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0:38This is the Dan Levitard Show. This is Dan Levitard, and I've been doing this for more than two decades.
0:44Our show is contagious. It's a little bit addictive.
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1:04It's football season, and Vizio Mini LED TVs are here to turn your living room into the front row of the stadium.
1:11Watch every play come to life in breathtaking realism on a 55-inch or 65-inch Mini LED TV.
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1:22Big screens, big picture, and a totally immersive experience.
1:24Find Rollback Deals at Walmart today on Vizio 55-inch and 65-inch Mini LED TVs.
1:29Now just $248 and $358. Power Slap 23 is live and free on YouTube on Thursday, September 17th.
1:34Dana White is bringing Power Slaps to Texas for the first time on the campus of Texas Tech University.
1:40Two massive title fights headline the card, including slap fighting legend Wolverine.
1:44Also on the card is former WWE champion Jake Hager and the debut of former UFC heavyweight Chris Barnett.
1:50You can watch Power Slap 23 for free on Power Slaps YouTube channel.
1:54Thursday, September 17th for the first time from Texas.
1:56Power Slaps' biggest card of the year. The Action Network Podcast.
2:00I'm just about that action, boss. Ready! All right, here we go.
2:03From the tent, throwing in zones. You see, most gamblers, when they go to gamble, they go to win.
2:09Oh my God, that's incredible! Big bank, small bank, I like to make money.
2:14All right. That is the ultimate kibosh. You want a ball?
2:17Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by DraftKings.
2:20I'm your host, Gilles Gallant, and the Touchdown Show is back for NFL Week 2.
2:24And I'm back with Sean Kerner and Grant Neifer.
2:27So we are going to get into these Week 2 matchups and find some valuable anytime touchdown scores.
2:33Now, if you want to tail any of the touchdown bets we give out today, look for the quick slip link in the podcast and video descriptions.
2:41Or you can go to actionnetwork.com slash bet now.
2:44And we also have some exciting news about BetSync.
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3:18So download the Action app today and connect with BetSync.
3:21Okay, let's jump into the matchups and talk some touchdowns.
3:24Browns, Buccaneers, who do you like to score in this game?
3:28I mean, I really don't like this game at all.
3:31It's absolutely disgusting. Trying to find bets. Banger. Oh, gosh, I did not like it.
3:36But I got a couple ones at decent odds and they're both quarterbacks.
3:40So we're starting off to Sean Watson to score a touchdown plus 600.
3:44And it's mostly just because he is so incredibly inept.
3:47Like the line actually wasn't bad. The offense did not run bad outside of Deshaun Watson just holding on for too long, not making a decision, being terrible.
3:55Good news is he did scramble multiple times, had six carries with 38 yards.
4:00So he's willing to just say, no, I don't like anything and run at a decent clip.
4:05And he's been like that all the way going back to 2024, 2023.
4:09He just doesn't like to make decisions. And so he's going to be scrambling a bit here.
4:14They're probably going to be playing from down pretty much the entire game.
4:18So you can currently get it around plus 600.
4:21And that's a bit too high for me. And I just, when I thought about Casey Conception, I thought about a few
4:28guys, but just having Watson throw the ball, I can't wait until he finally gets benched.
4:33But until then, the best bet I think is probably him at plus 600.
4:37On the other side, rolling with Baker to score a touchdown.
4:40He scored one last week. I know he has not historically been a huge threat in the red zone to run the ball.
4:47Only gets about one to three touchdowns per year.
4:50But the odds seem a little bit high at plus 550 or going up against the Browns.
4:55Obviously, his old team, Baker being the type of guy he is, I'm not going to be surprised at all if he
5:02decides, F it, I'm going to run this in.
5:05And I think we could very easily see that there.
5:08The odds just a bit too high. But I mean, this is probably going to be an ugly game.
5:14I expect the Bucs just absolutely crush the Browns here.
5:17And these are the two that have the most value on.
5:20Well, I would just say normally like inspiration or, you know, revenge.
5:24I try to not use those as core metrics for why I would bet a guy.
5:29But in this instance, Baker is that type of guy.
5:32Like we saw when he was with Carolina where he did it against Cleveland.
5:36Like, you know that he's the type of guy that just wants to get payback on people that have written him off.
5:43So I love that, especially because we're getting odds around plus 550, especially after he just scored last week against the Bengals.
5:50And then, you know, Deshaun Watson, there's nothing really left to say, at least from a positive note standpoint.
5:56But the fact that we're getting a six to one against a defense that he probably won't want to try to run
6:02up the middle against if Vita Veya is there, he'll probably try to scramble more on the outside.
6:08And I think that's where he can maybe get that score.
6:11So those are your two bets for Browns, Buccaneers, Deshaun Watson at six to one and Baker Mayfield at plus 550.
6:18All right, I'm up next. And I got assigned Packers Jets.
6:21So for that one, I kept it simple. I went with Garrett Wilson because, again, even against the Titans, he had a 30% target share.
6:29He's around plus 210 to score. I don't expect that target share to drop anytime soon, especially with Geno Smith at quarterback.
6:36And we just watched that Packers secondary get completely diced by Justin Jefferson last week.
6:40And that defense just hasn't really been the same since Micah Parsons got hurt.
6:45So I have high hopes for the Packers offense to put up some points.
6:49And if they're putting up points, I think the Jets will have to kind of be in a trailing game script as a result.
6:56And, you know, if you're getting the lion's share of targets as a wide receiver one in this offense, I don't think
7:03you could be around plus 200, especially given what we saw them go through last week.
7:08All right. But on the Packers side, I'm going to take Matthew Golden.
7:12I initially was looking at Jaden Reed, and then I realized that trend of two wide receiver sets has continued into this year.
7:19You saw it in week one, where when they're doing two wide receiver sets or heavy personnel, Jaden Reed just doesn't get on the field.
7:27So I had to pivot in that front. But that's why I was looking at Matthew Golden, because last week we were on Christian Watson in this spot.
7:35But it was Golden who led all Packers and pass catch in snaps, targets per route run.
7:41He ran the most routes. They're really trying to make it a thing of Matthew Golden being effective.
7:46So again, if we're going to see Matthew Golden around plus 240 to score after watching what we saw in week one,
7:53I think those odds are a little too high.
7:56So those are my two picks for Jets Packers.
7:59I'm going to take Garrett Wilson and Matthew Golden.
8:01OK, next game is Panthers Falcons. Kerner, you got to sign that one.
8:05What are you looking at to score in that one?
8:08Yeah, I get the game where we don't even know who the hell the quarterback's going to be.
8:14So I'll try my best. But I think on the Panthers side, I'm going to go with Chuba Hubbard.
8:20I'm going to go with first touchdown score at five to one.
8:23They had seven goal line snaps last week, and he took them all over Jonathan Brooks.
8:28I think Brooks is going to see a bigger role as he's healthier and as the season goes forward, but maybe more
8:35of a pass catching back, whereas I think Chuba is going to be the goal line back no matter what.
8:41I think that's kind of his skill set. So if they do get around the goal line, I think it'll be Chuba.
8:48And I think, you know, given the quarterback situation for Atlanta, their defense is shaky.
8:53I wouldn't be shocked if the Panthers score first.
8:55So I just like the idea of kind of combining both and just taking them to be the first touchdown score at five to one.
9:03And what's funny with Chuba is that, like, sorry, before you mentioned who you like for the Falcons, they were pricing it
9:10as almost like Brooks was going to be the lead back in that last week.
9:15So and that flipped immediately once we saw it against the Bears.
9:18So who do you like for the Falcons? Yeah, so I'm going to stick with Kyle Pitts here at plus 350.
9:25If you watch that game, he could have had a nice, like long catch and run.
9:30I don't know if it would have been a touchdown, but Cooper Rush just underthrew him.
9:35Uh, and, uh, Ramsey came in and tipped it.
9:37So, uh, I I'm putting that on Cooper Rush and I have some hope that they won't have to roll Cooper Rush out there.
9:45Uh, Michael Penix was able to return to full practice.
9:48So hopefully he's able to go this week. If not, um, Stefanski hasn't ruled out, uh, using Jack Strand, which, uh, you
9:55know, he was one of my favorite QBs from preseason.
9:58He can't be much worse than Cooper Rush. So I don't know why they wouldn't give him a crack.
10:04So either way, I think Kyle Pitts might have a more competent quarterback, uh, under center this week.
10:09Uh, and we just thought that, I mean, love the Bears offense, but they just dropped 59 points on the Panthers.
10:16So I think this is a spot Kyle Pitts could get going.
10:19Yeah. Pitts, uh, one of my starters in one of my leagues, and I think he put up a big shiny zero, uh, for week one.
10:27Uh, only saw that one target that you described, but it got, uh, tipped.
10:32So, uh, we'll see Kyle Pitts. It just, we got to see who the quarterback is.
10:36Hopefully we get Jack Strand in there. We can actually have a, maybe a little bit more production on that front because,
10:43uh, Cooper Rush, uh, it ain't it, uh, it's been a difficult road.
10:47Uh, so, but yes, even at this price though, a plus 390 and we've just watched Carolina give up 59 points.
10:54Uh, it just seems a tad high, even for a starting tight end one with that quarterback situation.
10:59All right. Let's now move to Eagles Titans. Grant, you got this one.
11:03What did you pick? Yeah. Another just probably going to be very ugly game.
11:08Although I do like my bet significantly better in this one, especially one.
11:12We'll start off the one I like less and that's Elick to score.
11:16You can find them at anywhere from plus 900 plus 1300.
11:19Uh, to me, that's a bit too high. I mean, he played over 50% of snaps last week.
11:25I know that the matchup is very tough, but most likely they're going to be playing from behind and so they're going
11:31to be forced to throw the ball. Elick has five touchdowns in 17 career games.
11:36He has a nice rapport with Ward again. Like I'm not expecting him to score, but I don't need him to score
11:43that often considering the odds here just a bit too high.
11:46I think he has a good nose for the end zone.
11:49And so I, I'm just, the, the odds just seem drastically too high for his role in this offense.
11:55And then one bet on the Eagle side that I'm trying to figure out what is wrong with the sports books pricing
12:02him this high Dallas Goddard at plus 235 plus 240.
12:05What are they doing? I, I have, I have to look back at his stats over and over again.
12:11Last 16 games, 15 touchdowns. That's including the playoffs averaging close to a touchdown per game had two touchdowns last week.
12:17I know they're probably not going to be throwing much in the second half because they'll probably be ahead.
12:23But I mean, realistically Dallas Goddard, I wouldn't be surprised if his odds should be plus 240 for a first half touchdown.
12:30Like he is huge in this offense in the red zone.
12:34They're using him heavily. Hurts just relies on him so much.
12:37And without AJ Brown in this offense anymore, again, you look at splits when either Smith or AJ Brown were out last
12:44year, last few years, and they go through the roof.
12:47Plus 240 is just absolutely ridiculous odds for him.
12:50I would probably bet him all the way down to like plus 170 plus 160.
12:54Yeah. I mean, Goddard nearly tripled Johnny Muntz snaps as well.
12:58In week one, he is the tight end one in that offense.
13:01And I'm glad you brought up the splits of without AJ Brown or, or Devante Smith, because that's kind of been, I
13:08think the best time to circle him. And the fact that he scored two touchdowns last week and they haven't lowered these odds.
13:15I think the only reason why they have it listed this way, because the production is there is they may think that
13:22this might be a blow up by halftime. And then he doesn't really have to play as much in the second half,
13:29but I I'm actually a little more bullish on the Titans.
13:32I think they'll be able to keep this a little closer.
13:35And that's why I love the Dallas Goddard bet.
13:38Because they'll use him in like, you know, fake end arounds on the tush push, you know, shovel passes near the five.
13:45Like there's a lot of ways for him to score other than just passes over the middle.
13:50So, uh, Alec Aminor at 13 to one Dallas Goddard at plus two 40.
13:54Those are the two bets that grant likes for Eagles Titans.
13:58This was my toughest game of the week to pick a touchdown score.
14:02And it was Bengals Texans. Uh, so this one, after doing a little bit research and kind of getting into it, I
14:09went with T Higgins at two to one. Uh, that's who I like on the Bengals side.
14:14I think this is the week to grab him.
14:17I think it's a bit of a market overreaction, uh, from not scoring in week one, because when you looked against that
14:23matchup against the bucks, like he was as low as like plus one 20 at some spots to score and all the way back up to plus 200.
14:32And obviously this Texans defense is tough, but they may be weak to a long touchdown pass or two, because they played
14:39single high safety at the highest rate in the NFL in week one.
14:43And that's kind of opens up those deep passes and Higgins much like Jamar chase too, but both receivers, they tend their
14:50target rate skyrockets when seeing single high. And I think that the, the Bengals are probably, or the Texans will likely do
14:56the double routine with Jamar chase and let him go one-on-one with Derek Stingley.
15:01I think he can high point a ball on Derek Stingley and get it.
15:05I think at two to one, that's the, where I would like it's T Higgins to score a touchdown, uh, on this defense on the Texan side.
15:13It's getting dry, uh, for pass catchers right now.
15:16Uh, like Nico Collins might not play this week.
15:19Uh, Jaden Higgins got hurt in the preseason. It just, it's not a good spot right now.
15:24So I think on the Texan side, it's, it's Dalton Schultz or nothing for me.
15:29Um, I know a lot of people will look to last week and say, well, everybody was all on the tight end
15:35with the bucks with Kate Otten and he didn't really do much.
15:39It's like, well, that was more of a bucks problem more than, than, uh, the tight end issue because they just were fumbling the ball.
15:47It felt like every, uh, every drive, but, uh, he is the clear tight end one in this offense.
15:53There's not really much true competition similar to the way like Dallas Goddard is at the Eagles.
15:58But when you're getting a tight end, who's running a route at a 70% clip, like that's pretty much just behind Nico Collins, uh, in this offense.
16:06And he's probably one of the few pass catchers at CJ Stroud trust.
16:10So, uh, if Nico Collins is out, I like this bet even more, but I think it's starting to be priced that
16:17way because Dalton Schultz, when this initially opened, he was around plus three 10 and I'm seeing it right now around plus two 40 plus two 50.
16:25So, uh, get that in while you can, cause that probably will drop even more, uh, if Nico Collins gets ruled out.
16:32All right, Sean, um, we got you up next decent matchup.
16:36I like this one. Saints Bravens. Who do you like to score in this one?
16:40Yeah. For the Saints side, uh, I got to go with my guy, Juwan Johnson, uh, at plus three 50.
16:46Um, I loved him as a late round pick and fancy just because I thought he'd get off to a hot start
16:53because their first round pick, you know, Jordan Tyson's going to be out a while at, you know, at least the first month with the hamstring injury.
17:01Um, so I think Juwan just has a ton of upside right now.
17:05I mean, he was a former wide receiver himself.
17:08Um, and last week he had a league high three design first read looks inside the five yard line, which are the
17:15most valuable kind of targets you can get for a tight end.
17:19So, uh, wasn't shocked that he did pull away with one of them for a touchdown.
17:24Um, but I think it's clear that they're going to feature him in the red zone.
17:29Uh, I've always thought Travis ETN or Travis HN, what, however we're saying it now, um, never been like a really good goal lineback.
17:36So I think they're going to have to resort to that and Jill, they no more taste in hell.
17:42So when they get, when they get inside the 10 yard line, we'd have to deal with that bullshit.
17:48So, you know, Juwan Johnson, just massive upside due to him not being there.
17:52Um, so love taking him here at plus three 50.
17:55Um, and then Raven side, it's very tricky right now.
17:58Cause, uh, you know, Zay flowers might be out.
18:01So I think we're kind of pricing everybody as if he is.
18:05So I'd hold off on this as long as possible, but I do like Mark Andrews around plus one 25.
18:11Um, he just has massive upside right now. Cause you know, he's the clear tight end, uh, with Isaiah likely now often,
18:17uh, New York, uh, score a bunch of touchdowns.
18:20So, um, you know, even if Zay flowers were to suit up, he could be more of a decoy.
18:26Either way. Andrews could be the top target here, uh, this week.
18:30Uh, I still love Matthew Hibner as a sneaky long shot, almost at that last week.
18:35He did get a 13 yard catch in the red zone last week, but you know, went out of bounds a little
18:41bit early, but I think Andrews is just massive, massive touch on upside.
18:45Obviously he's the ball carrying the tush push. If they want to use that on the goal line for whatever reason, uh,
18:52despite having Derek Henry, he has that upside as well.
18:55So I like him at plus one 25, but again, do not take it yet.
19:00Once Zay flowers is officially rolled out, then, you know, maybe go from there, but there's a chance flowers does end up
19:07playing and this might go up, you know, plus one 60 or something like that.
19:11So this is when I would hold off, but either way, uh, I like Andrews here.
19:16I mean, I love Mark Andrews too. I'm a little bit worried that I might've mushed your Juwan Johnson pick Kerner, because
19:23my buddies asked me about this game and I said, and they were like, what about Durham Smythe?
19:29Like, you know, he's around like nine to one.
19:31And I was like, man, don't take Durham Smythe.
19:34He hasn't scored a touchdown since 2022. And he's the backup tight end of Juwan Johnson, who I like a lot more in this matchup.
19:42So now naturally the laws of gambling and the laws of football are going to put me in a position where now Durham Smythe scores over Juwan Johnson.
19:50So I like to apologize. It'd probably, it'd probably be no fan, uh, but right.
19:55So, yeah, I mean, fan is the one who caught the touchdown in overtime.
19:59It's against the, so again, it just, that's, but Juwan is such a, a stud matchup problem that again, getting that at
20:06plus three 50 on against this defense, a very solid look by you.
20:10All right. Football season is here folks. And if you don't already have the action network app now is the time plus
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20:50Now, before we continue, I'm going to toss it to myself for a quick word from our sponsor DraftKings.
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22:45That's trifencing.org. This is the Dan Levitard Show. This is Dan Levitard, and I've been doing this for more than two decades.
22:52Our show is contagious. It's a little bit addictive.
22:55It's in the most positive of ways. It has a good amount of range from smart to silly, and it's got a journalistic backbone.
23:02Monday through Friday, I show up and talk about sports.
23:05Listen to the Dan Levitard Show on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever it is that you get your podcasts.
23:12It's football season, and Vizio mini-LED TVs are here to turn your living room into the front row of the stadium.
23:18Watch every play come to life in breathtaking realism on a 55-inch or 65-inch mini-LED TV.
23:23Plus, crank your favorite game day tunes on the iHeartRadio app built right into your Vizio TV.
23:28Big screens, big picture, and a totally immersive experience.
23:31Find rollback deals at Walmart today on Vizio 55-inch and 65-inch mini-LED TVs.
23:35Now just $248 and $358. Power Slap 23 is live and free on YouTube on Thursday, September 17th.
23:41Dana White is bringing Power Slaps to Texas for the first time on the campus of Texas Tech University.
23:47Two massive title fights headline the card, including slap fighting legend Wolverine.
23:50Also on the card is former WWE champion Jake Hager and the debut of former UFC heavyweight Chris Barnett.
23:56You can watch Power Slap 23 for free on Power Slap's YouTube channel.
24:00Thursday, September 17th for the first time from Texas.
24:03Power Slap's biggest card of the year. You're watching the Touchdown Show for week two.
24:08We continue going through the slate to find the best anytime touchdown scores for the week.
24:13And we are now at Vikings Bears. Grant, you got this game.
24:16Who do you like to score in this NFC North matchup?
24:20Yeah, this should be a fun one. I mean, it could go any numbers away.
24:24We obviously saw what the Bears did last week on offense and defense.
24:28This could be an incredibly high-scoring game. It could be one where they end up struggling going up against Flores.
24:34But regardless, Caleb Williams to score plus 340 still seems too high.
24:38We got him at plus 550 last week. Scored twice.
24:41Ten rushing attempts with 65 yards. Obviously, Flores loves to blitz at a huge rate.
24:46So we're probably going to have Caleb Williams scrambling a decent amount here.
24:50The odds just a bit too high. And then next up, Justin Jefferson.
24:54We can still get him at plus 180. What are they doing?
24:57We scored twice last week. And you think, oh, I don't want to bet him.
25:02He's got Carson Wentz throwing in the ball. Well, guess what?
25:05Wentz played five games with him so far since beginning of last year.
25:09In those five games, he didn't quite play the full game versus Cincinnati last year.
25:14Still had seven targets on him. And then 11 versus Pittsburgh.
25:1711 versus Cleveland. 10 versus Philly. Had nine versus the Packers last week.
25:21He is getting peppered with targets. Wentz has a tendency to just completely zone in on one guy.
25:27And Jefferson is the best guy in the league, probably, outside of maybe Chase to do that with.
25:33And so he's going to get peppered with targets all game long.
25:36The Bears defense does not look great in week one, giving up a ton of points to Carolina here.
25:42So Jefferson at plus 180 just seems silly to me.
25:45Yeah. Like that one, I didn't really understand. Like at the plus 180, when you can get him at those, like we
25:52talked about this off air where usually when you have like a half competent quarterback, he probably should be priced anywhere between plus 130, plus 150.
26:00Just given the fact that he's going to have, you know, that 30% target share or more.
26:05And Caleb Williams, great pick by you last week.
26:08He scored twice. He looks slimmer. Like he looks quicker, you know, running from the ball.
26:13And then when I had to double check, because I knew that Brian Flores blitzed him a shit ton last week, blitzed the Packers.
26:20But I had to double check the number. 71% of dropbacks from Jordan Love saw a blitz.
26:26So Caleb Williams, I think, could see a lot.
26:28Even if they dropped that down to like 35, 40%, which is like the number two in the NFL, that should give
26:35Caleb some opportunities to scramble as well. So again, great choices by you, Grant.
26:39I got assigned Steelers Patriots. And that one, when I started looking at the top of the list, I just didn't love what we were seeing.
26:47So I went full long shot. So here's what we got.
26:51On the Steelers side, I'm going to go with Roman Wilson.
26:54Now, Roman Wilson, he hasn't scored a touchdown. He didn't score a touchdown in week one.
26:59He only scored two last year. But really encouraging in week one.
27:03He ran a route at a 61% clip. That's nearly double his rate from last season.
27:08And for week one, at least against the Falcons, he was second on the team in targets per route run.
27:14He saw an end zone target. I also think that Roman Wilson will probably get a little bit softer coverage compared to, say, DK Metcalf.
27:22I think Christian Gonzalez is going to follow DK as much as possible.
27:26Also, with Roman Wilson, I'm not sure if you guys noticed this just watching it like media coverage of the Steelers.
27:32I feel like every time I see an interview with Aaron Rodgers, like he's bringing up Roman Wilson or like Shailene Woodley.
27:39Like it's either one or the other. So, at plus 750, I'm going full Roman.
27:43And I'm taking him to score a touchdown against the Patriots.
27:47Now, this one's an even longer long shot. Like this one is at plus 950 right now at DraftKings.
27:53Kyle Williams with the Patriots. So, if A.J. Brown is out to me, the opportunity is on almost all Patriots wide receiver touchdown scores.
28:00Williams, he scored three times last year, all on deep routes, all in the second half of the season.
28:06Kind of when the Patriots were starting to make that run and be at the top of the leaderboard in the AFC.
28:13I also think the Steelers are going to do whatever they can to try to lock in on Romeo Dobbs and make
28:19Drake May kind of have to look elsewhere with that deep ball.
28:23I'll be honest, I almost went barefoot and took Mack Hollins.
28:27But just kind of looking at Mike Vrabel and some of the quotes from this week, he kind of just talking about
28:33Kyle Williams that he does expect him to be a lot more involved.
28:37So, I'm going to drink that Coach Speak Kool-Aid.
28:40I'm going to take the long shot at Kyle Williams to beat them over the top at plus 950.
28:46So, those are my two bets. Plus 950 for Kyle Williams and Roman Wilson at plus 750.
28:51All right, let's now move to Raiders Chargers. And Sean, you got that one.
28:56This one is not as bad of a matchup as it might look on paper.
29:00I think there's some fun touchdown scores in this game.
29:03Yeah, we don't know who's going to play, though.
29:06But real quick, I love your touchdown bets for Steelers, Pats.
29:09Yeah, yeah, Pats. Pittman and Darnell Washington didn't practice today, so you might want to lock in that plus 750 when you can.
29:16Yeah, it's already on the move. But I love that even if Pittman plays, but he might be out.
29:22So, lock that in while I go over this game, Jill.
29:26But you made a great call last week with Jack Besch.
29:29I'm going to stick with him here at plus 800 because we don't know if Brock Bowers is going to play.
29:36We just got word that he didn't practice today.
29:38So, I'm assuming he'll be out. But this is another bet where you probably don't want to lock it in until we
29:45know for sure because they're kind of pricing everybody as if, you know, Bowers would play.
29:50That's kind of how they handle these things early in the week.
29:54But I think when Bowers is out, obviously Michael Mayer is the lead tight end.
29:58He's one of my favorite tight ends in fantasy to pick up whenever Bowers is out.
30:03But I think Besch is also a sneaky kind of Bowers replacement because he's always been kind of a hybrid wide receiver tight end type.
30:11Has a very similar route tree over the middle with Bowers and like a bigger dude.
30:16So, when they get in the red zone, he's going to be one of Cousins' top targets if Bowers isn't there.
30:22So, wasn't shocked at all you cashed on that bet last week.
30:26So, I'm going to stick with him here. Assuming Bowers is out.
30:30And then, I mean, on the Chargers side, we don't know if Ladd's going to play.
30:35Looks like he was practicing off the side. He's dealing with a rib injury.
30:39Usually things like that, they kind of just, it's more of a pain tolerance thing.
30:44And wouldn't be shocked if he plays. So, I'm just going to go with him.
30:48Because if he doesn't suit up, you get your money back.
30:52It's voided. And if he does, I don't really like anybody else right now, given the current prices.
30:57So, I'm going to go with Ladd here, who was just unbelievable before he did get knocked out of the game.
31:04He had five catches, 82 yards, and a touchdown.
31:06Saw a target on 39% of his routes. And again, he got knocked out so early, he only played 49% of the snaps.
31:13But we got to see kind of a glimpse of, you know, how he's going to look in Mike McDaniel's new scheme for the Chargers.
31:21So, loved what I saw. And again, if I have to take somebody now, it's going to be Ladd.
31:27I saw a plus 175 for him. If he is ruled out, I think Trey Harris would be the guy to kind
31:34of target for, you know, sneaky upside. I think he's going to see the biggest uptick in playing time and targets.
31:40So, I'd be interested in Harris around plus 225 if Ladd is ruled out.
31:45But loved what I saw from Ladd, his brief action in week one.
31:49Yeah, I mean, I love the Jack Besch pick because, again, we both are in agreement.
31:53Like, the starting slot receiver on that offense with Cousins, you're going to see some targets.
31:58Ladd, the one thing that kind of is interesting is last week we were – I was with you on Gadsden.
32:05And I thought, okay, once Ladd went out that maybe in the second half he might start to see a little bit more opportunity.
32:12His snap rate did not go up at all.
32:15It was fully the Charlie Kohler and even David Njoku, to a lesser extent, was getting most of that run.
32:21So, yeah, I think at this point Ladd McConkie, if you can get him at plus 175.
32:26I mean, he closed last week against Arizona around like plus 125 to score.
32:31So, this is just another good matchup for him as well.
32:34So, all right, now let's move to Jaguars-Broncos rematch from last year.
32:38Grant, you got this one. Who do you like to score?
32:41Yeah, starting off with Cortland Sutton. I know anyone who watched that game is probably going to think I'm dumb because, I mean, he didn't look great.
32:50Knicks didn't look great. The entire Broncos team did not look great.
32:53But I'm not putting too much into that, just week one.
32:57Sutton did play the most snaps out of any wide receiver.
33:00I still think he's the wide receiver one, regardless of what Bryant did on the field.
33:05He looked fantastic. But Sutton's still going to get a decent amount of targets.
33:09He's still going to be the go-to guy in the red zone if they ever get there.
33:14He has over eight touchdowns per season each or on average over the last three seasons.
33:19He's a big red zone threat. He can obviously take a long bomb.
33:23Waddell's not going to eat into that wide receiver usage or that red zone usage.
33:28I know last week I liked him and it didn't hit, but I still like him again this week at plus 230.
33:35And then on the other side, Jacoby Myers, plus 320.
33:38You can find him out at the moment. And Myers obviously had a touchdown last week.
33:43The Jacksonville team just absolutely destroyed the Browns. So, I mean, the snap rate was the highest out of anyone on any of the wide receivers, 65%.
33:51But they weren't playing guys like the last eight, nine minutes of the game.
33:55They brought in all the backups. So, Myers is going to get a decent amount of play in this spot here.
34:02Washington, obviously the other main guy, but he's probably going to be matched up against PS3 for the majority of the game.
34:09So, boost to Myers there. Myers, since he's been on this team in 10 games, he's scored four touchdowns.
34:15Obviously, prior to getting traded there, no touchdowns to the Raiders.
34:18And then 2024 only had four touchdowns to the Raiders, but they were a garbage situation.
34:23We have to remember, 2023, he had 10 touchdowns.
34:26He's a great threat in the red zone. He's a great wide receiver at getting touchdowns.
34:31And since he's been on the Jags, he's shown it there.
34:34So, getting him at plus 320 and a spot where more volume is likely to go to him because of the matchup
34:41for Parker Washington just seems like it's a little bit too high.
34:44Yeah, you can look at the Jaguars offense and point to a direct line of before Jacoby Myers and after Jacoby Myers.
34:51And you can clearly see production on all fronts increased and as positively for the Jaguars.
34:56And so, getting him around plus 320, very good price.
34:59Sutton, you know I'm going to agree with you on that.
35:03I still think Waddle's addition, even though I think he'll be effective in this offense, I just don't really think that he's
35:09going to be the wide receiver one over Sutton at this stage of his tenure with the Broncos.
35:15So, yeah, I love both of these picks. Courtland Sutton and Jacoby Myers for the Jaguars and Broncos game.
35:21All right, I've got Commanders-Cowboys. I promise I did not pick this one.
35:25I was assigned this one. But on the Commanders side, I'm going Terry McLaurin.
35:29You picked him last week, Grant, in this spot.
35:32And he got completely blanketed by Quinone Mitchell last week.
35:35Had like two targets total. But for me now, you're facing the Cowboys.
35:39And I think it's safe to say the Cowboys have no one in their secondary that is on that level of Quinone
35:46Mitchell and playing that kind of defense. So, with Terry, I mean, he played the most snaps.
35:51He ran the most routes. Just didn't see many targets in week one.
35:55But, I mean, this Cowboys pass defense, we just watched the Giants just completely dice them.
36:00It's a bit of a joke overall considering how much was hyped in the offseason about their improvements and the spend and
36:07what all the different ways that they were going to improve.
36:10And then week one, just a complete dud. I do think the defense will improve in week two.
36:16But, again, the Giants did whatever they wanted. I think the Commanders will be able to do almost anything they want against this defense.
36:23So, if you're going to give me a wide receiver one against this Cowboys defense at plus 200 or better, I'm going to bet that almost every time.
36:32On the Cowboys side, a guy that I'm starting to get a little more into, especially last year after he scored four touchdowns for them, Ryan Flunoy.
36:40He scored four touchdowns last year for this Cowboys team.
36:43And that was in a bit of a lesser role because he was playing behind Jalen Talbert.
36:48Even Kevante Turpin was kind of getting more snaps than him last year.
36:52But now, he's now elevated into that wide receiver three role on this team.
36:56He played 71% of snaps in week one. He ran just as many routes as tight end one Jake Ferguson.
37:03So, with the Commanders, which is different this year under Dan Quinn, they went completely zoned against the Eagles with the third
37:09highest rate of too high safety in week one.
37:12And if they go that route again in week two, I think that's super good for Flunoy because he is in his
37:19career historically has seen that uptick in targets when facing zone and too high coverages.
37:24So, I think the Commanders, defensively, they're going to be focused very heavily on stopping CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens.
37:30So, I think that will open up Flower to get his first touchdown of the year.
37:35You can get that around plus 350 right now for Ryan Flunoy.
37:38Okay, next game. We are on now to Dolphins 49ers.
37:41And Kerner, you got that one. What do you like in that game?
37:45Yeah, so for the Dolphin side, I do like Caleb Douglas here at plus 500.
37:50Looked great in his debut. Five catches, 94 yards.
37:53Had a solid, you know, 81% routes run rate, 20% target rate, and he's getting downfield targets.
37:58He had an A dot of 16.3 yards downfield.
38:01Loved watching his film, you know, after they drafted him, where he kind of reminded me of Robbie Anderson, you know, back
38:08when he was good on the Jets. Chosen. Not Robbie Chosen.
38:11Not Robbie Chosen that was on, like, 10 different teams the past few seasons.
38:15But Robbie Anderson on the Jets, where he's going to be kind of sneaky.
38:20He's like a good big play threat kind of guy.
38:23And, you know, this is not a passing offense I really want to invest in.
38:27But when Malik Willis has been throwing, it's usually downfield.
38:30He's just throwing bombs. So, I think that does kind of jive with what Douglas' skill set is.
38:36So, even though he didn't find the end zone in week one, I think if Willis does throw a touchdown, it's more likely to go to Douglas specifically.
38:45So, I like, you know, buying into that at plus 500 here.
38:48And, you know, for the 49ers side, I love Debo Samuel at plus 215.
38:53Nice. Because, you know, the Niners are huge favorites here.
38:56Should be a more run-heavy conservative game plan. I think that does help Debo.
39:00You know, he's going to get plenty of targets underneath.
39:03He could take those into the house. He's even probably going to get a couple design rush plays.
39:09And with, you know, Scribbling out, Tongas is out.
39:11George Kittle's still going to get ease back in.
39:14I don't think they're going to unleash him just because Tongas is out.
39:18They're playing the Dolphins. You know, they're jet lag.
39:21So, I think this could be a good Debo game.
39:24And he's even returning kickoffs. So, one more path for him to potentially score here.
39:29So, I just love the price for getting it.
39:31Plus 215. Yeah, the price on Debo is the one that kind of makes me confused.
39:36Because it wasn't that long ago. I mean, I know he's obviously a little bit older now.
39:42But even just two years ago in this offense, when everybody is healthy like the way it is, you would never see
39:48odds over plus 200 for Debo to score a touchdown.
39:51So, the fact that you're getting a plus 215, great find by you.
39:55And then Caleb Douglas, when I did my research on the Dolphins, I actually was surprised.
40:00He's the tallest wide receiver they have. He's 6'4".
40:03I think he could body some guys in the end zone, especially against that 49ers secondary, which is a little bit weaker
40:10comparatively to, you know, over the middle or their line.
40:13So, Caleb Douglas at 5-1. Great find by you.
40:16And then Debo over plus 200. Again, great pick there for Niners Dolphins.
40:20All right, Grant, you are up. And now you've got your team, Seahawks.
40:24Seahawks Cardinals. Who do you like in this one to score?
40:27Yeah, starting out with the Cardinals side after they upset the Chargers who looked terrible last week.
40:32But we won't get into that. McBride, plus 245.
40:35Way too high of odds here. Way too high.
40:38Dude had 11 touchdowns last year. Had one last week.
40:41Got 13 targets. He's clearly the focal point of this offense.
40:44The Cardinals have shown in week one that they're fine with just throwing the ball a ton again.
40:50Again, McBride is way too good of a tight end to be priced this high.
40:55And the Seahawks, I know they're a great defense.
40:57I know they crushed the Rams offense in week one.
41:00And they are going to be very good again this week and probably the rest of the season.
41:06But they were weakest versus tight ends last season.
41:09So, getting McBride at plus 240, plus 230. Had to hit all the way down under plus 200 in this spot.
41:15It's just way too high of odds given that he's going to get huge volume.
41:20He's great in the red zone. And it's just an actual positive matchup overall for tight ends, although it's a negative one overall for the offense.
41:28Then on the other side, JSN, plus 135. Why are we getting it at plus odds?
41:33I don't know. Like, I get that Drew Locke is going to be throwing in the ball.
41:38I get Drew Locke's a pretty decent downgrade from Sam Darnold.
41:41But he is going to throw the ball to JSN a ton, just like they did with Darnold in the offense last year.
41:48In this first game, 11 targets for JSN. He had over a 40% target share in this offense.
41:5424 total passes and 11 targets for JSN. They are going to just hammer the ball to him.
42:00The Cardinals defense, not that great. So JSN, this should be not plus odds.
42:04And we're getting plus 135. Just absolutely silly. Well, JSN, even after Darnold goes out, he still sees like a 40% target share.
42:11Even though the Patriots, they know the ball is coming to him.
42:15And you know that Drew Locke is probably going to stare him down a lot and get him the ball.
42:21So love that. And then you're getting the best tight end in the NFL at plus 245 to score a touchdown.
42:27I mean, that to me is just silly. I mean, he made the Chargers look silly last week.
42:33So he was pretty good against them last year, scored a touchdown.
42:36So ever since Jacoby Brissett took over at quarterback, it's just been the Trey McBride show.
42:41You know he's going to get spanned with like at least 10 plus targets.
42:46All right. Now we are done the Sunday afternoon slate.
42:49Let's now look at the primetime games. Instead of assigning each a game to us, I think we should just do a parlay for each one of those.
42:57We'll each give a touchdown pick for each primetime game here.
43:01So let's start with Sunday Night Football. Colts versus Chiefs.
43:04I'm going to start with Rasheed Rice. Scored a touchdown against the Broncos.
43:08I feel like the Chiefs offense didn't even really hit their stride of what they wanted to do.
43:13And they still put up 30 plus points on that team.
43:17I think they could score a lot against the Colts.
43:20They'll move Rasheed Rice around to get him away from Sauce Gardner as well.
43:24So that's who I like to score a touchdown.
43:27Colts, Chiefs. Grant, who do you like to score a touchdown in this game?
43:31I'm going with Keenan Allen. Good old man, Keenan Allen.
43:34Played a decent amount. We didn't really know what it was going to be like.
43:39Obviously, I got signed a month ago. There was injuries with Pierce.
43:43Like all sorts of things that just threw a bit of an unknown into who's going to play how many snaps in this offense.
43:50And pretty clearly, they're ready to give Keenan Allen a pretty decent role.
43:54He had six targets last week. Played 67% of snaps.
43:57Had a target in the red zone. And historically, he's been a guy that you get close.
44:02Obviously, they want to run with Jonathan Taylor. But realistically, he is going to get some usage in this offense.
44:09He's going to get some snaps. He's still an incredible route runner, even in his old age.
44:14And he's reliable in the red zone. So getting him at this high of odds, true odds should be around plus 350.
44:21Rashid Rice, Keenan Allen, Kerner, who do you like to round out this parlay?
44:25Stick with my guy, Tyler Warren here at plus 250.
44:28You know, somehow he was able to score last week, despite Daniel Jones is looking awful.
44:33And, you know, I expect Spags will probably have a solid game plan this week that will make Dale Jones look bad again this week.
44:41But even Bo Nix had an awful game against the Chiefs on my football.
44:45And Evan Ingram still managed to go off for four catches, 43 yards and a touchdown.
44:50So maybe, you know, the tight end is the way to kind of attack this defense.
44:55So, you know, not thrilled about how the Colts offense looked.
44:58But if I have to go with somebody, it's going to be with Warren here at plus 250.
45:04Beautiful. Okay. So when you put those three guys together, Rashid Rice, Keenan Allen, and Tyler Warren, that parlay for Sunday Night Football between Colts and Chiefs, 39-1.
45:12I like that one. That one's pretty good. Okay.
45:15Monday Night Football. Let's move to that one. Giants, Rams.
45:18I'll start off again. He didn't score in week one because the Rams overall just looked like dog turds.
45:24I'm going to take Devontae Adams to score a touchdown.
45:27I still think the Giants secondary is one of their weaker points of their defense.
45:32And I think the Rams, they're just too good to be shut out like that again on offense.
45:37So I'm going to take Devontae Adams to score a touchdown.
45:41Grant, who do you like to score a touchdown for Giants-Rams?
45:44I'm going with Darnell Mooney. You can find him around plus 900, plus 700.
45:48I can't remember. Odds move with time. But he played 57% of snaps last week, which is actually more than Malik Nabors.
45:55Had two targets. He's two years removed from a five-touchdown season with the Falcons.
45:59He's good. He's still a decent wide receiver. And getting him at these high of odds, the Giants offense, obviously, they want
46:06to run the ball a decent amount. But most likely, the Rams are going to put up more points than the Cowboys did.
46:13They're probably going to be forced to throw the ball a bit more in this spot.
46:18Obviously, it's a tougher matchup for neighbors going up against McDuffie here.
46:22So Mooney should get a little bit more volume.
46:25He can always break one for 50 yards for a touchdown here.
46:28So getting him at these high of odds seems a bit too high.
46:32Plus, you stole the guy I wanted to bet on, and that's Adams.
46:36Well, I still like the Mooney pick. I mean, a 9-1, I feel like he's still a pretty effective wide receiver.
46:43He just hasn't played with decent quarterbacks, really, in his career.
46:46Sean, round us out here. Who do you like to score in Giants-Ramps?
46:50I'm going to go with Isaiah Likely at plus 270.
46:53I know you were on him against your Cowboys, Jill, so that was a nice cash last week.
46:59But similar to Juwan Johnson, I thought that he would have a ton of upside early in the season while Neighbors is coming back from this ACL recovery.
47:07He was kind of limited in week one, so Likely stepped up with the big two-touchdown game.
47:13But Likely has always been super talented. He was just stuck behind Mark Andrews.
47:17And now that he's the guy on the Giants, I think we still have a window here to invest in his upside.
47:24So like him here at plus 270. All right, so if you pair Devontae Adams with Isaiah Likely and Darnell Mooney for
47:31Monday Night Football, that parlay comes out to boys 75-1.
47:34Doesn't feel unrealistic at all. I love these odds here at 75-1 for Monday Night Football.
47:39All right, guys, before we get out of here, we're going to give our favorite touchdown score parlay for the week presented by DraftKings.
47:46It could be from any game, and we're going to parlay them together over on DraftKings.
47:51Kerner, you are up first. What is your favorite touchdown score for week two?
47:55I love Debo Samuel at plus 215, so I have to go with him.
47:59Just, you know, the Niners are huge favorites here.
48:02I think that sets up perfectly for him. You know, more passes underneath, more design runs for him.
48:08And he looked great. He got targeted on 44% of his routes in week one.
48:12You know, Stribling's out. Kittle's still getting eased back.
48:15So just love Debo's upside here at plus 215.
48:18Grant, who do you like? I'm going with Jetta, Justin Jefferson.
48:21Again, I don't know why he's priced aside. I don't know.
48:25I mean, I know that Wentz is not great, but he's going to lock in on Jefferson.
48:30He has every single game they've ever played together.
48:33He should get around 10 targets. He's going up against a defense that just got crushed by Bryce Young last week.
48:39So Jetta at plus 160 or so is way too high.
48:43Yeah, and I'm going to take Trey McBride. I'm sorry, Grant.
48:46I got to hijack your pick here because this guy is just the, that's my flag plant guy.
48:52That's the one who I still think anytime you can get his odds over plus 200, you need to bet that because
48:58even in week one against the Chargers, four red zone targets, two inside the 10-yard line.
49:03You know that he's going to get spammed with 10 plus targets with Jacoby Brissette at quarterback and the Seahawks defense.
49:10While they are fairly strong, you mentioned it over the middle and against tight ends.
49:14It's kind of when a little bit of a weakness on that front.
49:18So Debo Samuel, Justin Jefferson, Trey McBride. If you parlay those three right now at DraftKings, you can get at plus 2350 to cash that parlay.
49:26So those are our favorite touchdown scores for week two presented by DraftKings.
49:30You'll absolutely want to tail these over on DraftKings because all customers get a profit boost every game day in September.
49:37Download the DraftKings sports app. Use promo code ACTIONNETWORK.
49:40When you sign up, DraftKings, the crown is yours.
49:42All right. That'll do it for us here on the touchdown show for week two presented by DraftKings.
49:48My thanks to Sean Kerner and Grant Neifer for joining me.
49:51Great picks as always, guys. Now, don't forget, Ben Sink is back in the Action app.
49:56Go check that out and also take your game to the next level.
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50:11So make sure to subscribe to the podcast as well so you never miss a show.
50:16And thank you for tuning in. We'll see you next week.
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52:18On Lingo Kids? Yes, Dad, on Lingo Kids. That's pretty cool.
52:21I know. You just lost them for the rest of the afternoon.
52:25Worth it. Full of fun activities inspired by Disney's Moana, Frozen, Zootopia, Marvel's Spider-Man, and more, Lingo Kids is where little ones discover more about favorite characters.
52:33Lingo Kids! Everything kids love. Download it for free.