NFL fantasy football news and player signals for Thursday, August 13, 2026

Rudolph was given the starting nod by Steelers head coach Mike McCarthy for the preseason opener, indicating he is the primary backup quarterback for Pittsburgh ahead of Aaron Rodgers.

Taylor took over at quarterback for the Packers after Jordan Love exited following one series in the preseason opener, indicating he is the backup quarterback behind Love.

Lloyd received a pass from Jordan Love in the Packers' preseason opener but the play resulted in a four-yard loss, showing early involvement but negative production in the limited sample.

Reed caught a 19-yard pass from Jordan Love in the Packers' preseason opener, demonstrating early involvement in the passing game during Love's limited one-series appearance.

Love played one series in the Packers' preseason opener, leading a 46-yard drive over 10 plays that resulted in a field goal before exiting the game. He completed 3-of-5 passes for 18 yards, connecting with Jayden Reed for a 19-yard gain but also throwing a pass to MarShawn Lloyd that resulted in a four-yard loss.

Capt. Kirk 🫡 (📸 @​Raiders)

How dare Anthony Richardson hit his receiver in the hands

Anthony Richardson's first drive: 1/3 17 YDS 1 INT

Anthony Richardson gets intercepted.

Anthony Richardson first drive: 1-of-3 17 passing yards 1 unfortunate INT

this Joe Flacco kid is not bad. Bright career ahead

Drew Allar was on the field studying 3 hours before kickoff 👀 (via @​JennaHarner11)

Tight end Kenyon Sadiq, a highly touted rookie, has been sidelined for the past two weeks with a setback following sports hernia surgery in May. He will not play in Friday's preseason game. Jets coach Aaron Glenn expects Sadiq to be ready for Week 1.

First-round pick wide receiver Omar Cooper Jr. will make his preseason debut Friday night against the Buccaneers, giving Jets fans their first look at the rookie in game action.

Seahawks running back featured in game action against Detroit Lions in September 2024, demonstrating active role in team's offensive scheme.

We have an Isaac Guerendo sighting 🚨

This is a very on brand debut for Germie Bernard

Jeremiyah Love was selected by the Arizona Cardinals with the No. 3 overall draft pick; the question for fantasy managers is whether they should be equally willing to invest in this year's rookie crop at running back.

Rico Dowdle is the depth piece to avoid trusting on a weekly basis in Pittsburgh, as Jaylen Warren remains the primary back despite reduced workload; Dowdle does not represent reliable fantasy value.

Jaylen Warren is not repeating his 2025 workload in 2026, with his role projected to be reduced; however, he remains the back to roster in Pittsburgh, while Rico Dowdle is the depth piece to avoid trusting on a weekly basis.

MarShawn Lloyd is on the cusp of fantasy relevance after 998 days with only seven regular season touches and nine preseason touches; his long-awaited moment represents significant upside potential for fantasy managers willing to target him.

Aaron Jones is not the preferred running back in the Minnesota backfield compared to Jordan Mason; Jones hasn't broken a long run since 2021, making him a less efficient option than Mason despite being in the same backfield.

Jordan Mason is the running back to own in the Minnesota backfield over Aaron Jones; Mason profiles as one of the most efficient runners in football, making him the clear choice for fantasy purposes in 2026.

Kyren Williams is overpriced relative to Blake Corum in the Rams backfield; the price gap between the two is too wide to ignore, making Williams a less attractive draft target than Corum in 2026.

Blake Corum is the preferred running back from the Rams backfield over Kyren Williams; the price gap between the two is too wide to ignore, making Corum the better value target in 2026 drafts.

Chuba Hubbard is week-to-week with a hamstring injury confirmed by Coach Dave Canales as a 'legit' injury, creating uncertainty around his Week 1 availability and opening the door for Jonathon Brooks in the Panthers backfield.

Jonathon Brooks is receiving a huge opportunity in the Carolina Panthers backfield following Chuba Hubbard's week-to-week hamstring injury, positioning Brooks for expanded playing time and fantasy relevance in 2026.

Kenneth Walker is highlighted as the 2026 KING pick among running backs being drafted incorrectly, suggesting he is undervalued relative to his actual draft position and fantasy outlook.

6 Running Backs Your Fantasy League Drafts Shockingly Wrong including Jonathon Brooks - and where we rank him now after Chuba Hubbard's multi-week hamstring injury <https://youtu.be/1heM4_8h87Y>

6 Running Backs Your Fantasy League Drafts Shockingly Wrong including Jonathon Brooks - and where we rank him now after Chuba Hubbard's multi-week hamstring injury <https://youtu.be/1heM4_8h87Y>

This is a solid second line for Mendoza. Hopefully, Grant shows big improvement on the left. [Quoted](

Germie Bernard running tough for a 25-yard gain

GERMIE BERNARD FLASHING ⚡️

I already know Anthony Richardson is gonna do some absolutely absurd play tonight

Carson Beck is battling a rib injury and will not play in the preseason game against the Raiders, reducing his availability for preseason evaluation and fantasy relevance in the early evaluation period.

Milroe, Seahawks second-year QB, played with Arnold at Alabama for three seasons and publicly vouched for him to GM John Schneider on 'Hard Knocks'; reiterated support to reporters, calling Arnold his best friend and highlighting his potential as a difference-maker for the defense.

Bengals fans watching Burrow get sacked:

Kurtis Rourke is on the field for pregame warmups. He should get a lot of work in tonight’s game against the Titans

Fantasy legend De’Zhaun Stribling walks onto the field for the first time in his NFL career 🥹

TreVeyon Henderson is featured as one of the running backs being drafted incorrectly, according to the source's 2026 fantasy football analysis.

MarShawn Lloyd is highlighted by the source as a running back whose current draft position is incorrect, making him a player to watch for the 2026 season.

Jordan Mason is included in the source's list of running backs being drafted incorrectly, suggesting his current market position does not align with his potential role.

Jadarian Price is identified by the source as a player being drafted incorrectly, warranting attention as a deeper name in their 2026 running back analysis.

The source highlights the contested backfield situation involving Jonathon Brooks and Chuba Hubbard as a key area to monitor for fantasy value during training camp.

The source highlights the contested backfield situation involving Chuba Hubbard and Jonathon Brooks as a key area to monitor for fantasy value during training camp.

The source identifies Kenneth Walker III as their '2026 KING' running back, suggesting he is being drafted incorrectly and holds significant value for the upcoming season.

Owen mishandled a pass in the flat in the first quarter that was intercepted by Patriots cornerback Kindle Vildor.

Hasty had two negative rushing attempts in the fourth quarter that prematurely ended a Patriots drive.

Sharpe caught a chunk completion in the fourth quarter that helped the Colts progress downfield and set up a 46-yard field goal by Spencer Shrader.

Hagans caught a chunk completion in the fourth quarter that helped the Colts progress downfield and set up a 46-yard field goal by Spencer Shrader.

Haskins was stopped on a rushing attempt in the fourth quarter when an offensive holding penalty eliminated a first-down conversion, forcing the Patriots to punt.

Palmer caught a 15-yard slant pass from Behren Morton in the fourth quarter, creating breathing room on Morton's first drive of the quarter.

Castle rushed for 18 yards in the third quarter, breaking the Colts offense into the red zone on a drive that stalled after a third-down penalty.

Larison failed to convert on 3rd-and-two in the third quarter, leading the Patriots to settle for a field goal attempt.

Miller carried the ball twice in the third quarter on a Patriots drive that ended in a failed conversion on 3rd-and-two.

Rookie quarterback Morton took over as the signal caller for the Patriots in the third quarter. He led the offense in the fourth quarter, connecting with Tejhaun Palmer on a 15-yard slant and leading the team into field goal territory late in the game, though the final drive ended with a missed Borregales field goal attempt.

Pancol was targeted on a deep pass by Riley Leonard in the third quarter on a skinny post route, but the pass was intercepted by Patriots safety John Saunders Jr.

Leonard took over as the Colts quarterback in the third quarter and threw an interception to Patriots safety John Saunders Jr. on a deep pass intended for Eli Pancol on a skinny post.

Mallory caught two passes totaling 37 yards in the second quarter, setting the Colts up in the red zone. On the second completion, he showcased exceptional ball-tracking skills to reel in a tipped pass from Anthony Richardson.

Second-year receiver Williams scored a 12-yard touchdown in the second quarter, showcasing quick release off the line of scrimmage that separated him from the opposing defensive back. He also caught a 25-yard pass from DeVito earlier that broke past midfield.

Chism caught a first-down completion in the second quarter that sparked a 12-play, 82-yard Patriots touchdown drive, which concluded with a Kyle Williams touchdown.

Dorner caught a first-down completion in the second quarter that sparked a 12-play, 82-yard Patriots touchdown drive, which concluded with a Kyle Williams touchdown.

Richardson led the Colts offense in the preseason opener, completing passes and running the ball on keepers. He scored a touchdown on a quarterback sneak in the second quarter and later scrambled into the red zone before being forced to fumble by K.J. Britt.

Westbrook-Ikhine caught a 19-yard pass in the second quarter as the Colts drove toward the goal line before Anthony Richardson punched in a quarterback sneak for a touchdown.

Hollins, a veteran wide receiver, was targeted twice by DeVito in the first quarter but both passes were incomplete as the Patriots went three-and-out on their opening offensive drive.

DeVito started the Patriots' preseason opener at quarterback with Drake Maye and most of New England's regulars sitting out. He led the offense to a 10-7 halftime lead, completing passes to Mack Hollins and Kyle Williams, including a 25-yard completion to Williams that broke past midfield.

DeVito is assigned as the starting backup quarterback for the Patriots' preseason opener against the Colts, with Drake Maye and most of New England's regulars sitting out the game.

Packers have Matthew Golden (X), Christian Watson (Z), and Jayden Reed (slot but bench in 2-WR sets), as expected. Marshawn Lloyd with a little spin move on a carry with Josh Jacobs out. He caught a screen. And finally, sleeper K Trey Smack hit a 58 yarder before a penalty.

Packers have Matthew Golden (X), Christian Watson (Z), and Jayden Reed (slot but bench in 2-WR sets), as expected. Marshawn Lloyd with a little spin move on a carry with Josh Jacobs out. He caught a screen. And finally, sleeper K Trey Smack hit a 58 yarder before a penalty.

Packers have Matthew Golden (X), Christian Watson (Z), and Jayden Reed (slot but bench in 2-WR sets), as expected. Marshawn Lloyd with a little spin move on a carry with Josh Jacobs out. He caught a screen. And finally, sleeper K Trey Smack hit a 58 yarder before a penalty.

Joe Burrow sacked on his first preseason drive

I’ve seen enough. This 2026 Packers offense will obviously flow through Jayden Reed and MarShawn Lloyd.

I’ve seen enough. This 2026 Packers offense will obviously flow through Jayden Reed and MarShawn Lloyd.

.@​JayGlazer on Jordan Love: “Every year I become more and more of a believer in Jordan Love. Really impressed with his improvement as a player and definitely as a leader and how he is in the locker room. He’s definitely elite enough to win it one year. But that depends a lot on who’s around him.”

Zack Moss is noted as a factor in his team's backfield competition, with the source specifically highlighting that he is currently coming off of an injury.

The source argues that Zamir White is undervalued relative to TreVeyon Henderson, stating they cannot justify why White is being drafted after Henderson given their comparable status as young prospects on good teams.

The source references Damien Harris as a historical benchmark for the role Rhamondre Stevenson currently occupies, noting that Stevenson has been effective in the specific ways Harris was previously utilized in the system.

The source views Rhamondre Stevenson as a highly effective, efficient, and established starter who is superior to the current market perception. Stevenson led the league in Next Gen Stats rush yards over expected per carry last season and was highly effective in short-yardage situations, handling 12 of 16 carries inside the 5-yard line. He demonstrated superior short-yardage efficiency with +31% rush yards over expected compared to TreVeyon Henderson's -1%. While the source expects a backfield split, Stevenson remains the preferred fantasy asset and the first RB2 off the board in drafts, with superior pass protection skills compared to Henderson.

The source cites Christian Watson as a positive comparison for Marshawn Lloyd, noting that once Watson addressed his own injury issues, he immediately emerged as an elite player for the Packers.

Blake Corum is mentioned as a handcuff target but is excluded from the source's top-tier list of targets.

Tank Bigsby is highlighted as one of the top handcuff targets to draft, alongside MarShawn Lloyd.

Josh Jacobs faces significant uncertainty, including a 20% risk of suspension and concerns regarding his durability and declining explosiveness. While his fantasy value has historically been tied to an 85% workload share, that share can drop to 75% even when active, and the team performs differently when he is not the sole focus. He is considered a high-risk player for missing time due to his heavy usage history.

MarShawn Lloyd is a high-upside priority RB2 candidate (ranked RB47 vs. RB62 ADP). He is praised for his explosiveness, size, and pass-catching ability. Lloyd has worked with a specialist this offseason to address body compensation issues from a 2020 ACL tear that previously caused quad imbalances and soft-tissue injuries. Packers beat reporters are reaching a consensus that he is a significant player for the team, with the potential to emerge as an elite asset if he has successfully fixed his body, similar to Christian Watson's trajectory.

Devon Achane is the league benchmark for explosiveness, ranking first in yards per carry when not hit behind the line of scrimmage since 2022 with a 9-yard average.

Xavier Scott is identified as a potential depth player in the Vikings' backfield who could carve out a role and take touches away from Aaron Jones, building on his performance as a former wide receiver who impressed during last year's preseason.

Aaron Jones is viewed as a 31-year-old veteran who showed signs of slowing down last season. The Vikings are expected to limit his touches, and he is at risk of losing early-down and goal-line work to Jordan Mason, who is considered more explosive between the tackles. Additionally, depth players like Xavier Scott may cut into his overall workload.

Jordan Mason is a high-upside sleeper (composite ADP RB39, ranked RB36) who is significantly undervalued in half-PPR formats. He is a superior between-the-tackles runner compared to Aaron Jones and is a strong candidate for goal-line work. Mason projects for 13-14 carries per game in a new outside zone scheme. Efficiency metrics support his upside: he ranked 12th in yards per rush (4.8) and 10th in yards after contact per rush (3.41) last season, and he is among the league's most explosive runners in yards per carry when not hit behind the line of scrimmage.

White remains a viable fantasy asset due to his established ability to catch passes, pass protect, and handle goal-line work. While he faces competition from Bucky Irving, White is expected to pay off if Irving struggles with mistakes or fumbles early in the season.

The Commanders were the NFL's best team in outside zone efficiency last season at 6.1 yards per carry, and Robinson led the league in that specific scheme at 7.6 yards per carry. Despite frustration with his usage last year, the team plans to run outside zone more frequently this season, and Robinson's potential for growth in his second year is not being properly priced into his current market value.

The Commanders are experimenting with Jerrick McKinnon as a pass catcher, which could provide him with upside as a second and third-down contributor.

J.D. McKissic is a recommended draft target alongside Rashad White, as the Commanders' backfield tandem is currently undervalued in fantasy drafts.

Jayden Daniels provides upside to the Commanders' offense and is expected to improve the efficiency of the team's running backs by opening up lanes.

The source questions why Treyveon Henderson is being drafted ahead of Zach Charbonnet, noting that Henderson's perceived advantage in straight-line speed does not justify his higher draft position. The source is lower on Treyveon Henderson than his current composite ADP of RB25, ranking him as their RB28. While acknowledging his rare top-end speed and RB10 points-per-game performance during the latter half of last season, the source argues he is being drafted too close to his ceiling. The primary concern is that he will not be the starter for the first series or carry, and the source believes drafters are overvaluing the backup running back on the Patriots.

Zach Charbonnet is an undervalued asset with a real chance to pay off, despite uncertainty regarding his return from February surgery. Reports indicate he is ahead of schedule in his recovery, and he is ranked ahead of Quinshon Judkins for the first month of the season. The source questions why Treyveon Henderson is drafted ahead of him, noting Henderson's speed advantage is overstated.

George Holani is mentioned as part of the current Seahawks backfield depth chart, contributing to the overall uncertainty surrounding the team's running back rotation alongside Zach Charbonnet.

The source is lower on TreVeyon Henderson than his composite ADP of RB25, ranking him as their RB28. Despite his top-end speed and strong late-season performance last year, the source is fading him due to concerns over pass protection, vision, patience, and the likelihood that he will not be the starter for the first series or carry. The source argues he is being drafted too close to his ceiling.

The source is increasingly bullish on Jahmyr Gibbs, drafting him more aggressively than composite rankings suggest. Gibbs is highlighted as the second-most explosive runner in the league based on yards per carry when not hit behind the line of scrimmage.

Trevion Henderson is mentioned as a player in the same draft range as Jonathan Brooks, specifically around the end of the fifth round in Yahoo drafts.

Jadarian Price is mentioned as a player in the same draft range as Jonathan Brooks (end of the fifth round). The source expresses a cautious stance on Price, noting uncertainty in his role due to Zach Charbonnet's recovery, his light weight (203 lbs), and a lack of proven receiving ability, leading the source to draft him less often than the consensus.

The source distinguishes Jonathan Brooks from Jeremiah Love, noting that Brooks was a 'rock solid, no doubt about it starter prospect' coming out of college, whereas Love is viewed differently.

The source compares a potential optimistic outcome for Jonathan Brooks to Cam Akers's rookie season, where Akers caught passes and served as a goal-line back despite team limitations.

The source uses Quinshon Judkins as a benchmark for the RB21-22 draft range, advising that Jonathan Brooks should not be drafted ahead of the tier containing Judkins and Bucky Irving. Additionally, the source notes they would rank Zach Charbonnet ahead of Judkins for the first month of the season, provided Charbonnet is active.

The source references David Montgomery as a benchmark for the 'running back 21-22 territory,' noting that Jonathan Brooks is not currently in that tier. Additionally, Montgomery is viewed as a comparable player to Zach Charbonnet in terms of role and projected points for the early part of the season.

The source ranks Tony Pollard ahead of Jonathan Brooks, expressing more comfort with Pollard's established role in his respective offense.

The source uses Jaylen Warren as a benchmark for Jonathan Brooks's ADP, noting that Brooks is already being drafted ahead of Warren in some formats.

Bucky Irving is now ranked ahead of Rachaad White because the team is actively experimenting with him as a receiver to address his previous lack of college usage. While he must improve his pass protection and ball security, the team appears to be leaning toward him as the starter until proven otherwise. He is also used as a benchmark for the draft tier that includes Jonathan Brooks and Quinshon Judkins.

The source ranks Jonathan Brooks between RB28 and RB30, noting his potential to become a bellcow despite the team's likely caution following his ACL recovery. While the source is committed to drafting him, they warn that his rising ADP toward the sixth round is becoming risky, especially given the uncertainty of his immediate role and the quality of the Panthers' offense. The source advises against drafting him earlier than the range of Quinshon Judkins and Bucky Irving.

The source remains optimistic about Chuba Hubbard, ranking him 102nd overall and inside the top 40 running backs. Despite a current week-to-week hamstring issue and the arrival of Jonathan Brooks, Hubbard has not been ruled out for Week 1. The source believes he could serve as a flex option and potentially remain a 1A option alongside Brooks, with the team likely planning for Hubbard to handle ground work while Brooks contributes through the air.

The source ranks Kenneth Walker III as their RB6, significantly higher than his composite redraft ADP of RB11, citing his fit in a high-success-rate rushing offense, an improved offensive line, and his 'Shady McCoy' style of play. The Seahawks are expected to continue their intentional backfield split strategy to keep Walker healthy for the playoffs, a philosophy that proved successful last season. Additionally, Walker is highlighted as a top performer in explosiveness metrics, particularly in yards per carry when not hit behind the line of scrimmage.

Community member notes no one is arguing Flowers is Chase-level talent or that Chase is his ceiling. Used to dismiss strawman argument in Flowers debate.

Community member cites Odunze's 30-point week 2 (Lions) as example of outlier games being ignored in analysis. Suggests OP's criticism of Flowers' spike weeks is unfair cherry-picking.

Backup QB who played when Lamar was injured. Community calls Rush 'horrifically bad.' Flowers' production despite Rush starts cited as evidence of talent.

Backup QB who played when Lamar was injured. Community notes Huntley 'couldn't push ball downfield more than 15 yards' and relied on scrambles/Henry; significantly worse than Lamar. Flowers' WR7 finish despite Huntley starts is cited as evidence of his talent/floor.

Offensive philosophy mentor to new Ravens OC Declan Doyle. Community cites Johnson's success turning Bears offense from 31st to 10th in passing volume as evidence Doyle can do same for Ravens. Johnson is shorthand for 'pass-happy, creative offense.'

OP lists Wilson as 'more proven' than Flowers. Community counters: Wilson is on Jets; Jets could collapse early; Wilson underwhelming alongside Ladd; Jets offense uncertain. Consensus: Wilson has higher ceiling but more risk than Flowers.

OP lists Adams as 'more proven' than Flowers. Community notes Adams is aging; TD-dependent last year; still shares targets with Puka Nacua. Consensus: Adams is riskier than Flowers due to age and target competition.

OP lists Smith as comparable to Flowers. Community notes Eagles projected low passing yards; Smith is solid but not significantly better than Flowers at similar ADP. Roughly equivalent value.

OP lists Tet (Johnston) as 'more proven' than Flowers. Community counters: Johnston is year 2; Bryce Young is unproven QB; Carolina is low-passing-volume offense (projected ~3,500 yards). Consensus: Johnston has higher ceiling but more risk than Flowers.

Community cites McBride as precedent for positive TD regression: scored 6 TDs over first 49 games but had 11 TDs last year with 1,200 yards. Suggests elite efficiency metrics can precede TD breakouts. OP counters that McBride is an outlier and Flowers' 5–6 TD career pattern is consistent, not anomalous.

Andrews is a red-zone receiving target ahead of Flowers in pecking order. With Likely and Hopkins gone, Andrews may see increased red-zone volume, further limiting Flowers' TD opportunities. Some community members note Andrews is aging and less reliable, but still a factor in red-zone allocation.

Ravens' red-zone philosophy prioritizes Henry (6'3", 250 lbs) over Flowers (5'9", 180 lbs) in goal-line situations. Henry had more RZ attempts than CMC and JT combined last season. Community notes this is a scheme/philosophy constraint, not a talent issue; new OC may shift approach but Henry's presence inherently limits Flowers' TD ceiling. Henry is 32 going on 33; some speculate Ravens may reduce run-heavy approach, but unproven.

Played 13 of 17 games last season; missed majority of season with injury; Tyler Huntley and Cooper Rush filled in (both significantly worse). Community emphasizes Lamar's health is built into Flowers' ADP and a full season with healthy Lamar should boost Flowers' volume and efficiency. Year prior (2024), Lamar played all 17, threw 41 TDs but Flowers caught only 4 of them, suggesting TD upside is capped by scheme/red-zone philosophy regardless of QB health.

WR7 finish in PPR (213 points) with 1,200 yards on 86 receptions and only 5 receiving TDs; 6.9 avg targets, 5.05 avg receptions; only 4 games of 20+ points weeks 2–13; 37th in red-zone targets (10 total, 6 caught). OP calls it a 'nothing-burger' ranking. Community counters: Lamar missed majority of season; Ravens ranked 32nd in pass attempts under Todd Monken; new OC Declan Doyle (Ben Johnson disciple) should increase volume; Flowers' YPRR top-5, efficiency elite; red-zone target rate is scheme artifact, not talent; paid WR1 money with minimal target competition (Likely, Hopkins gone); floor ~11 PPR, ceiling WR7 if offense regresses to league average passing. ADP WR15–20 (Sleeper WR20, Fa...

Ashton Jeanty getting loose 🔥

Marshawn Lloyd and a glass of wine tonight SZN

The source has been targeting Alec Pierce around pick 110, noting that the team clearly wants him to fill a role similar to Terry McLaurin or Courtland Sutton. However, the source remains a non-believer in his overall fantasy outlook and notes conflicting reports regarding his injury status.

Charlie Kolar is identified as a late-round target because he is reportedly moving around the formation and taking on receiving tight end responsibilities.

The source views Darren Waller as a high-ceiling, high-variance asset compared to 'boring' tight ends. While acknowledging a likely part-time role, the source notes his potential to be a focal point of the downfield passing attack if Terry McLaurin misses time, citing his 21% targets per route run, 1.75 YPRR, and previous 26-point fantasy performances.

Lamar Jackson is already on the team's roster and is identified as a key quarterback target to stack with receivers like Adonai Mitchell in draft strategy.

The source identified Adonai Mitchell as a target to pair with Lamar Jackson in draft strategy, though he was sniped before they could select him.

The source explicitly states they do not need to draft Geno Smith for their current team, indicating he is not a priority target.

The source prefers drafting Cade Otton as a third tight end option for their team, viewing him as a reliable, albeit 'boring,' depth piece compared to higher-variance options.

The source notes that Keenan Allen is available late in drafts, suggesting he is an easy target to acquire if desired, noting he recently went undrafted in a league.

The source uses Luther Burden as a historical example of a rookie wide receiver who provided tournament-winning value despite limited early-season usage. He is considered a 'smash' pick where he is going, as his high-upside profile remains valuable even when early-season roles appear uncertain.

The source confirms Baker Mayfield is already on their roster and recommends him as a viable quarterback target in drafts, especially if the drafter is concerned about the position and can pair him with Chris Godwin.

The source debates whether Mecole Hardman is a better redraft or best ball pick, but ultimately likes him for his high-end upside in best ball formats. He is noted as being cheaper on FFPC, making him an attractive target for building out high-upside rosters.

The source likes Tank Dell and notes he has been healthy, though they worry the Houston offense will utilize 12 personnel and a rotation that limits his consistent role, making the incentive to play him in a huge role low this year.

The source identifies Parris Campbell as their preferred target among a group of receivers, noting he has been receiving buzz.

The source lists Treylon Burks as a historical example of a rookie bust who was being drafted in the eighth round.

The source identifies Rashod Bateman as a player they liked coming out of college who ultimately became a bust. In later draft discussions, the source considered drafting him, but he was selected by another team before they could pick him.

Amari Cooper is viewed as an increasingly attractive value pick as his ADP continues to drop, with the source maintaining high confidence and continuing to draft him frequently.

Travis Kelce is a preferred tight end target for the source, utilized as part of their draft stacking strategy.

Mark Andrews is a priority draft target for the source, specifically for stacking strategies, as he remains available at a reasonable price point.

The source argues Makai Lemon is a clear value in the eighth round, projecting him to play in the slot immediately with a significant role and potential for a target share exceeding 16-17%. While some skepticism exists regarding immediate production due to DeVonta Smith's presence as an alpha, the expectation is for his playing time and usage to increase as the season progresses.

Jakobi Lane is viewed as a high-level talent who performed well at the professional level and served as significant target competition for other receivers at USC.

Chris Godwin is a preferred draft target for the source, who is actively looking to increase their exposure to him in current drafts.

The source is bullish on Tony Pollard, specifically noting that he is a strong value pick when available past his current ADP.

While Quez Watkins is projected as a starter in two-wide receiver sets, the source is skeptical that he can consolidate a high-volume target share similar to DeVonta Smith or A.J. Brown, noting the odds of him becoming a high-volume fantasy asset are low.

Dallas Goedert has been a consistently involved target in the Eagles' offense over the years and remains a key part of the team's target competition landscape.

The source expects Dontayvion Wicks to start on the outside in three-wide receiver sets for the Eagles, but suggests his season-long upside is inferior to Makai Lemon's, arguing Wicks will not factor into the same tier of potential by the end of the season.

DeVonta Smith is viewed as a primary target in the Eagles' offense, with the source suggesting it is unlikely for other receivers to consolidate target share ahead of him. He is also used as a rookie-year comparison for Makai Lemon, noting his 64-reception, 915-yard, five-touchdown season which benefited from a lack of target competition.

The source notes that Jalen Hurts remains central to the Eagles' offensive identity, specifically highlighting his continued involvement in the 'tush push' and his role in mentoring teammates like DeVonta Smith.

The source is skeptical of Kadarius Toney at his current ADP due to his injury history and lack of standout camp buzz, leading to lower rankings and simulations. While they prefer drafting him on DraftKings due to a significant price gap compared to Underdog, they consider him overpriced on the latter platform.

The source notes that Davante Adams falling in draft rankings represents a significant value opportunity.

The source highlights Rico Dowdle as a viable alternative in the same draft range as the Panthers' running backs, noting his past production stretches, including back-to-back 200-yard games last season.

The source uses Christian McCaffrey as a benchmark for a high-end workhorse role, clarifying that Jonathon Brooks does not possess the profile to reach that level of usage.

The source expresses comfort in drafting Jaylen Waddle at his current ADP, noting they have not seen any injury news that would deter them from selecting him.

Trey Benson is used as a benchmark in JJ Zachariason's year-two prospect model to illustrate the decline in Jonathan Brooks's ranking following his injury-impacted rookie season.

In the context of JJ Zachariason's year-two prospect model, Jonathan Brooks's ranking dropped significantly after his rookie season, placing him below Isaac Guerendo.

Braelon Allen is used as a benchmark in JJ Zachariason's year-two prospect model to illustrate the decline in Jonathan Brooks's ranking following his injury-impacted rookie season.

Jonathan Taylor is cited as a historical comparison for a player who entered the league with a lower price point due to a rookie-season ACL tear. He is also used as a ceiling benchmark for a workhorse running back, a role the source does not expect Jonathan Brooks to reach.

The source argues that Jonathon Brooks is likely to earn the first snap for the Panthers in Week 1, noting that the team's decision not to sign veteran competition and their continued confidence in him since April is borderline shocking.

Tutu Atwell is used as a benchmark for ADP comparison, with the source noting that if Jonathan Brooks were a second-round pick this season, he would be drafted ahead of Atwell.

Chuba Hubbard is currently week-to-week with a hamstring injury, creating a risk of recurrence or worsening. While he is the incumbent starter, the source suggests his career production is often overrated relative to his second-round status, and he is likely to lose starting snap share to Jonathan Brooks, especially given the team's continued confidence in the rookie.

Jonathan Brooks is a divisive ADP riser, with Pat Kerrane noting his climb to the 6.11 in BBM drafts following Chuba Hubbard's hamstring injury. While some argue he is a high-upside play, Sam Sherman remains skeptical, labeling his current cost a 'big parlay' of outcomes that ignores his limited rookie-year traction and time since his peak. He is an outlier as a non-playing rookie, yet likely to see significant opportunity; one speaker projects him to take the Week 1 snap, while the other remains skeptical of him starting over a healthy Hubbard. He is not a CMC or Jonathan Taylor-level workhorse, but rather a 1A who catches passes, with a profile compared to Bucky Irving.

Jordan Love will start for the Packers against the Steelers in what is expected to be Aaron Rodgers' final meeting against the team that drafted him.

Rookie Drew Allar will play the second half of Thursday night's preseason game against the Packers for the Steelers.

Will Howard missed the 2025 preseason with a hand injury and will replace Mason Rudolph at some point in the first half of Thursday night's preseason game against the Packers.

Mason Rudolph will start Thursday night's preseason game against the Packers for the Steelers.

Rodgers is not playing in Thursday night's preseason game against the Packers and is on the sideline in street clothes. He is expected to play in the preseason, perhaps Aug. 21 against the Jets.

.@​JayGlazer says Caleb Williams is “light years” ahead from where he was last season.

Ian Rapoport reports Kraft (knee) on track to play Week 1 vs. Vikings. Community is bullish but anxious about ADP inflation; multiple managers report acquiring him in 6th–8th rounds and expect cost to rise. One manager got him in 8th round in two drafts but anticipates needing a 6th in future drafts. Another took him at pick 73 as flex value in PPR. Sentiment is positive on health/availability but mixed on draft value—those who drafted early want story buried to protect ADP, while undrafted managers fear missing the window.

Where are you drafting Jonathon Brooks?

Expected to receive the most playing time of Pittsburgh's rostered quarterbacks in the preseason debut against Green Bay, positioning him for significant snaps and evaluation opportunity in the game.

Expected to receive the most playing time of Pittsburgh's rostered quarterbacks in the preseason debut against Green Bay, positioning him for significant snaps and evaluation opportunity in the game.

Jordan Love is the Packers' starting quarterback getting preseason game reps in preparation for the regular season, with the team's regular season opener against the Minnesota Vikings scheduled for September 13th.

Packers TE Tucker Kraft is on track to play Week 1, per @​RapSheet

Rap: Tucker Kraft (knee) "on track" to play Week 1.

Nagy said Dart is 'super talented' but experiencing 'struggles' in training camp. struggles are coaching-driven, not talent-based. Dart is learning a new under-center system for the first time after playing shotgun at Ole Miss; Nagy/Roman/Callahan staff blamed for poor offensive design. Defenders note training camp performance is not predictive and that Dart flashed talent last year despite terrible situation. Concerns raised: reckless play style, low football IQ, doesn't protect himself, threw 30+ TDs last year but unsustainable rush TD volume. Fantasy sentiment split—some see upside if system fits his strengths (run-heavy, short passes, play-action), others fade him entirely at current...

LSU's DJ Pickett says he isn't planning on switching out of No. 5 despite pushback from Jayden Daniels' camp, per @​espn [Quoted](

George Kittle is a top-three tight end in points per game over the last two seasons, but he carries age-related regression risk as he approaches 33. He is not in the same tier as Bowers or McBride, but remains a viable starter if healthy.

Kylen Granson is a talented high-upside rookie, but he is expected to miss the entire off-season program due to a hernia injury.

Chig Okonkwo's fantasy outlook has dimmed significantly following the signing of Stefon Diggs, which creates a tougher path for targets.

Juwan Johnson is considered a waiver-wire level tight end option, with his outlook impacted by the team drafting Oscar Delp and Jordan Tyson.

Hunter Henry, who was the TE13 in points per game last year, faces a decline in target share due to the additions of Romeo Dobbs and A.J. Brown, compounded by a projected worse Patriots offense.

Dallas Goedert is a regression candidate after scoring 11 touchdowns on only 82 targets last season; additionally, the drafting of Eli Stowers in the second round threatens his future snap and route share.

Isaiah Likely has more name value than proven fantasy reliability, having averaged only 4.5 fantasy points per game last season; he has failed to produce consistently outside of a single notable performance in Week 1 of 2024, though the coaching staff move to the Giants is a potential factor.

Dalton Kincaid is highly efficient, boasting 3.02 yards per route run and 11.7 yards per target, but his fantasy value is capped by a low 38% snap share and durability concerns; if he played 75% of snaps, he would likely be a top-five tight end.

Jake Ferguson's fantasy production was heavily tied to CeeDee Lamb's injury status. Once Lamb returned, Ferguson's production dropped significantly, making him a risky, waiver-wire-level asset.

Mark Andrews is coming off a disappointing TE24 finish and is nearing age 31, but he may benefit from the departure of Isaiah Likely and a projected top-five Ravens offense led by a healthy Lamar Jackson.

Travis Kelce shows signs of athletic decline at age 37, leading to a capped ceiling. He is viewed as a better best-ball pick for his floor as a high-end TE2 or low-end TE1 rather than a league-winning ceiling play.

Kyle Pitts remains an incredibly young asset at 25 years old. He averaged 12.5 fantasy points per game and finished as the TE5 in points per game last season despite a struggling offense. He showed massive upside with a 45-point performance in week 15 and remains a strong draft target due to his youth and lack of target competition in Atlanta behind Drake London and Bijan Robinson.

Fannin is a high-upside young tight end who averaged 11.5 fantasy points per game and finished as the TE8 in points per game at age 21. His target share is projected to increase significantly following the departure of David Njoku; Fannin saw a 26% target share in games without Njoku compared to 20% when Njoku was active.

Sam LaPorta is considered a safe, reliable tight end pick who consistently finishes as a mid-to-low-end TE1. Despite an injury last season, he is reported to be fully healthy and remains a young, proven asset at 25 years old.

Ranked as the TE5, Kraft is recovering well from a late-season ACL tear, with doctors describing his knee as 'spectacular.' While the departures of Romeo Dobbs and Dontayvion Wicks may increase his target share, he is expected to regress from last year's unsustainable touchdown rate of six scores on only 44 targets.

Warren is a prime breakout candidate entering year two, coming off a season where he finished as the TE6. His production was highly dependent on Daniel Jones; he was the TE6 with Jones but dropped to the TE24 in four games without him. His outlook is bolstered by the departure of Michael Pittman Jr., which should open up target volume in the middle of the field for Warren and Josh Downs.

Ranked in the A-tier, Loveland is an elite prospect who mirrors the early-career profiles of Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez. Despite a quiet rookie season at age 21, he finished with four consecutive games of double-digit targets, including TE1 and TE2 weekly finishes. He is a prime breakout candidate for his second season, bolstered by the departure of DJ Moore and Olamide Zaccheaus.

Trey McBride averaged 18.5 fantasy points per game, establishing a high performance benchmark. However, he is expected to face significant regression due to the Cardinals becoming a more run-heavy offense with the additions of Jeremiah Love and Keaontay Ingram, a projected decrease in team scoring, and the return of a healthy Marvin Harrison Jr. to command targets.

Ranked as the TE1 ahead of Trey McBride due to the Raiders' projected offensive improvement, including a massive quarterback upgrade from Geno Smith to Cousins and Mendoza, an improved coaching staff, and offensive line investments. Bowers is expected to benefit from a lack of target competition, with only Trey Tucker and Jaylen Nailer in the mix. He is a target in the second round of drafts.

.@​TheDan_Parr lists 10 things to watch in Preseason Week 1: 1. Deshaun Watson vs. Shedeur Sanders 2. How will J.J. McCarthy respond? 3. First look at Fernando & Ty Simpson 4. Will Aaron Rodgers play tonight vs. GB? 5. WAS O-line sans Laremy Tunsil 6. Dillon Thieneman SZN 👀 7. Carnell Tate vs. De'Zhaun Stribling 8. What will the Giants look like? 9. Does Ja'Kobi Lane live up to the hype? 10. Who's the Dolphins' WR1?

.@​TheDan_Parr lists 10 things to watch in Preseason Week 1: 1. Deshaun Watson vs. Shedeur Sanders 2. How will J.J. McCarthy respond? 3. First look at Fernando & Ty Simpson 4. Will Aaron Rodgers play tonight vs. GB? 5. WAS O-line sans Laremy Tunsil 6. Dillon Thieneman SZN 👀 7. Carnell Tate vs. De'Zhaun Stribling 8. What will the Giants look like? 9. Does Ja'Kobi Lane live up to the hype? 10. Who's the Dolphins' WR1?

.@​TheDan_Parr lists 10 things to watch in Preseason Week 1: 1. Deshaun Watson vs. Shedeur Sanders 2. How will J.J. McCarthy respond? 3. First look at Fernando & Ty Simpson 4. Will Aaron Rodgers play tonight vs. GB? 5. WAS O-line sans Laremy Tunsil 6. Dillon Thieneman SZN 👀 7. Carnell Tate vs. De'Zhaun Stribling 8. What will the Giants look like? 9. Does Ja'Kobi Lane live up to the hype? 10. Who's the Dolphins' WR1?

.@​TheDan_Parr lists 10 things to watch in Preseason Week 1: 1. Deshaun Watson vs. Shedeur Sanders 2. How will J.J. McCarthy respond? 3. First look at Fernando & Ty Simpson 4. Will Aaron Rodgers play tonight vs. GB? 5. WAS O-line sans Laremy Tunsil 6. Dillon Thieneman SZN 👀 7. Carnell Tate vs. De'Zhaun Stribling 8. What will the Giants look like? 9. Does Ja'Kobi Lane live up to the hype? 10. Who's the Dolphins' WR1?

.@​TheDan_Parr lists 10 things to watch in Preseason Week 1: 1. Deshaun Watson vs. Shedeur Sanders 2. How will J.J. McCarthy respond? 3. First look at Fernando & Ty Simpson 4. Will Aaron Rodgers play tonight vs. GB? 5. WAS O-line sans Laremy Tunsil 6. Dillon Thieneman SZN 👀 7. Carnell Tate vs. De'Zhaun Stribling 8. What will the Giants look like? 9. Does Ja'Kobi Lane live up to the hype? 10. Who's the Dolphins' WR1?

.@​TheDan_Parr lists 10 things to watch in Preseason Week 1: 1. Deshaun Watson vs. Shedeur Sanders 2. How will J.J. McCarthy respond? 3. First look at Fernando & Ty Simpson 4. Will Aaron Rodgers play tonight vs. GB? 5. WAS O-line sans Laremy Tunsil 6. Dillon Thieneman SZN 👀 7. Carnell Tate vs. De'Zhaun Stribling 8. What will the Giants look like? 9. Does Ja'Kobi Lane live up to the hype? 10. Who's the Dolphins' WR1?

.@​TheDan_Parr lists 10 things to watch in Preseason Week 1: 1. Deshaun Watson vs. Shedeur Sanders 2. How will J.J. McCarthy respond? 3. First look at Fernando & Ty Simpson 4. Will Aaron Rodgers play tonight vs. GB? 5. WAS O-line sans Laremy Tunsil 6. Dillon Thieneman SZN 👀 7. Carnell Tate vs. De'Zhaun Stribling 8. What will the Giants look like? 9. Does Ja'Kobi Lane live up to the hype? 10. Who's the Dolphins' WR1?

.@​TheDan_Parr lists 10 things to watch in Preseason Week 1: 1. Deshaun Watson vs. Shedeur Sanders 2. How will J.J. McCarthy respond? 3. First look at Fernando & Ty Simpson 4. Will Aaron Rodgers play tonight vs. GB? 5. WAS O-line sans Laremy Tunsil 6. Dillon Thieneman SZN 👀 7. Carnell Tate vs. De'Zhaun Stribling 8. What will the Giants look like? 9. Does Ja'Kobi Lane live up to the hype? 10. Who's the Dolphins' WR1?

While initially high on RJ Harvey, Welch's Fruit Snacks has cooled on him due to his second-round rookie draft ADP, suggesting he is currently overvalued unless J.K. Dobbins suffers an injury.

Jonah Coleman is viewed as a well-rounded, powerful runner for the Broncos, though concerns exist regarding his pass-blocking ability, which could limit his playing time compared to other options.

J.K. Dobbins is highly regarded by the Broncos organization, with Sean Payton calling him a 'compound multiplier' and praising his elite vision. Despite injury history, he is expected to be a key part of the offense if he stays healthy.

Despite previous skepticism, Bucky Irving is confirmed as the RB1 by Todd Bowles. Offensive coordinator Zach Robinson praises his balance, tackle-breaking ability, and versatility. With dynasty prices low, he is currently viewed as a buy-low candidate.

The return of Alvin Kamara is expected to limit Travis Etienne's perceived upside, as Kamara will likely command a significant share of the backfield touches, capping Etienne's potential for a workhorse role.

Elijah Surratt is viewed as a strong fit for the Ravens' offense, with GM Eric DaCosta praising his ability as a back-shoulder fade receiver and Head Coach Jesse Minter highlighting his toughness and clutch playmaking. He may see slot usage if the team shifts toward 11 personnel.

Todd Monken is highly enthusiastic about Harold Fannin Jr., describing him as a powerful, difficult-to-tackle player who is only improving. Monken explicitly compared Fannin's movement with the ball to Brock Bowers, signaling a potential breakout role.

Todd Munkin is highly enthusiastic about Harold Fannin Jr., describing him as a powerful player who is difficult to tackle. Munkin indicated he will be a focal point of the offense.

Terrence Ferguson is viewed as a potential breakout candidate with monster season upside. Sean McVay has compared him to Travis Kelce, highlighting his ability to play every skill position. The team plans to utilize his yards-after-catch ability more effectively this year, and his versatility allows him to stay on the field in various personnel groupings.

Jeremiah Love is clearly the most talented back on his team and should be treated as a centerpiece. Despite concerns about a 'hot hand' committee approach, he is head and shoulders above his competition. He is expected to benefit from a high-paced offense that will keep him on the field for chunk plays.

Chris Rodriguez is viewed as a reliable grinder who fits the team's need for a short-yardage back to close out games. While he is effective at staying on schedule with 4-8 yard gains, he is a liability in the passing game, which limits his ceiling in Liam Cohen's intricate offense.

Josh Downs is considered a screaming buy at his current low ADP. The goal is to increase his usage to 10 routes per game from the slot and out wide, aiming for 450-500 total routes. He has earned targets and is highly effective after the catch, though a new groin injury in training camp is a minor concern.

Josh Downs is expected to see an improved role, with Shane Steichen confirming plans to utilize him both inside and outside. With Alec Pierce dealing with an ankle injury, Downs is positioned to be the primary wide receiver for the Colts.

Michael Wilson is considered an easy fade, with the source comparing his situation to Jerry Judy's previous seasons where high route volume failed to translate into elite fantasy production.

The source is fading Trey McBride, citing concerns over his high volume of routes run last year (695) without a commensurate breakout in total yardage, suggesting he may be overvalued relative to his actual efficiency.

Despite some concerns about his rookie prototype, Marvin Harrison Jr. is viewed as a buy-low candidate. Michael Lafleur's willingness to move him around the formation—unlike the previous coaching staff—is seen as a major positive for his production potential.

Colston Loveland is a high-conviction bet for the source, who ranks him as the TE2 in dynasty, ahead of Trey McBride. The offense is expected to revolve around Loveland and Luther Burden, with Loveland being praised for his blocking and receiving versatility.

Ben Johnson has expressed high confidence in Luther Burden, noting his explosive athleticism and the team's intent to move beyond simple screens to unlock more of his game. The offense is expected to prioritize getting the ball to playmakers like Burden to maximize passing EPA.

David Njoku is viewed as a depth piece rather than a primary option, with the source noting he was leapfrogged by Harold Fannin Jr. last year and lacks the pass-catching upside of Arunda Gadsden or the inline blocking utility of Charlie Kohler.

Dalton Kincaid is a buy with top-four tight end upside; the Bills offense is significantly more efficient with him on the field, and there is an expectation that his route participation will increase from the 50-55% range toward 65%.

Carson Beck is a buy because he is likely to see starts in 2026; Matt LaFleur praised his ability to manage the huddle and stay composed, and his preseason performance suggests he is ready for NFL action.

Jonathan Brooks has seen his best ball ADP rise from the 140s to the 80s, reflecting increased market confidence and sharper drafting as the offseason progresses.

Luther Burden III did not practice during Bears training camp.

Zavion Thomas did not practice during Bears training camp.

Ray-Ray McCloud caught a long touchdown from Case Keenum in stride, getting behind the defense for the play of the day during Bears training camp practice.

Case Keenum, the Bears' QB2, threw a long touchdown to Ray-Ray McCloud in stride during training camp practice, with McCloud getting behind the defense for the play of the day.

Kaden Davis caught a deep touchdown pass from Tyson Bagent to end Bears training camp practice, showcasing connection with the backup quarterback in preseason reps.

Tyson Bagent ended Bears training camp practice with a deep touchdown pass to Kaden Davis, demonstrating effective downfield accuracy and offensive execution in preseason preparation.

Tyson Bagent will start for the Bears against Cleveland on Saturday in preseason game #2, with Caleb Williams and offensive/defensive starters held out. This mirrors the team's preseason game #1 approach from the prior year.

Caught a long touchdown pass from Case Keenum in practice, getting behind the defense for the play of the day; demonstrates receiving ability and connection with QB2.

Caught a deep touchdown pass from Tyson Bagent at the end of practice, demonstrating connection with the starting preseason QB and red zone involvement.

Starting QB for Saturday's preseason game against Cleveland Browns; head coach Ben Johnson confirmed Caleb Williams and offensive starters will not play. Bagent has performed well in previous preseason games, suggesting offensive continuity in his starts.

The Cleveland Browns drafted Denzel Boston in Round 2, continuing their investment in wide receiver talent after ranking 32nd in the NFL in WR target share and WR fantasy points last season.

The Cleveland Browns drafted KC Concepcion in the first round, signaling significant investment and opportunity in the team's receiving corps after the Browns ranked 32nd in the NFL in WR target share and WR fantasy points last season.

In three years with Todd Monken as his offensive coordinator, Mark Andrews never had more than 70 targets in a season, suggesting limited target volume upside under Monken's scheme.

Last year, among tight ends who ran at least 200 routes, Harold Fannin was targeted on more of his routes run than any other tight end; he earned 108 targets (eighth most by a rookie tight end) and posted a 21.4% team target share (fourth most among NFL tight ends, behind only Trey McBride, Brock Bowers and Kyle Pitts), yet he was outside the top 15 among tight ends in aDOT, yards per target and yards per reception, indicating inefficiency despite high volume.

Over the first eight weeks of last season, prior to the ACL tear, Tucker was the TE1 in fantasy PPG, but the injury creates significant uncertainty around his availability and recovery timeline for the 2026 season.

Since entering the NFL, no qualified tight end has a higher YAC per target than Tucker Kraft; Kraft also ranks second in yards per target, and the only tight end that averages more fantasy points per target than Kraft is George Kittle, positioning him among the most efficient pass-catchers at the position.

Last year, Kyle Pitts earned just four end-zone targets, which tied for 21st at the position, indicating limited red-zone opportunity and touchdown upside.

In Week 15 against Tampa Bay, Kyle Pitts scored 45.6 fantasy points in PPR scoring, which accounted for 21% of his total fantasy points for the entry year; if you remove that one game, Pitts would have finished as TE15, highlighting his inconsistency and reliance on outlier performances.

As a rookie, Colston Loveland averaged 1.98 yards per route run; since 2011, the only rookie tight ends with a better yards-per-route-run season are Brock Bowers and Kyle Pitts, positioning him among the most efficient rookie tight ends in the modern era.

On both ESPN and Yahoo, Washington is being drafted outside the top 80 picks, while Matthew Berry has him ranked 64th overall, indicating a significant ADP discount relative to his established role and production.

Last year, Parker Washington had six games with 17+ PPR points, which was more than all other Jacksonville wide receivers combined, demonstrating his role as the team's primary receiving option.

From Week 8 through the playoffs last year, Parker Washington ranked among the top three wide receivers in yards per route run; in the five games he played with Brian Thomas Jr. and Jakobi Meyers active, he averaged 15.4 PPG and 85.2 YPG; in games where he ran at least 70% of the routes, he averaged a 24% target share.

Robinson is playing for the same playcaller who gave him 140 targets each of the last two seasons and a team that paid him 17.5 million a year, yet he is currently going outside the top 100, suggesting significant ADP discount relative to his established target volume and team investment.

Despite leading all rookie wide receivers in receptions, receiving yards and receiving touchdowns last year, and playing over 87% of Carolina's offensive snaps with 122 targets, McMillan finished as a top-12 WR in only two of his 17 games, suggesting inconsistency and potential regression risk.

Pierce is currently on PUP and has not practiced since undergoing ankle surgery in March, creating uncertainty around his availability and role in the Colts offense.

Downs is currently going well outside the top 100 picks on both ESPN and Yahoo, suggesting significant ADP discount relative to his target-share upside and per-game production in high-volume games.

With Michael Pittman off the field, Downs has been targeted on over 25% of his routes for his career; in 22 career games with at least a 20% target share, he averages 13.7 PPG.

Last year, Tetairoa McMillan led all rookie wide receivers in receptions, receiving yards and receiving touchdowns. McMillan played more than 87% of Carolina's offensive snaps and earned 122 targets. However, despite this elite rookie production, McMillan finished outside the top-12 WR, suggesting potential undervaluation.

Over the past three seasons, Mike Evans ranks second in end-zone targets per game, indicating elite red-zone involvement.

Alec Pierce is currently on PUP and has not practiced since undergoing ankle surgery in March, indicating he is dealing with a significant injury heading into the season.

For his career, with Michael Pittman off the field, Josh Downs has been targeted on over 25% of his routes. In 22 career games with at least a 20% target share, Downs is averaging 13.7 PPG. Downs is currently going well outside the top 100 picks on both ESPN and Yahoo, suggesting significant undervaluation given his target share upside with Pittman traded.

Since 2023, when A.J. Brown has been off the field for the Eagles, DeVonta Smith has been targeted on 29% of his routes. In 43 career games with at least a 25% target share, Smith is averaging 17.3 PPG. Smith has averaged 8.5 yards per target in every season of his career. Matthew Berry has Smith ranked about a round ahead of consensus in his fantasy football rankings.

Over the last four years, A.J. Brown has more touchdown receptions on passes of 15 or more air yards than any other player. However, Brown is currently going outside the first two rounds on both ESPN and Yahoo, suggesting significant undervaluation given his elite deep-ball production.

Last year, Drake Maye had the second-highest average depth of target and was tied for the most touchdowns on passes that traveled at least 15 air yards, indicating elite deep-ball production.

Last year, Chris Rodriguez ranked in the top six running backs in yards after contact per rush, indicating elite rushing efficiency.

Last year, Jonathan Taylor ranked in the top six running backs in yards after contact per rush, indicating elite rushing efficiency.

Out of the 48 qualified RBs last year in yards after contact per rush, Bucky Irving ranked 48th (last), indicating poor rushing efficiency.

Last year, Kenneth Gainwell led his team in receptions. Out of the 48 qualified RBs last year in yards after contact per rush, Gainwell ranked 14th, indicating solid rushing efficiency.

Last year, De'Von Achane led his team in receptions. Among the 48 qualified RBs last year in yards after contact per rush, Achane ranked in the top six, indicating elite rushing efficiency.

In six of his seven career seasons, David Montgomery has ranked top 10 in goal-to-go rush attempts. In each of his past five seasons with at least 220 touches, Montgomery has had at least 1,100 yards from scrimmage. Montgomery is currently going in the sixth round, suggesting potential undervaluation given his consistent red-zone and volume production.

Of the 42 players with 10 or more goal-to-go rushing attempts last year, Woody Marks had the worst TD conversion rate at just 8%, indicating poor red-zone efficiency.

Jonathon Brooks goes two to three rounds after Chuba Hubbard in consensus ADP, despite Hubbard's poor efficiency metrics (lowest YAC/attempt among 100+ carry RBs, 30th in yards per target over three seasons), suggesting Brooks may offer better value.

Among running backs with 100+ carries last season, Chuba Hubbard had the lowest YAC/attempt and was one of only two RBs with a lower rate of runs gaining 10+ yards. Among the 32 running backs with 100+ targets over the past three seasons, Hubbard ranks 30th in yards per target. Despite these efficiency concerns, Jonathon Brooks goes two to three rounds after Hubbard in consensus ADP.

Over the past three seasons, Tony Pollard is one of only nine running backs to produce at least 1,200 yards from scrimmage in each of the past three seasons, demonstrating elite consistency.

Over the past three seasons, D'Andre Swift is one of only nine running backs to produce at least 1,200 yards from scrimmage in each of the past three seasons. In each of the last three seasons, Swift has at least 220 carries, 40 targets and 1,200 yards from scrimmage. Since entering the NFL, Swift ranks fourth among all running backs in targets, receptions, and receiving yards. Swift has increased his total fantasy points in each of the last three years, finishing last year as RB14. However, he is currently being drafted as RB23 in consensus ADP, suggesting significant undervaluation.

Over the past three seasons, Breece Hall is one of only nine running backs to produce at least 1,200 yards from scrimmage in each of the past three seasons, demonstrating elite consistency.

Over the past three seasons, Saquon Barkley is one of only nine running backs to produce at least 1,200 yards from scrimmage in each of the past three seasons, demonstrating elite consistency.

Over the past three seasons, James Cook is one of only nine running backs to produce at least 1,200 yards from scrimmage in each of the past three seasons, demonstrating elite consistency.

Over his final nine games last year (including the playoffs), Rhamondre Stevenson averaged 17.1 FPPG and over 92 yards from scrimmage. Last year, Stevenson was third among RBs in fantasy points per touch (minimum 100 touches). However, TreVeyon Henderson is going 2.5 rounds ahead of Stevenson in consensus ADP, suggesting Stevenson is undervalued.

Last year, 27% of TreVeyon Henderson's rushing yards came on just 2% of his carries, indicating extreme inconsistency and efficiency variance in his rushing production.

Last year, Kenneth Walker ranked sixth among running backs in yards per route run (minimum 150 routes). Additionally, Andy Reid told Dan Graziano at Chiefs camp that the plan is very much to get Walker involved in the pass game, suggesting increased receiving volume ahead.

Last year, Jahmyr Gibbs ranked in the top three running backs in yards per route run (minimum 150 routes), indicating elite pass-game involvement and efficiency. Over the past three seasons, Gibbs is one of only nine running backs to produce at least 1,200 yards from scrimmage in each of the past three seasons.

Last year, Christian McCaffrey ranked in the top three running backs in yards per route run (minimum 150 routes), indicating elite pass-game involvement and efficiency. Additionally, McCaffrey led his team in receptions last season.

Last year, Bijan Robinson ranked in the top three running backs in yards per route run (minimum 150 routes), indicating elite pass-game involvement and efficiency.

Last year, in games that Joe Alt played, Omarion Hampton averaged 2.87 yards before contact; in games in which Joe Alt did not play, Hampton averaged 1.89 yards before contact. This 0.98-yard differential demonstrates the impact of offensive line health on Hampton's efficiency. Joe Alt is healthy heading into the season.

Over the past two years, Lamar Jackson has only two total carries inside an opponent's five-yard line, indicating minimal goal-to-go rushing volume despite his rushing ability.

Derrick Henry is the only running back with at least 1,500 rushing yards in each of the past two seasons. In 34 games for Baltimore, Henry has 34 touchdowns. Last year, no player had more goal-to-go rushing attempts than Henry. Matthew Berry notes this is the 379th straight year people say Henry is too old and will fall off, suggesting continued underestimation of his production.

Kyren Williams is the only non-QB with 13+ touchdowns in each of the last three seasons, demonstrating elite consistency in the red zone.

Last year, Matthew Stafford led the NFL with a 7.7% Pass TD rate. The last five players to lead the NFL in TD% had their TD% drop significantly the following season (Aaron Rodgers dropped 2.1% and 2.2%, Patrick Mahomes dropped 1.8%, Brock Purdy dropped 2.6%, and Lamar Jackson dropped 1.6%), suggesting Stafford's TD rate is likely to regress.

Over the last two seasons, Brock Purdy has more combined passing yards per game and rushing yards per game than any other QB, indicating elite dual-threat production.

Over the last three seasons, Malik Willis has the highest yards per attempt among all QBs; over the last two seasons, he leads in fantasy points per dropback. In his six career starts, Willis has averaged 44.8 rushing yards per game. Since 2020, there have been 21 instances of a QB averaging 35+ rushing yards per game, and in 17 of them the player finished as a top-10 QB in PPG that season. Willis is currently being drafted as QB23, suggesting significant undervaluation.

Starting in Week 6 last year, Tyler Shough led all QBs in goal-to-go rushing attempts despite not starting until Week 9. Once he took over as starter (Weeks 9-18), Shough was sixth in passing yards per game and 12th-best in fantasy PPG. He is currently being drafted as QB20, suggesting undervaluation given his late-season elite production.

Since the start of 2022, Jared Goff leads the NFL with 18,206 passing yards and 130 touchdown passes (also most in NFL). In each of the last four years, only one QB has finished as a top-10 fantasy QB in total points—Jared Goff. Despite this elite four-year consistency, Goff is currently being drafted as QB17, suggesting significant undervaluation.

Since 2020, Kyler Murray ranks fourth among all QBs in fantasy points per game at 19.7; dating back to 2019, he is one of only four QBs with 15+ fantasy points per game in every single season. In every season he has played at least eight games, Murray has finished as a top-12 QB in PPG. However, Murray is currently being drafted as QB16 despite this elite historical production, suggesting significant undervaluation.

Since 2020, Lamar Jackson ranks third among all QBs in fantasy points per game at 21; dating back to 2019, he is one of only four QBs with 15+ fantasy points per game in every single season.

Since 2020, Patrick Mahomes ranks second among all QBs in fantasy points per game at 21.1; dating back to 2019, he is one of only four QBs with 15+ fantasy points per game in every single season.

Since 2020, Josh Allen ranks first among all QBs in fantasy points per game at 23.3; dating back to 2019, he is one of only four QBs with 15+ fantasy points per game in every single season.

Lawrence has three top-12 fantasy QB finishes in his last three healthy years, averaging more than 290 total yards per game last year with 4,000+ passing yards in each of his last three healthy seasons and 21 rushing touchdowns over the last four years. He grades as a top-10 QB per PFF, is a Pro Bowler, multi-time Player of the Week winner, and an NFL Top 100 player.