NFL fantasy football news and player signals for Thursday, August 27, 2026
A crawlable daily synthesis of the player-specific takes STACKED extracted from monitored podcasts, videos, articles, and social posts.
Players driving the slate
Josh Jacobs
10 signals2 positive, 8 negative across Injury, Role, Usage.
D'Andre Swift
9 signals7 positive across News, Projection, Usage.
Jeremiyah Love
9 signals2 positive, 5 negative across Bust, Injury, Projection.
Trey McBride
8 signals3 positive, 4 negative across Bust, Projection, Role.
Mike Evans
8 signals1 positive, 7 negative across Bust, Depth Chart, Injury.
Ashton Jeanty
7 signals1 positive, 6 negative across Bust, Injury, Projection.
Kyler Murray
6 signals6 positive across Projection, Sleeper, Value.
Colston Loveland
6 signals5 positive across Projection, Value.
All extracted player insights
Kennedy was targeted on a quick slant in the second-team scrimmage (Drive #2), where Nick Whiteside broke up the third-down pass.
Martin was targeted on a crossing route in the second-team scrimmage (Drive #1), where Joe Bachie limited the play to just 5 yards with tight coverage.
Cunningham was targeted on a post route in the third-team scrimmage (Drive #2), where Khalil Dorsey broke up the pass with a nice pass breakup.
Lovett made a notable play in the third-team scrimmage (Drive #1), where he was found open on a crossing route by Josh Dobbs and turned it upfield for a big gain and a first down on third-and-19. This demonstrates his ability to create separation and convert in critical situations.
Meeks was targeted by backup quarterback Luke Altmyer on a short curl route in the second-team scrimmage (Drive #3), suggesting involvement in the backup offensive game plan.
Altmyer fumbled two snaps from Mason Miller, who was filling in for missing center Seth McLaughlin. Miller has not played center in the NFL or college, and the two spent extra time after practice working on exchanges. This suggests potential continuity issues with the backup center position and Altmyer's comfort level with the backup.
Vaki picked up a crucial third-and-1 conversion with a run up the middle in the second-team scrimmage (Drive #1), aided by key blocks from Miles Frazier and Ben Bartch. This demonstrates his role in short-yardage situations for the second-team offense.
Williams recorded a 31-yard touchdown run in the second-team scrimmage (Drive #3), where he drew the defense inside before bouncing the run outside of cornerback Ekow Boye-Doe, who lost outside contain. This demonstrates his ability to create explosive plays with vision and lateral movement.
Goff had mixed results in the scrimmage, completing passes to multiple receivers including St. Brown down the sideline for 14 yards and a TD seam route, and hitting a wide-open LaPorta for what would have been a 20+ yard gain before the whistle. However, he was visibly frustrated with an early whistle in Drive #5 that negated a potential big play.
LaPorta was targeted multiple times in the scrimmage, catching a play-action screen pass for 18 yards in Drive #4 and appearing as a wide-open target on a pass from Jared Goff in Drive #5 that would have gained at least 20 yards before the whistle came. His involvement suggests continued role in the Lions passing game.
Gibbs showcased explosive run-game potential with a 59-yard touchdown run following a block from Tate Ratledge in Drive #3, and a 16-yard touchdown run in Drive #8 where he kept his feet moving with offensive line support to set up third-and-1, then scored on a pitch play with Penei Sewell as lead blocker. Despite the run game being described as 'just okay' overall, Gibbs produced multiple explosive plays.
TeSlaa appeared in multiple offensive drives, catching a play-action bootleg pass for 14 yards in Drive #1, a quick curl for 12 yards with a missed tackle on Jack Campbell in Drive #3, and a play-action screen pass for 18 yards in Drive #4. His involvement across different play types suggests a role in the Lions' passing game.
St. Brown had a strong scrimmage day, recording a 22-yard crossing route, a bubble screen conversion on third-and-3 with a stiff arm of D.J. Reed, and two touchdown receptions—a 14-yard sideline catch and a seam route TD. The source notes this was perhaps the wide receivers' best day against the Lions' sticky secondary, with St. Brown central to that performance.
Williams was heavily featured in the first-string scrimmage, recording a back-shoulder catch for 21 yards on the opening play, a third-and-12 conversion on a screen play, and a fourth-and-goal catch at the back of the end zone where he barely got a knee in. His consistent involvement across multiple play types and ability to convert in critical situations demonstrates his role as a primary target in the Lions offense.
Cunningham was targeted on a post route with the third-team offense but the pass was broken up by Khalil Dorsey.
Kennedy was targeted on a quick slant with the second-team offense but the pass was broken up by Nick Whiteside on third down.
Martin was targeted on a crossing route with the second-team offense but was limited to 5 yards by Joe Bachie's coverage.
Meeks was targeted by Altmyer on a short curl play with the second-team offense, showing receiving role involvement in the backup unit.
Altmyer fumbled two snaps from Mason Miller, who was filling in for missing center Seth McLaughlin. Miller has not played any center in the NFL or college, and the two spent extra time after practice working on exchanges, suggesting snap-exchange issues with the backup center.
Goff led the first-string offense through a strong scrimmage, hitting multiple receivers including Williams, St. Brown, and LaPorta. He showed frustration when a whistle came quickly on a play where he had completed a pass to a wide-open LaPorta that would have gained at least 20 yards, indicating competitive intensity.
Lovett, a second-year receiver, converted a crucial third-and-19 play by finding open space on a crossing route and turning it upfield for a big gain and first down with the third-team offense. His ability to create in tight situations suggests receiving role development.
Vaki picked up a crucial third-and-1 conversion with a run up the middle for 10 yards with key blocks from Miles Frazier and Ben Bartch. His ability to convert short-yardage situations suggests role relevance in the second-team offense.
Williams recorded a 31-yard TD run with the second-team offense, demonstrating good vision and field awareness by drawing the defense inside before bouncing the run outside of cornerback Ekow Boye-Doe. His explosive play suggests depth-chart relevance.
LaPorta was targeted multiple times in the scrimmage, catching a play-action screen pass for 18 yards and a wide-open pass that would have gained at least 20 yards (though the whistle came quickly on that play). His involvement in the passing game and open-field opportunities suggest continued offensive usage.
Teslaa was involved in multiple offensive plays, catching a play-action bootleg pass for 14 yards and a quick curl that he turned into 12 yards after making Jack Campbell miss. His involvement in the passing game and ability to create after the catch suggest offensive role development.
Gibbs produced explosive plays in the scrimmage, including a 59-yard TD run following a block from Tate Ratledge and a 16-yard TD run on fourth-and-1 with Penei Sewell as lead blocker. Despite the run game being described as just okay overall, Gibbs generated multiple explosive and successful plays.
St. Brown had a strong scrimmage with multiple scoring opportunities and conversions. He recorded a 22-yard crossing route, a bubble screen conversion on third-and-3 with a stiff arm of D.J. Reed, and two TD passes (16 yards down the sideline and up the seam). The source notes this was perhaps the wide receivers' best day against a sticky secondary.
Williams was heavily featured in the Lions' first-string scrimmage, recording a back-shoulder catch for 21 yards on the opening play, a third-and-12 conversion on a screen pass, and a fourth-and-goal TD catch at the back of the end zone where he barely got a knee in. His multiple red-zone targets and explosive plays suggest continued offensive reliance.
Jordan James has not yet been seen in preseason action; the source is interested in observing how much playing time he receives in the preseason finale, though his availability is uncertain due to the backup offensive line situation.
Kaelon Black is expected to see action in the preseason finale; the source is interested in observing how much playing time he receives in this final preseason game.
Adrian Martinez is expected to receive heavy playing time in the preseason finale but has been inaccurate in a pair of preseason games, which could negatively impact the performance of pass catchers competing for roster spots.
Mac Jones is in uniform for the preseason finale but is expected to see limited action, with Adrian Martinez likely to receive a heavy dose of playing time at quarterback.
The coaching staff has seen enough from their first pick in the NFL Draft; Stribling is not expected to play in the preseason finale, signaling the 49ers are moving on from him.
Running back not yet seen in preseason action; preseason finale will be first opportunity to evaluate playing time and performance, though backup offensive line deployment could limit volume.
Running back of interest for preseason finale; playing time and volume to be determined, with potential complications from backup offensive line usage.
Expected to receive heavy playing time in preseason finale as backup quarterback, but has been inaccurate in a pair of preseason games, which negatively impacts pass catchers' ability to showcase themselves in the game.
First-round draft pick not expected to play in preseason finale; coaching staff has seen enough from Stribling, signaling confidence in his development and reduced need for additional preseason evaluation.
Davis is battling for the Buffalo Bills' punt returner role; offensive coordinator Joe Brady wanted to evaluate him in night games after Davis had only returned punts during daytime practice. However, Davis muffed a punt in his first return opportunity during a preseason game against Pittsburgh, letting the ball slip through his hands and bounce to Brandin Echols, which likely undermines his bid for the role.
Don't worried about Woody Marks potentially creating RBBC w Montgomery because Monty is already priced like he is going to be in one D'Andre Swift and Bucky Irving are going right before and after him and they are in RBBCs If Marks doesn't get 35/40%, Monty was underpriced
Don't worried about Woody Marks potentially creating RBBC w Montgomery because Monty is already priced like he is going to be in one D'Andre Swift and Bucky Irving are going right before and after him and they are in RBBCs If Marks doesn't get 35/40%, Monty was underpriced
Don't worried about Woody Marks potentially creating RBBC w Montgomery because Monty is already priced like he is going to be in one D'Andre Swift and Bucky Irving are going right before and after him and they are in RBBCs If Marks doesn't get 35/40%, Monty was underpriced
Mac Jones getting loose during pregame warmups 🎥: @jenniferleechan
The source argues that KC Concepcion is significantly undervalued as a 10th-round pick, asserting he has the talent to be the best wide receiver in his draft class and the best on the Browns. Despite concerns regarding Cleveland's quarterback play and low touchdown potential, the source emphasizes that his projected heavy usage—including end-arounds, screen passes, and targets at all three levels of the field—makes him a must-draft asset in double-digit rounds due to his high-volume, featured role.
De'Zhaun Stribling getting in work despite not playing in tonight’s game
❤️ if you have Jahmyr Gibbs on your fantasy team
Caleb Williams showed improvement in his second season under Ben Johnson's offense, with better accuracy and down-to-down consistency; his adjusted sack rate decreased significantly, indicating improved protection and decision-making, though the source notes he still has room to improve in accuracy and consistency.
Justin Jefferson faces a shutdown rookie cornerback in Week 1 against the Packers; the source sarcastically notes 'Good luck, Justin Jefferson in week one' when referencing the Packers' new rookie cornerback coverage assignment, suggesting a challenging matchup for the Vikings receiver.
All three Jordan Love years have produced a top-six offense under Matt LaFleur; the Packers' offense has maintained top-11 offensive DVOA every single season under LaFleur across seven years, establishing a floor of consistent offensive production despite current roster challenges.
Jordan Love does not have a good quality offensive line this year, breaking a streak where he has always had a good quality line in Green Bay; the Packers' offensive line has ranked 7th to 13th for at least half a decade, but this year represents a departure from that stability.
Source is bullish on Jordan Love as a quarterback, noting the Packers have a stable floor as an organization with Love and coach Matt LeFleur; however, source cautions against investing futures on the team right now due to missing Micah Parsons and Tucker Craft, but expects the team to be better later in the season when those players return.
Described as the X factor and the guy that unlocked the whole thing offensively for the Packers last year; source notes he was so good and looks like he'll be back early, but the key question is what version of Tucker Craft returns and how long until he is that version of himself.
Wide receiver could benefit from more stability and set-in-stone roles under LaFleur's potential offensive evolution; source hopes increased role clarity will unlock his potential.
Wide receiver could benefit from more stability and set-in-stone roles under LaFleur's potential offensive evolution; source hopes increased role clarity will unlock his potential.
Wide receiver could benefit from more stability and set-in-stone roles under LaFleur's potential offensive evolution; source hopes increased role clarity will unlock his potential.
Running back faces potential suspension; source expresses questions surrounding his availability and role in the Cowboys offense.
Sean Ryan is the Packers' center; the source characterizes him as 'not a great center,' indicating concern about the position's quality.
The source notes Ben Johnson, 'one of the best offensive coordinators in the league,' is no longer with the Lions and has been replaced by Drew Petzin, who 'was a good hire, but he's not Ben Johnson,' indicating a downgrade in offensive scheme quality.
The source cites McBride's success under Drew Petzin in Arizona as evidence that Petzin is 'a tight ends guy,' using this as support for projecting LaPorta to have a strong season under the same coordinator.
The source criticizes Pacheco as a replacement for Montgomery, stating 'Pacheco is not in Kansas City for a reason' and has 'zero explosiveness,' and notes he's 'hurt now and not any good,' making him a liability in the Lions backfield.
The source notes Montgomery's departure from the Lions and replacement with Pacheco, who 'is not in Kansas City for a reason' and has 'zero explosiveness,' representing a downgrade in the backfield.
The source notes Gibbs 'got exposed a little bit as a pass blocker last year at times' and expects to see 'more of that when he's got to be on the field a little bit more,' suggesting pass-blocking liability will be exposed with increased snaps.
The source identifies interior offensive line pressure as a major concern for Goff, noting 'Sacks' interior pressure bothers Goff as much as any quarterback in the NFL' and 'he's not very mobile,' which will be exacerbated by offensive line questions at center (Mays injured, relying on Drew Scruggs) and guards.
The source projects LaPorta for a strong season under new offensive coordinator Drew Petzin, noting he 'should be back' and is 'important in the red zone' and 'important on third downs.' Goff has a 138 quarterback rating when throwing to LaPorta, and Petzin's track record with tight ends (Trey McBride in Arizona) suggests LaPorta will benefit from the scheme fit.
The source identifies injury risk as a factor that could affect the Cowboys' division chances, noting 'there's always a chance of injuries, right? Like, Dak could get hurt,' as part of the broader discussion of why the NFC East division winner may not require 11-12 wins.
The source notes the Eagles' offense is 'just not fixed' as a concern heading into the season, suggesting uncertainty around the quarterback's supporting cast and offensive scheme despite the team winning the division.
The source uses Nabers as an example of a potential big-play receiver in the Giants' underdog scenario, imagining a late-game situation where 'Dart scrambling around and just like chucks it up Yolo ball between three defenders and somehow healthy Malik neighbors comes down with it,' suggesting confidence in his ability to make contested catches in high-leverage moments.
The source projects the Giants will run the football frequently under new offensive coordinator Matt Nagy and staff, stating 'They're probably going to run the football a lot' and 'They did already last year and they could get even better there,' suggesting increased carries and usage for the running back position.
The source expresses uncertainty about Daniels' fantasy outlook, stating 'I don't really know that we know what to make of him right now' and 'I just don't know. We learned a lot about him in this offense, but it's a one man show,' suggesting limited confidence in projecting his performance in a new offensive system with coordinator changes.
The source identifies McLaurin as a legitimate receiving option in Washington's offense, paired with Stefan Diggs as the team's primary pass-catching weapons despite concerns about the offensive line and overall roster construction.
The source is bullish on Diggs as a receiver in Washington's offense, stating 'I'm a Stefan Diggs guy' and noting he's a legitimate receiving option alongside Terry McLaurin, though expressing uncertainty about the running back and tight end depth on the roster.
Part of the source's favorite wide receiver trio with Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb; the source believes the Cowboys can make a significant leap with this group.
Was not healthy most of last season; the source expects the Cowboys to be even better now that he is healthier; part of the source's favorite wide receiver trio with Dak Prescott and Ryan Flournoy.
Had a huge breakout last year for the Cowboys; expected to be good again this year; it's another contract year for him, which could provide additional motivation.
Ranked as a perennial seventh or eighth best quarterback; has finished in top 10 DVOA six of seven years but typically ranks sixth to tenth; the source believes if the Cowboys offense takes a leap to top-five, Dak could be in the MVP mix; currently around 14-to-1 MVP odds but should be top-five; the source would lean over 8.5 wins if buying the Cowboys.
Drafted by the Eagles to replace A.J. Brown; the question is whether he can get on the field and make a difference as a rookie; Eagles skill position ranks dropped from 1st last year to 10th this year, a significant drop attributable to the A.J. Brown trade.
With A.J. Brown traded to the Patriots, Smith must step up as the true number one receiver; the concern is whether he can hold up for 17 games with his slight frame and whether he can beat man coverage, not just sit in zone as he did as a number two option.
Ranked 15th in quarterback rankings; has finished higher than 10th in offensive DVOA only once in five years with the Eagles despite having the number one offensive line, A.J. Brown, DeVontae Smith, and Saquon Barkley for much of that stretch; passing DVOA has been lower than overall DVOA; the offense was ranked 16th in offensive rankings this year.
MarShawn Lloyd - Preseason Week 2 - every touch
Matt Harmon highlights Chris Olave's elite route running efficiency, noting he was the eighth-best out route runner in the NFL and the number one performer in weighted success rate on corner routes among charted players last season. Additionally, Rattler showed a strong connection with Olave on outbreaking routes, specifically quick outs, during his time as a starter.
Matt Harmon notes that Spencer Rattler demonstrated a strong connection with Chris Olave on outbreaking routes, specifically quick outs, during his time as a starter. Rattler was excellent at identifying and delivering the ball quickly to Olave on these patterns.
The Cleveland Browns released veteran wide receiver Cedric Tillman after three frustrating years with the club. Tillman, a third-round selection in 2023, struggled to gain consistent momentum due to recurring injuries and concussions that repeatedly stalled his progress; the release provides him an opportunity to attempt a fresh start elsewhere.
Head coach Todd Monken announced that Deshaun Watson would be the starter when the Cleveland Browns open the regular season against the Jacksonville Jaguars, settling the quarterback battle that dominated the team's offseason focus.
Released by the Browns after three frustrating years; was a third-round selection in 2023 but recurring injuries and concussions repeatedly stalled his momentum and progress with the club, leading to the roster move.
Ian Hartitz acknowledges the risk of Joe Burrow missing time, noting that fantasy managers must be prepared for the potential reality of his injury history impacting the offense.
Ian Hartitz views Joe Flacco as a stabilizing presence for the Bengals' offense, noting that having him as the backup quarterback provides comfort in the event that the starter misses time.
Ian Hartitz ranks Chase Brown as his RB4 and number eight player overall, citing his potential as a featured three-down back with 70-plus catch upside. Hartitz highlights Brown's increased usage in the slot and notes he is a target in round two of Yahoo drafts, bolstered by his contract year status and lack of injury concerns.
Jake Ciely clarifies that he still views Nabers as a WR1, but ranks him behind players like Chris Olave, A.J. Brown, and Nico Collins due to concerns regarding the Giants' offense and the uncertainty of his involvement early in the season.
D-Bro identifies Colston Loveland as a key target in 8-team and 10-team leagues, viewing him as the last player in his tier who can provide truly elite production at the tight end position.
D-Bro is specifically targeting Jalen Hurts in 8-team and 10-team formats as a priority 'onesie' position player to anchor his roster while focusing on elite production at quarterback.
D-Bro bumped Olave to WR7 in his rankings following news regarding Jordan Tyson, noting that Olave finished as the WR7 in fantasy points per game last year and is positioned to gobble up volume from an ascending quarterback.
Jake Ciely maintains that Egbuka has legitimate top-10 wide receiver upside, though his current draft value in the fourth round is suppressed by concerns over a toe injury. If the injury is mild, he is expected to step into a WR1 role.
Jake Ciely notes that Mayfield's performance last season was hampered by playing through injury and a decimated offensive line where only the center played the full season; with better health for both Mayfield and the line, there is hope for a rebound.
Jake Ciely views Javonte Williams as a bell-cow back in a high-scoring offense, noting that he has returned to full health and is a strong value pick at the end of the third round.
Debro ranks Chase Brown as his RB5, highlighting his efficiency metrics and strong finish to the 2025 season (RB2 in PPG from weeks 13-18) as evidence of his potential for a breakout season.
Debro and Jake Ciely agree that Christian McCaffrey remains a top-two running back if healthy, dismissing concerns about his high touch count as a binary health-based decision rather than a talent decline.
Debro ranks James Cook as his RB3, citing his top-three overall upside due to his role in a high-powered offense, heavy volume, and increased pass-game usage under Pete Carmichael.
Jake Ciely identifies Ja'Marr Chase as his preferred pick at the 1.03 spot, dismissing concerns about missed practice time as minor.
Jake Ciely considers Brock Bowers an elite tight end target at the end of the second round, noting he ranks him two spots higher than his current ADP because he likely won't last until the third round.
Jake Ciely and the co-host highlight Emeka Egbuka as a strong value pick in the early-to-late teens of wide receivers, with Ciely specifically targeting him in the fourth round.
Jake Ciely notes that Colston Loveland is a potential target in the third or fourth round, mentioning he recently went in the mid-third round of a CBS draft.
Jake Ciely identifies Kyren Williams as a high-value target at the end of the third round, noting that he is a preferred option if available in that range.
Mike Washington Jr. - Preseason Week 2 - every touch
One commenter asks bot for advice on Courtland Sutton 'staring at me from my bench,' suggesting uncertainty about his role/value. No bot response or consensus guidance provided.
One commenter notes bot missed Parker Washington, saying 'every podcast I listen to can't stop talking about him' as THE number 1 breakout player. Another commenter confirms 'everyone likes Parker Washington as THE NUMBER 1 breakout player!' Suggests strong consensus breakout candidate not captured in bot summary.
Montgomery context used to evaluate Pacheco: Montgomery got 150-180 touches and 8-12 TDs with Gibbs in Detroit, establishing baseline for lead-back role. Pacheco won't replicate Montgomery's TD vulture role.
Gibbs implied as top-tier RB (1.01 pick in comments). One commenter notes Gibbs won't carry 350 times due to 5'9" frame, suggesting Pacheco will get run. Another notes Montgomery got 150-180 touches and 8-12 TDs with Gibbs, implying Gibbs is the lead back.
Implied in RB depth cliff discussion; top 12-14 RBs are consensus, then cliff. Barkley likely in top tier but not explicitly mentioned.
One commenter mentions losing a matchup due to Jayden Reed scoring 0, illustrating unpredictability of fantasy outcomes and why podcasts can't predict injury/variance.
Multiple shows like Purdy for rushing upside at QB. One commenter notes if Mike Evans plays 9-10 games, he gives Purdy a real WR1, suggesting Purdy is viewed as a viable late-round QB.
Multiple shows recommend Malik Willis for rushing upside at QB. Aligns with broader QB waiting strategy and late-round rushing upside theme.
Kittle listed as popular high-upside TE option across multiple shows. One commenter suggests stacking Kittle with Mike Evans or CMC for upside, noting one of them will likely be injured.
Warren listed as popular high-upside TE option across multiple shows. One commenter lists Warren among players they're fading.
Fantasy Football Daily rates Trevor Lawrence as exceptional value at current ADP. Aligns with broader podcast consensus on waiting at QB and finding value late.
Fantasy Focus Football suggests Pacheco could vulture some TDs in Detroit. Extensive comment pushback: 14 TDs total in first 4 years; couldn't score when starter; won't vulture like Montgomery did; has 16 lbs on Gibbs but Gibbs won't carry 350 times; Pacheco struggling with bad back and MCL sprain (bot omitted injury context); not as talented as draft stock suggests; one commenter says if they had 1.01 and got Gibbs, wouldn't take Pacheco even in last round; another notes Pacheco couldn't score on Chiefs, won't start now. One Taco took him in first round. Consensus: TD vulture thesis is weak.
The Audible recommends fading Josh Downs after Colts signed Keenan Allen, reducing Downs' target share and role. No direct comment pushback; appears to be consensus fade.
JJ Zachariason likes Keenan Allen in Round 13-14 per The Late-Round Fantasy Football. Colts signed Keenan Allen, which prompted The Audible to recommend fading Josh Downs (Allen's arrival reduces Downs' role). Allen positioned as late-round value.
Matthew Berry high on Tucker Kraft per Fantasy Football Happy Hour. Kraft also listed as popular high-upside TE option across multiple shows. One commenter lists Kraft among players they're fading, suggesting contrarian view.
Matthew Berry high on Devonta Smith per Fantasy Football Happy Hour. One commenter notes 'Matthew Berry and being high on Devonta Smith, name a better duo,' suggesting this is a recurring Berry theme/bias.
Yahoo Fantasy Football with Josh & Hayden recommend fading Mike Evans due to soft tissue injuries. One commenter disputes this, noting Evans is mid-5th round ADP and questions who is actually fading him; another suggests if he plays 9-10 games and gives Purdy a real WR1, upside is real, especially in stacks with Kittle or CMC. Tension between injury concern and upside potential.
The Audible recommends buying DJ Moore as undervalued veteran at current ADP. One commenter lists him among players they're fading due to Commanders O-line issues, suggesting context-dependent risk.
The Audible recommends buying Derrick Henry as undervalued veteran at current ADP. No direct comment pushback; appears to be consensus value play.
Fantasy Focus Football and Fantasy Footballers recommend buying Stribling as undervalued. One commenter notes Josh and Hayden also hyped Stribling in a different video, reinforcing the buy signal. Another jokes bot should order a Stribling jersey.
Podcasts label Hampton as high-risk, high-upside play under Mike McDaniel. Comments question the 'high risk' label: one asks what perceived high risk exists given draft cost fairly bakes in upside; another notes he'll likely be part of running back by committee, possibly three-headed monster. One commenter dismisses 'Hampton high risk? Lol' suggesting risk is overstated.
Multiple podcasts fading Jeremiah Love due to ankle issue. No substantive comment pushback; consensus fade appears stable.
Multiple podcasts recommend Dart for rushing upside; OP personally bullish ('blue tent loves Jaxson Dart'). Comments push back: regressed late last season, biggest strength is running ability but needs to improve decision-making and slide technique; may end up back in 'blue tent' (backup QB purgatory). One commenter notes he went 0-12 against Dolphins in end zone drills and fades him harder after hearing that. Excitement tempered by concern he's overvalued at current ADP.
The source notes that Cade Otton might have been the only player in the Buccaneers' offensive room who did not sustain a major injury last year, implying his durability and availability as a consistent offensive weapon.
The source notes that Baker Mayfield got hurt last year, contributing to the Buccaneers' offensive collapse. The source lists his injury as one of several major injuries that affected the offense, along with receivers, running backs, and the offensive line, suggesting the team's floor remains similar to last year's performance.
The source mentions Daquan Wright, a tight end, as one of multiple players in the group of those eligible to return to college via court decision. The source notes he was one of the first tight ends chronicled in late October in early Patreon draft episodes, indicating prior interest in his ability. He is now in the transfer portal, creating uncertainty about his NFL future.
The source notes that Eric Rivers was productive the year before but then transferred to Georgia Tech, which was 14th in the ACC in pass attempts per game, cutting down on his production. The source identifies him as a UDFA of note but provides limited fantasy-specific analysis.
The source identifies Jalen Daniels as a UDFA who looked good in week one and believes he might legitimately stick as QB3 for the Buccaneers. While some Bucs fans think he could be QB2, the source notes it will be tough for him to beat out Browning for that role. However, there is something there for the team, suggesting he has a realistic path to the roster.
Jake Browning was signed by Tampa Bay at $1.3 million as a backup quarterback; the source emphasizes that teams play an average of 2.4–2.6 quarterbacks per season, meaning Browning will likely take snaps as the QB2 and must be capable of winning games, not just filling a roster spot. The source notes Browning has NFL experience, a good arm in the pocket, and can operate an offense, making him a meaningful insurance policy.
Kenny Gainwell was brought in by Tampa Bay as an upgrade or complementary piece to Rashad White; the source frames this as a wise decision to add depth and push the envelope in a competitive division, suggesting Gainwell will have a defined role but not necessarily as a lead back.
The source characterizes Kenny Gainwell as a slight upgrade over Rashad White in the Buccaneers backfield, brought in to replace White's production. Gainwell is described as a better player than White, and the source notes that when White was injured, the team clearly missed his run-game production and needed to upgrade the position.
The source views Sean Tucker's $3.5 million deal as good value, noting he suffered an injury but has found a role with the Buccaneers. While not an RB1 long-term, Tucker can serve as a temporary starter for 3-4 weeks, making him a practical depth piece for the team.
The source likes the Buccaneers' $10 million signing of Cade Otton, praising him as a very good receiver in the short-to-medium range and as a safety outlet release, with solid blocking ability and toughness. Otton is not a seam-stretching type like Arondae Gadsden but excels in his assigned role with good after-the-catch production.
The source reports that Buccaneers GM Jason Light made a practical financial decision to move on from Evans, citing cap constraints and injury concerns on the receiving core. Light determined they cannot afford to pay what Evans is "truly worth if he's healthy" and chose not to take that financial risk, prioritizing roster flexibility and younger, cheaper talent acquisition.
Hurst was drafted by the Buccaneers and is projected as a wide receiver five, but the source notes he will likely be elevated to wide receiver three or starter role in 11 personnel due to the team's chronic receiver injury issues.
Johnson was initially projected as a wide receiver five for the Buccaneers but has been elevated to wide receiver two for several weeks due to injuries in the receiving corps, illustrating how receiver injuries force depth players into starter roles.
Pearsall is part of the 49ers' theoretical wide receiver room alongside Mike Evans and Dejan Stribling with Brock Purdy at quarterback, but the source notes this is only a theoretical strength; in practice, Stribling is the only one on the field, making the actual receiving room less impressive.
Higgins suffered an ACL injury during the offseason, prompting the Texans to sign veteran wide receivers Sterling Shepard and another veteran as tryouts to address depth concerns in their receiving room.
Bridgewater has officially retired, citing injury-related reasons; he suffered a massive knee injury in the middle of his career but played for many years after recovery, however his knee no longer responds as it used to and he can no longer offset the effects of being on turf or grass, making it time to retire for good.
Shepard, a veteran wide receiver, recently signed with the Texans after Jaden Higgins suffered an ACL injury; he was one of two veteran receivers the Texans brought in as tryouts following Higgins' injury.
Evans, a franchise legend, was traded to the 49ers; the source was shocked to see him in a non-Buccaneers uniform and notes he joins a long line of Hall of Fame receivers who did not play for only one franchise, though he will likely retire as a Buck.
Fournette (Bucky) was injured during the season, and his absence directly contributed to the Buccaneers' collapse. The source states: 'Bucky gets hurt and then you immediately lose three games. Yeah, that's how you end up eight and nine.' While Fournette wasn't there for the entire year, the team 'did make do with their other running backs,' but the offensive line injuries compounded the running game's challenges.
Egbuka thrives as a Z receiver playing off the line of scrimmage with space, similar to how Godwin operates. However, due to injuries, he was forced to play X receiver for most of the season, a role he's 'not really meant to be' in. The source notes: 'Emeka like really thrives. Honestly, he's the new Godwin. Like, he really thrives being off the line of scrimmage and just playing with space. So when he's like your only healthy receiver for the season... you have nine offensive linemen that have to play significant snaps... you're making him play X because your X got hurt and nobody else could do it. And he's really not meant to be that role.'
The young receiver (McMillan) was 'a frontrunner for Rookie of the Year' early in the 2025 season before injuries disrupted the Buccaneers' offense. The source uses this as evidence that the team's early-season success was legitimate despite doubts about the receivers being 'unproven.'
Early in the 2025 season, before injuries derailed Tampa Bay, Mayfield was 'on pace for 4,300 yards and over 30 touchdowns.' The source frames him as 'that overrated quarterback' in the opening, but then reveals he was performing at an elite level before the team's injury crisis.
The idea of Evans in a Kyle Shanahan offense, even at his age (33), is very exciting from a fantasy perspective. His skill set and experience should translate well to the 49ers' scheme if he can remain healthy throughout the season.
Mike Evans has battled quad and groin injuries throughout the preseason, limiting his practice time. While there hasn't been anything to suggest Evans won't be ready for Week 1, the 33-year-old's injury management makes it increasingly difficult to differentiate actual injury from simple precautionary rest.
Tucker Kraft may be on a snap count to start the year as the Packers add depth at tight end with the Jonnu Smith signing, suggesting limited early-season usage despite his position on the depth chart.
Luke Musgrave's Week 1 status is in jeopardy, prompting the Packers to add depth at tight end with the Jonnu Smith signing. His availability for the season opener remains uncertain.
Christian Watson is the unquestioned starting receiver when Green Bay deploys two tight ends on the field. The Packers' continued use of 12 personnel packages, solidified by the Jonnu Smith signing, benefits Watson's role in the passing attack.
The Packers signed veteran tight end Jonnu Smith to a one-year deal, adding depth behind Tucker Kraft, who may be on a snap count to start the year. Smith himself is unlikely to be fantasy relevant, but his arrival solidifies Green Bay's continued deployment of 12 personnel packages.
A healthy and heavily paid Pierce should play a pivotal role in the Colts' passing attack this year, making him a high-risk, high-reward selection in Round 9 of fantasy drafts. His ankle injury elevates the risk profile despite his elite efficiency metrics and increased role expectations.
Pierce set career-best marks last season with 84 targets, 47 receptions, and 1,003 receiving yards in 15 games. He ranked 1st in air yards/target (18.9), 2nd in yards per target (11.9), 2nd in yards per catch (21.3), and 4th in targets of 20-plus air yards (24). Since 2023, no receiver averages more yards per catch than Pierce (20.2), with 23% of his routes being go routes. However, his deep-field specialization limits consistent usage—he averages just under five targets and 6.7 fantasy points per game, both ranking outside the top 45 receivers.
Pierce has been activated from the training camp PUP list after March ankle surgery, suggesting he won't miss the first four games, though his Week 1 status remains uncertain. Head coach Shane Steichen indicated Pierce is in a great spot, though recent video footage showed limited mobility during practice walks.
AMON-RA ☀️
Packers running back Josh Jacobs faces misdemeanor charges (battery and criminal damage to property) arising from a domestic incident captured on his home surveillance system. The incident report describes Jacobs grabbing and throwing the victim to the ground, causing head injury, then taking her phone while she was on the ground. The source notes that if video emerges publicly—as happened with Ray Rice—it could prompt the NFL to place Jacobs on paid leave or the Packers to release him. Regardless of league action, Jacobs is subject to a baseline suspension of six games either through accepting responsibility or via independent NFL investigation.
The source compares Malik Willis to Sam Darnold, noting that while Willis has a higher risk of scoring zero, his ceiling for 27-point games is significantly higher than Darnold's.
The source highlights that George Holani was playing in the second quarter of a preseason game alongside Drew Lock, which serves as evidence that the Seahawks' backfield depth chart is opening up for Jadarian Price.
The source describes David Njoku as an aging player with knee injury concerns who was released by the Browns.
The source uses C.J. Stroud as a benchmark for a lower-ceiling quarterback compared to the high-variance, rushing-dependent upside of Malik Willis.
The source dismisses Kenny Gainwell as a legitimate threat to Bucky Irving's workload, questioning why there is any concern regarding his role. The source characterizes Gainwell as a smaller, 'water bug' style player who is inferior to Irving.
Michel is criticized as a poor draft pick who produced only 10 points per game and was out of the NFL within four years.
Penny is cited as one of the few definitive first-round running back busts since 2010 and is used as a stylistic comparison for Jadarian Price's profile.
Spiller is identified as a definitive first-round running back bust since 2010.
Edwards-Helaire is categorized as a first-round running back who failed to live up to his draft capital.
The source characterizes Zach Charbonnet as a threat to Jadarian Price's workload, describing him as a player who 'can't move' and lacks athleticism, despite his current role as a receiving-down back for the Seahawks.
Luther Burden III is identified as a future superstar, with the source projecting him as a high-value target for next year's drafts.
The source suggests that Travis Hunter is being undervalued in drafts, implying that drafters will regret letting him fall in rounds.
The source would strongly consider drafting Jaylen Warren in the fifth round if he were in the Tampa Bay backfield, citing his proven ability to remain productive as a receiver even while sharing work with Kenny Gainwell. He is also used as a benchmark for the type of role competition that could hinder Bucky Irving's fantasy value.
The source identifies Sean Tucker as a potential 'trap' for fantasy managers if he remains part of the Tampa Bay rotation. Because the team tendered him for $3.5 million, the source believes Tucker could steal goal-line and receiving work, which would limit Irving's ceiling to between-the-20s touches. The team clearly has plans for him given the significant tender amount for a third-string back.
The source is skeptical of Bucky Irving, citing a poor 3.5 RAS score, lack of top-end speed, and an inability to generate explosive 30+ yard gains. While he is a decisive runner who can generate consistent 13-14 yard gains, the source notes the 'vibes' are poor and he faces significant competition for high-value touches in the Tampa Bay backfield.
Quinshon Judkins is a proven, reliable runner capable of carrying the load, making him a safer bet than peers like Jadarian Price or Bucky Irving. Despite a less-than-ideal landing spot with the Browns, he is a 230-pound back expected to handle significant volume, including multiple 30-carry games. He is typically drafted early, often off the board before other priority running back targets.
The source views Jadarian Price as a 'smash pick' with explosive potential, noting that his path to playing time is opening up and he is no longer a PUP list concern. While he lacks elite size and athleticism, he is expected to carve out a receiving-heavy role similar to Bucky Irving. His limited college production is attributed to an Achilles injury and a crowded depth chart at Notre Dame. He is considered a high-upside talent bet, though his rising ADP makes him harder to justify compared to proven runners like Quinshon Judkins.
The source is betting on Xavier Worthy as an NFL-caliber receiver, arguing that his poor rookie performance was largely due to playing through a torn labrum. The source disputes the 'bust' narrative, noting he was league-average or better before the injury.
Baker Mayfield is cited as a cautionary example of downside risk, having posted a 13% advance rate with 17.4 points per game at an ADP of 93, a price point similar to where Patrick Mahomes is currently being drafted.
Justin Herbert is viewed as a fine selection but lacks the playoff success of Patrick Mahomes, which the source attributes to mental preparation rather than physical skill. He is also used as a statistical benchmark for Mahomes' downside, citing his 19.7 points per game and 19% advance rate in a season where his offense struggled.
The source suggests that Chris Bell is a candidate to move up in draft rankings.
The source identifies Greg Dulcich as one of the first non-running backs off the board in certain draft formats.
The source identifies Caleb Douglas as one of the first non-running backs off the board in certain draft formats.
The source argues that Kenneth Walker III is undervalued by the public, who frequently label him as injury-prone or a bad pick. The source considers him a 'smash' pick and believes he would be a 3rd-4th round value if he were available. He is currently being drafted ahead of De'Von Achane.
De'Von Achane is currently being drafted after Kenneth Walker III in current draft markets.
The source suggests that the fantasy community may be overvaluing Cyrus Allen, noting that expectations are potentially too high given his current draft position and that people are "over their skis" on him.
The source recommends drafting Kyler Murray specifically for his rushing ability, which provides a high fantasy floor and ceiling.
The source is backing off Malik Willis in standard formats due to benching risk, though they maintain he remains an 'insanely good bet' in Superflex leagues for his rushing touchdown upside. Despite the shift in stance, the source maintains that their previous investments in Willis were sound asymmetric bets.
The source considers Patrick Mahomes the most obvious good fantasy pick of their lifetime, maintaining 32% exposure. Despite concerns regarding his recovery from a torn ACL and potential rushing regression, the source argues the market is over-correcting by assuming his rushing production will drop to zero. His current ADP is significantly cheaper than in previous years, creating an asymmetric opportunity tilted toward the upside, with potential benefits from an improved running game, the return of Eric Bieniemy, and the development of weapons like Xavier Worthy.
The source views Isaiah Likely as a superior value pick compared to Terrence Ferguson, noting that Likely is drafted three rounds later.
Mark Andrews is used as an ADP benchmark for Terrence Ferguson, with the source noting Ferguson is being drafted ahead of him, which the source considers out of control.
Jawan Johnson is used as an ADP benchmark for Terrence Ferguson, with the source noting Ferguson is being drafted ahead of him, which the source considers out of control.
The source references Lynn Bowden as a historical comparison for the type of low-value, player-for-player trade that occurred between the Rams and Dolphins.
The source expresses significant doubt regarding Jarquez Hunter's roster security, stating they would not be surprised if he failed to make the Dolphins' final roster following his trade.
The source is highly critical of Jaylen Wright's performance, labeling him 'terrible' and suggesting he would likely have been cut by the team if not for the specific circumstances of his trade.
Ollie Gordon is currently dealing with a rib injury, which the source notes as a factor for fantasy managers looking at alternative depth options.
The source suggests that fantasy managers holding Xavier Smith should be disappointed by the Rams' decision to trade for Tutu Atwell, as it adds competition for snaps.
The source suggests that fantasy managers holding Jordan Whittington should be disappointed by the Rams' decision to trade for Tutu Atwell, as it adds unnecessary competition for snaps.
Mecole Hardman's mid-season return to the Chiefs is used as a direct comparison for minor, low-impact trades, implying that such moves rarely result in significant fantasy production.
The trade of Tutu Atwell back to the Rams is viewed as a minor, low-impact move comparable to Mecole Hardman's return to the Chiefs. The source is skeptical of his fantasy impact, suggests he is not worth drafting or rostering, and notes that his arrival adds competition for snaps that negatively impacts other depth receivers.
The source explicitly advises against drafting Terrence Ferguson, arguing that his current ADP in the 9th-12th round range is far too expensive for his profile. The source suggests he is a late-round target (17th-18th) at best and that the recent Tutu Atwell trade does not meaningfully change his outlook.
Travis Etienne is used as a baseline for expected availability, with the source suggesting that players facing legal or suspension risks should be treated as having a higher probability of missing games than Etienne.
D'Andre Swift is used as a baseline for expected availability, with the source suggesting that players facing legal or suspension risks should be treated as having a higher probability of missing games than Swift. His current ADP also serves as a benchmark for valuing other running backs like Kenneth Walker III.
Ezekiel Elliott is cited as a historical benchmark for elite production from first-round running backs, comparable to Saquon Barkley. However, the source also uses his past mid-season suspension as a cautionary precedent for players currently facing off-field legal issues, noting that such suspensions can occur well into the regular season.
Josh Jacobs faces increased suspension risk due to new misdemeanor charges and potential video evidence, which could lead to a six-game ban under the CBA domestic violence policy. Drafters should view him as having higher availability risk than peers like D'Andre Swift or Travis Etienne. He is also noted as a first-round running back who failed to meet the highest expectations.
Brockington signed as an undrafted free agent with the Falcons but was injured in camp and waived with an injury settlement, making him a free agent. Due to his undisclosed injury, his chances of being picked up by another team are virtually zero. Percent chance to make 53-man roster or practice squad: 0%.
Kieft caught two passes for four yards and a touchdown in the Buccaneers' Week 2 preseason game. He is a fan favorite who excels on special teams and should make the final roster. Percent chance to make 53-man roster: 95% (up from 98%).
Kallerup's roster status hinges on whether Seattle keeps four tight ends or only three on the roster. If four are retained, he makes the team; if three, he is likely the last cut and lands on the practice squad. His chances improved when fullback Robbie Ouzts suffered a season-ending neck injury, as Kallerup filled that role in practice, but the final decision depends on Seattle's roster construction priorities. Percent chance to make 53-man roster: 70% (down from 50%); percent chance to make practice squad: 90% (down from 97%).
Brosmer has seen action as the Vikings' QB4 in the preseason and appears to be the odd man out unless Minnesota finds significant trade value for JJ McCarthy. He played in the second half of Minnesota's week 2 preseason game, going 11/17 for 98 yards with an interception. He will likely play a majority of the third game in Denver on Friday night but will likely be cut. While it's possible a different team could sign him before the Vikings add him to the practice squad, it's not likely. His 53-man roster probability is 4% and practice squad probability is 90%.
Span-Ford sat out preseason week 2 and reports from camp have been glowing on the second-year player. He is safe on the Cowboys roster as either TE2 or TE3. His 53-man roster probability increased from 98% to 100%.
Johnson remains in a fight for one of the last wideout spots on the Cowboys roster. In preseason game #2 he was active along with competitors Camden Brown and Jonathan Mingo but struggled with only two receptions for 3 yards. While he still has a chance to make the team, it is not a good one. His 53-man roster probability increased slightly from 5% to 10%.
Bateman's roster spot with Baltimore appears safe despite domestic violence arrest information leaked last week. He may face an NFL suspension of up to six games once the legal process concludes. Regardless, he should start the 2026 season as WR2 or WR3 for the Ravens. His 53-man roster probability is 100%.
Geers was injured in the Cardinals' second preseason game and placed on injured reserve. He will either receive an injury settlement and be waived as a free agent, or spend the entire 2026 season on Arizona's injured reserve list. His chance of making any roster for 2026 is gone.
Dillon Gabriel will start the Browns' final preseason game against New England Patriots, with an explicit opportunity to improve his trade stock ahead of the regular season.
Rookie quarterback Taylen Green is expected to play in the Browns' final preseason game against New England Patriots; he will follow starter Dillon Gabriel in the game, providing an opportunity to showcase his abilities in a live game setting.
Shedeur Sanders is the backup quarterback for the Cleveland Browns behind starter Deshaun Watson; Sanders will not play in the final preseason game.
Deshaun Watson is confirmed as the Cleveland Browns' starting quarterback for the regular season, with Shedeur Sanders serving as backup; Watson will not play in the final preseason game against New England.
QB Dillon Gabriel will start the Browns' final preseason game against the Patriots, with a chance to improve his trade stock through his performance.
Rookie QB Taylen Green is the main intriguing storyline of the Browns' final preseason game against the Patriots; he will get playing time after Dillon Gabriel starts, providing a key opportunity to evaluate his development and readiness.
Bills quarterback Josh Allen is not expected to play in the Week 3 preseason game vs. Steelers; he could end up calling some plays instead.
DK Metcalf returned to practice this week and is among prominent names who might see the field in Week 3 preseason to knock rust off before the regular season.
Returning to practice this week and expected to see preseason playing time Thursday against the Bills to shake off rust after missing time.
Malik Davis, likely Cowboys RB2 - another great leverage pick for best ball Would fade Jaydon Blue right now as well
Josh Jacobs faces legal charges and NFL review; he was charged with two misdemeanor counts of battery and criminal damage to property, creating potential availability and suspension risk for fantasy purposes.
NC State WR Cody Hardy scored a touchdown against Georgia Tech on November 1, 2025, indicating he is healthy and contributing in the offense.
Isaiah Crowell missed all of last season with an injury and might still be working his way back from that setback; he had played only sparingly in 2024 before the injury.
Seth McGowan has a stranglehold on the Colts RB2 job via @LockedOnColts DJ Giddens still believed to be in danger of getting cut as well Take: Another leverage list name for best ball leagues and also a solid pick in redraft as a handcuff to JT.
Seth McGowan has a stranglehold on the Colts RB2 job via @LockedOnColts DJ Giddens still believed to be in danger of getting cut as well Take: Another leverage list name for best ball leagues and also a solid pick in redraft as a handcuff to JT.
Robinson is expected to be a high-volume safety valve for second-year quarterback Cam Ward in the Titans offense, indicating Ward will rely heavily on Robinson as a target in the passing game.
If Robinson is sidelined by injury, second-year wide receiver Chimere Dike would see more playing time available in the Titans offense.
If Robinson is sidelined by injury, second-year wide receiver Elic Ayomanor would see more playing time available in the Titans offense.
If Robinson is sidelined by injury, veteran Calvin Ridley would be expected to see a majority of the snaps at receiver for the Titans, positioning him as a potential beneficiary of Robinson's absence.
If Robinson is sidelined by injury, rookie Carnell Tate would be expected to see a majority of the snaps at receiver for the Titans, positioning him as a potential beneficiary of Robinson's absence.
Robinson is coming off a career-best 1,014 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 92 catches and is expected to be a high-volume safety valve for second-year quarterback Cam Ward in the Titans offense under new offensive coordinator Brian Daboll, who coached Robinson for four seasons with the Giants.
Robinson was evaluated for a head concussion and did not return to practice following a hit from Bears safety Xavier Woods during joint practice on Aug. 27. The 25-year-old receiver was able to walk off the field under his own power, but Saleh confirmed the concussion evaluation. Robinson has a history of injury durability concerns, having missed games in 2025 (fractured ribs), 2023 (torn ACL recovery), and 2022 (knee injuries including ACL tear), though he played in 48 of 51 possible games over the last three seasons.
Quinn Ewers will see heavy action in the Falcons' preseason Week 3 dress rehearsal, per Jeff Hafley's confirmation. The Miami Dolphins' lack of depth is a concern that makes the Falcons the safer pick.
Cooper Rush will see playing time behind Tua Tagovailoa in the Falcons' preseason Week 3 dress rehearsal. Rush combined with Jake Strand for 298 yards on 22 of 28 passing through two weeks and is projected to see 300-plus yards in this matchup against the Dolphins' lacking depth.
Tua Tagovailoa is slated to play the first quarter against his old team (Miami Dolphins) in Week 3 preseason dress rehearsal for the Falcons.
Allen is identified as the pass protector in Jacksonville's backfield, complementing Bhayshul Tuten's explosive running and Ris Rodriguez Jr.'s goal-line role.
Hampton is the primary back in the Chargers' backfield, but Keaton Mitchell's elite efficiency metrics and Mike McDaniel's explicit interest in him create workload risk; if Mitchell eats into Hampton's carries or if Hampton misses time, Mitchell becomes a flex option.
Mitchell is the RB1 in rush yards over expected (+47%), RB1 in EPA per carry (+0.12), and RB2 in yards per carry (6.3) among RBs with 100+ carries since 2023; coach Mike McDaniel explicitly put him on a 'WANTED' poster in free agency for his pure speed and fit in the perimeter/misdirection scheme. Huge efficiency numbers are the expectation, not the ceiling. If he eats into Omarion Hampton's workload, Mitchell could sneak into flex radar; if Hampton misses time, Mitchell would be very fun. McDaniel has also experimented with Mitchell as a receiver on wheel routes and swing passes throughout camp and preseason.
Tuten drafted in Round 5 of Yahoo leagues as the explosive runner in Jacksonville's backfield, but the ADP gap between him and Rodriguez is too wide in half PPR; Tuten is faster in a straight line but Rodriguez's goal-line role and efficiency praise from coach Liam Coen create undervaluation risk for Tuten if he doesn't maintain workload.
Rodriguez drafted in just 45% of Yahoo leagues despite being valued as a goal-line complement to Bhayshul Tuten in Jacksonville's backfield; coach Liam Coen explicitly called him 'efficient' and praised his ability to churn out consistent 4-10 yard runs. The ADP gap between Tuten (Round 5) and Rodriguez is too wide in half PPR; if Tuten misses time or underperforms, Rodriguez has 'This Year's Javonte Williams' upside with a fairer comparison to Jamaal Williams' goal-line role.
Allen is the Jaguars' pass protector, complemented by Bhayshul Tuten as the explosive runner and Chris Rodriguez Jr. as the goal-line thumper.
Tuten is the Jaguars' explosive runner, complemented by Chris Rodriguez Jr. as the goal-line thumper and LeQuint Allen as the pass protector.
Adams was dangled in trade discussions after a down season beyond the goal line for the Rams, signaling potential role reduction. The Rams' acquisition of TuTu Atwell on August 27 is noted as never a great sign for the rest of the receiving room.
Tyson, a first-round WR for the Saints, won't be available until Week 9 most likely, unless he returns on MetLife turf in Week 6 or in France in Week 7. His absence opens seven weeks of low-end TE1 projections for Juwan Johnson.
Rodriguez (ADP 130) is a goal-line back for the Jaguars. He graded well in that role last season on the Commanders and was more of a true bellcow under coach Liam Coen when they were together at Kentucky. Coen clearly values Rodriguez's consistent, powerful style, and the Jaguars needed a goal-line thumper to complement their explosive runner (Bhayshul Tuten) and pass protector (LeQuint Allen).
Ferguson (ADP 127) is a deep sleeper tight end for the Rams. The 2025 second-round pick played a vertical receiving role in 2- and 3-TE sets last year under coach Sean McVay as a downfield receiver in disguise, with an average depth of target of 17.9 yards downfield—only Tyquan Thornton, Alec Pierce and Kyle Williams were targeted more downfield. With the Rams needing better talent at WR and Davante Adams dangled in trade discussions, Ferguson could be viewed as the team's WR3 this season (25% chance). The source notes McVay has done crazy things like this before with Puka Nacua, Cooper Kupp, Kyren Williams, Blake Corum and 3-TE sets.
Johnson (ADP 126) is a sleeper tight end for the Saints. Last year without Rashid Rice, Johnson operated as the Saints' No. 2 target, posting TE5 in yards per game and TE8 in receptions per game from Week 8 on. The Saints won't have first-round WR Jordyn Tyson until Week 9 most likely, opening seven weeks of low-end TE1 projections. The source calls him the perfect chaperone in September and October if you're targeting Tucker Kraft (ACL) or George Kittle (Achilles).
Stribling is a target as a key rookie WR for the 49ers. He was a big-play threat in college who offers athleticism after the catch and size at the catch point and in the blocking game. The source describes him as a better version of Jauan Jennings with the long-term potential to do a Brandon Aiyuk impression.
Lemon is a target as a key rookie WR for the Eagles. He was the 15th overall player on the source's 2026 NFL Top 100 Big Board and has already won a starting job in camp.
Concepcion is a target as a key rookie WR for the Browns. He was the 14th overall player on the source's 2026 NFL Top 100 Big Board and has already won a starting job in camp.
Kyler Murray clears the bar of QB play to execute the Vikings' top-five neutral pass rate offense under coach Kevin O'Connell. The source notes this is the best offensive line, skill group, coaching staff, and overall environment Murray has played in, making the Addison-to-Murray connection the source's most drafted teammate stack this year.
Addison counts as a sleeper this year due to his lowly ADP of 117, despite being fantasy relevant for multiple seasons with WR22 and WR23 finishes in half-PPR points per game. He plays in an offense that's quietly top-five in neutral pass rate under coach Kevin O'Connell, and Kyler Murray clears the bar of QB play to execute this offense. The source calls the Addison-to-Murray connection their most drafted teammate stack this year, noting Addison could be a boom-bust WR3/4 even if Justin Jefferson is healthy, and would be a must-start if Jefferson missed time.
Even if Jeanty returns early, his injury risk would be amongst the highest in the NFL based on this current ailment and his projected intense workload.
Murray (Yahoo ADP 112) is highlighted as a sleeper target outside the top 100 draft picks for the Vikings. The source is actively targeting him in every league.
Addison (Yahoo ADP 117) counts as a sleeper this year due to his lowly ADP despite being fantasy relevant for multiple seasons. The source is highlighting him as a sleeper target outside the top 100 draft picks.
Jeanty could miss the first section of the season with an ankle sprain that occurred about three weeks from kickoff. Even if he returns early, his injury risk would be amongst the highest in the NFL based on this current ailment and his projected intense workload.
Washington (Yahoo ADP 123) has a chance to be a starter early on because Ashton Jeanty could miss the first section of the season with an ankle sprain. As the clear-cut starter in Week 1, Washington would be worth a flex start in half PPR. He ranked 74th overall by the consensus NFL Draft board and went in the fourth round to the Raiders. He was an explosive rusher at Arkansas, caught 28 passes in his final season, and his NFL Combine performance was unbelievable, comparing closest to Adrian Peterson. His preseason tape has been the best of any running back in the NFL, with both explosive runs showing elite athleticism.
Jacobs was placed on the commissioner exempt list after being charged with two misdemeanors. The district attorney's office found video of the alleged altercation between Jacobs and his girlfriend. While the court case may not happen until later, there is precedent to suggest he could be suspended for six games this season based on the personal conduct policy.
Lloyd (Yahoo ADP 121) has been one of the best clicks available for months and is now a bellcow candidate after Josh Jacobs was placed on the commissioner exempt list. Lloyd had already been a great insurance option, but now has bellcow potential. He is a real prospect coming into the NFL with the ability to catch the ball, size to run between tackles, and athleticism for perimeter runs. While still a bit jumpy on tape, he fits an exciting profile for a team projected for the ninth most points.
Reed is a priority target for the source in every league. The source has drafted the Packers more than any other team after nearly 200 drafts, and Reed is listed alongside Christian Watson, Tucker Kraft, and Matthew Golden as key Packers receivers the source is actively targeting.
Kraft is listed as an option for the Packers depending on price. The source has drafted the Packers more than any other team after nearly 200 drafts and considers Kraft as part of the team's receiving options.
Watson is a Round 5/6 WR target in the source's most-drafted team (Packers) after nearly 200 drafts. The source is actively targeting Watson as part of the Packers' receiving corps.
Golden (Yahoo ADP 127) is a priority target for the source in every league. The source has drafted the Packers more than any other team after nearly 200 drafts, and Golden is listed alongside Christian Watson (Round 5/6 WR target), Tucker Kraft, and Jayden Reed as key Packers receivers the source is actively targeting.
Love is being drafted outside the top 100 (Yahoo ADP 123) despite being second in EPA per dropback since 2022, indicating efficiency and skill are not the issue. The source targets Love because the Packers coaching staff has prioritized playing with more tempo in preseason, and the Josh Jacobs situation could incentivize more passing rather than the team's historical 25th neutral pass rate and 32nd neutral pace since 2022. Love needs more pass attempts to get home, and the source believes this is happening.
Hampton is the primary back for the Chargers, but Keaton Mitchell could eat into his workload given Mitchell's elite efficiency metrics and fit in Mike McDaniel's scheme. If Hampton misses time, Mitchell would have significant upside.
Mitchell (Chargers, Yahoo ADP 132) is built for Mike McDaniel's perimeter and misdirection scheme. McDaniel put Mitchell on a "WANTED" poster this free agency for his pure speed. Mitchell is RB1 in rush yards over expected (+47%), RB1 in EPA per carry (+0.12), and RB2 in YPC (6.3) among RBs with 100+ carries since 2023. These huge efficiency numbers are the expectation, not the ceiling. If he eats into Omarion Hampton's workload, Mitchell could sneak into the flex radar. If Hampton misses time, Mitchell would be very fun. McDaniel has experimented with Mitchell as a receiver, sending him on wheel routes and swing passes throughout camp and preseason.
Allen is the pass protector in the Jaguars backfield, complementing explosive runner Bhayshul Tuten and goal-line thumper Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Tuten is the explosive runner in the Jaguars backfield, drafted in Round 5 ADP. He is faster in a straight line than Chris Rodriguez Jr., but Rodriguez's 45% draft rate versus Tuten's higher ADP suggests the gap is too wide in half PPR.
Rodriguez (Jaguars, Yahoo ADP 130) is a goal-line thumper to complement explosive runner Bhayshul Tuten and pass protector LeQuint Allen. He graded well in that role last season on the Commanders and was more of a true bellcow under coach Liam Coen at Kentucky. Coen values Rodriguez's consistent, powerful style and has called him "efficient" and the type of guy to churn out four, six, eight, 10-yard runs. Tuten is faster in a straight line and sits in Round 5 ADP, while Rodriguez gets drafted in just 45% of Yahoo leagues—a gap that is too wide in half PPR. If Tuten misses time or proves unworthy of touches, Rodriguez can do a "This Year's Javonte Williams" impression or a Jamaal Williams-like goal-line role.
The Rams traded for Atwell on August 27, which is never a great sign for the rest of the WR room, including Davante Adams and Terrance Ferguson.
Adams had a down season beyond the goal line for the Rams and was dangled in trade discussions open to the public. His potential departure creates opportunity for Terrance Ferguson to assume a larger role.
Ferguson (Rams, Yahoo ADP 127) is described as the most terminally online deep sleeper. The 2025 second-round pick played a vertical receiving role in 2- and 3-TE sets as a downfield receiver in disguise last year under coach Sean McVay, with an average depth of target of 17.9 yards downfield—only Tyquan Thornton, Alec Pierce, and Kyle Williams were targeted more downfield. The Rams need better talent at WR, and Ferguson could be the answer. There's a 25% chance Ferguson is viewed as the team's WR3 this season. McVay has done crazy things like this before with Puka Nacua, Cooper Kupp, Kyren Williams, Blake Corum, and 3-TE sets.
Tyson, a first-round WR for the Saints, won't be available until Week 9 most likely, unless he returns on MetLife turf (Week 6) or in France (Week 7). His absence opens seven weeks of low-end TE1 projections for Juwan Johnson.
Shaeed's absence last year allowed Juwan Johnson to operate as the Saints' No. 2 target, posting TE5 in yards per game and TE8 in receptions per game from Week 8 on.
Johnson (Saints, Yahoo ADP 126) operated as the Saints' No. 2 target last year without Rashid Shaeed, posting TE5 in yards per game and TE8 in receptions per game from Week 8 on. The Saints won't have first-round WR Jordyn Tyson until Week 9 most likely, opening seven weeks of low-end TE1 projections. This timing is especially important if targeting Tucker Kraft (ACL) or George Kittle (Achilles), making Johnson the perfect chaperone in September and October.
Stribling (49ers) is a target as a key rookie WR. He was an acquired taste on Jacobs. He's board, a big-play threat in college who offers athleticism after the catch and size at the catch point and in the blocking game. Jacobs. He compares him as a better version of Jauan Jennings with the long-term potential to do a Brandon Aiyuk impression.
Lemon (Eagles) was the 15th overall player on Jacobs. He's 2026 NFL Top 100 Big Board and has already won a starting job in camp. He is a target as a key rookie WR.
Concepcion (Browns) was the 14th overall player on Jacobs. He's 2026 NFL Top 100 Big Board and has already won a starting job in camp. He is a target as a key rookie WR.
Murray (Yahoo ADP 112) clears the bar of QB play to execute the Vikings' top-five neutral pass rate offense. Every other QB has been able to put up top-10 fantasy QB numbers in an offense that's quietly top-five in neutral pass rate. Murray has the best OL, skill group, coaching staff, and overall environment he has played in. The Addison-to-Murray connection is Jacobs. He's most drafted teammate stack this year.
Addison (Yahoo ADP 117) counts as a sleeper this year due to his lowly ADP despite being fantasy relevant multiple seasons. He was WR22 as a rookie and WR23 in his second season in half PPR points per game. He ran pure with touchdowns in those seasons, which tends to happen in explosive, downfield passing offenses like coach Kevin O'Connell's. Kyler Murray clears the bar of QB play to execute this offense, and this Addison-to-Murray connection is Jacobs. He's most drafted teammate stack this year. Addison could be a boom-bust WR3/4 even if Justin Jefferson is healthy, and would be a must-start if Jefferson missed time.
Jeanty could miss the first section of the season with an ankle sprain that occurred about three weeks from kickoff. Even if he returns early, his injury risk would be amongst the highest in the NFL based on this current ailment and his projected intense workload.
Washington (Yahoo ADP 123) has a chance to be a starter early because Ashton Jeanty could miss the first section of the season with an ankle sprain occurring about three weeks from kickoff. As the clear-cut starter in Week 1, Washington would be worth a flex start in half PPR. He ranked 74th overall by the consensus NFL Draft board and went in the fourth round to the Raiders. He was an explosive rusher at Arkansas, caught 28 passes in his final season, and his NFL Combine performance compared closest to Adrian Peterson. His preseason tape has been the best of any running back in the NFL, and even if Jeanty returns early, his injury risk would be amongst the highest in the NFL.
Lloyd (Yahoo ADP 131) has been drafted in only 10% of Yahoo drafts despite being one of the best values available for months. The Josh Jacobs suspension news makes Lloyd a great insurance option; Jacobs could face a six-game suspension under the personal conduct policy if video is released. Lloyd was a prospect with bellcow ability, can catch the ball, has size to run between tackles, and offers athleticism for perimeter runs. The Packers are projected for the ninth most points, creating a favorable environment.
Reed is a priority target in the Packers offense, which is the most-drafted team after nearly 200 drafts. He is being drafted ahead of the starting QB (Jordan Love), indicating strong confidence in his role and the Packers' passing volume.
Kraft is an option in the Packers offense depending on the price. He is being drafted ahead of the starting QB (Jordan Love) but is price-dependent, suggesting his value is contingent on draft capital.
Watson is a Round 5/6 WR target in the Packers offense, which is the most-drafted team after nearly 200 drafts. He is being drafted ahead of the starting QB (Jordan Love), indicating strong confidence in his role and the Packers' passing volume.
Golden (Yahoo ADP 128) is a priority target in Packers-heavy drafts. He is being drafted outside the top 100 despite the Packers being the most-drafted team after nearly 200 drafts, with Christian Watson, Tucker Kraft, and Jayden Reed all being drafted ahead of him. The rare situation where all three WRs and the starting TE are drafted before the starting QB creates value for Golden.
Love is being drafted outside the top 100 (Yahoo ADP 124) despite being second in EPA per dropback since 2022, indicating efficiency and skill are not the issue. The Packers' coaching staff has prioritized playing with more tempo in preseason, and the Josh Jacobs news could incentivize more passing rather than the team's historical 25th neutral pass rate and 32nd neutral pace since 2022. Love needs more pass attempts to get home, and the tempo shift should provide that opportunity.
Josh Allen is featured in the source's bold predictions segment as part of a discussion on elite quarterbacks for the 2026 fantasy season.
Love is positioned as a direct comparison point to Ashton Jeanty in the source's bold predictions segment, suggesting both are key draft considerations for 2026.
Jeanty is positioned as a bold prediction topic in the 2026 fantasy season, with the source discussing him in direct comparison to Jeremiah Love as a key draft decision point.
Another potential positive for Chris Bell & Caleb Douglas: “His departure leaves Jalen Tolbert, Terrace Marshall Jr., Jalen Teagor, AJ Henning, Ryan Miller and Donaven McCulley competing for one or two open roster spots at wide receiver.” Tolbert, as reported before, may not make the team via @flasportsbuzz
Another potential positive for Chris Bell & Caleb Douglas: “His departure leaves Jalen Tolbert, Terrace Marshall Jr., Jalen Teagor, AJ Henning, Ryan Miller and Donaven McCulley competing for one or two open roster spots at wide receiver.” Tolbert, as reported before, may not make the team via @flasportsbuzz
Another potential positive for Chris Bell & Caleb Douglas: “His departure leaves Jalen Tolbert, Terrace Marshall Jr., Jalen Teagor, AJ Henning, Ryan Miller and Donaven McCulley competing for one or two open roster spots at wide receiver.” Tolbert, as reported before, may not make the team via @flasportsbuzz
Another potential positive for Chris Bell & Caleb Douglas: “His departure leaves Jalen Tolbert, Terrace Marshall Jr., Jalen Teagor, AJ Henning, Ryan Miller and Donaven McCulley competing for one or two open roster spots at wide receiver.” Tolbert, as reported before, may not make the team via @flasportsbuzz
TreVeyon Henderson should be "good to go" for Week 1, per @cpriceglobe.
TreVeyon Henderson (ankle) should be "good to go" for Week 1, per @cpriceglobe.
The Titans made a receiving corps overhaul this offseason specifically to help 2025 No. 1 overall draft pick Cam Ward take a second-year leap. Robinson caught a pass from Ward during the joint practice team period, indicating Ward's involvement in offensive development.
Robinson signed a four-year, $78 million deal with the Titans this offseason as part of a receiving corps makeover to support 2025 No. 1 overall draft pick Cam Ward's second-year development. Robinson is a Kentucky product coming off his first 1,000-yard receiving campaign with the Giants, representing a significant investment in his upside.
Robinson is being evaluated for a concussion after Chicago Bears safety Xavier Woods laid him out over the middle during a joint practice with the Titans in Nashville on Thursday. Titans head coach Robert Saleh characterized the hit as 'cheap,' and Robinson left practice early, though he walked into the facility under his own power after catching a pass from Cam Ward during a team period.
There is a VERY real chance Lamar Jackson isn't a Baltimore Raven after this season 👀👀 "It feels like Lamar has put himself in an NBA-style situation where he can do what he wants at the end of the season..." – @Foxworth24
Strong is among the other backups behind Jacobs but has only 499 rushing yards over three seasons, making him an unproven option if Jacobs faces suspension.
Brooks is among the other backups behind Jacobs but has never started a game and has only 395 rushing yards over three seasons, making him an unproven option if Jacobs faces suspension.
Lloyd appears to be the direct backup to Jacobs but has had numerous injuries that have limited him to one game in two seasons, with only six career carries for 15 yards. While he has talent as a 2024 third-round draft pick, his injury history is hard to ignore and he hasn't played much in the NFL.
Jacobs has been a focal point of the Packers' offense since joining the team two years ago, with 2,258 rushing yards and 28 rushing touchdowns over the past two seasons and rarely coming off the field. The Packers have been preparing for his potential suspension, but the depth behind him is unproven; the team will likely miss a centerpiece of their offense for a significant part of the season.
Jacobs was arrested in May for a domestic incident and charged Thursday with misdemeanor battery and criminal damage to property. The incident report includes surveillance video showing Jacobs throwing his girlfriend to the ground, causing her to hit her head and suffer injury. The NFL's rules call for a six-game suspension for a first offense of domestic violence, and given the details in the incident report, a suspension appears likely. The main question is timing of the NFL's ruling.
Kaelon Black may not suit up for the last preseason game (still could) @LombardiHimself believes it will be the Jordan James show early Take: Would be a great sign for Black = RB2 if he's resting
Sean Clifford is competing with Josh Johnson as Cincinnati's backup quarterback options. The source notes that Clifford and Johnson have both produced this preseason, helping Cincinnati score 27 points last week against Chicago, though the source expresses less confidence in Cincinnati's QB room compared to Philadelphia's.
Josh Johnson is competing with Sean Clifford as Cincinnati's backup quarterback options behind Joe Burrow. The source notes that Johnson and Clifford have both produced this preseason, helping Cincinnati score 27 points last week against Chicago, though the source expresses less confidence in Cincinnati's QB room compared to Philadelphia's.
Andy Dalton is competing with Tanner McKee for the QB2 backup job behind Jalen Hurts in Philadelphia's preseason finale. The source indicates confidence in Philadelphia's overall quarterback room over Cincinnati's, though does not provide specific performance metrics for Dalton.
Rookie Cole Payton has shown promise during the preseason as a third option in Philadelphia's quarterback competition behind Jalen Hurts and Tanner McKee, though the source does not provide specific statistics or projections for his performance.
McKee went 16-for-22 for 173 yards and two touchdowns against New England in preseason Week 2, demonstrating strong performance in the QB2 competition behind Jalen Hurts. The source expresses confidence in Philadelphia's quarterback room partly due to McKee's production, noting he led three touchdown drives in Week 2 with the Eagles' offense looking much sharper overall.
Wide receiver Jake Bobo is out, creating an opportunity for other receivers like Montorie Foster Jr. to compete for a roster spot.
Wide receiver Montorie Foster Jr. has an opportunity to lock down a roster spot in the preseason finale against Kansas City, particularly with Jake Bobo now out. A strong performance could secure his place on the 53-man roster.
Drew Lock is confirmed as the backup to Sam Darnold. He will be available as a backup if needed during Jalen Milroe's full-game start in the preseason finale, but the goal is for Milroe to take every snap.
Rookie running back Jadarian Price will not receive carries in the preseason finale against Kansas City. Coach Mike Macdonald stated that what Price showed during training camp was sufficient for Macdonald to trust the rookie will be ready for Week 1, indicating confidence in his readiness despite limited preseason action.
Milroe will start and play the entire game in the preseason finale against Kansas City, similar to last year's Green Bay game. Coach Macdonald emphasized the value of this opportunity for Milroe to go through the full process of starting a game, getting in rhythm, and managing situations without substitution or halftime relief, which are critical quarterback development experiences.
Milroe's preseason passing production has been poor; he was 6 for 11 for 52 yards with two interceptions in the second half against Tennessee, and 5 for 8 for 36 yards against Dallas. Over four quarters on the field, the Seahawks have yet to score. Coach Mike Macdonald is giving him another full-game start in the preseason finale against Kansas City to work through game management and rhythm, but the lack of offensive output raises concerns about depth behind Drew Lock.
I've listened to multiple beat reporters say George Pickens was just better than CeeDee Lamb in camp.
I've listened to multiple beat reporters say George Pickens was just better than CeeDee Lamb in camp.
Matt Harmon expects Bryce Young to improve the passing floor of the Carolina offense, explicitly stating that Young will not be limited to 150 passing yards per game. This improvement is expected to create a larger target pie for the team's primary receivers, specifically Jalen Coker and Terrace Marshall, who are identified as the players separating themselves in the current receiver room.
Matt Harmon views Terrace Marshall as one of the two primary receivers in Carolina who will benefit from a larger target share. Harmon projects Marshall to operate in a Mike Evans-type role with a 25 to 30% slot rate, which would be nearly double his usage from the previous season. This role expansion is supported by the expectation that Bryce Young will improve the team's passing floor, creating a larger target pie for primary receivers.
Matt Harmon identifies Jalen Coker as a player separating himself from the rest of the Carolina receiver room, noting that he is positioned to be a primary target in an offense lacking clear-cut pass-catching running backs or high-end tight ends. Harmon compares Coker to Chris Godwin, highlighting his ability to function as a primary power slot receiver while also credibly playing on the outside. This outlook is supported by the expectation that Bryce Young will improve the team's passing floor, moving past the 150-yard-per-game limit and creating a larger target pie for primary receivers.
Ja'Marr Chase is mentioned as a high-round draft target that necessitates finding value at running back later in the draft.
Puka Nacua is mentioned as a high-round draft target that necessitates finding value at running back later in the draft.
Jahmyr Gibbs is used as a benchmark for top-tier running backs who are drafted before the 'dead zone' players like D'Andre Swift.
Bucky Irving is considered to have less role security than D'Andre Swift.
Travis Etienne is compared unfavorably to D'Andre Swift, with Jeremiah Love arguing that Swift possesses more receiving upside and efficiency.
Javonte Williams is viewed as having less efficiency and receiving upside compared to D'Andre Swift.
Kyren Williams is considered to have less explosiveness, efficiency, and receiving upside than DeAndre Swift, despite being drafted in a similar range.
DeAndre Swift is projected to be a top-12 running back and the highest-scoring player among 'dead zone' backs. Jeremiah Love notes that despite past criticisms, Swift led the NFL in rush yards over expectation per attempt last year and outperformed Khalil Herbert in nearly every advanced metric, including explosive run rate and target share.
Baker Mayfield is a viable, readily available waiver wire replacement option for fantasy managers who need to replace a benched or failing late-round quarterback draft pick.
Jeremiah Love is drafting less Josh Allen than usual because the current quarterback class is deep enough to avoid spending high draft capital on the position; drafting him in the second round is considered a poor strategy that often leads to managers dropping their backup quarterbacks early.
Matthew Stafford is less desirable in current fantasy draft strategies because he lacks the rushing ceiling that high-upside quarterbacks like Malik Willis provide.
Jordan Love is less desirable in current fantasy draft strategies because he lacks the rushing ceiling that high-upside quarterbacks like Malik Willis provide.
Jared Goff is less desirable in current fantasy draft strategies because he lacks the rushing ceiling that high-upside quarterbacks like Malik Willis provide.
Devon Achane is an underrated pass-catching weapon out of the backfield who is utilized similarly to a slot receiver in certain formations, providing significant value to his quarterback.
Tim Tebow serves as a historical benchmark for a low-passing-volume, high-rushing-floor quarterback; in 2011, he averaged 17 points per game, which would have been equivalent to the QB16 in the current season.
Justin Fields is cited as a negative historical benchmark for fantasy analysts, having provided years of concrete evidence that he was a bad quarterback, which now colors the perception of other rushing-focused quarterbacks.
Kenneth Walker is a primary target at the 1-2 turn, drafted by analysts in over 20% of leagues. He is expected to anchor a shift toward a run-based offense, creating explosive plays and forcing defenses out of coverage schemes that limit the passing game.
Rashee Rice is considered a high-risk, potentially league-losing pick due to his inefficiency (7.4 yards per target in 2025), health concerns following a second knee surgery, and vulnerability to press coverage. Jeremiah Love notes that defenses will likely press him to neutralize the Chiefs' passing attack.
Jeremiah Love projects the Chiefs to have a negative pass rate over expectation (PROE) in 2026, signaling a departure from their high-volume passing era. This outlook is driven by concerns regarding Mahomes' potential mobility and a decline in the quality of his surrounding pass-catching weapons.
Wan'Dale Robinson is a strong candidate to outscore Carnell Tate in full PPR formats, as preseason usage indicates the team is actively integrating him into the offense.
Malik Willis is an undervalued 'Konami code' quarterback with a high rushing floor and ceiling. Despite a QB19 ADP, he is projected to finish as a QB1 due to his rushing production. He has shown efficiency metrics like ranking QB1 in EPA per play and completion percentage over expected, though his benching is considered irrelevant for fantasy purposes.
Jordan Addison is considered an undervalued asset and the forgotten man in the Vikings' offense. Despite finishing as a top-25 fantasy receiver in his first two seasons, he is currently priced as the WR22, with Jeremiah Love suggesting a finish as the WR33 is well within reach.
Jeremiah Love identifies Kyler Murray as his highest-drafted quarterback, projecting him as a top-10 option with top-8 upside. His optimism is based on an elite supporting cast including Justin Jefferson, a strong offensive line, and a dome environment. Murray is also recommended as a late-round target to pair with other high-upside options.
Jeremiah Love projects Sam Darnold has the potential to finish as a top-10 fantasy quarterback, citing the success of previous Vikings quarterbacks like Kirk Cousins and Nick Mullens in the current offensive environment.
Carnell Tate is a high-risk asset facing a difficult path to relevance, projected to play 85% of snaps on the outside against top cornerbacks. He recorded the second-lowest YAC per reception among all first-round wide receivers since 2016. Jeremiah Love notes concerns regarding his lack of separation and poor quarterback play, suggesting his 7th-round ADP is too high.
Jeremiah Love argues Keon Coleman should be the highest-drafted rookie wide receiver, suggesting he is significantly undervalued at his 11th-round ADP compared to Carnell Tate's 7th-round price.
Jeremiah Love is open-minded to drafting J.K. Dobbins depending on his ADP and specific team situation, viewing him as a viable backfield option alongside others.
Jeremiah Love views Jayden Reed as a limited receiver in terms of the total number of routes he runs within the Packers' offense.
Jeremiah Love notes that while Tucker Kraft is a talented player, he remains limited as a receiver, evidenced by an average depth of target (ADOT) under five yards during his breakout season.
The Broncos are actively moving away from Courtland Sutton as their primary receiver because he is viewed as lacking dynamism. While he is expected to handle 'X-receiver' duties, his role is being diminished in favor of more efficient options.
While Troy Franklin has averaged over a target per game in the screen game over the last two seasons, Jeremiah Love identifies him as an inefficient receiver who struggled to earn targets effectively and was not the answer for the Broncos' receiving corps.
Marvin Mims is noted for his involvement in the screen game, having averaged over a target per game in that specific area over the last two seasons.
Jeremiah Love characterizes Christian Watson as a talented deep threat who has failed to translate his per-route profile into becoming an effective all-around receiver or a high-volume target earner.
Bo Nix is projected as a top-10 quarterback, supported by his efficiency metrics (16th and 17th in EPA per drop back over his first two years) and his high volume of pass attempts in a pass-first, non-gimmicky Broncos offense. Jeremiah Love considers him a completely viable late-round fantasy option and a key stack with Jaylen Waddle.
DeVonta Smith is used as an ADP benchmark for Jaylen Waddle, with Jeremiah Love suggesting Waddle should be drafted in the third round alongside Smith.
Jaylen Waddle is projected to be a top-10 wide receiver and a priority target in the third round. Jeremiah Love argues that Waddle's past performance was hindered by poor quarterback play from Tua Tagovailoa, and his move to the Broncos represents a significant upgrade in offensive environment. Waddle is expected to operate as the primary move piece in Sean Payton's pass-first offense, with Courtland Sutton handling the 'X-receiver' role. His upside is supported by his history as a WR12 and WR18, the team's high neutral pass rate and pace under Bo Nix, and his expected dominance in the screen game.
Dontayvion Wicks' departure via trade is cited as a key reason for Matthew Golden's increased opportunity, as Wicks was previously blocking him for snaps.
Romeo Doubs' departure in free agency is cited as a key reason for Matthew Golden's increased opportunity, as Doubs was previously blocking him for snaps. Jeremiah Love identifies Romeo Doubs as the player whose intermediate role (52% of routes on digs, curls, and outs) is most likely to be absorbed by Matthew Golden.
Nico Collins is used as a statistical benchmark for yards per route run, with Matthew Golden's rookie efficiency exceeding his own.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is used as a statistical benchmark for yards per route run, with Matthew Golden's rookie efficiency exceeding his own.
DK Metcalf is cited as a benchmark for draft value in the seventh round, though the speakers suggest Matthew Golden is a preferable target at that same draft position.
Chris Godwin is mentioned as a seventh-round draft option, though the speakers prefer Matthew Golden at that point in the draft.
Brian Thomas Jr. is mentioned as a seventh-round draft option, though the speakers prefer Matthew Golden at that point in the draft.
Alec Pierce is mentioned as a seventh-round draft option, though the speakers prefer Matthew Golden at that point in the draft.
Jeremiah Love predicts Matthew Golden will be the highest-scoring Green Bay pass catcher this season. Despite a limited rookie route share, his 1.53 yards per route run (including playoffs) outperformed established players like Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Courtland Sutton, and Nico Collins. The Packers' potential shift to a faster, higher-volume passing offense, combined with the departures of Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks, creates a clear path for Golden to emerge as a priority target. He should be drafted near players like Chris Godwin and DK Metcalf.
Derrick Henry is categorized as a known-quantity running back in a 'boom-bust' tier. Fantasy managers have a clear expectation of his production, making him a stable benchmark for the position.
Chase Brown is considered a stable, known-quantity asset in fantasy rankings, placed in a 'boom-bust' tier where managers have a clear expectation of his production.
Breece Hall is positioned in a 'boom-bust' tier of running backs alongside Omar Hampton, where the range of outcomes is wider compared to more stable veterans. He is also used as a benchmark for top-tier running backs who are drafted before the 'dead zone' players like DeAndre Swift.
Jeremiah Love should be drafted ahead of Ashton Genty due to his superior explosive playability and dynamic receiving profile. Love, a third-overall pick, offers significant upside compared to Genty, whose advanced metrics and receiving efficiency (less than 1 yard per route run) were underwhelming last season. Love is currently being drafted in the 30s, making him a high-value target.
Jacob Sanderson and Sam Sherman express concern regarding Jaden Daniels' supporting infrastructure, specifically the offensive line and lack of established wide receivers, leading them to prefer Jalen Hurts for his more stable situation.
Jacob Sanderson predicts Jalen Hurts will be the highest advanced-rate quarterback this season, citing his weight loss as a signal for increased rushing volume and a potential return to elite fantasy production; he views Hurts as a value in the 6th-9th round range.
Jacob Sanderson is significantly below ADP on Quentin Johnston, citing obvious flaws in his game and the potential for a wide receiver rotation that limits his total route participation.
Jacob Sanderson is significantly below ADP on Lad McConkey, noting that his efficiency metrics declined as his route volume increased last year; he fears McConkey could lose snaps to Trey Harris in a rotational offense.
Jacob Sanderson believes Trey Harris has a 10% chance to emerge as the Chargers' WR1, citing his impressive college yards per route run and strong camp reviews; he views Harris as a high-upside best ball target who could benefit from the team's shift toward 11 personnel and reduced tight end target competition.
Jeremiah Love is aggressively overexposed to Colton Loveland, noting that he ranks him back-to-back with Trey McBride; he prefers drafting Loveland in later rounds rather than spending high capital on McBride.
Jeremiah Love ranks Trey McBride and Colston Loveland back-to-back, acknowledging McBride's established production as a top-tier tight end while arguing that Loveland's route-running profile and team context give him a path to equal or exceed that output.
Jeremiah Love views Luther Burden as the most dynamic playmaker on the Bears, noting that if he had to choose one player to get the ball in space for explosive gains, he would choose Burden every time. Love acknowledges the crowded target environment but believes Burden's role in the manufactured touch game is elite.
Jeremiah Love projects Colston Loveland to finish as the TE1, potentially outscoring Brock Bowers and Trey McBride. Love cites Loveland's high efficiency as a rookie, his superior route running compared to McBride, and his blocking ability which allows for more advantageous matchups against linebackers.
Jeremiah Love predicts Rome Odunze will finish as a top-20 wide receiver, highlighting his strong usage early last season (WR18 in per-game usage) before a foot injury derailed his campaign. Love notes that Odunze is not just a static X-receiver and has the athletic profile to take a significant step forward in his second year.
Jeremiah Love characterizes Khalil Herbert as a limited prospect who was significantly outperformed by Deandre Swift in efficiency metrics last season. Love suggests that Swift's superior performance in rush yards over expectation and explosive run rate makes him the clear lead back, while Herbert's role is likely to remain secondary.
Jeremiah Love argues that Deandre Swift is undervalued at his mid-to-late fourth-round ADP, noting he led the NFL in rush yards over expectation last year and outperformed Khalil Herbert in nearly every advanced metric, including explosive run rate and target share. Love projects Swift as a top-12 running back and the highest-scoring player in the 'dead zone' tier.
Jeremiah Love notes that while he was previously critical of D'Andre Swift, the player's usage in a zone-heavy scheme last year maximized his strengths as a pass-catcher and outside runner, while using other backs for gap-heavy, between-the-tackle work.
Malik Willis is identified as an undervalued 'Konami code' quarterback with a high rushing floor. Despite concerns about his passing ability and receiving corps, his rushing production provides a QB1 ceiling, making him a viable late-round target in managed leagues.
Jordan Addison is highlighted as a 'forgotten man' and a cheap stack option with Kyler Murray. Despite taking a hit in full PPR, he has proven production and is priced as the WR22, with potential to outperform that ranking.
The panel is high on Kyler Murray as a top-10 fantasy quarterback, citing his improved supporting cast (Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison), a solid offensive line, and his full recovery from a leg injury. They believe he is being undervalued and is a prime target for fantasy managers.
Jeremiah Love warns that Rashee Rice carries catastrophic downside risk, especially in half-PPR formats. He cites concerns over Rice's inefficiency (7.4 yards per target in 2025), poor performance against man coverage, and recent health/legal issues as reasons to fade him.
Jeremiah Love argues the Chiefs will shift to a run-heavy approach in 2026, making Kenneth Walker a primary target at the 1-2 turn. Walker is viewed as the key to creating explosive plays and forcing defenses to respect the run, which could open up the passing game.
The panel notes that preseason usage suggests the Giants are actively trying to make Wan'Dale Robinson a focal point of the offense, potentially making him a better full PPR play than Carnell Tate.
Jeremiah Love ranks Tate highly due to his draft capital and potential, but notes concerns regarding his low YAC per reception. While he is a talented route runner, Love suggests he requires a more functional offense to succeed compared to players like Concepcion.
Jeremiah Love ranks Lemon in the same tier as Carnell Tate and Casey Concepcion, noting that while draft capital might suggest otherwise, he is a high-upside prospect. In deeper leagues, he is a strong target, though in managed leagues with short benches, he may be a waiver wire add after the first few weeks.
Carnell Tate is overvalued at his 7th-round ADP compared to Casey Concepcion. Tate is projected to play primarily on the outside against number-one corners in an offense that is viewed with skepticism following preseason performance.
Bo Nix is projected as a top-10 quarterback. He has shown efficiency in his first two seasons despite poor supporting casts and now benefits from the NFL's number one offensive line and an improved receiving corps. The Broncos' offense is expected to be a top-five scoring unit.
Jalen Waddle is a top-10 wide receiver candidate who should be drafted in the third round. He is expected to be the centerpiece of Sean Payton's offense, serving as the primary move piece while absorbing significant screen volume. The move from Tua Tagovailoa to Bo Nix is viewed as a major upgrade for Waddle's fantasy ceiling.
Matthew Golden is poised to be the highest-scoring Green Bay pass catcher. Despite a small rookie sample, he posted a 1.53 yards per route run, outperforming peers like George Pickens and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. With Romeo Dobbs and Dontavian Wicks gone, Golden is the primary candidate to operate as the all-around WR1 in an offense potentially shifting to a faster pace.
Jeremiah Love should be drafted ahead of Ashton Gentry; Love has a 10-day recovery advantage from his ankle sprain and possesses superior explosive playability and receiving metrics compared to Gentry. Love is a dynamic weapon who can better overcome a poor offensive environment.
In a hero RB build strategy (taking Gibbs first overall), the source expects Swift to potentially fall to the 4-5 turn as a quality RB2 option, suggesting Swift is a target at that draft position.
The source reports acquiring George Pickens at the 2-3 turn alongside Gibbs and Bowers in a recent FFT Open draft, indicating confidence in Pickens' value at that draft position as part of a hero RB build strategy.
The source recommends drafting Jalen Coker late in the draft, stating 'I like drafting one of those guys late if I can' and noting 'Coker makes more sense to go first' when choosing between Coker and Kayshawn Booty, indicating Coker is a preferred late-round target.
In a 12-team PPR keeper league with three keeper slots, Colston Loveland is available as a keeper option in the sixth round but is not selected by the source, who instead chooses Chase Brown (fourth), Rashi Rice (tenth), and Trey McBride (twelfth), suggesting Loveland's sixth-round cost is less attractive than the alternatives.
In a 12-team PPR keeper league with three keeper slots, the source selects Chase Brown in the fourth round as a keeper, indicating strong confidence in his value at that cost relative to other available options (Colston Loveland in sixth, Rashi Rice in tenth, McBride in twelfth, Fannin in fifteenth, Coker in fifteenth).
In a 12-team half-PPR league with a hero RB build strategy (taking Gibbs first overall), the source advises against pairing McBride with Bowers at the 2-3 turn. The source prefers Bowers over McBride in half-PPR formats, indicating McBride is less efficient in PPR-lite scoring and represents poor value at that draft position.
The source explicitly states 'I just said I wouldn't draft Trey McBride' in the context of a 12-team PPR league with three keepers, indicating a clear avoidance stance on McBride at standard draft prices. However, the source would keep him for a twelfth-round cost, suggesting the issue is ADP/value rather than talent; McBride is overpriced relative to his expected production.
Puka Nakua is preferred over Gentie in a keeper league trade scenario; source states 'I think I'd rather have Puka' rather than trading Nakua for Gentie and moving up a round, citing Gentie's injury as a concern.
Chase Brown in round two represents great value; source explicitly states 'chase Brown in round two, great value' when discussing stacking the Bengals offense with Joe Burrow in round one.
Trey McBride is included in the source's 'Do Not Draft List' of 15 players to avoid; he is explicitly mentioned in the episode title as one of the key players to avoid in fantasy drafts.
Josh Jacobs should now be drafted ahead of Jeremiah Love due to Love's injury uncertainty; source groups Jacobs with Javante Williams and others as preferable alternatives to Love.
Javante Williams should now be drafted ahead of Jeremiah Love due to Love's injury uncertainty; source groups Williams with Josh Jacobs and others as preferable alternatives to Love.
DeAndre Swift is preferred over Jeremiah Love at similar ADP ranges; source explicitly states 'I'd rather take DeAndre Swift' when discussing Love's round three ADP of 32.8.
Jeremiah Love's ADP of 32.8 (early round three) is too aggressive given injury uncertainty; source prefers waiting until round four and targeting alternatives like Travis Ethan, DeAndre Swift, Javante Williams, and Josh Jacobs instead; Love faces one of the worst running back schedules and will lose goal line touches to Tyler Algier.
Jeremiah Love's return timeline remains uncertain despite recent video evidence of him walking and carrying pizza boxes; source indicates he is getting closer to a return but the timeline is still unclear.
Mike Washington should be targeted as early as round seven, eight, or nine as a handcuff/backup option to Ashton Jeanty; source suggests aggressive drafting depending on league strategy.
The source recommends avoiding Ashton Jeanty in the draft due to injury uncertainty, poor Raiders projected win totals, one of the worst running back schedules, and potential goal line touch loss to Tyler Algier; source explicitly states 'I'm just out on all these running backs' including Jeanty.
Ashton Jeanty suffered a low ankle sprain with unclear timeline; NFL insiders have provided no information on week one availability, creating significant uncertainty around his draft status.
Malik Willis is starting for the Dolphins. The source notes Willis's rushing ability should help Devon Achane remain an efficient rusher despite a subpar offensive line. However, Willis is the worst quarterback in the last two years in terms of target rate to running backs, though the source believes this is changing through practice and coaching emphasis. Willis was observed throwing to his running back multiple times in practice, suggesting improved passing game involvement with running backs.
Ashton Jeanty's status is a mystery; reported as a low ankle sprain but Clint Kubiak has not officially confirmed the exact nature of the injury. The source would not take him in round two, preferring to wait until round three. He is currently RB 10 in ADP and slipping based on average draft position.
The source worries about the Dolphins' offensive environment, citing daily reports from beat writers about poor offensive performance. While Achane will be the focal point and get every touch, the Dolphins' projected win total is 4.5 and the source expects few touchdowns. Achane's production drops 15 points per game when Tua Tagovailoa is not on the field; with Malik Willis starting, the source expects reduced passing game involvement that will hurt overall numbers. The source would not take him until round two, making ADP 11 too high.
The source expresses concern about Christian McCaffrey's durability and workload despite his RB4 ranking at 7th overall ADP. McCaffrey missed significant training camp time due to an injury/rest situation; the source notes a pattern where in the two prior seasons he had 400+ touches, he missed time the following year (max 4 games played). At age 30, the source is nervous about taking him in the middle of round one, though acknowledges his league-winner upside if healthy. The 49ers have added receiving weapons (Mike Evans, George Kittle, Dejon Stribbling, Kalon Black, Jordan James) to reduce his workload.
The source advises against drafting Josh Allen in round two, citing that the gap between him and other quarterbacks is not significant enough to justify an early pick. Round three is identified as the right time to target him, with round four being acceptable if available that late.
RB26 at 66th overall is too soon. Last year all three analysts were excited about Henderson based on positive New England reports; source was taking him in round 3, another in round 4. This year's enthusiasm has evaporated, yet Ramondre Stevenson is going only three RB spots later (69th overall), 13 picks later than Henderson's ADP despite Henderson's prior hype.
Source ranks Hall at 38th overall, higher than consensus RB19. Since 2022, only three RBs have seen 200+ targets and averaged 6.5+ yards per target: Bijon Robinson, Christian McCaffrey, and Hall—demonstrating elite pass-catching production. Offensive coordinator recently called Hall a bell cow. Source projects touchdown bounce-back (5 last year vs. 9 two years ago, 8 the year after) and touch-shape improvement with Braylon Allen healthy, which would shift Hall to more passing-down work. Would not be surprised if Hall finishes as top-12 RB. Early schedule is favorable for Jets.
RB19 at 39th overall ADP (beginning of round 4) is not early enough to avoid; source prefers waiting to back of round 4. Jets want to use three running backs per coaching staff; Frank Reich's 10-year track record as play caller is poor for RB production (only 4 instances of 13+ PPR points, 3 of 15+, once truly elite with Jonathan Taylor). Jets have been bottom-five in points scored six of last seven seasons. Last year Hall had workhorse role (17+ touches per game, 13 PPR points per game) but half the season was a disaster; only 5 total touchdowns vs. 9 two years ago and 8 the year after despite awful offense. Source does not want people reaching in round 3.
At RB19 (39th overall ADP, beginning of round four), Breece Hall's draft price is still too early for the source's preference. The source would rather wait until the back part of round four to target Hall, indicating concern about his current valuation. While the source notes Hall's ADP has fallen slightly, it remains higher than desired.
Going as QB8 at 75.1 overall ADP, Caleb Williams is overpriced relative to alternatives. The source prefers Brock Purdy, Justin Herbert, Trevor Lawrence, and Jared Goff, all of whom project to score similar fantasy points but go significantly later in drafts (90-100 range). While Williams has exciting upside, there are too many quarterbacks with comparable projections available at better value. The source's strategy is to wait on quarterback and target steals like Josh Allen in round three, Lamar Jackson in round five, Drake May or Joe Burrow in round six rather than reach for Williams at his current ADP.
At 33 years old with a pattern of soft tissue injuries (quad, groin) that recur during practice, Evans is unlikely to play more than 12-13 games despite likely scoring touchdowns in most games he does play. In the Shanahan offense with Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle healthy, the offense does not typically feature a number one wide receiver with high target volume. While Evans has six seasons with 1,000+ receiving yards and 10+ touchdowns, the source views his injury durability as a major concern for 2026 draft value.
Evans faces significant health concerns at age with a pattern of soft tissue injuries over the last two years (quad, groin); the source expects Evans to score in most games he plays but projects he will miss games, estimating he plays no more than 12-13 games this season; he's going as WR27 at ADP 66.5.
Montgomery will share carries more than expected; Woody Marks is expected to handle passing downs, and the Giants backfield includes Najee Harris, Tyrone Tracy, and Devin Singletary; the source sees limited upside at his ADP of 50.7 (RB22), noting he would need to score 10 touchdowns to pay off at current draft cost.
McBride's target volume may be reduced as Jeremiah Love is expected to receive dump-off targets that previously went to the tight end; the source notes most teams don't feature tight end dump-offs like the Cardinals' coaching tree does, suggesting McBride's PPR value from last year may not repeat.
In non-PPR and half-PPR scoring formats, the source would prefer Brock Bowers over Trey McBride at tight end. The source states, 'Half PPR, non-PPR. I'll drink the Kool-Aid on Brock Bowers,' indicating stronger conviction in Bowers' fantasy value in scoring systems that don't reward receptions as heavily.
Jeremiah Love is noted as being banged up heading into the 2025 season, which limits his immediate impact on the Cardinals' running game. The source questions how much more effective the Cardinals will be running the ball with Love in the lineup, suggesting his injury status will prevent a significant improvement in the team's rushing attack. Despite Love being an awesome talent, the source expects the Cardinals will still need to throw a lot because their defense isn't significantly better and their offensive line isn't great.
Marvin Harrison Jr.'s return to full health after missing time last year will reduce Trey McBride's red-zone touchdown opportunities. The source notes that McBride's big breakout, especially in touchdowns, was partly driven by Harrison Jr.'s injury last year, implying that with Harrison healthy, McBride will see fewer scoring opportunities.
Michael Wilson's emergence in the Arizona passing game is cited as a factor that will reduce Trey McBride's target share in 2025. The source notes that Wilson's increased role will compete for targets that previously went to McBride.
Sam Laporta has received a significant boost in the source's projections due to the tight end-friendly coaching system he inherited from Arizona. The source has given Laporta a boost because of the tight end-friendly head coach, indicating improved offensive role and target opportunity in his new situation.
Kyle Pitts has received a significant boost in the source's projections due to the tight end-friendly coaching system. The source references the Stefanski-Petzing system (now in place with the Falcons) as one that heavily utilizes tight ends, particularly in dump-off routes when the quarterback doesn't have time. In the Falcons' first preseason game, the tight end was consistently used in the flat running underneath right behind the blitz, receiving dump-off passes. This coaching tree's specific tendency to target tight ends in these situations suggests Pitts will see increased target volume compared to previous years.
The source prefers Colston Loveland over Trey McBride at current ADP because Loveland is being drafted later. This represents a value advantage for Loveland in the tight end market.
The source would prefer to draft Colston Loveland over Trey McBride at current ADP. McBride is being drafted earlier than Loveland, and the source states he would only take McBride if he was going 10 picks later than his current draft position. This represents a significant value concern relative to McBride's current market price.
McBride's target share and touchdown production are expected to regress significantly in 2025. Drew Petzing, his offensive coordinator for the last three seasons, will no longer be with Arizona; the source has reduced McBride's target share projection due to this coaching change. McBride ran two full games more routes than any other tight end last year because Arizona was frequently down two scores in the second half, inflating his volume. The source expects regression in total pass attempts league-wide and notes the emergence of Michael Wilson in the passing game. Additionally, Marvin Harrison Jr.'s return to health (he was injured last year during McBride's touchdown surge) will reduce red-zone opportunities. Last year McBride posted 10.6 targets per game, 21.1 PPR points per game, and 10 total touchdowns; the source believes he will not come close to those numbers in 2025, though still projects him as the number one tight end in full PPR leagues.
Source is considering swapping Luther Burden ahead of Emeka Buka in rankings, with both positioned as wide receiver 18 and 19. The swap is being reconsidered now that Burden has returned to practice and Buka's injury status is clearer, suggesting Burden may move up in rankings.
Source acquired Luther Burden in round five of a recent draft and is excited about the value, noting he currently has Burden ranked as a high round four wide receiver. Source indicates Burden will likely be the top wide receiver in the round three-four turn, though the turn is more focused on running backs.
Source reports Luther Burden returned to practice and is trending in the right direction, expected to be available for week one. Burden was previously injured, which had caused source to avoid drafting him in round three.
Source mentions Jalen McMillan should also be a factor in the Buccaneers offense alongside Emeka Buka and Chris Godwin, with red zone and touchdown opportunities available following Mike Evans' departure.
Source projects Chris Godwin could exceed seven targets per game this season, with red zone and touchdown opportunities now available following Mike Evans' departure. Evans previously averaged nine targets per game, leaving room for both Godwin and Emeka Buka to increase target volume.
Source observed Buccaneers practice and noted Godwin looked like the Godwin of old, lining up in the slot frequently and being on the same page with Baker Mayfield on multiple plays. Source indicates Godwin has a locked-in role and the Buccaneers know what they have in him, suggesting he will maintain consistent usage.
Source identifies Ferguson as a potential late-round target at tight end, noting he's likely to be featured in 13 personnel and could be awesome if Puka Nakua misses time. Ferguson is positioned as the tight end the Chargers are seemingly moving toward this year, replacing Colby Parkinson's role from last season. Recommended as a good late-round target if taking two tight ends.
Source identifies Nakua as the most obvious touchdown regression candidate at wide receiver, suggesting his touchdown production is unsustainably high and likely to decline.
Ranked fourth among wide receivers; source maintains this ranking despite not yet downgrading him, noting it would take significant movement to drop him behind CeeDee Lamb, Drake London, Jefferson, or Devontae Adams. Source indicates Nakua has had a very good camp.
Nakua has missed significant time with a groin injury and may be facing a possible suspension. Despite these concerns, the source has not downgraded him from his fourth-ranked position among wide receivers, behind Chase, JSN, and St. Brown, but would need more information to move him behind CeeDee Lamb, Drake London, or Jefferson.
Hubbard is competing with Jonathan Brooks for carries in Carolina; the coaching staff likes him, but Brooks is expected to be the primary back if both stay healthy. The source ranks Hubbard one spot behind Rashad White and plans to take him in round 10.
Brooks is expected to be the lead back in Carolina if both he and Chuba Hubbard stay healthy; he should get more touches and be better than Hubbard, similar to how Rico Dowdle emerged last year. The source ranks Brooks ahead of Ja'Kory Kroski Merritt and plans to take him in round seven.
Brooks is competing with Chuba Hubbard in the Panthers backfield; he hasn't played much in two years in the NFL and has shown only a couple of moments in preseason; if both Brooks and Hubbard stay healthy all season, Brooks should be the preferred fantasy option and get more touches, but the source doesn't want to reach for him given the uncertainty.
Hubbard is available late in drafts due to hamstring injury concerns and lack of practice, which encourages the source to take him and play the long game; while Jonathan Brooks may be the better back if both stay healthy, Hubbard can handle passing downs and may be better suited for the goal line; the coaching staff likes him a lot.
Swift has been upgraded due to Kyle Mononga's knee injury absence in camp, which highlights his contingent upside; Swift is being drafted around RB 18-20, which is likely where he finishes if Mononga stays healthy all year, but he has upside if Mononga misses time; the source likes him and prefers to draft him early in round four as part of a big tier of running backs at the 3-4 turn.
Lloyd is a handcuff option whose value depends on league depth; in deeper leagues with limited bench spots and waiver wire replacement options, targeting Lloyd as a handcuff to an uncertain starter becomes more important; in shallower leagues with more bench flexibility, the handcuff is less critical.
Jacobs has more upside than Javante Williams, Kyron Williams, and Jeremiah Love in the Raiders backfield; the source prefers Jacobs over these competing options due to uncertainty around Love's injury status.
Marshawn Lloyd is mentioned as a potential draft target; the source asks if he is being targeted in drafts, suggesting he may be a consideration in the running back pool.
Kyron Williams is compared unfavorably to Josh Jacobs; the source indicates Jacobs has more upside than Williams at similar draft positions.
Javante Williams is compared unfavorably to Josh Jacobs; the source indicates Jacobs has more upside than Williams at similar draft positions.
Trevion Henderson is listed among running backs on the do-not-draft list dealing with injuries; the source indicates he is one of several guys they are looking to avoid.
Jeremiah Love is on the do-not-draft list with injury concerns; the source expresses uncertainty about his current injury status and indicates Josh Jacobs has more upside than Love at similar draft positions.
Josh Jacobs is available in round three and represents strong fantasy value despite groin injury and potential suspension risk; the source believes he is capable of being one of the best running backs in fantasy football and has more upside than Ashton Jeanty, Javante Williams, Kyron Williams, and Jeremiah Love at similar draft positions. The source notes the league may not issue a suspension given proximity to season start.
Kenneth Walker is listed among running backs on the do-not-draft list dealing with injuries; the source indicates he is one of several guys they are looking to avoid due to injury concerns.
Ashton Jeanty is on the do-not-draft list due to injury concerns; the source notes uncertainty about his current injury status and suggests Josh Jacobs has more upside than Jeanty at similar draft positions.
Matt Kelley highlights positive sentiment from Garrett Wilson regarding the offense Frank Reich is building, with Wilson expressing excitement about the scheme.
John Paulson notes that reports coming out of camp regarding Cam Ward have been consistently negative, which is a significant concern for the passing offense's viability.
Matt Kelley and John Paulson advise moving down Carnell Tate in drafts due to persistent negative reports regarding Cam Ward's performance in training camp.
Matt Kelley and John Paulson agree that Jase McClellan is a preferred target over Bucky Irving for those seeking upside, noting his superior draft capital and potential for a 60-65% touch share.
John Paulson expresses concern about Bucky Irving's role, citing the signing of Rodriguez and the coaching history with Liam Cohen, suggesting it will not be a bell-cow situation.
Matt Kelley and John Paulson are both high on Chris Godwin, noting he is undervalued in the 8th round. They highlight his confirmed slot role and a 'quiet camp' as positive indicators for his season.
Matt Kelley finds it difficult to draft Brian Thomas Jr. due to a lack of positive camp news and concerns regarding his splits with Trevor Lawrence, preferring other receivers at his ADP.
Matt Kelley admits to being 'over his skis' on Parker Washington, but is bullish on the narrative that Washington appears to be the Jaguars' WR1, citing high praise for his work ethic.
Matt Kelley expresses skepticism about Eli Stowers as a rookie, noting he is struggling to overtake Grant Calcaterra and faces a difficult transition to the NFL as a 'tweener' tight end.
John Paulson views Dallas Goedert as a nice value in the 10th-11th round, noting he finished as TE3 last year and could see increased touchdown upside with AJ Brown gone, despite durability concerns.
Matt Kelley and John Paulson agree that Dalton Schultz is a target, with Paulson noting Schultz had 80 catches last year and is a solid option when punting the tight end position.
Matt Kelley notes that after recent injury news, he is now forced to draft Nico Collins, acknowledging that while the Houston offense will be a 'smash mouth' unit, the target volume will be there.
Matt Kelley notes that despite his previous hesitation, the injury situation in Houston makes Nico Collins a necessary draft target, though he warns the offense may lean toward 'smash mouth' football rather than being prolific.
Matt Kelley suggests Kayshon Boutte is a viable sleeper who could replace the production expected from Jaden Higgins in the Texans' offense, noting that he is a smart late-round target.
Matt Kelley expresses skepticism regarding Matthew Golden, noting a lack of evidence that he can perform at the NFL level and preferring other receivers like Adonai Mitchell at their respective costs.
Matt Kelley identifies Adonai Mitchell as a player he is significantly ahead of consensus on, noting that he prefers Mitchell over Matthew Golden due to ADP and perceived potential.
Matt Kelley expresses bullishness on Breece Hall's talent but remains cautious due to his health and lack of practice time, noting that the presence of capable backups like Braelon Allen and Isaiah Davis complicates the projection math.
Matt Kelley advises treating Mike Evans as a 'stay away' due to recurring lower-body injuries and age-related decline, noting that he has moved Evans down his cheat sheet to avoid the aggravation of injury-prone players.
Matt Kelley ranks DJ Moore as WR27, significantly lower than his ADP of 22, citing concerns that Moore may be past his prime and noting that he prefers players like Christian Watson and Jameson Williams over him.
Matt Kelley notes that De'Von Achane and DeAndre Swift are being drafted close together in ADP (42 vs 45). Kelley acknowledges the uncertainty surrounding Achane's passing-down role due to Alvin Kamara's presence and injury status.
Matt Kelley compares Travis Etienne to DeAndre Swift, noting they are similar players, but expresses skepticism regarding the consensus projection that Trevor Lawrence will lead a breakout offense in Jacksonville compared to the more certain outlook for Caleb Williams in Chicago.
Matt Kelley highlights DeAndre Swift as a workhorse running back in a top offense, noting that Kyle Monongai's knee injury cements Swift's touch floor. Kelley views him as a strong RB2 target at the end of the fourth round.
Matt Kelley notes that reports of Garrett Wilson desiring a simpler offense under Frank Reich, combined with Reich's scheme and energy, support a potential WR1 season for Wilson; Kelley suggests the market may not be high enough on him.
Matt Kelley describes Brock Bowers as a 'robot sent from heaven to play football,' indicating high expectations for his performance and impact on the Raiders' offense.
Matt Kelley is very high on Garrett Wilson, noting he is available in the fourth round and represents significant value. Kelley highlights that Wilson is a talented route runner now paired with a competent quarterback in Geno Smith and an offense designed by Frank Reich that prioritizes getting the ball to star receivers.
Matt Kelley is bullish on Geno Smith, arguing that he is a stabilizing force who has been unfairly maligned by the fantasy community. Kelley believes Smith is an upgrade for the offense and will benefit from a better talent configuration, making him a strong target in Superflex formats.
Matt Kelley identifies Braylon Allen as a 'goofball' pick he has vaulted in his personal draft cheat sheet. Kelley compares him to a version of Jordan Howard who can catch, noting he is a high-upside stash in case Breece Hall misses time.
Matt Kelley discusses Blake Corum as a potential mid-to-late round 'goofball' pick, noting that while he is not a bell cow, there is talk of him potentially seeing 40-45% of the snaps.
Matt Kelley argues that Devon Achan is a proven asset who is being used like Christian McCaffrey, dismissing concerns about his team environment. Kelley notes that Achan is a target magnet in a transparent offense and should be drafted confidently, even if he doesn't reach the unrealistic 40-touch projections, as he has top-12 PPR upside.
Matt Kelley views Jeremiah Love as an unnecessary risk in fantasy drafts, citing a high ankle sprain that he expects to be a hindrance through October or November. Kelley explicitly advises against drafting Love compared to other options.
John Paulsen acknowledges Keenan Allen's age (34) and injury history but notes his consistent target volume (122 targets in back-to-back seasons) makes him a threat to other receivers' ceilings.
John Paulsen is still interested in Josh Downs but has tempered his breakout expectations following the Keenan Allen signing, as they occupy similar areas of the field.
John Paulsen views Rhamondre Stevenson as a solid player with good advanced stats who will command the majority of the backfield work over Travion Henderson.
John Paulsen drafted Emeka Egbuka at the 4/5 turn, suggesting he is being drafted too early on average and is better suited for that range.
John Paulsen is out on Marvin Harrison Jr., comparing his situation to historical busts like Charles Rogers and stating he needs to see consistent production in games before drafting him.