The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast artwork

1120: Bold Predictions

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.

24 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Sep 1, 2026
Published
Tue, September 1, 2026
21
Player insights
18
Players mentioned
Topics
Jordan LoveTrey McBrideTucker KraftChase BrownDalton KincaidJake FergusonJared GoffJaylen WaddleJoe BurrowJonathan TaylorJordan MasonKenneth Walker IIILuther BurdenMalik Willis
Player analysis

Player insights

21

Chase Brown

PositiveProjection5:35

Zachariason predicts Brown will outscore Jonathan Taylor. Brown averaged 21 PPR points per game with Joe Burrow last year and has established himself as one of the best pass-catching backs in the league.

Insight page

Dalton Kincaid

PositiveProjection26:57

Zachariason predicts Kincaid will finish as a top-5 tight end. Kincaid's 2025 efficiency was elite, with the best PPR points per route run among tight ends with 200+ routes. His low ranking in route share was due to injury, and a healthy season should lead to a breakout.

Insight page

Jake Ferguson

NegativeBust12:25

Zachariason warns that Jake Ferguson's fantasy upside is capped when CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens are both on the field. In those scenarios, his yards per route run (1.06) and targets per route run (19.4%) were inefficient, ranking outside the top 40 at the position.

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Jared Goff

PositiveProjection28:49

Zachariason predicts Goff could outscore Joe Burrow. Goff ranks first in EPA per dropback over the last two years and benefits from a favorable schedule and a high-powered Lions offense.

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Jaylen Waddle

PositiveProjection23:26

Zachariason predicts Waddle will finish as a top-8 wide receiver. Waddle has historically been elite in yards per route run when Tyreek Hill is off the field. Moving to a Denver offense that ranks in the top half of the league in EPA per play and pass rate should provide a significant boost to his production.

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Joe Burrow

NegativeProjection28:49

Zachariason notes that while Burrow could win MVP, his fantasy value is declining because he is running less. His design rushes have dropped, impacting his fantasy points per dropback, which have fallen from .53 in 2021 to .47 recently.

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Jonathan Taylor

NegativeBust5:35

Zachariason suggests Taylor is a bust candidate relative to his first-round ADP because his production is highly dependent on positive game scripts. Taylor averaged 11 more points per game in wins than in losses over the last three years, and the Colts' offense faces uncertainty with a 7.5 win total and a quarterback returning from an Achilles injury.

Insight page

Jordan Love

PositiveUsage21:49

JJ Zachariason expects the Packers to be more pass-heavy this season, which serves as a positive indicator for Jordan Love's overall fantasy outlook.

Insight page
PositiveProjection28:49

Zachariason predicts Love could outscore Joe Burrow. Love has been the sixth-best quarterback by EPA per dropback over the last two years and could benefit from a more pass-heavy approach if the Packers' defense struggles.

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Jordan Mason

PositiveProjection20:03

Zachariason predicts Mason will outscore Tony Pollard. Mason ranked third in the NFL in explosive run rate last year and had an adjusted yards after contact per attempt 0.7 yards higher than Aaron Jones. He is viewed as a better value than Pollard, who faces a potential backfield split and poor offensive line projections.

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Kenneth Walker III

PositiveProjection5:35

Zachariason predicts Walker will outscore Jonathan Taylor. Walker is moving to a Chiefs team that faced the fewest stacked boxes in the league last year and maintained a top-10 success rate. A slight increase in receiving usage could lead to a massive fantasy ceiling.

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Luther Burden

PositiveBreakout9:07

Zachariason predicts Burden will become a top-10 dynasty wide receiver by season's end. Burden fits the 'PPR scammer' profile with elite yards after catch and broken tackle rates. He finished the 2025 season with the third-highest yards per route run rate for a rookie since 2011 (min 100 routes).

Insight page

Malik Willis

PositiveProjection16:59

Zachariason predicts Willis will finish as a top-12 quarterback. Willis averaged 11.8 points per game via rushing in his three Green Bay starts. Historically, quarterbacks who average at least 7 points per game via rushing and throw 300+ passes frequently finish as top-10 fantasy options.

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Stefon Diggs

PositiveProjection3:33

Zachariason predicts Diggs will finish as a top-24 wide receiver. Despite being drafted well outside the top 24, Diggs ranked 10th in yards per route run last year with a 90th-percentile targets per route run rate. He is expected to play underneath in the Washington offense, funneling targets alongside McLaurin.

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Terrance Ferguson

PositiveSleeper12:25

Zachariason predicts Terrence Ferguson will outperform Jake Ferguson. Terrence is currently TE24 but offers upside as a second-year player in an offense that uses heavy personnel. He led Rams tight ends in slot rate and had an average depth of target six yards higher than any other tight end in the league.

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Terry McLaurin

PositiveProjection3:33

Zachariason predicts McLaurin will finish as a top-24 wide receiver despite his current ADP outside the top 24. The reasoning is that teammate pairings finishing as WR2s is common, and McLaurin is coming off the best per-route run numbers of his career, with the Washington offense lacking other pass-catching firepower.

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Tony Pollard

NegativeBust20:03

Zachariason expresses concern about Pollard's pass-catching profile, noting he has posted sub-0.8 yards per route run rates in three straight seasons. Additionally, the Titans' offensive line is projected to be among the league's worst, and competition from Tajay Spears could limit Pollard's snap and route share.

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Trey McBride

NegativeProjection21:30

JJ Zachariason notes that Trey McBride's production over the last two seasons has been nearly identical to Tucker Kraft's, using McBride as a benchmark for Kraft's potential upside.

Insight page
NegativeBust32:33

Zachariason suggests McBride is a regression candidate. His 2025 production was heavily inflated by leading all tight ends in routes run by 120 and a high touchdown rate (18 end zone targets). His efficiency also dropped when Marvin Harrison Jr. was on the field.

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Tucker Kraft

PositiveBreakout21:30

JJ Zachariason highlights that Tucker Kraft was technically outscoring Trey McBride in PPR points per game through the first eight weeks of last season before his injury. Zachariason projects a potential breakout for Kraft, citing a shallower Packers wide receiver room and an expected increase in pass-heavy volume for the team.

Insight page
PositiveProjection32:33

Zachariason predicts Kraft will outscore Trey McBride after September. Kraft's PPR points per route run (.59) was superior to McBride's last year, and he is expected to be featured more in a shallow Packers wide receiver room.

Insight page
Full transcript

Episode Transcript

258
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0:39That's LifeLock.com, code FOOTBALL. This is the Late Round Podcast with your host, JJ Zacharyarysen.
0:44JJ Zacharyarysen. What's up, everyone? It's J.J. Zacharysen. And in this episode 1120 of the Late Round Fantasy Football Podcast, thanks for tuning in.
0:52Bold prediction pieces are really popular. People love consuming them.
0:55Because it allows us, especially an analyst like myself, to really stop thinking in range of outcomes.
1:01I can just think about a single outcome. The problem I've always had with bold predictions content, though, is that they're often not totally based in reality.
1:10So with this episode each year and with the newsletter that I send out, I attempt to explain the why.
1:17I genuinely think that all the predictions that I talk about are very possible.
1:22Maybe that means some of them aren't quite as hot takey as you'll see elsewhere.
1:27But I do think just because it's bold predictions content doesn't mean that we can't learn something.
1:33So on today's show, I'm bringing you 10 bold predictions for this upcoming fantasy football season.
1:38Realistic bold predictions. Bold predictions that I genuinely think could come true.
1:42Of course, only some of them are going to hit.
1:46I'm usually happy if like 5 or 6 of them do.
1:49But that doesn't mean that they aren't possible. No, I've got 5 additional predictions that I'm sending out in the Late Round newsletter on Wednesday.
1:58So make sure you subscribe there. You can head to lateroound.com, click newsletter, and subscribe for absolutely free.
2:04There's also the Late Round draft guide that you can check out while you're there.
2:09But without further ado, let's get the bold prediction number 1.
2:13Terry McLaurin and Stefan Diggs will both finish as top 24 wide receivers.
2:17This one's bold because according to Fantasy Pro's consensus average draft position, neither player is being drafted inside the top 24 at the position.
2:25And Stefan Diggs is well outside the top 24.
2:28These guys are also teammates and that could limit their individual ceilings.
2:32But here's why this could happen. Teammates finishing together as wide receiver twos in Fantasy, it's not as uncommon as you might think.
2:40Since 2011, we've averaged about 4.5 teammate pairings finishing in the top 24 together per year.
2:45And this year, one of them could be Washington.
2:48Obviously, we like Dallas, we like Cincinnati, but why not Washington?
2:52I'm just not convinced that these two older wide receivers are cooked.
2:56Terry McLaurin is coming off a season where he posted the best per route run numbers of his entire career.
3:03Stefan Diggs last year, he ranked 10th in yards per outrun, and his targets per outrun rate ranked in the 90th percentile.
3:10Look, I really do like Antonio Williams, and I'm excited for what he might be able to do in the NFL.
3:18But overall, this Washington offense lacks pass-catching firepower. And with McLaurin stretching the field, Stefan Diggs playing more underneath, a high percentage
3:25of the team's targets could just be funneled to these two wide receivers.
3:29And if this David Blau offense is better than advertised, this prediction can definitely come true.
3:35Both Kenneth Walker and Chase Brown will outscore Jonathan Taylor.
3:38This one's bold because Taylor's locked in as a first-round pick.
3:42Walker and Brown, they're more second-rounders. Here's why this can happen, though.
3:46The Colts were so good to start last season.
3:49They were first in the NFL in points per drive, first in drives, ending in touchdowns, and first by a wide margin
3:56in percentage of touchdowns that came via the ground through week 10.
4:01It was the perfect storm for Jonathan Taylor. Through 10 weeks, the Colts had run just 11% of their offensive plays while trailing by 7 or more points.
4:10That was the second lowest rate in the league.
4:13That's just tough production to bank on year over year.
4:16And Jonathan Taylor, he needs those positive scripts to really hit a massive ceiling.
4:21That's what we've seen historically. I talked about this on the Late Round Podcast with Rich Rebar not long ago, but Taylor's
4:29had some of the most extreme win-loss splits of any running back in fantasy football.
4:34Even last year, during those first 10 games, he averaged 31.5 PPR points per game in wins.
4:39That fell to just over 11 points per game and their two losses.
4:44Over the last three years, Taylor's averaged 13.7 PPR points per game in losses.
4:49He's averaged 11 more points per game in wins.
4:52So what I'm basically saying here is that Taylor's profile is a little bit more fragile than the market's making it seem.
4:59Indianapolis' current win total is 7.5. Their top wide receiver has not been healthy and their quarterback is coming off an Achilles injury.
5:07Meanwhile, Chase Brown averaged 21 PPR points per game last year with Joe Burrow.
5:12He's been one of the best pass-catching backs in football over the last couple of years.
5:17Kenneth Walker is moving to a Chiefs team that faced the fewest stacked boxes in football a year ago.
5:23And even with Kareem Hunt and Isaiah Pacheco, they were top 10 in success rate.
5:28Just a slight bump in receiving usage for Kenneth Walker could take him to the moon in fantasy football.
5:35All three of these backs should be drafted high.
5:38But if the Colts take a step back offensively this year, it's not that crazy to think that both Chase Brown and Kenneth Walker could outscore Jonathan Taylor.
5:47Luther Burden will be a top 10 dynasty wide receiver by the end of the season.
5:53This one's bold. It's obviously more of a dynasty take, but it's bold because Burden's ADP on keep trade cut is currently wide receiver 17.
6:01Here's why it could happen though. There's a very real chance, and I've thrown this take out there before, but there's a
6:09very real chance that Roma Dunze is a better traditional wide receiver than Luther Burden is.
6:14But to me, Burden really fits the PPR scammer profile.
6:18Ben Johnson knows how to scheme his guys open and get them into space.
6:22Burden's yards after the catch ability could be a cheat code for this offense.
6:27Back in college, he was well above the 80th percentile in receiving yards after the catch per reception, and he had a
6:3498th percentile broken tackles per catch rate. As a lot of you know, the ZAP model absolutely loved Luther Burden.
6:41But he did nothing as a rookie for me to think that he doesn't have a lead upside.
6:47He finished the 2025 season with the third highest yards per outrun rate of any first year wide receiver since 2011 with
6:55at least 100 or more routes run. From week 11 through 17, he ranked 10th in targets per outrun, 2nd in yards
7:02per outrun, and 5th in PPR points per outrun.
7:05Week 11 was also that inflection point for the Bears where they started giving Burden more than a 50% route share.
7:12There's certainly volatility with Luther Burden. A Dunze and Colston Loveland should command a healthy number of targets in that offense.
7:19Burden himself didn't get over a 70% route share mark in a single game last year.
7:25But if things come together and he builds off of what he did down the stretch, of course he could have a big season.
7:33And given that he's barely going to be 23 years old when the season ends, that kind of breakout could easily make
7:40him a top 10 dynasty wide receiver at the end of the season.
7:45The best tight end with the last name Ferguson will be Terrence Ferguson.
7:49This one's bold because Terrence Ferguson's mostly an afterthought in drafts though he is getting some steam, and he's currently being selected as tight end 24.
7:58Jake Ferguson is the tight end 13. Here's why this can happen though.
8:02Look, from a projections perspective, Jake Ferguson looks better than Terrence Ferguson.
8:06He's in a high powered offense, we've seen him produce before, and Ferguson was a top 12 tight end in PPR points
8:14per game last year, Jake Ferguson that is. He also wasn't nearly as good when both George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb were healthy.
8:22In fact, across 5 games where CeeDee Lamb failed to reach a 50% route share last year, Ferguson averaged 17 PPR points per game.
8:30Outside of those weeks, that number was just 9.2.
8:33Unsurprisingly, Jake Ferguson's peripherals took a huge hit last year when both Lamb and Pickens were on the field with him.
8:40His .3 PPR points per route run in that scenario ranked outside the top 40 at the tight end position.
8:47His targets per route run rate was 19.4%. That was 31st among tight ends with 200 or more routes.
8:53His yards per route run with both George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb on the field was 1.06%.
8:59That would have ranked 60th. This isn't to say that every one of Jake Ferguson's routes are going to come with both
9:06of those guys on the field, but many of them will, and that's scary for his upside.
9:12With Terrence Ferguson, we're looking at a second year tight end playing on a team that used heavy personnel to top 10 rate last year.
9:21Now with late round tight ends, we should be looking for a clear path to those guys becoming a top two target on their team.
9:29Ferguson probably won't get there with Devontae Adams and Puka Nakua.
9:33However, there's not that much depth behind them. And there are two other factors that we should be looking at.
9:39Previous season average depth of target and previous season slot rate.
9:43Ferguson essentially doubled up every other Rams tight end last year in slot rate.
9:48And his A-dot was six yards higher than any other tight end in football.
9:53The Rams moved him all over the field, and they let him get vertical.
9:57There's a world where Jake Ferguson just isn't that big of a part of the Cowboys offense.
10:03You've got Lamb healthy, Pickens back, and a rising player in Ryan Flannoy.
10:08All the while, Terrence Ferguson could carve out a sincere target share in an offense that desperately needs someone to step up.
10:15So this bold prediction, it's not as crazy as it sounds.
10:19Malik Willis will finish as a top 12 quarterback.
10:22This one's bold because Willis' ADP, it's past QB 20 on most platforms.
10:26But this can happen, because we know that rushing is a cheat code at quarterback in fantasy football.
10:32In his three starts with Green Bay, Willis averaged 11.8 points per game via rushing alone.
10:38Now that's probably not sustainable, but it's not like it was Jared Goff doing that.
10:43Willis was a prolific runner in college. He's already shown it off in the NFL.
10:48Imagine a world where that rushing points per game number drops by like three or four points.
10:54It's not an unreasonable expectation when you consider his collegiate rushing history, and the lack of weapons in Miami, and the fact
11:01that negative game scripts could force him to scramble a lot.
11:05Since 2011, we've seen 25 quarterbacks throw the ball 300 more times, while averaging at least seven points per game via rushing.
11:12Of those 25, 22 of them finish as top 10 options at quarterback in points per game.
11:18Some sort of passing production will need to be there in order for this prediction to hit.
11:24And really, we don't know yet what kind of passer Malik Willis is across a larger sample.
11:29Obviously, the weapons there, they don't give us that much confidence.
11:33But Willis doesn't have to be insane through the air for this to come true.
11:38Just look at Justin Fields. He's a bad football thrower compared to other starters.
11:43He's not accurate, but over the last three years among quarterbacks with 300 or more pass attempts, Fields ranks eighth in fantasy points per dropback.
11:51You know who ranks even higher than Justin Fields?
11:54Anthony Richardson. It's all the same exact thesis. It's not going to be pretty.
11:59You might not want to watch it, but it's at least possible.
12:03Jordan Mason will outscore Tony Pollard. This one's technically bold because according to Consensus ADP, Mason's drafted nearly two rounds after Tony Pollard.
12:11I think this definitely can happen. Like, very easily.
12:14This is probably the weakest bold prediction in terms of hot takiness on this entire list.
12:19I think that Tony Pollard might have a volume and offensive situation problem this year.
12:25The Titans are not expected to be a top half offense this year.
12:29Their offensive line is projected to be one of the worst in the league.
12:34Meanwhile, in games with Tajay Spears last year, Pollard had just a 54% snap share and a 40% route share.
12:40And we've seen that backfield split up during the preseason.
12:44Maybe that's all just noise and nothing will come of it, but it at least signals that the Tennessee backfield could be
12:51more of a split than the market expects. And with Pollard posting sub 0.8 yards per route run rates in three straight
12:59seasons, I'm concerned about that pass catching profile. It's a pass catching profile on a team that could be trailing a lot this year.
13:07Now, meanwhile, Jordan Mason's not typically the guy that I go after in fantasy, but I like him this year.
13:14I'm less concerned about his competition versus Tony Pollard's if I'm being honest.
13:18It's a similar role overall. Aaron Jones is 31 years old.
13:22He's seen his per route run efficiency drop in each of the last three seasons.
13:27And if nothing else, Mason's at least really good on the ground.
13:31His adjusted yards after contact per attempt was over 0.7 yards higher than Aaron Jones last season.
13:37And he ranked third in the NFL in explosive run rate.
13:40Minnesota's offense should be better this year too. They were bottom 10 in drives ending in touchdowns a season ago.
13:47And with Kyler Murray's mobility under center alongside what should be a top half of the league offensive line, we should see better lanes for Jordan Mason.
13:56So yeah, ADP says that this one's kind of bold.
14:00I don't think it's bold whatsoever. But I do think that Jordan Mason can easily outscore Tony Pollard.
14:06Jalen Waddell will finish as a top 8 wide receiver.
14:09This one's bold because according to Consensus ADP, Jalen Waddell is the wide receiver 21.
14:14But I think it can happen because Waddell played 5 years in Miami, 4 of which came with Tyreek Hill on the roster.
14:22Among over 160 wide receivers who ran 400 or more routes during that 4 year stretch with Tyreek Hill, Waddell ranked 11th
14:29in yards per outrun despite ranking 32nd in targets per outrun.
14:33Maybe that means that he lacks that target earning potential.
14:36But there's evidence that this is simply a Tyreek Hill thing.
14:40Because when Hill's been off the field during this time, Waddell's targets per outrun rate rises to 9th.
14:46His yards per outrun for what it's worth is 2nd best in all of football without Tyreek Hill on the field.
14:53Waddell has played in an offense with a positive EPA per play just twice in his career.
14:59During that 2 year stretch, He ranked 5th in yards per outrun and 11th in PPR points per outrun.
15:06Now he's moving to a Denver team that's ranked in the top half of the league in EPA per play over the last 2 seasons.
15:14And it's a group that ranks 11th in pass rate over that time frame.
15:19Miami, over the last 2 years, they've ranked 22nd.
15:22And Denver, without an insane amount of wide receiver talent, they've targeted that position at the 11th highest rate per route run over the last 2 years.
15:31The Broncos also rank 7th over this stretch and wide receiver yards after the catch per reception.
15:37Waddell himself, over the last 4 years, he's been a fringe top 25 player in yak per reception.
15:43But he's 7th best among wideouts with average depth of targets above 10 yards.
15:47In other words, he's getting down the field more, but he's still creating after the catch.
15:53The Broncos are likely going to play Waddell in that Z role, moving him all over the formation.
15:59We saw them try this last year with Troy Franklin, and while it was essentially a failure, or eventually a failure, Franklin
16:06himself had a 5 game stretch with a 27% target share.
16:10Imagine one of the most efficient wide receivers in the game over the last 5 years, stepping into that role.
16:17That's why Jalen Waddell might smash this year. Dalton Kincaid will finish as a top 5 tight end.
16:23This one's bold because fantasy managers are kind of over Dalton Kincaid, and on some platforms, he's going around tight end 15.
16:30But look guys, Dalton Kincaid's 2025 was actually very good.
16:34George Kittle is the only tight end since 2020 who's been able to top Kincaid's yards per route run rate from last year.
16:42And among tight ends with 200 or more routes run, Kincaid's PPR points per route run average was the absolute best over that time frame.
16:50He was seeing targets at a really strong clip too.
16:53He had an 86th percentile targets per route run rate, and in 2024 to pile on, it was in the 98th percentile.
17:01So why is he not getting more love? Really, it's just usage.
17:05He's been banged up over the last couple of years, and it's led to him ranking outside the top 25 in tight end route share.
17:13Imagine a world where Kincaid, a player who's been extremely good at earning targets and gaining yards on a per route run basis, is healthy.
17:22And because he's healthy, he gets an uptick in playing time.
17:26That's all we really need for this prediction to hit.
17:29Jordan Love or Jared Goff will outscore Joe Burrow.
17:32This one's bold because Burrow's drafted as a QB4, Goff is the QB16, and Jordan Love is the QB18.
17:38This one seems kind of crazy. It seems like it's not even possible.
17:43But listen to this. Joe Burrow can end up winning MVP this year, genuinely.
17:48I think the Bengals are going to actually be pretty good.
17:51They look better on defense, the offensive line should be more cohesive than what we're used to, and obviously Joe Burrow has the weapons to make things work.
18:01This is strictly a fantasy football take. Burrow hasn't been running as much as he did earlier in his career.
18:08Over the last three seasons, he's averaged .5 design rushes per game.
18:12That's resulted in two seasons with fewer than .9 rushing points per game.
18:16He used to average closer to 1.5 to 2.0 design rushes per game.
18:20That's impacted his fantasy points per dropback numbers. In 2021 and 2022, he had fantasy points per dropback numbers of .53 and .52.
18:28Over the last three seasons, we've seen him at .37, .52, and .47.
18:33Even if we just focus on those last two seasons, Burrow's been QB11 and fantasy points per dropback.
18:39He's at the same mark in that statistic as Jordan Love.
18:42Jared Goff is a couple of spots ahead. Now, the reason Burrow's looks so favorably in fantasy is because he's simply thrown the ball more.
18:51During that time frame, Burrow's average over 40 dropbacks per game.
18:55Jared Goff's a little bit over .35, and Jordan Love is at .31.1.
18:59There's a very real scenario here where the Lions have just as bad of a defense as Cincinnati does.
19:05The Lions also have an awesome schedule. And there are outs here for Jordan Love, too.
19:11The Packers' defense just plays a little bit worse, and they become a little bit more pass-heavy with Josh Jacobs sidelined.
19:18And honestly, they probably should be a little bit more pass-heavy.
19:22Love's been the sixth best quarterback by EPA per dropback over the last two years.
19:27Jared Goff, by the way, is first. Joe Burrow is eighth.
19:30We see pocket-passing quarterbacks shift around rankings all the time when looking at preseason expectations versus postseason results.
19:36And Joe Burrow, at this point, should be treated as more of a pocket passer.
19:42There isn't that much recent evidence to say otherwise.
19:45So why couldn't Jared Goff and Jordan Love simply fall into a little bit more touchdown luck in a fantasy football situation that's just as advantageous?
19:53After September, Tucker Craft will outscore Trey McBride. This one's bold because Craft's getting drafted multiple rounds after McBride is.
20:00But I do think this definitely can happen. Trey McBride's 2025 was insane.
20:05He was great. I don't want to take anything away from him.
20:09But he also ran 120 more routes than any other tight end in the league.
20:14At his .46 PPR points per route run rate, if McBride had simply tied for the league lead in tight end routes
20:21run instead of leading it by 120, he would have averaged over 3.2 fewer PPR points per game last season.
20:28That would have taken him down to 15.3 PPR points per game.
20:32Now there's nothing wrong with 15 points per game.
20:35Don't get me wrong. But McBride also saw 18 end zone targets last year.
20:40That was the second highest mark from a tight end since 2016.
20:44That, and in turn, his touchdown total is not going to be easy to repeat.
20:49We also know that Marvin Harrison Jr. was banged up throughout the 2025 season.
20:54When Harrison was on the field with McBride last year, that .46 PPR points per route run rate fell to .41.
21:01Essentially, there are a lot of ways for McBride to regress this year.
21:05And that gives us an opportunity for this bold prediction to hit.
21:09Tucker Craft is coming off that ACL. It may take a handful of weeks for him to start seeing his typical route share.
21:17So let's give him September to get back up to speed.
21:21Hence the qualifier for this prediction. Why couldn't Tucker Craft outscore Trey McBride from there?
21:26Craft's PPR points per route run rate was significantly better last year at .59.
21:30It's been nearly identical over the last two seasons compared to McBride.
21:35Craft went down in week nine last year. Through eight weeks, he was technically ahead of McBride in PPR points per game.
21:42And I think Craft could just be featured more in this passing game.
21:46The Packers wide receiver room this year is shallower.
21:49And not only that, I think they could be more pass heavy like I just talked about with Jordan Love.
21:56So I think this one could work out because we've kind of already seen it work out.
22:02Like I said, there are five more bold predictions that are going to hit your inbox with a late round newsletter on Wednesday.
22:10So make sure you're subscribed. Go to lateroound.com, click newsletter and submit your email address.
22:15Otherwise, that's it for today's show. Thanks to all of you for listening.
22:19If you have subscribed to the Late Round Fantasy Football Podcast, make sure you are messaging for it.
22:25Pretty much anywhere podcasts can be found. And follow me on Twitter and on Blue Sky at LateRoundQB.
22:31Thanks for listening, everyone. I will be back in your ears with Becoming a Best Ball Bro, the season finale.
22:38That's going to drop on Wednesday morning. And then we have the Late Round Show live on our YouTube channel at noon Eastern on Wednesday.
22:47And then later this week, we have an episode of Late Round Perspectives.
22:51I'll talk to you guys soon. Whether you're a seasoned NFL fan or new to the game, there's one place to keep up with all of it.
23:00The league's newest podcast, The NFL Report, hosted by me, Andrew Siciliano.
23:04It is your home for everything football. Breaking news, expert analysis, game picks, and hear from your favorite players too.
23:11Join me and an all-star cast of experts for everything you need to know from around the league.
23:17Get new episodes of the NFL Report Monday through Friday all season long.
23:21Listen to the NFL Report podcast on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
23:28Hey, I'm Mike Yam. And I'm Trevor Sikama. And together, we host the NFL Fantasy Football Show.
23:33Are you ready to dominate your fantasy league this season?
23:37Because if you aren't locked in with us on the NFL Fantasy Football Show, you're already playing from behind.
23:43Whether you're a first-time player or a grizzled vet chasing another championship, we give you the advantage and the confidence you need to make every move count.
23:52Listen to the NFL Fantasy Football Show on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
23:59This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed human.

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