them.
49:31Just look where I feel like it. Do I?
49:34We have a full screen. We have a full screen?
49:37That's what I'm hearing. This is the full screen.
49:39Okay. Let's go to it. This is the full screen.
49:42Hey, yeah. So here's the top quarterback where we're at.
49:45It's for week number four. I already mentioned Sam Darnold.
49:48Marcus Mariota at number two. Jacoby Brissette at number three.
49:50Your guy, Deshaun Watson. Mo Hassan. Deshaun Watson has back-to-back games with at least 19 fantasy points.
49:55He's running more. He's QB 11 on the season, believe it or not.
49:59And how about Kirk Cousins? It's not a great matchup against Kansas City, but through two weeks.
50:04Oh, really? He's a top 10 fantasy quarterback and a points-per-game basis.
50:07He's a fit for that play-action Clint Kubiak style.
50:10Yeah, I mean, Deshaun Watson. Who would have thunk it?
50:12We're not talking about that. Before the season. Well, season's not over.
50:16We're going to take a very, very quick break.
50:18We're going to wrap things up on the other side with Last Call.
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52:23We're going to look at some of the early lines, but first, defenses, Matthew.
52:27Yeah, look, how about the Packers at Tampa Bay, again, against an undrafted rookie, as Mo mentioned earlier.
52:32I know the Packers haven't been good, but when you get an undrafted rookie quarterback, you like that.
52:37How about the Bears against the New York Jets?
52:39Bills against the Patriots, who continue to turn the ball over.
52:42Giants at home against the Cardinals, and the resurgent Browns against, in kind of a dogfight low-scoring game against the Steelers.
52:48Those are my defenses that I would stream this week.
52:51Packers, Bears, Bills, Giants, Browns in order. I need like a bell.
52:55Time for last call. We'll get one. We're working on it.
52:58Early lines that have jumped out. Take it away first?
53:01Sure, I'll do that. So I have a friend that has this weird betting rule that works out about two-thirds of the
53:07time, and it's been going on, which is after week three, anytime you get a team with a winning record that is
53:13getting points against a team with a losing record, you take the points.
53:17That happens twice this week. The Giants, despite being two and one, are actually underdogs to the Cardinals.
53:22One and a half point phase, but I'm taking the Eagles plus three.
53:25Okay. The Eagles, the Eagles, they're whatever. The Eagles are two and one.
53:29The Rams are one and two. The Eagles have a winning record, and yet despite that, they're somehow getting points at home for a one o'clock Eastern game.
53:37West Coast team traveling east to Philadelphia, an embarrassed Eagles team after the loss.
53:41Somehow the Philadelphia Eagles are getting three points. Give me Philadelphia in this one as well.
53:45I think they'll right the ship after Monday Night Football.
53:48By the way, the Rams always lose to the Eagles.
53:51It just always feels like that works out. Yeah, but the Rams also came off a loss, so I think they're also going to try to bounce back.
53:59I'm going to go with this one. I'm going Vikings, Dolphins.
54:02You have an undefeated football team playing at home against a winless football team that loses their best player on their team.
54:08I mean, I just don't see in any chance that the Dolphins have to even cover seven and a half.
54:14It's Kyler's second start, so he's only going to get better in the KLC offense.
54:18Brian Flores is the best coordinator in football playing against Malik Willis, a chain-less offense.
54:22I don't care that Justin's not playing. I think they have enough weapons with TJ Hawkinson and Jordan Addison.
54:28Give me the Vikings. I'm taking a very strong stand early on in the week, and I'm just going to go for it.
54:34And it's America's team, America's sweethearts, if you will, facing the evil empire in the Kansas City Chiefs.
54:39I am taking the Moneyline Raiders This is absurd.
54:42to win the game outright. I feel good about it.
54:45Human being on the planet taking this. Even better.
54:47Give me all the monies. I mean, I feel good about it.
54:51Is this just Kirk is going to ball or what?
54:53We're riding high right now. There's like something in the air.
54:56Okay. There's something going on. By the way, I think the line was like four and a half.
55:02It wasn't even crazy. Right. Anyway, but yeah. And Brock Bowers back eating all those sloppy joes.
55:06Damn right, he's back. Back and better than ever.
55:09Crazier things have happened. I mean, I like it.
55:11I like it. It's a bold call. I mean, listen, we haven't talked enough about the Raiders and how good they've been.
55:18They've been legitimately good. Like, Bowers gives them another direction.
55:20It's fun. Like, Clint Kubiak's got to be on the list, you know, in terms of one of the early year, the
55:27coach of the year candidates, sorry, in terms of how well they've played.
55:30And, you know, the Chiefs have looked good. That's the only thing.
55:34It hasn't been the Chiefs of old where they've sort of like squeaked by and you're like, you know, they can't keep getting away with it.
55:41Like, they've been dominating. They've been looking, oh yeah, those are the Chiefs.
55:45Yeah, it's the least talked about 3-0 team, I feel like.
55:48No one's really taking them serious. I mean, if they beat the Chiefs, what's the narrative after that?
55:53That would be absolutely incredible. We should go to Vegas.
55:56We should go to Vegas. You know what, Roku?
55:58Someone call Mr. Roku. Someone call Mr. Roku and see if we can get out to Vegas as well.
56:04Let's take the show on the road. Take the phone call.
56:07I think it's time. I mean, if the Raiders beat the Chiefs.
56:10You guys have built up enough of an audience after three days?
56:13Absolutely. You guys will draw huge in Vegas. And it's cut to just the three of us at a bar in Vegas.
56:20With zero credentials. With zero, a thousand, a thousand percent.
56:22Listen, that does it for happy hour. Listen, it's closing time, which means you don't have to go home, but you can't stay here.
56:29That's right. More pregame with Matthew Berry tomorrow, live right here on the Roku Sports Channel.
56:34Noon Eastern. See you all then. After more Beatle, I'm Matthew.
56:37Peace out. Peace out.

More episodes from Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry

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