0:00Meine Zehen bringen mich um. Diese Schuhe sind viel zu eng.
0:05Trägst du immer noch diese spitzen Dinger? Ich meine, sind nicht alle Laufschuhe so geformt?
0:11Nein, du brauchst Altras. Altra? Altras sind geformt wie deine Füße mit einer fußförmigen Zehenbox.
0:18Einfach viel bequemer. Bezwinge deinen Lauf mit Hallenzehen. Okay, das klingt traumhaft.
0:23Mehr Komfort, Kraft und Dynamik. Alles durch die Passform.
0:27Altra versteht das einfach. Altra, stay out there. Week 1 of the NFL season has come and gone and that means there
0:36are some performances that we need to talk about for Dynasty Fantasy Football.
0:42There are some buys, there are some sells. Myself, Thomas Tipple, and Zach Swills, we're going to guide you through it.
0:51This is Dynasty Points. If you like videos like this, be sure to hit the like and subscribe button.
0:59You guys showed up and showed out in last week's episode.
1:03We're happy to be back. This is Dynasty Points.
1:07It's the Market Report and it starts right now.
1:11Hello everybody, welcome back to Dynasty Points. It's the Market Report.
1:16If you're new here, welcome in. If you're returning, welcome back to our small corner of the Dynasty Fantasy Football landscape.
1:25Last week, we had our first market report of the new season.
1:30We are very happy with some of the results.
1:34The DeAndre Swift contract game came to fruition. We had some very interesting Week 1 performances.
1:41But that also means that there's some opportunity to buy and potentially sell.
1:46But we don't really believe in the buy low or sell high.
1:51But that doesn't mean we shouldn't have these conversations.
1:55Take a look at Week 1. Do we think some of this stuff is going to hold up?
2:03Lots of that to get through. So, Mr. Swills, I want to start with the one player that I have been pounding
2:12the table for maybe more than even somebody like Zay Flowers, who we're going to talk about later.
2:20He is a second round pick at times. He has been a 2-3 turn type player.
2:27He has been a 2-3 turn type player. He has been a 3-4 turn type player.
2:34And he has a 3-4 turn type player for another one player.
2:39And that's a 2-3 turn type player player. It sounds like Tua is going to play before panics.
2:47And this has led to some conversations in our Discord, which you can get in the link, and across the Dynasty landscape
2:56about the panic meter on Drake London. Now, I call them Little Points London for many reasons.
3:03Buck does as well. Well, sometimes you see the five or six points beside Drake London's name, and you forget that 30 points is possible.
3:14The offense looks terrible. What's your panic meter at?
3:18Are you willing to buy at his current prices?
3:22How do you feel about Drake London, knowing eventually we should get to see panics play football this year?
3:30And he was pretty good with him. Yeah, at this point, Drake London basically is in dire straits for Michael Penix.
3:39And I feel like it's going to take a little bit for us to get there because Tua hasn't even technically gotten his regular season opportunity yet.
3:51And most of the time, you don't see players lose their job opportunity because of injury.
3:57So I feel like we still have to kind of play that card and see where that goes.
4:05To be honest with you, man, my panic meter has been between a seven and eight ever since the first preseason game watching Tua versus the Broncos.
4:17And just seeing that dump off pass and basically seeing Pitts get three of the first four targets.
4:24And I immediately was like, hold on. We haven't really realized the target competition for London and the type of receiver he
4:34is in comparison to the inept quarterback play that he has.
4:39And not to mention that B. John is a one of one type of player who, in my opinion, will continue to
4:48alpha Drake London in the target department. Yeah, it's getting increasingly difficult to find the hope in Drake London and he doesn't deserve it.
4:58He didn't do anything to deserve this awful run out that he's.
5:03He's been given. He's he's still performing as an individual, right?
5:08He has a separation score that was 18th best, you know, amongst wide receivers.
5:14He has yards after reception. Yards after the catch was 23rd.
5:19He had four and a half yards after the catch.
5:23So, like, he's trying to do what he can.
5:27He's noodle arm Cooper rush. I mean, I guess I've never been so excited to get a quarterback.
5:35I've never seen play before in Jack Strand behind center.
5:39Yeah. Yeah. And it doesn't look like we're going to get that.
5:44I don't think they're going to give that to us at all.
5:49I mean, at best, you're you're probably looking at wide receiver to production.
5:55Maybe you get Michael Penix back in the lineup and we see that that London spam that was so awesome at the end of last year.
6:06It's just really tough to see a pathway for him, especially when you get into the prices.
6:13I'm going to pull up London right now. And we're just going to look at some of the trades that he's been
6:23involved in just to get some of these prices.
6:27We're recording this on September 18th. So some of these were from today.
6:32You're looking at J.K. Dobbins, Drake London, Trey McBride for Garrett Wilson, Christian Watson and Puka Nakua, which I think is an interesting trade structure.
6:43But I'm way more inclined to go with the Wilson Watson Puka side.
6:48Same. Even in a tight end premium. I think I like that side a little bit more.
6:56You've got the Drake London in a 27 second for DJ Moore.
7:01My guy, Jawan Johnson, Christian Watson and Fat Caleb Johnson.
7:05I probably lean more on the Drake London in the two side here.
7:11Yeah, ever so slightly. What about what if what if you could get Christian Watson and a first by giving up Drake London?
7:21I don't know if I'm looking at that trade in my inbox, if I'm excited to click the accept button.
7:29But I think if we're still looking at this scenario in like week four, if things are looking better for week six, then I'm way more inclined.
7:41For now, I'm probably not. It just it. It makes you think when you can look at somebody and get the explosive
7:50play concept in Watson and then potentially the pick to re-roll in 2027.
7:56It's enticing. It is. Oh, man. It's very because you're probably I mean, what's the worst case?
8:03I mean, Christian Watson can go for 25 plus 24.
8:07Here's here's where I'm right. But here let's let's remember why.
8:12Yeah. Right. One extremely long touchdown. We can pivot this over to Matthew Golden because Christian Watson is part of that conversation as well.
8:22But Christian Watson had the big play really jacked his points up.
8:27But Matthew Golden was really the guy in that offense.
8:32Yeah, just go ahead. If if if Josh Jacobs is back, I don't know if I trust the Packers to have such a pass rate over expectation.
8:43I don't know what this offensive line if it's going to matter, to be honest.
8:50You know, again, talking about O-line, D-line stuff that we're doing on the back end, it's not available available in the data suite yet.
9:00But it's just, you know, us charters are getting a lot more understanding of just O-line, D-line play in general.
9:08And there's some of these. We'll talk about it later on when we talk about the Dolphins as well.
9:17But there's some of these these lines that just looked absolutely lost in week one.
9:23Like you can tell that there's no cohesiveness in here.
9:27So even that's the one area where I get a little bit encouragement on kind of the Jordan Love, Christian Watson, Matthew
9:37Golden triangle that even if Jacobs comes back, how efficient is that run game even going to be?
9:44Yeah, I don't know how much that's mattered to Matt LaFleur.
9:49He'll just he just runs Josh Jacobs into the A-gap first and second down over.
9:56He was still trying to do it. I remember texting Jacob over the weekend that is like, there's no way he's going
10:05to run second and 10 with Marshawn Lloyd. And then first time he could do it, he did it.
10:13He did it more than once and it didn't go anywhere.
10:18It's like you can't take that out of LaFleur.
10:22Sure. I just I think it's going to be very interesting to see what happens.
10:28So I'm not willing to go all the way in on a Christian Watson and a one.
10:35But that does lead me to Matthew Golden. Right.
10:39They had a negative EPA per play. They were negative in the drop back.
10:45They did not have a very good day in terms of consistency.
10:50They explosive play. Awesome. Thank you, Christian Watson. Right.
10:54Like that's that's really. That's really how that happened.
10:58I want to talk about Matthew Golden, though, because he's not here today.
11:04But Buck was first on the Matthew Golden could break out thing.
11:09I'm hesitant even still. Six most six most routes run in week one with 40.
11:15Third most targets in 12. 12. I believe he only had two receptions in the first half, but blew up in the second.
11:25First amongst all wide receivers in targets inside the 20.
11:29That's crazy to me. You said he had three.
11:33So he's hyper targeted. Yeah. So hyper targeted inside the 20.
11:38The big area. That's what we want. Nineteenth in yards per route run, which is surprising to me because it looked like he was downfield all day.
11:50Eighth in targets per route run, which is obviously really good.
11:54Fifteenth in yak. Eighteenth in explosive reception rate. Like every time he touched the ball, he was popping off a 28 percent
12:04target share on 87 percent of the routes like that is upper tier.
12:09He was wide receiver one. He was out there in heavy personnel running the primary receiver role.
12:17Yeah, which is really what we were kind of looking for.
12:21So I'm willing to buy on. I think I'm more willing to buy a Matthew Golden than Christian Watson.
12:29And it is because I kind of know what Christian Watson is.
12:35Right. Right. Where I think Golden given. Look, it's a two game sample across his entire rookie year.
12:42They went into the playoffs. He did what he did.
12:47He balled out. Week one rolls around and he balls out.
12:51Christian Watson is a very good splash play wide receiver.
12:56I just feel like you can get a lot of those kinds of guys.
13:02I'm willing. I'm doing my dynasty rankings right now.
13:05I am in the middle of moving Golden up ahead of the guys like Rishi Rice.
13:12In that range of player. Partly because you have to pay like the idiot tax.
13:19There's the idiot tax on Rishi Rice. Right. He's just not a player I want in my dynasty roster.
13:27Through an offseason. Yeah. Can't do it. Yeah. So you got to get taxed on that.
13:34But. Week two might come around and let me know that I'm a big dummy.
13:40But in terms of that deal, I'm probably more inclined to do Golden in a one than a Watson in a one.
13:50Ooh. I feel like that's a pretty hot take.
13:53Considering what just happened in Watson's blow up. I don't think it is.
13:59But Watson wasn't. His blow up was on a singular ball.
14:04I know. I'm just talking to the box score.
14:08We're one. We're one long touchdown away from him being in that.
14:13Like. He's perennially in the Jameson Williams conversation. Yep.
14:17Where it's like, well, Jameson Williams ran what? 90% of the routes on Thursday night football.
14:23He's two. He's two plays away from being in a different conversation.
14:29Great. Great players aren't two plays away from being in a different conversation.
14:34Right. So he's just in that tier of acquirable.
14:38Christian Watson is where the market adjusts so fast.
14:42Now to players like golden golden has the playoff game.
14:46Golden has week one. If golden comes out again, uh, runs this crazy, uh, um, has this crazy route participation, this crazy target share.
14:56I mean, 12 targets is crazy. If he comes out there and has eight targets, five receptions for 78 or 80, it's
15:06still going to be looked at as if he had, you know, nine for one 10 because the season totally, like his
15:15value is just going to climb now. So long as he doesn't pull an Applebee's like two for 25.
15:23Right. And he's just, is that guy now, if we're still looking at a, the lead receiver and 13 personnel, if he's
15:33still deployed in the red zone, like that's the Lafleur number one.
15:38And so if you want the Lafleur number one, if you're trading away a legitimate elite piece, if I'm looking at a
15:47player that has the possibility to end up as a two, three turn type, I'm more inclined to believe it's someone like golden.
15:57I will leave you with this though. Oh, my 10s bring me up.
16:03These shoes are too long. Do you still wear these tight things?
16:08I mean, are not all the shoes so farmed?
16:12No, you need Altras. Altras? Altra sind geformt wie deine Füße mit einer fußförmigen Zehenbox.
16:18Einfach viel bequemer. Bezwinge deinen Lauf mit Hallenzehen. Okay, das klingt traumhaft.
16:23Mehr Komfort, Kraft und Dynamik. Alles durch die Passform.
16:27Altra versteht das einfach. Altra, stay out there. It's way too early to be doing trades like Drake London for Matthew Golden and a one.
16:38Yes, it is. I think if you pulled the average dynasty player, they would tell you that is too far to fall.
16:47But I'm going to look up some Matthew Golden trades while I pass it to you for your thoughts.
16:56But that's about where I am with that. So you beat me to the punch by basically comparing Christian Watson to Jamison
17:05Williams because that is the closest comparison that you're going to get where Watson is is never going to be a hundred
17:14and forty hundred fifty plus target type of receiver.
17:18But he showed you exactly how and why he's such a lethal deep threat and can take the top off.
17:27Obviously, for anybody that has certain types of scoring, even Scott Fishbowl, where you get these excess points for 40 plus yard receptions and stuff.
17:38That's where Watson Watson's going to absolutely dominate for you.
17:42But for Golden and Golden's defense, this is an area that I don't think anybody saw coming.
17:49I did want to give a shout out to one of my charter buddies, Eli.
17:56He's he's a madman. Every single week he tweets out every single route that Golden runs.
18:02And he's been doing it since last year because he's been a solid believer and it's kind of it's finally coming to fruition.
18:12But, you know, you talked about it. The third amongst all amongst seventy three qualified wide receivers on the week in targets
18:22with the twelve six most routes run amongst that seventy three qualifying receivers.
18:27And then the end zone targets like these are the inside the 20 targets like these are statistics that we never really imagined.
18:37Matthew Golden would be able to achieve. So I kind of brought into the question like I'm starting to think that Golden
18:47is entering into that Quentin Johnston territory where we immediately labeled them a bust and basically considered them.
18:54Maybe a fake player and throw in deals and is now in their sophomore season showing that some of these rookies take time to develop.
19:05We are way too we want it all way too early and way too fast.
19:11And some of these rookies come in very, very raw and need time to develop.
19:18And maybe just maybe Golden is showing you what, you know, a year in the NFL does for your development.
19:26Yeah. And especially for a not a developmental league.
19:30We know that you kind of have to put in the work on your own.
19:37A lot of people assume these coaches all their coaching.
19:41It is not a developmental lead league like that is obviously an issue we're having with the quarterbacks.
19:49Yep. That is a quarterback problem. And. I know last week we had a couple different like kind of side conversations.
19:58I'll tell you, I was watching, I was scrolling through my YouTube shorts last night.
20:04Um, just sitting there having a drink and relaxing.
20:08And I got a video of Andrew luck talking to John Gruden, uh, in his, I think he was either his rookie
20:17year or he was coming out of Stanford. And just hearing him, how he, they were talking about, Oh, do you know this play draw up this one?
20:29And, and what about a halfback choice? And I need to have this.
20:35And just hearing how Andrew luck is like talking about his route development and all this stuff.
20:42And then not that long after, cause algorithms are algorithming.
20:47Yeah. I get the Andrew luck barstool interview where he's talking about his cadence and he does his cadence and my, my
20:56heart almost jumps out of my chest. And then not that long after you get to the Jackson dart, John Gruden conversation about his cadence.
21:07And it was a couple of scrolls later. And I was like, yeah, massive development problem, even just from cadences.
21:15So Gruden looks at him and goes, you just clap.
21:20That's it. And he's like, yeah, just you. I felt like you wanted to like, get out.
21:27Like, get out, like, get out of my face, leave like Thad castle screaming, get out in blue mountain state.
21:35Like he was just miserable, uh, hated everything about that.
21:40But that's, that's why the, the, the, it's not a developmental league popped into my head for someone like golden.
21:48And when you see this happen, it's like a light bulb.
21:53And I think dynasty managers want to like a moth to the light.
21:59They want it. They want to just gravitate to it.
22:03So I don't think we're that far off for Matthew golden.
22:08If he comes out, like I said, it goes five for 75, six for 84.
22:14They're gonna, it's gonna have the effect of a hundred yard, eight catch type game.
22:20Um, I just want to echo to your point about it, not being a developmental league.
22:27Like you got to be able to put in the work.
22:32I mean, just think about some of our favorite people are like our favorite players to root for this season.
22:41Some of them that have absolutely put in the grind and they have gone from basically either they're undrafted or, you know,
22:50a fringe drafted player to one of the favorite.
22:54Look at Jalen Coker, Parker Washington's, even some of these first round players who were labeled bus on draft day.
23:02You kind of see them grind differently and prepare differently.
23:07And you kind of, and you see it on the field.
23:11Think about Amon Ross St. Brown feeling like he got snubbed, right?
23:17Some of the most elite receivers always kind of have that chip on their shoulder.
23:23And so, you know, golden being a first round pick never really got treated like one.
23:30Yeah. There were limitations in his profile too. So it's not, it's not like, you know, when Matthew golden was, it was,
23:39it's the classic late round wide receiver, right? Dave, you're worthy.
23:44If you, if you want to go helmet scouting and parrot, was it, was it Quinn Ewer's fault?
23:52Kind of, kind of looks like it. But yeah, I just don't think we're that far off or we, I don't think
24:01we need that much to have golden, not be that far off from that first.
24:08First. And for a golden and a first for, for Drake London, looking at some of the trades, you can still go out and get them from yesterday.
24:20Golden, a 27 second and a 27 third for Malik Willis.
24:24For some reason, uh, that's definitely, I would do that every single time.
24:30AJ Brown, Isaiah likely and Coker who is quickly turning heads.
24:34I need to tell you now, we're not talking about Jalen Coker on this program this week.
24:42And I know he's been awesome. And I know people want to talk about him.
24:48I don't have an opinion yet. I should, I should have this like, go buy, sell a, but you know, buy for
24:58a first or he's, he's a can't miss. I don't know yet.
25:03He's awesome. Cause it all boils down to Bryce young.
25:07I'll promise you this. If Bryce young continues to play with the swagger he played with in week one to the moon with both McMillan and with Coker.
25:19Yeah. I don't think so. You don't think so?
25:23No. Do you remember his playing with his swagger when he threw the touchdown and copied Lamar Jackson and turned around and
25:32put the one up and he merely went back to needing to do jumping fadeaways to, to hit his receivers.
25:41I remember. I'm trying to turn back to that end of the season.
25:46Bryce, the, the, week one Bryce looked like that Bryce at the end of 2024.
25:53Look, I agree. I'm right there with you. Um, I just, the swag thing.
25:59I don't, I don't, I can't do the like swag court.
26:04Like I can't do it, but I don't have that hashtag.
26:08He's drippy analysis. I just don't have it. But the thing with Coker is it's such a unique, um, situation.
26:17And I feel like I need more time to process it.
26:22He has moved up in my rankings. I just don't have as much of a strong lean.
26:29If that makes sense. Cause I don't think Ted McMillan sucks, but his usage in comparison kind of does.
26:37So I don't, I don't know what to do with it yet.
26:42Uh, so that's about as much Coker talk as we're getting into, but in this particular trade, with it being tight end
26:52premium, I'm more inclined to go with the likely AJ Brown Coker side.
26:57But if you want the golden and a two side, I totally get it.
27:03Uh, I talked about likely on the other show, we're talking about my, some of my biggest L's.
27:11One of my biggest L's with the, I have this weird feeling.
27:16Same here. Swales that this show is just going to be one of those ones where we start with a set of topics.
27:26No, it's, it's gonna, it's gonna start with a set of topics and it's going to become 20 other ones.
27:34Yeah. Wrapped in and mixed in between because we're now that we're bouncing from player to player, but it's not like we don't have a point with it.
27:46So hang in there. I think I missed with likely in that I dismissed what he was in Baltimore and I, I double dismissed.
27:57I dismissed what he was in Baltimore because I was probably a little bit too close to the situation.
28:05Like last week, it's like, Oh, now you figured out how to get the second foot down in the back of the end zone.
28:15Thanks. But there's that. And then it was also, Oh, maybe I should have drafted the guy who's being coached by the
28:25guy that's helped Travis Kelsey remain relevant. And also, Oh, that Greg Roman guy who we all drooled over every tight end
28:34he's had in the NFL since 2019. So like I, I completely misplaced.
28:40I fell for the meme. I, the buy when a player becomes a meme guy fell for the coaching meme, the Harbaugh stupid look on his face.
28:51Uh, the Greg Roman hate and the, and the Matt Nagy memeing.
28:56I fell for it. And so my ranking on Isaiah likely and my, uh, reluctance to draft him and trade for him came through from the memeing.
29:08And you come through and you look at this usage, eight targets, four targets inside the 20.
29:15I don't think this goes away. I'm not a big Malachi fields guy.
29:21Uh, he's their wide receiver too. It looks like in New York actually think it's Isaiah likely and yeah, the touchdown definitely helped.
29:31He should have had three. He stumbled on the, on the catching inside.
29:36I believe it was inside the 10. He kind of got hit a little bit on the leg and he stumbled.
29:45He should have had three. I don't think he's going to have 14 touchdowns on the year, but you're telling me eight
29:55targets in a tight end premium with that kind of usage inside the red zone.
30:01Um, a 3.39 yards per route run 96 percentile number two out of week one.
30:07I don't think that is something that, uh, can regress to while it can regress will regress to, too far.
30:16You want to see the separation score be a little bit better, but he's still top, top seven, top six in the NFL.
30:26Um, he only outscored his expected projection by three, three something, three and a half points.
30:33He was right where he was supposed to be with his usage.
30:38The expected projection was still 24. That's what I'm saying.
30:42It's ridiculous. Like he overperformed, but like his expected was crazy.
30:47I don't think that usage goes away. So I'm, I'm in a tight end premium situation.
30:54That's kind of why I'm leaning to that side of that deal, though.
30:59I really don't love the AJ Brown portion of this.
31:04Yeah. I don't love that portion either. But so I'm glad that we're actually getting to likely here because it correlates with
31:13obviously the trades that we're going through. But I'm going to take full ownership and accountability because I, it's looking already.
31:22I know it's week one, but it's looking like the likely and the giants in general are going to be probably my biggest offseason miss in general.
31:34Um, I've had, I've already received multiple texts from other coworkers and people.
31:39I, I told not to go after likely. And, uh, even my other podcast partner, bill O'Brien was a big likely person.
31:49And, and I tried to tell him no, thank you.
31:53And I, I hate that for myself because while I didn't believe in the offensive environment and all the injuries, I didn't
32:02think neighbors would start the week one. All of these compounding factors made me believe that the giants were just going to be inept on offense.
32:13However, from a tight end perspective, I should have stuck to my guns because we always want a top two target in
32:23any offense, no matter the offense, when it's a tight end, especially for tight end premium and likely had everything out there
32:32in front of him to be the number two target on the team, potentially even number one.
32:40If neighbors didn't come out healthy and I just chalked it up like it didn't even matter to your point as well
32:49about probably being too close to the situation. I didn't see a world where likely would be able to switch teams and
32:58see growth or an increase in productivity. I just kind of felt like he was just, yeah, that level.
33:07Right now to, to the point, he's still like, if there's anything to nitpick about it, like he still was just 13th amongst tight end and routes run.
33:19So he's still kind of, you know, intertwining there with Theo Johnson and things like that.
33:25And he was just 21st in yards after the catch.
33:30So he really got what he created for himself and, you know, caught the ball and, but didn't really do anything after the catch.
33:40So there's a couple of things to maybe just be cautious about.
33:45However, the role, the opportunity, the way that the Giants came out and performed, it was against the Cowboys.
33:53So let's continue to see. But just this offense performed at significantly greater levels than I ever imagined heading into the season.
34:03Yeah. The Giants offense looks unreal. I'm just going to pull up Dalton Schultz for you.
34:10Don't leave. I have a reason. Don't leave. When you look at how Dalton Schultz performed with his routes, his targets, yards
34:19per route one was a little bit lower. But the separation score, the win rate being top 12 with the position.
34:28He was 12th in fantasy points per game, 15th in fantasy points.
34:33Like Isaiah likely can hit these and hit these with more upside.
34:38So in tight end premium, I just think that's, that can be incredibly, incredibly valuable.
34:45Like just, I wanted to pull up Dalton Schultz to give you a comparison of what that kind of target increase can
34:54be like 6.1 targets per game with a higher targets inside the 20.
35:00I mean, you're getting, you're getting really, really good production here.
35:04So Matthew golden going back. Uh, we've got a Debo, a player we were buying last week.
35:12Debo Swift, Jalen Warren, uh, for Jalen Warren and Matthew golden.
35:16This side, I'm okay. Taking the golden side. This is obviously somebody that wants some points off the roster.
35:25I imagine because Debo scored a bunch of points.
35:28Deandre Swift got the extension. This feels like somebody not kind of all the way into competing.
35:36I think this is a fine pivot type deal.
35:40I like the structure of that. Oh, my legs bring me up.
35:45These shoes are much too heavy. Träggst du immer noch diese spitzen things?
35:50I mean, are you not all the shoes so formed?
35:55Nein, you need Altras. Altras? Altras are formed like your feet with a foot-firmity 10 box.
36:01Just a bit more comfortable. Bezwinge deinen Lauf with Hallenzehen.
36:06Okay, that sounds traumhaft. More Comfort, Kraft and Dynamics.
36:10All through the Passform. Altra understands that. Altra, stay out there.
36:14We have got a Matthew Golden, Jacoby Lane. And a 28-4th for Mike Washington, a 27-2 and a 28-1st.
36:22So this is the first one that really... I just don't think I'm doing 28-1st.
36:29I'll say this. I'm not sending a 28-1st for like almost anything.
36:34Do not move your ones multiple years out if you are not a like...
36:40I would say an advanced trading type manager. That would just be my advice.
36:46You have to be incredibly active if you're going to be trading out multiple firsts.
36:52Insane active. Yeah, because if you trade your firsts and then you kind of hit a rut, that's where orphans are born.
37:02Yeah. Yeah, absolutely. Yeah. Tell me about it. All right.
37:06So we've got... I don't know where to rank Matthew Golden yet.
37:11I don't have like a number. Trying to think of like a one-for-one player.
37:17All right. Here we go. BTJ. BTJ or Matthew Golden?
37:22Oh, God. We're going to talk about Brian Thomas Jr.
37:26I was looking for a one-for-one. Can I just default and say that I don't do one-for-ones?
37:33I know you don't. Am I allowed to just...
37:37You're the worst person to ask this question to.
37:41I know. I know. Because I just don't... I don't do it.
37:46It's a running back version. I know. I think I'm going to...
37:51I think... God. Ask me again. And chat, if you're watching, you leave a comment now where we're timestamping this video.
38:00And then... Comment and reply after we talk about Brian Thomas Jr.
38:05to see if you guessed right or wrong. All right.
38:10I want to see if... If... You guys can guess what I'm going to say from now till then.
38:18That way I can deflect and think about it a little bit longer.
38:23Deflect. I'm absolutely deflecting on this. These are fun.
38:27Let me know if... Chat as well. Let me know if you like it when I throw these little trade scenarios out too.
38:37Because I feel like we stick them quite a few times when we do this.
38:43Right. It's just the one-for-ones, man. I can't do it.
38:48It's tough. It is tough. It's a you-know-ball challenge.
38:52And I just think that usually ends up really bad for your dynasty rosters.
38:58Let's talk about one of the more disappointing results on the week one.
39:03And again, we don't want to overreact too much on week one, but this one I feel like is significant.
39:12Travis Achan in New Orleans. We have Alvin Kamara coming back.
39:16Miller looking good. You have it written down as ETN.
39:21That's E-T-N by the way. Not the deliberate misspelling.
39:25So when you're going to comment and let us know that his name is not pronounced that way, we know.
39:33But you have maybe over. I think that's dramatic.
39:37As the fat... As one of the fat RB pioneers, I think that might be a little dramatic.
39:45But it's definitely a letdown. Week one, nine attempts.
39:4915.7 expected fantasy points. That's not bad. Nothing inside the 10.
39:53Nothing inside the 5. A 58% snap share. Now he was efficient with a 5.11 yards per carry.
40:01better explosive run rate than it looked like when I watched back and I had to watch the game.
40:09It looks slow as hell. It looks super fat.
40:13But the explosive runs, it was there. He was forcing his tackles.
40:18Miss tackles force per attempt at a .22. These yards per yards before contact, really good.
40:25The line was really making some way for him at a 3.33.
40:30The yards after contact, though, not so good for him.
40:3414.8 points per game, but that's all on the passing work.
40:3916.1% target share. Only ran a route on 36.5% of the dropbacks, which I actually thought was way lower than I expected
40:48when I looked at how often he got spammed.
40:52Nine targets, seven receptions for only 32 yards, and I feel like you're not selling him because you're not going to really
41:02get much back for him, but I want to ask you, you are the film, you watch it, is Alvin Kamara just
41:11going to come in and take away this check down pass roll, and if he does, what does that leave for HN in New Orleans?
41:22So, this is exactly why I put that I thought it might be over for HN because I don't know what his
41:31role is when Kamara comes back unless they just decide to phase out Kendra Miller.
41:38Now, you kind of saw it on the screen here when we were looking through the advanced metrics with HN, but it's
41:47just like he only had nine carries on the entire game.
41:52Yes, they were trailing, so even if you wanted to talk about his missed tackles force per attempt being up there, really
42:01on nine carries, if he breaks two tackles on one of those carries, that right there is, so it's like a little
42:11bit of a small sample can kind of skew that metric.
42:15The metric that actually worries me significantly more is the lack of yards after contact.
42:22You talked about his explosiveness was greater than you thought and that he averaged over five yards a carry.
42:30That's because the offensive line was giving him more than three yards a carry or more than three yards before contact per attempt.
42:40That's insane. That is elite levels of blocking by that offensive line by the Saints and we believe that the Saints are
42:49supposed to have at least an average if not above average offensive line.
42:55So you talk about A-Chan barely getting the touches, getting none inside of the 20 or inside of the 10.
43:03Kendra Miller looked bigger, faster, stronger, harder to take down, where again A-Chan just kind of caught the ball and fell forward.
43:13We talked about this with Kalon Black. What was my worry with him?
43:18He got what was blocked up and he just fell forward, nothing more, nothing less.
43:25And that's essentially what I saw out of A-Chan.
43:29So then you're kind of hoping, okay, well he got nine targets, seven catches, we're good to go.
43:36This is PPR cheat code. Well, then you bring in one of the best receiving running backs of all time in Alvin
43:46Kamara and you think he's just going to sit on the sidelines on third downs and stuff?
43:53I don't think so. You still got Kellen Moore with a high pace of play.
44:00He's going to be rotating these backs and it's going to be a hot hand approach.
44:06So I'm very, very worried about A-Chan. I would be in the camp of trying to level up from him, trying to trade up.
44:17I'd be looking for two for one trades and seeing if I could get to like Javante Williams or Cam Scadabo levels
44:26of production rather than what we're looking at right now.
44:30Yeah. So if you look at Camara from last year, a 45.7% of the routes, only a 10.1% target share, a 0.93
44:40yards per outrun and a 0.2 targets per outrun.
44:44So it's not like he was providing an insane amount of value out of that position.
44:51But you have to think if there's a role for Alvin Camara, and I imagine there will be, it will be in that check down type role.
45:02I'm wondering does the two minute drill stuff go away for ETN?
45:07if it does. I think I'm more in your camp.
45:12Let's check out some trades. While you're looking this up, the other thing that I would say is GameScript is hardly going to favor A-chain as well.
45:23Because that's exactly what happened in this game. The Saints fell down 21 to nothing going into the third quarter, and that's
45:33where all of that catching volume and dump down targets kind of stem from.
45:39playing catch up all too often. But if they're going to be down in 60% of their games because they are essentially
45:48losing football squad, again, that's going to spell trouble for A-chain's ability to get positive game script, positive carries.
45:56You're not wrong here at all. Let's look at some of these deals.
46:02Now, when we do these deals that we're looking at in the fantasy points front office, I tend to ignore these ones
46:11that have nine people pieces, 10 pieces. They're not really a relatable deal, in my opinion, although I will say this one
46:21here that has Loveland, Zay, and Ken Walker for HN Strange, Parker, Marv, and a 28-1 is hilarious.
46:28I'll take that Walker, Zay. Yeah, that's one of those ones.
46:33I'll move my pick two years out. That's kind of a hilarious deal to me.
46:39I love you, Parker, but... Yeah. Sayonara. Give me Zaytoven there.
46:44It feels like a free... That trade feels like a free Kenneth Walker, and that's kind of insane to me.
46:53Anyway, we have got this HN for pick-ins and a 28-2.
46:57I'll just take pick-ins in the 28-2 in a one-quarterback tight end premium.
47:03I almost always default wide receiver in instances like that, even if there wasn't a pick.
47:10I'm not anti-running back, so I'm not always going to default to it, but Pickens is already valued higher.
47:18Yeah. Like, we're... You're giving a pick and more value to get the running back who has major red flags.
47:27That's why we're talking about him today. Talk about running backs with red flags.
47:33Here's another one. Quinshawn Judkins, a 27-2 and a 27-1st or Jordan Love and Travis HN.
47:39This side, I think I'm still taking the Judkins, the two and the one.
47:45Same. Yes. Now, I think Jordan Love is awesome.
47:49I just... If you're willing to ship away a quarterback for points and you're getting picks back, I feel like he's one
47:59of the ones that you should target for that.
48:03Again, I don't think the pass rate maintains in Green Bay and he needs high efficiency and you need insane volume.
48:12You have got a... See, this one I find interesting.
48:16HN in a second for Downs, Corm in a third.
48:20I actually lean the pick and HN side. Yeah, on that one I would too.
48:27I just... I can't do the Josh Downs thing.
48:30I can't do it. I don't think I can let analytics...
48:35tell me he's elite anymore and watch him get three targets on the opening drive and not see another one though down the entire game.
48:46He finally ran the routes. end of the game.
48:50Yeah, he ran the routes but didn't get the targets.
48:54But Sisyphus, his quarterback, who's lied to us all, just couldn't play the position.
49:00It looked rough. And then what's a salvation? Anthony Richardson?
49:04I don't know. It's bleak is the answer. The answer is bleak.
49:09I can't do it. So I'll take the pick there.
49:14You've got HN in a second for a 27, one and a four.
49:19And I love the structure of this trade. I love the...
49:24Give me... I'm going to give you a two in this running back that I want to sell, but I'm going to get a one out of it.
49:36I'll just take it. Someone will be like, well, what if it's an early two?
49:42It's basically a one. No, it's not. A two is a two and a one is a one.
49:50There's a massive difference there, especially if you're trying to make trades.
49:55It is way easier. Here's a trade structure bit for you guys and how I think about my deals.
50:03Not all trades are linear. So, when you're looking at how can I make my roster better, it's not always one trade
50:13and then it gets the job done. I can tell you that it is probably easier to approach somebody that has a
50:22really good player like a Zay Tovin if you have that 27 first in your back pocket to get a deal done,
50:32then it would be if you sent a 27 two and HN be like, what else do I need to throw on
50:41top of this to get the deal done? Visually, for the other manager, it is going to be easier to accept the
50:5127 first because it's easier to take that value and apply it.
50:56So, you don't even have to do this deal as someone that's rebuilding.
51:01You can still do this deal if this is someone that's retooling to get a better asset for later.
51:09But don't look at trades as linear. This trade is both for contender and a rebuilder and to me, this is perfect structure.
51:19So, we might be looking at this now being like, oh, that's an early two.
51:26What if it's a late two? Well, that makes the deal look even better.
51:32This is why we use the base first methodology, but that's how I look at trades.
51:39That's how I apply it. This isn't just a case of a rebuilder and a contender.
51:45This is just a perfect deal, in my opinion.
51:49Add, as we like to say, add a snack and go and get dinner.
51:55You add a snack to the transaction, tie them over, and then you take that 27-1 and you go get yourself the full meal.
52:06So, you're eating good with that 27-1. But that's just how I break down trades.
52:12That's how I look at it and apply it for multiple team types, if that makes sense.
52:19But I'm with you. I'm going to be moving H-hand down, I think.
52:25We moved Swift up, and it paid off. This week, I'm moving H-hand down, and I'm hoping that's going to pay off.
52:34I think the big one we should talk about is Javante Williams, Wales.
52:40I want to talk about Javante Williams. Am I allowed to say bell cow?
52:46Or are you going to yell at me again?
52:50I think you can say bell cow. All right, here, let's go.
52:55Let's go. Talk Javante because I had been saying in the Discord that he might lead the league in Snapshare this year.
53:04So talk to me about it. It looked really good in the production.
53:10We have some of those numbers for you too.
53:14100% of the touches inside the five. Doesn't get better than that.
53:19You literally have hilarious. You can't beat that. He had a 75% share of the carries 10th in targets.
53:27He had five six in attempts inside the 10 attempts inside the 10 attempts.
53:33Sorry fifth in expected fantasy points per game efficiency.
53:37You said his efficiency matched opportunity which I thought was interesting because it's not like the Giants have a pushover defense.
53:4610th in EPA per attempt. Fifth in success rate.
53:5017th in yards after contact. This play in the league because no one could stop it.
53:57But volume is king and Javante was the king of it.
54:01So let's talk about him. Obviously has the extension I want to buy and I have a real life trade that I
54:11want to ask you about because I said no with my co-manager but I want to know what you think.
54:19So let me ask you about this trade. So I'm actually so glad that you brought up rookie year Javante Williams.
54:28Javante is one of those near and dear to my heart as a Broncos fan.
54:35Hated to see him go obviously devastated when he got injured and I was worried that he may never be the player
54:44that we once wanted him to be and even still he's not quite as electric as he once was but this version
54:54that we got in week one was the most back that Javante has looked spry athletic quick twitchy powerful soft hands in
55:03the receiving game I mean everything that we saw from a first round type of talent coming out of North Carolina it
55:12was awesome to see and then the fact that he plays for the Dallas Cowboys which is going to be one of
55:22the highest most efficient fantasy offenses that we I mean I asked you at the beginning can want out of a potential
55:31RB one and yeah I'm telling you Javante Williams in this current role and the way that he looked on tape he
55:41looks like he could be full fully back into RB one territory like that 10 to 12 RB range yeah DeMarcato was
55:50someone that I rushed to pick up off waivers because I think I picked up 20 shares of Malik Davis I thought
56:00that was a really good value for me then he obviously misses now the entire year the surgery on I think is
56:09its hip no targets no receptions for DeMarcato which was the concern I don't dynasty community like DeMarcato is one of those
56:18guys that the dynasty community keeps telling me about but it's like another Cardinals or former Cardinal and Eno Benjamin that was
56:28I'm not that worried about it doesn't look like the Cowboys really worry about it too much I will say like one
56:37missed tackle forced by Javante like he's not going to make people miss too often I feel like at this stage of
56:47his career I'm fine with that but yards after contact 2.33 that's still ninth best so yeah he might not be breaking
56:56tackles but that's because he's so slow he gets gang tackled all the time like I don't know if that makes sense
57:05to people but like when you're this slow you don't get like one on one opportunities very much because usually when you
57:15go to juke out the DB you're getting caught from behind by a D lineman and that's kind of where Javante lives
57:24but like he drags people with him if that makes sense it does over his last eight games dating back in the
57:34last year it's a 13.9 point per game this was his best game but you can see on screen he had a
57:4317 point game against Kansas City he had the 15 point game against Minnesota those are not slouched defenses at all and
57:53in games where the point total needs to get pushed again you just have to expect that he is going to be
58:02the guy and if you look at his usage it came in all scenarios 16% on third down he was out there
58:11on third downs 39% on second down he was 17% on first down in all the different personnels he was the guy
58:21they used him in every kind of way from outside zones inside they had him in duo he is a do it
58:30all type running back I'll let you say it bell cow I think I think he is I have a hard time
58:40putting him in a scenario where he's not going to he he is here with zero competition any of those people that
58:49were gaslighting you on Imari Demercato are watching way too many special teams highlights stop it Caitlin Black has a fan base
58:59as well we did the podcast on Tuesday when we recorded that and we did the live that we do every week
59:08someone wanted to point out like yeah he absolutely has a role and I think it was you had posted in the
59:17in like the podcast group chat about Christian McCaffrey talking him up you know he absolutely has the ability I think the
59:27quote was you know we like to have guys keep everyone else fresh and you know he definitely has the ability to
59:36do that and you had posted I was like yeah that's just Christopher Caffrey being like I'm so happy I don't black
59:46black I said he's good enough to do that aka means yeah I don't want to slam into the a gap anymore
59:55boss like that's that's absolutely right but that is just Javante now I if Demar Carter comes in learns the offense a
60:05little bit more and gets a little bit more of a third down roll still the the high pace offense the what
60:14should be a high scoring offense and then obviously him being the primary carry back 100% of the touches inside of the
60:2310 like that's going to give high ceiling touchdown upside even if Javante takes a small dip in receiving production all right
60:33here we go it's trade time Javante Williams or scribbling in a two I'm almost always looking to score points so this
60:42really does depend on my team dynamic my gut says I'm going Javante because I want the points however if I'm nowhere
60:52near sniffing playoffs you gotta take that second that 27 second and scribbling and you gotta run with it don't think you
61:01do you don't not if you're a rebuilder no not all trades are linear so scribbling already has the injury stink and
61:11a two is a two if somebody wants to give up Javante Williams now after this game because they don't believe they
61:20don't think it's going to hold up it's a good perspective we make that trade now and yes for max points four
61:29this is definitely going to suck is important now I understand it's the Jeremiah Smith thing but hear me out let me
61:39if by week four week six we've got like 16 18 point per game Javante Williams because he's just getting all of
61:4816 to 18 points per game with 24 plus point upside on a good offense if they're not valuing that guy go
61:58win and go by all of the running backs in on this page in the front office trade database it's going to
62:07look small compared to what I think he's going to go for by week six by week seven if this continues and
62:17we both just sat here saying that it continues so with not all trades being linear I actually lean Javante you know
62:26what I think you convinced me because you're right you have Dijon stripling's value ain't going anywhere it's stagnant right and the
62:35only way it's going to go anywhere isn't going to come until weeks 10 through 12 so that gives you the flexibility
62:45to wait and see if you're being offered something like this and you're right the 27 second it just has the 20
62:5427 on there so it instantly kind of sets off alarm bells in your brain but if you take a second really
63:04think it over you're right this is essentially just kind of a mid tier reroll at this point there's no guarantees in
63:13the second round there's no guarantees in the first round even so Javante is a guarantee 16 to 18 points yeah you're
63:23talking about being able to tier this up to a 27 one you know maybe you get a 27 two and a
63:3228 one or something like that like you could tier this up to greater levels if you really felt the need to
63:41trade Javante and really try to figure out what your team dynamic truly is because we don't know right now in week
63:51one I will say there's a caveat to knowing your league I feel like that's a really important thing to know and
64:00I'll explain a trade that I said no to and why I did it even though it kind of resembles the stripling
64:10deal I think you're going to end up really enjoying that but let's look at some of the other deals it's just
64:19important to remember in season is that look the tier up the tear down everyone knows everybody wants to tear down all
64:29right the tear down trade method is almost dead because everybody you know that every single person is putting their pick on
64:38the block the moment they go on the block even if the guy that they have told everybody and their mom that
64:47they want to draft is you have the time to talk in the time to press it's round one what do you
64:57have to think about this isn't round 10 when you're like oh my god there's nine guys that are on my list
65:06oh my god no it's round one like Bichon Bichon click the button drives me mental but it's almost impossible to have
65:16the super team now because everybody wants to do it where people are not capitalizing is the non linear trade bumps right
65:25using different trades to increase the value on your roster they look at it as this trade got me this this trade
65:35got me that instead of compiling your deals and getting greater returns that's the in season method some two of for 27
65:44first I'd go Javante I think on that one right so maybe now let me tell you why it depends on where
65:53the where the 27 first could potentially be but you're getting two significant point scores in my eyes with Javante potentially being
66:03RB1 I don't think Chuba is going to be a significant point scorer by like week eight same thing happened with Dowdle
66:12I think they're easing Brooks back I think the idea of like Exodia Exodia Exodia had people thinking 30 points in week
66:22one but I feel like they're easing him back we've seen Chuba lose his job halfway through the year before it's not
66:31like Chuba Hubbard was like a insane efficient elusive type player but this is also one where you're probably losing value now
66:41but you look back at it in like a month and yes it goes back to even so that's that's where I
66:50was going to go with this so we talked about doing things to get the better package you're getting the better package
66:59now you're getting the golden goose right you've got the 27 one and if you're making a deal like this I am
67:09assuming it is with the one in mind so you've already got the better package that you would be looking for in
67:18a you know that second and stripling to go and get a one later you've just got the one now you just
67:28at this point are paying Chuba Hubbard for it and overpay now is an underpay tomorrow so with that in mind I
67:37take one because if you are sending this kind of point away it's not like we're talking about a 30 year old
67:47running backs is 26 26 is the new 24 for running back so you're not your team must not be built to
67:56sustain this type of point so I'll take the one in this case because it's the golden goose we are chasing with
68:05the last trade structure that we just talked about you totally agree because with this one it's one of those you called
68:15it the golden goose but you're cashing out at a premium which Avante if you can add to get to that first
68:24and recoup essentially recoup your assets on an aging player you're selling while it's hot recouping as much as you can and
68:34then adding continuous value to as much as I like Harold Fannin in a tight end premium league I will take the
68:43running back and it's not because Fannin put up a zero and it's not just because of the offense it's just I
68:53feel like running backs still are more important than what a tight end is when you can just go and drop a
69:02Dalton Schultz in and call it a day you're not this isn't about a tight end that is like okay like Harold
69:11Fannin we're talking about guy drafted in the fourth round in an explosive offense yes he put up a goose egg just
69:21like Harold Fannin did but I do Fannin so that's why I'm doing that yeah someone's gonna be like but you just
69:30said with Fannin and the tight end thing and that I don't think by the end of the year you're gonna just
69:40be able to replace Loveland with like Dalton Schultz that's just all right how about the trade that I said no to
69:49in real life I'm gonna go and get that all right team is okay it's not amazing somebody wants Blake Korm in
69:59a 27 two I do not have a 27 first I would be picked depleted in this year's draft and they want
70:08to send me Javante Williams me and my co-manager have said no on this deal this is not an elite performing team
70:17for projections in this year we have Drake London we do have Luther Burden but Bowers is already hurt we have Terry
70:27McLaurin we have Ja'Cory Krosky Merritt who is benched for fumbling fumbling and not a lot of depth here although we are
70:36set at quarterback oddly enough for this team being one of mine us not having the first makes me less likely to
70:46move the second and I do know for a fact we are not getting a one later for Javante which is why
70:55somebody wants quorum and a two now I can tell you I know for a fact we were like the fifth person
71:05this person asked so kind of getting the market eval here I think this dynasty team underperforms even though it has some
71:14names because it has Justin Herbert on it which immediately means it's going to underperform but yeah I said no to quorum
71:23in a two with the caveat of knowing that there's no hope that I get a one later even if this maintains
71:33stay out there yeah I I don't think I would have taken this you you actually said it right at the beginning
71:42that you don't feel like your team is in territory to potentially compete right now you you right you you cooked yeah
71:52I'm killing myself on the JMO trade in a league that we're in together actually so I know with this one this
72:01it just doesn't fit the team build while you if quorum in a second basically or that level of replacement for him
72:11so no with this one it doesn't really fit the narrative it's not an unfair price it definitely would work and I
72:20would tell people if you have a quorum type and you're a contender like while quorum is a premier handcuff I don't
72:29see him as anything more than that so if I could level up from a quorum to a Javante I would be
72:39more in that that realm on certain teams but in this situation I'd be passing as well yeah yeah yeah and that's
72:48why now if you look at again you compare that to the trades that we talked about it was under the impression
72:58that you think you could get a better deal later so again we talked about in one way I'm giving you an
73:07example of how that wouldn't work so again we can avoid the comments when you said this here and then you went
73:16against it here we got you we we are covering all the bases here we're not people that don't go by what
73:26we say now we want to talk about one more player because I said you could re-ask me a question Brian Thomas Jr.
73:36I think we have to talk about Brian Thomas Jr.
73:40I was actually more impressed with him than I thought I would be thank you I was more impressed with him than
73:49I on the field because I think it's important to talk about when he wasn't on the field and that's really what
73:59stood out to me three targets on only 12 routes yep 50% of the routes 13% target share that's not great but
74:08a 92nd percentile in yards per route run at a 3.33 78th percentile in targets per route run at a .25 88th
74:18percentile in catch rate at no drops 100% that's why the 88th percentile thing is kind of funny when you say it
74:27that way a 16.7 percent win rate I'm going to let you explain what win rate is as someone that has to
74:37chart it you know a lot more about it somebody might the third down usage was kind of insane 11 personnel he
74:46was on the field 89 percent of the time he wasn't really out there on third down granted they were ahead a
74:55lot the four yards per route run from out wide is really really good but I said as Brian Thomas Jr.
75:04just reversed Josh Jones and that he mainly comes in for 11 personnel but plays outside but I said for what it's
75:14worth I was impressed with him on his targets I can't spell but that is supposed to say it's just hard to
75:23see total upside when Myers is in there and two wide receiver sets right now and that was my takeaway yes he
75:33was winning yes he looked good I thought his hands looked solid he was explosive to the sideline which I thought was
75:42kind of lacking last year all in all really good stuff but the snap count really bad target share worrisome but not
75:52good Parker Washington didn't run a crap ton of routes either he basically ran like one route the entire second half so
76:01like they just didn't have to run that many routes once they just started to route up you the pass game of
76:10so I remember charting obviously the Jaguars passing offense I thought it was in the first half obviously our watchers can comment
76:20on that either way the one thing I will say one thing that the listeners are going to learn about me not
76:29only do I watch tape and data charter but work with people on a day to day business and so certain people
76:39can lie to you but their body can't unless they're trained so the average Joe is not going to be able like
76:48they can lie to your face but their body language is going to an opportunity to get popped and so with this
76:58one you kind of talked about it dude just looks so much more electric in 7.7% win rate which is just slightly
77:07above his separation score and that's because that's where he gets he can really he has that short area quickness to really
77:16get pressed off of the cornerback and give that area for the quarterback to be able to throw and fit it into
77:26a window and so that was all super encouraging now as I end Brian Thomas was going to be on an absolute
77:35blitzkrieg of competition playing at the X receiver he's just had to go up against Ward now he's going up against Patrick
77:45Sertain he's going against basically a whole laundry list of the best defensive backs in the NFL to start the season so
77:54after seeing what he did in week one going against Pat Sertain next I'm encouraged I think Parker has officially alphaed him
78:04but I strongly believe that this is kind of compared to the Lions who we saw on Thursday night there's a scenario
78:13where BTJ can get to the Jameson Williams area career spectrum while Parker Washington kind of feels that you know I'm on roll I'm on Ross St.
78:25Brown type of role in this offense so he's more of the target guy so I went and looked because I corrected
78:34myself before the comments could do it he did get hurt in the first half he hurt his shoulder in the first
78:43half and apparently there was a thumb thing as well they're going to monitor his usage in week two so that can't
78:53be good but he did get out routed by Jacoby Myers he was strictly playing on the outside the EPA per target
79:02was better for miles I believe a lot of that is the touchdown that will tend to skew some things but the
79:12target per run is much better the yards per run is much better the first read was much better and the deployment
79:21the panic meter is still there and if Jameson Williams is his peak I want out so Brian Thomas Jr.
79:30and Matthew Golden I think I'm going to go Matthew Golden all right that's interesting I I'm going to that I will
79:39not argue I mean I'm all Parker all day so that one's pretty interesting especially because this is a world where I
79:49yeah I'm all over it but like even a third or something I'm pretty interested I'm just pulling up the comparison week
79:58one for Golden the first read stands out to me at a 30.3% now the first downs per outrun that is down
80:07but again the targets weren't there so it's going to skew things same with the yards per target over expectation and the
80:17EPA per target so the small sample size makes that harder to go with but again these are the numbers from Golden
80:26that give you the opportunity to be the number one on a good offense I don't know if Brian Thomas Jr.
80:35is valued that way by this coaching staff and by the team that's the market report for this week little bit all
80:45over the place I have a feeling that's how these episodes are going to go I feel like we're going to build
80:54a show sheet and then we're going to talk about one player and then three players later we'll get back to the
81:04one we started at always then tilting there
