NFL fantasy football news and player signals for Wednesday, June 10, 2026

Matt Harmon views Stribling as a slight reach at the first pick of the second round in the 2024 draft, noting he personally had Stribling as a good day two pick rather than an early second-round selection. Harmon would have taken Denzel Boston ahead of Stribling, though he acknowledges the 49ers' draft logic and sees Stribling as complementary depth to the receiving room. Matt Harmon identifies Stribling as a potential replacement for Jauan Jennings in the big slot flanker role, a position where Jennings was best utilized before being overcast as the X receiver in recent years. Stribling's blocking ability, receiving success rates (68% vs press, 83% on dig routes, 81% on slants), contested catch rate (70%), and 2.2% drop rate align well with Kyle Shanahan's offensive scheme; he breaks tackles after the catch, has good hands, and runs routes over the middle of the field—traits that fit the Shanahan receiver profile.

Brandon Aiyuk never came back to the 49ers, which forced Ricky Pearsall to play on-ball (vertical receiver) duties last year. This context explains why the 49ers added Mike Evans and De'Shawn Stribling—to provide intermediate-area receivers and allow Pearsall to move around more rather than being locked into on-ball responsibilities.

Albert Breer's quote (cited by Harmon) notes that the 49ers were criticized for taking Ole Miss wide receiver Deebo Samuel at 33 overall, similar to the Stribling pick. Breer's point was that when fans have been looking at mocks for two months and their team makes someone perceived as a reach, it drives them crazy. However, Breer noted that some really good offensive coaches liked Samuel more than the public knew. Harmon uses this as a historical parallel to explain why Stribling, also perceived as a reach, may have been a coaches' favorite and could outperform draft expectations.

Christian Kirk was added to the 49ers receiver room in 2024. Harmon describes him as a good player who will definitely play a little bit, but does not project him as a major role player in the offense. Kirk's presence is noted as context for the depth chart, with Stribling positioned ahead of him in the receiving hierarchy.

Matt Harmon notes that Ricky Pearsall, a former first-rounder, will play flanker/slot for the 49ers in 2024. Pearsall had to play on-ball (vertical receiver) last year because Brandon Aiyuk never came back to the team. With the addition of Mike Evans and De'Shawn Stribling, Harmon likes that Pearsall can move around more and play less on-ball, as both Evans and Stribling can live in the intermediate area. This represents a role improvement for Pearsall, allowing him to operate in positions better suited to his skill set. Harmon expresses long-term optimism for Pearsall as part of the 49ers receiving room, with the caveat that he remains healthy.

Mike Evans is projected to play X receiver for the 49ers in 2024. However, Harmon notes that Evans playing X is not guaranteed—he is an older player who has dealt with injuries. If Evans misses time, which is absolutely possible, De'Shawn Stribling will see increased playing time and would likely play X as well. The 49ers have been one of the more injury-riddled teams, creating upside scenarios for Stribling if Evans is unavailable.

Matt Harmon assesses Stribling as at best a rotational receiver for the 49ers in 2024, drafted first pick of the second round (33rd overall). Harmon projects him as the favorite to be the third receiver this year, capable of playing all three receiver positions (X, Z, slot). Harmon expects Stribling to play inside-out with Ricky Pearsall, with both operating in intermediate areas alongside Mike Evans. Long-term, Harmon views Stribling as the primary X receiver, though this year he'll be rotational. Harmon notes Stribling has plus traits—excellent at catch point, good with ball in hands, can play X credibly—and was a coaches' favorite despite being perceived as a reach by the public. Harmon identifies Stribling as a potential replacement for Jauan Jennings in the big slot flanker role; Stribling's blocking ability, receiving success rates (68% vs press, 83% on dig routes, 81% on slants), contested catch rate (70%), and 2.2% drop rate align well with Kyle Shanahan's offensive scheme. He breaks tackles after the catch, has good hands, and runs routes over the middle of the field—traits that fit the Shanahan receiver profile. Harmon views Stribling as a slight reach at 33rd overall, noting he personally had Stribling as a good day two pick rather than early second-round; he would have taken Denzel Boston ahead of Stribling, though he acknowledges the 49ers' draft logic. Albert Breer's historical parallel notes that the 49ers were criticized for taking Deebo Samuel at 33 overall similarly, but some really good offensive coaches liked Samuel more than the public knew—suggesting Stribling, also perceived as a reach, may have been a coaches' favorite and could outperform draft expectations.

AJ Dillon is the only significant running back addition the Panthers made in the offseason, serving as the only competition to Jonathan Brooks in the backfield.

Chuba Hubbard is characterized as an okay pass catcher, but several levels below Jonathan Brooks in receiving ability and explosiveness.

Colston Loveland is one of two hand-selected players by Bears head coach Ben Johnson and will be a huge part of the offense, fitting Johnson's system that emphasizes high completion rates and catch-and-run ability.

Bold prediction: Jonathan Brooks will be Carolina's clear RB one by mid-season in 2026.

The Panthers have shown significant trust in Jonathan Brooks by not drafting or bringing in any significant running back competition beyond AJ Dillon, indicating they expect him to be a major contributing factor in the backfield.

Jonathan Brooks is several levels above Chuba Hubbard as a pass catcher and is very explosive in the passing game; Dave Canales has indicated he could be the RB one in the Panthers backfield.

Jonathan Brooks is a major dynasty buy despite two ACL tears; he is an elite athlete nearly two years removed from his injury, had his second surgery performed by renowned orthopedic surgeon Dr. Neil Elitrache, and has excellent odds of returning to his pre-injury form at Texas.

Travis Kelce's ADP is concerning; the analyst struggles with his current draft price and suggests other tight ends like Mark Andrews offer better value in a similar range.

Brenton Strange is positioned as an every-down tight end who will remain the bonafide tight end one in the Jaguars offense, with the addition of Tanner Coziel (a receiving tight end) not impacting his workload.

Brenton Strange could be the move tight end in the Jaguars' offense when Nate Burkirker is in as the blocker, providing play-action opportunities in Liam Cohen's scheme.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. was brought in as a running back who will consistently get 3-4 yards per carry, serving a role in the Jaguars' four-minute offense and helping them close out games.

Tank Dell's health status is uncertain, and whether he will be the Jaguars' wide receiver two is something the analyst is monitoring closely.

Malik Nabors is expected to be out for the first four weeks of the season, which would elevate the Giants' wide receiver two and three into more prominent roles.

How much usage is expected for rookie tight end Eli Stowers is something the analyst wants to learn more about through coach speak this offseason.

How much usage is expected for rookie tight end Kenyon Sadiq is something the analyst wants to learn more about through coach speak this offseason.

Mike McCarthy indicated the Cowboys may lean more into heavy personnel groupings because of how much he likes Darnell Washington and the talent in that tight end room, potentially reducing 11 personnel usage.

Travis Hunter showed elite reception perception data and hit 22.6 mph on GPS testing per Liam Cohen, with rehab on track; he looked really good when playing in the F slot role before injury and could outperform ADP if getting decent usage.

Brian Thomas Jr. is being positioned as a downfield/X receiver threat, but his rookie-year chemistry with Mac Jones may not replicate with Trevor Lawrence, and he may become a 'sacrificial X' in Liam Cohen's offense which favors in-breaking routes.

Parker Washington's tape shows him terrorizing cornerbacks, and he has elite data including 18 explosive plays (4th among WRs), 8th in deep targets, and top-10 WR production over his final 4-5 weeks, making him a potential outperformer at his ADP.

Ramondre Stevenson played like a good starting NFL running back last year, not a 'jag' as many perceive; he resolved his fumbling issues and is excellent in the pass game, making him a legitimate threat to Travion Henderson's upside.

Travion Henderson faces a challenging situation in the Patriots backfield with Josh McDaniels' historical preference for multi-back systems, and Ramondre Stevenson was the primary back in important playoff games last year.

Chris Brooks has averaged 4.5-5 yards per carry across his career, but the analyst suggests there may be more to his profile than film study initially reveals.

Emmanuel Wilson filled in admirably when Josh Jacobs missed a game, recording 20+ carries and two touchdowns, establishing him as a capable backup option.

Chris Brooks is not a reliable fantasy option; Matt LaFleur indicated Brooks fills multiple roles including special teams and tight end/H-back duties, suggesting he is a depth piece rather than a potential lead back.

Marshawn Lloyd is not a reliable fantasy option; the analyst is 'totally out' on him and does not expect him to have a significant role in the Packers' backfield.

Matt LaFleur's reaction suggests he expects to have Josh Jacobs available; the Packers have not added significant running back talent in free agency, indicating confidence in Jacobs as the lead back.

Gabe Nabers is expected to return and handle between-the-tackles running duties in the Chargers' backfield, with Keaton Mitchell handling passing-down and outside run responsibilities.

Kamani Vidal filled in admirably for Gabe Nabers last year but lacks the between-the-tackles running ability that Nabers brings, making him less valuable in the Chargers' backfield.

Mike McDaniel is excited to get Keaton Mitchell into his Chargers offense, where Mitchell's high efficiency and receiving skills will be maximized; expect 6-10 touches per game with multiple 100+ yard combined rushing/receiving games.

Jeremiah Love is expected to take a piece of the Cardinals' passing game pie as a rookie, adding another mouth to feed in an already crowded receiving corps.

Trey McBride's role is uncertain in the new Cardinals offense under Mike LaFleur, as the Rams-style system spreads targets among multiple receivers and tight ends, potentially limiting his target share.

Michael Wilson is expected to fill the Puka Nakua-type role in the Cardinals' new offense under Mike LaFleur, though there is uncertainty about how touches will be distributed among the receiving weapons.

Marvin Harrison Jr. may be the biggest beneficiary of a coaching change, moving from Drew Petzing's static X-receiver role to Mike LaFleur's Sean McVay-influenced system that will move him around the formation and better utilize his talents.

Justin Herbert threw for 4,000+ yards in his first four seasons but failed to hit that mark in either of his two seasons with Greg Roman; now with Mike McDaniel, an exceptional offensive mind, Herbert should see significant improvement in his passing volume and efficiency.

Sean Payton has repeatedly promised to get Marvin Mims more involved over years, but these promises have not materialized, establishing Payton as unreliable on usage and workload matters (50% reliability).

Kyle Shanahan's coach speak on George Kittle's Achilles recovery is more reliable than typical coach optimism; Kittle is described as 'an absolute psycho animal' who will do everything to be ready, and at 80% of his pre-injury form at his current ADP of 180, he represents value.

Kevin O'Connell's coach speak about Ty Chandler when Aaron Jones went down proved reliable, allowing fantasy managers to confidently start him as an RB2 for a couple of weeks.

Zach Taylor stated he would give Jermaine Burton a chance if he could improve his focus, but Burton's off-field behavior (spotted at a Vegas slot machine at 3 a.m.) suggests reliability concerns despite coach's stated intentions.

Zach Taylor repeatedly called Joe Mixon 'day-to-day' during the 2020 season, but Mixon did not play for the rest of the season, establishing Taylor as unreliable on injury timelines.

As a rookie, has shown vastly better performance than Marvin Harrison Jr., though the Jaguars situation remains messy.

Running back on the struggling Cardinals; advised to 'hang on for dear life' as the team will be poor all season with limited TD upside.

Will play more of a slot/H-back role in the Cardinals offense, running more movement-based routes and blocking, similar to Puka Nacua's role with the Rams.

Fell into magical circumstances in 2025 where everything went right; unlikely to repeat that stretch, making him a sell-now-buy-back-later candidate.

Had a strong 2025 stretch with big performances that Marvin Harrison Jr. never achieved, though analyst believes he benefited from favorable circumstances.

Not a buy at current dynasty cost; hasn't proven enough in his two-year career to justify the valuation, especially with uncertainty around his role.

May have been limited by Michael Wilson's emergence in 2025; while Harrison led in target share when both played, questions remain about who is the true WR1 on the Cardinals.

As a rookie, averaged 11.6 PPR points per game with 1.68 yards per route run; in 2025, posted 10.7 PPR points per game with 1.65 yards per route run, showing stagnation.

Bears QB whose play style differs from Jared Goff; takes deeper shots downfield and hits outside the numbers, generating bigger plays but lower efficiency metrics.

Tight end that analyst is actively trying to buy in the Bears offense, viewing him as the best positioned pass catcher to benefit from the crowded WR situation.

Viewed as having similar value to Roma Dunze in the crowded Bears offense; if trading Burden, analyst would target Roma Dunze plus additional value.

Tight end in the Mike McDaniel Chargers offense; analyst explicitly states he doesn't want tight ends in this system.

Listed as an interesting target in the Mike McDaniel Chargers offense, though less prioritized than Ladin McConkie.

Joined the Chargers in 2025 and took over the primary WR role from Ladin McConkie, reducing McConkie's target share and efficiency.

Circled as a top bye week four target due to injury recovery concerns and the Giants' likely tank mentality for 2027, making him a risky hold.

Viewed as a focal point of the Giants offense alongside QB Jackson Dart, but the loss of Dart and overall Giants dysfunction makes Nabers a huge fade for 2026.

As a rookie, averaged 18.2 PPR points per game with 2.21 yards per route run (22nd among WRs), though the low efficiency was attributed more to the Giants offense than his talent.

Tore his ACL in 2025 after playing just four games (14.3 PPR points per game), resulting in a lost season with ongoing knee concerns heading into 2026.

Lloyd signed with the Panthers at a much cheaper deal than expected, making it a good value addition to the defense.

Coker was incredible last year and is one of the analyst's favorite players, suggesting the Panthers offense should be well-structured.

The Panthers have a big decision looming with Bryce Young, but the front office has made solid moves elsewhere on offense.

Phillips' contract at $30 million per year is justified given he is better than other edge options on the market, and he is a good fit for Evero's defensive scheme from the Fangio tree.

Phillips is a top-tier edge rusher and good run defender who is underrated due to lack of sack production, and if he hits his ceiling, the Panthers defense becomes at minimum average, which is a significant improvement.

Phillips had 31.2% of the Panthers' pressures last year but only 14.9% of sacks, and he must convert those pressures into sacks to justify his contract and be a major impact player for the defense.

Olave is part of a Saints offense that is trending positively with the addition of Tyson and improved offensive line, making the team a potential contender in the NFC South.

Tyson is an excellent fit for the Saints offense and quarterback Sheckel, who has a willingness to throw the middle of the field and intermediate routes that Tyson excels at.

Analyst is very optimistic about Walker, noting he flashed traits he liked as a prospect at Georgia including instincts, athleticism, and plays really hard.

With James Pierce Jr. unavailable, Walker's expanded role and weaponized versatility will be critical to the Falcons defense, which was surprisingly 12th in DVOA last season.

Walker is the number one pass rusher on Atlanta's depth chart and will likely move around the front more while utilizing his versatility, which was previously underutilized.

Walker had an impressive rookie season with 5.5 sacks and 2 strip sacks, and Atlanta believes they were too conservative with him last year and plan to move him around more on the defensive line.

Despite early season success being somewhat misleading and later season struggles being unfair, the analyst still believes Godwin's arrow is pointing up and he is incredibly talented.

Godwin is excellent against zone coverage and has great spatial feel and quarterback-friendly hands, which should help him thrive in the new offensive scheme.

Analyst is optimistic about Godwin's outlook under new offensive coordinator Zach Robinson, who has a plan to get him more open and play to his skillset in underneath areas.

Godwin's target rate against man coverage dropped significantly in the second half of the season (from 31.4% to 18.8%), as defenses keyed on him and corners were able to push him around.

Buccaneers plan to use Godwin more as a Z receiver and move him around rather than as an outside X receiver asked to win man coverage, which should better suit his skillset.

Kyler Gordon is part of a talented Bears cornerback group that could be awesome when all players are healthy, though they missed significant time last year.

Jalen Johnson is part of a talented Bears cornerback group that could be awesome when all players are healthy, though they missed significant time last year.

Montez Sweat accounted for 28.9% of the Bears' pressures last season (ranked 13th), with the next highest Bear being Gervin Dexter at 20.3%, showing heavy reliance on Sweat.

If Booker has double-digit sacks, the Bears defense will likely be good because the secondary is talented, but the team didn't add to pass rush in free agency or the draft.

Booker didn't play consistently coming off his knee injury last year and didn't play much in his rookie year, raising questions about his ability to step up as the Bears' number two edge.

Austin Booker is critical to the Bears pass rush; when on the field last year, he accounted for 29% of Chicago's pressures and 27.3% of quarterback hits, second only to Montez Sweat.

Matthew Golden came alive at the end of the season for the Packers, but the offense is very different when Christian Watson is not on the field.

Jordan Love is an aggressive quarterback with no hesitation to push the ball downfield, and his combination with Christian Watson works out so well that it makes the Packers offense highly efficient.

Christian Watson is the long outside vertical threat that is explosive and critical to the Packers' identity; he clears room for the rest of the offense when on the field.

If Christian Watson plays all 17 games, that's probably enough to feel good about the Packers offense despite concerns about the offensive line and Tucker Kraft.

When Christian Watson is off the field, the Packers offense drops to 16th in yards per play, 19th in first down rate, 13th in yards per attempt, and 19th in EPA per play.

When Christian Watson is on the field, the Packers offense ranks second in yards per attempt, first in yards per play, fourth in EPA per play, and third in first down rate—a top-four offense.

Tucker Kraft's health and availability are critical to monitor; he was the focal point of the Packers offense and his absence forces them to evolve their identity.

Micah Parsons might not be ready until October, which is deeply concerning given he is one of the more load-bearing players in the NFL.

The Lions don't want to take Jameson Williams off the field at all, creating a push-and-pull with their offensive philosophy around personnel usage.

Blake Miller on the right side of the Lions offensive line is a concern; if the offensive line falls apart, it will likely be on that young right side.

Cade Mays is the X-factor on the Lions offensive line as the centerpiece at center; a good center would help the two young guards and is critical to the line's success.

Tesla's development is important for the Lions philosophically because it reflects how much they want to run 11 personnel versus the 12 and 13 personnel that new OC Drew Petzing prefers.

This is Turner's year three and a critical breakout moment; if he doesn't step up, he won't get the big money contract he needs.

Turner feasted on bad competition in the second half of the season, raising questions about the sustainability of his production gains.

Turner has explosive get-off and closing speed but his pass rush repertoire is still underwhelming; continued development is critical or the Vikings will regret trading Grenard.

The Grenard trade indicates the Vikings believe in Dallas Turner, especially with Kyler arriving and the team no longer in a rebuilding phase.

Thompson was signed by the Cowboys to complement Caleb Downs in the secondary.

Downs can play multiple positions including nickel and post safety, giving Christian Parker flexibility in how to deploy him based on matchups and down-and-distance situations.

Downs excels at putting people in the right position to play football and is an excellent communicator, which should help fix Dallas's zone coverage issues (32nd in EPA per play, 32nd in yards per play).

Downs is a phenomenal run defender who should help limit explosive runs; Dallas gave up 51 15-yard-plus runs (only Giants were worse) and ranked 31st in second-level run defense.

Downs is the X-Factor for the Cowboys defense and the answer to many of Dallas's defensive problems, particularly in run defense and zone coverage.

Williams, a third-round receiver from Clemson, will play primarily in the slot for the Commanders and provides quick game and yards-after-catch ability.

With a full offseason and workouts together with Daniels, McLaurin should improve his connection with the QB; he has been a pretty healthy receiver outside of last year.

McLaurin was injured or not fully healthy last year, and his connection with Jaden Daniels in limited snaps wasn't fully established.

Daniels was still really good last year and a healthy version of him makes the Commanders offense significantly better.

Oweh is a reclamation project who was okay in Baltimore before breaking out in LA with improved pass rush production, but there's uncertainty about whether that success will continue.

Luvu will serve as the pass rusher in the Commanders' new linebacker group alongside Stiles and Chanel.

Cross, age 25, is part of the Commanders' youth infusion on defense, brought in as part of their defensive overhaul.

Stiles' presence should help open up what the Commanders defense can do with new pieces and a new scheme, with his safety background allowing him to work well in coverage.

With Stiles as the centerpiece, the Commanders could have one of the best linebacker groups in the league, pairing him with Leo Chanel and Frankie Luvu.

Stiles is the X-Factor for the Commanders defense, exemplifying the team's defensive overhaul and positioned as a versatile centerpiece linebacker who can play multiple roles.

The Giants signed Isaiah Likely as a tight end/big receiver option, but he cannot replace Nabers' impact if the star receiver is unavailable.

Robinson was the primary volume eater for the Giants after Nabers went down but is now gone, traded to Tennessee.

Nabers had an incredible breakout rookie season with elite target share (30.7%), route participation (31%), and air yards share (41.6%), showing top-10 receiver potential before his injury.

Nabers required a second surgery to clean things up, raising questions about when he will be fully healthy and able to perform at his peak level.

Nabers suffered a torn ACL and torn meniscus in late September last year and there are concerns about his readiness for Week 1, with Adam Schefter implying he might not be available.

Nabers is the X-Factor for the Giants offense; his presence is critical to helping young QB Jackson Dart achieve success, as the receiving group is weak without him.

Was Khalil Shakir's target competition in Buffalo before DJ Moore arrived.

Landed in Buffalo where Josh Allen spreads the ball to 12-13 guys every week, making it extremely difficult to justify his draft cost despite the situation change.

The only wide receiver ever to be relevant with Josh Allen, highlighting how difficult it is for other receivers to produce in Buffalo's offense.

Spreads the ball extensively, with 12-13 guys touching the ball every week, making it difficult to justify the cost of receivers like DJ Moore or Khalil Shakir.

Projects to outscore Khalil Shakir in the same range, but at the tight end position where he provides better value.

Projects to outscore Khalil Shakir in the same range, but at the tight end position where he provides better value.

Projects to outscore Khalil Shakir in the same range, but at the tight end position where he provides better value.

The best situation Shakir will ever have with zero target competition just ended with DJ Moore landing in Buffalo, yet the market is still charging premium prices for him.

In his fifth NFL season, has only had four games with 20+ fantasy points in his entire career despite having Josh Allen all to himself with minimal target competition.

Priced similarly to Romeo Dobs but offers a potentially higher ceiling in reddraft leagues.

Despite being priced similarly to Matthew Golden and Casey Conception, it's very difficult to imagine him becoming a league-winning player with AJ Brown as the clear WR1.

The Patriots are projected to score almost six fewer points per game this season, nearly a full touchdown of regression, similar to the Colts' expected decline.

Added to the Patriots, creating the most target competition Romeo Dobs has ever faced.

Was Romeo Dobs's only target competition when Dobs achieved his career-best WR44 finish.

Career best finish is WR44 with 44 points per game when his only competition was rookie Jaden Reed; now faces the most target competition of his career with AJ Brown on the Patriots.

Presented as a better alternative to Ricky Piol at a similar price point, offering more reliable production.

Added to the 49ers offense, increasing target competition for Ricky Piol.

Projects for 650-750 receiving yards with approximately 4.5 touchdowns, outpacing Josh DS's projected production.

Projects for 650-750 receiving yards with approximately 4.5 touchdowns, outpacing Josh DS's projected production.

Josh Downs is a landmine despite being touted as a breakout candidate again after Michael Pittman Jr.'s departure; his career-best finish is only WR31, last year he finished WR56, and the situation has three holes: Alec Pierce was paid serious money, Tyler Borne outplayed him as a rookie, and Indianapolis projects to regress from 27.5 PPG to 22.5 PPG.

Rome Odunze is the better value compared to Luther Burden, going in round five versus Burden's round four, despite the author ranking Burden slightly ahead—they should go back-to-back, not two rounds apart.

Despite a bullish case (Bears top-10 offense, DJ Moore's 5 targets gone, elite efficiency at 2.7 yards per route run and 10.9 yards per target), Burden is a landmine because he only ran 15 routes per game as a rookie despite elite efficiency, yet the coaching staff couldn't get him on the field over Olamide Zakias—suggesting he's not a JSN-level talent.

Despite bullish points (Keenan Allen's 7.1 targets gone, Chargers offense improving to 24 PPG, age-24 comps averaging 16+ PPG), McConkey is a landmine because he regressed from WR19 to WR37 in year two, and the Keenan Allen excuse is weak—a 33-year-old Allen wouldn't have stopped a JSN-level talent from breaking out.

Author would consider taking Marvin Harrison Jr. as a receiver option if looking to swing on a receiver in the draft.

Keenan Allen had 7.1 targets per game, mentioned as context for Lad McConi's bullish points.

Marvin Harrison Jr. is presented as a preferable receiver alternative to Parker Washington in the same draft range.

Drake May is in the same draft range as Parker Washington (WR34 ADP), presented as a preferable elite quarterback option.

Caleb Williams is in the same draft range as Parker Washington (WR34 ADP), presented as a preferable elite quarterback option.

Jaden Daniels is in the same draft range as Parker Washington (WR34 ADP), presented as a preferable elite quarterback option.

Sammy Watkins is cited as an age 23 comp for Parker Washington; none of Washington's comps hit 15 PPG the following year.

Jameson Crowder is cited as an age 23 comp for Parker Washington; none of Washington's comps hit 15 PPG the following year.

Devonte Smith is cited as an age 23 comp for Parker Washington; none of Washington's comps hit 15 PPG the following year.

Travis Hunter suffered a torn ACL and was done for the year, and before the injury he was already behind Brian Thomas Jr. in the pecking order.

Brian Thomas Jr. was hurt most of last season but every camp report says he looks dramatically better this year, and he was already ahead of Travis Hunter in the pecking order before Hunter's ACL tear.

Parker Washington is fading due to a three-week heater (weeks 16-18) that occurred when Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter were injured, creating an empty room that will be full again. Full-season production was WR39 at 10.79 PPG, and his age 23 comps (Devonte Smith, Pierre Gerson, etc.) never hit 15 PPG the following year. The Jaguars are projected to regress 4.5 PPG offensively.

Jordan Tyson is presented as a preferable receiver alternative to DJ Moore, available in round six with better value.

Lamar Jackson is presented as a preferable alternative to DJ Moore in the same draft range, offering better value.

DeAndre Swift is presented as a preferable alternative to DJ Moore in the same draft range, offering better value.

Carnell Tate is presented as a preferable alternative to DJ Moore, available in round six with better value than Moore's round five ADP.

Christian Watson is being drafted after DJ Moore in the same range as Roma Dunay and Carnell Tate.

Khalil Shakir is the target competition for DJ Moore in Buffalo alongside Concincaid.

Colston Loveland was competing for targets in Chicago alongside DJ Moore, Roma Dunay, Luther Burden, and Olamide Zakias.

Luther Burden was competing for targets in Chicago alongside DJ Moore, Roma Dunay, Colston Loveland, and Olamide Zakias.

DJ Moore is fading due to a three-year trend of declining efficiency: yards per route run fell from 2.34 (2023) to 1.5 (2024) to 1.26 (2025), and target earning ability collapsed from 8.2 to 5 targets per game. At age 29 in his ninth year, historical comps at age 28 averaged fewer than 10 PPG the following year, yet Moore is priced as WR27 expecting a 20-spot jump on a team change alone.

Troy Franklin is cited as an example of a receiver in Tank Dell's draft range with no real upside, making him an unattractive alternative.

Tank Dell has minimal downside risk as a late-round pick since the worst case is he mixes in as a deep play role contributor, while the upside scenario of heavy volume if Nico Collins gets hurt is substantial compared to other receivers in his range like Troy Franklin.

If Nico Collins gets hurt and the Texans offense has to lean heavily on pass catchers without him, it creates a scenario where backup receivers could see significant volume.

Good in pass protection and could be part of a three-back committee with Omarian Hampton and Keaton Mitchell, getting enough touches across different roles.

At 40 pounds lighter than Omarian Hampton, Mitchell should not be expected to get goal-line touches, but fits the Mike McDaniel system well for edge runs.

Being drafted in the 5th pick of the 12th round, Mitchell could be a value play if Omarian Hampton gets injured, with explosive plays in his small sample.

Analyst ranks him a couple spots lower than his current ADP due to concerns about trustworthiness on tape and potential committee work with Keaton Mitchell and Kamani Vidal.

Had poor pass protection technique with whiffs on tape, though he has the physical tools to improve in this area.

Forces a high rate of missed tackles at 0.27 and creates hidden yards through tackle-breaking ability, with exceptional speed and athleticism at 220+ pounds.

Moving to Mike McDaniel's offense, which has created space at every stop and had RB5 and RB11 in points per game in 2025 and 2024, with RB3 and RB4 in 2023.

Rush yards over expected was negative 40% with three or fewer yards to go, but positive 21% with four or more yards, showing he struggles when confined and needs space.

Had bad pacing and poor vision as a runner, with inconsistent decision-making on hole selection, being both too quick and too late on different reps.

One of the most physically gifted running backs in the NFL with excellent long speed for a 220-pound back and soft hands out of the backfield.

RJ Harvey (RB, DEN) is #104 overall in Hayden Winks' 2026 Half-PPR rankings vs. Underdog ADP 84.8 with a 141.8-point projection. Verdict: Bad rookie season leaves doubt that he'll break away from Dobbins/Coleman. Harvey was a boom-bust prospect. He had athleticism to work with, yet was a 24-year-old rookie with vision issues. Both sides of the profile showed themselves as a rookie, just with more bad than good.

Kyle Monangai (RB, CHI) is #88 overall in Hayden Winks' 2026 Half-PPR rankings vs. Underdog ADP 91.9 with a 145.1-point projection. Verdict: Monangai's energy and balance earned him every other drive as a rookie. The four drops were pretty painful, but Monangai can do a lot of things at a serviceable level despite being a mediocre athlete with mediocre size. He gets there by just being a total savage. Monangai lowers his shoulder, dishes out contact, and then has the balance and will to stay on his feet for the extra couple of yards.

TreVeyon Henderson (RB, NE) is #59 overall in Hayden Winks' 2026 Half-PPR rankings vs. Underdog ADP 49.7 with a 164-point projection. Verdict: Henderson has Mostert juice but pass pro issues leave him in committee. Henderson reminds me of Raheem Mostert. The breakaway ability is top notch, and there is very obvious upside if he can do just enough between the tackles in a good offense. The Patriots are there, so it's simply up to Henderson as he looks to overtake Rhamondre Stevenson, who has every bit of 25 pounds on him.

Quinshon Judkins (RB, CLE) is #58 overall in Hayden Winks' 2026 Half-PPR rankings vs. Underdog ADP 55.1 with a 169.8-point projection. Verdict: Judkins had the best rushing tape among rookies, but #Browns. Judkins had the best rookie RB tape in 2025. It's impossible to make the case statistically, but that OL and QB situation was horrific. He also faced the highest rate of 8+ defender boxes (45%) per NextGenStats.

Bhayshul Tuten (RB, JAX) is #56 overall in Hayden Winks' 2026 Half-PPR rankings vs. Underdog ADP 56.3 with a 154.9-point projection. Verdict: Tuten plays out of control but has Coen and the speed to create big plays. Tuten didn't usurp Travis Etienne at any point. He played 21% of the regular season snaps, then played 29% in the Jaguars postseason loss. Fellow rookie LeQuint Allen rotated in just as much (22%) because of his pass protection reliability, and that part won't change.

Omarion Hampton (RB, LAC) is #24 overall in Hayden Winks' 2026 Half-PPR rankings vs. Underdog ADP 15.6 with a 221.9-point projection. Verdict: Hampton has top-5 upside but vision issues that need development as boom-bust Rd 2 pick. Hampton is one of the most physically gifted RBs in the NFL. His long speed is outstanding for a 220-pounder, and he has soft hands out of the backfield. Hampton has the profile to be a bellcow back, but there are some areas of concern, too, as he develops.

Ashton Jeanty (RB, LV) is #16 overall in Hayden Winks' 2026 Half-PPR rankings vs. Underdog ADP 11.3 with a 238.5-point projection. Verdict: Jeanty has RB1 projection with new HC, OC, QB, OL, DEF. Everything went wrong for Jeanty as a rookie. He was the RB16 on RB11 usage in half PPR, buoying his fantasy appeal with receptions (RB9 per game) rather than rushing yards (RB23 per game). On tape, Jeanty is exceptional at forcing missed tackles in space by running with power.

Tyler Shough is viewed as a strong candidate for a breakout season, potentially offering significant value in drafts compared to other quarterbacks.

Malik Willis has significant upside as a quarterback, making him an intriguing option in drafts despite being a different archetype than other top prospects.

Tyler Shough is being compared to a potential breakout player, with expectations that he could finish the season strong.

Carson Beck is expected to get a chance to start this season to evaluate his potential, but his role remains uncertain.

Carson Beck, who has joined Arizona, may get a chance to start this season, but his potential impact remains uncertain.

Fernando Mendoza, the number one overall pick, is currently being drafted as QB 27, but it's uncertain how much he will contribute this season.

Bryce Young has struggled to score consistently in fantasy, failing to reach 14 points per game in any season, raising concerns about his future potential.

CJ Stroud's current ADP is QB 24, and while he has shown potential, concerns about his performance and the offensive line persist.

Malik Willis, going off the board as QB 21, presents a high upside option due to his rushing ability, despite concerns about the receiving corps in Miami.

Kyler Murray is currently being drafted as QB 17, which is seen as a significant value given his history of success and the new environment in Minnesota.

There is hope for Cam Ward to become a better fantasy asset this season, especially with the addition of weapons like Carnell Tate and Wondell Robinson.

Cam Ward had a disappointing rookie season but showed flashes of potential, especially with the new coaching staff and improved weapons around him.

Bo Nix finished as the QB 8 last year and has added Jalen Waddle to his receiving corps, yet his ADP remains at QB 15. He has a real shot to outperform this ADP due to his solid production and the offensive environment.

Drake May had a 6.3% touchdown rate last year, which is significant, but regression is expected this season. However, he still has the potential to be a top five quarterback due to his rushing ability and improved offensive personnel.

Lamar Jackson's ability to provide both rushing and passing production makes him a top fantasy asset, especially in seasons where he excels through the air.

JJ McCarthy represents the downside of year two quarterbacks, as he underperformed expectations significantly compared to his peers.

Jaden Daniels is noted for his dual-threat capability, which has made him a valuable fantasy asset, especially in the late rounds.

With the addition of AJ Brown and Romeo Dobbs, Drake May's situation appears even better this year, suggesting he could continue to perform at a high level.

Drake May had a standout season last year, finishing as the second highest scoring fantasy quarterback overall, showcasing his potential to exceed expectations in fantasy football.

Kyler Murray is mentioned as a risky pick due to his past performance but still holds potential as a rushing quarterback.

Patrick Mahomes is noted for his strong recovery and potential to return to form, making him a worthwhile pick at his current ADP.

Jalen Hurts is viewed as a great value pick, especially given his ability to score touchdowns and his current ADP.

The speaker is aggressively fading Josh Allen due to his high ADP, suggesting that the market overvalues him compared to other quarterbacks.

The speaker is a huge fan of Drake May and believes he has significant upside, especially with new offensive weapons.

The speaker expresses concern about the current ADP of Travion Henderson, indicating he is not drafting him at his current price.

David Montgomery is compared to Javante Williams, indicating that both players are viewed similarly in terms of their volume-based roles.

The speaker is not as excited about Dalvin Cook compared to other running backs, suggesting a lack of enthusiasm for his draft value.

The speaker expresses a strong preference for Saquon Barkley over Dalvin Cook, indicating a favorable view of Barkley's potential this season.

Javante Williams is a player being drafted, but there are mixed feelings about his potential this season.

Derrick Henry is considered a fragile option, which raises concerns about his viability as a draft pick this year.

James Cook is being faded in drafts due to concerns about his overall profile and the desire to prioritize other running backs.

Saquon Barkley is viewed favorably compared to other running backs, indicating a strong preference for him in drafts.

Jalen Naylor is mentioned as a player to consider, but the discussion favors Jack Besh due to his potential impact on the field.

Jack Besh is emerging as a strong option in the receiving game, potentially benefiting from the lack of competition among the team's wide receivers.

Trey Tucker is being highlighted as the number one wide receiver in his team, showing promise as he is being moved around the formation.

Dalton Kincaid's efficiency is noteworthy, but if he runs more routes, his yards per outrun may decrease, which is a common expectation for players with high efficiency.

Brock Bowers is positioned to excel in a well-designed passing game that utilizes play action, making him a perfect fit for the offensive scheme.

Trey McBride is facing some skepticism from analysts, but there is potential for touchdown regression given his high end zone target numbers last year.

Trey McBride is facing some analysts' skepticism, but he may experience touchdown regression this season.

Brock Bowers is expected to have a significant impact this season, making him a strong target in drafts.

Mike Washington Jr. has dropped in ADP, but his athletic profile remains intriguing despite concerns about his production.

Brandon Ayuk remains a solid draft option despite some ambiguity around his role, as he has the potential for big plays.

Travis Etienne's ADP remains stable, and while there is buzz around the Saints, he hasn't dropped significantly in drafts.

Alvin Kamara's situation is interesting as he is in shape and may not retire, but he remains a potential trade candidate.

Greg Dolcich has received positive reports, suggesting he could be a key target in the offense.

Trey Harris is generating positive buzz and is considered a great late-round pick due to his potential to step forward.

Quentin Johnston is expected to be the number two receiver on the depth chart, but his performance has not been undeniable.

A.J. Brown's ADP has increased to pick 19, making him one of the top risers, likely due to his stability compared to other players with off-field issues.

Stefan Diggs is currently being drafted in the 12th or 13th round, but his ADP is likely to rise significantly if he signs with a contender, making him a target for value.

Chris Rodriguez is dealing with a foot issue and is not expected to practice until training camp, which is negatively impacting his ADP.

Greg Dulcich is also a popular late-round tight end pick, reflecting his potential value in fantasy leagues.

Chig Okonkwo is among the highest drafted late-round tight ends, indicating strong interest and potential upside.

Tyler Warren is also highlighted as a valuable pick in the sixth round, indicating potential upside.

Colson Loveland is being positioned as a vital piece of fantasy teams, particularly in the fourth round of drafts.

Jatavian Sanders is not living up to expectations as an athletic tight end, and there are doubts about his ability to perform.

Mitchell Evans has the potential to emerge as a key player for the Carolina Panthers, especially if he can secure more snaps in 12 personnel.

Jackson Hawes has shown some potential as a pass catcher, but his target share is expected to be very limited.

Jackson Hawes is primarily viewed as a sixth offensive lineman with limited upside as a pass catcher, making him a low-priority fantasy option.

Elijah Arroyo's opportunities may be limited this season as he competes with AJ Barner for playing time, and his blocking skills remain a concern.

Mason Taylor is expected to be a solid inline blocker and has shown potential as a receiver, but his role may be limited due to the presence of Kenyon Sadiq.

Colby Parkinson had a strong season last year with 20 red zone targets and six red zone scores, making him a valuable asset in scoring situations.

Despite his potential, Terrence Ferguson faces competition from Tyler Higbee and Colby Parkinson, which may limit his opportunities this season.

Terrence Ferguson had a unique statistical profile last season, averaging 18 yards per target, which is significantly higher than most tight ends, indicating his potential for big plays.

Gunnar Helm is currently being drafted as the tight end 25, but there is potential for him to finish as high as tight end 16 based on opportunity and usage.

Gunnar Helm is expected to see an increase in playing time this season, potentially doubling his route participation from 38% last year, making him a near every-down tight end.

Gunnar Helm is being drafted as a tight end 25, but he has shown inconsistency as a blocker and lacks significant yards after the catch.

While Gadsden had a strong stretch in the middle of the season, his snap count is expected to drop below 60% with new additions to the Chargers' roster.

Orande Gadsden struggles as a blocker, with a PFF rating of three positive blocks to 34 negative blocks, limiting his overall fantasy potential.

With David Njoku out, Harold Fannin had a 25% target share in the five games without him, indicating he could be a critical piece of the Browns' offense.

Harold Fannin had the most receiving yards by a rookie tight end picked after 34th overall in NFL history, showcasing his potential to outperform his draft slot.

Tyler Warren is appropriately priced with a ceiling to chase, making him a solid target in the sixth round despite a crowded tight end landscape.

Tyler Warren is expected to maintain a high snap count and be a key part of the Colts' offense, especially with fewer wide receiver options available.

Tyler Warren had a top 10 rookie season and is projected to increase his touchdowns to eight and receiving yards to at least 1,000 this year.

Tyler Warren is viewed as a solid value in the sixth round, with the potential for increased opportunity following the departure of Michael Pittman.

Colson Loveland is considered a great value pick in the fourth round, especially as a cornerstone piece for fantasy teams.

Colson Loveland is projected for 6.5 touchdowns and almost 900 receiving yards, making him a bargain compared to other top tight ends.

From week seven to 17, Colson Loveland was the tight end six in points per game and averaged 64 yards per game after taking on a larger role.

Colson Loveland is on pace to be an all-pro player and is easily the best tight end in this draft class, reminding many of Travis Kelsey with his receiving ability.

Joe Burrow is viewed as potentially the best quarterback in the NFL, making the Bengals' 22 to one odds to win the Super Bowl an attractive bet.

Abdul Carter is noted for his raw talent and potential to be in the mix for defensive player of the year, especially if the Giants perform well.

Micah Parsons, despite being sidelined for the first few weeks, is viewed as a potential candidate for defensive player of the year if he can rack up significant sacks upon his return.

Brock Bowers, a first team all pro as a rookie, is considered a strong long shot bet at 80 to one for offensive player of the year due to limited competition for targets.

Chris Olave is viewed as a long shot at 100 to one for offensive player of the year, with potential for a breakout season under Kellen Moore.

AJ Brown is seen as a strong value at 50 to one for offensive player of the year, given the team's commitment to getting him the ball.

Kenneth Walker is expected to be the every down back for the Chiefs, showcasing explosive play ability and catching skills, making him a focal point of the offense.

O'Marion Hampton is viewed as a player with a favorable situation at plus 4000, but the speaker expresses skepticism about his talent.

Jacob Rodriguez has the potential to compete for the league lead in tackles on a bad team, similar to Carson Schwestinger's outlier season last year.

Arvell Reese is compared to Micah Parsons, suggesting he could approach 80 tackles as an off-ball linebacker while also getting pass rush opportunities, making him an intriguing candidate for defensive rookie of the year.

David Bailey, the second overall pick pass rusher, is a solid bet at plus 500 for defensive rookie of the year, although he may face challenges due to a lack of support on the defensive front.

Zachariah Branch has the potential to make an impact as a rookie and could be a fun long shot for Offensive Rookie of the Year.

KC Concepcion could be a target machine in a new offensive scheme and is worth considering as a long shot for Offensive Rookie of the Year.

Jeremiah Love's chances for Offensive Rookie of the Year may be hindered by the Cardinals' difficult schedule and potential lack of wins.

Trevor Lawrence had a strong season last year and could benefit from a deep group of pass catchers this season.

Jaden Daniels has shown potential as a talent elevator and could be a strong candidate for Offensive Rookie of the Year if he plays well.

Jared Goff has a favorable schedule and could potentially throw for 40 touchdowns and 5,000 yards this season.

Joe Burrow has a strong chance to be an MVP candidate if he stays healthy and the Bengals win 13 or 14 games this season.

Caleb Williams has the potential to be a strong MVP candidate in his second season, especially with a favorable schedule and primetime games.

Baker Mayfield has a favorable early schedule that could lead to increased production, especially with a weak division.