NFL fantasy football news and player signals for Friday, September 11, 2026

Check out some stats on Burden for this week. We’ve tracked him all offseason and expect a jump in production and Week 1 seems like it may kick that off. Snag a free month at Statyx using code “FREEMONTH” if these kind of stats interest you!

Demarcus Robinson has a message for the Rams

Tyler Davis, a defensive end, was involved in pressuring Brock Purdy during the Rams' Week 1 game against San Francisco, though the overall defensive scheme was simplified with reduced stunts and schemed pressures.

Brock Purdy lit up the Rams defense in Week 1, part of a pattern where the Rams' defense has struggled against multiple quarterbacks over the last four games; Purdy was not sacked and the Rams' defensive scheme appeared simplified, with reduced stunts (19.4% vs. 41.7% season average), schemed pressures (25% vs. 39.1%), and traditional blitzes (14% vs. 18%), despite Myles Garrett's presence.

Christian McCaffrey was featured in the Rams' Week 1 matchup against San Francisco, with the 49ers running game proving productive enough to justify the Rams keeping additional size on the field defensively.

Dan Orlovsky initially criticized Stafford's performance in the Rams' 27-7 loss to the 49ers before redirecting focus to the defense and defensive coordinator Chris Shula.

Love's elite performance against the blitz (EPA per play of +0.30, tied for best in league with Matt Stafford) combined with his 13.2% deep throw rate when blitzed (5th in league) and 2.78 time to throw under pressure suggests he can exploit Minnesota's blitz-heavy scheme. Love doesn't panic against the blitz and has shown ability to drift away from pressure and throw off his back foot, positioning him to attack the Vikings' 28th-ranked deep pass defense.

Watson is the primary deep-ball target for Jordan Love; Love threw 3 of 5 deep TDs (20+ yards) to Watson last season, and 1 additional deep TD on a play with Watson on the field, meaning Love threw only 1 deep TD all year without Watson on the field. From Week 8 onward, Watson averaged 17.6 air yards per target (2nd most among qualifying receivers) and had 9 deep receptions (most in the league during that span). Love averaged 10.2 air yards per attempt with Watson on field versus 7.8 without him.

.@​HaydenWinks thinks Kyler Murray will outscore Jayden Daniels in his Vikings debut 💪

.@​HaydenWinks thinks Kyler Murray will outscore Jayden Daniels in his Vikings debut 💪

Despite the tough Week 1 matchup, Mahomes could still be a possible low-end No. 1 quarterback in deeper leagues, suggesting viable fantasy value even with the challenging opponent.

Mahomes will face a tough Denver Broncos defense in Week 1, which could limit his upside despite his return from ACL injury.

Mahomes fully participated in practice Friday, Sept. 11, working his way back from a torn anterior cruciate ligament and is set to play in the regular season opener against Denver.

If you play the 49ers in man coverage on base downs they will make the guy covering deebo fit the B gap and the next play split CMAC out and you’ll have a linebacker on him in space. [Retweeted](

If you play the 49ers in man coverage on base downs they will make the guy covering deebo fit the B gap and the next play split CMAC out and you’ll have a linebacker on him in space. [Retweeted](

welp looks like I’m starting MarShawn Lloyd this week fingers crossed

James Cook has 41 career TDs. 78% of them have come in the last two seasons 😱

Courtland Sutton called Bo Nix a mountain lion, a comparison Nix accepted and interpreted as reflecting the hunter mentality required at the quarterback position—the ability to execute in high-leverage moments and help the team win.

Bo Nix embraced Courtland Sutton's mountain lion comparison, interpreting it as a hunter mentality required at quarterback—the ability to put a dagger in opponents during comebacks or to mount his own comeback to help the team win. The source notes Nix has done a lot of the latter (mounting comebacks) and hopes to see more of the former (aggressive finishing) this year, suggesting confidence in his ability to execute high-leverage moments.

Courtland Sutton made a notable comparison calling Bo Nix a mountain lion, framing the quarterback's role through a hunter mentality. The source interprets this as Sutton's way of characterizing Nix's ability to execute clutch plays—putting a dagger in opponents during comebacks or mounting his own comeback to help the team win.

Bo Nix embraced Courtland Sutton's mountain lion comparison, interpreting it as a hunter mentality that applies to quarterback play—specifically the ability to put a dagger in opponents during comebacks or mount his own comeback to help the team win. Nix expressed excitement about the upcoming season, noting he's been in the practice schedule for a long time and feels he has a great group around him, signaling confidence in his role and readiness for Week 1.

With Malik Davis carted off with a hip injury and Emari Demercado as the only other backup RB on the Cowboys' roster, Javonte Williams will handle a lot of work in Week 1 and has RB1 upside against the Giants.

Dallas' RB2 was carted off the practice field Friday with a hip injury. The only other backup RB on the Cowboys' roster is Emari Demercado, meaning Javonte Williams will handle a lot of work in Week 1.

The source prefers J.K. Dobbins over Jacory Croskey-Merritt as a Week 1 play, citing Croskey-Merritt's uncertain usage and tough matchup.

The source prefers Jordan Mason over Jacory Croskey-Merritt as a Week 1 play, citing Croskey-Merritt's uncertain usage and tough matchup.

The source prefers Tony Pollard over Jacory Croskey-Merritt as a Week 1 play, citing Croskey-Merritt's uncertain usage and tough matchup.

The usage split between Rachaad White and Jacory Croskey-Merritt is uncertain heading into Week 1.

Croskey-Merritt has been limited in practice this week and is on track to suit up, but given both the uncertain usage split between him and Rachaad White and a tough matchup, the source recommends sitting him if possible. The source would rather play backs such as Tony Pollard, Jordan Mason, J.K. Dobbins, or Kenny Gainwell.

Caleb Douglas will start alongside Chris Bell for the Dolphins in Week 1.

Bell had first-round NFL draft hype before tearing an ACL in college, which caused him to miss much of the preseason. The Dolphins announced this week that Bell will start alongside Caleb Douglas and will not be on a snap count. Bell is worth grabbing if he is on the league's waiver wire.

With Sean Tucker doubtful, Kenny Gainwell is a flex option in what could be a high-scoring game against the Bengals and should see some of the goal-line opportunities that Tucker handled last season.

With Sean Tucker doubtful, Bucky Irving is a strong start in Week 1 and should see goal-line opportunities that Tucker handled last season.

Tampa Bay's RB3 is doubtful to suit up with a hamstring injury. Last season, Tucker handled a good chunk of the Buccaneers' goal-line looks; without him, those looks should go to either Bucky Irving or Kenny Gainwell.

With Jalen McMillan doubtful, Chris Godwin Jr. could see a slight volume boost and is in play as a WR3/flex option in what could be a high-scoring game against the Bengals.

McMillan is doubtful to suit up in Week 1. His absence means Emeka Egbuka is a must-play option and might see an uptick in volume; Chris Godwin Jr. could also see a slight volume boost.

Etienne is still a strong start in Week 1, though his usage is worth monitoring given Alvin Kamara's presence and ability to play on valuable passing-down snaps.

Kamara has been limited in practice this week and could be in flex consideration in deep PPR leagues, but is likely to be left on benches in the majority of leagues. His presence impacts Travis Etienne Jr., as Kamara can play on the valuable passing-down snaps; Etienne is still a strong start, but it is worth monitoring the usage.

If LeQuint Allen Jr. is unavailable, Bhayshul Tuten would likely see more passing-down snaps, increasing his value in Week 1.

Jacksonville's passing-down back did not practice on Wednesday and saw only limited action Thursday and Friday; Liam Coen said Allen would be a game-time decision. While he is not himself fantasy-relevant, his absence would likely lead to more passing-down snaps for Bhayshul Tuten, increasing Tuten's value.

Meyers has been limited at practice but said he would be playing in Week 1. He is a flex option who is more of a safe floor than an upside play.

The highest-paid free agent receiver in NFL history has started his season limited in practice, but the expectation is that he will suit up for the Colts in Week 1. For fantasy, he is a high-ceiling play due to his field-stretching ability, though he brings some risk given he has been dealing with multiple injuries this preseason.

The work distribution between Chuba Hubbard and Jonathon Brooks in Week 1 and beyond is unknown, creating uncertainty around both backs' usage.

Brooks missed time late in the preseason but has returned to practice this week in limited fashion and is up in the air to play in Week 1. There is excitement surrounding Brooks and his massive upside, but he was limited to just 12 touches in his first two NFL seasons due to injury and the work distribution between Brooks and Chuba Hubbard in Week 1 and beyond is unknown. The source recommends a wait-and-see approach despite the good matchup.

Cook is a must-play option in Week 1 despite the tough matchup; if Ty Johnson is unavailable, Cook would see more passing-down opportunities.

Buffalo's passing-down back has not practiced this week and is questionable. His absence would likely lead to more passing-down opportunities for James Cook III.

Despite Tua Tagovailoa being ruled out, managers with Kyle Pitts should keep the Falcons in their lineups for Week 1.

Despite Tua Tagovailoa being ruled out, managers with Drake London should keep the Falcons in their lineups for Week 1.

Despite Tua Tagovailoa being ruled out, managers with Bijan Robinson should keep the Falcons in their lineups for Week 1.

Atlanta's quarterback has been ruled out after getting added to the injury report due to an oblique injury suffered Thursday at practice. Cooper Rush will be the next man up since Michael Penix Jr. is already out. Rush should not be started in fantasy, even in superflex leagues.

Dalton Schultz is listed as an alternative waiver wire choice to plug and play for Week 1 in place of Brock Bowers.

Michael Mayer is listed as an alternative waiver wire choice to plug and play for Week 1 in place of Brock Bowers.

The source identifies Juwan Johnson as the favorite waiver wire option for managers seeking a replacement for Brock Bowers; Johnson will likely be the No. 2 target for the Saints in a game in which they will have to throw often.

Bowers underwent meniscus surgery on Wednesday and will miss Week 1 and likely more time than that.

Chase only learned on Thursday that the Bengals play the Buccaneers at 1 p.m. ET, but will be playing in Week 1. He brings overall WR1 upside in what could be a high-scoring game between two strong offenses.

Odunze suffered a calf injury late last week in practice and has been limited all week, but stated on Friday he will suit up in Week 1. While there is added risk due to the calf, he remains in play as a high-upside WR3/flex option; the Panthers were stingy against receivers last season, but the Bears' offense should be good enough to overcome the matchup.

Egbuka dealt with a toe injury in the preseason but returned to full practice this week and will play in Week 1. The source notes he showed WR1 upside early last season before injuries affected him and QB Baker Mayfield; he brings that same upside this week in what could be a high-scoring game against the Bengals.

Nabers is returning from a torn ACL and practiced in full this week; he told reporters it will be his decision whether to suit up, but the expectation is that he will play. If he suits up, he should start in all fantasy leagues. The Cowboys allowed the most yards, touchdowns, and fantasy points to receivers last season; Nabers had 167 yards and two touchdowns against them in Week 2 last season.

Allgeier is in play as a deeper-league flex option and will likely operate as the Cardinals' goal-line back in Week 1, with Jeremiyah Love potentially on limited touches.

Love, a rookie dealing with a preseason ankle issue, got in limited practices Wednesday and Thursday and was listed as the RB2 on the Cardinals' depth chart. He is expected to play and, even if limited on touches, should see enough involvement to be started in fantasy; he is an explosive runner and reliable pass catcher bringing RB1 upside even if Arizona plays it safe with him in Week 1.

Washington Jr. is a flex option with big-play upside in the Week 1 matchup against Miami, which ranked in the top eight in rushing and receiving yards allowed to backs last season.

After dealing with an ankle injury throughout the preseason, Jeanty practiced in full this week and will play in Week 1 against the Dolphins. The source projects him as a fantasy RB1 with potential to be one of the top RB scorers for the week; Miami ranked in the top eight in rushing and receiving yards allowed to backs last season.

.@​MattHarmon_BYB has Josh Downs going for 90+ yards in Week 1 🔥 [Retweeted](

Jahmyr Gibbs is a strong start for Week 1, with Ian Hartitz noting he could see a 90% snap rate. Billy highlights his potential for multiple touchdowns against a Saints defense missing Cameron Jordan, citing Gibbs' explosive ability to score from anywhere.

With Foster Moreau out due to a hamstring injury, Ian Hartitz recommends starting Juwan Johnson, noting he is expected to be involved in the Saints' condensed passing attack.

Jack Bech is expected to see increased usage in 11 personnel packages for the Raiders, as Ian Hartitz notes he is a gritty player who is effective as a run blocker.

Zay Flowers is cleared for Week 1 after logging back-to-back full practices to end the week following his hamstring issue; he carries no official injury designation.

Tee Higgins is officially cleared and good to go for Week 1 after being removed from the injury report.

Ja'Marr Chase is officially cleared and good to go for Week 1 after being removed from the injury report.

Brock Bowers is currently sidelined with an injury, though Clint Kubiak has indicated he will be back soon.

Tyler Warren is confirmed to be good to go for Week 1, as he is not listed on the injury report.

Tucker Kraft is confirmed to be good to go for Week 1, as he is not listed on the injury report.

Sam LaPorta is confirmed to be good to go for Week 1, as he is not listed on the injury report.

Despite an ankle injury, Deebo Samuel is recommended as a must-start for the 49ers offense, which Ian Hartitz describes as looking very strong.

Ian Hartitz suggests that fantasy managers who own MarShawn Lloyd should be nervous given the ongoing uncertainty surrounding Josh Jacobs' status and potential suspension.

Rhamondre Stevenson is confirmed as an every-down workhorse for the Patriots; Ian Hartitz notes he could see extra targets while Trevon Henderson remains sidelined.

Ian Hartitz suggests the Patriots' offense needs Trevon Henderson back on the field to improve the team's overall functionality.

Kayshon Boutte recorded a 60% route participation rate in the Patriots' recent game.

Romeo Doubs recorded a 76% route participation rate, but Ian Hartitz notes a deflating performance featuring a significant drop; he is unlikely to crack the top 40 rankings for the upcoming week.

Demario Douglas led the Patriots' wide receivers with a 79% route participation rate in the most recent game.

Despite interest in his potential, Ian Hartitz notes that Kyle Williams' route participation (17%) suggests he will not be a fantasy-relevant factor in the Patriots' passing game.

AJ Brown is heading to IR due to a high ankle sprain sustained during the season opener.

Trey Palmer is expected to step into a day-one full-time role following Jalen McMillan's injury, with Ian Hartitz noting his twitchy performance in the preseason.

Ian Hartitz reports that Emeka Egbuka is fully expected to be at 100% for the upcoming game following his toe injury; he is also expected to see a positive impact on his target share due to Jalen McMillan's doubtful status.

The doubtful status of Jalen McMillan is viewed as positive news for the target outlook of Chris Godwin.

Ian Hartitz remains skeptical about Josh Jacobs' availability, projecting a potential 4-6 game suspension due to the NFL's decision to place him on the exempt list, which suggests the league possesses damaging information, despite Jacobs pleading no contest to misdemeanor charges.

Despite practicing in full all week, Malik Nabers remains officially questionable for the Sunday night game. Ian Hartitz has downgraded him in rankings behind DJ Moore, Parker Washington, Christian Watson, and Drake London due to the late kickoff and lingering injury uncertainty.

Ian Hartitz notes that Sean Tucker's likely absence is good news for Bucky Irving, who may soak up the goal-line rushing role.

Sean Tucker is listed as doubtful for Week 1 after being limited in practice, making him unlikely to play.

Ian Hartitz advises fantasy managers to sit Alec Pierce until he proves he has a full-time role, citing his limited practice participation throughout the week and the need to see him look healthy after missing training camp.

Ian Hartitz identifies Emari Demercado as the next man up in the Cowboys backfield following Malik Davis's serious hip injury, but advises against overreacting as the team will likely sign additional depth.

Malik Davis has been ruled out with a serious hip injury that could keep him sidelined for an extended period.

Ian Hartitz advises starting James Cook regardless of injury news, noting that Ty Johnson's potential absence could increase Cook's receiving upside.

Ty Johnson is officially questionable for Week 1 with a hamstring injury, though he returned to practice on Friday.

Ian Hartitz confirms Alvin Kamara is ready to play in Week 1 after a full practice on Friday and clarification from Klint Kubiak.

Jeremiah Love is questionable for Week 1 with a limited practice week, though reports suggest he will play. Ian Hartitz labels him a low-end RB2 and expresses concern about potential negative game script if the Cardinals fall behind early.

Ashton Jeanty was on the injury report but practiced in full and is confirmed good to go.

Rachaad White was not listed on the injury report all week and is confirmed good to go for Week 1.

D'Andre Swift was not listed on the injury report and is confirmed good to go. Ian Hartitz recommends betting the over on 2.5 receptions for D'Andre Swift, citing his preference for pass-catching running backs against zone-heavy defenses.

Chuba Hubbard was not listed on the injury report and is confirmed good to go for his upcoming game. Ian Hartitz prefers Chuba Hubbard slightly but expects a near 50-50 workload split with Jonathan Brooks.

Drew Lock is expected to start for the Seahawks in Week 2 while Sam Darnold recovers from a hip injury.

Sam Darnold suffered a hip injury in the season opener but is not expected to face an extended absence, though he is unlikely to play in Week 2.

Ian Hartitz maintains his projection for Bijan Robinson at 30 touches, regardless of who is under center for the Falcons.

Cooper Rush has been named the starting replacement for the Falcons following the injuries to Tua Tagovailoa and Michael Penix Jr. Ian Hartitz notes that the Steelers are facing off against Cooper Rush, suggesting this matchup as a potential factor for backing the Steelers.

Tua Tagovailoa is officially out for Sunday's matchup against the Steelers after suffering an oblique injury during Thursday's practice.

Ian Hartitz confirms Patrick Mahomes is active and good to go for Monday Night Football, noting that Mahomes has stated he is done discussing his injury.

@​JameyEisenberg and @​AdamAizer believe you should pick up Devaughn Vele NOW before it's too late! [Retweeted](

.@​MattHarmon_BYB has Josh Downs going for 90+ yards in Week 1 🔥

Caleb Williams is described as 'blossoming' in his second season with the Bears, with D'Andre Swift serving as a check-down option in the passing game. Swift's 34 receptions for 299 yards and a touchdown in 2025 underscore Williams' willingness to utilize his running back in the short-passing game, supporting the Bears' offensive efficiency and their first NFC North title since 2018.

Kyle Monangai, selected by the Bears in the seventh round of the 2024 draft, had a strong rookie campaign with 169 carries for 783 rushing yards and five touchdowns, plus 18 catches for 164 yards and a receiving touchdown. Despite Monangai's productive rookie season, the Bears committed to D'Andre Swift with a three-year, $33.75 million extension, signaling Swift remains the primary back and Monangai will operate in a complementary role in the Chicago backfield.

Swift posted a career-best 2025 season with 1,087 rushing yards and nine touchdowns on 223 carries (4.9 yards per attempt), plus 34 receptions for 299 yards and a receiving touchdown. This production—his best in the NFL—came as a check-down option in Caleb Williams' offense and demonstrates Swift's dual-threat capability in both rushing and receiving roles, supporting his elevated fantasy value going forward.

D'Andre Swift signed a three-year, $33.75 million extension with the Bears through 2029, including $27.5 million guaranteed. This represents a significant organizational commitment to Swift as the lead back; the Bears are investing heavily in the running back position despite also rostering Kyle Monangai, who had a strong rookie campaign with 169 carries for 783 yards and five touchdowns. Swift's 2025 season—a career-high 1,087 rushing yards and nine touchdowns on 223 carries (4.9 yards per attempt) plus 34 receptions for 299 yards and a touchdown—justified the extension and solidifies his role as Chicago's primary ball-carrier through the end of the decade.

George Kittle on his return from his Achilles injury

Latest article on @​MBFantasyLife: News, notes, & what I'm hearing around the league + how it impacts your lineup & start/sit decisions on Hint: I am not excited about Drake London

The source is hesitant to target Saquon Barkley at $6,900, citing his poor 2023 performance where he had only one tournament-winning score, despite his previous status as a league winner.

Dallas Goedert is an underrated value at $4,100; he boasts a 27% target per route run rate when A.J. Brown is off the field, which is higher than elite receivers like CeeDee Lamb.

Terry McLaurin is the only Washington player the source would consider, noting he has exceeded 17 DraftKings points in 53% of games played with Jayden Daniels, though he remains an iffy value.

Michael Mayer is a top-value play at $2,900 with Brock Bowers out; he has a proven track record of production in games without Bowers and projects as the Raiders' de facto wide receiver one.

Ashton Dulin is fully healthy and off the injury report after a full week of practice, making him a strong value play at his current price point.

The source suggests pairing Devon Achane with Malik Willis to capture Miami's touchdown upside, noting that Achane's target share should remain stable because Willis historically targets first reads at a high rate.

Malik Willis is a high-upside value play at a cheap price; despite limited pass attempts, he leads the league in fantasy points per dropback since 2023 and possesses elite athleticism.

The Vikings backfield is currently being avoided by the industry due to uncertainty regarding the split between Aaron Jones on passing downs and Jordan Mason on early downs.

Christian Watson is an overlooked contrarian play with under 10% projected ownership; he excelled against two-high coverages last year, ranking in the top eight in both yards per route run and fantasy points per route run.

Jordan Addison is a strong double-stack candidate due to his schematic fit against Jonathan Gannon's cover-four defense, against which he has outproduced Jefferson over the last 10 games.

Despite a disappointing 2023, the source argues for a bounce-back for Justin Jefferson, noting he is a top-two NFL receiver who remains quarterback-proof and will likely see low ownership.

The source notes Kyler Murray is cheap with rushing upside, having maintained his running ability from last year; he is a viable double-stack option with Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison.

Justin Jefferson is a viable stack partner for Kyler Murray, expected to draw low ownership due to his disappointing performance last season.

Kyler Murray is a top point-per-dollar quarterback play at $5,500, with the source noting his rushing juice and success in Kevin O'Connell's system.

Jaden Reed is a solid play due to his high efficiency against the blitz (170% increase in yards per route run) and expected high route share in 11 personnel.

Marshawn Lloyd is the cheapest viable running back on the slate at $4,800, with the potential to secure a 65% rush share and 12-14% target share.

O'Marion Hampton is a massive value at $6,800, especially with Keaton Mitchell dealing with a hamstring injury, making Hampton a strong tournament play.

Justin Herbert is a top-tier quarterback play at $6,100, bolstered by the return of Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater and a new scheme under Mike McDaniel.

Jacoby Brissett is a strong salary-adjusted play for passing volume, having averaged nearly 21 fantasy points in games with 30+ pass attempts last year.

Marvin Harrison is preferred over Michael Wilson, Jr. due to his superior efficiency metrics and high target share (20%) and air yard share (40%) when playing with Jacoby Brissett.

Brian Thomas is a potential tournament play due to his downfield role and elite rookie efficiency, though the source notes his schematic role is currently in flux.

Parker Washington is recommended as a top stack partner for Trevor Lawrence, citing his 17+ fantasy points per game average in non-injured games last year and his low price as WR19.

Trevor Lawrence is a strong play at $5,800, having averaged 26.9 DraftKings points over his last seven games, with significant rushing upside inside the 10-yard line.

The source considers Tony Pollard a poor value relative to David Montgomery, noting that Pollard is only $400 cheaper.

At $4,800, Wandale Robinson is viewed as a poor value compared to Michael Pittman and Quentin Johnston.

The source dismisses Gunnar Helm as a punt tight end option because he is more expensive than Michael Mayer, which the source considers a 'death knell' for value.

Garrett Wilson is recommended as part of a Jets stack, with the source noting he is a preferred target alongside Geno Smith for tournament lineups.

The source suggests Geno Smith is a viable option for MME (Mass Multi-Entry) lineups as part of a Jets stack, noting the potential for the team to overperform and score 28 points.

The source highlights Breece Hall as a strong play due to his 19.4 fantasy points per game average in wins since 2024 and his efficiency on man gap concepts, which Tennessee struggled to defend last season.

Breece Hall is healthy and in a rare competitive game script; he is efficient on man-gap concepts, which the Titans' defense struggled against last season.

Garrett Wilson at $5,800 is a strong value play, representing his cheapest price on DraftKings since week 14 of 2023; he is a primary target for stacking with Geno Smith.

Michael Pittman at $4,900 is an interesting value play with red-zone touchdown equity, as Mike McCarthy's offenses frequently rank in the top six for pass rate inside the 10-yard line.

Rico Dowdle is a preferred value play over Jalen Warren at $5K, as he has a history of being used as a three-down back by head coach Mike McCarthy.

Cooper Rush starting at quarterback hurts Bijan Robinson's outlook significantly, as Rush has a much lower running back target rate compared to Tua Tagovailoa.

Drake London at $6,500 is a technical value with high target share potential (35-40%), but his outlook is dampened by Cooper Rush starting at quarterback.

Sam LaPorta at $4,400 is a strong value with significant touchdown upside; he leads all main-slate tight ends in expected touchdowns since 2023 and is a core piece for two-tight-end builds.

Jameson Williams is a high-upside tournament play at $6K; his targets per route run increase by nearly 50% against single-high defensive looks, which the Saints frequently employ.

Jared Goff at $6K is a strong play in a potential shootout; he averages 21 fantasy points per game in home games with totals over 48, though he should be played in Lions onslaught stacks.

Jahmyr Gibbs is considered the best play on the slate, averaging 30.8 DraftKings points in wins; he is expected to be highly owned (40-50%) but remains a must-play due to his efficiency and role.

Chris Olave is a great play at $6,700; with Jordan Tyson on IR, his volume is secure, and he averaged 21.9 DraftKings points per game in his final five games last year.

Alvin Kamara is fully healthy and practicing after missing August with a knee injury; his return negatively impacts Travis Etienne's pass-game projection.

Dalton Schultz at $3,400 is acceptable in theory, but Michael Mayer is preferred as a $500 cheaper option with better projections.

The source explicitly avoids playing CJ Stroud in DFS lineups if possible.

Nico Collins is a compelling contrarian play, as he leads the NFL in yards per route run against the blitz, and the Bills are expected to employ a more blitz-heavy defensive scheme under Jim Leonard.

David Montgomery is a strong contrarian play at $6K, expected to handle a massive, every-down bell-cow workload similar to Joe Mixon's 2024 role; he faces a Bills defense that struggled against the run last season.

Josh Allen faces a tough matchup against the Texans, a team that has historically limited him to 20 and 19 points in recent meetings; he is the most expensive QB on the slate at $7K with a mediocre 23.25 implied team total.

If Johnson misses the game, it provides a boost to James Cook's pass-catching opportunities.

Josh Allen faces a difficult matchup against the Texans, a team he has historically struggled against, scoring only 20 and 19 points in their last two meetings.

Chase Brown is a high-upside play against a Buccaneers defense that struggles against receiving RBs; he led all slate-eligible RBs in expected fantasy points per game when starting with Burrow last year.

Joe Burrow is the best QB play on the slate at 8% projected ownership; he averages 24.8 fantasy points in games with a 48+ total and excels against the blitz, which the Buccaneers utilize at a high rate.

Bucky Irving is a contrarian RB play who could see goal-line work, though his upside is capped by Kenny Gainwell's involvement on passing downs.

Baker Mayfield is a top-tier QB play at $5,900, ranking as QB7 in fantasy points per game over the last two seasons. He benefits from a condensed target share and a favorable matchup against a suspect Bengals secondary.

Jalen Coker is a fringe top-12 point-per-dollar value who benefits from a schematic matchup against the Bears' man-heavy defense.

Colston Loveland is considered underpriced and a strong piece for Bears double-stacks.

Luther Burden is underpriced in the mid-5k range and is a strong candidate for Bears double-stacks.

Caleb Williams faces a tough matchup against the Panthers' disguise-heavy defense, which caused him struggles last year, though he excelled against static coverages.

Josh Downs is an intriguing contrarian play at $5,200; he averages 8.6 targets and 15.6 fantasy points in games with over two-thirds of snaps. He is highly effective against two-high safety looks, ranking fourth in target-per-route-run against that coverage.

Jonathan Taylor is a top-three point-per-dollar value despite expected ownership of 10-20%, which is considered too low. He averaged 31.5 DraftKings points in wins last year, the best mark for any RB over the last five seasons.

Zay Flowers is in play for DFS lineups as part of the Ravens' passing attack.

Mark Andrews is a solid stacking option with Lamar Jackson at a $3,900 price point.

Lamar Jackson is a strong GPP play at 6% projected ownership; he has hit 4X his Week 1 salary in 22% of games since 2022 and is coming off a career-worst fantasy season that hasn't resulted in a significant salary discount.

New Article bring you the latest news, notes, & what I'm hearing around the league and looking out for this weekend + How it impacts your lineup & start/sit decisions Hint: I am not excited about Drake London

.@​raygarvin has Chris Olave finishing as the overall fantasy WR1 this week 👀

Wide receiver cleared to play for Week 1 season opener against Tampa Bay Buccaneers with no injury designation.

Wide receiver cleared to play for Week 1 season opener against Tampa Bay Buccaneers with no injury designation.

Cornerback remained limited in Friday's practice with hamstring injury but carries no game-status designation for Week 1 season opener.

Wide receiver was a full participant in Friday's practice with toe injury and carries no game-status designation for Week 1 season opener.

Running back listed as doubtful for Week 1 season opener against Cincinnati Bengals due to hamstring injury; was limited during Friday's practice.

Wide receiver listed as doubtful for Week 1 season opener against Cincinnati Bengals due to knee injury; was limited during Friday's practice.

Wide receiver Tee Higgins is cleared to play for Week 1 season opener against Tampa Bay.

Wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase is cleared to play for Week 1 season opener against Tampa Bay.

Cornerback DJ Turner II remained limited with a hamstring injury but carries no game-status designation for Week 1 season opener against Tampa Bay.

Wide receiver Emeka Egbuka was a full participant Friday despite toe injury history and carries no game-status designation for Week 1 season opener against Cincinnati.

Running back Sean Tucker carries a doubtful designation for Week 1 season opener against Cincinnati after being limited during Friday's practice with a hamstring injury.

Wide receiver Jalen McMillan carries a doubtful designation for Week 1 season opener against Cincinnati after being limited during Friday's practice with a knee injury.

Pick a FLEX option for this week: Brian Thomas vs CLE Michael Pittman vs ATL Courtland Sutton @​ KC

Pick a FLEX option for this week: Brian Thomas vs CLE Michael Pittman vs ATL Courtland Sutton @​ KC

Pick a FLEX option for this week: Brian Thomas vs CLE Michael Pittman vs ATL Courtland Sutton @​ KC

Cooper Rush will start at quarterback for the Falcons in Week 1 against the Steelers, with both Tua Tagovailoa (oblique injury) and Michael Penix Jr. (not game-ready per coach Stefanski) unavailable. The source notes this could extend beyond just this weekend.

Michael Penix Jr. is ruled out for Week 1 despite being cleared and healthy from his ACL injury from last year. Head coach Kevin Stefanski indicated that Penix is not where he feels he needs to be right now in terms of readiness, so Cooper Rush will start instead.

Tua Tagovailoa is ruled out for Week 1 after aggravating his oblique (back) during Thursday's practice. He will not start for the Falcons on Sunday; Cooper Rush will take over at quarterback.

Falcons WR on injury report with hamstring issue heading into Week 1, creating uncertainty around his availability for the season opener.

Falcons starting QB for Week 1 against the Steelers due to injuries to both Michael Penix Jr. and Tua Tagovailoa. The source notes this could extend beyond just this weekend, suggesting potential for sustained starting role depending on Penix's development timeline.

Falcons QB ruled out for Week 1 with oblique injury (back). Aggravated the injury during Thursday's practice, removing him from Week 1 starting consideration and opening the door for Cooper Rush to start.

Falcons QB ruled out for Week 1 with knee injury (ACL recovery from last year). Though cleared medically and healthy to play, head coach Kevin Stefanski indicated Penix is not where he needs to be developmentally, creating uncertainty about his Week 1 availability and potential extended absence.

Geno Smith had clear issues with sacks and turnovers last season and while the Jets' offensive line is better than what he had in the Las Vegas Raiders' offensive line last season, Smith's still turnover-prone, providing upside for the Tennessee Titans defense in Week 1.

The Jaguars have a solid 24 point implied team total this week and are hoping for plenty of passing touchdowns. The Jags paid Strange in the offseason for good reason: he was effective last year with a 15.4% red zone target share (tied for third-highest on the team) and a 12.5% receiving touchdown market share. Trevor Lawrence looks to Strange in the red zone.

After Jayden Higgins went out for the year with an ACL injury, the Texans traded for Kayshon Boutte from the New England Patriots and immediately thrust him into a starting role. The Texans' coaching staff has alluded to 'big plans' for Boutte, which hopefully means downfield targets, as he posted a big 16.9 aDOT (Average Depth of Target) last year with the Patriots.

With Brock Bowers out for the Las Vegas Raiders, Tre Tucker is positioned to benefit from the vacated target share. Bowers posted a team-high 21.7% target share last season, and Tucker was second on the Raiders with a 17.5% target share. It's a layup spot against the Miami Dolphins, who are going to be dreadful this season, making this one of the easiest streams available.

Sampson has clear upside in the passing game with 40 targets and 33 receptions in 15 games last season, solid for a running back in a split backfield. The Browns are 8.5-point underdogs against the Jacksonville Jaguars, which should push them into a heavier passing game script and give Sampson a path to production.

With Tua Tagovailoa potentially out for Week 1, the Falcons might get back to basics and aim for a run-heavy game. While Bijan Robinson leads the way, Brian Robinson has a path to production through a few carries and a vulture at the goal line, even in a lower total vs. the Steelers.

Shough posted 18 fantasy points or more in each of his final six games last season and is rostered in only 40% of leagues this season. The Lions allowed the 9th most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks last season (18.2) and have a bad secondary, putting Shough in a good spot for Week 1 with a 49.5 over/under.

The source ranks Herbert as the number one receiver for the Chargers, indicating his primary role in the offense.

The source ranks Olave as the number one receiver for the Saints with no Jordan Tyson, and prefers Olave over Drake London. Olave is expected to be a round-one player next year but is available at the back end of round two or early round three, representing value.

The source notes Drake London will present a great buying opportunity after the first couple of weeks due to current fear around Michael Penix's readiness. London is expected to be a round-one player next year but is available at the back end of round two or early round three, making him a potential buy-low candidate.

The source ranks Godwin ahead of Stribling and Montgomery in a full PPR flex decision, though Montgomery is preferred for volume. Godwin is the second choice in the trio.

The source prefers Michael Mayer over George Kittle this week, with PlayerProfiler rankings and Jeremiah in agreement.

The source prefers Michael Mayer over George Kittle this week. PlayerProfiler rankings and Jeremiah agree with the Mayer preference.

The source prefers Mike Evans over BTJ in full PPR, though notes not loving either guy. Evans is the preferred option between the two.

The source has concern with Kyler Murray in the matchup against Gannon's defense. However, if playing as an underdog and needing an upside swing, Murray could be considered. PlayerProfiler ranks Murray 7-14 at QB.

The source prefers Brock Purdy over Kyler Murray this week, ranking Purdy 7-14 at QB. Purdy has been in his offense consistently and is set up better. The source recommends Purdy for safety and shorty, especially if favored or in an even matchup.

The source does not love DJ Moore in the Bills matchup, describing it as very physical and not well-suited for Moore's style. Structured routes are not Moore's game, and the Bills defense can make that difficult.

The source prefers Godwin over DJ Moore this week, citing the Bills matchup as favorable. Josh Allen can play out of structure, and Godwin fits that style. The Buccaneers-Bengals game has a 50.5 over-under in optimal conditions.

The source ranks Daniels 15th at QB and believes he is in trouble against the Philadelphia Eagles defense, indicating concern about the matchup.

The source ranks Trevor Lawrence 14th at QB with a low over-under of 40.5 points against the Browns, indicating confidence in his scoring potential.

The source calls DK Metcalf a slam dunk start against Washington this week, indicating strong confidence in the matchup.

The source does not love Evans' matchup this week and notes his ceiling is volatile. While Evans has an incredible ceiling, the source prefers to wait a few days and get the shorty of Montgomery instead.

The source does not buy into Woody Marks as a threat to Montgomery's role; emphasizes Montgomery has the guarantee of his role and shorty of touches, making him a safer play than Evans despite Evans' ceiling upside.

The source prefers Montgomery over Mike Evans in flex play due to volume; expects Montgomery to touch the ball 15-18 times against Buffalo's defense. The source values the guaranteed role and shorty of Montgomery's touches over Evans' ceiling volatility.

Jake Ferguson ranked tight end fifteen in source's Week 1 rankings. Ferguson and Isaiah Likely are a toss-up for the Sunday night football game.

Isaiah Likely ranked tight end fourteen. Source notes that if there's any bearishness on Malik Neighbors, the other side of that game (Sunday night football) will benefit Likely. Likely and Jake Ferguson are a toss-up for the Sunday night game.

Dalton Kincaid ranked tight end thirteen in source's Week 1 rankings.

George Kittle ranked tight end twelve but source is bearish on him due to unknown factors surrounding his return tonight. Source expresses uncertainty about what will happen with his playing time and role.

Jawan Johnson ranked tight end eleven. Source prefers Johnson over Michael Mayer but wouldn't fault someone for believing in Mayer's payoff in managed and dynasty leagues.

Michael Mayer ranked tight end ten. Source notes this ranking was done reactively in real time and mentions not faulting someone for believing in the payoff of Mayer in managed and dynasty leagues.

Dallas Goedert ranked tight end nine with a great matchup against the Washington Commanders in Week 1.

Tucker Kraft ranked tight end eight in source's Week 1 rankings.

Sam Laporta ranked tight end six in source's Week 1 rankings.

Mark Andrews ranked tight end five in source's Week 1 rankings.

Trey McBride ranked tight end four in source's Week 1 rankings.

Kyle Pitts ranked number three overall at tight end against the Steelers. Source notes this is a pretty high ranking and expresses uncertainty about the ranking.

Colson Loveland is ranked tight end one in source's personal rankings. Faces Carolina Panthers in Week 1. Source is very high on this play and recommends getting Loveland in lineups.

Source loves this play and ranks Tyler Warren as tight end one. Warren faces Baltimore Ravens in Week 1.

Source ranks Jalen Coker at 25 overall in Player Profiler rankings; personal ranking at 36. Coker is being started over BTJ (ranked 40) this week. Source is very confident in this start decision.

Jalen Coker is identified as a sleeper play for Week 1. The source notes that both he and Pete were starting Jalen Coker in the 350 NFFC tournament and had good conversation about attacking the Bears defense, suggesting confidence in the pick.

Jameson Williams is ranked 23rd overall at wide receiver in Week 1.

Mike Evans is mentioned in the Week 1 wide receiver rankings but no specific rank or context is provided in the transcript.

Jalen Waddle is ranked 21st overall at wide receiver in Week 1 against the Chiefs with a lower total of the game (44.5). The source notes they are 'high on' Waddle but the ranking reflects the less favorable matchup and game total.

Tee Higgins is ranked 20th overall at wide receiver in Week 1 in a shootout matchup. The source describes this ranking as 'a bargain,' suggesting the ranking is too low relative to the matchup quality.

Terry McLaurin is ranked 19th overall at wide receiver in Week 1 by PlayerProfiler, but the source has him at 26th. The source cites a really tough matchup against Philadelphia and a new offense with David Blau, suggesting there's a possibility they get off to a slow start, making him a downgrade from the PlayerProfiler ranking.

Christian Watson is ranked 17th overall at wide receiver in Week 1.

Drake London is ranked 15th overall at wide receiver in Week 1 against Pittsburgh's vaunted defense. The source notes that while the Dolphins have talent (Pitts, Bijon, London), quarterback issues are making them a tough and good offense to target defensively, suggesting the matchup is not favorable.

Devonta Smith faces a cake matchup against Washington in Week 1. The source raises the question of whether he will be the JSN (Jalen Sanett-like breakout) this year, suggesting uncertainty about his ceiling.

A.J. Brown suffered a high ankle sprain and is expected to miss approximately three to six weeks. The source advises fantasy managers to expect the next month without A.J. Brown and to be happy if they have IR spots on their team.

George Pickens is ranked 12th overall at wide receiver in Week 1. The source notes that Pickens and CeeDee Lamb, both wide receiver ones, could be flip-flopped easily but should both be safely placed in the top 12.

CeeDee Lamb is ranked 11th overall at wide receiver in Week 1. The source notes that Lamb and George Pickens, both wide receiver ones, could be flip-flopped easily but should both be safely placed in the top 12.

Garrett Wilson is ranked tenth overall at wide receiver in Week 1, with the source noting he is expected to 'go off' against Tennessee.

Chris Alave is ranked ninth overall at wide receiver in Week 1, with the source expressing love for him and noting a shootout matchup against Detroit.

The source expects Nico Collins to have a strong week, describing the matchup as 'a buffet' and stating he has 'been forgotten about' but will 'remind people how good he is.'

Ranked as wide receiver twelve overall in Week 1.

Ranked as wide receiver ten overall; expected to perform well against Tennessee in Week 1.

Ranked as wide receiver nine overall; playing Detroit in Week 1 shootout matchup.

Ranked as wide receiver eight overall; source expresses aggressive confidence in ranking; playing Bills defense that is not as strong as Texans; benefits from truncated target share with Jaden Higgins gone; source believes he has been forgotten about and will remind people how good he is.

Ranked as quarterback seven overall on PlayerProfiler; positioned in stack with Justin Jefferson against Green Bay.

Ranked as wide receiver seven overall; playing Green Bay in Week 1.

Ranked as wide receiver six overall; playing Giants in Week 1.

Ranked as quarterback seven overall on PlayerProfiler; source is very high on him; positioned in stack with Zay Flowers against Colts secondary.

Ranked as wide receiver five overall; source is very high on him based on EPA and DVOA metrics; connected to Lamar Jackson stack against Colts secondary that gets torched; positioned to benefit from slicing and dicing opportunities.

Ranked as wide receiver three overall; source expresses aggressive confidence in ranking, aligning with preseason rankings; playing Saints with favorable schedule.

Scored touchdowns in Week 1; expected to finish as a safe wide receiver one depending on Week 1 performance.

Ranked as wide receiver one overall on PlayerProfiler; expected to play in Week 1 with strong performance potential.

Ranked as wide receiver four overall; source advises staying pat with Jamar Chase rather than downgrading to Christian Watson and Jalen McMillan, indicating strong confidence in his Week 1 performance.

Suffered injury in Week 1; source emphasizes importance of monitoring bench players for potential elevation to starter role, using AJ Brown as cautionary example of unexpected injury impact.

Referenced as example of unexpected injury impact; source emphasizes importance of monitoring bench players for potential elevation to starter role.

Stashed upside cuff option at running back; positioned as potential depth chart riser in event of injuries to primary backs.

Stashed upside cuff option at running back; positioned as potential depth chart riser in event of injuries to primary backs.

Expected to play in Week 1; injury status was monitored as potential depth chart catalyst for receivers like Ted Hurst if unavailable.

Layered wide receiver option to stash on bench; positioned as potential depth chart riser in event of injuries to top receivers, similar to handcuffing strategy in running backs.

Layered wide receiver option to stash on bench; positioned as potential depth chart riser in event of injuries to top receivers, similar to handcuffing strategy in running backs.

Layered wide receiver option to stash on bench; positioned as potential depth chart riser in event of injuries to top receivers, similar to handcuffing strategy in running backs.

Layered wide receiver option to stash on bench; positioned as potential depth chart riser in event of injuries to top receivers, similar to handcuffing strategy in running backs.

Available on waivers at a very cheap acquisition cost; positioned as a plug-and-play option for AJ Brown teams seeking receiver depth after Brown's injury.

Romeo Doubs had a poor Week 0 performance but is viewed as significantly better than his tape suggests; the source recommends acquiring him cheaply as a plug-and-play option for AJ Brown owners, calling it 'the biggest blessing' for teams with Brown.

AJ Brown is expected to miss time due to injury; the source advises owners not to overreact and to remain active on waivers rather than panic-trade or panic-drop.

Christian Watson is recommended as a hold rather than a trade target; the source is not concerned about his outlook and advises against overreacting to AJ Brown's injury situation.

In a trade scenario where a team has depth at wide receiver, Jamar Chase is the preferred target over Christian Watson and Ted McMillan as a package deal; the source would 'absolutely take Jamar Chase' if roster depth allows.

Jeremiah Love ranked 41st in the source's running back rankings for Week 1 against the Chargers; one the source has him at 28th but views him as a flex play at best due to game script concerns. Arizona is a 9.5–10.5 point underdog, likely to play from behind in a pass-heavy script, which limits Love's upside.

Travis Etienne has a very favorable Week 1 matchup against Detroit; the source preferred him over Kenneth Walker in rankings.

Walker ranked 14th among running backs for Week 1; the source notes volume is more important than efficiency at the position and feels his ranking is appropriate given higher upside plays available this week, though this is a weekly decision rather than a full-season fade.

Quinchon Judkins is ranked number twenty-three among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

David Montgomery is ranked number twenty-two among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

Bucky Irving is ranked number twenty-one among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler; the analysts prefer Bucky Irving slightly ahead of Cam Akers, with both players in similar ranking positions but Irving favored in the analysts' personal rankings.

Cam Akers is ranked number twenty among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler; the source notes that PlayerProfiler and the analysts have Cam Akers and Bucky Irving in similar ranking positions, with the analysts preferring Bucky Irving slightly ahead.

DeAndre Swift is ranked number nineteen among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

Jaylen Warren is ranked number eighteen among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

Travis Etienne is ranked number seventeen among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

Kyren Williams is ranked number thirteen among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

Javante Williams is ranked number twelve among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

Rhamondre Stevenson is ranked number eleven among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

James Cook is ranked number ten among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.

Kenneth Walker is ranked number eight among running backs in PPR scoring for Week 1 by PlayerProfiler.