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1:03Please play responsibly. You're about to listen to the Late Round Fantasy Football Show, which originally aired on YouTube.
1:09If you'd like to catch the show live this season, you can head to the Late Round Fantasy Football YouTube channel at youtube.com slash atlateroundff.
1:17We'll be live every Friday at 1 p.m. Eastern.
1:20Without further ado, here's this week's episode. Welcome in, welcome in to Late Round Fantasy Football Show.
1:26David Kitchen here alongside JJ. Zachary Sin, JJ, how are you?
1:29I'm good. I'm good. It's a backwards hat day.
1:32So those of you in chat, I set the line.
1:35Forward hat was plus 360. Backwards hat was plus 160.
1:38No hat was minus 140. Somebody needs to run the analytics and see what is most common on these shows.
1:45It's got to be no hat, right? No hat's got to be the most common for me.
1:50I don't know. It's actually... We'd have to separate data buckets in-season and off-season.
1:55Yeah. But you think in-season is backwards more? It's possible.
1:58I'm not sure. I don't know if I have it.
2:01I don't know if there's any... Maybe it's flip-flopped.
2:04I don't know if there's any difference. I will say that I've probably worn a forward hat like five times on stream.
2:11It doesn't have... Because the way my head is shaped, it's hard for me to get a forward hat going.
2:17But the one Super Bowl hat that we got when we were in San Francisco back in February is a forward...
2:24It can be a forward-facing hat for me. I forgot about my...
2:28It's somewhere... I've got all the hats just stuffed in a little nook.
2:32Yeah. So... I can't imagine going to a job where I had to wear...
2:36Like, I could not wear a hat. Roy says the guy wearing the hat probably shouldn't set the line.
2:42I don't know, man. I mean, the sportsbook sets the lines, you know?
2:47Very... They just don't know the outcomes. Very PM approach is what someone said.
2:51Beans, green tomatoes, you win. Too easy. Welcome in, though, everyone.
2:55We're excited to have you in. We're excited to talk about week three.
2:59We'll talk also about some Thursday night football reactions.
3:02I know some people are thinking we're back and other people are thinking, what have I done to my fantasy team?
3:08So we'll talk about that. But right now, JJ, want to just mention to people, we have our rankings.
3:14We have our Discord. We have now our member Q&A.
3:18And this week, we started putting the member Q&A that we have on Tuesday nights that you're...
3:23When you're on the show, answering member questions, now we're transcribing those and putting them in the Discord on Wednesday morning for those that want to scroll through.
3:32Yes. I mean, look, those live stream Q&As, I'm not saying...
3:35This is not hyperbole. I think I answer 150 questions a week on those.
3:40So if you are a member, you're already seeing that.
3:43There are times where I, as a solo person doing that, get frustrated because the same questions pop up or they're asking questions that the rankings can answer.
3:52But that's beside the point. You guys get to...
3:55One of the things that members love is when I go on rants and when I...
4:00Not tilt, necessarily. It's more of like... Sometimes it is tilting.
4:03Sometimes the members enjoy the tilt. Yes. Yeah. Yes.
4:06And it's become more of a bit than anything else.
4:09But a lot of it, though, there is at least one or two instances every single live stream where I rant about
4:16a topic that just organically pops up. And I say, okay, this past week, I ranted about trades.
4:22And I do it once a year, probably like four times a year, where people often are like, hey, who should I trade this sell candidate for?
4:31And the answer is find a team that needs that kind of position, that kind of player.
4:36Because every valuation is going to be a little bit different.
4:40But yeah, it's a good time every Tuesday, eight o'clock.
4:43We have a good time. Yeah. And people in the chat saying it's passion.
4:47Passion. We don't say rants. We say passion. I will say a lot of people...
4:52I've gotten this for years and years. This kind of criticism, critique, whatever you want to call it.
4:58That my voice can be annoying. And that people can't listen to the Lay Around Podcast.
5:03Because of that, it feels like they're getting yelled at.
5:06Right? Some people feel that way. Guys, this is just the way that I was made.
5:11And then also, I am passionate about this stuff.
5:14And I think that you're doing a solo show.
5:17You need to bring a little bit of extra fire to the table.
5:21But also, genuinely, this is the way that I...
5:24When I am having a conversation that's heated and interesting.
5:27And we're trying to... I mean, I get energized by it.
5:31You know? And I don't... I love this stuff.
5:34I love digging into it. I love presenting the information.
5:37I love talking through it. I love the back and forth that we have in Discord.
5:42All of that. And that comes out in me getting...
5:45I mean, sometimes my voice cracks on the solo shows.
5:48But that happens. That's just all part of the enthusiasm for it.
5:52That's right. If you want to see the behind the scenes, you'll see the Discord chats.
5:57We have a channel for the news and rumors.
6:00That's what I have a lot on my screen.
6:03The news and rumors channel. But we always have a live game chat as well.
6:08The membership, it is well worth it, in my opinion.
6:11Mufasa says, Nah, the Alave vs. Wilson rant from JJ will live in infamy.
6:15I had a rant a couple years ago, a few years ago, where it was the...
6:20It was when Chris Alave and Garrett Wilson were so far different within the market.
6:25The market just loved Garrett Wilson. When their peripherals were almost identical.
6:29If not, Alave was better on a per-route-run basis.
6:32And I remember... I went pretty hard in the paint for that one.
6:36Which sometimes happens. Sometimes you got to lean into it a little bit.
6:40All right. We have a ton to talk about.
6:43I mean, if you weren't affected by injuries at all in week two, just go ahead and play the lottery.
6:49And just know that it might be coming for you in week three.
6:53So let's go ahead and get into it. It's this week's news.
6:57Today's fantasy news! All right, JJ. Let's start. Because we have a lot to talk about.
7:02Let's start with last night's Thursday night football game.
7:05Obviously, the Falcons blow out the Packers at home.
7:08What are we doing here if you're the Packers fan?
7:11That was like an exact... I read the lips of a guy who's like, What are we doing here after they miss the third or fourth?
7:20Yeah. I love whenever they cut to the commercial and they just do the slow-mo of the fans.
7:25The best is when they just are clearly saying the F word or something and they just didn't realize it whenever they slow-moed it.
7:33There's a new meme where the lady is feeling her pulse.
7:37Yeah. To see if she's in such disbelief there at the game.
7:40We're going to see that for a while. Yeah.
7:43So last night's game, to me, was really encouraging from a fantasy perspective because I think that a lot of us were
7:50already at the point where we're like, Okay, the Packers' backfield is kind of dead.
7:55I don't even think that we've gotten a fair shake of seeing what these backs are necessarily capable of.
8:01The offensive line has just been so bad. They have gotten zero room to do that much and they themselves haven't been
8:08good to create that on their own. So I think that the guys that they have on that team right now are players that are not creators.
8:17They're not above average running backs. They're mostly average.
8:20And Marshawn Lloyd, if I go back to my thinking in the preseason and the draft guide and stuff, I had him
8:27as a dart throw in the draft guide because I wrote him up before everything really went down with Josh Jacobs.
8:33And I kind of kept him in there just because things were going down with the Jacobs situation.
8:39We didn't really know what was going on. And then I just eventually just said, Hey, check where I have him ranked.
8:46And in hindsight, I wish that I had ranked him lower than I did.
8:50I didn't really get him that much, but I still wish that I was like, Hey, 10th round instead of, you know,
8:57eighth round or whatever it was, you know, for, for Marshawn Lloyd or seven, even seventh round.
9:03But with Lloyd, you know, from a prospect profile standpoint, he had a lot of speed and a good speed score.
9:10And like, he has that explosiveness. I think that he just looked really, really stiff so far this season.
9:16And maybe it has to do with like the hammies and the work that he's done there.
9:21That's been a problem. I think for Marshawn Lloyd, Caleb Johnson, I think is just looks so average.
9:27I mean, just so ordinary when I watch him.
9:30And then obviously Chris Brooks is Chris Brooks. He's more of just like a good pass protector can catch the ball in the backfield.
9:37I don't think Josh Jacobs is walking through that door and saving this run game.
9:42The, the, the offensive line matters significantly for running backs, whether we want to believe that or not, it does.
9:48It's a thing. And you have to be Uber elite in order for it to not be meaningful.
9:54And so I don't think that Josh Jacobs at this point, his career is going to like make this significant difference to that.
10:01I mean, he would help, but not make this like massive difference to the run game.
10:07So I say this, that it was a good game for fantasy football because we now don't have Jaden Reed.
10:13We have a Packers team that is far higher in pass rate over expected than they've been over the last couple of years.
10:20And now all of those targets are being funneled to three people to Tucker craft and to, to a lesser extent, Tucker
10:27craft, but Christian Watson and Matthew golden right now, they're expected points per game.
10:32PPR points per game is over 18 Matthew golden and Christian Watson.
10:36And those guys are looking like league winners wherever.
10:38I mean, golden looks great. Christian Watson has a crazy ceiling every week.
10:43You know, and he's been, you know, he obviously got the, the end zone look, you know, early on in that game.
10:50And then we're like, Oh, is he going to do?
10:53And then all of a sudden the, the offense opens up because all they had to do is throw the ball.
10:59And they both just dominated. So like both of them should, and this is where like after week one, I was reacting so strongly to Matthew golden.
11:08And it was because of this, because we were seeing this team throw the ball more and the defense didn't look very good.
11:15And you could just kind of see this starting to, to happen.
11:19And then I think the Jaden Reed injuries, just funneling those looks to them even more, you know, cause you have sky more essentially replacing Jaden Reed.
11:28So from a fantasy perspective, Jordan love didn't even look good last night.
11:32And he was very usable in fantasy football, right?
11:35Like it just didn't matter. And then on the other side, you get Michael Penix back.
11:40And I mean, I guess I shouldn't say it was all encouraging for fantasy.
11:44Cause Kyle pits was terrible last night. Oh, fantasy perspective.
11:48He was the only one though in that offense.
11:50Yeah. And I ran some numbers. I tweeted the one about Drake London, Drake London.
11:55You know, I talked about this on the 15 transaction show earlier this week when I'm, I had London as a buy
12:02and, uh, Drake London with Michael Penix under center, his fantasy points per route run since 24, 24 is only worse than Puka Nakua's.
12:10I mean, he is literally comfortably a top five wide receiver with Michael Penix under center.
12:15Will I rank him as a top five wide receiver after this week?
12:19I think that he's in the fringe. I think that he's going to see a big jump because there's, you know, there's
12:26this skepticism of like, what is this really going to look like?
12:30Is Michael Penix going to, he looked bad in the first quarter, Michael Penix, and then he kind of settled in and he looked really good.
12:38The other thing too, is that that offense, he, he ran a lot more under center.
12:43And I'm starting to think that Zach Robinson just might not be it after what we saw last year.
12:49And then now we're, we're seeing Michael Penix perform.
12:52It's only a one game sample seeing Michael Penix without him now.
12:56And then Robinson being in Tampa Bay and Tampa Bay's offense, looking like what it looks like.
13:01It's like you start to make those connections. Sometimes you're like, wait a second, wait a second.
13:07What if something's going on here? Cause they did not let Michael Penix play under center very frequently at all last year.
13:14So I think there's a lot of good there.
13:17Kyle pits has seen worse numbers with Michael Penix.
13:20I think that's probably a result of Drake London, just seeing better numbers with Michael Penix.
13:25Then Bijan Robinson is just, I mean, he's the clear RB two in fantasy football right now.
13:30I still prefer Jameer Gibbs gives us seeing a better backfield chair than, than Robinson is.
13:35And I still trust the lions offense more than I do the Falcons offense, but Bijan's the RB two in fantasy.
13:42Michael Penix being back is huge, huge for this office, huge for Drake London.
13:46And then I mean, I, I, I, Drake London is a wide receiver one rest of season.
13:52Did he look slow to you on? Everyone's saying that number one, the corner, I think the corner ran like a four,
13:59two something for like, so, so there's that, but also guys, Drake London's like six, four, six, five, he's a big, he's a big player.
14:07And he's not, and he's not a, you know, they're using him in the slot too, which is really nice.
14:13So like we wanted that to continue year over year, but London's not, you know, speed search.
14:19This is exactly why speed is an overrated metric at wide receiver and why there's inverse correlation when you layer on draft capital.
14:26Yeah. Ran a four, five, four. So yeah, not, not a speedster, but he's a big body.
14:31And he, he produced last night. You could get it even money over five and a half catches last night.
14:38And he just, he crushed that. I mean, he was getting those screens at first and then just, they finally opened things up.
14:45Yeah. Yes, exactly. All right. Let's move on to the injuries that we have that we're dealing with.
14:51It was a brutal week for quarterbacks and wide receivers in week two.
14:55Obviously we had, you know, Kayla Williams and Jaden Daniels, and then Jackson dart.
14:59Dart was the one that we thought might not be as bad.
15:03It turns out it's the worst. He's going to miss the season.
15:07And then no IR for Jaden or Caleb. However, Caleb Williams backup is concussed right now.
15:12Tyson patient is, is concussed. They say he's in the building and reading this from our, from Courtney Cronin.
15:18We'll see if he's part of the protocol where he's able to do some work on the practice field today.
15:24So we're not sure what this bears passing games and look like.
15:28And that's just perfect. JJ. Yeah. It's really hard to trust anyone right now in the passing attack.
15:34After what we saw last week, obviously Khalif Raymond's getting a lot more run.
15:38Listen to the 10 trends episode to get a little bit more detail on all of that.
15:44If Tyson Bajan starts, you know, you could maybe see Luther burden as like a wide receiver three type.
15:50I can't remember exactly where I have these guys ranked this week, but Bajan did look at Luther burden quite a bit and burden.
15:58This is according to fantasy points data, but burden has been a first read quite frequently in that offense.
16:04And he has a good separation score according to their metrics as well.
16:08So I, you know, we'll see. I don't think that we should be overly enthusiastic about starting these guys right now.
16:14I do think that the bears game scripts have been weird to start the season and like the way that week one
16:21went down, you know, the weird, like the tertiary guys all got touchdowns.
16:26It just was a strange game in general. Then obviously last week was in the rain and they played a good Minnesota
16:33defense and they blitz Caleb Williams a lot. So I'm not, I'm trying not to overreact about what's going on with these
16:40guys, but I do think that it's reasonable to just be like, Hey, if I have, you know, if you drafted Jalen
16:47Coker late, you're obviously playing Jalen Coker over all those pass catchers, you know?
16:51And even like you might be sitting there being like, I need floor.
16:55I need just some production. And you might want to get a Don Tavian wix or Devon veille or something like that, you know?
17:03So, um, yeah, where I'm at right now is I'm just being cautious with that whole offense in general.
17:09Okay. As far as the commander's offense with, uh, with Jaden, no chig, a con quo, uh, probably more than likely for the commanders.
17:17No Jaden got Marcus Omar. Oh, Marcus Mariota and James Winston now in the year 2026 JJ.
17:22Yeah. Look, Marcus Mariota. There, there are definitely worse backups out there for sure.
17:26Um, I, it's just Seattle. Like it's going to be really tough to trust a lot of the guys there.
17:33The one thing that I'll say about with chig being out and just the way that this offense has operated to start
17:40the season, they're running 11 personnel, at a fairly high rate to start the year, the, the commanders are.
17:46And so I would expect that to continue simply because, you know, they're eighth in the league right now and 11 personnel use.
17:53So I would, I would expect that to continue without chig, you know, and maybe Antonio Williams gets a little bit more run.
18:01I still want to see them kind of move these guys inside out more with digs and, and Williams and, um, you
18:08know, get them, uh, moving around the field. But yeah, I mean like Marcus Mariota is not the, the worst backup or biggest downgrade you can find.
18:16Unfortunately, it sounds like Jane Daniels could be back sooner than we expected and he's not being put on IR.
18:23So that's good. Right. Yeah. If you, especially if you saw that replay, all right, uh, here are some players that were placed on IR this week.
18:31You got, uh, Jonathan Brooks, Alec Pierce, David and Joku.
18:34Uh, they were placed on IR, placed on IR JJ.
18:38And then we'll talk about three big receivers that could miss this week.
18:42Yeah. The, the Jonathan Brooks thing really opens up, you know, obviously Chuba Hubbard was seeing a good backfield share already.
18:48Yeah. Uh, but the idea was that Brooks would slowly, you know, dig into that a little bit more because I don't
18:55think, I still don't think that Chuba Hubbard's like an amazing talent, but I think that right now he's probably still undervalued by the market.
19:03Chuba is just based on, you know, the fact that Brooks can't stay healthy.
19:08We have a very small sample now of, of him.
19:11Like, like every time he gets this opportunity, something happens.
19:14And so I think we got to just lean into this idea that Chuba Hubbard is going to be a bell cow this year.
19:22And I don't think that the market has necessarily done that quite as much as it should.
19:27So that's kind of interesting. The Alec Pierce thing.
19:30I talked about Josh Downs earlier this week as a buy.
19:34I know that this is one of the situations where you're like, Oh, well, everyone knows that he's a buy.
19:40I'm saying, no, I think that I like him more than where other people have him.
19:45I know that my rank rest of season rankings versus consensus had them like six or seven wide receiver spots higher.
19:52So I like Josh Downs rest of season. And then obviously with David and Joku and Charlie Kolar was not on IR,
19:59which was surprising, but it's a good matchup for Rondé Gadsden this week.
20:03I think that you should be throwing that dart, at least have them on your bench, because there's always a chance that
20:10if the offense just happens to work a little bit better and Gadsden's involved in some way that they just kind of
20:17move on with that in that fashion moving forward.
20:20So I do think Gadsden should be rostered in the majority of leagues right now.
20:25Yeah. They got to do something different there. The chargers do.
20:28So maybe he is a big part of that.
20:31All right. Puka, Zay, Nico all could miss this week before we get to talking about that.
20:36I want to bring up Mr. Levitan, Adam Levitan's tweet.
20:40He says, who has heard it quarterback wide receiver tight end.
20:43Puka, Nakua, Nico, Brock, AJ Brown, Zay Flowers, Jayden Daniels, Caleb Williams, Jackson, Dar, Jaden Reed, Kyler Murray, Jordan Tyson, Alec Pierce,
20:50Michael Pittman, Sam Darnold, Dejan Shribling, Ricky Pierce, all Jaden Higgins, Dallas Goddard, Jacoby Lane.
20:55Who has heard it running back? That's the med committee backs.
20:58Jonathan Brooks, Rico, dad, or Jordan Mason. Yeah. I've seen a lot.
21:02Look, I'm far from a zero RB bro. I don't think that, you know, you can read the draft guide.
21:09I talked about, you know, every year I talk about going with early round running backs because that's where the league winners come from, you know, every year.
21:17With that being said, I do think that like people victory lapping anything in general, but like, especially a zero RB being
21:24the, the wrong approach this year and doing that after two weeks, you're missing the point of what zero RB really is,
21:31which is the fact that when a wide receiver gets hurt, right?
21:35It doesn't, it doesn't, you don't automatically elevate the backup wide receiver to be a starter in your fantasy league.
21:42You know, Nico Collins is down right now and no one is sitting there being like, Oh, I got to absolutely play Keishon booty.
21:49I got to absolutely play Xavier Hutchinson. Now, obviously there are going to be spots where they have good matchups.
21:56And I'll talk about that later. And, you know, Rashad Bateman is someone that we care about now without say flowers or,
22:03you know, Terrence Ferguson, we care about without Puka Nakua.
22:06I'm not saying that that doesn't exist. I'm just saying that it's a lot more predictable slash valuable when a running back goes down.
22:14And then all of a sudden we can get that projectable volume from the backup running back.
22:19So it's two weeks and yeah, there's going to be more wide receiver injuries in total than there will be running back injuries.
22:26Cause there's more wide receivers in general out there.
22:29Right. So, you know, you, you can, you can pick and choose, you know, wide receivers that are hurt.
22:35Um, but I do think that we're also in a, in a situation where the game's a little bit different than it used to be.
22:43Um, you know, you, you have smaller defenses, maybe that's playing some sort of a role.
22:48Yeah. I think after last year, I kind of was like, you know, I don't know if we're going to see like massive, massive recalibration with running back.
22:57Injury right now, but I also don't think that right now is the time that we should be saying confidently that this
23:04is the way it's going to go no matter what, after just two weeks of football.
23:09So I think it's just an interesting thing to keep in mind as you're, you know, looking at injuries and getting very
23:16tilted, uh, with the players you have, like I'm in a local league and it's a 14 teamer.
23:22I'm somehow two and O, but I drafted my, my top three rounds.
23:26It's a 14 team, like homely. And my team is, I started Puka Nakua, Brock Bowers, Malik neighbors in this, in this league.
23:33I haven't played a single week with all three of them in my lineup yet, you know?
23:39And so, and it's not going to happen this week either.
23:42Um, and so fortunately I have Jalen Coker and Christian Watson to the rescue, but, um, yeah, I mean like, like I
23:49know that there are people out there that are struggling because of these injuries.
23:54That's just part of fantasy football. Yeah. Last week in the, uh, late round, uh, guillotine league, I had Bowers, Barkley, DJ
24:01Moore, and I thought I was out. I thought I was out of it.
24:05Well, bless Aaron's heart in the chat. He was even out of it worse than I was.
24:11And he was stuck with Puka Nakua at the end.
24:14And then Puka was ruled out and he tried to get, I forget if it was Whittington or whoever it was.
24:21Mumfeld. Yeah. Yeah. Held a pit. Yeah. So it did not, it could always be worse.
24:26Uh, basically is what we're saying, but you do have to think about things.
24:30If you have Puka, if you have Zay, if you have Nico this week.
24:35Yeah. I mean, it's, uh, Terrence Ferguson, Dalton Schultz, really honest.
24:38And Rashad Bateman. Like those are, those are the guys that I would be playing, but I will talk later.
24:45There's a couple of guys that I'm interested in, uh, or one in particular that I think could be a really, really
24:52sneaky, super, super deep play this week. Okay. You mentioned, uh, playing Jalen Coker.
24:56He was not participating earlier this week. He was in uniform catching punts today.
25:00So let's just assume JJ, hopefully that he plays.
25:03I just wanted to put it out there. Yeah.
25:06I'm hoping he, I'm, I'm thinking he's going to go.
25:09Yeah. It's an issue. Now this one though, 80 Mitchell hurt his finger in practice.
25:14I saw rich, meaning saying that it's definitely an injury to monitor.
25:18Had it taped. Um, they also have Mason Taylor going to be out this week as well.
25:23Yeah. I mean, Isaiah Williams will be next up at what they don't have like any wide receivers outside of, I mean,
25:30they have no depth at the position. So I'm someone was placed on, uh, IR, uh, I think, or Arian Smith was placed.
25:38Yeah. Which I, you know, I still don't know if that even counts as a wide receiver, but anyway, uh, yeah, I
25:45mean like, like Garrett Wilson would be fed if 80 Mitchell's out.
25:49And then obviously with Mason Taylor out, Kenyon Sadiq is very interesting this week.
25:53Okay. Let's talk about some players that have been limited in practice.
25:57Say Kwan limited. I think, I think take one's going to go.
26:01Yeah. Yeah. I mean, he came back for that second, uh, that that second half versus the Titans just didn't play well.
26:08And for like, yeah, for like a play, right?
26:11Yeah. For a couple of plays and then got taken out, but we were also kind of surprised about the, um, the usage.
26:18You mentioned it in the, the, the dated, not the dated.
26:21Yeah. Two weeks ago, I talked about his route share being lower than what I expected.
26:26And it is like, they're using Will Shipley and pass pro and in these receiving situations.
26:32And so I do think that's kind of like the downside with Barkley right now is I wonder what the target share
26:39is going to look like for him. But you know, take Bigsby is banged up right now too.
26:44So we will see what happens with all of that.
26:47And Will Shipley is technically banged up as well.
26:50I mean, the whole backfield is a mess, but I do think that sake one's going to end up going.
26:57And if he, if he goes, he's a good play.
27:00Okay. Brock Bowers also has been limited. How comfortable are you in playing him this week?
27:05If he is available to play. I'd probably only play McBride and Kincaid over Brock.
27:10But it's, it feels so good to say Dalton Kincaid there feels so good.
27:14But no, I was actually looking for Brock Bowers updates today.
27:18And I just saw a random tweet that grassy it's, you know, an underdog tweet and Graziano.
27:23The quote is Graziano senses that Brock Bowers knee is more likely than not to play in week three.
27:29Right? So the, but the way that you read that you're like, wait, he's not going to play in week three whenever you first see it likely.
27:38Yeah. Yeah. So, so I do think Bowers is going to go this week.
27:42Okay. Uh, and then Travis, a Chan, um, is also been limited.
27:46That running back room for the saints has been so weird to start the season.
27:51Yeah. I like, it's true. It has been weird.
27:54It seems like the, there's been so many, like I see clips of the age, like the saints backfield and about the
28:01saints backfield constantly, but like realistically, I'm not massively surprised.
28:04Cause his, his overall like snap rate and stuff like that.
28:07Isn't like tremendously different than what he saw in Jacksonville.
28:11And he wasn't that effective in Jacksonville last year.
28:13He just was getting the right kind of volume in the right kind of offense.
28:18And, uh, he was getting good blocking too. He had really good, like yards before contact type numbers and stuff as well.
28:25I'm not saying that, like I saw this coming to this degree, but it's, it is, you know, it was interesting that,
28:32that Alvin Kamara saw more work than him on the ground last week.
28:36Like that's certainly weird. I just am trying to just look at this as the ebbs and flows of like one game samples and stuff happens.
28:45And of course we, we react to how that backfield is, has looked.
28:49And we react to the fact that, uh, you know, Travis, a chance is, is not seeing a bell cow workload.
28:56So if you had hopes that he was going to be an RB one, he's not gonna be an RB one in this office.
29:03It's just not going to happen the way that things have gone.
29:07If he's out, um, you can maybe throw the dart at Kamara.
29:11He's just not a very effective back at this point.
29:14Yeah. I mean, it's a, it's a tough, it's a tough situation to really buy into in general.
29:20Yeah, exactly. Um, what about the Broncos running back room?
29:23Because it seems like all those guys are getting better.
29:26Maybe Jonah Coleman though, is not going to play.
29:29We had like short lived run with him. This is the downside of early week waivers.
29:34You know, it's waivers should be on Wednesday night.
29:37I agree. Yeah. Then, then, you know, Tuesday to Wednesday, which is frequent with like Yahoo and ESPN and such and sleeper.
29:44Um, but yeah, I mean like, it's crazy that we were sitting here being like, Oh, JK Dobbins is hurt again.
29:51Oh, RJ Harvey's already hurt. Maybe he won't play.
29:54It's going to be the Jonah Coleman show. And some people burn their number one waiver priority on that.
30:00And although I did talk about that on the live stream, which is something that, you know, if you guys had that
30:07question, I was not really in favor of burning that top waiver priority on Coleman like this early, just because I think
30:14like the, the thesis with Coleman is that he can really outpace his ADP and where he was drafted.
30:20But given the way that they generally deploy that backfield, unless you get multiple injuries there with Harvey and Dobbins, which yes,
30:27we were pacing that, but they weren't, they weren't like season ending, you know, it was like, maybe you get Coleman this
30:34week, you know, um, that's the way that Coleman would really hit.
30:37But if one of them is still active, they're going to be involved in that, in that offense to some degree.
30:44Um, so Coleman's nice to have you at least got them on your bench.
30:49I think that he's going to have a role this year.
30:52I just don't know until both injuries happen that you'd see him as like a true, like RB two type, you know,
30:59when Travis Kelsey just like score that touchdown, they pan to Taylor Swift and she was going, my husband.
31:05Now there's like all these memes. I saw one that was like my wife, when she sees me getting up at 3.
31:12A.M. To, uh, to claim whoever wasn't claimed on a way.
31:16If you guys have ever, like I'll wake up sometimes at like three or four.
31:20Cause like, you know, I have a monitor up and my son like hops or something like that and wakes me up.
31:27And then I, I check. And if you go league by league, they all, it's all sporadic.
31:33Like, yeah, like one league has run their fab waivers and then one hasn't.
31:37And then you're, you're going through it. And so like, it's, it's a very, like we, I want to know the tech behind that.
31:45Like, I want to know why it can't sleepers.
31:48The most efficient. Yeah. But, but sleepers also like they kind of default to the two, the 3.
31:54A.M. Eastern 2. A.M. Uh, yeah. Central time. But they get it all done immediately.
31:58Like I'm in three Yahoo leagues this year. Right.
32:01Yeah. And on, in those leagues, one of them ran when I woke up at like three 30 on, on Wednesday morning,
32:08you know, Tuesday to Wednesday, and then two of them hadn't run yet, you know?
32:13And it's like, well, I want, I want, I want all of them to run so that I can go through and
32:20just see what, what free agents are out there.
32:23Um, it's the ultimate ball knower type thing. Cause I, I was even, uh, my daughter had her tonsils out this week.
32:30So we're on like the newborn schedule. She's getting like Tylenol or, or Motrin every three hours.
32:35And so I woke up to give her her 3 a.m.
32:39Motrin, uh, And I'm like, Oh, I need to like check my waivers.
32:43And sure enough, no one had bid in a super flex league in my home league on Jameis Winston.
32:49And I was like, I don't even need him, but I'm going to do it.
32:54Yeah, of course. Just because, just because I want them to know that, uh, I'm out here hustling more than they are.
33:01And my super flex leagues, I learned that I overbid on both Mariota and Jameis after I was like, surely people are
33:08going to want to buy into this. And then, yeah, with all the injuries that are going on, like 15 extra dollars and they needed to.
33:16Okay. Um, let's talk about, you know, the Broncos running back getting better for the most part.
33:22See, there's running back room. I'm just not really sure what to do with this.
33:26I did pick up a Heidenreich, uh, at one point this week.
33:30if, if Rico Dowdle is out this week, Jalen Warren is a fringe RB one play.
33:35He's going to catch so many passes against the Bengals.
33:38So I'm, but he's also been banged up this week.
33:42Yeah, but I, it sounds like he would be, he would be going more than Dowdle.
33:47Uh, Warren to me would be a really, really strong play if Dowdle's out.
33:51And I, I'm pretty sure Dowdle didn't practice today.
33:54So it's, it's trending towards that, that way. Okay.
33:57Uh, Chris Douglas is out. Are we going to ring the bell?
34:01Because Chris Bell is looking like he's Caleb Douglas.
34:04Caleb Douglas. Yeah. Um, I can't trust anyone right now in that Miami wide receiver room.
34:09So I would just say, kind of stay away.
34:12Um, yeah, I do think that Bella is still an interesting stash.
34:15So you can go that direction and see if his route share does jump, but they are slow playing that.
34:22So I don't think you can really confidently play anyone outside of HN on that team right now.
34:27Do you think. That Willis would have performed better with this offensive line than love has because he can run.
34:34Oh, I mean, I don't think love has really been like that, that bad.
34:38Yeah. Just like he can't escape. And there's, yeah, there's not that much going on.
34:43No, I, I, I'm not going to go down that path.
34:47No, I'm not, I'm not doing that. No more Coleman for bills.
34:50Practice. This actually changed today. I just saw a tweet that more was at practice.
34:55Um, key on Coleman. I have not seen an update about him, but thoughts on trusting DJ more this week.
35:02Well, I also, so if he plays, I'm, I'm fine with playing him.
35:06It's a great matchup against the chargers. They've been horrible defensively.
35:09If both of these guys are out, Josh Palmer would be the play.
35:13And then Skylar bell is like a stash just because, you know, rookie unknown to be interesting.
35:19Also Brock Bowers was not seen practicing today. FYI.
35:22So when we talked about Brock, now it's a little bit more up in the air.
35:27Just tap me in the, uh, in the late round discord.
35:30So yeah. So be, be, be aware about that, that there is a chance that he doesn't go this week.
35:37The Raiders have been so frustrating with their reporting on this.
35:40I mean, just so this has been a W for the Twitter docs FYI, because they were like, there's no way he's coming back in like week two.
35:49And now he might not be back until week four.
35:52We'll see. Okay. Um, we, the only other thing we have left to talk about is Dallas Goddard out.
35:58We, you know, what are we doing there at a tight end?
36:02Cause they don't have Eli Stowers, Eli Stowers. They don't, they, they did sign though.
36:07Um, yeah, they're going after Zach Ertz. So that's, that's a thing.
36:11No, I mean, like, I think that we might like, they've actually run 11, a lot of 11 personnel too.
36:17They're actually second in the league right now behind only, or yeah, behind only Tampa Bay and 11 personnel usage.
36:23So I think as long as Devante Smith is healthy and active, which right now is a little bit up in the
36:30air, but it is, they, they play later in the week.
36:34So it's, it's, you know, they play Monday night.
36:37So it's a little bit different in terms of, um, you know, practice reports and stuff.
36:42This is more of a Thursday than Friday for them right now.
36:46But yeah, I mean, I'm expecting a lot of 11 personnel.
36:49Maybe we get a little bit. McKay lemon out of the slot without Goddard.
36:54That first play where he caught that pass. I think it actually counted as a rush.
36:59So it wasn't a pass, but it was for negative five yards after the negative five yards that he got.
37:05It's been, it's been a rough start for McKay lemon.
37:08It's been, but there were some encouraging signs. I talked about that on the mailbag episode today.
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38:59All right. Today's data is more fun than anything else, okay?
39:03I don't want people to take this super, super seriously, but when I start to mess around with stuff, I want to
39:10share it on this part of the show and just have some fun with it.
39:15Because I think it's like, I just think I'm curious about it, and I think you guys will be too.
39:21So essentially, I built a comp tool to look at first two-week production at wide receiver and running back.
39:27And it finds comparables from players that have played since 2016.
39:30And at wide receiver, it's looking at things like, and these are all inputs that I know are relatively predictive, but this isn't a model or anything.
39:39I didn't sit here to try to find the most predictive balance of all of these traits or anything like that.
39:46I literally built this in 20 minutes. This is just something that I was just curious about, interested in.
39:52I think me and Gadula are going to do more and more of this kind of stuff over the next X number of months.
39:59But this is just something I want to share with you guys.
40:03So I have comps where I'm looking at things like week one to two points per game, week one to two target
40:10share, week one to two for wide receivers. I'm looking at slot versus out wide.
40:15I'm looking at their target share, route share. I think I said that.
40:19But regardless, I'm looking at very basic inputs for these wide receivers.
40:23And then running back, I'm looking at snap share, route share, team rush share, all that kind of stuff.
40:29And I'm finding comps to see through the first two weeks, are there any other players who match up really well with this?
40:36And by the way, I'm also layering in ADP onto this, because obviously there's still predictive value with ADP this time of year.
40:44Someone in chat said, were your test monkeys? Yes, basically.
40:47I'm just throwing it out to you guys, and then you guys can react however you want to react.
40:53It's just a fun thing. So I have like eight players, seven players, I think, that I'm going to walk through here
41:00and just show you what the comp stuff is saying.
41:03So first, Jalen Coker. With Jalen Coker, if you look at his top 10 comps, the average points per game in PPR leagues is 13.2.
41:11His top match is John Brown from 2019, who went up scoring 14.7 PPR points per game.
41:17Hollywood Brown is his second one, who is also a top 20 wide receiver.
41:21You look at his comps all the way down the list, and there's a lot of, I mean, it's a lot of good.
41:28Like you're looking at a very firm, high-end wide receiver three, low-end wide receiver two for Jalen Coker.
41:34He has a 10% chance of these comps to be a top 12 wide receiver, 50% chance to be a top 24 wide receiver.
41:42So, so far, so very good for Jalen Coker.
41:45Next one. Bashal Tootin. I think this one's interesting for obvious reasons.
41:48Oh yeah, by the way, there's one later where there's a comp that someone was like, this guy's not even real.
41:55I don't remember this guy having this ADP, but I'll bring it up when we get there.
42:00So Bashal, because I shared some of this in Discord earlier today.
42:04Okay. So Bashal Tootin, and by the way, all of the snap shares and target shares and route shares are just based on averages of the two games.
42:13It's not looking at their actual, you know, aggregate of the two games, just averaging the two numbers together, just to make this easier.
42:21So Bashal Tootin has a 20% chance, according to this, to be an RB1 this year and a 50% chance to be an RB2, which is solid, right?
42:30His top comp, though, is Marshawn Lynch, who in 2018, when he was with Vegas, he finishes the RB59.
42:36But right after that, Isaiah Pacheco, back in 2023, RB13.
42:39The one that's really interesting is David Montgomery's second year in 2020.
42:43He was the RB6. That's one of his comps.
42:46So the comp list for Tootin is very much volatile.
42:49You get some guys that are like RB4s, but then you get some RB1s in here and high-end RB2s.
42:55So it's very, I'd say overall, it's bullish for Bashal Tootin based on his first two weeks.
43:00Next, Chuba Hubbard. This is another reason why I think the market is a little bit undervalued with him, is that 90%
43:07chance to finish as a top 24 running back.
43:10Now, this comp stuff does not recognize that Jonathan Brooks got hurt and then he might be back later in the season, whatever the case may be.
43:19But there's a lot of favorable stuff for Chuba Hubbard.
43:22His average points per game based on his top 10 comps is over 13.
43:2630% chance, like I said, of an RB1, 90% of an RB2.
43:30So his comps are really strong. So he's probably more of a buy than a sell, even though I don't think the
43:37talent is that obscene with Chuba Hubbard. Next, we have Rasheed Rice.
43:41Rasheed Rice has a 10%. Now, listen, this is anchored to ADP.
43:45So when I say that he has a 10% chance, so one out of the 10 finishes a top 12 wide receiver,
43:52it doesn't mean that this is likely or that he's playing that way, that he should be able to finish that way.
43:59It's just that this is anchored to ADP. And the ADP source I'm using, he was wide receiver 12.
44:05And Mike Evans in 2020, in 2022, started slow and then finished that way as a top 12 wide receiver.
44:11But Rasheed Rice's comps suck. I mean, wide receiver 73, wide receiver 63, wide receiver 48.
44:17Like there's, there's a lot of like scary stuff on here where his, his comps have average under 12 PPR points per game.
44:24So keep that in mind. Next one. I'm going to go through these kind of quick.
44:29Yeah. David Montgomery is next. I think he's interesting because he had a really good week one, but his, his, you know,
44:36backfield share wasn't that obscene, but you know, it's a pretty solid outcome for David Montgomery based on his first couple of outings and his backfield share.
44:45His snap share is still 52% and the comps are all aligned with that.
44:49But some of these guys that had like sub 55% snap shares in his accomplice performed really well in that season.
44:56So I think Montgomery based on this would be fine.
44:59Um, I guess I didn't, I skipped over the, uh, the Chris Hogan comp.
45:03That was, yeah, that was, yeah. For Rasheed Rice, Chris Hogan, 2018.
45:07He was like a fourth round pick and people completely forgot that that was a thing for new England when he was playing for new England.
45:15But yeah, he was a fourth round pick and he was a terrible pick.
45:20Awful pick. All right. I do have Luther burden and Roma duns a here.
45:24Okay. Luther burden. None of his top 10 comps finishes a wide receiver.
45:28One, three of them finishes a wide receiver. Two, one of them was Travis Hunter last year, which is kind of funny
45:36who obviously did not finish the all that well.
45:38Um, and then, you know, you get some good ones in there though.
45:43You got Amari Cooper in 2023. He was top 20.
45:46You had a Cooper cup in 2020 was top 20.
45:49So it's not like the, you know, Stefan digs in 2025 last year who was, who ended up finishing relatively well.
45:56Um, so it's, it's, you know, not the most bullish outcome for Luther burden for obvious reasons, but versus ADP expectation is
46:03average is basically the same essentially saying that like where you drafted Luther burden, he can match that expectation.
46:09Roma duns a is not as rosy, uh, not that Luther burdens was rosy, but a duns a is not, he's only
46:16seen like a 12% target share so far this year.
46:19And none of his comps have finished top 24 or top 12 based on this data.
46:24So I thought that was interesting. And then the last one is Parker Washington, who honestly was, didn't, doesn't look nearly as
46:31good as I thought he was going to look.
46:34Yeah. Um, 0% in the top 12, none of the, none of the top 10 comps finishes top 12.
46:4012 wide receivers, 40% of them were top 24.
46:43I'm more bullish than what this stuff is saying.
46:46Uh, especially cause last week we had a better, we had better peripherals than what we had in week one, just cause
46:53it was a more neutral to negative game script for Jacksonville, but that does it.
46:57I mean, it's, it's, it's an interesting thing. We're going to do more work on this kind of stuff and come up
47:04with some cool, maybe some tools or whatever to be able to like find these easier.
47:09We'll see. But it's a, a very like fun thing to look at, you know, this early on in the season to
47:16see what we've seen historically this early on in the season.
47:20And to remember that when you have a perfect match or a close match with someone, it doesn't guarantee, you know, great
47:27production or poor production rest of season. If you have seen JJ's rest of season ranks, you know that he is more
47:34bullish on Parker Washington than this comp list. That's all I'm going to say.
47:38All right. So let's get on JJ to the main event.
47:42The late round main event. Let's look at players.
47:45I like more than consensus this week, as we do each week.
47:49First is Bryce young. Yeah. I'm a QB 14 this week.
47:52Consensus as I'm a QB 17. This is, this is pre Thursday night football.
47:57So that'll change. If you remove the court, well, I guess if you remove Jordan love from that list, it could change, but Bryce is balling out, man.
48:06Sixth and he is drop back third and fantasy points for drop back.
48:10The Panthers have a good pressure rate matchup in this one where the Browns have been kind of poor getting to the quarterback.
48:17The Panthers have been good at stopping, uh, you know, pressure happening.
48:21Um, you know, we saw him perform last week and said Atlanta defense that played pretty well against green Bay, all things considered.
48:28So I think that's another favorable data point at least, but this game in general, I'm, I'm kind of interested in, like
48:35I immediately, I don't bet that much, but I immediately bet the over whenever it opened earlier this week because the Panthers
48:42are first in pace, neutral pace to start the year.
48:45The Browns are 14th. The Panthers are first in pass rate over expected, which leads to more plays and more scoring and such.
48:53The Browns are fifth. So I think this could be a higher scoring than what we're generally expecting.
48:58But you know, sometimes when I feel that way, I have egg on my face on Monday.
49:04Maybe you'll want to put it in the, uh, the quad box, uh, coming up.
49:09Definitely not. Next we've got the running back and image Johnson.
49:12Yeah, there weren't many obvious running backs for me to go to this.
49:16There weren't many obvious players for me to go to this week, to be honest with you.
49:22Um, but Emmett Johnson, I haven't met RB 34, which is kind of crazy.
49:26Uh, consensus RB 41, but Miami is just the matchup for a backup running back where they're dead last and adjusted points
49:33allowed to running back so far this year. Kansas city is a big, big favorite.
49:38We should see a good game script for them.
49:41Um, there's been good coach speak around Emmett Johnson this week.
49:44Maybe we get a little bit more run from him and bottom line is he's looked the part so far and my gosh kitchen.
49:52I am so mad, so mad that we did not.
49:55So I'm going to say this every single week that we did not get Emmett Johnson to Minnesota.
50:01Yeah. I'm so mad. Especially. Yeah. Especially because like we talked about it on discord while the draft was going on.
50:08Emmett Johnson was such a clear, good day three pick.
50:11There was so much favorable data for Emmett Johnson and Minnesota sitting there twiddling their thumbs with Aaron Jones and Jordan Mason
50:18and Emmett Johnson, one of his comps in the zap model, speaking of getting enthusiastic and, and, uh, you know, getting excited about this stuff.
50:26Yeah. Yeah. The passion Emmett Johnson, one of his comps was Aaron Jones in the zap model.
50:31It was a perfect, perfect pick for Minnesota and they skip him and then they get the Mon Clayborne and is 185 pounds.
50:38You know, I hope it on the demon Clayborne.
50:41Hopefully we get some Clayborne this weekend now because he's a fun player at least, but Emmett Johnson is a good player.
50:48There's a difference there. Yeah. Yeah. He looks good.
50:51And, uh, like you said, there's coach speak around it.
50:54And also the more that Kenneth Walker is out there playing, if he does go down, Oh yeah.
51:00Johnson is just going to go to the moon.
51:03All right. Next we've got the second rookie and you've got Casey Concepcion.
51:07I know that Denzel Bob Denzel Boston's deservedly getting a lot of love.
51:11He's been great to start the season. Um, you know, I had him as a, this two weeks in a row that
51:18I had Boston as an ad on 15 transactions, but, uh, Concepcion has led the Browns by a healthy margin and targets
51:25per out run so far this year. He's played a lot in the slot.
51:30So he's not getting as much run as Denzel Boston is.
51:33Cause if they go into 12 conception is not playing as much, but Carolina is eight so far in percentage of points
51:40allowed to wide receivers going to the slot. So you look at all the points going to wide receivers against Carolina, the
51:47high, the eighth highest percentage of any team is going, is then going to the slot, which is where Concepcion plays.
51:54So I think this environment's not that bad. You know, I haven't ranked a wide receiver 42 versus consensus wide receiver 48.
52:01So this isn't like that big of a stand or anything like that, but I'm not going to be surprised if Concepcion outscores Denzel Boston this week.
52:10That's kind of my, cause the way like Boston's role, it's good.
52:13Like, again, you should be at you, you need Boston on your fantasy roster, but it's a more volatile role than I
52:20talked about this with Zane a little bit on, on the perspectives episode where when you get these perimeter guys, we're going
52:27to have higher a dots, you know, you're going to get these spiked weeks for sure.
52:33Like they can hit, you know, Denzel Boston week one has the touchdown, you know, obviously last week he had the touchdown,
52:40but the week one, one was even more garbagey, you know, at least last week was in a more neutral environment.
52:46Um, but like the players like Concepcion, it might take a second for them to get more routes because they're mostly slot
52:53guys, but they're the players that are running the types of routes that can score a lot of fantasy points and because
53:00you're just going to get peppered per route run.
53:03Like we're seeing right now with Concepcion, there's more volatility to a guy like Denzel Boston.
53:08There's probably a higher weekly ceiling, but this week I wouldn't be like shocked if Concepcion has the better day.
53:15I mean, I don't think it's, you know, like a hundred to zero or anything like that.
53:20I think there's like a 60, 40 chance that that ends up happening.
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55:06Call 1-800-526-7736 to learn more or visit TremphayaRadio.com. Last but not least, especially if you are a truther like I am, the third rookie, Kenyon Sadiq.
55:15We're running it back, baby. I don't know what the...
55:18Like, I didn't really have an obvious tight end to throw here.
55:22And I was factoring in the Mason Taylor thing a little bit more probably than consensus.
55:27That could be playing a role here. But no Mason Taylor.
55:30Kenyon Sadiq... I mean, AD Mitchell is questionable. Kenyon Sadiq against Detroit.
55:34That's a top three matchup for tight ends by adjusted points allowed.
55:38He's seen roughly a 20% targets per outrun rate.
55:41You know, small sample without Mason Taylor last week.
55:44He had a 67% route share. The Jets are probably going to have to be pass heavy in this game.
55:50This could be the breakout for Kenyon Sadiq. If it's not the breakout, I mean, I don't think we just give up necessarily.
55:57But I am very intrigued by what we can see from Sadiq this week.
56:02All right. Now let's move to bold predictions, starting with Jalen Knoll being a top 36 wide receiver.
56:08This one's pretty... It's a pretty bold take. Yes, very bold.
56:11Yeah. No one's thinking about Jalen Knoll. Understandably so.
56:14He had a 60% route share last week. It's not super high.
56:18They're still using him as mostly a slot player.
56:2170% slot rate. But Indianapolis through two games has been really bad defensively.
56:25And they've been especially bad against the slot so far this year.
56:29And so I do think that there's a chance that Knoll, even unlimited action...
56:33Like, I said this on the Sleeper Show. Xavier Hutchinson is probably the safer projection.
56:38The safer play here. If you want to go with him, fine.
56:42Go with him. And he'll probably be the guy who hits.
56:45And then I'm going to be frustrated because I called out Jalen Knoll instead of Xavier Hutchinson.
56:51But I just think Jalen Knoll is a really not bad player.
56:54And I want to lean into that a little bit here.
56:58And he has big playability, which is what could get him into wide receiver three status this week.
57:04I almost wanted to put Rashid Shaheed, though, here, too.
57:07He has a really good matchup against Washington. But I decided again...
57:11So if you want a third bold prediction, there's the third one that Rashid Shaheed could also be a top 36 wide receiver.
57:18Another guy that people are not even thinking about right now.
57:21I want him to be a thing, though. I really hope he's a thing.
57:26Especially speaking of once. I want Tony Pollard as an RB1 to be a thing this week, JJ.
57:32I mean, I don't because I faded Tony Pollard hard this year.
57:35I have no Tony Pollard. So if he ends up blowing up, which I do think he could this week, my teams won't be happy, at least.
57:44I do think he could be an RB1 this week, though.
57:48Pollard's consensus rank right now is RB28. That's why this is a bold take.
57:52The Giants have allowed a top 10 success rate on the ground to running backs.
57:57The Titans are surprisingly top 10 in success rate at running back themselves.
58:01The Giants are top 5 as an opponent in adjusted points allowed.
58:05And Pollard has not been terrible to start the year.
58:08Among 20-plus attempt running backs, he's 7th in adjusted yards after contact per attempt.
58:12And he's 7th in success rate. So I am going to say that Tony Pollard this week is an RB1.
58:19I just want the Titans to just show something.
58:22Show something. Although Cam Ward did have two rushing touchdowns.
58:25So there's that. All right. This is where we get to the look-ahead waiver wire.
58:30Again, this is to save you money. This is the Black Friday, the Prime Day, whatever it is.
58:35You're saving money by getting these guys now and not having to pay later, JJ.
58:40Yeah. So next week, CJ Stroud gets Dallas. If he's still out there, you can pick him up.
58:46Daniel Jones gets Washington next week. So those are the two quarterbacks on the look-ahead waiver wire.
58:51I threw Zach Charbonnet on here because there's a chance that he's returning.
58:55These guys are starting to return from IR, right?
58:58And so that's a sneaky one for sure. Week after.
59:01But Charbonnet is still out there in like half of leagues.
59:05I think that's a little bit interesting. Woody Marks, who's had a basically 50-50 split from a snap share perspective.
59:11You can add him. Tyler Algier gets the Giants next week.
59:15So you can add him. Emmitt Johnson, already talked about him.
59:18And then DeMond Claiborne because Aaron Jones is banged up.
59:22And we might get a little bit more run from Claiborne.
59:25I would prefer Claiborne to DJ Dallas, even though DJ Dallas is a better median projection.
59:30We know what DJ Dallas is. We don't know what DeMond Claiborne is.
59:34I'd rather the mystery box of the speedster in Claiborne than going with a guy like DJ Dallas.
59:40Okay. You've got Makai Lemon now. Yeah. We just talked about him.
59:44Yeah. Yeah. I mean, no Goddard. And Tuckker also.
59:47Yeah. Makai Lemon has had fine route shares. And without Goddard, I think it's interesting.
59:51It's a good matchup this week. Dontavian Wicks, you can go with him as well.
59:56We've talked about him relentlessly over the last three weeks.
59:59Trey Tucker, I think, is probably one of the most undervalued players in fantasy right now.
60:05I should have had him as an ad on 15 transactions in hindsight.
60:09He's getting a lot of run. And he is seeing an obscene number of percent of his routes with only two or
60:16fewer wide receivers on the field, which is a very good indicator of getting a higher targets per out run rate and higher target share then.
60:24So Trey Tucker is a pretty interesting player to just have on your route.
60:28I'm in a deep league where I'm starting him this week.
60:32So I don't think that he's that bad of a play.
60:35A.D. Mitchell this week, obviously, we like him. But if someone drops him for whatever reason, they get Chicago next week.
60:42Malik Washington, maybe, with all the injuries to Miami.
60:45Ted Hurst, who I talked about on the 10 Trends episode, he actually has pretty good peripherals.
60:50You know, speaking of a Denzel Boston-y type role, outside perimeter X, highly volatile type role.
60:56That's Ted Hurst, right? And if that Buccaneers offense just clicks a little bit more, he could be more valuable in fantasy.
61:03And then Jacob Cowling has a dart throw with all the injuries and stuff going on with the San Francisco 49ers pass catching room.
61:10And then at tight end, Bretton Strange next week at Cincinnati.
61:14That's a good matchup. Aranda Gadsden should get more run this week.
61:18So you want to add him before anything were to happen.
61:21And then Terrence Ferguson and Kenyon Sadiq. You can look at them with openings with Nakua and now A.D.
61:27Mitchell, but also Mason Taylor being out for Sadiq.
61:30We'll see what happens with Mitchell. At defense, I wanted to call out Baltimore.
61:34They're still rostered in like 60% of Yahoo leagues, but people might be dropping Baltimore this week because they get Dallas.
61:41But after this week, they get Tennessee. No offense.
61:44They get Tennessee. Then Atlanta. Atlanta after last night looks a little bit more difficult of a matchup than we initially thought.
61:51And then Cleveland after that. I think you could realistically play Baltimore for three straight games after this Dallas game this week.
61:58So keep them in mind. The next week's streaming defenses are really tough for the record.
62:03Very, very difficult. So looking at only the percent roster numbers and guys like defenses that are that are rostered in low number of leagues.
62:11The Cardinals get the Giants. Kind of interesting. The Colts get the Commanders.
62:15Kind of interesting. But the Colts defense has been bad.
62:18And then the Browns get the Steelers. I mean, that's how rough it is at for defensive streamers next week.
62:25But those are at least the ones that I can pick out.
62:29Yeah, we're talking about the look ahead where we are.
62:32But also another factor that we've got coming in, JJ, is a couple weeks.
62:36We're going to start by weeks. And players on buys, teams on buys.
62:40So you're going to have to start looking ahead for those.
62:44Okay. All right. Let's wrap this up, JJ. All right.
62:47As a reminder, like, subscribe, comment, sign up for the newsletter.
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63:09It's free to subscribe. Go to late round dot com for that.
63:13But JJ, now it's time to pick our quad box.
63:16Just recapping what we did last week. I don't know.
63:19We might have jinxed some things right here. If you look, the three major quarterback injuries were the three games that we picked.
63:26The Giants, the Bears, and the Vikings, and then Washington versus Dallas.
63:30Jacksonville and Denver. That was a snoozer. Yeah, we did a bad job last week.
63:35Yes, we got it. We got to pick it up this week.
63:39Week one was good, though. We did a pretty good job week one.
63:43We actually crushed week one from like a fantasy perspective.
63:46Week one was solid. You want to start? Yeah, I think there's an obvious one to go to first.
63:52I think it's Baltimore and Dallas. Yeah, I was wondering if you're going to use your Brazilian accent for this.
63:58No, I don't. I don't have a Brazilian accent.
64:01Yeah, people might not know that this game is in Rio.
64:05This is the Rio game. Yes, it's the Rio game.
64:08Yeah. So it's the afternoon game. Not a night game, but it is the afternoon game.
64:13All right. I'm going to go with Jets at Lions.
64:16Oh, my gosh. What are you doing? Yeah. No, we talked about Sadiq.
64:20Talk about I. I wonder if the Jets might be just a little bit for real.
64:25If their offense might be for real. I mean, they played like garbage against the Packers last week.
64:31So and we saw the back. They started out OK, but the Lions, we have all these all these fantasy assets.
64:38I'm going to be invested. There's interesting pieces from fantasy perspective here.
64:42All right. So you're going to go. You're going to go New York Jets versus the Lions.
64:47Yeah. All right. I'm going to go with this next one.
64:51I think I'm going to go Rams Broncos. OK, because I think there's a lot of intrigue from the standpoint of just
64:58players that we care about in fantasy. You got Jalen Waddle.
65:01You want to see what the backfield looks like for Denver.
65:05Let's see if T for can can, you know, have an encore and say with Devante Adams.
65:10I think it's going to be an interesting matchup.
65:13OK, I'm going to change my Jets in Detroit to Chargers and Bills.
65:17OK, that's a good one. Yeah. Because I want to see if the Chargers are legit.
65:22And obviously we know about the Bills. And then my fourth game is going to be the Vikings at Bucks.
65:29Really? Yeah. Kyler's back. And I just like people are saying that Baker's cooked.
65:33I don't know that. I think I think my my my pick would have been New England and Jacksonville.
65:39Yeah. That was the only other pick that I had.
65:42Yeah. Up there. But some of these games are going to be lopsided games like also like the Titans and Giants.
65:49Not, you know, not exactly fantasy friendly. Maybe the Cardinals at 49ers.
65:53You could see some garbage time and some interesting plays there.
65:56Brock Brady's been crushing it. But yeah. All right.
65:59That's our quad box. Final thoughts, JJ. No, I mean, I'm excited for week three.
66:04I think that the fantasy season's gone pretty well so far.
66:07And I'm hoping that that things keep rolling. Awesome.
66:10Well, we appreciate everyone for tuning in. We appreciate all the comments, all the likes, all the subscribes that we have.
66:17And I just know that there might be some people that have been experiencing pain these first few weeks.
66:23There are some oh and two teams out there.
66:26Don't give up. Don't give up. Now is the time where you put your hand down.
66:31You're getting those trenches, JJ, and you dig yourself out.
66:34So that's my motivation to you. Let's have a great week three.
66:38We'll see you next time here on the Late Round Fantasy Football Show.
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