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FFT Express - 5 TOUGHEST Players to Rank in 2026: TreVeyon Henderson, DJ Moore, Alec Pierce & More (07/03 Fantasy Football Podcast)

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14 min
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Jul 3, 2026
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Fri, July 3, 2026
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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

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0:00Hey, before we jump back into the show, let's take a quick break.
0:04But not just any break. This is a refreshing break with Snapple.
0:08We all know about Snapple's iconic real facts. So let's take a minute to go over some of my faves.
0:14Snapple Real Fact 1-9-8-3. The first player drafted to play pro football never played in the league.
0:19Snapple Real Fact 1-1-1-9. The Grand Canyon could hold about 900 trillion footballs.
0:23Snapple Real Fact 2-0-6-4. The first college football game broadcast on TV was on September 30th, 1939.
0:29Snapple Real Fact 1-8-9-6. The tradition of playing football on Thanksgiving originated with college football in 1876.
0:34So grab a Snapple, take a second and enjoy the moment because let's be honest, this might be the most refreshing part of your day.
0:42Snapple, make your break more interesting. All right, now let's get back to the show.
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1:29USPS Ground Advantage. We mean business. Five players who are tough to rank.
1:33I mean, not for me, I could probably do it easily.
1:36But for Dave, super tough to rank right now on FFT Express.
1:40All right, Dave. Let's see what's bugging you in terms of rankings.
1:44When I think about players that are tough to rank, I think about players that you can easily make a huge upside
1:51case for and a really low downside for. And the first name that comes to my mind is Trevion Henderson.
1:57We saw last year when he had those three games without Ramondre Stevenson, he was performing like a top five fantasy running back.
2:04He was outstanding. And we know that that's part of his ceiling is just to be this unbelievably hyper-efficient three-down running back.
2:11But we also know that Ramondre Stevenson isn't going away.
2:14And all the other games that he had with Ramondre Stevenson, he was rarely good.
2:19And so how do you balance that? Do you lean more toward, all right, he's probably not going to be as good.
2:26He's not going to have as much work as Ramondre is there.
2:29Or do you lean into the track record of Ramondre Stevenson, which is he's a solid running back and he had a great finish to 2025.
2:38That's not really who he is. Whereas Trevion Henderson in his second season could really take off.
2:43And we're kind of getting Henderson at a discount compared to last year.
2:47We were over the moon for Henderson last year.
2:50It did not work out. But if you're getting him in round five, yeah, there's room for downside there.
2:56But man, if he can just wrestle away more of the touches from Ramondre Stevenson, even if it means splitting near the
3:03goal line, we're talking about a guy that's going to be a must start in fantasy leagues.
3:08I have a tough time balancing that. So for now, he is what I said he is, which is a round five pick.
3:15RB 22 for Dave, 23 for Heath, 28th for Jamie.
3:18And I completely agree. Really hard to rank. And I haven't drafted him because I'm just not comfortable.
3:24I'm still not comfortable in round five with Henderson.
3:27And I'm not even sure he's the best Patriots running back to draft.
3:31Sure. It's tough call. I like going for him when I really love my first four picks.
3:36And I just get steals with my first four picks.
3:39And he's sitting there in round five. That's especially when I like him.
3:43One player I've got behind Travion Henderson is DJ Moore.
3:46And this is another player that you could look at and say, all right, is he declining because he didn't have that good of a year in Chicago?
3:55And how could he have been this bad in Chicago when the Bears offense was so much better than it's been in the past?
4:03And now he's going to Buffalo. And we know that he knows that the offense, he'll know what to do in this offense.
4:10He's got a great quarterback in Josh Allen, but it's still an offense that isn't going to throw that.
4:16There's a lot of questions. There's a ton of volatility with where his season could go.
4:21And because of that, I'm kind of couching him.
4:23He's a borderline number two fantasy wide receiver, certainly more of a low end guy.
4:28I go back and forth between him and Parker Washington and full PPR.
4:32I do have him ahead of Parker Washington at this point, but he's another player that's right in that late round five range for me.
4:40But it's not like Travion Henderson where I go, wow, he's got the upside to just be an amazing fantasy wide out.
4:47He's somebody who I think can be an OK number two wide receiver with a floor of being an OK number three wide receiver.
4:54That's why I'm looking at him as someone to settle for in that late round five range.
5:00Yeah, I don't really struggle ranking DJ more, maybe within a range of two or three wide receivers.
5:05But I kind of feel like with DJ more, it's like you have to ask yourself, all right, who are the exciting,
5:12mostly young, high upside wide receivers that could be league winners?
5:16And then who is the group that I'm pretty nervous about?
5:19And then DJ more should be right in between them.
5:22I do think he has a lot of upside.
5:25I think you're right. I mean, he's an upside and a downside kind of guy, but I think he should definitely lead the Buffalo Bills in targets.
5:34Sure. That's a good thing. So, you know, is that though?
5:37Yeah, we've had the one guy who's done it.
5:40It's been Stefan Diggs. He did it four years in a row.
5:44He averaged nine targets per game. I don't know if DJ more is commanding even targets for seven, seven to eight.
5:50I'd say, you know, maybe 25 targets or something like that.
5:54And from Josh Allen, who always throws, almost always throws 30 or more touchdowns and throws for a decent amount of yards.
6:00Usually I think, I think that's a round five pick, which is where you have him.
6:05I know you're in round five, but all, you know, all's well that ends well, I guess.
6:11All right, we'll take a break. Let's get three more after this on FFT Express.
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6:53Visit yearup.org to learn more. So far, Travion Henderson and DJ Moore, tough to rank for Dave.
6:59Who else? You see the highlights from Alec Pierce, and you know what he's capable of doing as a downfield receiver.
7:05Do the Colts take the step with him and try and get him much more involved as a short and intermediate range receiver?
7:12He's big. He's physical. He can win on those slants, catch the ball, and lean forward for first downs.
7:18They can use him that way, kind of the same way that they used Michael Pittman for a good chunk of Pittman's career.
7:25I wasn't a fan of Pittman in Indianapolis because that was the only way they were using him.
7:31If Pierce is used that way, and he's still used downfield, and he sucks up a big chunk of the 111 targets
7:38that Michael Pittman's leaving behind, we're drafting him way too late.
7:41I've got him as a round six pick. He's got upside to be a top 15 type of fantasy wide receiver, but
7:48he's also got the downside to be a low-end number three wide receiver.
7:52Last year was the only time he's really been great for fantasy, and even then, overall, 12.2 PPR points per game and
7:5911.4 PPR points per game in 10 games with Daniel Jones.
8:03He really started to take off toward the end of the year, and when I say take off, he was just catching
8:09more of those downfield throws and catching more touchdowns.
8:12So I think I'm actually, as I talk it out, I think I'm being a little more cautious on Pierce, and that
8:19means that I kind of sort of know where to rank him, but he's another one of those guys that just has
8:26such a high ceiling and such a bad floor.
8:29Number one in yards per target among wide receivers with 50 or more targets, two straight seasons.
8:34Number one in yards per catch. If the ADOT goes down, it becomes a different player.
8:39You can expect that to change. A lot of times, certainly the yards per catch guys are the guys who get thrown the ball downfield.
8:47Makes sense, right? They catch the ball. It goes for 20 or more yards.
8:51Alec Pierce had seven or more targets in five games.
8:54He reached 80 yards in all five games. Definitely a difficult player.
8:58We'll be asking him to do something he's never done before.
9:02Who's next? We talk a lot about players where the biggest downside argument you can make for them is, well, he could get hurt.
9:09And we talked about some of those players on Thursday's episode of Fantasy Football Day.
9:14Mike Evans comes to mind. AJ Brown comes to mind.
9:17Christian McCaffrey comes to mind. And Jackson Dart comes to mind as well because we saw it last year how many times
9:24he left games because of concussion protocol. He plays very aggressively.
9:27He's willing to run with the football. And that's probably the biggest downside case for him is that he could get hurt.
9:34The other downside case for him is that he might not have the kind of Malik Nabors talent receiver, i.e.
9:40Malik Nabors his rookie year until 2027. But even then, last year, he was averaging 19.4 fantasy points per game and six
9:47point without Malik Nabors on the field for almost the entirety of his time on the field.
9:53We know that he's got some good upside. I don't love that about 40% of his fantasy points came from rushing.
9:59If he loses any of that, then he's not going to be as good.
10:04But he's yet another player. Humongous upside. Because if he does keep running and he does throw well, he's going to be amazing.
10:11And if he gets hurt or if he just doesn't run as much, you're going to wish you hadn't drafted him as a top 12 quarterback.
10:19Jackson Dart was the number you gave 19 point 19.4 overall.
10:22If you if you just take the 11 games where he played 20 or more dropbacks, 20 or more, that's it.
10:29He averaged 24.7. Yeah, so right. So that. OK, that is 12 starts minus the one game against Minnesota where he scored
10:36zero fantasy points on 13 pass attempts. You want to look at that game, you have 12 starts Jackson Dart averaged 22.6
10:43fantasy points per game, which is really good. I actually would say the Giants in general are the toughest team to rank right now.
10:50You've got an unproven quarterback who gets hurt a lot.
10:53You've got an unproven running back who gets hurt a lot and is coming off a major injury.
10:59You've got a wide receiver that we don't know if he's going to be ready for week one.
11:05There's a lot of moving pieces with the Giants right now.
11:08And new coach and new coordinator. You just took the words right out of my mouth.
11:13You've got John Harbaugh, whose entire track record has been playing conservatively on offense, leaning into the run game.
11:19That's not great for Jackson Dart and a new offensive coordinator and a new offensive brain trust that really doesn't make you
11:26feel excited about any of the players in New York.
11:29It's Matt Nagy. It's Greg Roman. It's Brian Callahan.
11:32A lot of guys that when they've had the play sheet in their hands, they usually struggle.
11:37OK, last one. What do we got? There's so many names on this list, Adam.
11:42Who do I want to end with? I kind of want to end with a boom.
11:47So let's end with Ted Arora McMillan, who talent wise is a unicorn.
11:51He's gigantic and he's quick. He can just change directions in a Jeff.
11:55He's got good hands, but he's on a team with a quarterback that's really dicey.
12:00The offensive line I've got question marks about, especially with the quantum, their left tackle potentially missing the entire year ahead.
12:06They've got Jalen Coker, who's OK. He'll take away some targets.
12:10I don't really think that Chris Braswell does what the Panthers think he will do, at least not as a rookie.
12:16And so I wonder if there's going to be a huge second year leap for Ted Arora McMillan or if it's going
12:23to be just more of the same. And last year, it was just OK for Ted Arora McMillan in fantasy.
12:29He had some big games. He was very up and down, but the bottom line is he averaged 12.4 PPR points per game on 7.2 targets per game.
12:38So he was getting a lot of targets, just not doing a ton with them for him to take that next step.
12:45He's either going to need 10 targets per game or he's going to really have to develop some efficiency and rhythm with an improved Bryce Young.
12:53And I'm just not sure I can buy into that.
12:56OK, wide receiver 23 per game last year for McMillan in a bad year for wide receivers.
13:01He's going earlier than that in average draft position.
13:04Yeah. Yeah, I completely agree with this call. He's he's really tough.
13:08He also was on pace for 136 targets in his first 12 games and 88 targets in his last five games.
13:15And that was with Jalen Coker. I don't really that's what I don't really buy.
13:19I really don't think Jalen Coker is going to be what holds him back.
13:24But not only that, they do want to run the ball.
13:27I don't know if they'll be able to do it as much as they want, but they want to run the ball.
13:34All right. Thanks to Dave Richard for his five players who are very tough to rank.
13:39Do you have any thoughts? Leave some in the comments.
13:42We'd appreciate it. Enjoy your Fourth of July weekend, everybody.
13:45Talk to you on Monday on Fantasy Football Today.

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