Trade TARGETS🎯: 17 players to BUY or SELL before it’s too late

AJ Brown's return is cited as exciting news for Drake May's outlook; mentioned in context of Eagles offensive weapons coming back from injury.

Aaron Jones was discussed as part of the running back buy/sell segment to evaluate whether his early season performance is sustainable or a temporary surge.

Jones is a sell-high candidate despite excellent recent performance and increased workload. The Vikings are figuring out their run game, moving away from zone concepts toward gap and duo carries (50% success rate vs. 33% for zone), but Jordan Mason's return from injury will eat into Jones's touches. At his age and with his injury history, Jones is a ticking time bomb for missed games.

AJ Barner anytime touchdown at +360 and over 21.5 receiving yards at -130 are strong props; the Broncos defense is bottom-10 against tight end targets in EPA and success rate, and Barner could get a red-zone opportunity or big chunk play in a designer play.

Matt Harmon is very critical of Bo Nix's recent play against the Seahawks defense. Nix is not pushing the ball downfield; his attempts at 10 or more yards are 25th in the league at about 10% below average, compared to Trevor Lawrence who throws 10+ yards on 44% of his throws. Nix is not extending plays or being willing to launch plays downfield, which are the only ways to beat the Seahawks defense. Harmon notes Nix has flirted with being an average quarterback at times but doesn't think this is the week against Seattle. Nix needs to extend plays and throw downfield (not just scramble early and throw at running backs' feet), which has been his thing throughout his career, but he's not doing it right now. Harmon is skeptical Nix can get back on track this week, calling it 'pretty rough' and noting his lack of willingness to push the ball is a major problem.

Brock Purdy ranks second among quarterbacks with 100+ pass attempts in Harmon's "suplex stat" (a measure of passing efficiency/volume), indicating elite performance in this efficiency metric.

Currently QB15, significantly outperforming his fantasy ADP; Harmon is optimistic on the Texans' pivot to a pass-heavy, spread-and-shred air raid offense; Stroud's yards per sack dropped only 1.5 yards from his first three years (37 of 37 average), indicating he's stepping up in the pocket and playing with confidence again; Nico Collins' return and Marvin Harrison Jr. acquisition create synergy for an explosive passing attack; the offense is expected to remain pass-heavy even as defense improves.

Stroud's ability to rip in breaking routes and create off-script plays is elevating his receivers' production; his connection with Marvin Harrison Jr., his Ohio State teammate, appears to be particularly strong and is bringing out better effort and speed from Harrison in practice.

C.J. Stroud is QB9 in overall points and ranked fourth among quarterbacks with 100+ pass attempts in the "suplex stat" (a measure of passing efficiency/volume), behind Josh Allen, Brock Purdy, and Drake Mays. Matt Harmon attributes this to the Texans' shift toward spread concepts and aggressive passing after the Marvin Harrison Jr. trade, comparing the scheme to Ohio State under Ryan Day. Stroud has some rushing upside but doesn't use it frequently; Harmon groups him with Jordan Love, Matthew Stafford, and Kirk Cousins as pocket passers in similar buckets, noting he's not far off Dak Prescott's current production. Harmon pivoted from Justin Herbert to Stroud in his own league, viewing him as a strong streaming option going forward.

Caleb Williams is expected to return this week against the Falcons after missing time; his return should improve the Bears' explosive play rate (6th most explosive in week 1 with 59 points, but 13th-27th in weeks 2-5 with backup QBs). The projected point total is 50.5 points, suggesting a potential shootout. With Caleb back, the Bears' receivers should see improved opportunity.

Matt Harmon is buying Chigoziem Okonkwo as a sneaky buy-low or waiver wire add for the rest of the season. Harmon expects great chemistry between Okonkwo and newly returned quarterback Jayden Daniels, who had great chemistry with Zach Ertz. Harmon believes Okonkwo is currently better than Ertz at the tail end of Ertz's career. Okonkwo is getting vertical routes thrown to him on the outside and has dynamic ability with yards after catch, unlike Ertz who trips after catching it. Even with Antonio Williams and Terry McLaurin in the mix, Harmon thinks Okonkwo will get a lot of opportunities and could help fantasy teams for the rest of the season.

Matt Harmon is buying Christian Watson, noting his hands are significantly better and he's much more confident. Watson is the number one receiver in the Packers offense, which has shifted to a 'bombs away' approach under Jordan Love rather than nickel-and-diming. Harmon highlights Watson's improved zone coverage recognition and breaks from last year, and this year he's taking a big step forward against man coverage on downfield routes, running big vertical breakers with high efficiency. Watson and Matthew Golden work well off each other as both can be the deep or intermediate option. The improved offensive line (no longer getting Love killed every snap) significantly helps the passing game. Harmon is 'really buying into Watson' given his number-one status and improved play.

Cooper Kupp over 2.5 receptions is a strong prop because the Seahawks will focus on JSN; Kupp should get opportunities against this defense while JSN draws the primary coverage.

DJ Moore's iron man streak is over and he may sit out this week against the Raiders; with a bye week coming next week, there's no reason not to sit Moore for another game to give him a couple more weeks to get healthy, then have him the rest of the way.

Matt Harmon notes that Dalton Kincaid's production has 'completely evaporated' recently. Harmon attributes this to lack of verticality at receiver and inability to get into 13 personnel packages. Recent games against the Patriots and Rams featured poor game flow for the Bills' passing game; the Patriots had a good defensive game plan, and the Rams are actually really good against tight ends. Harmon characterizes Kincaid as 'more of a matchup dependent guy than a start him every week, set it, forget it' player, which differs from how he played last year. Kincaid plays a lot of snaps but functions as a glorified slot receiver, making him vulnerable to defensive game plans that key on underneath routes.

Dalton Schultz was part of the Texans' limited supporting cast in weeks 2 and 3 when Nico Collins was out and Noel was recovering from injury. Harmon describes this period as "the PPR scam" — a reference to Schultz's PPR-dependent production with receivers who don't get open on the boundary, suggesting his value is limited in the current scheme.

Matt Harmon lists Denzel Boston (wide receiver 18) in a group of receivers being discussed for buy/sell analysis. When asked which of the four players (Boston, Michael Wilson, Devon Peoples-Jones, Stefan Diggs) he would sell, Harmon chooses Michael Wilson instead. Harmon defers detailed discussion of Boston to a separate show (Football 301) with Dwayne McFarlane, noting Boston is 'such a stud' and that McFarlane made a good case for a sell-high scenario, but Harmon does not provide his own specific take in this segment.

Denzel Boston went over 90 yards and a touchdown against the Buccaneers earlier this season, demonstrating that the Buccaneers' pass defense can be attacked through the air.

Matt Harmon mentions Donovan Peoples-Jones (listed as 'Devon' in the context of wide receiver rankings at position 23) in a list of receivers being discussed for buy/sell analysis, but no specific take or analysis is provided in the transcript for this player.

Drake Maye was discussed in the quarterback buy/sell segment to evaluate whether his early season performance represents a sustainable trend or a temporary surge.

Currently QB8 and trending up after two QB1 overall performances; Matt Harmon views him as the easiest buy among the three quarterbacks discussed, citing balanced rushing and passing design plays; AJ Brown's return adds further excitement despite current injuries to the offensive line.

Drake Mays ranks third among quarterbacks with 100+ pass attempts in Harmon's "suplex stat" (a measure of passing efficiency/volume), indicating elite performance in this efficiency metric.

Emmanuel Wilson is fine when he follows the holes in the Seahawks' well-designed run game, but the overall run game has been disappointing; Zach Charbonate is probably not going to return for this game but the team is desperate to get him back soon.

George Pickens went off for 130 yards and a touchdown against the Buccaneers last week, demonstrating that the Buccaneers' pass defense can be attacked through the air; this is relevant context for other Steelers receivers like Jeremy Bernard who face the same matchup.

Matt Harmon notes that despite Josh Norris's theory about shelving JK Dobbins and making RJ Harvey the feature player (because Harvey has more juice and is already being thrown the ball a ton), the Broncos did the exact opposite. They slammed Dobbins up the gut for a bunch of carries that went nowhere, continuing to rely on him despite his lack of effectiveness. This contradicts the logical approach of pivoting to Harvey.

Matt Harmon expressed regret about recommending Jalen Waddle in the draft, acknowledging that the wide receiver has underperformed expectations in the early season, particularly noting the Thursday Night Football Seahawks-Broncos matchup as a difficult situation.

Matt Harmon and co-host put Jalen Waddle and the entire Broncos offense in the 'coping corner' earlier in the week. The Broncos offense is struggling significantly, with limited ways to attack the Seahawks defense. The running backs lack juice to make plays happen, and backfield targets are being keyed in on by the Seahawks. The Broncos need to beat the Seahawks defense over the top and be aggressive, but Bo Nix is not doing that and is not extending plays effectively. Harmon notes this is a testing/proving ground matchup against the worst defense Nix could face, but the Broncos' offensive limitations make it a difficult spot.

Matt Harmon and Nate Tice discussed Jalen Warren as part of their running back buy/sell segment, examining whether his early season performance represents a sustainable trend or a temporary surge.

Jaylen Warren (also referenced as Basial Toon in the segment) was part of the running back buy/sell discussion for early season performance evaluation.

Since week four, Warren has been on the field for 92% of snaps and run on 76% of dropbacks with 20% route target rate. Aaron Rodgers speaks highly of him, and Mike McCarthy recently stated Warren is the feature player, signaling a shift from earlier committee talk. Warren fits the Jaguars' gap and duo run scheme better than zone concepts, and excels in pass protection, which Rodgers values highly.

Matt Harmon is buying into Warren long-term despite short-term dink-and-dunk concerns against Todd Bowles' defense this week. The Jaguars are leaning into a run scheme that plays to Warren's strengths in gap and duo concepts rather than zone, which should produce real pop games going forward.

Joe Burrow ranks seventh among quarterbacks with 100+ pass attempts in Harmon's "suplex stat" (a measure of passing efficiency/volume), indicating strong performance in this efficiency metric.

Jordan Addison went over 90 yards and a touchdown against the Buccaneers earlier this season, demonstrating that the Buccaneers' pass defense can be attacked through the air.

Mason's return from injury will create a split backfield with Aaron Jones. The Vikings have been successful with gap and duo run concepts (50% success rate) but Mason has only played on zone-based offenses, so it's unclear if he'll thrive in the new scheme. Regardless of Jones's health, Mason will eat into his touch share as the Vikings manage Jones's workload.

Josh Allen ranks first among quarterbacks with 100+ pass attempts in Harmon's "suplex stat" (a measure of passing efficiency/volume), indicating elite performance in this efficiency metric.

Harmon drafted Justin Herbert and views him as a problem on his fantasy team, pivoting away from him to C.J. Stroud. He suggests that anyone who drafted Herbert should have "gotten off that hopefully by now at this point," indicating Herbert is underperforming expectations and should be traded or benched.

Kalief Raymond's role has dipped significantly in recent weeks; he had a 7-17% target share and 14.5% air yard share, both ranking third on the team, but has really dipped these last couple of weeks. His role will likely continue to decline with Caleb Williams' return and the Bears spreading the ball around more.

Keon Coleman is ranked WR32 (pending DJ Moore's status) and is in mid-to-higher-end WR3 consideration; he had a touchdown against the Rams but that was limited production. The Raiders matchup is much more favorable than the Rams, and Coleman should be able to get on them. If DJ Moore sits out (likely given the bye week next week), Coleman's role expands.

Harmon groups Kirk Cousins with C.J. Stroud, Jordan Love, and Matthew Stafford as pocket passers in similar fantasy buckets — all throwing the ball frequently in spread concepts. He also mentions Cousins as a potential streaming option for the upcoming week, suggesting he's a viable short-term play.

Harmon pivoted to Kyler Murray as a streaming option after moving away from Justin Herbert. He expresses hope that Murray can return to his pre-bye form and continue running, suggesting he views Murray as a viable short-term streaming target.

Luther Burden is ranked WR20 and should be started this week against the Falcons; he has a more fantasy-friendly role than Rome Odunze. With Caleb Williams returning, the Bears offense should spread the ball around more. The Falcons have given up the 8th most fantasy points to receivers, with at least 50 yards to 10 different receivers through the first five games. Burden's role is more fantasy-friendly than Odunze's downfield-target-dependent role.

Just acquired by the Texans; creates synergy with CJ Stroud in the pass-heavy offense; Harmon was already optimistic on the Texans' passing attack before the Harrison trade, and the addition further bolsters the explosive passing game outlook.

Matt Harmon has extensively covered Harrison's fit in the Texans' pass-heavy, explosive passing attack; he fits as the Z receiver running breaking routes with C.J. Stroud, who rips in breakers like his life depends on it, and the connection between the two Ohio State buddies appears to be elevating Harrison's effort and speed in practice.

Marvin Harrison Jr. is described as "the epitome of an X" receiver in the Texans' spread offense under Ryan Day-style concepts. Harmon uses him as a reference point for the team's receiver hierarchy and scheme fit, positioning him as the primary outside receiver in a system that emphasizes Y-cross and breaker routes.

Matt Harmon is buying Matthew Golden, noting this is what the Packers expected and wanted from him. Golden and Christian Watson work well together as both can fill the deep or intermediate role in an offense running a lot of routes that work deep and intermediate. The improved offensive line helps the entire passing game. Harmon is 'definitely buying' both receivers given the offensive ecosystem and the fact that the line is no longer getting Jordan Love killed every snap.

Matt Harmon is selling Michael Wilson, not because of the player himself but because of the Cardinals offense ecosystem. The Cardinals are dead last in explosive dropback rate and second-to-last in explosive run rate, making them the least explosive offense in the NFL. With Jacoby Brissett at quarterback, the offense will be more reliant on Trey McBride, leaving Wilson in more underneath routes. Harmon notes Wilson would thrive with a quarterback who could take the top off the defense, but the Cardinals lack that element. The game scripts will be tough, and the lack of explosiveness will cap Wilson's upside this season, resulting in more 'six catches, 54 yards' performances rather than big blow-up weeks. Harmon still likes Wilson as a player and for dynasty reasons but sees tough sledding this season.

Nico Collins' return is cited as a positive factor in CJ Stroud's improved play and confidence; he's back in the Texans' pass-heavy offense.

Nate Smith believes Gordon is a legitimate waiver-wire pickup with real upside. The Dolphins are trying interesting things offensively and won't just run their heads against the wall. Gordon has shown pop and will be fed by a run-first offense. The Dolphins have favorable matchups ahead (Jets, Colts, Bills) and Gordon should continue getting touches despite the team's poor record.

Since Devon Etienne went down, Gordon has received 29 touches to 11 for Jalen Wright over two weeks, with 73% of touches going to Gordon versus 28% for Wright. He's run routes on 51% of dropbacks versus under 8% for Wright and is getting goal-line opportunities. The Dolphins are a run-first team under Bobby Slowik and the offensive line coach, and Gordon's size fits their gap-scheme approach better than Etienne's dynamic style.

Parker Washington received a dedicated segment discussion, with Matt Harmon noting the audience will likely enjoy the analysis of this wide receiver's early season performance.

Parker Washington is a top-15 NFL receiver and currently WR9 in fantasy. From December last year through now, he averages 85.9 yards per game, sixth among all receivers (behind Puka Nakua 124, Chris Talave 112, JSN 95, Zay Flowers 94, and Amon-Ra St. Brown 88.9). His hands are phenomenal with elite contested-catch ability, red-zone production, and versatility—he lines up outside, inside, and returns punts. He's a complete receiver who does everything well.

When moved to the slot in Cohen's offense last year, Washington posted an 83% success rate versus zone coverage in reception perception, comparable to elite receivers like Garrett Wilson and Zay Flowers. He's the best open-field runner among all wide receivers charted by Smith, with the lowest percentage of open-field attempts brought down on first contact. He gets designed red-zone targets because of his elite contested-catch ability.

Matt Harmon charted Parker Washington as the best open field runner among all wide receivers in 2025, with the lowest percentage of open field attempts brought down on first contact (25%); he broke multiple tackles on 25% of plays charted, matching his first-contact rate. He had the sixth-best contested catch rate Harmon charted and was the only top-six player with an above-average high contested catch rate despite some drops. Since the beginning of last year, he ranks 12th in yards per route run (2.2) among all receivers, 8th in explosive plays per route, and 9th in first downs per route run. Harmon notes he's checking every box: elite ball winner, great route runner, excellent timing with Trevor Lawrence, and one of the toughest players to cover in the league due to separation and route-running ability. Harmon is buying and acknowledges he needs to move Washington ahead of some players in his dynasty rankings.

Matt Harmon lists Pat Freiermuth (tight end 8) in a group of tight ends being discussed for buy/sell analysis, but does not provide a specific take or analysis for Freiermuth in this segment.

Patrick Mahomes ranks sixth among quarterbacks with 100+ pass attempts in Harmon's "suplex stat" (a measure of passing efficiency/volume), indicating strong performance in this efficiency metric.

Josh Norris proposed a theory that the Broncos should shelve JK Dobbins and make RJ Harvey the feature player because Harvey has more juice and is already being thrown the ball a ton (the Broncos throw to running backs 26.5% of their targets, the most in the league ahead of San Francisco's Christian McCaffrey). However, the Broncos did the opposite, continuing to rely on Dobbins. The theory suggests Harvey could be more effective as the primary back given his receiving volume and dynamic ability.

RJ Harvey over 3.5 receptions at -105 is a strong prop because the Seahawks push their DBs back and rally to tackle underneath, creating opportunities for screens and short passes; Harvey should see volume as a pass-catching option.

Rome Odunze is ranked WR26 and should be started this week against the Falcons defense, which is down some corners; the matchup is good and with Caleb Williams returning, the Bears offense should spread the ball around more than expected. The Falcons have given up the 8th most fantasy points to receivers, with at least 50 yards to 10 different receivers through the first five games.

Rome Odunze has returned to full usage after injury; in week 5 he was at 99% of snaps and 96% of routes run, up from 48% snaps and 55% routes in week 1 when coming off injury. With Caleb Williams returning, Odunze should see consistent high-volume usage.

Sam Darnold has not been seeing the field cleanly and is not ripping it over the middle; he took two sacks last week against the 49ers on quick game, which indicates he's not trusting what he's seeing. While the Seahawks' O-line is decent and the run game is solid, Darnold's explosive pass rate has dropped this year and he needs to be top-8 to top-10 in explosive pass rate for the offense to work, not just top-18 in success rate.

Matt Harmon lists Stefan Diggs (wide receiver 29) in a group of receivers being discussed for buy/sell analysis, but does not provide a specific take or analysis for Diggs in this segment.

Tank Dell is referenced as a comparison point for Jalen Knoll's blocking ability; while Dell is 5'10", Knoll is a more sturdy, physical blocker with about 35+ more pounds, allowing him to handle insert blocking duties more effectively.

Trevor Lawrence ranks ninth among quarterbacks with 100+ pass attempts in Harmon's "suplex stat" (a measure of passing efficiency/volume), indicating solid performance in this efficiency metric.

Hutchinson's depth chart standing is in question as Jalen Knoll has run more routes than him over the last two weeks and appears to be taking over his role in the Texans' offense.

Xavier Hutchinson has dropped back down to be the "dirty work guy" in the Texans' offense following the Marvin Harrison Jr. trade and Jamal Noon's emergence. Harmon indicates this is a role change reflecting the team's shift toward spread concepts and more explosive receiver usage.