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0:35Austin Eckler is an NFL running back who's the all-time leading rusher for Western Colorado University.
0:40He has the second most yards from scrimmage of any undrafted running back in NFL history.
0:44He's a husband, a PPR machine, and he wants to be the commissioner of fantasy football.
0:48These are his late round perspectives. Kind of crazy getting ready for football and fantasy season all coming together.
0:53You know how it goes. How are you feeling after last year's injury?
0:56I'm feeling good now. I've had enough time to recover, and my mind and the body have fully established themselves as ready
1:02to go forward now from the injury. I feel like that's got to be a big...
1:06I know they're talking about that. Malik Nabors coming back and Kittle obviously had the Achilles as well.
1:11I would imagine that... I know they say this a lot for running backs in particular, that the larger hurdle isn't even the physical.
1:17It's just the mental of being able to go back out there and take hits and do all that.
1:22Is that true? It's part of it. You know, there's a lot of pieces to it.
1:26I think the biggest thing that you don't really realize when you're in it or when you're not in it is that there's two get backs.
1:33You have to heal and then you have to get back in shape.
1:36Yeah. There's two parts of it. You know, if you weren't an athlete, you could just heal and then be fine.
1:41But then since you're an athlete, you have to also get back in shape and not just shape, but you have to
1:47get back in the top shape of your life to be able to compete at the highest level.
1:52So it's really, really particular on being able to get back as much as you can.
1:56And now that modern medicine's got as good as it is, it's expected that you can come back from it.
2:01But it's a lot easier said than done. Doesn't it feel like that some of these guys are coming back faster this year than like ever be?
2:08I mean, like even like I'm looking at like Zach Charbonnet, who, yes, was put on PUP.
2:12But at the same time, like they're talking about this, like, you know, expedited timeline for him or even like Kittle himself,
2:18you know, like he's playing this week, you know, and he's ready to go.
2:22Like, do you think that is a modern medicine type deal going on there?
2:25I don't want to say that it's like, you know, like peptides or anything like that.
2:30But but obviously there's like a lot of stuff just going on there where we're seeing these these guys get back and healthier quicker.
2:36It seems like. Yeah. Yeah. I think you see that just in modern medicine in general, you know, we're having we're coming
2:41up with more and more things to help us recover faster, recover from things that maybe weren't thought to be recoverable from like now Achilles.
2:48If you come back from Achilles ACL, all these year injuries, like your ending injuries, you're expected to come back next year.
2:54So I would say that alone is a sign that our medicine has gotten so good that, yeah, nothing really can stop
2:59you from a ligament or tendon standpoint at this point.
3:02Yeah. Yeah. It's crazy, man. Well, I do want to say so I was I was at Radio Row last year and we interviewed Josh Johnson.
3:09Yeah. Part of that commander's team last year. And one of the things first off, he was great because he has all
3:14the experience that he has being on all the teams that he has.
3:18And I just love the wisdom he was able to drop just based on that experience and whatnot.
3:22But one of the things that I did want to ask you real quick before we kind of dug into you with
3:28fantasy and I want to I want to really ask a lot of nerdy running back questions, too.
3:33Sure. So David Blau stepping up being the OC there.
3:35He had a lot. You know, Josh had a lot of good things to say about Blau.
3:40I'm curious about what your thoughts are. And then on top of that, one of the big things with Cliff Kingsbury's offense is a lot of shotgun, right?
3:47I mean, like they led the league in shock in the last two years by like a very, very high rate.
3:52And so first off, I want to hear your thoughts on Blau if you have any.
3:56But then the other the other thing I want to hear about is you as a running back.
4:01Do you prefer playing out of shotgun playing under center?
4:04Like what like like is there a is it more comfortable for you one way or another?
4:08Obviously, I think you come from a really interesting perspective, too, because your past catching background.
4:12But I just want to kind of hear hear what your thoughts are about that that commanders team with David Blau.
4:18Yeah, I think we'll start with the David Blau comment.
4:20I think something as a player that we don't always see is the coaching side behind the scenes, because if we're getting
4:26installs presented to us, it's usually by our position coach or the coordinator.
4:29And so we don't get to see all of the inside of the meeting, like who's coming up with plays, like how
4:35they're all being coordinated and things like that. But David Blau, he would every once in a while go up and share
4:41a play with us, you know, that he that he created.
4:44And so there's a little hint of like, oh, OK, maybe he's doing a little bit more behind the scenes like we're
4:49not in their staff meetings and stuff like that.
4:52So for you to become a assistant and then go to a coordinator role, there's got to be a ton of trust
4:57in that head coach and that GM as well, because their their job is on the line.
5:02So you don't just get promoted like that. There's not a ton of trust.
5:05So he had obviously shown some sort of growth and some sort of commitment to that being able to take on that
5:11role in the last two years as he was under Cliff Kingsbury.
5:14And yeah, with Cliff kind of transitioning to the shotgun question for me, I prefer being a shotgun and I've never been
5:20like a big between the tackles runner. I'm just not a big person.
5:23It's harder for me to run through arm tackles.
5:25You know, yeah, I can do it. But the mass of a, you know, a defensive lineman takes a little bit more
5:31toll on 195 pounds as opposed to maybe 220, you know, some of these guys out here.
5:36So I like being from shotgun. Also, I think it allows me to see better because the quarterback's not in my way.
5:41Typically for under center quarterbacks coming straight back. So I got to move to the left or to the right immediately.
5:47And so if we're a shotgun, I can see the full picture of quarterbacks already behind me as he takes his drop
5:52and I can get a little bit clearer picture from the line.
5:55So, and also I like to catch the ball too.
5:58So if we're in shotgun, you know, we're probably, we're probably in a throwing formation.
6:02So I'll take that. Yeah. Yeah. I was going to say, I would imagine from your perspective too, out of shotgun, it's
6:08just easier to kind of like get into space, kind of get a, get a feel for what's around you out in the flat.
6:14And then you're able to do your thing as a pass catcher, right?
6:17Let me give you this. Yeah. Let me give you this scenario.
6:20So I had a scenario actually two years ago, Jaden, and we were running a play action from under center and I had protection.
6:26I had pass protection on the same play. I stepped to the left to go do the play action.
6:31My defender came from the right side. Right. Right.
6:34So I'm going, Jaden's coming straight back. He's not looking down the field.
6:37He's looking back at me to, to give me a ball fake.
6:40And I got to go, I got to go right, but I'm stepping left.
6:44So I got to get over there. And I ended up getting blasted because I was in a good position because I
6:49was just too late to get over there. And I get thrown right into Jaden.
6:53It's a sack. And so like instances like that, that I would prefer if we were just doing a play action from
6:59the shotgun where he's already going to be behind me and I can abort and I don't have to go around him.
7:05So there's some technical things like that, that I would prefer, you know, being from, being from the shotgun.
7:10Yeah. Makes a lot of sense. All right. I want to talk to you about fantasy too.
7:14So you sort of become like an ambassador within the, within the space.
7:17You know, I see you everywhere, you know, you're, you're, you're, you're speaking our language, us, us nerds and mom's basement.
7:23And we appreciate that greatly, but I'm curious, you know, you embracing fantasy football.
7:26When did you first realize that fantasy was just having such a tangible impact on the way that fans kind of viewed
7:32you as a player and how that's evolved and what you think locker rooms feel about the game these days?
7:37Yeah. Let's jump into it. I think, first of all, I would love to professionalize fantasy sports in some type of way
7:43and be the commissioner of professional fantasy sports. I'm here for that.
7:46And so that's the project I'm working on for next year, but that's, you said, I'm trying to, I'm kind of becoming like an ambassador.
7:53I would love to be the commissioner of the professional league.
7:55Love it. So that's in the works. But fantasy, when did I first come into fantasy and realized the community was as dedicated as they were?
8:02It was my rookie year. So my rookie year, I was a third string running back and really was just playing on special teams.
8:08And then about three weeks in our backup ends up hurting his hamstring and I get elevated to second string.
8:14And this is like the first time I've ever gotten like some, some real burn as a, as a backup.
8:19Uh, Melvin Gordon was in front of us as a starter.
8:22He actually had like some lingering injury. So I was like, Austin, you're going to get some, you're gonna get some play at offense this, this week.
8:29And this is a big jump for me. Cause I'm, like I said, usually playing on special teams.
8:33And so we're playing Jacksonville and I ended up popping off.
8:36I had like two touchdowns and like 70 yards as a, as a waiver pickup that you're like desperate.
8:41I need someone on the bench. Maybe like I got to bring someone in.
8:45So rarely anyone picked me up that week, but I ended up scoring.
8:48I don't even know, like 15 points in fantasy.
8:50And in that game, I was in that four minute offense at the end of the game, ended up fumbling the ball.
8:56I fumbled the ball and we lose the game in overtime because of that.
9:00Basically that kind of led them to score a point and tie in the game.
9:03And at the end of the game, I had a ton of fans that were pissed.
9:08Charger fans, a rookie should never be in the game.
9:10That moment was too big for you. Yada, yada, yada.
9:13Just ripping me. All of a sudden, I also have this huge community of fantasy fans.
9:17We love you. You're awesome. Like you're the best.
9:19Like, I didn't know you could do that. Like, so I have all this love.
9:23I'm like, who the heck are these people? So that was my first introduction to fantasy was, uh, ended up losing the
9:29game, but they didn't care what the, what the scoreboard said.
9:32They just cared that I played well. Um, and so ever since then I started to kind of embrace this community that
9:37didn't, didn't really care about the logo. They don't care about the name on your, on your, on the front, right?
9:43They just care about the name on the back and that you do well.
9:46Is Austin doing well for my team? And so I really, I enjoyed that because it allows fans to open their mind
9:52across the league and follow other players all around, regardless if they're on their fan, uh, their team.
9:57Yeah. You know, I, I grew up in Pittsburgh and, uh, and so I grew up a Steelers fan, went to a
10:02ton of Steelers games growing up and stuff. And for me doing this as my job, I mean, this is, you know,
10:08I've been doing this now for over a decade, you know, as, as my full-time gig.
10:12And like what I've, I've just grown to appreciate what, how other teams build and how other teams do things.
10:17And like, like you, if you talk to 17 year old JJ about like enjoying what the Ravens are doing, you know,
10:23as a Steelers fan growing up, like he would, he would punch me in the face.
10:27Right. Because, but, but I, I can sit here and just appreciate the game more because of what fantasy football has done
10:33in terms of me just understanding the game on a deeper level and stuff.
10:37I was going to say for me, I would say 95% of the people that come up to me are like, Hey,
10:42I had you on fantasy or you crushed it for me in fantasy, or I made some money betting on you.
10:48And so that has opened my eyes up to enjoying it.
10:51And you asked about the locker room. It is not in the locker room.
10:54It is not in the locker room at all.
10:57We, as players typically do not pay attention to any of this stuff.
11:00I am definitely an outlier when it comes to getting into this, because for me, I realized that, Hey, there's two sides of the, of the NFL.
11:07There are a business. There's the one that we get paid directly.
11:10And then there's the community that's out there to get into the community.
11:13You got to do some extra stuff. You got to go out and kind of, you know, be active in some sort of way.
11:20Some people do it through charity camps, things like that.
11:22Yeah. I was like, this fantasy thing is massive.
11:24People love this stuff. And so I'm like, I'm going to start my own show, start my own fantasy leagues and really get into that side.
11:31So that's kind of been my outside of football interests that I've been, you know, continue to, to invest.
11:36And so most people get, they get the toxic side because here's the deal.
11:40Yeah. Here's the deal. There's way more positivity in fantasy than there is toxicity.
11:43However, however, maybe not sports betting, sports betting is a little different because we'll get into that in a second, but fantasy
11:49football, way more positivity because people have a long stretch of time that you can go up and down.
11:54But the thing is it's the negativity that speaks loudest.
11:57Yes. Right. So when you're in my DMS and comments, I'm just seeing that I'm just seeing people just raging.
12:02Right. I'm not seeing all the positive, like, thank you.
12:04Thank you. Thank you. So if you're not really into it and like following it that closely, you're going to see all that.
12:10And this, these people suck. I hate this. Um, for the most part, it's a, it's a pretty positive community.
12:15And here's my thing. I say, I tell this to my wife all the time.
12:19It's like in fantasy, especially it sucks to suck.
12:22If you suck, you're going to hear about it.
12:24If you don't suck, they're going to love you.
12:26You know? So, Hey, the better you are, the better it's going to be.
12:30Well, you also, you know, you're coming from the perspective that, you know, you were undrafted.
12:34And by the way, I have a, I have a prospect model that I built that, you know, tries to project how
12:40well running backs and wide receivers and tight ends are going to perform at the NFL level.
12:44And unfortunately I only, cause I have to set the line, the like, you know, guardrails somewhere.
12:49And I don't have undrafted who didn't go to the combine players in said my otherwise, cause it's all based on like, like adjusted production in college.
12:56So like, you know, program, and age adjusted stuff.
12:58I mean, I know your production profile in college is absolutely bonkers, but you were not in the, in the zap model.
13:04I call it the Zachary's an adjusted prospect model, but you coming from, you know, an undrafted background where, you know, I
13:09don't, you know, expectations weren't as high as the first overall pick, obviously.
13:13And so I do think, I do think, I do think though, that like, there's a story to you in particular with
13:18fantasy football where you were sort of this, like, you know, like underdog type story where you were, you were, and then
13:24you ended up being like a fantasy football hero to so many people because, you know, they probably acquired you, like you
13:30said, off the waiver wire, or they didn't even need to like go after you in their rookie draft and dynasty or something like that.
13:36And then you absolutely dominated and you were the, you know, the, the PPR scammer out there catching all these passes and
13:42you were helping people out that way. And so like, I would imagine that you are coming, you know, like you've hopefully
13:48you've experienced mostly good, like you're saying, which, which is really, really great.
13:51But I do, you know, speaking of like younger running backs and such, when you are looking at and you're watching a
13:57young running back, what are the things that, that you were looking for that, that tell you whether he can play or
14:02not that maybe the box score isn't showing? Yeah.
14:05I love the setup. I would say this. And I was, I say, I took the stairs, you know, you can get
14:10to the end point, which is making a team and hopefully having an impact.
14:14Some people get the elevator, which is what I call the draft.
14:17Some people get the fast track, right? Hey, elevator, bring top floor, first round pick.
14:21It might be a seventh round pick, but you're still getting the elevator.
14:24You still have some investment from that team. People that had to take the stairs of the undrafted people like myself, that there was, there was no expectations.
14:31There was no investment from that team. So we had to earn every ounce of expectation.
14:36You're taking, you're taking the stairs of a skyscraper, you know, in your, in your case.
14:40100%. So here's the thing here. Let me answer your question too, because you asked like, what, what is it that you can't see in the box score?
14:47Well, it's not for many, but the mindset, it is.
14:50Straight up mindset want to like, there's, there's so much that goes into this game.
14:53And you hear about the mental part sometimes that pops up and the mental part of the game is so impactful that
14:59if you are locked in, in the mind, let me give you perspective of how I treated it.
15:04For me, this wasn't just an opportunity to go and play football at the next level.
15:08I treated it like my life depended on it.
15:10I was the most stressed I've ever been in my life going through my OTAs in my training camp as a rookie, because this was it.
15:17I have to make this work because there's nothing else besides this.
15:20And for me, I just remember nonstop studying, being stressed.
15:23I was the only rookie too. So I remember I was breaking down crying one time because I was so stressed.
15:28I never moved up the depth chart one time I was six string.
15:32And I felt like I was doing everything I possibly could.
15:34I'm studying extra. I would get like four reps a day, but my four reps would be solid.
15:39It wasn't like I was making crazy Superman plays, but I was doing my job.
15:43I was in the right spot, right time using the right technique.
15:46And so I was doing the things that I was supposed to be doing because I was so locked in on not
15:52messing up when I got an opportunity because I didn't know when I was going to get those because it was far between.
15:58There's no six string. You're up. It's third string.
16:00Austin, hey, go snag a rep. And so I was 100% mentally engulfed in this opportunity.
16:04And yes, I had the physical attributes as far as like, hey, I was fast.
16:08I wasn't the fastest. I was strong. I wasn't the strongest, but I made it work.
16:12I was compact. I was able to stand my ground.
16:15And then the mental part, I was using the right technique, the right time.
16:18And the coaches trusted me. So coaches continue to build trust in me because I was doing what they were coaching to.
16:24And then I was showing the, hey, I can have some upside as well.
16:28So I remember my first kind of recognition from our head coach, Anthony Lynn at the time I was on special team scout team.
16:34So I was on, I was the punt. I was the practice squad punt team for the punt team.
16:39And I was the personal protector, the guy that stands in the back.
16:42And I just remember I was flying every time and he jogged back.
16:45There's no like backup for the scout team. You draw back and you go again for the next group.
16:50And I'm full. I'm just, I'm running like my life depends on it down the field.
16:55And Anthony Lynn comes into the special teams meeting.
16:57He's like, dang, like, hey, coach Stu, that's our special teams coach.
17:00Like who's number three? That guy's flying down the field.
17:03And coach Stu goes, that's, that's Eckler. He's been giving us a hell of a look, um, all camp.
17:07And so that was like my first recognition of like, okay, maybe they see me.
17:11And, um, my favorite stat to this day actually is I led the entire league and tackles on punt.
17:16Um, my rookie year, never covered a punt in my life.
17:19I've never been on punt, but I treated it like, again, like my life depended on it.
17:24And so that was the opportunity. That was what was going to get me in the league.
17:28And, um, that was the thing that they couldn't measure.
17:30And that's why I kind of was the underdog story because my mentality was able to push me through, but you can't, you can't measure that on paper.
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18:57Yeah, so hey, look, it shows itself in different ways, but can you interpret that?
19:01Can you interpret that as like, oh, this guy's actually really locked in.
19:04Sorry to go on another little tangent, but like the mental side, like understanding the coaches.
19:08Like, I didn't realize this until I really got into it, but coaches are so, so on edge when it comes to
19:14making sure people are doing the right thing. Because if someone messes up, like let's say I go out there and mess
19:19up a rep, you know, the head coach is looking at my position coach.
19:23Like, what the hell is he doing? Why is he in the wrong?
19:26Why is he not know what he's supposed to do?
19:29So now he's on the hot seat. He's looking like, oh, shoot.
19:32Like, I got it. So he wants to make sure that if he puts a guy out there, that he knows what the heck he's doing.
19:39And especially on third down, when it comes to, if you get the quarterback hit, it's everybody.
19:43It's, it's, it's on the player. It's on the, the offensive line coach.
19:47It's on the running back coach. And so it's like, everyone has a trickle effect on how players can do on the field.
19:53And so I was able to, again, be in the right spot, right time, gain the trust.
19:57And I slowly started to build off of that.
19:59Speaking of the coaching stuff, something that I've always kind of preached to folks is that like, you know, we're, we're evaluating running back talent.
20:06We obviously are hoping and praying, crossing our fingers that talent wins out, that the best running back that, that, you know, ends up seeing the most work.
20:13Right. But ultimately running back, arguably more than some other positions will come down to a coaching decision.
20:18Right. Like if coach wants to split a backfield, you can split a backfield, you know, you can go that, that direction.
20:23I would first ask if that's something that you generally agree with that, like coach to coach, you're just going to see different preference.
20:30And then that could just lead to different volume, which can then lead to obviously different fantasy production.
20:34And then are there instances, you don't have to name names or anything, but are there instances where you just like say
20:40to yourself, why are these teams deploying these running backs this way?
20:43I think, you know, what you just talked about really resonated with me with like new England's backfield last year, where you're
20:49talking about guys who are just doing their job and are, are, you know, guys that, that the coaches might, might just
20:54prefer more than what the average fan sees. I think that's what we probably saw a lot of between Ramondre and Travion
21:00last year, where it was like, you know, you see the explosive back and Travion, you see what he can do, like
21:06that game against Tampa Bay, where he goes absolutely bonkers and nuclear.
21:09Right. But Ramondre, aside from the fumbling stuff, which he did fix, you know, during the, after the first month of the
21:15season, like he just is doing everything right. Right.
21:17I mean, he's good in pass pro he's able to, to, to grind out the tough yards, et cetera, et cetera.
21:22So, you know, I guess my, my, you know, to go back to the question, is this a real thing in your
21:28opinion with the way that coaches just, they're like, I want to divvy it this way.
21:32This is just the way it's going to be.
21:34And we have to be cognizant of that as fantasy managers.
21:37But then, you know, are there instances where you're sitting on your couch or if you're analyzing the game, whatever the case
21:43may be, you're just like, what in the world is this coach doing splitting the backfield like this?
21:48Yeah. I think there's a few different instances that play themselves out and you kind of see them throughout the league.
21:53I'll name some teams as we get into it, but they're, first of all, playing.
21:57Running back as a rookie is tough because you, it's, it's really, it's the past protection.
22:01Yeah. The past protection is the biggest mental hurdle that coaches have to be able to trust and get over to trust
22:07you to go in on third downs or passing situations.
22:09Two minutes, third downs, end of games, or Hey, you're down by a few scores.
22:13Those types of scenarios, you got to have a court running back in the game that can protect for your quarterback.
22:19And if you can't, it's going to be hard for you to get on the field, no matter how you might be the most explosive player ever.
22:26However, we got to throw the ball 20 yards down the field.
22:29We can't keep handing it off to you. So that's going to play a factor into it with rookies.
22:34And that's what I see a lot with rookies.
22:36And that's what I've seen from my experience is rookie running backs have a tough time learning pass protection because it's not simple.
22:42Offensive lines are going to take the five people.
22:44You got everybody else. Right. They're going to take the five base.
22:47You got, and we're sorting stuff. We're bumping stuff.
22:50They're moving around on defense. It's like trying to just eliminate what you shouldn't.
22:53Got to be, got to be frightening too. I mean, these, yeah.
22:56260 pound linebackers go fast. People are fast, right?
22:59You got D line coming up the field. You got people looping and stuff.
23:02So you're going to be able to track with your eyes and know where people can fit.
23:07And so that is the biggest hurdle that you'll see.
23:09Maybe that's what happened out in, um, in new England with you guys, uh, or, or Travion, I should say.
23:15I don't know. I don't know that scenario, but that played a factor into it.
23:18Going back to the trust though. Let's talk about the guys that don't, don't, that actually can stay on the field.
23:24There are a few guys in the league that can actually demand that type of respect and Hey, can actually do all three phases.
23:30You know, I think a Christian McCaffrey is one that's done that.
23:33Saquon's done that. Um, and so I think Dalvin Cook's another one that's done that guys that they're just all around good
23:39between the tackles can pass, protect, can catch the ball out of the backfield.
23:42Those guys are going to be really easy to work with because they're going to be on top of their stuff.
23:48And those guys have put a standard out there that, Hey, I, I deserve to be at this top level getting paid top dollars.
23:54So I can, I need to stay on the field, but you're going to have scenarios.
23:58Like you do with maybe like Derrick Henry, where he's so dominant and just running the ball that he might not be
24:04the best to put on there out there on third down.
24:07You put like a Hill out there or something like that.
24:10So you're going to have these different scenarios that play themselves out and here the season's long.
24:14So if you can have some people to supplement people's strengths for me, like right, right now in my current position, I'm
24:20definitely going to be a third down two minute end of game right passing situation type of player.
24:24That's where I'm at my career. That's where I've been strong and that's where I'm at right now.
24:29And so you're going to want to compliment. And guess what?
24:32Having that compliment is actually great. You still incorporate in a way that you can kind of hide it.
24:37So it's not as obvious all the time, but they do their homework too.
24:40They know what the strengths are and stuff like that.
24:43But for longevity throughout the season, it's going to help your backfield just as much.
24:47You know, what's the biggest worry with Christian every single year?
24:50Well, he's going to get hurt, but when he's not hurt, dude is the most dynamic player in the league at the running back position.
24:56Right. And so you want to have some of that maintenance.
24:59So it's not bad to have, you know, a tandem and stuff like that, or someone, another backup.
25:04Now, from a fantasy perspective, if you see a committee, I run away.
25:07I'm not even going near committee. You know, that's how we had an actually Washington, you know, the past two years, there's
25:13like three running backs that are rotating through there.
25:15You have guys that can run a couple of guys that can pass.
25:18And so in that backfield, Hey, you have maybe a few guys that you can trust.
25:23Maybe they're not all the strongest in certain spots.
25:25So you kind of let them kind of go through, get flow, just trying to keep everyone fresh and contribute.
25:30And so I'll end with that is, so yeah, I'm always looking for the dominant, you know, if I can.
25:35And then a duo is not as bad, but then I stay away from the committees.
25:39Yeah. Yeah. I feel that. Another question I have, you know, you obviously being one of the premier like pass catching backs
25:45that we've seen really over the last decade in the league.
25:48I'm curious, you know, when, when I'm analyzing pass catching stuff, especially when I'm looking at guys from college to the pros,
25:54like there's a lot of predictive metrics that are, and I'm, I'm the nerd in the space.
25:58You know, I do things analytically and I'm looking at things from that perspective.
26:02And there are definitely some things that I can look at analytically that help predict and project how well a guy's going
26:07to be a pass catcher in the NFL. But regardless of that, like I've gotten to the point where I almost view
26:13running back as, and I want you to break this down because it's, it's something that I think is really important where
26:19I have like three buckets of pass catching running back.
26:21There's the guys who are like extremely elite. They can line up all over the field.
26:25You'll see them in the slot, you know, Christian obviously being one of them McCaffrey being one, but then there's the guys
26:31who we just know it's just not what they do.
26:34I mean, maybe you could put Derek Henry in there, but I'm even thinking more like Gus Edwards type players.
26:39Like it's just not, not, not their thing, but they're obviously bruisers.
26:42They're great in between the tackles. I would say that those extremes are, are, are, are pretty narrow.
26:47There's not a ton of players that are in those buckets necessarily, but there's a large bucket in the, in the middle
26:52where when called upon, they can do their thing.
26:55It's just that it depends on what schematically things look like and what they are called to do.
26:59Right. Good example of that would be like Kenneth Walker, who I think is actually a fine pass catcher, but he's been
27:05in these scenarios aside from the one year with Ryan grub, where he's seeing like an 8% target share where, you know,
27:11instead of that, like 13% type spike. And so my question to you is like, what are the things that you're looking
27:16for that separate a running back being a good pass catcher or a great pass catcher to one that might have some work to do?
27:23Yeah. I think a big part of that actually that you didn't mention was the coordinator and what is the coordinator's philosophy.
27:29And the reason I say that is because like, let's, let's use an example from my past at the charges.
27:34We get Joe Lombardi over from the saints who had just had Alvin Kamara.
27:37So a lot of that, that passing game was little dump dumps down to the flat, right?
27:42Checkdowns are like number three in the progression. Usually the number five in the progression.
27:46And so now, Hey, we're going to give Austin the ball in space.
27:49He's going to be in the, he's going to catch a lot more balls.
27:53He's going to get some screens down the red zone, all of that.
27:56If you have a player that can not even, and here's the thing, my average, I think, you know, route run or
28:02catch when I was catching the ball was like negative two yards.
28:05Right. Right. Right. I'm catching the ball behind the line of scrimmage.
28:08Right. And so I'm considered a, a pass catching running back, but it doesn't mean I'm routing guys up out down the field.
28:14Like I'm just getting dump offs and I'm making people miss.
28:17And so avoidability is going to help you as one of the premier, be a premier pass catcher.
28:21Cause as a running back, you're a lot of times behind the line of scrimmage after protecting and then everyone else is
28:27dumping, uh, backing up from, uh, for defense. And so I go from Joe Lombardi lead the league in touchdowns two years in a row.
28:33And then all of a sudden we get Kellen Moore who comes in from Dallas and what did he do?
28:39They were just the number one, uh, passing offense in the league.
28:42That means they're trying to sling that thing down the field.
28:45And all of a sudden Austin's productivity tanks. Um, like I'm just not existing anymore because now I'm number five in the
28:50progression as opposed to number three in the progression.
28:53Um, and so the philosophy of the, of the coordinator is definitely going to play into that.
28:57But then also as a route run or as a pass catching running back, it is the avoidability because a lot of
29:03times it's going to be something that's a short pass.
29:05Can you make the first guy miss? And so that is going to help determine whether you're a route runner or not
29:11from an analytics standpoint, because you're gonna get more balls thrown to you if you can make a man miss.
29:16And so you can see these guys that are averaging between like nine and 10 yards per reception, those guys are making the first guy miss.
29:23They are not getting down the field and actually, you know, catching routes down the field like that as a running back.
29:29That's just not how our position works. So I would use that metric to, um, the avoidability to, you know, kind of
29:34enhance your, your analytics of the past catching backs.
29:37Yeah. It's interesting because I did, I did a lot of research last year on just yards per route run because everyone
29:42uses yards per route run at wide receiver. And actually from what I found was really predictive of future target share.
29:48So like if you had high yards per route run rates, future seasons, you would actually see an uptick and just volume
29:53raw volume at the position as opposed to that's why, like, you know, a player like, uh, Javante Williams, for instance, who
29:59has not been that efficient through the air, but you know, it's kind of the default in Dallas right now, but it's
30:05a little bit scary from like a pro an overall profile standpoint, because you know, it's more fragile, right?
30:10Because what if there was a player there that could step in and just be a little bit more efficient through the air?
30:16Whereas like Jalen Warren dude is just unreal every year, you know, on a per route run basis.
30:20Now, obviously last year there was a little bit of that Kenneth Gainwell stuff going on, but yeah, I mean like it's,
30:26it's a really, to me, it's just one of the more interesting because it's so important in fantasy.
30:31The pass catching stuff is like everything in fantasy.
30:33So it's always been something I've been, I've been just, you know, really, really interested in.
30:37All right. Just a couple more questions before I let you go.
30:40We're on the verge of watching a whole lot of football.
30:43Thank God. It's here. Finally, which fantasy players, any position do you think could, could break out this year?
30:48I have a few. I think David Montgomery is going to have a good year.
30:52I think this is, I know he's getting older, you know, in, in running back terms anyway, and he's in it and somewhat of a split carry backfield.
30:59We'll see, but I think a new contract and a new scenario with a team that's looking to make a better, better run.
31:05You know, they had an early round exit, uh, the Texans last year.
31:08So I'm, I'm thinking David Montgomery is going to have a, have a, have a big year this year.
31:13Um, and he's kind of getting broken up against, uh, away from, uh, Jameer Gibbs, obviously.
31:17And so I think I'm looking for him. Um, he's one of my, kind of my, like not a sleeper cause he's,
31:23he's made a move for himself, but I think he's a little bit further down on the list.
31:28Um, then I think he's going to, I think he has a potential to finish in the top 10.
31:33In my opinion, it's his to lose. Um, I like that new energy though, of new team, um, new contract kind of energy kind of prove it type.
31:40Hey, this is, this is what I can do type of energy.
31:43And then I think Lab McConkie is going to be another one.
31:46Keenan Allen had 88 catches with the chargers last year because he just has that history.
31:50And that's what he does. Um, he gets open on third down.
31:53I used to call him Mr. Third down when I played with him, but I think because there was some injuries with
31:59Ladd last year and then Keenan coming in and taking a lot of that lion's share, he's not competing.
32:04Like Keenan and Ladd basically play the same position.
32:06Ladd can go all over. Keenan can go all over.
32:09So I think Ladd's going to be one that's going to have another pop-off year here in year three for him.
32:14I love, I love the Ladd call, especially. I mean, he, so like Mike McDaniels offenses, there's a lot of, you know, one, two wide receivers.
32:21He doesn't run a lot of a lot. And so like when you get fewer wide receivers on the field, it just,
32:27you just hyper target those guys and Ladd's numbers, Ladd's numbers with, with two or fewer wide outs on the field are just, are just bonkers.
32:34So I'm very excited for him this year. All right.
32:36Before I let you go, one bold prediction for this season can be anything.
32:40Uh, but let's hear it. My bold prediction is actually another Chargers reference, but O'Marrion Hampton.
32:44I have him for leading the league in rushing touchdowns, uh, this year.
32:47So that's my bold prediction. I just did a, uh, my bold predictions piece.
32:51That was one of my bold predictions. Exactly. Exactly.
32:53Yeah. Are you, are you like, do you think he can fit in that?
32:57Like, is it all good? There's been people who are like iffy on Amarrion Hampton's talent.
33:01I loved him as a prospect. I thought, you know, he got kind of an unfair shake last year, given the offensive line injuries and stuff.
33:08Like, are you, are you in, like, you think he could be a dominant?
33:11I think the usage down in the run with the running back position with McDaniels down there is going to feature him.
33:17Um, they're going to try to run the ball in.
33:20And so, I mean, if you can run the ball in, especially with a hard ball who already likes to run the
33:25ball, I think he can be featured down there in the goal line and gobble up all of those, all those rushing touchdowns.
33:31I love it. I love it, man. Uh, thank you so much for the time.
33:35Let everyone know, you know, what you're working on, you know, plug whatever you want to.
33:39Yeah, absolutely. So obviously fantasy is here. And actually I have a national fantasy league that I'm running this year.
33:44So each week we're going to see who the best in fantasy sports is every single week.
33:49We have a ton of prizes. It's free to play.
33:51It's at fantasy Royale sports. We have an app and a website if you want to check it out.
33:56But again, nationwide, everyone plays with their buddies. So you can be better than your friends, but we're trying to see who's the best in the nation.
34:03And this is all leading into me professionalizing fantasy sports next year as the commissioner.
34:07So as your commissioner for next year, fantasy sports, um, you know, looking forward to having everyone that come out and compete.
34:13So fantasy Royale, check it out and I'll see you on the leaderboards.
34:16That's awesome, man. That's awesome. As usual, everyone, make sure you check out late round.com subscribe to the show, subscribe to the YouTube channel, all that good stuff.
34:23Otherwise, thanks for tuning in. What does Drew Barrymore reach for at home?
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