Week 6 Waivers + #AndysHole - Fantasy Football Podcast for 10/13

There is hope he practices this week per Mike Rabel; the source believes AJ Brown will be a league winner in the fantasy playoffs, though there may be a slow start upon return; Drake Maye has looked much improved and still needs a weapon like AJ Brown.

Rookie for Washington was disappointing; faces the Niners (best team in NFL) next before a bye week, making him a difficult pickup despite the source's acknowledgment that chasing him is still an option.

Caught on camera tapping and pointing to the sideline before the game-losing turnover, signaling he did not want to be substituted out; the source notes this is brutal team awareness and suggests potential role or usage concerns.

Next man up in the 49ers receiver room with Debo Samuel sidelined; had one catch for a touchdown in recent action.

Jacksonville tight end being involved more and more with double-digit targets in recent weeks; had 7 catches for 68 yards with one tackle near the goal line and two touchdowns, demonstrating the upside potential that made Jeremy Bernard attractive; low cost to acquire on waivers.

Tennessee quarterback whose performance impacts Darren Waller's fantasy outlook; if Bryce Young continues to perform well, Waller could be a solid tight end option.

The source speaker owns Bucky Irving and considers him a solid roster piece, using him as a reference point when evaluating other running back waiver options like Kenny Gainwell and Sean Tucker as potential handcuff insurance.

There is talk of Caleb playing in Week 6 against the Falcons; status unclear but being discussed as a possibility.

Lamb is dealing with a quad injury that was initially reported as nothing to worry about at the time of the game, but no recent updates have been provided. The uncertainty around his status makes him a concern for fantasy purposes.

Christian Watson is receiving deep downfield passes from Jordan Love in the Packers' efficient offense; the source highlights Love's ability to connect with Watson on bombs downfield as part of the reason the Packers offense was clicking well.

Dalton Kincaid, despite running 82% of routes for the Bills tight end position, finished with only 1 catch for 7 yards in Week 6, a dramatic decline from his weeks 1-2 production; the source sarcastically notes 'Bet you wish you started Kyle Pitts this week, Mike,' highlighting the disappointment.

Darius Cooper went 2 for 71 yards with a touchdown this past week, giving him seven catches on the season with four touchdowns total. The source notes this is unsustainable projection—seven catches on the year is tough—and expects Cooper to lose snaps when Devontae Smith returns, despite leading the team in snaps at 90% and 85% the last two weeks without Smith.

Tennessee tight end now past his bye week; has been used around the goal line with a couple of big performances; if Bryce Young continues to perform well, Waller could be a solid option; no longer dealing with bye-week concerns going forward.

Adams is unstoppable around the goal line and is schemed up in the McVay combo with high-point ball ability. He had two touchdowns last night in a good game, though he only had seven targets (not 24). Adams' role in the red zone and with Puka drawing volume makes him a consistent scoring threat.

Week to week with a groin injury; the Texans' acquisition of Marvin Harrison Jr. and the team's pass-first offensive approach will make the backfield tough for Montgomery going forward.

David Montgomery's role could potentially be threatened by Woody Marks if Marks performs well with his opportunity, though the source does not expect this to happen; Montgomery remains the primary back for the Dolphins.

Will miss at least a couple of weeks with a hamstring injury; creates opportunity for other 49ers receivers.

The source is not chasing this player on waivers; deprioritized in favor of other options.

Devontae Smith is returning, which will impact snap distribution for other Eagles receivers like Darius Cooper, who has been leading the team in snaps (90% and 85% the last two weeks) in Smith's absence.

When Devontae Smith returns from injury, Cooper (Dontavian Wicks) will lose snaps. Smith's return will impact the snap distribution, with Wicks expected to see reduced playing time despite his recent success.

DK Metcalf is described as "just a wet fart of a wide receiver anymore," indicating severe disappointment with his recent production. While the process suggests starting him, the source expresses strong emotional resistance to watching him play, suggesting his fantasy value has deteriorated significantly.

Has looked much improved and back to being what was hoped; still needs a weapon like AJ Brown to maximize potential; the source believes he will be strong come the end of the year.

Germie Bernard (spelled G-E-R-M-I-E), a second-round rookie for the Pittsburgh Steelers, is the source's number one waiver pickup heading into Week 6. He has shown flashes with eight targets in Week 2 (4 for 35 yards) and nine targets in Week 5 (6 for 80 yards); with Michael Pittman on IR and Roman Wilson injured, Bernard is receiving increased opportunity. A team quote noted that "football just comes easy for him." The source expects him to be highly contested on waivers and notes he plays the entire field and appears very reliable, though potentially a good NFL receiver rather than a fantasy star.

If Jameis plays a whole game, he will end up with so many counting stats; he's going to throw for 300 yards and might throw for three touchdowns. This is a great matchup against the Saints, and their pace of play makes this a target game. The source identifies him as the number one waiver wire pickup overall by a mile for the week.

James Cook was outrushed by Josh Allen in Week 6; the source describes the Bills' offense as 'Josh Allen and James Cook running,' but Allen's 121 rushing yards dominated the backfield touches, suggesting Cook's usage was limited despite the game script.

James Cook fumbled twice last night and has a fumbling problem with 11 fumbles on the season. The source notes that Cook and Scadaraboo were positioned to lose their team the game before being bailed out, indicating fumble concerns are a real issue for his fantasy value.

Joe Burrow and the Bengals are on bye this week, making him unavailable for fantasy lineups.

After heating up last week, Jordan Love faces the Dallas Cowboys, whose defense is 31st in EPA per dropback and 32nd in dropback success rate. Over the next three weeks, Love plays the 26th worst defense for fantasy quarterbacks, the 31st worst defense, and the 27th worst defense for fantasy purposes. He's available in about 40% of leagues and is positioned for a strong stretch.

Tyson won't practice this week and remains rostered in approximately 65% of leagues, likely on IR spots. The source expresses skepticism about his fantasy viability, noting he could become a roster clog. Tyson was drafted 8th overall as a top-10 wide receiver pick but has dealt with recurring hamstring injuries; he re-aggravated his hamstring after showing highlight-reel production early in his healthy stretch with the Saints.

Despite injury concerns, Tyson offers significant upside if he returns healthy. As the 8th overall pick and a top-10 wide receiver prospect, there is a realistic path where he and Olave dominate the Saints' fast-paced offense, potentially becoming a top-15 wide receiver. Additionally, if Valle or Olave suffer injury, Tyson has the pedigree and draft capital to step in and dominate—an opportunity most waiver-wire players lack.

Josh Allen dominated the Bills' offense in Week 6 against the Rams with 121 rushing yards and 12 completed passes; the source notes the offense was essentially 'Josh Allen and James Cook running,' indicating Allen's rushing volume was the primary offensive weapon despite the high-scoring game environment.

Out-targeted Keenan Allen in recent action, which is notable given Allen's typical target volume; Downs had nine targets in his last game before going down to Andrew.

Josh Downs was out-targeted by Keenan Allen in Allen's return game, with Allen drawing nine targets compared to Downs' lower target share. This suggests Allen's return has impacted Downs' target volume.

Keenan Allen drew nine targets in his return game last week, out-targeting Josh Downs. He also had nine targets in his last game before going down, suggesting consistent target volume. While nine targets doesn't guarantee 115 yards, it demonstrates strong usage and opportunity.

Was out-targeted by Josh Downs in recent action; had nine targets in his last game before going down to Andrew, establishing a baseline for target volume expectations.

The source calls Kendrick Bourne a huge pickup, highlighting his eight targets in the past week and productive games in the absence of Marvin Harrison. Arizona passes frequently due to having no running game and faces high over-unders every week with an abysmal defense, making Bourne an attractive wide receiver target.

Kenny Gainwell has been a significant disappointment in 2024, posting 2.6 yards per carry on the year with only 11 catches in five games; his performance is drastically different from his 2023 form, and he ranks RB48 despite being rostered on some teams. The source notes he's been the least efficient runner imaginable and has produced only 2, 3, 2, 9, 7, and 4 points across his games.

Philadelphia running back example of Aaron Rodgers' camp trust translating to on-field production; Rodgers trusted Gainwell last year and threw to him frequently, establishing a precedent for how Rodgers' camp endorsements can predict usage.

Khalil Shakir received only 3 targets in Week 6 against the Rams, indicating minimal receiving role in the Bills' run-heavy offense dominated by Josh Allen's rushing.

Khalil Shakir had an overtime play that brought him down to the 20-yard line, indicating some involvement in the Bills offense, though he was noted as the only productive wide receiver for Buffalo in a game where the team struggled at the position.

Kyle Pitts is referenced sarcastically by the source as an alternative to Dalton Kincaid in Week 6; the implication is that Pitts would have scored more than Kincaid's 1 catch for 7 yards, though no specific Pitts stat is provided.

Lloyd scored two touchdowns in Week 6 despite modest efficiency (10 for 31 on the date), benefiting from an efficient Packers offense with Jordan Love connecting downfield to Christian Watson; the source notes this was not a sudden breakout but rather a beneficiary performance, though he showed physicality by putting his shoulder down and breaking through a defender.

Lloyd faces Dallas this week, a favorable matchup; the source prefers starting Lloyd against the Cowboys over Woody Marks against Jacksonville longer term, suggesting Dallas presents a better opportunity for production.

Stafford is a must start this week against Arizona with an implied point total of 33. He's averaging 48 pass attempts per game, which is exceptional volume. The source highlights him as a final consideration for teams looking to start him over someone else. His playoff schedule includes Arizona, Raiders, Chargers, Washington, Arizona, Green Bay (post-bye), Kansas City, and San Francisco in week 14, with Seattle in the middle of the playoffs.

Falcons are optimistic he will be able to play in Week 6 against the Bears; potential return is positive for Atlanta's passing game.

Michael Pittman Jr. is on injured reserve, which has opened up target opportunity for Germie Bernard and other Steelers receivers.

Aaron Rodgers talked down Michael Pittman at camp, contrasting his negative assessment with his positive endorsements of Pat Freiermuth and Roman Wilson.

Ollie Gordon and the Dolphins are on bye this week, making him unavailable for fantasy lineups.

Green Bay tight end with Aaron Rodgers' trust and support; Rodgers talked up Freiermuth at camp as much as he talked down Michael Pittman, specifically praising how good Freiermuth and Roman Wilson were; Rodgers has a history of trusting camp standouts (e.g., Kenny Gainwell last year), suggesting Freiermuth could see significant volume; low cost to acquire on waivers.

Puka Nakua received 24 targets in Week 6 against the Bills, the source notes this was 'could not be more imbalanced' relative to the rest of the Rams offense, highlighting his extreme target concentration and role as the primary receiving weapon.

Puka had 24 targets in the game, matching Justin Herbert's pass attempts. This exceptional target volume (more targets than Josh Allen threw in his game) demonstrates Puka's central role in the Rams offense and his value as a high-volume receiver.

Hurt; contributes to the Broncos backfield being depleted alongside Judkins.

Injured; contributes to Browns backfield depletion alongside Jaylen Judkins ankle injury.

Becomes hyper relevant again after a decent week with Travion Henderson sidelined by high ankle sprain; positioned to see increased backfield touches.

Roman Wilson is injured, reducing target competition for other Steelers receivers like Germie Bernard.

Green Bay wide receiver received Aaron Rodgers' positive camp endorsement alongside Pat Freiermuth; Rodgers specifically praised how good Roman Wilson was at camp.

Sean Tucker is mentioned as a potential handcuff/insurance option for Bucky Irving owners, suggesting he could be a viable backup running back to target on waivers if seeking to protect against Irving's injury risk.

The source is done chasing this player; no longer a waiver priority.

Ty Johnson led the Bills' receiving targets outside of the game's extreme imbalance with 4 targets in Week 6, indicating he was the secondary receiving option behind the Josh Allen rushing attack and well behind the Rams' Puka Nakua.

Has been the better running back over the course of the year; with Montgomery sidelined, Marks is positioned to get everything in the backfield, and if he has a couple of good games, the backfield can flip in his favor.

Marks is taking over the running back role for a while following an injury to another back; the source notes he is probably the better player than Lloyd but his opportunity might be temporary, and there is a world where he could usurp David Montgomery if he performs well, though the source does not think that will happen.

Marks faces Jacksonville this week, a tough matchup; the source also notes he has a bye week coming up after this game, making him a less attractive long-term pickup despite the temporary opportunity.