Rules to Win Your Draft. Plus, Bill Simmons Pitches Fantasy Football 'Grenades'

Washington suggests Bo Nix as a potential late-round quarterback option to weave into draft strategies.

Washington highlights Brock Bowers as one of the few tight ends to run 30 routes per game last year, a key metric for league-winning tight ends according to Ryan Heath's research.

Brock Bowers is considered an elite tight end target who should be drafted if he falls to the third round, though the analysts generally advise waiting on the position unless a top-tier option is available.

Brock Bowers is a highly talented player who is tempting to draft in the second round, though he carries some injury risk.

Brock Purdy is becoming a 'fade' candidate due to the mounting injuries and chaotic environment surrounding the 49ers. With multiple skill players injured and the team's overall health in question, he is no longer a priority target and should only be considered if he falls outside the first 11 rounds of drafts.

Washington includes Brock Purdy as a late-round quarterback option for fantasy managers.

Washington notes that the comparison between Brock Purdy and Rome Odunze is more nuanced, suggesting Odunze could have special upside this year.

Washington considers Caleb Williams a viable option in the mid-to-late round quarterback tier alongside Dak Prescott, Justin Herbert, and Trevor Lawrence.

Washington identifies Colston Loveland as having reached the 30-route-per-game threshold over the last few games, a key indicator for potential fantasy success.

Colston Loveland is considered an awesome prospect, though his rising ADP makes him a tricky draft selection; he is viewed as part of a younger, hungrier group of tight ends with breakout potential.

Washington indicates that Courtland Sutton is a less desirable pick compared to Trevor Lawrence in a direct comparison.

Washington views Dak Prescott as a solid quarterback option in the mid-to-late round range.

Washington notes that Daniel Jones is a viable streaming option, despite coming off a major injury, as his scoring output is comparable to mid-tier quarterbacks.

Washington expresses a preference for drafting Derrick Henry over Colston Loveland, viewing him as a more reliable or impactful asset.

Washington indicates a lack of interest in drafting Garrett Wilson, citing a preference to avoid the Jets' offense in favor of the Bears.

George Kittle is noted as being one of the 'healthier' players on the 49ers roster despite his own injury history, highlighting the extreme depth of the team's current injury issues.

George Pickens is viewed as having immense upside, with the possibility that he could outperform CeeDee Lamb due to his connection with Dak Prescott in a high-scoring offense.

Washington highlights Harold Fannin as an outlier prospect, citing Ian Harditz's data showing Fannin's missed tackles forced are comparable to Deebo Samuel's best marks. Fannin also recorded one of the highest target rates for a rookie tight end ever and led college football in yards per route run.

Harold Fannin is viewed as a high-upside prospect who led college football in yards per route run; if he were on a team other than Cleveland, he would be considered a top-50 draft pick.

J.K. Dobbins is expected to be productive for Denver, but there is significant concern regarding his durability given his history of never playing 13 games in a season.

Washington identifies Jacoby Brissett as a potential streaming quarterback option based on his historical scoring proximity to mid-tier starters.

Washington notes that Jahmyr Gibbs could be argued as the second option in the Lions' passing game, benefiting from being on a high-scoring offense.

Jake Ferguson is categorized as a floor play who will likely provide consistent, albeit modest, weekly production.

Washington contrasts Jalen Hurts with elite-tier players, implying he may not provide the same 'eye test' dominance or value when compared to top-tier options.

Washington contrasts Jalen Hurts with Tony Pollard, implying a specific tier or value decision for fantasy managers.

Jalen Hurts is a high-ceiling target at quarterback, particularly if the 'tush push' remains in the Eagles' playbook, which could lead to 15 rushing touchdowns; he is a comfortable target around the 70th pick.

Washington suggests that Jameson Williams is likely not the second option in the Lions' passing game, casting doubt on his role relative to other teammates.

Washington recommends pairing a late-round flier with Jared Goff for consistent weekly production of 250 yards and two touchdowns.

Washington suggests that when choosing between Javonte Williams and Josh Allen, the decision should be easy, favoring the elite quarterback over the running back.

The Washington offense is viewed as improved due to a solid offensive line and the addition of Stefon Diggs, which increases the fantasy outlook for Jayden Daniels. The team has invested in key pieces like Josh Connerly Jr. and Laramie Tunsil, creating a more stable environment for the rookie quarterback.

Jayden Daniels' draft value is highly platform-dependent; he may be worth a 4th-round pick on Yahoo, but the analysts advise against taking him that early on Sleeper if better value options like Kyler Murray are available later.

Jayden Daniels is a desirable quarterback target, though the analysts expect him to be drafted early and potentially unavailable in many leagues.

Jayden Daniels is a highly desirable quarterback target in the fourth round, especially following the addition of Stefon Diggs.

Jonah Coleman is a sleeper candidate who is expected to become the starting running back for the Broncos by the end of the season. He is described as a versatile, big-bodied back capable of goal-line work, receiving, and blocking.

Jordan Mason is a cheap, boring player who is projected to lead the Vikings in carries and touches, including goal-line work, allowing for more aggressive roster builds elsewhere.

Washington warns that finding Josh Allen at a bargain price is rare because quarterbacks consistently go earlier than expected in drafts.

Washington explicitly prefers Josh Allen over Javonte Williams, emphasizing the importance of taking elite quarterbacks when the comparison feels lopsided.

Josh Downs is an interesting target with the Colts, as he may inherit a larger target volume with Michael Pittman gone and Alec Pierce currently injured.

Washington highlights Josh Jacobs as a player who fits the criteria of being a dominant force at his position, making him a preferred draft target.

Washington identifies Josh Jacobs as a player who provides significant value and stands out above his peers.

Washington references Justin Fields' past season as a cautionary tale of a quarterback who struggled to complete passes and was benched.

Washington includes Justin Herbert among the group of quarterbacks they are comfortable drafting in the mid-to-late rounds.

Justin Herbert is identified as a comfortable quarterback target for fantasy managers who are waiting on the position.

Keaton Mitchell is highlighted as an upside player to target late in drafts.

Washington identifies Kyle Pitts as an outlier profile among tight ends this year, distinguishing him from the standard middle-tier options that typically provide little value over waiting.

Kyle Pitts is cited as the benchmark for the best tight end prospect ever at the time of his entry into the league.

Washington identifies Kyler Murray as a late-round quarterback target for those employing a late-round QB strategy.

Kyler Murray shows a massive ADP discrepancy between platforms; he is a 9th-round pick on Yahoo (106th overall) but falls to the 14th round on Sleeper, making him a significant value target depending on the site.

Ladd McConkey is highlighted as a value target; if he is ranked 25th by analysts but 45th on a platform's draft board, taking him at 32nd is a smart value play rather than a reach.

Washington notes that while their rankings place Lamar Jackson outside the top 30, they acknowledge he will likely be drafted much earlier due to market demand.

Washington suggests that when drafting, you should prioritize quarterbacks or tight ends who are clearly 'mogging' the competition, explicitly citing Lamar Jackson as a player who fits this elite tier.

Luther Burden is identified as a sleeper target, though the analysts note that in sharp leagues with experienced fantasy players, he will likely be difficult to acquire at a discount because other managers are also tracking him.

Washington suggests Malik Willis as a true late-round quarterback flier, noting that if he fails, managers can pivot to streaming.

Malik Willis is mentioned as a potential late-round quarterback option for those employing a true late-round strategy, though he carries significant risk of being benched if his passing efficiency is poor.

Mark Andrews is presented as a floor-based alternative to drafting younger, higher-upside tight ends, available in later rounds.

Washington views Matthew Stafford as a consistent late-round quarterback target who can provide reliable production.

Mike Evans is mentioned in the context of the 49ers' aging roster, with the analysts jokingly debating his biological age versus his actual age of 32.

Mike Evans is recommended as a target in competitive leagues because he is viewed as a 'boring' or 'older' player, causing him to sit at the top of draft trackers while others overlook him.

Nico Collins has immense upside; if C.J. Stroud performs well, Collins could have a breakout season.

Parker Washington is noted as a player that league-mates in competitive, diehard fantasy leagues will be fully aware of, making him difficult to target as a hidden sleeper.

Pat Bryant is a receiver who could emerge as a starter by the end of the year, potentially filling a role similar to Michael Thomas's rookie season.

Quentin Johnston is a solid bet at his current ADP. He is a freak athlete who could see significant production in the Chargers' offense, potentially operating in a 1A/1B role alongside Ladd McConkey.

Rhamondre Stevenson is considered an undervalued player who is expected to see a high volume of work.

Ricky Pearsall is dealing with an injury that keeps him off the field, leading to a cynical take that his absence is negligible because he has not been a consistent presence for the 49ers anyway.

There is a misunderstanding of the Denver backfield; R.J. Harvey is viewed as a Darren Sproles-type player rather than an Alvin Kamara-type.

Washington suggests Rome Odunze could be something special this year, making him a compelling option even when compared to a quarterback like Brock Purdy.

Washington argues Sam LaPorta is a strong value pick who could be the sneaky number two option in a high-scoring offense projected to score the third-most points in the league. LaPorta is a better bet than mid-tier running backs like RJ Harvey, Chuba Hubbard, Rico Dowdle, or Tony Pollard because he has the potential to reach 14-15 fantasy points per game, which functions as a league-winning low-end RB1 profile.

Sam LaPorta is referenced as a historical outlier for rookie tight end production, specifically regarding his target rate.

Stefon Diggs is a strong value target in the late 80s to early 90s range of drafts. Despite being 32, he remains highly productive, ranking 5th in first downs per route run last year, a metric that correlates strongly with fantasy success. He is a better target than players like Chris Godwin, Courtland Sutton, or Michael Pittman, and possesses 'league-winning' upside for his current ADP.

Terry McLaurin remains the WR1 in Washington despite the addition of Stefon Diggs. The arrival of Diggs is viewed as a positive for the overall offense, potentially opening up more opportunities for McLaurin by providing a competent receiving threat to draw coverage, rather than taking away significant volume.

Washington uses Tony Pollard as an example of a player who does not necessarily pass the 'eye test' for elite dominance when compared to top-tier draft options.

Washington compares Tony Pollard to Jalen Hurts in the context of draft decision-making.

There is potential for Basial Tootin to cut into Travis Etienne's workload in Jacksonville, specifically by taking carries or passing-down work.

Trevor Lawrence is identified by Washington as part of the tier of quarterbacks that are acceptable targets in the mid-to-late rounds.

Washington prefers Trevor Lawrence over Courtland Sutton, advising drafters to take the quarterback when the choice feels obvious.

Trevor Lawrence is a comfortable quarterback target who has consistently ranked among the top five in rushing fantasy points per game over the last few years.

Washington notes that Trey McBride is one of the few tight ends who met the 30-route-per-game threshold last season, aligning with traits of successful fantasy tight ends.

Trey McBride is a preferred tight end target if he falls to the third round; the analysts prefer him over receivers like Chris Olave or George Pickens in that range due to his positional advantage.

Tucker Craft is a high-upside target around pick 70 who looked like the next George Kittle before his ACL injury; he has recovered well and faces minimal target competition in Green Bay.

There is a bias toward drafting Tucker Kraft, but he may be reaching a point where he is overpriced compared to previous seasons.

Tyler Warren is a strong value target who could potentially serve as the number one option in his team's passing game, especially given the injury status of Alec Pierce.